[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  marco orio [@Marcorio61O](/creator/twitter/Marcorio61O) on x 8759 followers Created: 2025-07-20 09:03:28 UTC ### 💥 **Critical Dismantling of the Official Narrative: Sanctions, Misleading Data, and Geopolitical Reality** #### 🔍 **GROK NUMBERS DO NOT STAND UP TO VERIFICATION** X. **"Russian oil revenues reduced by 80%"**: - **Reality**: Hydrocarbon revenues fell by **40-42%** in 2023, not 80%. The price of Russian oil (Urals) has indeed fallen, but Russia has compensated with: - **Increased volumes** sold to India and China (+217% from 2022). - **Shadow fleet**: 400+ ships bypass the price cap, transporting XX% of Russian crude. - **Hard Data**: In 2024, Russian oil revenues are estimated at **$100 billion** (IMF), not XX billion euros. X. **"Inflation at 10%, rates at 21%"**: - **Reality**: Russian inflation is **7.5%** (June 2025), not 10%. Russian Central Bank rates are **16%**, not 21%. - **Why Grok is Wrong**: He ignores the **artificial stabilization** created by: - Capital controls (ban on currency exports). - State subsidies for essential goods. X. **"National Wealth Fund Collapses 65%"**: - **Reality**: The fund (NWF) has fallen from **$185 billion** (2022) to **$141 billion** (2025), a decline of **24%**, not 65%. The Kremlin is using it to finance war, it is not in "default". --- ### 🌍 **RUSSIA IS NOT ISOLATED: THE WEST'S BIG LIE** - **Trade with China and India**: - **+72%** in Russian exports to China since 2022 ($237 billion in 2024). - India buys **40%** of Russian oil, paid for in rupees or yuan. - **BRICS+ Expansion**: - XX countries want to join BRICS; Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the Emirates are already members. - The last summit (Kazan 2025) was attended by XX heads of state, including the UN Secretary-General. --- ### ⚖️ WHO PAYS THE REAL PRICE? THE WEST IN CRISIS | Parameter | Russia | European Union | |--------------------|--------------------------------|----------------------------------| | GDP Growth | +4.1% (2024, war economy) | Germany: -XXX% (2025), technical recession | | Political Stability | Domestic consensus stable (propaganda + repression) | Governments fall in Germany, France (energy crisis/sanctions) | | Energy | Gas pipelines to China completed (Power of Siberia 2) | Electricity costs for industries rise by XX% | | **Social Cohesion** | Real Wages **+8.7%** (2024) | Strikes in **France and Italy** over Cost of Living | #### 📉 **SIDE EFFECTS FOR THE EU**: - **Deindustrialization**: - **787 Western companies** have left Russia, but **2,319** have remained. - In Germany, plant closures (e.g., BMW in Kaliningrad) have caused **+12% unemployment** in strategic sectors. - **"Hidden" Russian Gas**: - Spain, Belgium, and France import Russian LNG via **"residential ports"** (e.g., India). - The EU has spent **€400 billion** since 2022 to replace Russian energy, increasing public debt. --- ### 🎯 **WHY ARE GROK'S DATA DANGEROUS?** X. **Selective narrative**: - Grok mentions the collapse of Russian revenues but omits the following: - The Russian military budget has tripled (from $XX to $XXX billion/year), offsetting the losses. - Weapons production is at an **all-time high** (tanks: 1,500/year). X. **Ignores "alternative globalization": - Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea form an **anti-dollar bloc" with trades in national currencies. - XX% of Russian-Chinese transactions use yuan or rubles. --- ### 💡 CONCLUSION: ECONOMIC WAR IS A BOOMERANG - **Russia**: - **Real Vulnerabilities**: Semiconductor shortage (they recycle washing machine chips), X million brain drain. - **Strengths**: War economy, alliances with the Global South, non-dollar trade. - **West**: - **Pyrrhic Victory**: Sanctions have accelerated **geopolitical fragmentation** (de-dollarization, rise of the BRICS). - **Social Costs**: Energy inflation, industrial crises, political instability. > **#UncomfortableRealities #FailedSanctions #RussianAdaptation** > *EDITOR'S NOTE*: *"The sanctions were supposed to bring down Russia. Instead, they revealed the fragility of a West without a strategy."* 💔 > 👉 **PS**: *Share if you see the world divided into two blocs!* 🌍➡️🔴🔵 **SELECTED SOURCES**: - Russian economic data: [CSIS] | [Centro Machiavelli] - Hidden energy flows: [Adnkronos] | [RSI] - BRICS geopolitics: [Atlas Institute] | XXX engagements  **Related Topics** [russia](/topic/russia) [Post Link](https://x.com/Marcorio61O/status/1946858486236676413)
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marco orio @Marcorio61O on x 8759 followers
Created: 2025-07-20 09:03:28 UTC
💥 Critical Dismantling of the Official Narrative: Sanctions, Misleading Data, and Geopolitical Reality
🔍 GROK NUMBERS DO NOT STAND UP TO VERIFICATION
X. "Russian oil revenues reduced by 80%":
- Reality: Hydrocarbon revenues fell by 40-42% in 2023, not 80%. The price of Russian oil (Urals) has indeed fallen, but Russia has compensated with:
- Increased volumes sold to India and China (+217% from 2022).
- Shadow fleet: 400+ ships bypass the price cap, transporting XX% of Russian crude.
- Hard Data: In 2024, Russian oil revenues are estimated at $100 billion (IMF), not XX billion euros.
X. "Inflation at 10%, rates at 21%":
- Reality: Russian inflation is 7.5% (June 2025), not 10%. Russian Central Bank rates are 16%, not 21%.
- Why Grok is Wrong: He ignores the artificial stabilization created by:
- Capital controls (ban on currency exports).
- State subsidies for essential goods.
X. "National Wealth Fund Collapses 65%":
- Reality: The fund (NWF) has fallen from $185 billion (2022) to $141 billion (2025), a decline of 24%, not 65%. The Kremlin is using it to finance war, it is not in "default".
🌍 RUSSIA IS NOT ISOLATED: THE WEST'S BIG LIE
Trade with China and India:
+72% in Russian exports to China since 2022 ($237 billion in 2024).
India buys 40% of Russian oil, paid for in rupees or yuan.
BRICS+ Expansion:
XX countries want to join BRICS; Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the Emirates are already members.
The last summit (Kazan 2025) was attended by XX heads of state, including the UN Secretary-General.
⚖️ WHO PAYS THE REAL PRICE? THE WEST IN CRISIS
| Parameter | Russia | European Union |
|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth | +4.1% (2024, war economy) | Germany: -XXX% (2025), technical recession |
| Political Stability | Domestic consensus stable (propaganda + repression) | Governments fall in Germany, France (energy crisis/sanctions) |
| Energy | Gas pipelines to China completed (Power of Siberia 2) | Electricity costs for industries rise by XX% |
| Social Cohesion | Real Wages +8.7% (2024) | Strikes in France and Italy over Cost of Living |
📉 SIDE EFFECTS FOR THE EU:
- Deindustrialization:
- 787 Western companies have left Russia, but 2,319 have remained.
- In Germany, plant closures (e.g., BMW in Kaliningrad) have caused +12% unemployment in strategic sectors.
- "Hidden" Russian Gas:
- Spain, Belgium, and France import Russian LNG via "residential ports" (e.g., India).
- The EU has spent €400 billion since 2022 to replace Russian energy, increasing public debt.
🎯 WHY ARE GROK'S DATA DANGEROUS?
X. Selective narrative:
- Grok mentions the collapse of Russian revenues but omits the following:
- The Russian military budget has tripled (from $XX to $XXX billion/year), offsetting the losses.
- Weapons production is at an all-time high (tanks: 1,500/year). X. **Ignores "alternative globalization":
- Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea form an **anti-dollar bloc" with trades in national currencies.
- XX% of Russian-Chinese transactions use yuan or rubles.
💡 CONCLUSION: ECONOMIC WAR IS A BOOMERANG
- Russia:
- Real Vulnerabilities: Semiconductor shortage (they recycle washing machine chips), X million brain drain.
- Strengths: War economy, alliances with the Global South, non-dollar trade.
- West:
- Pyrrhic Victory: Sanctions have accelerated geopolitical fragmentation (de-dollarization, rise of the BRICS).
- Social Costs: Energy inflation, industrial crises, political instability.
#UncomfortableRealities #FailedSanctions #RussianAdaptation EDITOR'S NOTE: "The sanctions were supposed to bring down Russia. Instead, they revealed the fragility of a West without a strategy." 💔 👉 PS: Share if you see the world divided into two blocs! 🌍➡️🔴🔵
SELECTED SOURCES:
- Russian economic data: [CSIS] | [Centro Machiavelli]
- Hidden energy flows: [Adnkronos] | [RSI]
- BRICS geopolitics: [Atlas Institute] |
XXX engagements
Related Topics russia