[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

![DeFiDyn Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1668174697.png) DeFi Dynamos [@DeFiDyn](/creator/twitter/DeFiDyn) on x 1290 followers
Created: 2025-07-16 16:54:35 UTC

📊 FED RATE WATCH | 2025–2026 OUTLOOK

According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets are currently pricing in a XX% probability that the Fed will hold interest rates at 4.25%–4.50% on July 30, 2025.

However, starting from Q1 2026, rate cut expectations rise significantly.

🔍 Key insights:

•By December 2025, probabilities begin shifting away from rate holds

•From Q2 2026 onward, nearly XX% expect cuts toward 3.5%–4.0%

📉 If this materializes:

1.Risk assets like crypto, equities, and real estate may enter a strong recovery cycle

could rotate out of bonds into higher-yield opportunities

3.Emerging markets and altcoins may benefit substantially from renewed liquidity flows

⏳ This quiet period could just be the calm before the next growth wave. Those who position early in 2025 may reap the gains in 2026.

 #FED #CME #Crypto #BTC #ETH #Altseason #Web3 #TradFi #RWA #DeFi

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gv_m8PCWsAAEl29.jpg)

XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1945527494477844593/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[pricing](/topic/pricing)
[federal reserve](/topic/federal-reserve)
[fed rate](/topic/fed-rate)
[fed](/topic/fed)

[Post Link](https://x.com/DeFiDyn/status/1945527494477844593)