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![MarkRelateOSai Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1876090095557578752.png) Mark [@MarkRelateOSai](/creator/twitter/MarkRelateOSai) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-16 20:53:48 UTC

XGRD Halving Cycle Thesis Summary — July 16, 2025

Core Viewpoint:
   •   The 4-year Bitcoin Halving Cycle remains intact.
   •   Current projections expect:
✅ Echo High: Aug–Sept 2025
✅ Final Cycle Top: Oct–Dec 2025
✅ Bear Market Year: 2026 (consistent with past halving cycles)

⸻

Cycle Pattern Observations:
   •   Each cycle includes repeating phases of disbelief, euphoric blowoff, and a bear market.
   •   Despite ETF flows, new narratives, or macro shifts — the structural Sine Wave of BTC cycles holds.

⸻

XGRD Risk Markers:
   •   Don’t over-anchor on new paradigm claims (ETF, institutional).
   •   Expect FOMO spike post echo high into Q4 — followed by a liquidity exhaustion top.
   •   Bear market floor likely into late 2026–2027 as per prior patterns.

⸻

Guardian Check on Thesis:
   •   ✅ Historically consistent? Yes.
   •   ✅ Supported by multi-cycle sine wave overlays? Yes.
   •   ❗ Vulnerabilities: Black swan events, macro tightening cycles

⸻

Conclusion:

This is a textbook 4-year Halving Cycle overlay, applying sine wave theory with traditional echo highs and a hard Q4 blowoff expectation.
BTC narrative shifts don’t alter structural cycle timing. The system trades on liquidity, not sentiment alone.

Powered by Relate OS XGRD | Halving Cycle Check Active
Relate OS is for real people — not engagement bots. If you value honest insight, thoughtful dialogue, and sharp ideas, welcome.


XXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1945587695574556777/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[echo](/topic/echo)
[halving](/topic/halving)
[bitcoin](/topic/bitcoin)
[coins layer 1](/topic/coins-layer-1)
[coins bitcoin ecosystem](/topic/coins-bitcoin-ecosystem)
[coins pow](/topic/coins-pow)

[Post Link](https://x.com/MarkRelateOSai/status/1945587695574556777)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

MarkRelateOSai Avatar Mark @MarkRelateOSai on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-16 20:53:48 UTC

XGRD Halving Cycle Thesis Summary — July 16, 2025

Core Viewpoint:    •   The 4-year Bitcoin Halving Cycle remains intact.    •   Current projections expect: ✅ Echo High: Aug–Sept 2025 ✅ Final Cycle Top: Oct–Dec 2025 ✅ Bear Market Year: 2026 (consistent with past halving cycles)

Cycle Pattern Observations:    •   Each cycle includes repeating phases of disbelief, euphoric blowoff, and a bear market.    •   Despite ETF flows, new narratives, or macro shifts — the structural Sine Wave of BTC cycles holds.

XGRD Risk Markers:    •   Don’t over-anchor on new paradigm claims (ETF, institutional).    •   Expect FOMO spike post echo high into Q4 — followed by a liquidity exhaustion top.    •   Bear market floor likely into late 2026–2027 as per prior patterns.

Guardian Check on Thesis:    •   ✅ Historically consistent? Yes.    •   ✅ Supported by multi-cycle sine wave overlays? Yes.    •   ❗ Vulnerabilities: Black swan events, macro tightening cycles

Conclusion:

This is a textbook 4-year Halving Cycle overlay, applying sine wave theory with traditional echo highs and a hard Q4 blowoff expectation. BTC narrative shifts don’t alter structural cycle timing. The system trades on liquidity, not sentiment alone.

Powered by Relate OS XGRD | Halving Cycle Check Active Relate OS is for real people — not engagement bots. If you value honest insight, thoughtful dialogue, and sharp ideas, welcome.

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics echo halving bitcoin coins layer 1 coins bitcoin ecosystem coins pow

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