[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Yulia [@YuliaBullion](/creator/twitter/YuliaBullion) on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-17 14:24:30 UTC Key signal Biden clearly guarantees Powell The president publicly stated that it is "highly unlikely" to fire Powell, directly rejecting the pressure from radicals in the party to change the leadership (such as Warren's call for interest rate cuts). Deep intention: to maintain the appearance of the independence of the Federal Reserve during the sensitive period of the election (<4 months before the vote) to avoid causing market panic. ⚡️ Triple game deduction Market expectation management: After Biden's statement, the probability of a rate cut in September increased from XX% to XX% (CME FedWatch), but Powell can correct it by releasing hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole meeting in August. Bottom line of checks and balances: The president has no legal power to remove the chairman of the Federal Reserve (Section XX of the Federal Reserve Act), but can pressure the directors to resign and reorganize the voting committee (3 seats vacant in 2025). Trump's foreshadowing: If the Republicans win, Powell's probability of re-election in 2026 is close to zero (Trump has publicly called him a "political tool"). "Protecting Powell actually protects the election" - Biden uses verbal stability to exchange for short-term market calm, but the inflation-growth contradiction continues to intensify. If there is no interest rate cut in September, the White House may start "informal pressure" (such as blasting high interest rates for hurting jobs), and the independence of the Federal Reserve will face the most severe test since the 1970s. XXX engagements  **Related Topics** [federal reserve](/topic/federal-reserve) [fed rate](/topic/fed-rate) [powell](/topic/powell) [joe biden](/topic/joe-biden) [Post Link](https://x.com/YuliaBullion/status/1945852112291983407)
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Yulia @YuliaBullion on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-17 14:24:30 UTC
Key signal
Biden clearly guarantees Powell
The president publicly stated that it is "highly unlikely" to fire Powell, directly rejecting the pressure from radicals in the party to change the leadership (such as Warren's call for interest rate cuts).
Deep intention: to maintain the appearance of the independence of the Federal Reserve during the sensitive period of the election (<4 months before the vote) to avoid causing market panic.
⚡️ Triple game deduction
Market expectation management: After Biden's statement, the probability of a rate cut in September increased from XX% to XX% (CME FedWatch),
but Powell can correct it by releasing hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole meeting in August.
Bottom line of checks and balances: The president has no legal power to remove the chairman of the Federal Reserve (Section XX of the Federal Reserve Act), but can pressure the directors to resign and reorganize the voting committee (3 seats vacant in 2025).
Trump's foreshadowing: If the Republicans win, Powell's probability of re-election in 2026 is close to zero (Trump has publicly called him a "political tool").
"Protecting Powell actually protects the election" - Biden uses verbal stability to exchange for short-term market calm, but the inflation-growth contradiction continues to intensify.
If there is no interest rate cut in September, the White House may start "informal pressure" (such as blasting high interest rates for hurting jobs), and the independence of the Federal Reserve will face the most severe test since the 1970s.
XXX engagements
Related Topics federal reserve fed rate powell joe biden