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![sametulutea Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::2909099631.png) Samet Ulucay [@sametulutea](/creator/twitter/sametulutea) on x 29.2K followers
Created: 2025-07-20 13:38:00 UTC

Ethereum risk metric: 37/100
It needs daily updates nowadays. Now let's look X metrics to understand more.

If BTC.D reaches XX% then I believe it should be the cycle top for altcoins. Risk level is ~36 for this section because BTC.D is still 61%.

ETH/BTC dip is probably already in (0.017). Considering technical levels XXXXX is a good level to reach. If $BTC reaches $150-160k then this means $ETH will reach $9-10k.

ETH/ETH 200D swings between XXX and XXX in the last 2-3 years. Current ETH 200D is ~$2480. That's why this metric reached XXXX and risk level ~50 in a short time.

(TOTAL3-USDT)/BTC shows altcoins excluding ETH. This is just to take into account altcoin strength. If ETH makes an ETH, then this would probably rocket in a short time. So it will indicate to take profits.

Total market cap gets values between bear market low and fair value * X. Current XXXX means ~40 for risk metric. 

Hopeful to see ETH reaches and breaks $3800-4000 region, then we can talk about taking profits and rotating into short term trades (with small portion of the portfolio).

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwTd9MaW4AII4co.png)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946927576242421894/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[$150160k](/topic/$150160k)
[$btc](/topic/$btc)
[dip](/topic/dip)
[altcoins](/topic/altcoins)
[ethereum](/topic/ethereum)
[coins layer 1](/topic/coins-layer-1)
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin)
[coins bitcoin ecosystem](/topic/coins-bitcoin-ecosystem)

[Post Link](https://x.com/sametulutea/status/1946927576242421894)