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![SethCL Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::568403097.png) Seth Golden [@SethCL](/creator/twitter/SethCL) on x 56.3K followers
Created: 2025-06-18 13:00:22 UTC

The XX% loss threshold is an interesting one, because a decline of that size has had a roughly XX% chance of devolving into a cyclical bear market. If the 2-mon forward recovery was greater than 10%, there was never a lower price 3, 6, 12-mon forward, NEVER!

$SPX $SPY $ES_F $NYA $IWM $VOO $VIX $QQQ $NDX

![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gtuk0dwWkAAx35m.jpg)

XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1935321690768040319/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[qqq](/topic/qqq)
[vix](/topic/vix)
[spy](/topic/spy)
[spx](/topic/spx)
[$ndx](/topic/$ndx)
[$qqq](/topic/$qqq)
[$vix](/topic/$vix)
[$voo](/topic/$voo)

[Post Link](https://x.com/SethCL/status/1935321690768040319)