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![cas_abbe Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1242073759735058432.png) Cas Abbé [@cas_abbe](/creator/twitter/cas_abbe) on x 97.8K followers
Created: 2025-06-22 08:22:43 UTC

This is my worst case scenario for $BTC.

A dump towards $93K-$94K before bottom formation and reversal.

There's a 20%-25% chance of this happening.

And what could trigger this?

In April 2025, Trump announced reciprocal tariffs and the market crashed.

Most people thought it was the bottom but BTC actually bottomed X days after it.

Today, the US got involved in the Middle East situation and most people are expecting it to be a bottom.

But what if April 2025 repeats again?

In that case, BTC could dump 7%-8% more before bottom formation.

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GuCLm72aYAAXDoI.jpg)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1936701369429467284/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[middle east](/topic/middle-east)
[tariffs](/topic/tariffs)
[donald trump](/topic/donald-trump)
[reversal](/topic/reversal)
[$94k](/topic/$94k)
[$93k](/topic/$93k)
[dump](/topic/dump)
[$btc](/topic/$btc)

[Post Link](https://x.com/cas_abbe/status/1936701369429467284)