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![Gosshunter_eth Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1528234590518661120.png) Gossip hunter.eth不朽者 [@Gosshunter_eth](/creator/twitter/Gosshunter_eth) on x 4248 followers
Created: 2025-07-16 14:35:42 UTC

🔎 Revaluing $KAITO with the DCF Model – Is the Current Price Justified? Is it true that X kaito=0.44usd?

In the world of crypto, especially in the booming AI-token sector, valuations are often driven more by hype than fundamentals. But for tokens like $KAITO, which are tied to actual revenue-generating products (like AI tools, InfoFi dashboards, and analytics), we can apply a traditional financial model – Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) – to estimate their true intrinsic value.

This article takes a deep dive into revaluing $KAITO using the DCF approach, to determine if the current price is overblown or still reasonable.

🧩 X. Overview of KAITO

$KAITO is the native utility token of an AI-powered InfoFi platform that aggregates and analyzes Web3 data.

The project positions itself as a “Google + ChatGPT” for the crypto world.

It generates revenue from:

AI subscription tools and analytics.

Creator and user incentives (Yap-to-Earn model).

API and B2B services.

Max Supply: X billion

Circulating Supply: ~241 million

Current Price: ~$1.60

Market Cap: ~$385 million

Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): ~$1.6 billion

📈 X. What is Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)?

Goal: Estimate the present-day value of a token based on its future ability to generate cash flows.

✅ Assumptions:

Revenue grows rapidly in the first X years, then levels off.

Profit margin increases with scale.

Discount rate: XX% (due to crypto market risk).

Long-term growth rate post-2029: X% annually

🧮 X. Projected Cash Flows (in million USD):

YearRevenueNet Profit (FCF)

2025$10M$4M
2026$20M$9M
2027$30M$15M
2028$40M$20M
2029$50M$25M

🔸 Discounted back to present value:

PV_{2025-2029} \approx XXXX + XXXX + XXXX + XXXX + XXXX = \boxed{\$35.95M}

🔚 X. Terminal Value (Beyond 2029)

Using the Gordon Growth Model for long-term valuation:

TV = \frac{25 \times 1.05}{0.20 - 0.05} = \$175M

Discounted back to present:

PV_{TV} = \frac{175}{(1.2)^5} \approx \boxed{\$70.28M}

📌 X. Final Valuation of $KAITO

\text{Total Valuation (NPV)} = XXXXX + XXXXX = \boxed{\$106.23M}

With XXX million tokens circulating:

\text{Fair Price per Token} = \frac{106.23M}{241M} \approx \boxed{\$0.44}

⚖️ X. Comparing with Market Price

MetricValue

DCF Fair Value~$0.44
Market Price~$1.60
Premium~3.6x higher

This suggests the market is pricing in a massive growth premium – likely due to:

Strong community and user growth expectations

Binance listing and early exchange traction

Speculative capital riding the AI + Web3 narrative

✅ X. Final Verdict

Based on DCF, the true long-term value of $KAITO is around $XXXX under conservative revenue projections.

The current market price (~$1.60) is 3–4x higher, reflecting heavy speculation and bullish expectations.

Long-term holders should monitor:

Real user growth & AI adoption

Revenue updates from the team

Token unlocks & inflation pressure

Short-term traders may ride the hype waves, but should be cautious above $2–$3 if fundamentals don’t catch up.

#TokenValuation #CryptoDCF #Web3Fundamentals #KAITOanalysis #AIinCrypto #CryptoResearch

@KaitoAI
@Bybit_Official
@xStocksFi

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**Related Topics**
[coins ai](/topic/coins-ai)
[world of](/topic/world-of)
[$kaito](/topic/$kaito)
[coins base ecosystem](/topic/coins-base-ecosystem)
[coins analytics](/topic/coins-analytics)

[Post Link](https://x.com/Gosshunter_eth/status/1945492544907096564)