[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  LordPos3idon [@LordPos3idon](/creator/twitter/LordPos3idon) on x XXX followers Created: 2025-07-10 22:57:29 UTC $SPX $NQ $BTC $VIX $WTI $BRENT $GDX $GC $GLD Probably should have looked at BTC positioning data to see that $115k was key level but I don’t trade BTC, I use it as a signal. Still this move confirms the underlying dynamics occurring in the market, manufactured vol. suppression, with phantom liquidity pumping momentum to try to keep it alive. BTC X% above my high target, but if BTC goes back down to 105kish, was I wrong? Idk, I don’t think so. There are dudes on here who are promoting their longs who almost got wiped out or who definitely had SLs hit multiple times before their long played out. Dudes were touting the BTC long trade since May, and claiming they nailed it. How quickly they forgot about the difficulty of holding the long trade from late May to late June. But I study all and I don’t subscribe to revisionist history & I don’t run when my takes seem to be flirting with wrong. BTC had two $10k swings between May XX and around June 20ish. I’m sure their stop losses weren’t hit. But today, here they are taking victory laps. I’m not talking about the long term investors/Hodlers but specifically the traders right now, the cohort who my tactical calls benefit the most. My overall tactical call was for •longer term/hodler investors to take a vacation •for investors who missed June trough to wait for coming Buy the Dip opportunity, •and for traders who were long, to watch for $113k level and start thinking about taking some profit & shorting The dumb investors who missed the trough are chasing right here, you are seeing fast dumb money right now, that’s why BTC is overshooting, but the faster it rises, the faster it falls. Investors who missed the trough but didn’t chase BTC here will thank me once they see the dip I’ve been warning about, & thankful they didn’t rush in and join the rest of the lamb into the slaughter house. Traders who may have sold at $113k missed out on X% more, but if a 12-18% down move occurs after, wasn’t it worth it, wasn’t it prudent? And investors who took a vaca, aren’t you having a great time in the sun? Investors who missed the trough and are still on the sidelines are feeling fomo, they jumped it right when they shouldn’t have, the ones who missed the trough must feel like idiots, but the sober one often feels left out when he sees everyone else is drunk. Your time is coming, be patient And for context, I said go full long after the Iran/Israel June selloff, and only started flagging the risk & portending the coming down move in risk assets, last Friday, after reviewing the momentum unwinds that were occurring under the surface in that week. My takes may be layered but they are explicit. And my timeline shows all. I make sure to define the binary outcomes in my takes, so I have no wiggle room for being wishy washy, I’m either right or wrong. I gave two path for the selloff, a catalyst happens in Middle east (oil negatively correlating with BTC is not worrying right? RIGHT?) and we selloff before OPEX, or we grind higher and unclench after OPEX. Two paths to the same end. So as always, we shall see🫣  XXX engagements  **Related Topics** [$113k](/topic/$113k) [spx](/topic/spx) [$tlt](/topic/$tlt) [momentum](/topic/momentum) [phantom](/topic/phantom) [$115k](/topic/$115k) [btc 2](/topic/btc-2) [$gld](/topic/$gld) [Post Link](https://x.com/LordPos3idon/status/1943444492952178956)
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LordPos3idon @LordPos3idon on x XXX followers
Created: 2025-07-10 22:57:29 UTC
$SPX $NQ $BTC $VIX $WTI $BRENT $GDX $GC $GLD
Probably should have looked at BTC positioning data to see that $115k was key level but I don’t trade BTC, I use it as a signal. Still this move confirms the underlying dynamics occurring in the market, manufactured vol. suppression, with phantom liquidity pumping momentum to try to keep it alive. BTC X% above my high target, but if BTC goes back down to 105kish, was I wrong? Idk, I don’t think so. There are dudes on here who are promoting their longs who almost got wiped out or who definitely had SLs hit multiple times before their long played out. Dudes were touting the BTC long trade since May, and claiming they nailed it.
How quickly they forgot about the difficulty of holding the long trade from late May to late June. But I study all and I don’t subscribe to revisionist history & I don’t run when my takes seem to be flirting with wrong. BTC had two $10k swings between May XX and around June 20ish. I’m sure their stop losses weren’t hit. But today, here they are taking victory laps. I’m not talking about the long term investors/Hodlers but specifically the traders right now, the cohort who my tactical calls benefit the most.
My overall tactical call was for •longer term/hodler investors to take a vacation •for investors who missed June trough to wait for coming Buy the Dip opportunity, •and for traders who were long, to watch for $113k level and start thinking about taking some profit & shorting
The dumb investors who missed the trough are chasing right here, you are seeing fast dumb money right now, that’s why BTC is overshooting, but the faster it rises, the faster it falls. Investors who missed the trough but didn’t chase BTC here will thank me once they see the dip I’ve been warning about, & thankful they didn’t rush in and join the rest of the lamb into the slaughter house. Traders who may have sold at $113k missed out on X% more, but if a 12-18% down move occurs after, wasn’t it worth it, wasn’t it prudent?
And investors who took a vaca, aren’t you having a great time in the sun? Investors who missed the trough and are still on the sidelines are feeling fomo, they jumped it right when they shouldn’t have, the ones who missed the trough must feel like idiots, but the sober one often feels left out when he sees everyone else is drunk. Your time is coming, be patient
And for context, I said go full long after the Iran/Israel June selloff, and only started flagging the risk & portending the coming down move in risk assets, last Friday, after reviewing the momentum unwinds that were occurring under the surface in that week. My takes may be layered but they are explicit. And my timeline shows all. I make sure to define the binary outcomes in my takes, so I have no wiggle room for being wishy washy, I’m either right or wrong.
I gave two path for the selloff, a catalyst happens in Middle east (oil negatively correlating with BTC is not worrying right? RIGHT?) and we selloff before OPEX, or we grind higher and unclench after OPEX. Two paths to the same end. So as always, we shall see🫣
XXX engagements
Related Topics $113k spx $tlt momentum phantom $115k btc 2 $gld