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![apralky Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1700977169177206784.png) yung macro 年轻的宏观 [@apralky](/creator/twitter/apralky) on x 5863 followers
Created: 2025-07-13 16:24:49 UTC

one important lesson that every powermaxxer learns sooner or later (sooner if they read my posts) is that the guy you kingmake will stop picking up your calls once he’s got the crown

when techright helped MAGA come to power my first metareading was that they needed to be wary of this dynamic

the example I liked to use came from the infinitely rich & pertinent case of the great George Soros -- Soros made Obama, but Obama stopped answering his calls after he got the POTUS seat (with Soros’ funding)

history is rife with instances of this dynamic: Yeltsin & Putin in Russia, Jobs & Sculley at Apple, and many more.

there’s also many that successfully kingmake and never lose control, such as the famous case of Deng Xiaoping in China, who maintained utmost authority despite Jiang Zemin being formally appointed at the top spot under his supervision

to ensure successful puppeteering, the kingmaker must tick as many of these boxes as possible:
> the guy you’re kingmaking is a dead player, he doesn’t have the psychology to deflect
> the guy you’re kingmaking is not actually ambitious, he doesn’t have the desire to deflect (notable example of this is Kissinger puppeteering Nixon -- the latter simply didn’t care about foreign policy enough not to defer to Henry, he saw it as a way of avoiding the burden of homework)
> the guy you’re kingmaking is less popular and less loved than you by the general public and/or his direct line of command
> you hold terminal kompromat on the guy you're kingmaking
> the guy you're kingmaking heads one of two equally powerful rival factions between which you can triangulate a balance of power (you’re a de-facto coalition tiebreaker) (Mao was the master of this)

clearly none of these apply to the case of MAGA -- Trump is an ambitious live player who is incredibly charismatic and popular, is immune to kompromat (which has basically been farmed to the bone by the dems anyway), and his rival faction is completely defeated and at its nadir of relevance

hence we can deduce that DJT stopped picking up Silicon Valley’s calls, which is the one variable that’s upstream of the recent rift.
everything else is downstream and fodder. 

this is why it feels highly unlikely for Elon to be alone in his disillusionment, and why I would guess e.g. JD also doesn’t pick up Thiel’s calls in any meaningful capacity (though my upstream guess would be that Thiel hasn’t made any such calls in fear of them not being picked up)

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GvwCJBJXMAA8SM8.png)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1944432838230540400/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[maga](/topic/maga)
[macro](/topic/macro)

[Post Link](https://x.com/apralky/status/1944432838230540400)

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apralky Avatar yung macro 年轻的宏观 @apralky on x 5863 followers Created: 2025-07-13 16:24:49 UTC

one important lesson that every powermaxxer learns sooner or later (sooner if they read my posts) is that the guy you kingmake will stop picking up your calls once he’s got the crown

when techright helped MAGA come to power my first metareading was that they needed to be wary of this dynamic

the example I liked to use came from the infinitely rich & pertinent case of the great George Soros -- Soros made Obama, but Obama stopped answering his calls after he got the POTUS seat (with Soros’ funding)

history is rife with instances of this dynamic: Yeltsin & Putin in Russia, Jobs & Sculley at Apple, and many more.

there’s also many that successfully kingmake and never lose control, such as the famous case of Deng Xiaoping in China, who maintained utmost authority despite Jiang Zemin being formally appointed at the top spot under his supervision

to ensure successful puppeteering, the kingmaker must tick as many of these boxes as possible:

the guy you’re kingmaking is a dead player, he doesn’t have the psychology to deflect the guy you’re kingmaking is not actually ambitious, he doesn’t have the desire to deflect (notable example of this is Kissinger puppeteering Nixon -- the latter simply didn’t care about foreign policy enough not to defer to Henry, he saw it as a way of avoiding the burden of homework) the guy you’re kingmaking is less popular and less loved than you by the general public and/or his direct line of command you hold terminal kompromat on the guy you're kingmaking the guy you're kingmaking heads one of two equally powerful rival factions between which you can triangulate a balance of power (you’re a de-facto coalition tiebreaker) (Mao was the master of this)

clearly none of these apply to the case of MAGA -- Trump is an ambitious live player who is incredibly charismatic and popular, is immune to kompromat (which has basically been farmed to the bone by the dems anyway), and his rival faction is completely defeated and at its nadir of relevance

hence we can deduce that DJT stopped picking up Silicon Valley’s calls, which is the one variable that’s upstream of the recent rift. everything else is downstream and fodder.

this is why it feels highly unlikely for Elon to be alone in his disillusionment, and why I would guess e.g. JD also doesn’t pick up Thiel’s calls in any meaningful capacity (though my upstream guess would be that Thiel hasn’t made any such calls in fear of them not being picked up)

XXXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics maga macro

Post Link

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