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![Sysyx63 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1760747550624133120.png) Sylvain Roche [@Sysyx63](/creator/twitter/Sysyx63) on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-13 10:07:55 UTC

DOLLAR ON THE SCALES: HOW GREENBACK SWINGS EM RETURNS βš–οΈπŸ’Ή

US dollar weakens? Emerging-market (EM) assets often sprint. Buck strengthens? EMs put on the brakes. In 2025 the DXY has slipped ~10 %, while the broad EM equity ETF $EEM is up over XX %β€”a classic inverse tango. πŸ•Ί

πŸ” Why the greenback matters

Dollar-denominated debt – Sovereigns and corporates across Brazil, India or Indonesia borrow in USD. A stronger buck inflates interest bills; a softer one eases the load.

Capital flows – When the dollar loses altitude, Treasuries look less shiny and money hunts higher yields in SΓ£o Paulo or Mumbai.

Commodity pricing – Oil, copper, soy all trade in USD. A cheaper dollar means fatter local-currency receipts for exporters.

History rhymes – 2022: dollar +8 % β‡’ EM equities –20 %. 2025 YTD: dollar –10 % β‡’ EM equities +13 %. The pattern repeats.

πŸ“Š Key 2025 numbers (YTD)
β€’ DXY –9.8 %
β€’ $EEM +13.1 %
β€’ Brazilian real +13 % vs USD
β€’ Five-year USD/EM correlation β‰ˆ –0.40
πŸ’‘ Playbook in plain English
Target 15-30 % EM exposure via $EEM or $VWO as a diversifier.
Watch the DXY sub-100 zoneβ€”historically a launchpad for EM rallies.
Rebalance yearly: if the buck roars back, trim EM, lock gains, sleep tight. 😴

πŸ‘‰ Smash Like, drop your favorite EM ticker for a lightning review, Follow, and Copy my portfolio from $X XXX (DCA switched on) to let compounding do its thing! πŸš€

#Investing #EmergingMarkets #Forex #LongTerm #Trading $EEM $VWO $UUP

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GvutFARXsAAQVqA.jpg)

XXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1944337990433530313/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[indonesia](/topic/indonesia)
[india](/topic/india)
[brazil](/topic/brazil)
[debt](/topic/debt)
[tango](/topic/tango)
[$eem](/topic/$eem)
[fund manager](/topic/fund-manager)
[money](/topic/money)

[Post Link](https://x.com/Sysyx63/status/1944337990433530313)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

Sysyx63 Avatar Sylvain Roche @Sysyx63 on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-13 10:07:55 UTC

DOLLAR ON THE SCALES: HOW GREENBACK SWINGS EM RETURNS βš–οΈπŸ’Ή

US dollar weakens? Emerging-market (EM) assets often sprint. Buck strengthens? EMs put on the brakes. In 2025 the DXY has slipped ~10 %, while the broad EM equity ETF $EEM is up over XX %β€”a classic inverse tango. πŸ•Ί

πŸ” Why the greenback matters

Dollar-denominated debt – Sovereigns and corporates across Brazil, India or Indonesia borrow in USD. A stronger buck inflates interest bills; a softer one eases the load.

Capital flows – When the dollar loses altitude, Treasuries look less shiny and money hunts higher yields in SΓ£o Paulo or Mumbai.

Commodity pricing – Oil, copper, soy all trade in USD. A cheaper dollar means fatter local-currency receipts for exporters.

History rhymes – 2022: dollar +8 % β‡’ EM equities –20 %. 2025 YTD: dollar –10 % β‡’ EM equities +13 %. The pattern repeats.

πŸ“Š Key 2025 numbers (YTD) β€’ DXY –9.8 % β€’ $EEM +13.1 % β€’ Brazilian real +13 % vs USD β€’ Five-year USD/EM correlation β‰ˆ –0.40 πŸ’‘ Playbook in plain English Target 15-30 % EM exposure via $EEM or $VWO as a diversifier. Watch the DXY sub-100 zoneβ€”historically a launchpad for EM rallies. Rebalance yearly: if the buck roars back, trim EM, lock gains, sleep tight. 😴

πŸ‘‰ Smash Like, drop your favorite EM ticker for a lightning review, Follow, and Copy my portfolio from $X XXX (DCA switched on) to let compounding do its thing! πŸš€

#Investing #EmergingMarkets #Forex #LongTerm #Trading $EEM $VWO $UUP

XXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics indonesia india brazil debt tango $eem fund manager money

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