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![CollinRugg Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::890061634181373952.png) Collin Rugg [@CollinRugg](/creator/twitter/CollinRugg) on x 1.9M followers
Created: 2025-07-18 18:19:38 UTC

NEW: Vice President JD Vance currently has a XX% chance to win the 2028 election with CA Governor Gavin Newsom at 15%, according to new market launched by Polymarket.

Socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is currently in third with an XX% chance.  

The odds come as Newsom has been ramping up his public persona by increasing his commentary on X and joining popular podcasts, including Shawn Ryan this week.

Some Democrats believe AOC has a chance to step in and have a shot at the presidency, considering socialist Zohran Mamdani's rise in New York.

Please no.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwKNhoVWUAAsJSO.jpg)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946273674107187603/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket)
[newsom](/topic/newsom)
[jd vance](/topic/jd-vance)
[vice](/topic/vice)

[Post Link](https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1946273674107187603)