[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

![vaneck_us Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::432752273.png) VanEck [@vaneck_us](/creator/twitter/vaneck_us) on x 107.7K followers
Created: 2025-02-06 17:53:27 UTC

Our Solana Price Target by the End of 2025 is $XXX

We value Solana (SOL) based on its projected year-end market share within the smart contract platform (SCP) market. Our SCP market cap forecast is derived from U.S. M2 money supply growth, given its strong historical correlation with crypto market capitalization.

We project M2 to reach $22.3T by the end of 2025, maintaining its XXX% annualized growth rate since its last trough in October 2023. Using regression analysis, we estimate total SCP market capitalization will grow XX% to $1.1T by year-end 2025 (vs. $770B today), surpassing its 2021 peak of $989B. Historical data shows a strong correlation between M2 and SCP market cap, with a 12-month moving average R² of XXXX and a t-statistic of XXX (p < 0.0001).

Currently, Solana holds XX% of SCP market cap, but we forecast its share to rise to XX% by EOY 2025. This projection is supported by Solana’s developer dominance, increasing market share in DEX volumes, revenues, and active users. Using an autoregressive (AR) forecast model, we estimate Solana’s market cap will reach ~$250B, implying a SOL price of $XXX based on ~486M floating tokens.

@Matthew_Sigel @Patrick_Bush_VE


XXXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1887560252117426452/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[$223tby](/topic/$223tby)
[central bank actions](/topic/central-bank-actions)
[money](/topic/money)
[market cap](/topic/market-cap)
[sol](/topic/sol)
[solana](/topic/solana)
[coins layer 1](/topic/coins-layer-1)
[coins defi](/topic/coins-defi)

[Post Link](https://x.com/vaneck_us/status/1887560252117426452)