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![scaling01 Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:24/cr:twitter::1825243643529027584.png) Lisan al Gaib [@scaling01](/creator/twitter/scaling01) on x 16.3K followers
Created: 2025-01-02 00:09:26 UTC

my AI predictions for 2025:
 - at least one lab will declare AGI and mentions ASI
 - Q1: Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, META, Qwen and Mistral model fiesta ( it will be heaven )
 - agents / computer use takes off
 - release of Claude 4, Gemini 3, GPT-5, Grok X (or whatever they call their giant ~5-20 trillion parameter models)
 - release of o3, o4, and o5
 - open-source replication of o3
 - the Frontier Math benchmark will be mostly solved (>80%)
 - SWE-bench will be solved (>90%)
 - ARC-AGI X will be mostly solved (>80%) within X months of it's release
 - 10+ million context length models

my wishful thinking:
Someone (Anthropic) figures out efficient test-time-training without catastrophic forgetting using mech interp - this will be the next paradigm for 2026 and lead to superintelligence


XXXXXXX engagements

![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/p:tweet::1874608907508752546/c:line.svg)

**Related Topics**
[o3](/topic/o3)
[qwen](/topic/qwen)
[meta](/topic/meta)
[open ai](/topic/open-ai)
[mentions](/topic/mentions)
[agi](/topic/agi)
[coins ai](/topic/coins-ai)
[gaib](/topic/gaib)

[Post Link](https://x.com/scaling01/status/1874608907508752546)

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

scaling01 Avatar Lisan al Gaib @scaling01 on x 16.3K followers Created: 2025-01-02 00:09:26 UTC

my AI predictions for 2025:

  • at least one lab will declare AGI and mentions ASI
  • Q1: Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, META, Qwen and Mistral model fiesta ( it will be heaven )
  • agents / computer use takes off
  • release of Claude 4, Gemini 3, GPT-5, Grok X (or whatever they call their giant ~5-20 trillion parameter models)
  • release of o3, o4, and o5
  • open-source replication of o3
  • the Frontier Math benchmark will be mostly solved (>80%)
  • SWE-bench will be solved (>90%)
  • ARC-AGI X will be mostly solved (>80%) within X months of it's release
  • 10+ million context length models

my wishful thinking: Someone (Anthropic) figures out efficient test-time-training without catastrophic forgetting using mech interp - this will be the next paradigm for 2026 and lead to superintelligence

XXXXXXX engagements

Engagements Line Chart

Related Topics o3 qwen meta open ai mentions agi coins ai gaib

Post Link

post/tweet::1874608907508752546
/post/tweet::1874608907508752546