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![SayNoToTrading Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1880059139419959296.png) Say No To Trading [@SayNoToTrading](/creator/twitter/SayNoToTrading) on x 6262 followers
Created: 2025-07-01 21:47:32 UTC

Why is Centene $CNC, Oscar Health $OSCR, and Molina Healthcare $MOH down afterhours? 

Centene withdrew 2025 GAAP and adjusted diluted EPS guidance.

Health Insurance Marketplace Challenges:
• Wakely Consultants data (22 of XX states, XX% of membership) showed lower market growth and higher morbidity.
• $XXX billion net risk adjustment revenue reduction, ~$2.75 EPS impact.
• Additional reductions expected for remaining seven states.
• Refiling 2026 Marketplace rates to address these issues.

Medicaid Operations:
• Rising costs in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs (e.g., New York, Florida).
• Q2 2025 Medicaid Health Benefits Ratio expected to exceed Q1.

Positive Areas:
• Medicare Advantage and Prescription Drug Plan businesses outperforming expectations.
• Strong expense management.
 
More details to be shared on July XX.

With valuations and types of exposure going into this, I would be most concerned with $MOH (down ~11% now).

$OSCR (also down 11%) has potential double risks due to recent run-up in share price.

$CNC (down 24%) is at 9-10x earnings for current year after adjusting for EPS impact.


XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1940165401247388046/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[marketplace](/topic/marketplace)
[insurance](/topic/insurance)
[$moh](/topic/$moh)
[coins healthcare](/topic/coins-healthcare)
[oscar](/topic/oscar)
[$cnc](/topic/$cnc)
[stocks healthcare](/topic/stocks-healthcare)
[$oscr](/topic/$oscr)

[Post Link](https://x.com/SayNoToTrading/status/1940165401247388046)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

SayNoToTrading Avatar Say No To Trading @SayNoToTrading on x 6262 followers Created: 2025-07-01 21:47:32 UTC

Why is Centene $CNC, Oscar Health $OSCR, and Molina Healthcare $MOH down afterhours?

Centene withdrew 2025 GAAP and adjusted diluted EPS guidance.

Health Insurance Marketplace Challenges: • Wakely Consultants data (22 of XX states, XX% of membership) showed lower market growth and higher morbidity. • $XXX billion net risk adjustment revenue reduction, ~$2.75 EPS impact. • Additional reductions expected for remaining seven states. • Refiling 2026 Marketplace rates to address these issues.

Medicaid Operations: • Rising costs in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs (e.g., New York, Florida). • Q2 2025 Medicaid Health Benefits Ratio expected to exceed Q1.

Positive Areas: • Medicare Advantage and Prescription Drug Plan businesses outperforming expectations. • Strong expense management.

More details to be shared on July XX.

With valuations and types of exposure going into this, I would be most concerned with $MOH (down ~11% now).

$OSCR (also down 11%) has potential double risks due to recent run-up in share price.

$CNC (down 24%) is at 9-10x earnings for current year after adjusting for EPS impact.

XXXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics marketplace insurance $moh coins healthcare oscar $cnc stocks healthcare $oscr

Post Link

post/tweet::1940165401247388046
/post/tweet::1940165401247388046