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![checkerchain Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1475365603825401861.png) CheckerChain [@checkerchain](/creator/twitter/checkerchain) on x 12K followers
Created: 2025-07-19 11:40:28 UTC

Since $BTC and $TAO have a mirrored tokenomics, they also have a similar Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model.

Let's try to figure out the price of $TAO with S2F model with impact of halving (supply shock).

Taking the reference of $TAO genesis in 2021, demand curve from $X to current $XXX --> we can have a model ready.

Now plugging in the values, this is what we get.

$2.1k in 2025 (post halving)
-> compared to $BTC, it was $XXX predicted by S2F for 2012 halving vs $1150 ATH post halving

deduction: $TAO can peak ATH at $12.2k post halving if market condition remain bullish post halving of Bittensor.

We can agree that $TAO price can swing between $2.1k to $12.2k in this current crypto cycle.

Other long term prediction
$19.5k in 2029 (post halving)
$331k in 2033 (post halving)

Do you agree to this? Maybe someone can generate a S2F chart for $TAO.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwN5qU8WkAAZwL9.png)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946535606244233312/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[tao](/topic/tao)
[$21k](/topic/$21k)
[curve](/topic/curve)
[$tao](/topic/$tao)
[$btc](/topic/$btc)
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin)
[coins layer 1](/topic/coins-layer-1)
[coins bitcoin ecosystem](/topic/coins-bitcoin-ecosystem)

[Post Link](https://x.com/checkerchain/status/1946535606244233312)