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![Senti__23 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1472846372575535107.png) Senti 🪄 [@Senti__23](/creator/twitter/Senti__23) on x 2231 followers
Created: 2025-07-22 15:09:44 UTC

Been watching some videos lately to understand better the mechanics, game theory and value in the data behind prediction markets.

Haven't fully figured it out yet but is fascinating how the whole economy depends on questions that can be answered with a single yes or no.

I think maybe @opinionsdotfun can onboard more of the CT to this kind of logic in a more fun way than trading perps where most ppl get rekt.

One of the most interesting mechanisms in these kind of projects is when the result isn't common truth, who and how makes the decision if a prediction came out or not.

For example in the case of Polymarket the Uma token holders take the decision through voting iirc which is inefficient.

And crypto has such good PMF, not only bc of its speculative nature or enabling trading of prediction beyond sports and politics but also due to the verification aspect blockchain offers which becomes increasingly  important in the age of AI.

Need to print some notes for the beach,  as I plan to kinda relax but tbh I just can't stop learning cool stuff.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GweGE9OXsAA-T4-.png)

XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1947675435526951320/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[prediction](/topic/prediction)
[coins prediction](/topic/coins-prediction)

[Post Link](https://x.com/Senti__23/status/1947675435526951320)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

Senti__23 Avatar Senti 🪄 @Senti__23 on x 2231 followers Created: 2025-07-22 15:09:44 UTC

Been watching some videos lately to understand better the mechanics, game theory and value in the data behind prediction markets.

Haven't fully figured it out yet but is fascinating how the whole economy depends on questions that can be answered with a single yes or no.

I think maybe @opinionsdotfun can onboard more of the CT to this kind of logic in a more fun way than trading perps where most ppl get rekt.

One of the most interesting mechanisms in these kind of projects is when the result isn't common truth, who and how makes the decision if a prediction came out or not.

For example in the case of Polymarket the Uma token holders take the decision through voting iirc which is inefficient.

And crypto has such good PMF, not only bc of its speculative nature or enabling trading of prediction beyond sports and politics but also due to the verification aspect blockchain offers which becomes increasingly important in the age of AI.

Need to print some notes for the beach, as I plan to kinda relax but tbh I just can't stop learning cool stuff.

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics prediction coins prediction

Post Link

post/tweet::1947675435526951320
/post/tweet::1947675435526951320