[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Ken McKusick [@FilmstudyRavens](/creator/twitter/FilmstudyRavens) on x 15.4K followers Created: 2025-07-24 06:31:26 UTC One more way to look at #Ravens close games prospectively... Based on the team quality, I expect the Ravens to again outscore their opponents by a considerable margin. I think they can maintain their XX% blowout (9+) result rate during the Jackson era. That happens to be XXXX games (I'll round to 8). The Ravens have won XX% of such games in the Jackson era. I think it's reasonable to hope they could maintain that which would be approximately X wins and X loss. That leaves X games which are within X score. The Ravens have won XXXX% of those in the Jackson era, so it's probably reasonable to assume they win X of X close games (55.6%). The Ravens season may be defined by their ability either to generate 1-2 more blowouts (which are very likely to be wins) or win an extra X or X close games. Asking a team to win more blowouts is essentially asking them to have a higher point differential for the season...difficult, but not unreasonable for a great team. Asking a team to be more effective winning close games is, in a way, a more difficult goal because it requires luck (outperforming their Pythagorean expectation) in addition to specific skills. Last point...based on their points scored and allowed last season, the Ravens should have won approximately XXXXX games and actually won XX. Teams that dramatically overperform their PS/PA expectation tend to fall the next year. The team that drastically outperformed their point differential last year was the Chiefs who won XX games and had an expected win total of XXXX. For an explanation of Pythagorean Expectation in various sports, read here: #RavensFlock XXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [baltimore ravens](/topic/baltimore-ravens) [Post Link](https://x.com/FilmstudyRavens/status/1948269778256216450)
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Ken McKusick @FilmstudyRavens on x 15.4K followers
Created: 2025-07-24 06:31:26 UTC
One more way to look at #Ravens close games prospectively...
Based on the team quality, I expect the Ravens to again outscore their opponents by a considerable margin. I think they can maintain their XX% blowout (9+) result rate during the Jackson era. That happens to be XXXX games (I'll round to 8).
The Ravens have won XX% of such games in the Jackson era. I think it's reasonable to hope they could maintain that which would be approximately X wins and X loss.
That leaves X games which are within X score. The Ravens have won XXXX% of those in the Jackson era, so it's probably reasonable to assume they win X of X close games (55.6%).
The Ravens season may be defined by their ability either to generate 1-2 more blowouts (which are very likely to be wins) or win an extra X or X close games.
Asking a team to win more blowouts is essentially asking them to have a higher point differential for the season...difficult, but not unreasonable for a great team.
Asking a team to be more effective winning close games is, in a way, a more difficult goal because it requires luck (outperforming their Pythagorean expectation) in addition to specific skills.
Last point...based on their points scored and allowed last season, the Ravens should have won approximately XXXXX games and actually won XX. Teams that dramatically overperform their PS/PA expectation tend to fall the next year.
The team that drastically outperformed their point differential last year was the Chiefs who won XX games and had an expected win total of XXXX.
For an explanation of Pythagorean Expectation in various sports, read here:
#RavensFlock
XXXXX engagements
Related Topics baltimore ravens