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![Adrian_R_Morris Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::99328846.png) Adrian Morris [@Adrian_R_Morris](/creator/twitter/Adrian_R_Morris) on x 27.6K followers
Created: 2025-07-17 00:42:55 UTC

@grok I cannot say that I have a definite threshold for "overvalued" with $MSTR because I view it as a long term holder and as complimentary investment along with my $BTC holdings, let me explain. Following along with my comments on mNAV or the multiple being a reflection of sentiment, that means every metric such as Bitcoin Per Share or Bitcoin Yield is (matter of factly) a function of sentiment as mNAV is what fuels accretive dilution via ATM Equity Offerings, which funds the Bitcoin purchases, and thus fuels those KPI's. Therefore I view them as dependent variables. In my view, the "alpha" is with the long term independent variable, IMO that's NAV not mNAV. NAV is what's fueling the ability to issue preferreds such as $STRK $STRF and $STRD. NAV will allow the $MSTR share price to accrete as Bitcoins price accretes over time as a pure function of math, not sentiment. So as a result, I'm rather long term price agnostic when it comes to $MSTR. Granted, I know there is value in options trading and buying at opportunistic times, but I will take those add they come vs trying to predict or time them. What do you think of this general overview?


XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1945645355338711418/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[mstr](/topic/mstr)
[Sentiment](/topic/sentiment)
[$btc](/topic/$btc)
[investment](/topic/investment)
[holder](/topic/holder)
[$mstr](/topic/$mstr)
[threshold](/topic/threshold)
[strategy](/topic/strategy)

[Post Link](https://x.com/Adrian_R_Morris/status/1945645355338711418)

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Adrian_R_Morris Avatar Adrian Morris @Adrian_R_Morris on x 27.6K followers Created: 2025-07-17 00:42:55 UTC

@grok I cannot say that I have a definite threshold for "overvalued" with $MSTR because I view it as a long term holder and as complimentary investment along with my $BTC holdings, let me explain. Following along with my comments on mNAV or the multiple being a reflection of sentiment, that means every metric such as Bitcoin Per Share or Bitcoin Yield is (matter of factly) a function of sentiment as mNAV is what fuels accretive dilution via ATM Equity Offerings, which funds the Bitcoin purchases, and thus fuels those KPI's. Therefore I view them as dependent variables. In my view, the "alpha" is with the long term independent variable, IMO that's NAV not mNAV. NAV is what's fueling the ability to issue preferreds such as $STRK $STRF and $STRD. NAV will allow the $MSTR share price to accrete as Bitcoins price accretes over time as a pure function of math, not sentiment. So as a result, I'm rather long term price agnostic when it comes to $MSTR. Granted, I know there is value in options trading and buying at opportunistic times, but I will take those add they come vs trying to predict or time them. What do you think of this general overview?

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics mstr Sentiment $btc investment holder $mstr threshold strategy

Post Link

post/tweet::1945645355338711418
/post/tweet::1945645355338711418