[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  AL Khammas [@ALkhammas2](/creator/twitter/ALkhammas2) on x 2135 followers Created: 2025-07-25 06:26:04 UTC Middle East insights assessment…⬇️ 🔹 Iran is engaging in indirect talks with. US hoping progress in E3 deputy FM meetings, seeking an interim deal to prevent snapback sanctions. DFM Abadi stressed the need for US guarantees against Israeli attacks &! aims to influence Hamas through Gaza discussions. 🔹 Hamas, after consulting allies like Iran, rejected the U.S. proposal, influenced by Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France's recognition of Palestine. Hamas demand the release of Palestinian prisoners from the October X attacks. Meanwhile, GCC, Turkey, and E3 countries seek to weaken Iran's regime while avoiding its collapse for now , aiming to influence Israelis politics crisis in order to resolve Netanyahu’s Gov. 🔹 Macron's timeline for Palestinian statehood at the UN may coincide with Iran's flexibility on sanctions, potentially easing Tehran talks on Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and hostage releases. However, Iran FM insists on its enrichment rights, with no decisions made on ballistic missiles or proxies. 🔹 Tehran seeks to unfreeze assets to repair gas supply and address water shortages. Tabriz has <3 months of water reserves; Tehran’s reservoirs at 100-yr low. A deal with E3 could prompt China to influence Russia, Afghanistan, Tajikistan to release water, curbing unrest risks in Tabriz. 🔹 Reformists in Iran are trying to engage clerics in Qom, urging them to influence the Supreme Leader for a sustainable deal amid economic concerns. President Pezeshkanian met with clerics and Sistani’s representative to address threats from armed factions in Iraq that could escalate sectarian conflicts. Hardliners criticize his outreach to Azerbaijan & Turkey 🔹 U.S. may begin military operations against Iranian proxies in Iraq following a mission transition in Operation Inherent Resolve, set to end this September. This decision follows attacks on US energy companies in northern Iraq & recent discussions between the Iraqi PM & Brig. Gen. Kevin J. Lambert, the new mission commander. 🔹 Per my previous assessment, Russia aims for a minimal military presence in Syria, relying on mercenaries from the African Corps and Wagner Group in which they have major bases in Belarus. Potentially to links Tehran in Syria , so it may strengthen Iran-Belarus ties, facilitating drone transfers. Recent talks in Minsk focused on trade, direct flights, and defense cooperation amid these shifts. 🔹 France support SDF talks in Paris to limit Israel’s influence in Sweida, aiming to block Israel’s buffer zone expansion in Druze areas, per the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. This follows a US-mediated Israel-Syria deal. Reports suggest a French-Turkish-American plan for a Zinjibar corridor and energy contracts. Netanyahu pledges to protect Syria’s Druze and demilitarize southern Damascus. 🔹 IDF may execute Israel's Non-binding Knesset decision to takeover West Bank & intensify operations in Gaza, in response to French proposals statehood in which opposed by U.S. Rubio. As Israel PM claims these actions reward terrorism & threaten to create more Iranian proxies suggesting Hezbollah. Israeli airstrikes continue in southern Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah positions. 🔹 The US ambassador to Israel stressed the need for the Lebanese government to address Hezbollah, affirming US support for Lebanese sovereignty. The US views Hezbollah as a terrorist organization and backs the Lebanese Armed Forces as the legitimate military authority. Meanwhile, Hezbollah rejected a US disarmament proposal, insisting on national dialogue for discussions about its weapons.  XX engagements  **Related Topics** [turkey](/topic/turkey) [gaza](/topic/gaza) [hamas](/topic/hamas) [iran](/topic/iran) [Post Link](https://x.com/ALkhammas2/status/1948630815753068616)
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
AL Khammas @ALkhammas2 on x 2135 followers
Created: 2025-07-25 06:26:04 UTC
Middle East insights assessment…⬇️
🔹 Iran is engaging in indirect talks with. US hoping progress in E3 deputy FM meetings, seeking an interim deal to prevent snapback sanctions. DFM Abadi stressed the need for US guarantees against Israeli attacks &! aims to influence Hamas through Gaza discussions.
🔹 Hamas, after consulting allies like Iran, rejected the U.S. proposal, influenced by Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France's recognition of Palestine. Hamas demand the release of Palestinian prisoners from the October X attacks. Meanwhile, GCC, Turkey, and E3 countries seek to weaken Iran's regime while avoiding its collapse for now , aiming to influence Israelis politics crisis in order to resolve Netanyahu’s Gov.
🔹 Macron's timeline for Palestinian statehood at the UN may coincide with Iran's flexibility on sanctions, potentially easing Tehran talks on Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and hostage releases. However, Iran FM insists on its enrichment rights, with no decisions made on ballistic missiles or proxies.
🔹 Tehran seeks to unfreeze assets to repair gas supply and address water shortages. Tabriz has <3 months of water reserves; Tehran’s reservoirs at 100-yr low. A deal with E3 could prompt China to influence Russia, Afghanistan, Tajikistan to release water, curbing unrest risks in Tabriz.
🔹 Reformists in Iran are trying to engage clerics in Qom, urging them to influence the Supreme Leader for a sustainable deal amid economic concerns. President Pezeshkanian met with clerics and Sistani’s representative to address threats from armed factions in Iraq that could escalate sectarian conflicts. Hardliners criticize his outreach to Azerbaijan & Turkey
🔹 U.S. may begin military operations against Iranian proxies in Iraq following a mission transition in Operation Inherent Resolve, set to end this September. This decision follows attacks on US energy companies in northern Iraq & recent discussions between the Iraqi PM & Brig. Gen. Kevin J. Lambert, the new mission commander.
🔹 Per my previous assessment, Russia aims for a minimal military presence in Syria, relying on mercenaries from the African Corps and Wagner Group in which they have major bases in Belarus. Potentially to links Tehran in Syria , so it may strengthen Iran-Belarus ties, facilitating drone transfers. Recent talks in Minsk focused on trade, direct flights, and defense cooperation amid these shifts.
🔹 France support SDF talks in Paris to limit Israel’s influence in Sweida, aiming to block Israel’s buffer zone expansion in Druze areas, per the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. This follows a US-mediated Israel-Syria deal. Reports suggest a French-Turkish-American plan for a Zinjibar corridor and energy contracts. Netanyahu pledges to protect Syria’s Druze and demilitarize southern Damascus.
🔹 IDF may execute Israel's Non-binding Knesset decision to takeover West Bank & intensify operations in Gaza, in response to French proposals statehood in which opposed by U.S. Rubio. As Israel PM claims these actions reward terrorism & threaten to create more Iranian proxies suggesting Hezbollah. Israeli airstrikes continue in southern Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah positions.
🔹 The US ambassador to Israel stressed the need for the Lebanese government to address Hezbollah, affirming US support for Lebanese sovereignty. The US views Hezbollah as a terrorist organization and backs the Lebanese Armed Forces as the legitimate military authority. Meanwhile, Hezbollah rejected a US disarmament proposal, insisting on national dialogue for discussions about its weapons.
XX engagements
