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![SergeyCYW Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1343459213004173312.png) Sergey [@SergeyCYW](/creator/twitter/SergeyCYW) on x 6335 followers
Created: 2025-07-24 12:32:06 UTC

Thoughts on Tesla Earnings Report $TSLA:
🟢 Positive
•+19% QoQ automotive revenue vs. +14% deliveries; ASP gains led by refreshed Model Y
•Record energy gross profit and XXXXX MWh deployed (+2.1% YoY)
•25% FSD adoption growth post v12/v13; internal data: 10x safer than human driving
•$2,789M energy revenue, +5.8 pp energy GM YoY to XXXX%
•Dojo X and AI5 chip launching in 2026, targeting XXXXXXX H100-equivalent scale
•CyberCab cost target: $0.25–$0.30 per mile, below human-driven ride-hailing
•Optimus prototypes due end-2025; scaling to XXXXXXX units/month in X years
•$284M Bitcoin gain in Q2, reversing prior $125M Q1 loss
•Services revenue up XXXX% YoY to $3,046M

🟡 Neutral
•EPS $0.40, in line with estimates
•CapEx raised to over $9B, aligned with autonomy, AI, and infrastructure buildout
•R&D spend up XXX pp YoY to XXX% of revenue; investing in next-gen products
•Superchargers: 7,377, up +14% YoY
•Basic shares +1.0% YoY, SBC/revenue at 3%, slightly down QoQ
•FSD underutilization, ~50% of owners haven’t activated the feature

🔴 Negative
•Vehicles delivered: XXXXXXX (-13.5% YoY), missed estimates by -XXX%
•S/X and other deliveries: -XXXX% YoY, production down -XXXX%
•Automotive revenue down -XXXX% YoY, now XXXX% of total
•Global inventory: XX days of supply, up +2 QoQ
•Gross margin: XXXX% (-0.7 pp YoY); impacted by tariffs
•Operating margin: XXX% (-2.2 pp YoY), Net margin: XXX% (-0.6 pp YoY)
•Free cash flow margin: XXX% (-4.6 pp YoY)
•EV credit ending Q4 2025, risk of unfulfilled U.S. orders post-August
•$300M in Q2 tariff costs, affecting both automotive and energy

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gwn3lR9bEAAOjDv.png)

XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1948360542713962786/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[$2789m](/topic/$2789m)
[adoption](/topic/adoption)
[fsd](/topic/fsd)
[coins energy](/topic/coins-energy)
[automotive](/topic/automotive)
[$tsla](/topic/$tsla)
[tesla](/topic/tesla)
[stocks consumer cyclical](/topic/stocks-consumer-cyclical)

[Post Link](https://x.com/SergeyCYW/status/1948360542713962786)

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SergeyCYW Avatar Sergey @SergeyCYW on x 6335 followers Created: 2025-07-24 12:32:06 UTC

Thoughts on Tesla Earnings Report $TSLA: 🟢 Positive •+19% QoQ automotive revenue vs. +14% deliveries; ASP gains led by refreshed Model Y •Record energy gross profit and XXXXX MWh deployed (+2.1% YoY) •25% FSD adoption growth post v12/v13; internal data: 10x safer than human driving •$2,789M energy revenue, +5.8 pp energy GM YoY to XXXX% •Dojo X and AI5 chip launching in 2026, targeting XXXXXXX H100-equivalent scale •CyberCab cost target: $0.25–$0.30 per mile, below human-driven ride-hailing •Optimus prototypes due end-2025; scaling to XXXXXXX units/month in X years •$284M Bitcoin gain in Q2, reversing prior $125M Q1 loss •Services revenue up XXXX% YoY to $3,046M

🟡 Neutral •EPS $0.40, in line with estimates •CapEx raised to over $9B, aligned with autonomy, AI, and infrastructure buildout •R&D spend up XXX pp YoY to XXX% of revenue; investing in next-gen products •Superchargers: 7,377, up +14% YoY •Basic shares +1.0% YoY, SBC/revenue at 3%, slightly down QoQ •FSD underutilization, ~50% of owners haven’t activated the feature

🔴 Negative •Vehicles delivered: XXXXXXX (-13.5% YoY), missed estimates by -XXX% •S/X and other deliveries: -XXXX% YoY, production down -XXXX% •Automotive revenue down -XXXX% YoY, now XXXX% of total •Global inventory: XX days of supply, up +2 QoQ •Gross margin: XXXX% (-0.7 pp YoY); impacted by tariffs •Operating margin: XXX% (-2.2 pp YoY), Net margin: XXX% (-0.6 pp YoY) •Free cash flow margin: XXX% (-4.6 pp YoY) •EV credit ending Q4 2025, risk of unfulfilled U.S. orders post-August •$300M in Q2 tariff costs, affecting both automotive and energy

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics $2789m adoption fsd coins energy automotive $tsla tesla stocks consumer cyclical

Post Link

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/post/tweet::1948360542713962786