[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

![puppyeh1 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::2841267029.png) Jeremy Raper [@puppyeh1](/creator/twitter/puppyeh1) on x 48.9K followers
Created: 2025-06-18 02:26:21 UTC

$MYX.AX scheme approved. No surprise other than that Cosette chose not to settle pre-vote (thus locking in $XXX upside case imo). Interestingly Cosette also agreed to continue to progress the FIRB process (despite still claiming the MAC).

So basically we now get a NSW Court to rule on a MAC (mid-Sept) and get $XXX if no MAC or say $X if deal breaks. 

Ie market is saying close % prob at current $XXX is around 38%. Irrespective of the specifics of this case, MAC litigation merger closure rates is something like XX% 🤔

There is no new info here. Market is simply unwilling to price this (for now) anywhere near the true closure odds (I reckon north of XX% with what we know, call it XX% to allow for unknowns). 

DYODD


XXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1935162134733971544/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[$metnz](/topic/$metnz)
[$myxax](/topic/$myxax)

[Post Link](https://x.com/puppyeh1/status/1935162134733971544)