[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]  :) [@smileycapital](/creator/twitter/smileycapital) on x 70.5K followers Created: 2025-01-24 15:47:27 UTC my positioning, I guess I rarely talk about it, some suggestions, overall thoughts about the market for 2025; - I'm still 90%+ exposed to crypto, recently rotated more into beta [altcoins], nothing has changed since January 2023 exposure % wise, apart from paying myself monthly and occasional minor cashouts into other investment vehicles IRL - I am heavily convinced the meat of the move for most altcoins has NOT come yet and is right around the corner; I do think meat of the move for BTC will soon be in, 15k -> 108k is quite a lot, don't think we see more than a 50-75% increase from here; likely one more push before we reach distribution stage that could last for a year [with obviously heightened volatility] - However, last ~30 days I've been changing my approach to increase my rotating/trading % by quite a significant margin; I do not think every altcoin will pump, I do think short/medium term rotations are crucial part of every crypto investor, I do think you have to adapt or be left behind; even BTC<>ETH<>SOL. don't be stuck in losing coins, some of them will barely pump, some of them will perform as good [or should I say as bad?] as ETH or SOL and you will be disappointed for being a stubborn cult-member [looking at you, WIF cultists] - SOL outperforms ETH, ETH outperforms BTC, they both go way above previous ATHs, ETH 7k minimum, at 120-140k BTC I will actively look for weakness to plan my exits; remember, I've been all-in since 20k in January 2023! - I think AI hasn't topped and will be the #1 performing sector this year, I also think memes will give AI run for its money, performance-wise [however, severe dillution makes it much harder for average investors to pick winners]. in the end I think top memes will be higher MC than top AI, but AI as a sector will likely be around the same levels as memetics, if not higher. - Runner ups; RWA, 'American' tokens [Defi, L1], I would also keep an eye on Chinese/Asian tokens in these specific categories [especially Defi and AI] as China will likely try to catch up with USA - they're not going down without a fight - I think we get fruitful February-May, slightly boring summer with narratives/metas popping up, NFTs, probable corrections and beginning of euthanasia rollercoaster for most altcoins, I'll be looking to de-risk before summer A LOT if we get that, Q4 I'd look to put some risk back on for the final leg, whatever that looks like - Obviously from positioning you can tell I'm still very bullish; if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, I lose a lot of money, give back a lot of uPNL, alas I'd still be miles ahead of 2021 Smiley even if I -XX% from here, so overall it would still be immense personal progress that I'd be happy about, albeit slightly bittersweet; I'm just a human after all - If I'm right, well.. hah, fuck, you'll be seeing WAY less of me on every social platform, that's for sure good luck XXXXXXX engagements  **Related Topics** [investment](/topic/investment) [altcoins](/topic/altcoins) [beta](/topic/beta) [Post Link](https://x.com/smileycapital/status/1882817499130998910)
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:) @smileycapital on x 70.5K followers
Created: 2025-01-24 15:47:27 UTC
my positioning, I guess I rarely talk about it, some suggestions, overall thoughts about the market for 2025;
I'm still 90%+ exposed to crypto, recently rotated more into beta [altcoins], nothing has changed since January 2023 exposure % wise, apart from paying myself monthly and occasional minor cashouts into other investment vehicles IRL
I am heavily convinced the meat of the move for most altcoins has NOT come yet and is right around the corner; I do think meat of the move for BTC will soon be in, 15k -> 108k is quite a lot, don't think we see more than a 50-75% increase from here; likely one more push before we reach distribution stage that could last for a year [with obviously heightened volatility]
However, last ~30 days I've been changing my approach to increase my rotating/trading % by quite a significant margin; I do not think every altcoin will pump, I do think short/medium term rotations are crucial part of every crypto investor, I do think you have to adapt or be left behind; even BTC<>ETH<>SOL. don't be stuck in losing coins, some of them will barely pump, some of them will perform as good [or should I say as bad?] as ETH or SOL and you will be disappointed for being a stubborn cult-member [looking at you, WIF cultists]
SOL outperforms ETH, ETH outperforms BTC, they both go way above previous ATHs, ETH 7k minimum, at 120-140k BTC I will actively look for weakness to plan my exits; remember, I've been all-in since 20k in January 2023!
I think AI hasn't topped and will be the #1 performing sector this year, I also think memes will give AI run for its money, performance-wise [however, severe dillution makes it much harder for average investors to pick winners]. in the end I think top memes will be higher MC than top AI, but AI as a sector will likely be around the same levels as memetics, if not higher.
Runner ups; RWA, 'American' tokens [Defi, L1], I would also keep an eye on Chinese/Asian tokens in these specific categories [especially Defi and AI] as China will likely try to catch up with USA - they're not going down without a fight
I think we get fruitful February-May, slightly boring summer with narratives/metas popping up, NFTs, probable corrections and beginning of euthanasia rollercoaster for most altcoins, I'll be looking to de-risk before summer A LOT if we get that, Q4 I'd look to put some risk back on for the final leg, whatever that looks like
Obviously from positioning you can tell I'm still very bullish; if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, I lose a lot of money, give back a lot of uPNL, alas I'd still be miles ahead of 2021 Smiley even if I -XX% from here, so overall it would still be immense personal progress that I'd be happy about, albeit slightly bittersweet; I'm just a human after all
If I'm right, well.. hah, fuck, you'll be seeing WAY less of me on every social platform, that's for sure
good luck
XXXXXXX engagements
Related Topics investment altcoins beta