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![longoption Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1577787296408928257.png) Contrarian Capital [@longoption](/creator/twitter/longoption) on x 4468 followers
Created: 2025-07-20 14:17:10 UTC

We likely will never see a drawdown like the GFC. 

This isn’t going to be a popular message, especially amongst the doomer crowd. But it is true. 

The Great Depression taught us that government intervention can help soften economic collapse. The GFC and then Covid took this even further, demonstrating that more intervention is even better. Notably, both parties during Covid threw the kitchen sink at spending to save the economy. 

If some massive systemic risk was to happen today, we would continue along the path of increased spending. There would be massive, massive stimulus to prevent hell from breaking loose. 

You may think, “what about the deficit?”. It is my view that in an extreme crisis, the government can and would pursue extreme measures, including seizing assets/inheritance, printing money, voiding debts, and similarly unorthodox approaches to get the resources needed. 

This time won’t different- it’ll just follow the established trend line of how we respond to crises.


XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946937430902223208/c:line.svg)

[Post Link](https://x.com/longoption/status/1946937430902223208)

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longoption Avatar Contrarian Capital @longoption on x 4468 followers Created: 2025-07-20 14:17:10 UTC

We likely will never see a drawdown like the GFC.

This isn’t going to be a popular message, especially amongst the doomer crowd. But it is true.

The Great Depression taught us that government intervention can help soften economic collapse. The GFC and then Covid took this even further, demonstrating that more intervention is even better. Notably, both parties during Covid threw the kitchen sink at spending to save the economy.

If some massive systemic risk was to happen today, we would continue along the path of increased spending. There would be massive, massive stimulus to prevent hell from breaking loose.

You may think, “what about the deficit?”. It is my view that in an extreme crisis, the government can and would pursue extreme measures, including seizing assets/inheritance, printing money, voiding debts, and similarly unorthodox approaches to get the resources needed.

This time won’t different- it’ll just follow the established trend line of how we respond to crises.

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Post Link

post/tweet::1946937430902223208
/post/tweet::1946937430902223208