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![theblacklinehq Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1678542437420085248.png) The Black Line [@theblacklinehq](/creator/twitter/theblacklinehq) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-24 00:32:03 UTC

📉 $IBM dropped ~6% after earnings… but this looks like a classic overreaction.

🧠 Here’s why this could be a “buy the dip” opportunity:

🔁 X. Reversal Setup (Technical Quant Evidence)
• IBM reverses 38–50% of large down moves
• Avg return post 5%+ drop = positive
• Today’s ~6% dump = most bullish reversal bucket

✅ Odds favor a short-term bounce 📈

📊 X. Fundamentals Are Strong
• Beat on revenue, margins, and FCF
• Generative AI biz = $7.5B, up $1.5B QoQ
• Raised full-year FCF to >$13.5B
• Balance sheet = solid, hybrid cloud + AI momentum

✅ Drop ≠ deterioration. This is a mispricing.

🗓️ X. Seasonality Check
• July = +1.6%, XX% win rate

⚠️ Near-term neutral… but medium-term tailwinds are real.

🎯 Final Take:
This selloff looks like a gift — strong setup + strong fundamentals = tactical entry.

👀 Watch for reversal flow.
🟢 IBM > short-term rebound candidate.

#Stocks #IBM #Options #AI #Tech $SPY $QQQ $VIX

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwlSkGPW4AADm2w.jpg)

XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1948179335619183023/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[dump](/topic/dump)
[avg](/topic/avg)
[reversal](/topic/reversal)
[dip](/topic/dip)
[$ibm](/topic/$ibm)
[ibm](/topic/ibm)
[stocks technology](/topic/stocks-technology)

[Post Link](https://x.com/theblacklinehq/status/1948179335619183023)