[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Chris Vermeer [@cvermeer3](/creator/twitter/cvermeer3) on x XX followers Created: 2025-07-19 00:25:54 UTC People often respond to my critiques of altcoins by saying things like, “I’d rather take a chance at making more money.” But here’s what they don’t always grasp: I’ve already taken those chances. I’ve lived through this. And what I’ve learned is that the probability of loss matters far more than the promise of bigger gains. If you have $XXX and lose 50%, you’re down to $XX. You don’t just need to make XX% to get back to where you were — you need to double your money. And now you’re trying to do that in a more unstable, unproven system. That’s a very different challenge than simply gaining from a position of strength. That’s what Bitcoin offers: strength. Bitcoin is: •Decentralized and secure •Predictable in its cycles, thanks to the halving schedule •Widely adopted by sovereign nations, institutional investors, and long-term strategic thinkers •Supported by clear economic laws that keep supply in check and difficulty adjustment honest •Resilient and time-tested, surviving more attacks, FUD, bans, and collapses than any other project in crypto These altcoins? They don’t have predictable cycles. They don’t have halvings. Their leadership is often centralized. Their communities are often driven by hype and speculation rather than long-term vision. And they almost always follow Bitcoin’s lead — they go up when Bitcoin goes up, and they go down harder when Bitcoin corrects. Yes, altcoins might sometimes offer higher gains in short-term cycles. But they also come with far higher risk. And when losses hit, they hit harder. The chance of never recovering is very real — because most altcoins don’t have the foundations to weather a prolonged bear market. Bitcoin does. And as Michael Saylor said, this may be the safest Bitcoin cycle we’ve ever had — with the best risk-adjusted return. Future cycles may be safer still, but the gains will likely be smaller. This is the inflection point. That’s why I choose Bitcoin. It’s not just about how much you can make — It’s about how much you can lose, and what the odds of recovery are. It’s about stability, predictability, and trust. And it’s about investing in the future of money, not the flavor of the month. XX engagements  **Related Topics** [money](/topic/money) [altcoins](/topic/altcoins) [Post Link](https://x.com/cvermeer3/status/1946365847565734294)
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Chris Vermeer @cvermeer3 on x XX followers
Created: 2025-07-19 00:25:54 UTC
People often respond to my critiques of altcoins by saying things like, “I’d rather take a chance at making more money.” But here’s what they don’t always grasp: I’ve already taken those chances. I’ve lived through this. And what I’ve learned is that the probability of loss matters far more than the promise of bigger gains.
If you have $XXX and lose 50%, you’re down to $XX. You don’t just need to make XX% to get back to where you were — you need to double your money. And now you’re trying to do that in a more unstable, unproven system. That’s a very different challenge than simply gaining from a position of strength.
That’s what Bitcoin offers: strength.
Bitcoin is: •Decentralized and secure •Predictable in its cycles, thanks to the halving schedule •Widely adopted by sovereign nations, institutional investors, and long-term strategic thinkers •Supported by clear economic laws that keep supply in check and difficulty adjustment honest •Resilient and time-tested, surviving more attacks, FUD, bans, and collapses than any other project in crypto
These altcoins? They don’t have predictable cycles. They don’t have halvings. Their leadership is often centralized. Their communities are often driven by hype and speculation rather than long-term vision. And they almost always follow Bitcoin’s lead — they go up when Bitcoin goes up, and they go down harder when Bitcoin corrects.
Yes, altcoins might sometimes offer higher gains in short-term cycles. But they also come with far higher risk. And when losses hit, they hit harder. The chance of never recovering is very real — because most altcoins don’t have the foundations to weather a prolonged bear market.
Bitcoin does.
And as Michael Saylor said, this may be the safest Bitcoin cycle we’ve ever had — with the best risk-adjusted return. Future cycles may be safer still, but the gains will likely be smaller. This is the inflection point.
That’s why I choose Bitcoin.
It’s not just about how much you can make — It’s about how much you can lose, and what the odds of recovery are. It’s about stability, predictability, and trust. And it’s about investing in the future of money, not the flavor of the month.
XX engagements
