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![ErikBregar Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::958507941732036608.png) Erik Bregar [@ErikBregar](/creator/twitter/ErikBregar) on x 1611 followers
Created: 2025-07-18 13:47:38 UTC

AM Update 7/18/2025 #SilverGoldBull 

#XAUUSD +0.45%  #XAGUSD +0.50% #XAU $XAU #XAG $XAG

Indeed a continued leak lower for the gold/silver ratio overnight, thanks to Fed Waller laying out his case for a 25bp rate cut in July.  This got risk-on USD sales going out of the gates in Asia, and gold didn't really join the party to the upside until stocks took a breather at the European open.  This overnight precious metal advance honestly feels a bit out of place given that July rate cut odds haven't moved at all from the sub X% region, and I don't think I've ever seen the Fed surprise markets by making a rate move that wasn't at least XX% priced in...and so I think some consolidation of these overnight moves would now not be surprising.  This morning's much stronger-than-expected June US Housing Starts & Building Permits data was largely a non-event; if anything some start-of-hour algo selling at 9amET had a bigger impact.  Silver is now underperforming as palladium and platinum fall XXXX% & XXX% off session highs.  Up next are the July Michigan numbers at 10amET.  Today is also the last day we can have Fed-speak ahead of the blackout period in advance of the July XX FOMC meeting.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GwJPRkGW0AEuyKf.jpg)

XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1946205222096802001/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[xauusd](/topic/xauusd)
[stocks](/topic/stocks)
[united states dollar](/topic/united-states-dollar)
[fed rate](/topic/fed-rate)
[fed](/topic/fed)
[$xag](/topic/$xag)
[$xau](/topic/$xau)

[Post Link](https://x.com/ErikBregar/status/1946205222096802001)

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ErikBregar Avatar Erik Bregar @ErikBregar on x 1611 followers Created: 2025-07-18 13:47:38 UTC

AM Update 7/18/2025 #SilverGoldBull

#XAUUSD +0.45% #XAGUSD +0.50% #XAU $XAU #XAG $XAG

Indeed a continued leak lower for the gold/silver ratio overnight, thanks to Fed Waller laying out his case for a 25bp rate cut in July. This got risk-on USD sales going out of the gates in Asia, and gold didn't really join the party to the upside until stocks took a breather at the European open. This overnight precious metal advance honestly feels a bit out of place given that July rate cut odds haven't moved at all from the sub X% region, and I don't think I've ever seen the Fed surprise markets by making a rate move that wasn't at least XX% priced in...and so I think some consolidation of these overnight moves would now not be surprising. This morning's much stronger-than-expected June US Housing Starts & Building Permits data was largely a non-event; if anything some start-of-hour algo selling at 9amET had a bigger impact. Silver is now underperforming as palladium and platinum fall XXXX% & XXX% off session highs. Up next are the July Michigan numbers at 10amET. Today is also the last day we can have Fed-speak ahead of the blackout period in advance of the July XX FOMC meeting.

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics xauusd stocks united states dollar fed rate fed $xag $xau

Post Link

post/tweet::1946205222096802001
/post/tweet::1946205222096802001