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 The $ystem [@TheSystemsBets](/creator/twitter/TheSystemsBets) on x 2701 followers
Created: 2025-07-19 13:58:49 UTC
SYSTEM PLAY OF THE DAY 7/19
X day free trial for all plays and projections for MLB and WNBA:
Tampa Bay Rays ML (–120) — 🔒
First Pitch: 7:05pm
🔥 X. Model-Projected Blowout
According to predictive models, Tampa Bay is expected to win XXX to 2.8, nearly a 3-run spread in their favor — a massive edge on the moneyline. That kind of projection suggests run line value too, but we’re locking in the safer side: ML.
⸻
⚾ X. Pitching Advantage: Littell > Kremer
• Zack Littell has been lights-out at home and commands a deep pitch mix that’s generated consistent soft contact.
• Dean Kremer, while serviceable, has been inconsistent on the road and struggles against teams that hit for power — like Tampa, fresh off an 11-run outing.
⸻
💣 X. Offense Is Clicking
• The Rays just hammered the Orioles 11–1 behind X home runs, including a grand slam from Yandy Díaz.
• This offense is waking up, and facing Kremer gives them an opportunity to build on momentum and pressure early.
⸻
📊 X. Market Undervaluing Tampa
• Despite all the data pointing to Tampa’s edge, the line remains modest — around -XXX to -XXX — giving us great value.
• Betting models give Tampa a win probability over 62%, so there’s a real edge in grabbing the ML here.
⸻
🏠 X. Home Field Boost
• Tampa’s home record and pitcher splits favor them heavily here.
• Littell’s ERA at home is significantly lower, and the Rays have a strong home-field win rate when scoring early — which this matchup sets up for.
Let’s ride the momentum, trust the projections, and back a hot home team with the better pitcher and hotter bats.
XXXXX engagements
**Related Topics**
[tampa bay rays](/topic/tampa-bay-rays)
[wnba](/topic/wnba)
[mlb](/topic/mlb)
[$ystem](/topic/$ystem)
[Post Link](https://x.com/TheSystemsBets/status/1946570424520724543)
[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]
The $ystem @TheSystemsBets on x 2701 followers
Created: 2025-07-19 13:58:49 UTC
SYSTEM PLAY OF THE DAY 7/19
X day free trial for all plays and projections for MLB and WNBA:
Tampa Bay Rays ML (–120) — 🔒
First Pitch: 7:05pm
🔥 X. Model-Projected Blowout
According to predictive models, Tampa Bay is expected to win XXX to 2.8, nearly a 3-run spread in their favor — a massive edge on the moneyline. That kind of projection suggests run line value too, but we’re locking in the safer side: ML.
⸻
⚾ X. Pitching Advantage: Littell > Kremer • Zack Littell has been lights-out at home and commands a deep pitch mix that’s generated consistent soft contact. • Dean Kremer, while serviceable, has been inconsistent on the road and struggles against teams that hit for power — like Tampa, fresh off an 11-run outing.
⸻
💣 X. Offense Is Clicking • The Rays just hammered the Orioles 11–1 behind X home runs, including a grand slam from Yandy Díaz. • This offense is waking up, and facing Kremer gives them an opportunity to build on momentum and pressure early.
⸻
📊 X. Market Undervaluing Tampa • Despite all the data pointing to Tampa’s edge, the line remains modest — around -XXX to -XXX — giving us great value. • Betting models give Tampa a win probability over 62%, so there’s a real edge in grabbing the ML here.
⸻
🏠 X. Home Field Boost • Tampa’s home record and pitcher splits favor them heavily here. • Littell’s ERA at home is significantly lower, and the Rays have a strong home-field win rate when scoring early — which this matchup sets up for.
Let’s ride the momentum, trust the projections, and back a hot home team with the better pitcher and hotter bats.
XXXXX engagements
Related Topics tampa bay rays wnba mlb $ystem