[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  Yulia [@YuliaXAUUSD](/creator/twitter/YuliaXAUUSD) on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-17 06:17:32 UTC ⏰ #UK #employment data triple release X. #ILO three-month unemployment rate (May):🧐🧐🧐 - Market expectations: If the unemployment rate is higher than the previous value (such as breaking 4.5%), it indicates that the UK economy is weak, which may strengthen the Bank of England's expectations of a rate cut in August (current probability 77%). The pressure on the pound will push up the US dollar and indirectly suppress gold - Opposite scenario: If the unemployment rate unexpectedly improves (such as below 4.3%), the rebound of the pound may weaken the US dollar, providing short-term upward momentum for gold X. #Number of people applying for unemployment benefits (June): - Importance: High-frequency data reflects real-time changes in the labor market. If the number of applicants surges (such as exceeding expectations by +20,000), it may intensify the market's risk aversion sentiment and directly boost the safe-haven demand for gold. X. Comprehensive impact path: A[weak UK data] --> B[increased expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England] --> C[depreciation of the pound] --> D[passive strengthening of the US dollar] --> E[pressure on gold] A --> F[increased risk aversion sentiment] --> G[direct buying of gold] Key spear: US dollar suppression vs safe-haven demand The worse the data, the more intense the game between the two. If risk aversion dominates, gold may rise against the US dollar (reference July 15, gold prices still closed up XXXX% amid a strong US dollar). #XAUUSD #GOLD XXX engagements  **Related Topics** [bank of](/topic/bank-of) [fed rate](/topic/fed-rate) [gdp growth](/topic/gdp-growth) [Post Link](https://x.com/YuliaXAUUSD/status/1945729564220834148)
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Yulia @YuliaXAUUSD on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-17 06:17:32 UTC
⏰ #UK #employment data triple release X. #ILO three-month unemployment rate (May):🧐🧐🧐
Market expectations: If the unemployment rate is higher than the previous value (such as breaking 4.5%), it indicates that the UK economy is weak, which may strengthen the Bank of England's expectations of a rate cut in August (current probability 77%). The pressure on the pound will push up the US dollar and indirectly suppress gold
Opposite scenario: If the unemployment rate unexpectedly improves (such as below 4.3%), the rebound of the pound may weaken the US dollar, providing short-term upward momentum for gold
X. #Number of people applying for unemployment benefits (June):
- Importance: High-frequency data reflects real-time changes in the labor market.
If the number of applicants surges (such as exceeding expectations by +20,000), it may intensify the market's risk aversion sentiment and directly boost the safe-haven demand for gold.
X. Comprehensive impact path: A[weak UK data] --> B[increased expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England] --> C[depreciation of the pound] --> D[passive strengthening of the US dollar] --> E[pressure on gold]
A --> F[increased risk aversion sentiment] --> G[direct buying of gold]
Key spear: US dollar suppression vs safe-haven demand The worse the data, the more intense the game between the two.
If risk aversion dominates, gold may rise against the US dollar (reference July 15, gold prices still closed up XXXX% amid a strong US dollar). #XAUUSD #GOLD
XXX engagements
Related Topics bank of fed rate gdp growth