[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Jason Zaharis [@ZaharisJason](/creator/twitter/ZaharisJason) on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-21 21:04:29 UTC As the war rages on, the conditions for peace become more harsh. The initial April 2022 Istanbul Agreement, which Ukraine was about to accept but then rejected on pressure from NATO (particularly the Biden Administration and Boris Johnson), involved the following commitments: 🔸 Ceasefire; essentially the implementation of the Minsk Accords 🔸 All sanctions against Russia are lifted 🔸 Russia withdraws to pre-SMO positions 🔸 Ukraine commits to neutrality, maintains a non-nuclear status per the Lisbon Protocol/Budapest Memorandum, and will not join NATO; They can still join the European Union and make bilateral agreements with NATO members 🔸 Crimea remain under Russian control and the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics are de facto independent; Their status will be decided at a later date 🔸 Ukraine receives security guarantees from Washington and Moscow in the event of attack, similar to that of the Budapest Memorandum 🔸 Demilitarization and denazification of the Ukrainian state 🔸 Repeal of the discriminatory laws adopted after the CIA-backed Euromaidan coup d’etat in 2014 However, in September 2022, the Russian Armed Forces liberated four more regions from Ukrainian Nazi rule and Zelenskyy’s term ended in May 2024 so now two more conditions for peace have been added to a potential agreement: 🔸 The recognition of Russia’s new borders - Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Lugansk are legally recognized as territory of the Russian Federation 🔸 Free and fair elections are held in Ukraine This upcoming summer offensive could potentially force Ukraine into even more unfavorable conditions, particularly if the Russian Armed Forces: 🔸 Secure Pokrovsk 🔸 Split Ukrainian forces in Donetsk via redeployment to Zaporizhzhia 🔸 Make further advancements into Kharkiv A war of attrition would sustain pressure on Ukrainian positions and degrade their ability to launch any counterattacks. It would lock the conflict into frozen but unfavorable state for the Kiev Nazi regime. There’s also another option Russia could pursue which could force the hand of the Ukrainians in negotiations: Russia could re-impose the naval blockade on the Ukrainian Black Sea coastline. Mining the adjacent waters from Crimea all the way to Odessa would halt all grain shipments and trade. It would deliver a massive blow to the Ukrainian economy and potentially spark more unrest against Zelenskyy’s Nazi dictatorship.  XX engagements  **Related Topics** [russia](/topic/russia) [ceasefire](/topic/ceasefire) [joe biden](/topic/joe-biden) [ukraine](/topic/ukraine) [istanbul](/topic/istanbul) [Post Link](https://x.com/ZaharisJason/status/1947402323694698692)
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Jason Zaharis @ZaharisJason on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-21 21:04:29 UTC
As the war rages on, the conditions for peace become more harsh.
The initial April 2022 Istanbul Agreement, which Ukraine was about to accept but then rejected on pressure from NATO (particularly the Biden Administration and Boris Johnson), involved the following commitments:
🔸 Ceasefire; essentially the implementation of the Minsk Accords
🔸 All sanctions against Russia are lifted
🔸 Russia withdraws to pre-SMO positions
🔸 Ukraine commits to neutrality, maintains a non-nuclear status per the Lisbon Protocol/Budapest Memorandum, and will not join NATO; They can still join the European Union and make bilateral agreements with NATO members
🔸 Crimea remain under Russian control and the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics are de facto independent; Their status will be decided at a later date
🔸 Ukraine receives security guarantees from Washington and Moscow in the event of attack, similar to that of the Budapest Memorandum
🔸 Demilitarization and denazification of the Ukrainian state
🔸 Repeal of the discriminatory laws adopted after the CIA-backed Euromaidan coup d’etat in 2014
However, in September 2022, the Russian Armed Forces liberated four more regions from Ukrainian Nazi rule and Zelenskyy’s term ended in May 2024 so now two more conditions for peace have been added to a potential agreement:
🔸 The recognition of Russia’s new borders - Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Lugansk are legally recognized as territory of the Russian Federation
🔸 Free and fair elections are held in Ukraine
This upcoming summer offensive could potentially force Ukraine into even more unfavorable conditions, particularly if the Russian Armed Forces:
🔸 Secure Pokrovsk
🔸 Split Ukrainian forces in Donetsk via redeployment to Zaporizhzhia
🔸 Make further advancements into Kharkiv
A war of attrition would sustain pressure on Ukrainian positions and degrade their ability to launch any counterattacks. It would lock the conflict into frozen but unfavorable state for the Kiev Nazi regime.
There’s also another option Russia could pursue which could force the hand of the Ukrainians in negotiations:
Russia could re-impose the naval blockade on the Ukrainian Black Sea coastline.
Mining the adjacent waters from Crimea all the way to Odessa would halt all grain shipments and trade. It would deliver a massive blow to the Ukrainian economy and potentially spark more unrest against Zelenskyy’s Nazi dictatorship.
XX engagements
