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![TrobsFightPicks Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1597090788214804480.png) Trob's Fight Picks [@TrobsFightPicks](/creator/twitter/TrobsFightPicks) on x 1024 followers
Created: 2025-07-19 16:29:00 UTC

Max Holloway (-142) vs. Dustin Poirier (+120)

I didn’t post this one before I went to bed last simply because I wanted to sleep on it, in hopes of having a dream about how this one goes because that would somehow give me more of a feeling on how this plays out than hours of rewatching tape. I honestly have zero clue of who wins this fight. After rewatching the 2019 fight between these two I was shocked to see just how many times Dustin was able to rattle Max, nearly being the first man to drop him if it wasn’t for the cage at one point in R2 I believe. Max was able to do a good job on the in-betweens when he wasn’t eating big shots, he was letting his hands go and even still, getting cracked multiple times didn’t knock him off his game. While I know a lot has changed since that fight..What really is it? I know Max is more filled out as a Lightweight so he should be able to take shots better but he also is coming off the first KO loss of his career. Does that open the flood gates? Are our brains playing tricks on us, making us think Dustin is washed just because fighters usually are when they pre-announce their retirement? I don’t know… One half of me says to take Max. He looked really good against Gaethje (picked against him) and Topuria too, until he got knocked out (had him up 2-0), he’s still trying to be a world champion again and he’s made enough adjustments to be able to manage range better this time and not eat the shots that lost him the last fight. The other half says don’t even overthink this, Poirier won the first two, he’s going to come out and absolutely fight his ass off in front of his home state and go out on top… F*ck it, give me Poirier.

Prediction - Poirier via Decision
Estimated Win % - XX%

#UFC318 #UFC #MMA #Picks #Predictions #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter

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**Related Topics**
[dustin poirier](/topic/dustin-poirier)
[max holloway](/topic/max-holloway)

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TrobsFightPicks Avatar Trob's Fight Picks @TrobsFightPicks on x 1024 followers Created: 2025-07-19 16:29:00 UTC

Max Holloway (-142) vs. Dustin Poirier (+120)

I didn’t post this one before I went to bed last simply because I wanted to sleep on it, in hopes of having a dream about how this one goes because that would somehow give me more of a feeling on how this plays out than hours of rewatching tape. I honestly have zero clue of who wins this fight. After rewatching the 2019 fight between these two I was shocked to see just how many times Dustin was able to rattle Max, nearly being the first man to drop him if it wasn’t for the cage at one point in R2 I believe. Max was able to do a good job on the in-betweens when he wasn’t eating big shots, he was letting his hands go and even still, getting cracked multiple times didn’t knock him off his game. While I know a lot has changed since that fight..What really is it? I know Max is more filled out as a Lightweight so he should be able to take shots better but he also is coming off the first KO loss of his career. Does that open the flood gates? Are our brains playing tricks on us, making us think Dustin is washed just because fighters usually are when they pre-announce their retirement? I don’t know… One half of me says to take Max. He looked really good against Gaethje (picked against him) and Topuria too, until he got knocked out (had him up 2-0), he’s still trying to be a world champion again and he’s made enough adjustments to be able to manage range better this time and not eat the shots that lost him the last fight. The other half says don’t even overthink this, Poirier won the first two, he’s going to come out and absolutely fight his ass off in front of his home state and go out on top… F*ck it, give me Poirier.

Prediction - Poirier via Decision Estimated Win % - XX%

#UFC318 #UFC #MMA #Picks #Predictions #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter

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Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics dustin poirier max holloway

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