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![TheSystemsBets Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1351900516708724736.png) The $ystem [@TheSystemsBets](/creator/twitter/TheSystemsBets) on x 2706 followers
Created: 2025-07-20 11:45:10 UTC

SYSTEM PLAY OF THE DAY 7/20 

St. Louis / Arizona o8.5 - 🔒

First Pitch: 4:10pm 

Get all our mlb projections & plays here:

Today’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks presents an excellent opportunity to back the Over XXX runs, with strong indicators from both pitching and projected scoring models.

Today’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks presents an excellent opportunity to back the Over XXX runs, with strong indicators from both pitching and projected scoring models.

🔍 Matchup Breakdown:
•Projected Total Runs: XXXX
•St. Louis: XXX
•Arizona: XXX

The projected total of XXXX runs comfortably clears the posted line of 8.5, signaling value on the over based on expected run output.

🔥 Pitching Matchup:
•Miles Mikolas (STL):
•Has been hittable all season, especially on the road where his ERA and opponent batting average spike.
•Struggles to miss bats, which doesn’t bode well against a disciplined Arizona lineup.
•Merrill Kelly (ARI):
•While solid at home, he’s returning from injury and may be limited or rusty.
•The Cardinals offense, though inconsistent, is dangerous against right-handed pitching.

💡 Why the Over is a Smart Play:
•Arizona’s Offense is heating up, averaging over X runs per game at home.
•St. Louis has sneaky upside with power throughout the lineup.
•Both bullpens have been inconsistent, especially in high-leverage spots.
•Weather factors, hitter-friendly park, and favorable umpire trends (if applicable) further support run production.

📈 Final Thought:

With a projected total two full runs above the line, and two hittable starters on the mound, this game profiles as a back-and-forth battle with plenty of scoring opportunities. The over XXX is a high-value play in a matchup that could easily push double digits before the bullpens are even called upon.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwTGfE7WEAIX-Xg.jpg)

XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946899180464533629/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[world series](/topic/world-series)
[arizona diamondbacks](/topic/arizona-diamondbacks)
[st louis cardinals](/topic/st-louis-cardinals)
[mlb](/topic/mlb)
[arizona](/topic/arizona)
[louis](/topic/louis)
[$ystem](/topic/$ystem)

[Post Link](https://x.com/TheSystemsBets/status/1946899180464533629)