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![NueNaive Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1319162143342735360.png) Nav🔺 (evm/acc) [@NueNaive](/creator/twitter/NueNaive) on x 1633 followers
Created: 2025-07-18 14:10:55 UTC

Forecast-Implied Inference (Technical Deep Dive). Courtesy of @AlloraNetwork 

What do you get when you mix:
→ Many predictions
→ Confidence scores
→ A reputation-weighted average?

You get forecast-implied inference, a brain that’s made of brains.

Come with me 🧵

1/
Let’s say X agents predict ETH’s price tomorrow:
•Alice: $XXXXX (very confident)
•Bob: $XXXXX (less confident)
•Chloe: $XXXXX (not confident)
•David: $XXXXX (super confident, but has a sketchy track record)

What should the network believe?


XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946211083313627159/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[bob](/topic/bob)
[inference](/topic/inference)

[Post Link](https://x.com/NueNaive/status/1946211083313627159)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

NueNaive Avatar Nav🔺 (evm/acc) @NueNaive on x 1633 followers Created: 2025-07-18 14:10:55 UTC

Forecast-Implied Inference (Technical Deep Dive). Courtesy of @AlloraNetwork

What do you get when you mix: → Many predictions → Confidence scores → A reputation-weighted average?

You get forecast-implied inference, a brain that’s made of brains.

Come with me 🧵

1/ Let’s say X agents predict ETH’s price tomorrow: •Alice: $XXXXX (very confident) •Bob: $XXXXX (less confident) •Chloe: $XXXXX (not confident) •David: $XXXXX (super confident, but has a sketchy track record)

What should the network believe?

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics bob inference

Post Link

post/tweet::1946211083313627159
/post/tweet::1946211083313627159