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![paulg Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::183749519.png) Paul Graham [@paulg](/creator/twitter/paulg) on x 2M followers
Created: 2025-07-13 15:52:42 UTC

@mattyglesias In practice it's only possible when all your wealth is due to a single decision. If you have to get multiple 50/50 bets right, the chance of winning by luck is 1/2^n, which approaches zero very rapidly.


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