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![RnaudBertrand Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::43061739.png) Arnaud Bertrand [@RnaudBertrand](/creator/twitter/RnaudBertrand) on x 338.8K followers
Created: 2025-07-01 06:05:22 UTC

This is undoubtedly one of the most thoughtful analyses of the Iran-Israel war that I've heard to date.

This is Jacques Sapir (@russeurope), easily one of the most interesting economists and geopolitical analysts in France. He's director of studies at École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) in Paris, as well as a member of the very prestigious Russian Academy of Sciences.

Sapir's analysis is long and detailed so I've written an article laying it out in full, but in short his argument is that Israel’s pursuit of tactical military victories has led to a strategic defeat of the ideological project of Zionism.

Essentially, in their refusal to cede any meaningful sovereignty to the Palestinian people native to the land, Israel has now paradoxically put itself in a strategic place where it's ended up surrendering almost most of its sovereignty to a country halfway around the world - the US - in ways that could severely backfire. And that constitutes the strategic defeat of the core ideological project of Zionism, a contradiction that may have profound and lasting strategic consequences for Israel's future.

Link to the article in the next tweet

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/amplify_video_thumb/1939925314341093376/img/ZDh0x4wtkxtonaJS.jpg)

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