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![TheCradleMedia Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1416457545598767108.png) The Cradle [@TheCradleMedia](/creator/twitter/TheCradleMedia) on x 181.6K followers
Created: 2025-07-18 18:15:27 UTC

According to UK-funded journal 'Syria in Transition': Suwayda crisis traces back to 'diplomatic miscommunication' in Baku, Azerbaijan:

– Syrian and Israeli officials held a closed-door meeting in Baku last Saturday, exploring prospects for a peace agreement.

– Syria proposed restoring the 1974 Ceasefire Agreement and offered a package of confidence-building measures (CBMs) to unfold over five years, laying the groundwork for a full peace deal.

– Israel rejected the proposal, declaring the 1974 deal “null and void.”

– Tel Aviv demanded:

▫️ A new security arrangement with Israeli troops deployed beyond the Golan for X years
▫️ A “warm normalization” modeled after UAE ties – embassies and business links

– Syria flatly rejected these demands.

– Despite the impasse, Syria offered additional CBMs:

▫️ Intelligence files on Israeli spy Eli Cohen
▫️ Heavy weapon withdrawals from the south
▫️ Request for Israel to greenlight the integration of Suwayda into state structures

– Israel reportedly agreed – but had a narrower interpretation of Suwayda's reintegration, limited to restoring government services and minimal, local security.

– Damascus believed it had a green light for a full takeover and sent General Security forces into Suwayda, using ongoing Druze–Bedouin tensions as a pretext.

– The move backfired immediately: troops entered without coordination with Hikmat al-Hijri's Druze faction and were ambushed.

– The bloodshed triggered a wider escalation, and Israel retaliated militarily, viewing Syria’s action as a breach of their verbal understanding.

– Sharaa misjudged both US backing and the strength of pro-government Druze factions.

– He also underestimated Hijri’s popularity and was possibly misled by hawkish ministers seeking fast gains.

– The result:
▫️ Hundreds dead
▫️ Sharaa’s image cracked among armed factions
▫️ Rise in sectarian incitement against the Druze
▫️ Growing international criticism of Sharaa’s coercive integration strategy
▫️ Frustration in Ankara, and hardened distrust from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwKMSbGXEAEZYBc.jpg)

XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946272620661424426/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[azerbaijan](/topic/azerbaijan)
[syria](/topic/syria)

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TheCradleMedia Avatar The Cradle @TheCradleMedia on x 181.6K followers Created: 2025-07-18 18:15:27 UTC

According to UK-funded journal 'Syria in Transition': Suwayda crisis traces back to 'diplomatic miscommunication' in Baku, Azerbaijan:

– Syrian and Israeli officials held a closed-door meeting in Baku last Saturday, exploring prospects for a peace agreement.

– Syria proposed restoring the 1974 Ceasefire Agreement and offered a package of confidence-building measures (CBMs) to unfold over five years, laying the groundwork for a full peace deal.

– Israel rejected the proposal, declaring the 1974 deal “null and void.”

– Tel Aviv demanded:

▫️ A new security arrangement with Israeli troops deployed beyond the Golan for X years ▫️ A “warm normalization” modeled after UAE ties – embassies and business links

– Syria flatly rejected these demands.

– Despite the impasse, Syria offered additional CBMs:

▫️ Intelligence files on Israeli spy Eli Cohen ▫️ Heavy weapon withdrawals from the south ▫️ Request for Israel to greenlight the integration of Suwayda into state structures

– Israel reportedly agreed – but had a narrower interpretation of Suwayda's reintegration, limited to restoring government services and minimal, local security.

– Damascus believed it had a green light for a full takeover and sent General Security forces into Suwayda, using ongoing Druze–Bedouin tensions as a pretext.

– The move backfired immediately: troops entered without coordination with Hikmat al-Hijri's Druze faction and were ambushed.

– The bloodshed triggered a wider escalation, and Israel retaliated militarily, viewing Syria’s action as a breach of their verbal understanding.

– Sharaa misjudged both US backing and the strength of pro-government Druze factions.

– He also underestimated Hijri’s popularity and was possibly misled by hawkish ministers seeking fast gains.

– The result: ▫️ Hundreds dead ▫️ Sharaa’s image cracked among armed factions ▫️ Rise in sectarian incitement against the Druze ▫️ Growing international criticism of Sharaa’s coercive integration strategy ▫️ Frustration in Ankara, and hardened distrust from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics azerbaijan syria

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