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![Andre_Dragosch Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::757546828497911808.png) Andrรฉ Dragosch, PhDโšก [@Andre_Dragosch](/creator/twitter/Andre_Dragosch) on x 24.2K followers
Created: 2025-07-02 15:45:00 UTC

Almost every CEO tries to maximize $BTC Yield nowadays but...

$๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฌ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ #๐—•๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—บ๐˜† ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„.

Let me explain why โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡

$BTC Yield & $BTC per Share are calculated based on common equity issued by the respective company.

The formula is as follows:

๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฌ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ = ฮ” (๐—•๐—ง๐—–-๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ-๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ)

However, major companies like $MSTR have pivoted away from issuing common equity to issuing hybrid capital like perpetual preferred equity.

Note: although $MSTR does not dilute common equity shareholders, the claims on the underlying $BTC holdings are still rising.

These securities are collateralized with those $BTC holdings as well. Converts & perpetual preferred equity  have a more senior claim on $BTC holdings in case of default than common equity shareholders etc...

Issuing non-common equity securities to acquire more #bitcoins creates the impression that $BTC-per-share is rising as $BTC holdings are rising while the supply of common equity stays constant.

However, claims on underlying $BTC are still rising as well.

๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด

A more encompassing metric to assess the aggregate claims on the underlying $BTC holdings than just $BTC-per-share is to look at all outstanding debt & other hybrid capital instruments that ultimately securitize the underlying $BTC.

In the context of $MSTR, these include:

$BTC Rating can help you gauge how much higher the #bitcoin NAV of these holdings are relative to the company's liabilities. 

$BTC Rating is defined as followed:

๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด = (๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—— ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ / ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜ & ๐—ต๐˜†๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€)

$BTC Rating across different BTCTCs (per Q1 2025):

$MTPLF XXXX
$MSTR XXX
$SMLR XXX

Logic: You should generally favour those companies with a relatively higher $BTC Rating. They give you a larger buffer in case of #bitcoin price drawdowns. 

In addition, the delta of the $BTC Rating can be utilised in combination with $BTC Yield to assess whether a company is really managing to maximize $BTC holdings relative to underlying claims or whether it is just increasing claims on its $BTC holdings AT THE potential future EXPENSE of common equity shareholders.

Consider the following $BTC Yields: (QoQ%, per Q1 2025):

$MTPLF +81%
$MSTR +11%
$SMLR +15%

Compare these to the change in $BTC Rating over the same time period:

Change in $BTC Rating (per Q1 2025):
$MTPLF +409%
$MSTR -XX%
$SMLR -infinity

In other words, Strategy increased $BTC-per-Share at the expense of rising liabilities on these bitcoins.  
Meanwhile, Metaplanet managed to increase their $BTC-per-Share while also reducing their liabilities!

It is no surprise that the better execution of Metaplanet is reflected in their strong outperformance against its peers. 

A rough rule-of-thumb over any time frame could be:

1โƒฃ $BTC Yield < -delta $BTC Rating = โ€žinefficient use of capitalโ€œ

2โƒฃ $BTC Yield >= -delta $BTC Rating = "liability-neutral increase in shareholder value"

Note that common equity shareholders have the lowest seniority in the capital structure and are exposed the most risk with a falling $BTC Rating.

Also note that $BTC Rating can fluctuate significantly with the varying performance of #bitcoin. Nonetheless, more efficient usage of funds and the underlying bitcoins - via lending, options writing etc - will clearly be reflected in higher $BTC Yield and higher $BTC Rating over time. 

Remember: It's not an art to increase debt and other non-common equity liabilities to acquire more #bitcoins to maximize $BTC Yield. 

The efficient use of capital is what separates the wheat from the chaff. 

I am convinced that those BTCTCs will do well during the next bear market and beyond that combine ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป (maximize $BTC Yield) with ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜€๐—บ (maximize $BTC Rating). 

BTCTCs can be a great investment. But you should know your risks and know what you own. 

BTCTCs are significantly more risky than direct #bitcoin investments and are a complete different asset class. As always DYOR. NFA. 

Hope you found these insights helpful.

Follow me ๐Ÿ‘‰ @Andre_Dragosch for more institutional #bitcoin & #macro insights.

Stay humble and stack Sats,
Andrรฉ

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Andre_Dragosch Avatar Andrรฉ Dragosch, PhDโšก @Andre_Dragosch on x 24.2K followers Created: 2025-07-02 15:45:00 UTC

Almost every CEO tries to maximize $BTC Yield nowadays but...

$๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฌ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ #๐—•๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—บ๐˜† ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„.

Let me explain why โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡

$BTC Yield & $BTC per Share are calculated based on common equity issued by the respective company.

The formula is as follows:

๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฌ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ = ฮ” (๐—•๐—ง๐—–-๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ-๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ)

However, major companies like $MSTR have pivoted away from issuing common equity to issuing hybrid capital like perpetual preferred equity.

Note: although $MSTR does not dilute common equity shareholders, the claims on the underlying $BTC holdings are still rising.

These securities are collateralized with those $BTC holdings as well. Converts & perpetual preferred equity have a more senior claim on $BTC holdings in case of default than common equity shareholders etc...

Issuing non-common equity securities to acquire more #bitcoins creates the impression that $BTC-per-share is rising as $BTC holdings are rising while the supply of common equity stays constant.

However, claims on underlying $BTC are still rising as well.

๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด

A more encompassing metric to assess the aggregate claims on the underlying $BTC holdings than just $BTC-per-share is to look at all outstanding debt & other hybrid capital instruments that ultimately securitize the underlying $BTC.

In the context of $MSTR, these include:

$BTC Rating can help you gauge how much higher the #bitcoin NAV of these holdings are relative to the company's liabilities.

$BTC Rating is defined as followed:

๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด = (๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—— ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—•๐—ง๐—– ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ / ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜ & ๐—ต๐˜†๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€)

$BTC Rating across different BTCTCs (per Q1 2025):

$MTPLF XXXX $MSTR XXX $SMLR XXX

Logic: You should generally favour those companies with a relatively higher $BTC Rating. They give you a larger buffer in case of #bitcoin price drawdowns.

In addition, the delta of the $BTC Rating can be utilised in combination with $BTC Yield to assess whether a company is really managing to maximize $BTC holdings relative to underlying claims or whether it is just increasing claims on its $BTC holdings AT THE potential future EXPENSE of common equity shareholders.

Consider the following $BTC Yields: (QoQ%, per Q1 2025):

$MTPLF +81% $MSTR +11% $SMLR +15%

Compare these to the change in $BTC Rating over the same time period:

Change in $BTC Rating (per Q1 2025): $MTPLF +409% $MSTR -XX% $SMLR -infinity

In other words, Strategy increased $BTC-per-Share at the expense of rising liabilities on these bitcoins.
Meanwhile, Metaplanet managed to increase their $BTC-per-Share while also reducing their liabilities!

It is no surprise that the better execution of Metaplanet is reflected in their strong outperformance against its peers.

A rough rule-of-thumb over any time frame could be:

1โƒฃ $BTC Yield < -delta $BTC Rating = โ€žinefficient use of capitalโ€œ

2โƒฃ $BTC Yield >= -delta $BTC Rating = "liability-neutral increase in shareholder value"

Note that common equity shareholders have the lowest seniority in the capital structure and are exposed the most risk with a falling $BTC Rating.

Also note that $BTC Rating can fluctuate significantly with the varying performance of #bitcoin. Nonetheless, more efficient usage of funds and the underlying bitcoins - via lending, options writing etc - will clearly be reflected in higher $BTC Yield and higher $BTC Rating over time.

Remember: It's not an art to increase debt and other non-common equity liabilities to acquire more #bitcoins to maximize $BTC Yield.

The efficient use of capital is what separates the wheat from the chaff.

I am convinced that those BTCTCs will do well during the next bear market and beyond that combine ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป (maximize $BTC Yield) with ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜€๐—บ (maximize $BTC Rating).

BTCTCs can be a great investment. But you should know your risks and know what you own.

BTCTCs are significantly more risky than direct #bitcoin investments and are a complete different asset class. As always DYOR. NFA.

Hope you found these insights helpful.

Follow me ๐Ÿ‘‰ @Andre_Dragosch for more institutional #bitcoin & #macro insights.

Stay humble and stack Sats, Andrรฉ

XXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics $btc andr bitcoin coins layer 1 coins bitcoin ecosystem coins pow

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