#  @pauljwarburg Paul Warburg Paul Warburg posts on YouTube about ukraine, russia, paul, war the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/youtube::UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] +181% - [--] Month [---------] -53% - [--] Months [----------] +63% - [--] Year [----------] +1,871% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/youtube::UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/posts_active)  - [--] Month [--] -23% - [--] Months [--] +22% - [--] Year [---] +407% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/youtube::UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/followers)  - [--] Week [-------] no change - [--] Month [-------] +1.10% - [--] Months [-------] +73% - [--] Year [-------] +577% ### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/youtube::UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [countries](/list/countries) #3130 [finance](/list/finance) [currencies](/list/currencies) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) #1590 [social networks](/list/social-networks) [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) **Social topic influence** [ukraine](/topic/ukraine) #28, [russia](/topic/russia) #46, [paul](/topic/paul) #32, [war](/topic/war), [update](/topic/update) #50, [united states](/topic/united-states), [donald trump](/topic/donald-trump), [politics](/topic/politics), [tariffs](/topic/tariffs) #1740, [china](/topic/china) **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@icarusproject](/creator/undefined) [@hungrymindsart](/creator/undefined) [@theglobalgambit](/creator/undefined) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Russias Starlink Crisis is Much Worse Than We Thought The Russian military's loss of access to Starlink has proven to be far more detrimental to their war against Ukraine than initially thought. This video examines the critical impact on the frontlines of the war in Ukraine exploring how Elon Musk's decision affects both Russian and Ukrainian forces. I dive deep into the implications for both Russia and Ukraine and how Putin's reaction shows how desperate Russia really is. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Become" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Xa8u9LfpA88) 2026-02-11T01:36Z 381K followers, 272.2K engagements "Russia Just Declared War On My Channel Go to my sponsor https://venice.ai/paulwarburg and use code paulwarburg to enjoy private uncensored AI. Using my code will get you 20% off a Pro plan. Russia has declared war on my channel and it appears that Vladimir Putin might be watching. Recently viewers discovered an AI version of me spreading Russian talking points about the war in Ukraine. But the conversation is deeper than that. In this video I talk about Russia's information warfare strategy and the surprising reasons they do what they do. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=88tYt6FOMkQ) 2026-02-13T20:34Z 381K followers, 131.1K engagements "Something BIG Has Changed on the Front Lines in Ukraine The nature of Russia's war against Ukraine is changing. Russia ability to conduct offensives against Ukrainian positions is slowing allowing Ukraine to build up a surplus of material. That in turn has led to a surprising development - Ukraine is increasingly going on the offensive. In this video I look at the latest updates in the Ukraine War including how drones continue to change the nature of the battlefield and how Ukraine continues to put more pressure on Russia than ever before. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=_oVgqYvEA6I) 2026-02-13T06:03Z 381K followers, 386.3K engagements "Russia Just Lost One of Their Most Important Assets (in a single night) Go to https://surfshark.com/warburg or use code WARBURG at checkout to get [--] extra months of Surfshark VPN Russia just lost access to Starlink. The implications are huge - but the most important ones are even bigger than most people realize. In this video I go deep into what the loss of Starlink means for the Russian military - and the Ukrainian military - and why Elon Musk has now finally made this decision. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ektv4uJMGBw) 2026-02-06T04:38Z 381K followers, 353.9K engagements "This Trump Move Was Easy to Miss But It Explains a Lot Browse Ekster's New Year's Sale (up to 48% off) today before it ends and get an extra 20% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG20 (available for a limited time) https://partner.ekster.com/paulwarburg As he prepares for midterm elections Donald Trump has been making moves in domestic politics that have gone unnoticed by most of the international community. Focused on Greenland Venezuela Ukraine Iran tariffs and more it's easy to miss the significance of what Trump is trying to in America's housing market. That in turn reveals a lot about" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=PI-AAXI_oSo) 2026-01-24T17:28Z 381K followers, 238K engagements "Why Ukraine WON'T Sign the U.S. "Peace Deal" There's a lot of talk right now about the latest U.S. negotiations under Donald Trump to end the war in Ukraine. From Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to the offering of the same peace terms that have been rejected multiple times basically amounting to Ukrainian capitulation. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the context and content of past offers of "peace deals" to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine negotiations and where things will likely go from" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=bFtY0XZDvzA) 2025-11-23T05:00Z 381K followers, 238.5K engagements "Russia CAN'T Get Rid of Their Gold.that's causing major problems for Putin Russia is facing a similar problem to the one that brought down the Qing Dynasty (the Chinese Empire). They are running out of the ability to pay their soldiers. But the problem goes much deeper than that. In this video I dive deep into the apparent contrast between Russia's on-paper gold reserves and what they are actually able to convert into usable currency in reality. We cover inflation the decline of the ruble how and why China is seeding Russia with their own currency (the Yuan) and much more. This video includes" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=c8IstsI_sEQ) 2026-01-27T21:04Z 381K followers, 234.7K engagements "Putin Just Got Some REALLY Bad News There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Europe just approved a new $90b loan to fund the Ukrainian government for the next two years. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this loan goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this is a game-changing event in the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=c_oh1GKWq38) 2025-12-21T23:13Z 381K followers, 494K engagements "Russia CANT Afford a Second Front So Why Are They Putting Troops on NATO's Borders Russia's has been placing troops on NATO's borders - but the real reason is not what you think. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Wise: https://wise.com/pay/business/warburgventuresllc Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=icCwKBjfBkU) 2025-08-09T03:32Z 380K followers, 369.2K engagements "They're Lying to You About Venezuela The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on showing in very clear detail why the stated justifications simply aren't true. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=9Up4UhKlUvk) 2026-01-06T06:16Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements "Something BIG is Breaking in Russia Right Now Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. This could become a bigger deal than a lot of people realize. The rampant shortages show that Ukraine's strikes have reached a critical point where Russia can no longer avoid the effects. And these effects could cause many problems - economic military and" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=N26m1hq60k0) 2025-08-30T00:19Z 380K followers, 981.4K engagements "The Iran Protests are Becoming Truly Insane Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why it's so scary for the Ayatollah regime. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=WUBdxFUWwjU) 2026-01-03T17:12Z 381K followers, 530.1K engagements "Russia Just Reached Its Worst Tipping Point Yet 👉 Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PAULWARJAN4 🔐 100% Discount for the first [----] people 💥 Dive deep into AI and Learn Automations Build AI Agents Make videos & images all for free 🎁 Bonuses valued at $5100+ if you join and attend Thanks to Outskill for sponsoring today's video. Russia just crossed a crucial tipping point in their war against Ukraine. They are now losing more soldiers than they can replace on a monthly basis. That's obviously a big deal but it's even bigger than it looks once you" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=bNAe6d7GdHs) 2026-01-22T04:39Z 381K followers, 330.8K engagements "Russia Does NOT Want You to Know the Truth About Their Nukes Russia has been testing nuclear capable missiles lately from cruise missiles to "tsunami creating" Poseidon missiles. But the new tests each share a theme that shows they aren't what they seem on the surface. Instead they reinforce a line of thinking that has been growing about Russia's nukes - that they serve as little more than propaganda weapons for the Kremlin. In this video I explore the true state of the Russian nuclear arsenal and whether or not its actually a credible threat. I bring in examples from the Cold War and nuclear" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ikUspOj8Ee0) 2025-11-07T00:32Z 381K followers, 415.7K engagements "The Situation in Iran Is Worse Than We Thought Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=q2mEuKAjgVI) 2026-02-07T05:13Z 381K followers, 214.9K engagements "Why is America Intentionally Throwing Away its Global Power The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest development is a new National Security Strategy that undermines the post-WWII global order that the United States built with much effort and intentionality. The U.S. has expressed a desire to abandon former allies and global dominance to focus on regional power instead. This comes on the back of an already highly unsuccessful tariff strategy that undermined trade relationships and the relevance of the U.S. dollar. In" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0OkMX1a4h00) 2025-12-15T23:05Z 381K followers, 356.2K engagements "Ukraine Has Exposed the Truth About Chinas Military (Its Embarrassing) Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia's military failures in Ukraine have been world changing. What was once considered to be the second most powerful military in the world has been shown to be lacking due to corruption incompetence and more. The question is if the world's experts were so wrong about Russia what else were they wrong about In this video we take a close look at China's military through the lens of the same" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Pe80P7uIYPk) 2025-10-31T23:54Z 381K followers, 993.4K engagements "Something is Going Seriously Wrong With China When the world looks at modern China they often see a story of meteoric rise with no end in sight. Most people miss that China actually already peaked and that its descent has begun - with haste. In this video I place China in historical context revealing the overextension mistakes that have brought down countless empires in the past - mistakes that China is now repeating. We discuss China's mistake of overextending militarily continentally geopolitically and financially to show how China has put themselves in self-made box of dilemmas. You can" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=qYt9letzkJ8) 2025-11-09T06:23Z 381K followers, 584.6K engagements "Let's Crush the Biggest Myth About the Ukraine War Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together some key facts and historical context to show why the war in Ukraine has NOT gone on too long and why the" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=3wMCTv_9alQ) 2025-11-25T03:54Z 381K followers, 249.8K engagements "The U.S. Plan for Greenland is Worse Than You Think The United States is weighing its options for taking over Greenland. They have not ruled out military force and continually bring up the topic of the threat from Russia and China as their justification. However there's more to this than meets the eye. In this video I discuss the true strategic value of Greenland why the U.S. really wants it whether or not the United States would invade Greenland and what all of this means for the NATO alliance. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=EUD4dFx3dbQ) 2026-01-14T05:02Z 381K followers, 302.1K engagements "Putin's Favorite Puppet State is About to Collapse Browse Ekster's Fall Sale (up to 35% off) until Nov 5th and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Belarus is responsible for much of Russia's war against Ukraine. They've allowed Russia to invade Ukraine from their territory hosted Russian nuclear missiles on their own land and promoted Russian propaganda talking points. Now the bill is coming due. Let's talk about what's going on in Belarus' economy why it's so closely linked to the collapse of Russia and why Belarus might become" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Ehn4j5ru8vs) 2025-10-16T05:22Z 381K followers, 551.3K engagements "Ukraines Military is Becoming INSANELY Powerful Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Ukraine has developed numerous massive breakthroughs in just a few short years. The progress is happening so quickly that some people still aren't fully aware of its significance. The reality is that whatever way this war goes Ukraine has established themselves as a global power for the next century to come. In this video I explain why looking at Russia's war against Ukraine and how it has made Ukraine a world" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=MCZEhOD1CSs) 2025-10-23T05:04Z 381K followers, 525.7K engagements "Why Russias Next Big War Might Be With China Most of the world thinks that China is Russia's ally. But their behavior says something different - a partner of convenience more than anything else and potentially something much darker. In this video I talk about China's complicated relationship with Russia their history of warfare their desires for each others' territory and why surprisingly a Chinese attack on Russia may be more likely than an attack on Taiwan. We support the narrative with Chinese military literature (Sun Tzu) historical considerations strategic considerations and much more." [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=WMgUhZTNPRE) 2025-08-01T23:40Z 380K followers, 508.2K engagements "Russias Point of No Return is Closer Than We Thought Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan In their war against Ukraine Russia has always projected an aura of unstoppable strength. It's never been true. Every time Russia has said something the world has seen that the reality is far different than the story. But that doesn't stop Russia from trying. In this video I talk about why Russia's remaining strength has been vastly overplayed from economic power based on gold reserves to the amount of" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=veU6ImhbCoQ) 2025-12-18T18:40Z 381K followers, 445.3K engagements "Why Modern Drones Scare Me FAR More Than Nukes Do One of the byproducts of Russia's war against Ukraine is a terrifying new technology - AI-powered autonomous military drones. I discuss why this technology is so scary why it has been developed and how we got to this point from a geopolitical standpoint. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=-KtdcxQf6y0) 2025-07-05T20:10Z 337K followers, 148.9K engagements "Ive Never Seen Russia Look This Vulnerable Don't forget Get 10% off The Book: The Ultimate Guide to Rebuilding Civilization with promo code WARBURG10 - http://bit.ly/4oCh1Pv "General Winter" is Russia's strongest soldier. Or in other words the cold Russian winters have often been cited as a factor that makes Russia undefeatable on the battlefield. But many people miss an important fact: this has only been true in contexts where Russia was the defender. As the invading army in their war against Ukraine it now turns out that Russia's greatest strength is becoming its greatest weakness. Ukraine" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=-aVg0N1I1v8) 2025-10-23T23:45Z 381K followers, 354.6K engagements "Russia Just Fell for Chinas Biggest Trick Yet Russia and China just signed an energy deal.but it's not what it seems. A lot of people are concerned about the Sino-Russian partnership and that China may be trying to bail Russia out in its war against Ukraine. I see things differently with a more consistent theme of China simply taking advantage of Russia's plight in Ukraine. Today's energy deal (and other deals) are no different and I explain why. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0guWtA9I_6Q) 2025-09-05T16:03Z 319K followers, 581K engagements "Russia's Attack On Poland Did NOT Go As Planned Russia's drone attacks on Poland and Romania completely backfired. This wasn't a probe to see how NATO would react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead Russia had a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a lower cost to itself. Unfortunately for Russia this analysis reveals how rather than distracting air defense resources from Ukraine they only managed to increase air defenses in a big way with talks of a no-fly zone being reintroduced and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=2gBSjcd60tk) 2025-09-16T21:38Z 349K followers, 540.3K engagements "Russia's Labor Shortage is Worse Than You Think Let's talk about Russia's labor shortage. It's a bigger deal than most people realize. Unemployment in Russia is low right now but that masks a dark underlying reality. The current situation is a result of wartime stimulus - but what happens when the war in Ukraine ends or the money runs out It doesn't look good for Russian employees. Find "Why Nations Fail" here to learn more about how the Black Plague led to the birth democracy (and a lot more): https://amzn.to/4honASN Want to support my work Become a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=3wrmBzoM0LQ) 2025-02-14T18:05Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements "Ukraine Never Ceases to Amaze Me Browse Ekster's Christmas Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg In Russia's war against Ukraine much of the mainstream media seems convinced that Ukraine is losing. Even after four years of warfare with Ukraine showing what it can do Russia's large size still has many people convinced that the war is hopeless for Ukraine. However history and reality paint a different picture. In this video I talk about how history shows why countries in Ukraine's situation" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=5ypENPt3JbU) 2025-12-19T23:17Z 381K followers, 341.8K engagements "Theres BIG Chatter of a Coup in Moscow Check out ReadPartner and experience modern media monitoring for yourself Get a 35% discount on any personal or organization plan for the first [--] months with the code WARBURG7 for the next [--] days: https://readpartner.ai/paulwarburg There's chatter of a coup within Russia. That's nothing new - but this time there's a twist. It's happening on Russian social media at the same time that there are rumors within the Russian military that Stalin-style purges could come soon. Is there really a coup being planned.or is Putin simply trying to weed out disloyal" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=88XgeVnRY6Y) 2025-08-22T01:07Z 379K followers, 549K engagements "The TRUTH About Russia's Shadow Fleet That Most People Miss Enjoy up to 40% off Ekster gear; use code PAULWARBURG at checkout to unlock further savings https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's shadow fleet has gotten a lot of attention throughout the war in Ukraine. But there's an open question - Ukraine has shown they have the ability to stop it so why don't they In this video I explore some aspects of the Ukraine War that many people may not have considered and connect the dots between sanctions Russia's shadow fleet India China and more. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=8Aa6ZDeG-zA) 2025-01-20T17:33Z 369K followers, 126.7K engagements "Russia is Running Out of Russians Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/PW_MH to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $29/29 - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Use coupon code WARBURG to claim yours today Russia has a massive demographic crisis - covering everything from their birth rate (fertility rate) immigration numbers and of course the War in Ukraine. In our lifetimes this could easily lead to the weakening (or collapse) of the Russian state. Let's examine all of the numbers and ask the most important question of all - if this is the case why did Putin start his war" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=C1plKcmywkg) 2025-08-21T03:45Z 357K followers, 466.4K engagements "Putin's Biggest Nightmare is Now Coming True Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. Previously I've talked about how Ukraine actually CAN retake Crimea and why it could surprisingly be much easier than most people even imagine. Today I'll talk about how Ukraine is now putting these" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=F5G3W7_9MU8) 2025-10-18T15:04Z 381K followers, 877.6K engagements "Ukraine Just Exposed Chinas Greatest Weakness The United States has threatened to impose secondary sanctions on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil. That's interesting but not nearly as interesting as what China's response to this move reveals. We've now seen how quickly China is willing to turn its back on its geopolitical "allies" - but that reveals a whole lot more about China than most people think. Put in the context of tariffs sanctions trade wars and economics it shows why China KNOWS a war with the west would be unviable for it. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FBNMbnfYvLk) 2025-11-13T17:36Z 381K followers, 537.1K engagements "Did Trump Just Betray Ukraine Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine are unfolding in dramatic fashion - and not in the way many people had hoped. Trump has called president Zelenskyy of Ukraine a dictator and told him to make a deal or to witness the destruction of his country. But does the United States actually have that much negotiating power From the United States offering a deal to Ukraine in exchange for rare earth metals to Donald Trump" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FXgEr0yTkGo) 2025-02-20T07:23Z 67.4K followers, 128.5K engagements "Russia is Bracing for a MASSIVE Revenue Shock Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's oil revenues are collapsing fast. Urals crude is now just $36 a barrel. That carries HUGE implications. For Russia the oil trade isn't just losing revenue - it's no longer profitable. In this video I talk about the war in Ukraine and recent developments that are going to drag down the Russian economy like never before. We learn why countries like India and China are" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FamrtOBPQ-Q) 2025-11-21T03:18Z 381K followers, 200.7K engagements "Why Russia Is Desperately Selling Off Its Gold Visit https://baer.skin/paul to lock in your 60% Off on the BRSkin Hoodie Russia is quickly selling off its gold - to a peculiar buyer. The deeper you look the worse it gets with some big indications for the Russian economy and the Russian government as a whole. I take a deep look in this video from Russia's reserves to the ruble to inflation and more to show how we can see some things very clearly that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin would prefer to hide. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Fwov_ApqBgg) 2025-11-29T04:22Z 381K followers, 344.3K engagements "Ukraine is Now Striking Russias Shadow Fleet Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This is a first in the Ukraine War. Ukraine has humiliated Vladimir Putin. They've struck two Russian shadow fleet vessels - and claimed credit for it. This isn't just another strike it's a message. In this video we take a deep look at Ukraine's strategy against Russia covering both economic and psychological warfare to show how devastatingly effective Ukraine's strategy really is. You can support my work by becoming" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=HESOtE9Mz7A) 2025-12-01T00:25Z 381K followers, 233.6K engagements "The Massive Hole in Trump's Tariff Plan (that no one is talking about) Donald Trump's proposed tariffs have been big news. But tariffs have a fatal flaw that prevents them from being effective in democracies - both for economic purposes and for strategic purposes. In this video I dive deep into tariffs and why they fail to produce the economic incentives they aim at producing. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=HFuBNkFCuAw) 2025-02-17T23:53Z 344K followers, 72.6K engagements "Ukraines HUGE Advantage Over Russia is Now Impossible to Ignore Ukraine has a secret advantage against Russia that is just beginning to show its full strength. It's the same underlying advantage that led the United States to win the Cold War - an advantage that is rarely recognized until events are looked back in hindsight from a historical perspective. In this video I walk about the war in Ukraine and why Ukraine's growing technological supremacy over Russia will allow them to win the war as well as explaining the underlying source of this technological advantage that has led to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=I_vnZ6oseoE) 2025-10-01T19:13Z 381K followers, 415.3K engagements "Why Elon Musk CANT Shut Down Ukraines Starlink After the United States paused aid to Ukraine (now resumed) lots of people began wondering about what would happen if Elon Musk also ended Ukraine's Starlink access. In this video I talk about why Elon Musk cannot cut off Ukraine from Starlink without destroying himself. I also discuss Ukraine's alternatives to Starlink IF a cutoff were ever to take place. It's an important new chapter in Ukraine's war against Russia's invasion. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Kty4WRIZMNU) 2025-03-14T16:05Z 376K followers, 547.1K engagements "Russia's New Crisis Could Be Their Worst One Yet Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has been taking out Russian air defenses a LOT lately. But the problem is even worse for Russia than you might at first think. Not only is Russia running lower on air defense especially on Crimea but each additional system becomes harder for Russia to replace. And with the introduction of the Flamingo cruise missile Russia has been relocating their air defense systems leaving parts of the country" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=MgXwMcu8uyk) 2025-09-26T21:44Z 379K followers, 900.9K engagements "Russia's 'Dutch Disease' Just Became Fatal Russia has Dutch Disease and because of their war against Ukraine it's flaring up. As Ukraine continues to strike Russian oil refineries creating gasoline shortages across the country Russia is now turning to other countries like China to import gas. For a country like Russia that makes its primary revenues by exporting energy that's bad news already. But it's worse than it looks. When we understand all these trends in the context of Russia's preexisting systemic economic vulnerability we begin to see a situation that Russia simply won't be able to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=N07a9XObq5I) 2025-10-10T18:43Z 381K followers, 816.1K engagements "What Everyone Gets Wrong About China Invading Taiwan Many people know that China has talks and plans for invading Taiwan. Far less people know the full history here causing them to miss the full story. While many people think of Taiwan as a modern geopolitical event the truth is that China has been talking about invading Taiwan for decades - approximately [--] years since the 1970s. Nothing has ever happened. When we understand WHY China hasn't invaded Taiwan yet and we compare it to what is happening today we begin to see a clear picture of why China would likely NOT invade Taiwan in the near" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=OblBBWDgx04) 2025-11-10T18:59Z 381K followers, 482.6K engagements "Russia is FREAKING OUT About Frances Latest Announcement Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan France just made a MASSIVE announcement that has both Russia and the United States rattled. They are now providing Ukraine with the bulk of their foreign military intelligence replacing the United States and removing the most of the remaining leverage the United States had over Ukraine to pressure them into an early peace deal. This changes the nature of the war in many ways but also has important" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=OnKsOqScVJM) 2026-01-19T19:31Z 381K followers, 306.5K engagements "Russia is QUICKLY Descending Into Anarchy It's now happening. For years we've been talking about how Russia will begin to fracture due to the war in Ukraine. And now for the first time we can say that the Russian government has in fact collapsed (on a small scale) - failing to fulfill the most basic function of a government - providing adequate police forces to protect its own citizens. I talk about the war in Ukraine its effects on the Russian economy how that has caused a massive police shortage and what that means for the future of Russia and the Putin regime. Source for much of this" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=P7IyrpY8tF8) 2025-07-28T04:05Z 357K followers, 546.7K engagements "Russias Shadow Fleet Just Suffered a FATAL Blow Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities in both the Black Sea and the Baltic - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. But the impact is bigger than it might even at first seem. Combined with sanctions Ukraine's latest strikes are putting coordinated pressure on Russia's shadow fleet - and the pressure is working. China and India are abandoning Russia signaling a potential beginning of the end of the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=QD3BSXd9YvA) 2025-11-20T04:54Z 381K followers, 214.5K engagements "Ukraine Just Unleashed a Secret Weapon Behind Russias Front Lines Many people say that Ukraine can't possibly win its war against Russia because Russia is a much larger opponent. But this doesn't match even with Russia's own recent history. In this video I talk about the growing Ukrainian insurgency movement in the occupied Donbas region and how it is making a meaningful difference on the battlefield. I map this to the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan a war that they ultimately lost due to insurgency. I then talk about why this matters for any peace deals between Ukraine and Russia" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=QnOa87t5Uv8) 2025-12-09T18:35Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements "Ive Never Seen Putin This Paranoid There's been a lot of chatter about coups lately in Russia. Putin has been making big "busts" especially with claims against Russians living in foreign countries like Mikhail Khodorkovsky. On top of this we've seen other things throughout the war - especially "accidents" meeting Russian oligarchs. In this video I put it all together to show how paranoid Vladimir Putin really is and what that actually reveals. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=SsOVaITpvi4) 2025-10-19T13:03Z 381K followers, 744.9K engagements "Russia's Attrition Problem is Worse Than You Think Let's talk about how Ukraine can win its war against Russia. In a follow-up to my lest video I do a deeper dive into topics like attrition and Russia's war economy. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TEJ6vgpv05A) 2024-10-31T18:10Z 344K followers, 95.3K engagements "Dont Be Fooled - Iran Has Crossed the Point of No Return Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. In fact things have now reached a tipping point and the Ayatollah has a plan to flee to Russia. Donald Trump has threatened military intervention which could be imminent. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place - except it's actually even worse. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TSeTrtvWxXo) 2026-01-15T02:29Z 381K followers, 208.3K engagements "Russians Are Becoming FURIOUS About Putins War Russia has experienced several major revolutions just in the past centuryand signs suggest it may be inching toward another. Gasoline shortages from Ukraines strikes on refineries and pipelines are straining the economy while coup rumors and talk of Stalin-style purges inside the military highlight Putins growing paranoia. In this video we explore how fuel shortages political unrest and Russias revolutionary history could collide to reshape its future and the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TnEADqeoBn4) 2025-09-15T05:52Z 340K followers, 697.8K engagements "Ukraine Has Found Russias BIGGEST Weakness Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil refineries etc. This looks like something we've seen before. But it's actually different. These strikes while familiar are actually of a fundamentally different character. Whether it comes to the repeated nature of the strikes or the strikes on the pipeline supplying Hungary and Slovakia or Ukraine's demonstrated ability to knock out Russia's shadow fleet something is changing in Ukraine's approach to the war and things seem to be escalating quickly. I put this all in" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZuPxOe6bSgM) 2025-08-26T16:15Z 346K followers, 683K engagements "Russias Oil Problem is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to Russian oil and gas. This winter lots of Russian energy infrastructure is on track to potentially freeze as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine. Now it's being made worse by new sanctions and new efforts to take Russia's shadow fleet of oil tankers out of the equation. We could see Russian oil revenues drop drastically over the next several months" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ajatWFkXy4o) 2025-02-19T05:15Z 66.5K followers, 100.6K engagements "What everyone is getting wrong about Trumps Ukraine peace talks There's a lot of talk right now about Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. From the United States offering a deal to Ukraine in exchange for rare earth metals to Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to Trump then turning back and trying to appear to be on Ukraine's side. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the individual psychology of players like Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=cRUp5HUjr7s) 2025-02-16T06:45Z 65.7K followers, 164.3K engagements "Whats Trump REALLY doing in Venezuela right now The United States has blockaded Venezuela under the direction of Donald Trump. The idea is to stop the transit of sanctioned oil tankers and some have begun to speculate that this could mean war. But there's a few aspects here that most people seem to be missing. I put together the pieces here to lay out how likely a U.S. war with Venezuela really is in light of the overarching geopolitics that led us to this point at this time. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=cYJb446jJcg) 2025-12-20T20:09Z 381K followers, 264.4K engagements "Why China is Suddenly Turning Against Russia Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/WARBURG25 to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $25 - plus free shipping - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Sale ends soon so use coupon code WARBURG25 to claim yours today Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine China has been taking advantage of the Ukraine War to make several moves against Russia - particularly in Siberia and the Russian Far East. The risk to Putin and Moscow has become even more pronounced as the Kremlin's financial position has weakened and they have lost the ability to provide" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=cxuSjPQ5YRk) 2025-11-27T23:31Z 381K followers, 513K engagements "There's a BIG Crisis Brewing for Russia in Occupied Ukraine Want to restore the planets ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos The first [---] people to join Planet Wild with my code PAUL11 will get the first month for free at: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/join If you want to get to know them better first check out their mission using art to protect marine life: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/m21 There's a looming crisis growing in Ukraine in the regions occupied by Russia. As a result of the methods Russia has used in its war against Ukraine many environmental problems" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=dp77l9lSBog) 2025-11-22T04:45Z 381K followers, 322.6K engagements "This is ALREADY Russia's Worst Year Yet [----] just started but it's already shaping up to be a terrible year for Russia. Already teetering due to their war in Ukraine this is the year that attrition will catch up with Russia in a major way. Their energy infrastructure is being attacked more and more every day their economy is crumbling their ability to recruit soldiers is weakening and so much more. On top of that they could potentially lose two major strategic partners in Iran and Venezuela. And as all of this happens Ukraine's ability to resist is only becoming greater. Let's take a look at" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=dqeQHL_p0es) 2026-01-05T03:17Z 381K followers, 507.6K engagements "Putin Just Suffered ANOTHER Crippling Blow There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia just lost a top ranking general with a very important job. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this event goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this could be a game-changing event in the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gGHwMhQIc8U) 2025-12-23T23:33Z 381K followers, 461.7K engagements "Russia Just Reached a Critical Tipping Point In their war against Ukraine Russia has suffered massive casualties. The one thing keeping Russia going has been their ability to continue to fill their ranks. And that has just changed. Many Russian regions are now struggling to meet their recruitment quotas and on top of that they are also being forced to lower the signing bonuses they can offer. Simply put Russia is running out of money. Printing rubles won't cut it any more and without the ability to fill their ranks with recruits in exchange for stacks of cash Putin's ability to wage war is" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gOAjhIeDhGk) 2025-12-10T17:41Z 381K followers, 570.6K engagements "Russias Attacks on Poland Are NOT What You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia destroys a Polish railway bombs a Turkish vessel and sends fresh drone incursions into Europe. This is no longer an accident - it's a pattern with a very clear goal. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. These aren't probe to see how NATO will react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gwGZGptbmD8) 2025-11-24T05:00Z 381K followers, 242.7K engagements "Is China Lying About Invading Taiwan Everyone knows that China is planning to invade Taiwan. But the problem is.everyone knows that. This is inconsistent with Chinese military doctrine which is based on literature that insists "all warfare is based on deception." In this video I talk about why China probably won't invade Taiwan and why Outer Manchuria in Russian Siberia / the Russian Far East is a more likely target. The strategic insights in this video about China's approach to war came from the book "The Hundred Year Marathon" by Michael Pillsbury. Link: https://amzn.to/41bAPAh Want to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=i3tgrQc2qJc) 2025-02-15T00:00Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements "Ukraine's New Flamingo Missiles Are ALREADY Crushing Russia Ukraine's new Flamingo cruise missile is absolutely devastating Russia right now. Already Russia was having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets with drones. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines oil tanker docking facilities etc. But with the addition of the Flamingoes these problems become exponentially worse. And even now before widespread strikes have begun the Flamingoes are already forcing Russia to make major changes - reorienting air defenses updating mental models" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=iBLWAwdjxrY) 2025-09-06T21:28Z 339K followers, 555.8K engagements "What Everyone Gets Wrong About World War II There's a persistent rumor in the United States that wars are good for the economy. It comes from confusing correlation with causation as World War II coincided with the end of the Great Depression and was followed by an economic boom. In this video I examine the real reason World War II made America so wealthy and why the boomer generation in the U.S. was so successful. Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=iHSu9P_ge-c) 2025-02-14T17:41Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements "Yes Russia is Really Running Out of Money Because of their war against Ukraine Russia is quickly running out of money. There are now several indicators that things have reached a tipping point. Russia has lost the ability to fund military bonuses and pay in several regions and they have simultaneously begun to sell off gold to curb inflation. The question to ask though is why didn't Russia sell their gold sooner and how much do they really have left that they can sell When we consider everything we realize that Russia is far closer to ruin than even they may realize. You can support my work" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ifkfEE4G7fk) 2025-12-14T15:47Z 381K followers, 303.7K engagements "Russias Oil Crisis Keeps Getting So Much Worse Gasoline shortages from Ukraines strikes on refineries and pipelines are straining Russia's economy. In response Russia has been discussing a strategy that exposes their weakness more than most people realize - price caps. This is more devious than most people realize. In this video I discuss how rising gas prices in Russia are putting most families over the edge and how the Kremlin's new strategy to shift blame exposes underlying weaknesses in the Russian economy. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=jOGbgyO5G4c) 2025-10-25T03:02Z 381K followers, 321K engagements "What Russia Doesn't Want You to Know About Siberia Siberia is a very unique piece of territory that few people truly understand. Due to Russia's war against Ukraine some interesting trends have emerged in Siberia. In this video I draw a line through Siberia's dark history from the Russian Empire to the Soviet Union to the Russian Federation. I ask the questions "Would Siberia ever want to secede and if so could they" Then to tie it all off I bring China into the picture covering China's aggression towards Taiwan and how it relates to Siberia with some stark details that few others have" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=jOnBf4xxkKw) 2025-02-12T20:45Z 57.2K followers, 78.5K engagements "What Everyone Missed About Russias Attack on Poland Russian drones just struck Poland. It seems clear that it wasn't an accident and NATO article [--] has been triggered. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. This wasn't a probe to see how NATO would react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a lower cost to itself. I connect all the dots and show why Russia can't manage - and wouldn't risk - a war with NATO anytime soon. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=kAqHnMXLUno) 2025-09-11T05:14Z 349K followers, 825.8K engagements "Why Russia Can NEVER Use a Nuclear Weapon Russia has threatened to use nukes over [--] times since they invaded Ukraine with many famous "nuclear red lines." But the volume of threats has been so large many people have begun asking the hard questions. In this video I explore the true state of the Russian nuclear arsenal and whether or not its actually a credible threat. I bring in examples from the Cold War and nuclear doctrine then go all the way down to the individual psychology of Vladimir Putin. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=l-Am4hOgTLA) 2025-02-11T18:37Z 339K followers, 1.7M engagements "Is Russia Preparing to Attack Sweden Sweden could be in danger. NATO intelligence claims that Russia is planning an attack to test the NATO alliance and Article V within 5-8 years. I talk about why Sweden could be on the shortlist as one of those targets. The discussion includes Gotland Island Russian hybrid warfare recent sabotage attacks against Sweden and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lUb4JMpxxCo) 2025-06-14T02:04Z 319K followers, 226.9K engagements "Russia is LOSING the Battle for Crimea Take advantage of Ekster's Labor Day sale to get up to 48% off (through September 16th). And use code PAULWARBURG at checkout to unlock additional savings https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I talk about how Ukraine is playing the long game on Crimea how they can take it back over time and how in the present moment" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lkngFw0-4SU) 2025-09-09T01:53Z 337K followers, 308.5K engagements "Russias Oil Industry is Dying Faster Than You Think Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to Russian oil and gas. This winter lots of Russian energy infrastructure is on track to potentially freeze as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine. Now it's being made worse by new sanctions and new efforts to take Russia's shadow fleet of oil tankers out of the equation. We could see Russian oil revenues drop drastically over the next several months potentially below critical levels. What does that mean for the future of Russia and for Russia's war against Ukraine You can support" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lnldwlgtt0Y) 2025-03-07T15:58Z 376K followers, 81.7K engagements "Russia is Absolutely PANICKING About Venezuela Right Now The U.S. capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro has Russia extremely worried - and it could have a big impact on the war in Ukraine. There are implications for the Russian shadow fleet and for Russian oil in general. On top of that it sets a global precedent that does not look good for Russia to say the least. I discuss all of it why it's so bad for Putin's reputation and where things go from here. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lviDlq0MhFM) 2026-01-10T04:55Z 381K followers, 743.4K engagements "The U.S. Attack on Venezuela is Worse Than You Think The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on as well as the most likely paths forward. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=nzOujqUURXY) 2026-01-04T07:08Z 381K followers, 514.6K engagements "The REAL Reason Americans Feel So Poor (even when they arent) Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Americans consistently vote on the economy. Or to put it in better terms Americans vote based on how rich or how poor they FEEL. The problem is that perceptions don't always match reality with average Americans consistently ranking among the world's richest people - and it isn't even close. In this video I discuss why this is all the case the real reason American's often feel desperately poor and why" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=pZlpyYKU7sA) 2025-05-01T05:53Z 344K followers, 136.4K engagements "Why India is Suddenly Abandoning Russia Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg India and China are abandoning Russian oil seemingly overnight. For years Russia's shadow fleet has evaded sanctions and continued sales to China and India. Most people assumed this was for idealogical reasons and that India and China were Russia's allies. But now that's been flipped on its head showing the relationships are based on little more than mere convenience and personal" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=qCV1dXtst60) 2025-11-26T05:07Z 381K followers, 293.4K engagements "How Germany is Becoming Russia's Worst Nightmare Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Germany is remilitarizing - and it's a bigger deal than most people realize. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused many far-reaching geopolitical effects and the latest is that Germany is now investing to become the largest military force in all of Europe. In this video I analyze all the angles - from why Germany's military has been so small in recent decades to why they are changing now to what the impact of" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=rbM7MAYcD8s) 2025-05-22T16:33Z 351K followers, 647.6K engagements "Ukraine Just Humiliated Russia in the Worst Possible Way Russia's nuclear capabilities are under attack. Ukraine has stolen the plans for Russia's new "super secret" nuclear submarine. The implications are huge - both for Russia and Ukraine but also for Russia's ability to project nuclear power for years to come. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=sSdNctABUOo) 2025-08-05T08:06Z 325K followers, 868.2K engagements "Russia Is Officially On Its Last Reserves Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Satellite imagery shows that Russia's Soviet-era stockpiles are now on their last reserves. Quite bluntly Russia has run out of tanks and armored vehicles. This has huge implications for the war in Ukraine in general - from Russian attrition to overall strategy to the movement of the front lines. In this video I bring it all together to explain why Ukraine fights the way it does and why Russia is now incapable of" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=tAP5otKjHoU) 2025-10-30T21:31Z 381K followers, 460K engagements "This May Be the Worst News Putin Has Ever Gotten Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has unveiled a new game changer in its war against Russia. A new network of fortifications and trenches that the Russian military will absolutely be unable to penetrate. I discuss the fortifications themselves and why they are so significant as well as what they mean for the current peace talks and how they change the overall strategy and nature of the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=xkWFLb1bi8Y) 2025-12-31T00:48Z 381K followers, 673.2K engagements "Russias Banks Are Literally Running Out of Money Let's talk about the Russian economy and how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine. I discuss Russia's precarious banking situation and the way Russia has attempted to hide about half of the cost of the war in Ukraine from the general public. I also touch on inflation in Russia and how all of this is contributing to the collapse of the ruble. 0:00 - Preview 1:16 - Regular Video You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=-OFte5eBxIk) 2025-02-04T07:19Z 53.4K followers, 133.8K engagements "Why is America Intentionally Destroying its Global Influence The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. From Greenland to the Panama Canal to tariffs to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and so much more the U.S. is backpedalling on decades of foreign policy. But why In this video I talk about the real foundations of American power - and prosperity - and how Donald Trump's policies are undermining those very foundations (and with them America's future). You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0f0vuCycOTE) 2025-03-13T04:05Z 162K followers, 889.6K engagements "Will Russia Attack Norway Next Russia has created some pretty significant propaganda campaigns to justify a future invasion of Norway. In particular focus is the Svalbard archipelago. Should Norway be worried and could it be Russia's next invasion target Where do NATO and Article [--] play in Subscribe to my channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Watch my full-length analysis of Russia's intentions for Norway on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/TQfyZKgHgFMsi=bzRlHDTdkgMTQ5Zz Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0hHy1RAIZWE) 2024-06-20T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Ukraine FINALLY Has What it Needs to WIN the War The war in Ukraine is beginning to shift as the United States for the first time in Trump's presidency begins making policy decisions that could change the tide of the battle. At first the changes might seem insignificant and underwhelming. But when you dig deeper you realize that this is a pivotal moment giving Ukraine access to what they need to finally protect themselves against Russia and secure an ultimate victory. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0zDNbHYbiqk) 2025-07-16T22:17Z 196K followers, 244.1K engagements "Let's Talk About Why Russia Sends Teenagers to War Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Let's talk about the stark differences between Ukraine and Russia's recruitment drafting and conscription practices. Who is targeted (primarily) to be drafted for military service and why You'll see why the answer really does matter and how it reveals many other key facts that people often miss. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=1nGHoHPmhvw) 2025-01-27T18:22Z 49K followers, 42.2K engagements "Russia is Caught in an Unemployment Death Spiral Let's talk about Russia's labor shortage. It's a bigger deal than most people realize. Unemployment in Russia is low right now but that masks a dark underlying reality. The current situation is a result of wartime stimulus - but what happens when the war in Ukraine ends or the money runs out It doesn't look good for Russian employees. 0:00 - Preview 0:33 - Regular Video Find "Why Nations Fail" here to learn more about how the Black Plague led to the birth democracy (and a lot more): https://amzn.to/4honASN Want to support my work Become a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=28OK5wVKFYM) 2025-02-05T18:33Z 140K followers, 90K engagements "Why Trump CAN'T Stop Russia's Economic Collapse Will Donald Trump remove sanctions from Russia It's the question everyone seems to be asking. When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine economic warfare is extremely important. But the fear of many is that Donald Trump will rescue Russia from its coming economic collapse. In this video I talk about why that's impossible and therefore why it's unlikely for the United States to even try. I cover sanctions Russia's Shadow Fleet Europe's navy chokepoints in the Baltic Sea and the Black Sea Ukraine's long range strike capabilities Trump's energy" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=3vMZz0Zhj58) 2025-03-25T03:06Z 136K followers, 254.7K engagements "Why is Trump STILL Trying to Scam Ukraine The United States' attitude towards peace concerning the war in Ukraine has been confusing to say the least. From peace talks to ceasefire talks to Trump & Zelenskyy's fight to the pause of U.S. military aid to it being resumed just a week later. What's going on Is Donald Trump on Vladimir Putin's side Or is there something else going on here In this video I examine the latest developments in Ukraine's ceasefire talks with Russia - and demonstrate why we shouldn't take Donald Trump at his word. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=3whUbWgNDFA) 2025-03-20T16:35Z 113K followers, 98.3K engagements "How Trump's Trade Wars Could Cause a Real War Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Trump's trade war with China is now in full swing with no signs of letting up. Both nations are placing heavy tariffs on each other leading to a state of economic warfare as each tries to destroy the other. The question on everyone's mind is could it lead to an actual war perhaps even World War [--] While it's a dramatic question it's worth asking given similar events throughout human history. In this video I examine" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=43dys6UMIYg) 2025-04-16T03:23Z 148K followers, 152.9K engagements "Trumps Ukraine 'Minerals' Deal Could Be the Most Corrupt Thing I've Ever Seen Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine have climaxed in a so-called "rare earth minerals deal". But the truth of the deal is that it is anything but that. I read the actual text of the document and much of what I read didn't align with the things Trump and his team had said about it. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully and uncover the high risk for corruption in the deal structure that Trump is proposing Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy should sign this Friday to help lead to an" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=4X2GW_JvPMk) 2025-02-27T08:22Z 70.7K followers, 79.6K engagements "The Hidden Crisis Destroying Russias Army Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia's military is struggling to find recruits. The only way to convince people to join their war against Ukraine is to offer them excessively high military recruitment bonuses and salaries. But these efforts while a short term fix for producing manpower have an effect on the quality of Russia's soldiers that Russia may not have properly anticipated. And with a declining Russian economy these payments can't be kept up" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=4dy_A2dIexU) 2025-06-27T18:52Z 181K followers, 323.3K engagements "Why did Russia just bombitself Russia just bombed itself. No this is not an exaggeration and no this is not a drill. It's just the latest convoluted move in Russia's war against Ukraine and Trump's Ukraine peace talks. Apparently Russia would rather bomb itself as a pretext than allow a ceasefire to stand. Vladimir Putin will continue his invasion of Ukraine no matter the cost and Russia is not interested in peace. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=6rciJK22gjU) 2025-03-22T06:26Z 120K followers, 119.3K engagements "What youre not being told about U.S. missiles striking Russia Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 50% OFF the Vantage plan during their biggest sale of the yearbut only for a limited time Thanks to Ground News for sponsoring this video. The United States recently unlocked ATACMs missiles for long range strikes into Russian territory. What does it mean for the war in Ukraine and where do things go from here Could this cause World War [--] to spark Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=7uT18U-RH10) 2024-11-29T18:30Z 27.1K followers, 65.6K engagements "Trump's New Plan for the Economy is Worse Than You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Donald Trump is pushing America the closest it's ever been to a centrally planned economy - where the president calls all the shots and makes economic choices on behalf of the entire nation. Unfortunately this has terrible historical precedents - centrally planned economies almost never do well. In this video I look at Trump's economy including tariffs interest rates and his attempts to control the Federal" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=9bdrhvWhHKI) 2025-05-26T18:31Z 165K followers, 115.1K engagements "Russia Can't Survive the Oil Price Crash In response to Trump's tariffs global oil prices have begun crashing. For Russia and Vladimir Putin that's bad news - Russia can't survive low oil prices. In this video I talk about Russia's war against Ukraine the state of the Russian economy and what lower global energy prices mean for Russia's future. Spoiler alert: the factors that caused the collapse of the Soviet Union are now in play once again. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=CESHnNcC5gs) 2025-04-10T06:34Z 139K followers, 233.7K engagements "Russias New Strategy Has ALREADY Failed Russia has been trying a new strategy in their war against Ukraine. It isn't working. As just the latest iteration in failed strategies it also reveals Russia's increasing desperation and their inability to sustain the war in its current format. In this analysis of the war in Ukraine I look at how Russia's strategies have been adjusted throughout the war and how this reveals a military that was wholly unprepared for the kind of war that it itself started. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=CezaP4uOnjM) 2025-09-10T05:06Z 290K followers, 245.6K engagements "Russias Economic Crisis is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine the economic devastation in Russia is undeniable. And yet Russia is doing all they can to deny it. Officially the Kremlin touts strong GDP growth in Russia despite the war as a sign of a strong and flourishing economy. But behind the scenes when one actually looks at the balance sheet there's a different picture forming. In this video I take a close look at the" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Cxfj7qP5Ltk) 2025-06-25T21:56Z 178K followers, 240.9K engagements "Russian Soldiers Killed My Cousin (and attacked my family) Russian soldiers killed my cousin in Ukraine in July. What Russia did next tells you everything you need to know about who's right and who's wrong in the war in Ukraine. Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=DmoXoB-HjT4) 2025-02-11T02:59Z 55.7K followers, [----] engagements "Russia is NOT the Soviet Union (it's much worse) We talk a lot about the Russian economy and how current trends caused by the war in Ukraine could create the conditions for an economic collapse. But how realistic is that In this video I take a look at what caused the Soviet Union to collapse and demonstrate how modern Russia shows all the same symptoms - only much worse. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=EYCj9cp_AJk) 2025-01-20T22:48Z 47.4K followers, [----] engagements "Russia is QUICKLY Losing its Ability to Wage War Ukraine's strikes against Russia are beginning to have a large impact. Whether they be drones or Flamingo Missiles military targets or infrastructure Russia's ability to continue fighting is being severely ground down by well targeted hits. On one hand Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. On the other hand the military can't acquire sufficient equipment to make meaningful offensives. The rampant shortages on the home front as" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FLTlZUsi6d0) 2025-09-12T03:19Z 292K followers, 595K engagements "This Is The Crisis China Has Been Waiting For Trump's trade war with China carries serious risks. Few people truly understand them. In this video I discuss whether China would dump U.S. treasury bonds what this would do to the value of the dollar and what the risk of inflation really is. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FSLVs0SqJQY) 2025-04-23T05:12Z 229K followers, 383.9K engagements "How (and why) Moscow Keeps Siberia Stuck in the Dark Ages Let's talk about what's going on in Siberia and how they're reacting to the War in Ukraine. We take a brief dive into Siberian history and then talk about modern Siberia and even China. Watch my full-length documentary on Siberia's history on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/4gMrVgIf120si=GaoBqOpeHpMm4P7I Watch my previous discussion on Siberia: https://youtu.be/Gvpo7Uuj43w Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FcoHhBFLAeI) 2024-10-17T17:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The Collapse of Americas Arms Industry Has Already Begun Protect your internet privacy with Private Internet Access: https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest victim is the U.S. arms trade - and with it American military power as a whole. In this video I talk about why losing the U.S. arms trade will be so catastrophic and why Trump's policies towards Ukraine are costing the U.S. far more money than they are saving. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=GgtdDEV0pfA) 2025-04-02T19:27Z 144K followers, 285.9K engagements "STOP Believing This LIE About Russia When analyzing Russia's war against Ukraine many make the mistake of comparing Russia to the Soviet Union. But since Russia is only a vestige of the former Soviet Union this leads people to overestimate Russia's strengths and underestimate Russia's weaknesses. In this video I examine how we should REALLY think about Russia including its history and why it has gone to war with Ukraine. The answers may surprise you You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=H--ypsmzVUE) 2025-07-09T04:43Z 191K followers, 219.9K engagements "Still think Russia is winning the war WATCH THIS When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together all of the facts from attrition to economic warfare and show how Ukraine is not only winning - but why they actually can't lose (if they are supported for the long haul). You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=HUQnM_DUEx4) 2025-06-19T04:05Z 178K followers, 490.4K engagements "Russias New Pipeline Problem is Worse Than You Think Ukraine just ended Russian gas shipments in pipelines over its territory. This has big implications - a lot of which haven't been fully appreciated yet. In this video I look at the potential impacts especially around Moldova and Transnistria. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=HkMqMzECX34) 2025-01-05T04:04Z 44.7K followers, 243.4K engagements "Why Rebellion in Russia is Far More Likely Than You Might Think Let's talk about the possibility of rebellion in Russia. Is it a realistic possibility or just mere speculation In this video I take a look at Russia's situation as a result of the war in Ukraine and compare it to a broad history of rebellions in general to assess the likelihood. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Hr8gvLSKqU8) 2024-12-20T02:37Z 34.5K followers, 70.7K engagements "The U.S. Finally Unlocked Long Range Weapons for Ukraine - Heres how it will change the war The United States just unlocked ATACMs missiles for long range strikes into Russian territory. What does it mean for the war in Ukraine and where do things go from here Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: patreon.com/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=I-spWSivJsE) 2024-11-18T08:03Z 15.8K followers, 40.4K engagements "Why the United States is Going to War With Iran Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan The United States just bombed Iran's nuclear facilities. I discuss the reasons behind this fateful move whether or not I believe Iran was pursuing nuclear weapons and what the war between Israel Iran and now the United States could mean for a regional conflict in the Middle East and whether or not I believe this could escalate to "World War 3". You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=INv1bGaUsRc) 2025-06-22T08:11Z 191K followers, 189K engagements "The Death Spiral That Can Kill Any Democracy (were in one now) The rise and fall of democracies is an ancient story not a new one. Throughout history we have seen patterns when democracies rise up bringing prosperity to their people only to decay into dictatorships seemingly as quickly as they began. This video explains why identifying some of the fatal flaws in democracies and how we can work to overcome them for our own lifetimes. I talk about things impacting American politics the presidential elections Donald Trump and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=IxIdlnmccf4) 2025-04-24T23:06Z 153K followers, 138K engagements "Ukraine Just Turned Russias Greatest Strength Into a FATAL Weakness The cold Russian winters have often been cited as a factor that makes Russia undefeatable on the battlefield. But many people miss an important fact: this has only been true in contexts where Russia was the defender. As the invading army in their war against Ukraine it now turns out that Russia's greatest strength is becoming its greatest weakness. Ukraine has figured this out and is now actively working to make this worse for Russia this winter with pressure on Russian supply chains that Russia simply can NOT handle. You can" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=J--LOUO65vY) 2025-09-04T05:47Z 294K followers, 566.3K engagements "Russias Moral Decay is FAR Worse Than You've Been Told Many have pointed to Russian "moral superiority" over the west as an excuse for Russia's war against Ukraine. This argument holds no water. In this video I take a deep look at Russian propaganda narratives about Russian "morality" and "family values" and expose how Russia when judged by their own moral code is just as evil as the west it proposes to condemn. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=J9D3xtm0fOU) 2025-08-07T04:30Z 223K followers, 236.9K engagements "Why Siberia Might Actually Secede From Russia Siberia is a very unique piece of territory that few people truly understand. Due to Russia's war against Ukraine some interesting trends have emerged in Siberia. In this video I draw a line through Siberia's dark history from the Russian Empire to the Soviet Union to the Russian Federation. I ask the questions "Would Siberia ever want to secede and if so could they" Then to tie it all off I bring China into the picture. Whatever happens one thing is clear - history in the making is far more fascinating than we ever imagined. You can support my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=JSCdZHsvR9w) 2025-09-30T00:30Z 301K followers, 353.4K engagements "The War in Ukraine Has ALREADY Completely Changed Humanitys Future.but no one's talking about it Russia's war against Ukraine has already changed the course of human history - many people just don't know it yet. The rise of drone warfare especially in the latter years of the war is a seismic shift in how warfare is fought. That has massive implications - not just from a technological standpoint but also from a logistical standpoint and it could reshape the nature of power dynamics and which nations have large geopolitical advantages in the future. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=JfvGTL_k9aE) 2025-07-08T06:01Z 189K followers, 224.7K engagements "What youre not being told about Trump and Ukraine Let's talk about Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential election and what it means for Ukraine. Will aid end And if so what will that actually do to Ukraine Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=L9_17sjZNz8) 2024-11-17T04:44Z 27.1K followers, 177.3K engagements "Debunking the Most Dangerous Myth About NATO Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg It's become fashionable to blame NATO for freeloading off of the United States lately. On the surface this argument seems to have some merit - most NATO nations have chronically underspent on defense while the United States has invested huge amounts. But there is much more to the reality than at first meets the eye. In this episode I talk about the history of NATO and why the U.S. has always turned a blind eye to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=LZ7Kk-KYJ-w) 2025-05-20T17:04Z 165K followers, 154.2K engagements "Could Russia Actually Lose Kaliningrad Kaliningrad might be the most unique piece of Russian territory. In this video I dive deep into Kaliningrad's history and current events around the territory that have been brought about by the War in Ukraine. The big question: might Kaliningrad actually secede from Russia Join me for this lesson on history and current events. 0:00 - Preview 0:48 - Regular Video Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Q4-93m74qzc) 2025-02-07T06:07Z 56.3K followers, 314.5K engagements "What everyones missing about Trump & Zelenskyys fight Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Trump Vance and Zelenskyy's fight in the Oval Office of the White House is big news. But who's really correct In this video I carefully break down every key moment of the argument and respond to what's happening to show which side is clearly right and which side is clearly wrong. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Watch the full conversation here:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=QNHCzJqYb3U) 2025-03-02T17:26Z 72.8K followers, 64.1K engagements "The Roman Empire Reveals How Russia Will Collapse Empires rise and fall and Russia is just one in a long string of failed empires over human history. Let's talk about the Russian economy and how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine. I discuss Russia's "war chest" the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Rxg5p4JV8W8) 2025-04-07T17:49Z 180K followers, 447.6K engagements "The Only REAL Way to Stop the War in Ukraine Lots of people are talking about peace in Ukraine. That of course is what we all want. But is it actually realistic given today's circumstances In this video I take a deep and honest look at the actual facts on the ground and what will actually need to happen for the war in Ukraine to arrive at an ultimate and final resolution. We examine historical precedents for peace plans like this one the specific history of Russia and Ukraine the psychology of Vladimir Putin and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=SA0ElLkqrTE) 2025-01-19T15:42Z 193K followers, 87.1K engagements "Russia is Still Losing the War.and it's not even close There's been a lot of attention on the front lines in the Ukraine War lately. In particular Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar have made headlines with Russia claiming they captured the cities. But this wasn't actually true. That brings to mind deeper questions - are these targets actually highly strategically important or are they more important merely as propaganda objectives for Russia to show a sense of "progress" in their war You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TKqrtc_FGVc) 2025-08-08T06:05Z 220K followers, 199.1K engagements "Russia is NOT the Soviet Union (its much worse) We talk a lot about the Russian economy and how current trends caused by the war in Ukraine could create the conditions for an economic collapse. But how realistic is that In this video I take a look at what caused the Soviet Union to collapse and demonstrate how modern Russia shows all the same symptoms - only much worse. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TdAAUoJ065o) 2024-12-22T05:50Z 48.4K followers, 234.7K engagements "A Tsunami Just Crippled Russia's Nuclear Fleet One of Russia's most important nuclear naval bases just got hit by a massive earthquake. And a tsunami. And there's a volcano in the area too. Let's talk about it and the little discussed aspects of why its all significant. I cover everything from the Russian Orthodox Church to Russian propaganda to Russia's nuclear deterrence to China's relationship with Russia. You'll be surprised how well it all fits together. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TwSIL-wIHgw) 2025-07-31T06:07Z 288K followers, 552.1K engagements "Something is Going DEEPLY Wrong in Russia Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free It's no secret that Russia's economy is struggling to keep up with the demands of their war against Ukraine. And yet until now the Russian government has done all they can to deny this reality. But now even the Kremlin can't hide the economic devastation. Vladimir Putin has admitted that the war is taking a massive toll on Russian society - though perhaps he himself didn't realize it - by promising to lower Russia's military budget even while" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=XzKIyudC_tA) 2025-07-01T00:38Z 179K followers, 251.9K engagements "Debunking the Biggest Success Story of Trumps Tariffs Create your own daily newsletter with ReadPartner. Get 70% off for the first [--] months: https://readpartner.com/promo/paulwarburgvia=paulwarburg Donald Trump's tariffs have been controversial to say the least. Some say they are destroying the U.S. (and global) economy. Others say they have already brought back massive investment to the United States including massive investments from companies like TSMC building fabs in Arizona. In this video I take a close look at the REAL factors driving TSMC investment to demonstrate why tariffs are NOT" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=YHd0HBURR5w) 2025-04-08T16:29Z 140K followers, 116.7K engagements "Why Russia hasn't actually collapsed.yet Lots of people think that because Russia hasn't collapsed yet it will never happen. So let's take a closer look chatting about the Russian economy how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine what's allowing it to hold on for so long and why that's coming to an end. I discuss Russia's "war chest" the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Z3y24IcV3KE) 2025-07-17T16:46Z 198K followers, 359.2K engagements "America Just Shattered [--] Years of Global Progress Donald Trump's tariffs are having a massive impact on global trade. Stock markets crashed and then soared as tariffs were put in place and then paused. But the truth is that the potential for a recession or economic collapse is far from behind us. In this video I talk about the lasting impacts of Trump's trade wars and the most important factor that most people including Wall Street seem to be ignoring - human psychology in the face of broken trust. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZgnsYaIgG7I) 2025-04-10T23:34Z 139K followers, 436.9K engagements "Are Russia's Oligarchs About to Turn on Putin Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan 0:00 - Preview 0:57 - Main Video Let's talk about assassination attempts against Vladimir Putin. He's clearly afraid of them. But are they a genuine threat And if so would such a situation actually be helpful for Ukraine or would it just lead to more of the same Don't miss this latest analysis on Russia's invasion of Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZzPLZMDReCw) 2025-01-29T22:00Z 49.1K followers, 46.7K engagements "5000 Years of Military History Predict Russia's Defeat in Ukraine The news is constantly telling us that Russia "has the momentum" in its war against Ukraine. This couldn't be further from the truth. Such headlines focus solely on the area that's moving the slowest - the front line - rather than the areas where the real action is actually happening. Behind the scenes in economics technology and more Russia is losing momentum - and fast. On the front lines Russia is barely moving. And in all the important ways when we look carefully we see that Ukraine has the momentum and is on a trajectory" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=_Ix4gGWY-Bs) 2025-08-16T05:47Z 239K followers, 189.5K engagements "The EU FINALLY Called Putins Bluff Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This week we have some great news in regards to the war in Ukraine. The European Union is finally stepping up in a major way that will likely guarantee Ukraine's eventual victory over Russia. They are ramping up military aid at a time when they are being intentionally excluded by Trump and the United States from the Ukraine/Russia peace talks process. Vladimir Putin is obviously upset and responding with propaganda and" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=_OgmSUhKpXA) 2025-03-23T16:01Z 137K followers, 355.2K engagements "Russias Population Collapse is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg Russia has a massive demographic crisis - covering everything from their birth rate (fertility rate) immigration numbers and of course the War in Ukraine. In our lifetimes this could easily lead to the weakening (or collapse) of the Russian state. Let's examine all of the numbers and ask the most important question of all - if this is the case why did Putin start his war against Ukraine and make things even" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=aB50omUM8_8) 2025-04-28T22:54Z 180K followers, 661.5K engagements "What you're not being told about Russia's economy Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to the Russian economy. We discuss the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject This video is" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=a_PQG7gM8aU) 2024-10-27T06:06Z 296K followers, 137.7K engagements "Why Russias Manpower Situation is FAR Worse Than Ukraines "Ukraine is running out of soldiers." It's become the most common narrative saying that Ukraine cannot win the war against Russia In this video I explain why this is FAR from true. I look at the actual recruitment numbers between Ukraine and Russia put those numbers in context address some common misconceptions and more. You'll see that far from losing Ukraine is well equipped to win its war against Russia. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=bOiwLwwujJ4) 2025-08-18T19:35Z 241K followers, 215.4K engagements "What everyone is missing about Ukraines ceasefire proposal The United States' attitude towards Ukraine continues to flip back and forth as "peace talks" on Russia's war against Ukraine progress. Now the United States has resumed military aid to Ukraine less than a week after pausing it. What's actually going on Could a ceasefire actually move the world closer to peace Or is it all just political posturing and a continued attempt to negotiate a better minerals deal You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=c1i-9ucX4Rg) 2025-03-12T16:56Z 97.3K followers, 226.5K engagements "What happens if the war doesnt end soon What happens if the war in Ukraine continues for another [--] years [--] years How about even [--] years It's a scenario that few have explored in detail. In this video I look at the implications if the war continues - from a humanitarian perspective a strategic perspective an economic perspective a technological perspective and a regional perspective. Then I offer some solutions and practical ways forward to actually end the war faster. I discuss the need for aid to Ukraine the different types of aid that can be offered and how it can be given to Ukraine at a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gdjlfVoEchg) 2025-07-25T17:33Z 214K followers, 99.9K engagements "Russias Energy Crisis is MUCH Worse Than We Thought Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. This is quickly becoming a bigger deal than a lot of people realize. On the international revenue front Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. On the domestic front rampant shortages show that Ukraine's strikes have reached a critical point where Russia" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=hNgnF9v6Emw) 2025-09-18T18:56Z 298K followers, 664.8K engagements "Why is North Korea Already Sending More Troops to Ukraine Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan More North Korean troops are entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against heavy losses. What does that reveal about Russia's war against Ukraine and the potential for NATO troops to support Ukraine You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=haCg7OWHGFU) 2025-02-28T20:02Z 71.3K followers, 39.8K engagements "What youre not being told about the cost of the Ukraine War The cost of the war in Ukraine has been a huge sticking point in both the United States and Europe. Citizens and legislators alike complain about how expensive it is to continue funding Ukraine and sending them weapons to defend themselves against Russia. But the truth is far different from the narrative. In this video I break down what the dollars being spent on Ukraine REALLY amount to and prove that supporting Ukraine is far easier and more affordable than it is often made out to be. In fact I argue persuasively that not only is" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=jaJhkmwz4GE) 2025-04-05T21:59Z 138K followers, 133.6K engagements "Putin Just Accidentally Revealed The Quickest Way to Defeat Russia Russia's war against Ukraine has permanently damaged their standing in the global economy. Now Russia has few trading partners and the ones that remain are only "fair weather friends." As we see the world quickly moving towards completely abandoning the Russian economy Vladimir Putin is getting desperate revealing his hand and showing the world that scares him the most. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lnEbjp9h5dE) 2025-08-15T05:31Z 231K followers, 463.1K engagements "What everyone is missing about Russia's arms industry collapse Let's talk about the Russian arms industry. It's eroding FAST. And that means a lot more for Russia than just a few lost rubles in weapons sales. What's even worse for Russia the nation that might replace them is.Ukraine. Take a deeper look in this video. Explore the impact of the decline in Russian arms production and the implications for the country's military capabilities and soft power. Check out my in-depth analysis of Russia's arms industry collapse on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/NZ8AKZLZzYUsi=L9suq1nLQ4L0LR9T You" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=mo2yGXp2bnQ) 2024-12-19T03:38Z 33.9K followers, 156.6K engagements "History Tells Us How the Ukraine War Could End (it's worse than you think) When it comes to ending Russia's war against Ukraine Donald Trump has made big promises coming forward with many plans and theories. None of them have worked. In this video I discuss what's really going on in Ukraine and what history teaches us about the only way to firmly end this conflict while saving the most lives possible. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=nDqn27gl2vg) 2025-07-01T22:48Z 192K followers, 167.2K engagements "Could Russia Actually Lose Kaliningrad Kaliningrad might be the most unique piece of Russian territory. In this video I dive deep into the big question: might Kaliningrad actually secede from Russia Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=obrwvWGOc_I) 2025-02-09T22:34Z 54.2K followers, [----] engagements "Can Ukraine Survive Without U.S. Aid The situation looks bad. The United States has paused its military support to Ukraine - perhaps briefly perhaps permanently. What does this mean for the future of Ukraine's war against Russia Will Ukraine continue to hold its own Or will it be forced to surrender In this video I give an update and analysis of the current state of Russia's war against Ukraine including the potential for a peace plan and how Ukraine is doing against Russia right now. I cover U.S. aid European aid Ukrainian native capabilities strategic and tactical options whether Donald" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=oxUvzAa0DIk) 2025-03-06T02:12Z 74.9K followers, 78K engagements "Ukraine Just Outsmarted Russia in the Most Embarrassing Way Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free Russia's latest offensive against Ukraine may have actually been a trap. Their salient near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar made big headlines only to be quickly beaten back by Ukrainian special forces from the Azov Brigade. It matches the pattern of other traps Ukraine has set for Russia throughout the war. The implications of this are large.and they are still relevant even if this wasn't a trick. From now on Russia will have" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=pWvhRNbzxuk) 2025-08-31T20:58Z 287K followers, 482.2K engagements "How Trumps Ukraine Plan Makes Nuclear War MORE Likely Trump's Ukraine peace plan is very publicly based on the risk of nuclear war with Russia. Trump sees Russia's nukes as an existential threat to be avoided at all costs. But are these concerns correctly placed Russia has threatened to use nukes over [--] times since they invaded Ukraine with many famous "nuclear red lines." But with every red line crossed the risk of Russia's nukes looks dubious at best. However by playing into this hand we actually DO create a more risky nuclear world - in a way that might be at first unintuitive. In this" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=qXten9-Rsrs) 2025-03-25T19:27Z 119K followers, 68.5K engagements "Russia is Trying to Pull Transnistria Into the War (again) Ukraine just ended Russian gas shipments in pipelines over its territory. This has big implications - a lot of which haven't been fully appreciated yet. In this video I take a second look at the potential impacts especially around Moldova and Transnistria and argue that Russia may be trying to open up a new front in the Ukraine war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=qezEm0jiHvs) 2025-01-07T05:44Z 44.6K followers, 96K engagements "What Everyone is Getting Wrong About North Korean Soldiers in Ukraine Let's talk about North Korean troops entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against Russia's losses - and what it might have to do with Russia and China. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=sGfKmXQehFg) 2024-10-25T04:30Z 296K followers, 205.5K engagements "Why Tariffs Could Make America's Border Crisis Even Worse Donald Trump's proposed tariffs have been big news. Included has been a proposal for a 25% tariff on goods originating from Mexico which hasn't yet gone away. But what if this tariff actually makes America's border problems with Mexico worse in long term In this video I examine how tariffs fail to address the underlying root causes of illegal immigration to the United States and instead have the potential to make that root cause much much worse. 0:00 - Preview 0:40 - Regular Video You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=tbVn-hRs5dg) 2025-02-26T03:04Z 70.1K followers, 27.1K engagements "Putin No Longer Trusts His Own Soldiersthats worse than you think As Russia continues it war against Ukraine stories of disorder within the Russian military are far from rare. For most Russian soldiers they aren't in Ukraine out of a sense of patriotism or duty but rather out of a desire for large paychecks. But what happens when the war in Ukraine ends and these soldiers return home en masse I examine that in this video and why it more than likely impacts the psychology of Vladimir Putin and his decision making process when it comes to the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=tb_1sHfmUXk) 2025-07-19T03:55Z 214K followers, 152.8K engagements "We Need to Talk About "NATO Expansion" Vladimir Putin has used the myth of NATO expansion to try to justify his invasion of Ukraine. But his narrative has no basis in historical reality. In this video I discuss Russian propaganda the real history of NATO and the Soviet Union and why other countries joining NATO is actually the opposite of NATO aggression. Article of Gorbachev refuting Putin's claims about NATO expansion: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/did-nato-promise-not-to-enlarge-gorbachev-says-no/ You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=tjexjmGa5IA) 2025-07-23T17:15Z 216K followers, 166.6K engagements "I Have Some Difficult News to Share An update on my son and where I've been for the last several weeks. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=twh2npprv0A) 2025-06-12T16:26Z 176K followers, 352.4K engagements "Russia is Trapped in Their Warand the implications are terrifying Russia is continuing their war against Ukraine full steam ahead even though it's become increasingly clear that the nation cannot sustain its cost or casualty toll. But as Russia hits over a million casualties and even Vladimir Putin has to admit that the Russian economy is struggling Putin is also doubling down on the war effort making no signs of being interested in peace talks and doubling down on his objectives. Why In short it's becoming increasingly clear that for Vladimir Putin defeat is simply not an option. He will" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=uX86uaex0-A) 2025-07-11T04:43Z 192K followers, 374K engagements "Is the United States FINALLY Changing Course on Ukraine The United States has paused the delivery of Patriot missiles to Ukraine. But that's not the full story. There's a lot of key details that are being left out of the analysis which when combined with details from previous episodes of Trump's actions on Ukraine paint a clearer picture. I explain what appears to be Trump's strategy towards Ukraine and the implications of what it means for Ukraine Russia and The United States. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=w0D93ndf0cE) 2025-07-07T04:17Z 191K followers, 148K engagements "Europe Might ACTUALLY Send Troops to Ukraine Now Boris Johnson just made a big statement that Europe should send troops to Ukraine BEFORE a ceasefire. He is now very explicitly calling Putin's bluff in Russia's war against Ukraine and encouraging actions that will actually stop Putin. This is a big change from former statements which have been very careful to only talk about sending troops to Ukraine AFTER a ceasefire is implemented as a peacekeeping force. It could signal a big change in the Ukraine War - one that's even bigger than I anticipated and something that is very encouraging for an" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=wGKQnO0TIuo) 2025-09-14T06:47Z 297K followers, 205.8K engagements "Russia's Demographic Crisis is a Ticking Time Bomb Let's talk about demographics. It might sound boring but it's actually a fascinating story of what's going on in Russia right now - and how it traces its way at least as far back as World War II. We talk about Russia's aging population how it's being made worse by Putin's war in Ukraine and more. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=wPbd1VbXqeQ) 2024-10-22T03:00Z 295K followers, 14.4K engagements "Why the News Doesnt Even Try to Be Honest Anymore The news has changed in recent decades. It's goal is no longer primarily to inform but rather to entertain. This is why most people hate watching networks like Fox News and CNN and why there are twice as many people who actively avoid the news as there are who actively watch the news. I talk about the history of journalism how we got here and what to do about it. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=wsmThEcYU80) 2025-05-24T00:44Z 163K followers, 67.8K engagements "The Siege of Crimea Has Already Begunbut nobodys talking about it Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I expand on my previous video to show why Crimea not only can and will be taken - but how it already is being taken and how Russia is already beginning to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=wzWjnZte6dI) 2025-08-01T05:00Z 216K followers, 391.3K engagements "Russias military is being totally paralyzed Ukraine has a "new" strategy on the battlefield that is literally crippling the Russian military. It's already forced them to stall their summer offensive.and it can do a whole lot more. But it's not what you might think. In this video I talk about how Ukraine is using Russia's greatest strength to defeat them making short work of Russian supply lines and potentially preparing for something big. Source for much of this video: https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/nationalist-vigilantes-are-now-policing-russias-streets-02732125 You can support my work by" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=x0nvJ1Ehi-M) 2025-07-29T01:36Z 213K followers, 336.1K engagements "North Korean Troops in Ukraine are Worse Than You Think Let's talk about North Korean troops entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against Russia's losses - and what it might have to do with Russia and China. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=xZUnt_YaevM) 2024-10-19T05:30Z 35.9K followers, 193.6K engagements "The Hidden Reasons Ukraine is CONFIDENT About Recapturing Crimea One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I talk about how Ukraine actually CAN retake Crimea and why it could surprisingly be much easier than most people even imagine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=y3onBGqcHHk) 2025-07-19T23:37Z 199K followers, 499.8K engagements "Russia Just Declared War On My Channel Go to my sponsor https://venice.ai/paulwarburg and use code paulwarburg to enjoy private uncensored AI. Using my code will get you 20% off a Pro plan. Russia has declared war on my channel and it appears that Vladimir Putin might be watching. Recently viewers discovered an AI version of me spreading Russian talking points about the war in Ukraine. But the conversation is deeper than that. In this video I talk about Russia's information warfare strategy and the surprising reasons they do what they do. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=88tYt6FOMkQ) 2026-02-13T20:34Z 381K followers, 131.1K engagements "Something BIG Has Changed on the Front Lines in Ukraine The nature of Russia's war against Ukraine is changing. Russia ability to conduct offensives against Ukrainian positions is slowing allowing Ukraine to build up a surplus of material. That in turn has led to a surprising development - Ukraine is increasingly going on the offensive. In this video I look at the latest updates in the Ukraine War including how drones continue to change the nature of the battlefield and how Ukraine continues to put more pressure on Russia than ever before. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=_oVgqYvEA6I) 2026-02-13T06:03Z 381K followers, 386.3K engagements "Russias Starlink Crisis is Much Worse Than We Thought The Russian military's loss of access to Starlink has proven to be far more detrimental to their war against Ukraine than initially thought. This video examines the critical impact on the frontlines of the war in Ukraine exploring how Elon Musk's decision affects both Russian and Ukrainian forces. I dive deep into the implications for both Russia and Ukraine and how Putin's reaction shows how desperate Russia really is. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Become" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Xa8u9LfpA88) 2026-02-11T01:36Z 381K followers, 272.2K engagements "The Situation in Iran Is Worse Than We Thought Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=q2mEuKAjgVI) 2026-02-07T05:13Z 381K followers, 214.9K engagements "Russia Just Lost One of Their Most Important Assets (in a single night) Go to https://surfshark.com/warburg or use code WARBURG at checkout to get [--] extra months of Surfshark VPN Russia just lost access to Starlink. The implications are huge - but the most important ones are even bigger than most people realize. In this video I go deep into what the loss of Starlink means for the Russian military - and the Ukrainian military - and why Elon Musk has now finally made this decision. *Ways to support the channel* Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ektv4uJMGBw) 2026-02-06T04:38Z 381K followers, 353.9K engagements "Russia CAN'T Get Rid of Their Gold.that's causing major problems for Putin Russia is facing a similar problem to the one that brought down the Qing Dynasty (the Chinese Empire). They are running out of the ability to pay their soldiers. But the problem goes much deeper than that. In this video I dive deep into the apparent contrast between Russia's on-paper gold reserves and what they are actually able to convert into usable currency in reality. We cover inflation the decline of the ruble how and why China is seeding Russia with their own currency (the Yuan) and much more. This video includes" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=c8IstsI_sEQ) 2026-01-27T21:04Z 381K followers, 234.7K engagements "This Trump Move Was Easy to Miss But It Explains a Lot Browse Ekster's New Year's Sale (up to 48% off) today before it ends and get an extra 20% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG20 (available for a limited time) https://partner.ekster.com/paulwarburg As he prepares for midterm elections Donald Trump has been making moves in domestic politics that have gone unnoticed by most of the international community. Focused on Greenland Venezuela Ukraine Iran tariffs and more it's easy to miss the significance of what Trump is trying to in America's housing market. That in turn reveals a lot about" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=PI-AAXI_oSo) 2026-01-24T17:28Z 381K followers, 238K engagements "Russia Just Reached Its Worst Tipping Point Yet 👉 Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PAULWARJAN4 🔐 100% Discount for the first [----] people 💥 Dive deep into AI and Learn Automations Build AI Agents Make videos & images all for free 🎁 Bonuses valued at $5100+ if you join and attend Thanks to Outskill for sponsoring today's video. Russia just crossed a crucial tipping point in their war against Ukraine. They are now losing more soldiers than they can replace on a monthly basis. That's obviously a big deal but it's even bigger than it looks once you" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=bNAe6d7GdHs) 2026-01-22T04:39Z 381K followers, 330.8K engagements "Russia is FREAKING OUT About Frances Latest Announcement Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan France just made a MASSIVE announcement that has both Russia and the United States rattled. They are now providing Ukraine with the bulk of their foreign military intelligence replacing the United States and removing the most of the remaining leverage the United States had over Ukraine to pressure them into an early peace deal. This changes the nature of the war in many ways but also has important" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=OnKsOqScVJM) 2026-01-19T19:31Z 381K followers, 306.5K engagements "Dont Be Fooled - Iran Has Crossed the Point of No Return Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. In fact things have now reached a tipping point and the Ayatollah has a plan to flee to Russia. Donald Trump has threatened military intervention which could be imminent. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place - except it's actually even worse. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=TSeTrtvWxXo) 2026-01-15T02:29Z 381K followers, 208.3K engagements "The U.S. Plan for Greenland is Worse Than You Think The United States is weighing its options for taking over Greenland. They have not ruled out military force and continually bring up the topic of the threat from Russia and China as their justification. However there's more to this than meets the eye. In this video I discuss the true strategic value of Greenland why the U.S. really wants it whether or not the United States would invade Greenland and what all of this means for the NATO alliance. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=EUD4dFx3dbQ) 2026-01-14T05:02Z 381K followers, 302.1K engagements "Russia is Absolutely PANICKING About Venezuela Right Now The U.S. capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro has Russia extremely worried - and it could have a big impact on the war in Ukraine. There are implications for the Russian shadow fleet and for Russian oil in general. On top of that it sets a global precedent that does not look good for Russia to say the least. I discuss all of it why it's so bad for Putin's reputation and where things go from here. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=lviDlq0MhFM) 2026-01-10T04:55Z 381K followers, 743.4K engagements "They're Lying to You About Venezuela The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on showing in very clear detail why the stated justifications simply aren't true. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=9Up4UhKlUvk) 2026-01-06T06:16Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements "This is ALREADY Russia's Worst Year Yet [----] just started but it's already shaping up to be a terrible year for Russia. Already teetering due to their war in Ukraine this is the year that attrition will catch up with Russia in a major way. Their energy infrastructure is being attacked more and more every day their economy is crumbling their ability to recruit soldiers is weakening and so much more. On top of that they could potentially lose two major strategic partners in Iran and Venezuela. And as all of this happens Ukraine's ability to resist is only becoming greater. Let's take a look at" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=dqeQHL_p0es) 2026-01-05T03:17Z 381K followers, 507.6K engagements "The U.S. Attack on Venezuela is Worse Than You Think The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on as well as the most likely paths forward. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=nzOujqUURXY) 2026-01-04T07:08Z 381K followers, 514.6K engagements "The Iran Protests are Becoming Truly Insane Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why it's so scary for the Ayatollah regime. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=WUBdxFUWwjU) 2026-01-03T17:12Z 381K followers, 530.1K engagements "This May Be the Worst News Putin Has Ever Gotten Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has unveiled a new game changer in its war against Russia. A new network of fortifications and trenches that the Russian military will absolutely be unable to penetrate. I discuss the fortifications themselves and why they are so significant as well as what they mean for the current peace talks and how they change the overall strategy and nature of the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=xkWFLb1bi8Y) 2025-12-31T00:48Z 381K followers, 673.2K engagements "Putin Just Suffered ANOTHER Crippling Blow There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia just lost a top ranking general with a very important job. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this event goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this could be a game-changing event in the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gGHwMhQIc8U) 2025-12-23T23:33Z 381K followers, 461.7K engagements "Putin Just Got Some REALLY Bad News There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Europe just approved a new $90b loan to fund the Ukrainian government for the next two years. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this loan goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this is a game-changing event in the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=c_oh1GKWq38) 2025-12-21T23:13Z 381K followers, 494K engagements "Whats Trump REALLY doing in Venezuela right now The United States has blockaded Venezuela under the direction of Donald Trump. The idea is to stop the transit of sanctioned oil tankers and some have begun to speculate that this could mean war. But there's a few aspects here that most people seem to be missing. I put together the pieces here to lay out how likely a U.S. war with Venezuela really is in light of the overarching geopolitics that led us to this point at this time. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=cYJb446jJcg) 2025-12-20T20:09Z 381K followers, 264.4K engagements "Ukraine Never Ceases to Amaze Me Browse Ekster's Christmas Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg In Russia's war against Ukraine much of the mainstream media seems convinced that Ukraine is losing. Even after four years of warfare with Ukraine showing what it can do Russia's large size still has many people convinced that the war is hopeless for Ukraine. However history and reality paint a different picture. In this video I talk about how history shows why countries in Ukraine's situation" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=5ypENPt3JbU) 2025-12-19T23:17Z 381K followers, 341.8K engagements "Russias Point of No Return is Closer Than We Thought Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan In their war against Ukraine Russia has always projected an aura of unstoppable strength. It's never been true. Every time Russia has said something the world has seen that the reality is far different than the story. But that doesn't stop Russia from trying. In this video I talk about why Russia's remaining strength has been vastly overplayed from economic power based on gold reserves to the amount of" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=veU6ImhbCoQ) 2025-12-18T18:40Z 381K followers, 445.3K engagements "Why is America Intentionally Throwing Away its Global Power The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest development is a new National Security Strategy that undermines the post-WWII global order that the United States built with much effort and intentionality. The U.S. has expressed a desire to abandon former allies and global dominance to focus on regional power instead. This comes on the back of an already highly unsuccessful tariff strategy that undermined trade relationships and the relevance of the U.S. dollar. In" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=0OkMX1a4h00) 2025-12-15T23:05Z 381K followers, 356.2K engagements "Yes Russia is Really Running Out of Money Because of their war against Ukraine Russia is quickly running out of money. There are now several indicators that things have reached a tipping point. Russia has lost the ability to fund military bonuses and pay in several regions and they have simultaneously begun to sell off gold to curb inflation. The question to ask though is why didn't Russia sell their gold sooner and how much do they really have left that they can sell When we consider everything we realize that Russia is far closer to ruin than even they may realize. You can support my work" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=ifkfEE4G7fk) 2025-12-14T15:47Z 381K followers, 303.7K engagements "Russia Just Reached a Critical Tipping Point In their war against Ukraine Russia has suffered massive casualties. The one thing keeping Russia going has been their ability to continue to fill their ranks. And that has just changed. Many Russian regions are now struggling to meet their recruitment quotas and on top of that they are also being forced to lower the signing bonuses they can offer. Simply put Russia is running out of money. Printing rubles won't cut it any more and without the ability to fill their ranks with recruits in exchange for stacks of cash Putin's ability to wage war is" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gOAjhIeDhGk) 2025-12-10T17:41Z 381K followers, 570.6K engagements "Ukraine Just Unleashed a Secret Weapon Behind Russias Front Lines Many people say that Ukraine can't possibly win its war against Russia because Russia is a much larger opponent. But this doesn't match even with Russia's own recent history. In this video I talk about the growing Ukrainian insurgency movement in the occupied Donbas region and how it is making a meaningful difference on the battlefield. I map this to the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan a war that they ultimately lost due to insurgency. I then talk about why this matters for any peace deals between Ukraine and Russia" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=QnOa87t5Uv8) 2025-12-09T18:35Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements "Ukraine is Now Striking Russias Shadow Fleet Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This is a first in the Ukraine War. Ukraine has humiliated Vladimir Putin. They've struck two Russian shadow fleet vessels - and claimed credit for it. This isn't just another strike it's a message. In this video we take a deep look at Ukraine's strategy against Russia covering both economic and psychological warfare to show how devastatingly effective Ukraine's strategy really is. You can support my work by becoming" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=HESOtE9Mz7A) 2025-12-01T00:25Z 381K followers, 233.6K engagements "Why Russia Is Desperately Selling Off Its Gold Visit https://baer.skin/paul to lock in your 60% Off on the BRSkin Hoodie Russia is quickly selling off its gold - to a peculiar buyer. The deeper you look the worse it gets with some big indications for the Russian economy and the Russian government as a whole. I take a deep look in this video from Russia's reserves to the ruble to inflation and more to show how we can see some things very clearly that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin would prefer to hide. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=Fwov_ApqBgg) 2025-11-29T04:22Z 381K followers, 344.3K engagements "Why China is Suddenly Turning Against Russia Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/WARBURG25 to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $25 - plus free shipping - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Sale ends soon so use coupon code WARBURG25 to claim yours today Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine China has been taking advantage of the Ukraine War to make several moves against Russia - particularly in Siberia and the Russian Far East. The risk to Putin and Moscow has become even more pronounced as the Kremlin's financial position has weakened and they have lost the ability to provide" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=cxuSjPQ5YRk) 2025-11-27T23:31Z 381K followers, 513K engagements "Why India is Suddenly Abandoning Russia Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg India and China are abandoning Russian oil seemingly overnight. For years Russia's shadow fleet has evaded sanctions and continued sales to China and India. Most people assumed this was for idealogical reasons and that India and China were Russia's allies. But now that's been flipped on its head showing the relationships are based on little more than mere convenience and personal" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=qCV1dXtst60) 2025-11-26T05:07Z 381K followers, 293.4K engagements "Let's Crush the Biggest Myth About the Ukraine War Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together some key facts and historical context to show why the war in Ukraine has NOT gone on too long and why the" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=3wMCTv_9alQ) 2025-11-25T03:54Z 381K followers, 249.8K engagements "Russias Attacks on Poland Are NOT What You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia destroys a Polish railway bombs a Turkish vessel and sends fresh drone incursions into Europe. This is no longer an accident - it's a pattern with a very clear goal. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. These aren't probe to see how NATO will react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=gwGZGptbmD8) 2025-11-24T05:00Z 381K followers, 242.7K engagements "Why Ukraine WON'T Sign the U.S. "Peace Deal" There's a lot of talk right now about the latest U.S. negotiations under Donald Trump to end the war in Ukraine. From Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to the offering of the same peace terms that have been rejected multiple times basically amounting to Ukrainian capitulation. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the context and content of past offers of "peace deals" to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine negotiations and where things will likely go from" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=bFtY0XZDvzA) 2025-11-23T05:00Z 381K followers, 238.5K engagements "There's a BIG Crisis Brewing for Russia in Occupied Ukraine Want to restore the planets ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos The first [---] people to join Planet Wild with my code PAUL11 will get the first month for free at: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/join If you want to get to know them better first check out their mission using art to protect marine life: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/m21 There's a looming crisis growing in Ukraine in the regions occupied by Russia. As a result of the methods Russia has used in its war against Ukraine many environmental problems" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=dp77l9lSBog) 2025-11-22T04:45Z 381K followers, 322.6K engagements "Russia is Bracing for a MASSIVE Revenue Shock Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's oil revenues are collapsing fast. Urals crude is now just $36 a barrel. That carries HUGE implications. For Russia the oil trade isn't just losing revenue - it's no longer profitable. In this video I talk about the war in Ukraine and recent developments that are going to drag down the Russian economy like never before. We learn why countries like India and China are" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FamrtOBPQ-Q) 2025-11-21T03:18Z 381K followers, 200.7K engagements "Russias Shadow Fleet Just Suffered a FATAL Blow Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities in both the Black Sea and the Baltic - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. But the impact is bigger than it might even at first seem. Combined with sanctions Ukraine's latest strikes are putting coordinated pressure on Russia's shadow fleet - and the pressure is working. China and India are abandoning Russia signaling a potential beginning of the end of the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=QD3BSXd9YvA) 2025-11-20T04:54Z 381K followers, 214.5K engagements "Ukraine Just Exposed Chinas Greatest Weakness The United States has threatened to impose secondary sanctions on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil. That's interesting but not nearly as interesting as what China's response to this move reveals. We've now seen how quickly China is willing to turn its back on its geopolitical "allies" - but that reveals a whole lot more about China than most people think. Put in the context of tariffs sanctions trade wars and economics it shows why China KNOWS a war with the west would be unviable for it. You can support my work by becoming a" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=FBNMbnfYvLk) 2025-11-13T17:36Z 381K followers, 537.1K engagements "What Everyone Gets Wrong About China Invading Taiwan Many people know that China has talks and plans for invading Taiwan. Far less people know the full history here causing them to miss the full story. While many people think of Taiwan as a modern geopolitical event the truth is that China has been talking about invading Taiwan for decades - approximately [--] years since the 1970s. Nothing has ever happened. When we understand WHY China hasn't invaded Taiwan yet and we compare it to what is happening today we begin to see a clear picture of why China would likely NOT invade Taiwan in the near" [YouTube Link](https://youtube.com/watch?v=OblBBWDgx04) 2025-11-10T18:59Z 381K followers, 482.6K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@pauljwarburg Paul WarburgPaul Warburg posts on YouTube about ukraine, russia, paul, war the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence countries #3130 finance currencies travel destinations celebrities #1590 social networks technology brands
Social topic influence ukraine #28, russia #46, paul #32, war, update #50, united states, donald trump, politics, tariffs #1740, china
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @icarusproject @hungrymindsart @theglobalgambit
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Russias Starlink Crisis is Much Worse Than We Thought The Russian military's loss of access to Starlink has proven to be far more detrimental to their war against Ukraine than initially thought. This video examines the critical impact on the frontlines of the war in Ukraine exploring how Elon Musk's decision affects both Russian and Ukrainian forces. I dive deep into the implications for both Russia and Ukraine and how Putin's reaction shows how desperate Russia really is. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Become"
YouTube Link 2026-02-11T01:36Z 381K followers, 272.2K engagements
"Russia Just Declared War On My Channel Go to my sponsor https://venice.ai/paulwarburg and use code paulwarburg to enjoy private uncensored AI. Using my code will get you 20% off a Pro plan. Russia has declared war on my channel and it appears that Vladimir Putin might be watching. Recently viewers discovered an AI version of me spreading Russian talking points about the war in Ukraine. But the conversation is deeper than that. In this video I talk about Russia's information warfare strategy and the surprising reasons they do what they do. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to"
YouTube Link 2026-02-13T20:34Z 381K followers, 131.1K engagements
"Something BIG Has Changed on the Front Lines in Ukraine The nature of Russia's war against Ukraine is changing. Russia ability to conduct offensives against Ukrainian positions is slowing allowing Ukraine to build up a surplus of material. That in turn has led to a surprising development - Ukraine is increasingly going on the offensive. In this video I look at the latest updates in the Ukraine War including how drones continue to change the nature of the battlefield and how Ukraine continues to put more pressure on Russia than ever before. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to"
YouTube Link 2026-02-13T06:03Z 381K followers, 386.3K engagements
"Russia Just Lost One of Their Most Important Assets (in a single night) Go to https://surfshark.com/warburg or use code WARBURG at checkout to get [--] extra months of Surfshark VPN Russia just lost access to Starlink. The implications are huge - but the most important ones are even bigger than most people realize. In this video I go deep into what the loss of Starlink means for the Russian military - and the Ukrainian military - and why Elon Musk has now finally made this decision. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118"
YouTube Link 2026-02-06T04:38Z 381K followers, 353.9K engagements
"This Trump Move Was Easy to Miss But It Explains a Lot Browse Ekster's New Year's Sale (up to 48% off) today before it ends and get an extra 20% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG20 (available for a limited time) https://partner.ekster.com/paulwarburg As he prepares for midterm elections Donald Trump has been making moves in domestic politics that have gone unnoticed by most of the international community. Focused on Greenland Venezuela Ukraine Iran tariffs and more it's easy to miss the significance of what Trump is trying to in America's housing market. That in turn reveals a lot about"
YouTube Link 2026-01-24T17:28Z 381K followers, 238K engagements
"Why Ukraine WON'T Sign the U.S. "Peace Deal" There's a lot of talk right now about the latest U.S. negotiations under Donald Trump to end the war in Ukraine. From Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to the offering of the same peace terms that have been rejected multiple times basically amounting to Ukrainian capitulation. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the context and content of past offers of "peace deals" to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine negotiations and where things will likely go from"
YouTube Link 2025-11-23T05:00Z 381K followers, 238.5K engagements
"Russia CAN'T Get Rid of Their Gold.that's causing major problems for Putin Russia is facing a similar problem to the one that brought down the Qing Dynasty (the Chinese Empire). They are running out of the ability to pay their soldiers. But the problem goes much deeper than that. In this video I dive deep into the apparent contrast between Russia's on-paper gold reserves and what they are actually able to convert into usable currency in reality. We cover inflation the decline of the ruble how and why China is seeding Russia with their own currency (the Yuan) and much more. This video includes"
YouTube Link 2026-01-27T21:04Z 381K followers, 234.7K engagements
"Putin Just Got Some REALLY Bad News There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Europe just approved a new $90b loan to fund the Ukrainian government for the next two years. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this loan goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this is a game-changing event in the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-21T23:13Z 381K followers, 494K engagements
"Russia CANT Afford a Second Front So Why Are They Putting Troops on NATO's Borders Russia's has been placing troops on NATO's borders - but the real reason is not what you think. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Wise: https://wise.com/pay/business/warburgventuresllc Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my"
YouTube Link 2025-08-09T03:32Z 380K followers, 369.2K engagements
"They're Lying to You About Venezuela The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on showing in very clear detail why the stated justifications simply aren't true. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-06T06:16Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements
"Something BIG is Breaking in Russia Right Now Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. This could become a bigger deal than a lot of people realize. The rampant shortages show that Ukraine's strikes have reached a critical point where Russia can no longer avoid the effects. And these effects could cause many problems - economic military and"
YouTube Link 2025-08-30T00:19Z 380K followers, 981.4K engagements
"The Iran Protests are Becoming Truly Insane Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why it's so scary for the Ayatollah regime. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2026-01-03T17:12Z 381K followers, 530.1K engagements
"Russia Just Reached Its Worst Tipping Point Yet 👉 Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PAULWARJAN4 🔐 100% Discount for the first [----] people 💥 Dive deep into AI and Learn Automations Build AI Agents Make videos & images all for free 🎁 Bonuses valued at $5100+ if you join and attend Thanks to Outskill for sponsoring today's video. Russia just crossed a crucial tipping point in their war against Ukraine. They are now losing more soldiers than they can replace on a monthly basis. That's obviously a big deal but it's even bigger than it looks once you"
YouTube Link 2026-01-22T04:39Z 381K followers, 330.8K engagements
"Russia Does NOT Want You to Know the Truth About Their Nukes Russia has been testing nuclear capable missiles lately from cruise missiles to "tsunami creating" Poseidon missiles. But the new tests each share a theme that shows they aren't what they seem on the surface. Instead they reinforce a line of thinking that has been growing about Russia's nukes - that they serve as little more than propaganda weapons for the Kremlin. In this video I explore the true state of the Russian nuclear arsenal and whether or not its actually a credible threat. I bring in examples from the Cold War and nuclear"
YouTube Link 2025-11-07T00:32Z 381K followers, 415.7K engagements
"The Situation in Iran Is Worse Than We Thought Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these"
YouTube Link 2026-02-07T05:13Z 381K followers, 214.9K engagements
"Why is America Intentionally Throwing Away its Global Power The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest development is a new National Security Strategy that undermines the post-WWII global order that the United States built with much effort and intentionality. The U.S. has expressed a desire to abandon former allies and global dominance to focus on regional power instead. This comes on the back of an already highly unsuccessful tariff strategy that undermined trade relationships and the relevance of the U.S. dollar. In"
YouTube Link 2025-12-15T23:05Z 381K followers, 356.2K engagements
"Ukraine Has Exposed the Truth About Chinas Military (Its Embarrassing) Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia's military failures in Ukraine have been world changing. What was once considered to be the second most powerful military in the world has been shown to be lacking due to corruption incompetence and more. The question is if the world's experts were so wrong about Russia what else were they wrong about In this video we take a close look at China's military through the lens of the same"
YouTube Link 2025-10-31T23:54Z 381K followers, 993.4K engagements
"Something is Going Seriously Wrong With China When the world looks at modern China they often see a story of meteoric rise with no end in sight. Most people miss that China actually already peaked and that its descent has begun - with haste. In this video I place China in historical context revealing the overextension mistakes that have brought down countless empires in the past - mistakes that China is now repeating. We discuss China's mistake of overextending militarily continentally geopolitically and financially to show how China has put themselves in self-made box of dilemmas. You can"
YouTube Link 2025-11-09T06:23Z 381K followers, 584.6K engagements
"Let's Crush the Biggest Myth About the Ukraine War Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together some key facts and historical context to show why the war in Ukraine has NOT gone on too long and why the"
YouTube Link 2025-11-25T03:54Z 381K followers, 249.8K engagements
"The U.S. Plan for Greenland is Worse Than You Think The United States is weighing its options for taking over Greenland. They have not ruled out military force and continually bring up the topic of the threat from Russia and China as their justification. However there's more to this than meets the eye. In this video I discuss the true strategic value of Greenland why the U.S. really wants it whether or not the United States would invade Greenland and what all of this means for the NATO alliance. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a"
YouTube Link 2026-01-14T05:02Z 381K followers, 302.1K engagements
"Putin's Favorite Puppet State is About to Collapse Browse Ekster's Fall Sale (up to 35% off) until Nov 5th and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Belarus is responsible for much of Russia's war against Ukraine. They've allowed Russia to invade Ukraine from their territory hosted Russian nuclear missiles on their own land and promoted Russian propaganda talking points. Now the bill is coming due. Let's talk about what's going on in Belarus' economy why it's so closely linked to the collapse of Russia and why Belarus might become"
YouTube Link 2025-10-16T05:22Z 381K followers, 551.3K engagements
"Ukraines Military is Becoming INSANELY Powerful Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Ukraine has developed numerous massive breakthroughs in just a few short years. The progress is happening so quickly that some people still aren't fully aware of its significance. The reality is that whatever way this war goes Ukraine has established themselves as a global power for the next century to come. In this video I explain why looking at Russia's war against Ukraine and how it has made Ukraine a world"
YouTube Link 2025-10-23T05:04Z 381K followers, 525.7K engagements
"Why Russias Next Big War Might Be With China Most of the world thinks that China is Russia's ally. But their behavior says something different - a partner of convenience more than anything else and potentially something much darker. In this video I talk about China's complicated relationship with Russia their history of warfare their desires for each others' territory and why surprisingly a Chinese attack on Russia may be more likely than an attack on Taiwan. We support the narrative with Chinese military literature (Sun Tzu) historical considerations strategic considerations and much more."
YouTube Link 2025-08-01T23:40Z 380K followers, 508.2K engagements
"Russias Point of No Return is Closer Than We Thought Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan In their war against Ukraine Russia has always projected an aura of unstoppable strength. It's never been true. Every time Russia has said something the world has seen that the reality is far different than the story. But that doesn't stop Russia from trying. In this video I talk about why Russia's remaining strength has been vastly overplayed from economic power based on gold reserves to the amount of"
YouTube Link 2025-12-18T18:40Z 381K followers, 445.3K engagements
"Why Modern Drones Scare Me FAR More Than Nukes Do One of the byproducts of Russia's war against Ukraine is a terrifying new technology - AI-powered autonomous military drones. I discuss why this technology is so scary why it has been developed and how we got to this point from a geopolitical standpoint. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-05T20:10Z 337K followers, 148.9K engagements
"Ive Never Seen Russia Look This Vulnerable Don't forget Get 10% off The Book: The Ultimate Guide to Rebuilding Civilization with promo code WARBURG10 - http://bit.ly/4oCh1Pv "General Winter" is Russia's strongest soldier. Or in other words the cold Russian winters have often been cited as a factor that makes Russia undefeatable on the battlefield. But many people miss an important fact: this has only been true in contexts where Russia was the defender. As the invading army in their war against Ukraine it now turns out that Russia's greatest strength is becoming its greatest weakness. Ukraine"
YouTube Link 2025-10-23T23:45Z 381K followers, 354.6K engagements
"Russia Just Fell for Chinas Biggest Trick Yet Russia and China just signed an energy deal.but it's not what it seems. A lot of people are concerned about the Sino-Russian partnership and that China may be trying to bail Russia out in its war against Ukraine. I see things differently with a more consistent theme of China simply taking advantage of Russia's plight in Ukraine. Today's energy deal (and other deals) are no different and I explain why. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg"
YouTube Link 2025-09-05T16:03Z 319K followers, 581K engagements
"Russia's Attack On Poland Did NOT Go As Planned Russia's drone attacks on Poland and Romania completely backfired. This wasn't a probe to see how NATO would react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead Russia had a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a lower cost to itself. Unfortunately for Russia this analysis reveals how rather than distracting air defense resources from Ukraine they only managed to increase air defenses in a big way with talks of a no-fly zone being reintroduced and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-09-16T21:38Z 349K followers, 540.3K engagements
"Russia's Labor Shortage is Worse Than You Think Let's talk about Russia's labor shortage. It's a bigger deal than most people realize. Unemployment in Russia is low right now but that masks a dark underlying reality. The current situation is a result of wartime stimulus - but what happens when the war in Ukraine ends or the money runs out It doesn't look good for Russian employees. Find "Why Nations Fail" here to learn more about how the Black Plague led to the birth democracy (and a lot more): https://amzn.to/4honASN Want to support my work Become a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-14T18:05Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Ukraine Never Ceases to Amaze Me Browse Ekster's Christmas Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg In Russia's war against Ukraine much of the mainstream media seems convinced that Ukraine is losing. Even after four years of warfare with Ukraine showing what it can do Russia's large size still has many people convinced that the war is hopeless for Ukraine. However history and reality paint a different picture. In this video I talk about how history shows why countries in Ukraine's situation"
YouTube Link 2025-12-19T23:17Z 381K followers, 341.8K engagements
"Theres BIG Chatter of a Coup in Moscow Check out ReadPartner and experience modern media monitoring for yourself Get a 35% discount on any personal or organization plan for the first [--] months with the code WARBURG7 for the next [--] days: https://readpartner.ai/paulwarburg There's chatter of a coup within Russia. That's nothing new - but this time there's a twist. It's happening on Russian social media at the same time that there are rumors within the Russian military that Stalin-style purges could come soon. Is there really a coup being planned.or is Putin simply trying to weed out disloyal"
YouTube Link 2025-08-22T01:07Z 379K followers, 549K engagements
"The TRUTH About Russia's Shadow Fleet That Most People Miss Enjoy up to 40% off Ekster gear; use code PAULWARBURG at checkout to unlock further savings https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's shadow fleet has gotten a lot of attention throughout the war in Ukraine. But there's an open question - Ukraine has shown they have the ability to stop it so why don't they In this video I explore some aspects of the Ukraine War that many people may not have considered and connect the dots between sanctions Russia's shadow fleet India China and more. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2025-01-20T17:33Z 369K followers, 126.7K engagements
"Russia is Running Out of Russians Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/PW_MH to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $29/29 - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Use coupon code WARBURG to claim yours today Russia has a massive demographic crisis - covering everything from their birth rate (fertility rate) immigration numbers and of course the War in Ukraine. In our lifetimes this could easily lead to the weakening (or collapse) of the Russian state. Let's examine all of the numbers and ask the most important question of all - if this is the case why did Putin start his war"
YouTube Link 2025-08-21T03:45Z 357K followers, 466.4K engagements
"Putin's Biggest Nightmare is Now Coming True Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. Previously I've talked about how Ukraine actually CAN retake Crimea and why it could surprisingly be much easier than most people even imagine. Today I'll talk about how Ukraine is now putting these"
YouTube Link 2025-10-18T15:04Z 381K followers, 877.6K engagements
"Ukraine Just Exposed Chinas Greatest Weakness The United States has threatened to impose secondary sanctions on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil. That's interesting but not nearly as interesting as what China's response to this move reveals. We've now seen how quickly China is willing to turn its back on its geopolitical "allies" - but that reveals a whole lot more about China than most people think. Put in the context of tariffs sanctions trade wars and economics it shows why China KNOWS a war with the west would be unviable for it. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-13T17:36Z 381K followers, 537.1K engagements
"Did Trump Just Betray Ukraine Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine are unfolding in dramatic fashion - and not in the way many people had hoped. Trump has called president Zelenskyy of Ukraine a dictator and told him to make a deal or to witness the destruction of his country. But does the United States actually have that much negotiating power From the United States offering a deal to Ukraine in exchange for rare earth metals to Donald Trump"
YouTube Link 2025-02-20T07:23Z 67.4K followers, 128.5K engagements
"Russia is Bracing for a MASSIVE Revenue Shock Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's oil revenues are collapsing fast. Urals crude is now just $36 a barrel. That carries HUGE implications. For Russia the oil trade isn't just losing revenue - it's no longer profitable. In this video I talk about the war in Ukraine and recent developments that are going to drag down the Russian economy like never before. We learn why countries like India and China are"
YouTube Link 2025-11-21T03:18Z 381K followers, 200.7K engagements
"Why Russia Is Desperately Selling Off Its Gold Visit https://baer.skin/paul to lock in your 60% Off on the BRSkin Hoodie Russia is quickly selling off its gold - to a peculiar buyer. The deeper you look the worse it gets with some big indications for the Russian economy and the Russian government as a whole. I take a deep look in this video from Russia's reserves to the ruble to inflation and more to show how we can see some things very clearly that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin would prefer to hide. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy"
YouTube Link 2025-11-29T04:22Z 381K followers, 344.3K engagements
"Ukraine is Now Striking Russias Shadow Fleet Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This is a first in the Ukraine War. Ukraine has humiliated Vladimir Putin. They've struck two Russian shadow fleet vessels - and claimed credit for it. This isn't just another strike it's a message. In this video we take a deep look at Ukraine's strategy against Russia covering both economic and psychological warfare to show how devastatingly effective Ukraine's strategy really is. You can support my work by becoming"
YouTube Link 2025-12-01T00:25Z 381K followers, 233.6K engagements
"The Massive Hole in Trump's Tariff Plan (that no one is talking about) Donald Trump's proposed tariffs have been big news. But tariffs have a fatal flaw that prevents them from being effective in democracies - both for economic purposes and for strategic purposes. In this video I dive deep into tariffs and why they fail to produce the economic incentives they aim at producing. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-17T23:53Z 344K followers, 72.6K engagements
"Ukraines HUGE Advantage Over Russia is Now Impossible to Ignore Ukraine has a secret advantage against Russia that is just beginning to show its full strength. It's the same underlying advantage that led the United States to win the Cold War - an advantage that is rarely recognized until events are looked back in hindsight from a historical perspective. In this video I walk about the war in Ukraine and why Ukraine's growing technological supremacy over Russia will allow them to win the war as well as explaining the underlying source of this technological advantage that has led to"
YouTube Link 2025-10-01T19:13Z 381K followers, 415.3K engagements
"Why Elon Musk CANT Shut Down Ukraines Starlink After the United States paused aid to Ukraine (now resumed) lots of people began wondering about what would happen if Elon Musk also ended Ukraine's Starlink access. In this video I talk about why Elon Musk cannot cut off Ukraine from Starlink without destroying himself. I also discuss Ukraine's alternatives to Starlink IF a cutoff were ever to take place. It's an important new chapter in Ukraine's war against Russia's invasion. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-14T16:05Z 376K followers, 547.1K engagements
"Russia's New Crisis Could Be Their Worst One Yet Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has been taking out Russian air defenses a LOT lately. But the problem is even worse for Russia than you might at first think. Not only is Russia running lower on air defense especially on Crimea but each additional system becomes harder for Russia to replace. And with the introduction of the Flamingo cruise missile Russia has been relocating their air defense systems leaving parts of the country"
YouTube Link 2025-09-26T21:44Z 379K followers, 900.9K engagements
"Russia's 'Dutch Disease' Just Became Fatal Russia has Dutch Disease and because of their war against Ukraine it's flaring up. As Ukraine continues to strike Russian oil refineries creating gasoline shortages across the country Russia is now turning to other countries like China to import gas. For a country like Russia that makes its primary revenues by exporting energy that's bad news already. But it's worse than it looks. When we understand all these trends in the context of Russia's preexisting systemic economic vulnerability we begin to see a situation that Russia simply won't be able to"
YouTube Link 2025-10-10T18:43Z 381K followers, 816.1K engagements
"What Everyone Gets Wrong About China Invading Taiwan Many people know that China has talks and plans for invading Taiwan. Far less people know the full history here causing them to miss the full story. While many people think of Taiwan as a modern geopolitical event the truth is that China has been talking about invading Taiwan for decades - approximately [--] years since the 1970s. Nothing has ever happened. When we understand WHY China hasn't invaded Taiwan yet and we compare it to what is happening today we begin to see a clear picture of why China would likely NOT invade Taiwan in the near"
YouTube Link 2025-11-10T18:59Z 381K followers, 482.6K engagements
"Russia is FREAKING OUT About Frances Latest Announcement Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan France just made a MASSIVE announcement that has both Russia and the United States rattled. They are now providing Ukraine with the bulk of their foreign military intelligence replacing the United States and removing the most of the remaining leverage the United States had over Ukraine to pressure them into an early peace deal. This changes the nature of the war in many ways but also has important"
YouTube Link 2026-01-19T19:31Z 381K followers, 306.5K engagements
"Russia is QUICKLY Descending Into Anarchy It's now happening. For years we've been talking about how Russia will begin to fracture due to the war in Ukraine. And now for the first time we can say that the Russian government has in fact collapsed (on a small scale) - failing to fulfill the most basic function of a government - providing adequate police forces to protect its own citizens. I talk about the war in Ukraine its effects on the Russian economy how that has caused a massive police shortage and what that means for the future of Russia and the Putin regime. Source for much of this"
YouTube Link 2025-07-28T04:05Z 357K followers, 546.7K engagements
"Russias Shadow Fleet Just Suffered a FATAL Blow Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities in both the Black Sea and the Baltic - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. But the impact is bigger than it might even at first seem. Combined with sanctions Ukraine's latest strikes are putting coordinated pressure on Russia's shadow fleet - and the pressure is working. China and India are abandoning Russia signaling a potential beginning of the end of the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-20T04:54Z 381K followers, 214.5K engagements
"Ukraine Just Unleashed a Secret Weapon Behind Russias Front Lines Many people say that Ukraine can't possibly win its war against Russia because Russia is a much larger opponent. But this doesn't match even with Russia's own recent history. In this video I talk about the growing Ukrainian insurgency movement in the occupied Donbas region and how it is making a meaningful difference on the battlefield. I map this to the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan a war that they ultimately lost due to insurgency. I then talk about why this matters for any peace deals between Ukraine and Russia"
YouTube Link 2025-12-09T18:35Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements
"Ive Never Seen Putin This Paranoid There's been a lot of chatter about coups lately in Russia. Putin has been making big "busts" especially with claims against Russians living in foreign countries like Mikhail Khodorkovsky. On top of this we've seen other things throughout the war - especially "accidents" meeting Russian oligarchs. In this video I put it all together to show how paranoid Vladimir Putin really is and what that actually reveals. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become"
YouTube Link 2025-10-19T13:03Z 381K followers, 744.9K engagements
"Russia's Attrition Problem is Worse Than You Think Let's talk about how Ukraine can win its war against Russia. In a follow-up to my lest video I do a deeper dive into topics like attrition and Russia's war economy. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about"
YouTube Link 2024-10-31T18:10Z 344K followers, 95.3K engagements
"Dont Be Fooled - Iran Has Crossed the Point of No Return Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. In fact things have now reached a tipping point and the Ayatollah has a plan to flee to Russia. Donald Trump has threatened military intervention which could be imminent. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place - except it's actually even worse. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why"
YouTube Link 2026-01-15T02:29Z 381K followers, 208.3K engagements
"Russians Are Becoming FURIOUS About Putins War Russia has experienced several major revolutions just in the past centuryand signs suggest it may be inching toward another. Gasoline shortages from Ukraines strikes on refineries and pipelines are straining the economy while coup rumors and talk of Stalin-style purges inside the military highlight Putins growing paranoia. In this video we explore how fuel shortages political unrest and Russias revolutionary history could collide to reshape its future and the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-09-15T05:52Z 340K followers, 697.8K engagements
"Ukraine Has Found Russias BIGGEST Weakness Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil refineries etc. This looks like something we've seen before. But it's actually different. These strikes while familiar are actually of a fundamentally different character. Whether it comes to the repeated nature of the strikes or the strikes on the pipeline supplying Hungary and Slovakia or Ukraine's demonstrated ability to knock out Russia's shadow fleet something is changing in Ukraine's approach to the war and things seem to be escalating quickly. I put this all in"
YouTube Link 2025-08-26T16:15Z 346K followers, 683K engagements
"Russias Oil Problem is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to Russian oil and gas. This winter lots of Russian energy infrastructure is on track to potentially freeze as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine. Now it's being made worse by new sanctions and new efforts to take Russia's shadow fleet of oil tankers out of the equation. We could see Russian oil revenues drop drastically over the next several months"
YouTube Link 2025-02-19T05:15Z 66.5K followers, 100.6K engagements
"What everyone is getting wrong about Trumps Ukraine peace talks There's a lot of talk right now about Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. From the United States offering a deal to Ukraine in exchange for rare earth metals to Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to Trump then turning back and trying to appear to be on Ukraine's side. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the individual psychology of players like Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine"
YouTube Link 2025-02-16T06:45Z 65.7K followers, 164.3K engagements
"Whats Trump REALLY doing in Venezuela right now The United States has blockaded Venezuela under the direction of Donald Trump. The idea is to stop the transit of sanctioned oil tankers and some have begun to speculate that this could mean war. But there's a few aspects here that most people seem to be missing. I put together the pieces here to lay out how likely a U.S. war with Venezuela really is in light of the overarching geopolitics that led us to this point at this time. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-20T20:09Z 381K followers, 264.4K engagements
"Why China is Suddenly Turning Against Russia Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/WARBURG25 to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $25 - plus free shipping - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Sale ends soon so use coupon code WARBURG25 to claim yours today Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine China has been taking advantage of the Ukraine War to make several moves against Russia - particularly in Siberia and the Russian Far East. The risk to Putin and Moscow has become even more pronounced as the Kremlin's financial position has weakened and they have lost the ability to provide"
YouTube Link 2025-11-27T23:31Z 381K followers, 513K engagements
"There's a BIG Crisis Brewing for Russia in Occupied Ukraine Want to restore the planets ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos The first [---] people to join Planet Wild with my code PAUL11 will get the first month for free at: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/join If you want to get to know them better first check out their mission using art to protect marine life: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/m21 There's a looming crisis growing in Ukraine in the regions occupied by Russia. As a result of the methods Russia has used in its war against Ukraine many environmental problems"
YouTube Link 2025-11-22T04:45Z 381K followers, 322.6K engagements
"This is ALREADY Russia's Worst Year Yet [----] just started but it's already shaping up to be a terrible year for Russia. Already teetering due to their war in Ukraine this is the year that attrition will catch up with Russia in a major way. Their energy infrastructure is being attacked more and more every day their economy is crumbling their ability to recruit soldiers is weakening and so much more. On top of that they could potentially lose two major strategic partners in Iran and Venezuela. And as all of this happens Ukraine's ability to resist is only becoming greater. Let's take a look at"
YouTube Link 2026-01-05T03:17Z 381K followers, 507.6K engagements
"Putin Just Suffered ANOTHER Crippling Blow There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia just lost a top ranking general with a very important job. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this event goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this could be a game-changing event in the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-23T23:33Z 381K followers, 461.7K engagements
"Russia Just Reached a Critical Tipping Point In their war against Ukraine Russia has suffered massive casualties. The one thing keeping Russia going has been their ability to continue to fill their ranks. And that has just changed. Many Russian regions are now struggling to meet their recruitment quotas and on top of that they are also being forced to lower the signing bonuses they can offer. Simply put Russia is running out of money. Printing rubles won't cut it any more and without the ability to fill their ranks with recruits in exchange for stacks of cash Putin's ability to wage war is"
YouTube Link 2025-12-10T17:41Z 381K followers, 570.6K engagements
"Russias Attacks on Poland Are NOT What You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia destroys a Polish railway bombs a Turkish vessel and sends fresh drone incursions into Europe. This is no longer an accident - it's a pattern with a very clear goal. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. These aren't probe to see how NATO will react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-24T05:00Z 381K followers, 242.7K engagements
"Is China Lying About Invading Taiwan Everyone knows that China is planning to invade Taiwan. But the problem is.everyone knows that. This is inconsistent with Chinese military doctrine which is based on literature that insists "all warfare is based on deception." In this video I talk about why China probably won't invade Taiwan and why Outer Manchuria in Russian Siberia / the Russian Far East is a more likely target. The strategic insights in this video about China's approach to war came from the book "The Hundred Year Marathon" by Michael Pillsbury. Link: https://amzn.to/41bAPAh Want to"
YouTube Link 2025-02-15T00:00Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Ukraine's New Flamingo Missiles Are ALREADY Crushing Russia Ukraine's new Flamingo cruise missile is absolutely devastating Russia right now. Already Russia was having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets with drones. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines oil tanker docking facilities etc. But with the addition of the Flamingoes these problems become exponentially worse. And even now before widespread strikes have begun the Flamingoes are already forcing Russia to make major changes - reorienting air defenses updating mental models"
YouTube Link 2025-09-06T21:28Z 339K followers, 555.8K engagements
"What Everyone Gets Wrong About World War II There's a persistent rumor in the United States that wars are good for the economy. It comes from confusing correlation with causation as World War II coincided with the end of the Great Depression and was followed by an economic boom. In this video I examine the real reason World War II made America so wealthy and why the boomer generation in the U.S. was so successful. Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-14T17:41Z 59.1K followers, [----] engagements
"Yes Russia is Really Running Out of Money Because of their war against Ukraine Russia is quickly running out of money. There are now several indicators that things have reached a tipping point. Russia has lost the ability to fund military bonuses and pay in several regions and they have simultaneously begun to sell off gold to curb inflation. The question to ask though is why didn't Russia sell their gold sooner and how much do they really have left that they can sell When we consider everything we realize that Russia is far closer to ruin than even they may realize. You can support my work"
YouTube Link 2025-12-14T15:47Z 381K followers, 303.7K engagements
"Russias Oil Crisis Keeps Getting So Much Worse Gasoline shortages from Ukraines strikes on refineries and pipelines are straining Russia's economy. In response Russia has been discussing a strategy that exposes their weakness more than most people realize - price caps. This is more devious than most people realize. In this video I discuss how rising gas prices in Russia are putting most families over the edge and how the Kremlin's new strategy to shift blame exposes underlying weaknesses in the Russian economy. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-10-25T03:02Z 381K followers, 321K engagements
"What Russia Doesn't Want You to Know About Siberia Siberia is a very unique piece of territory that few people truly understand. Due to Russia's war against Ukraine some interesting trends have emerged in Siberia. In this video I draw a line through Siberia's dark history from the Russian Empire to the Soviet Union to the Russian Federation. I ask the questions "Would Siberia ever want to secede and if so could they" Then to tie it all off I bring China into the picture covering China's aggression towards Taiwan and how it relates to Siberia with some stark details that few others have"
YouTube Link 2025-02-12T20:45Z 57.2K followers, 78.5K engagements
"What Everyone Missed About Russias Attack on Poland Russian drones just struck Poland. It seems clear that it wasn't an accident and NATO article [--] has been triggered. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. This wasn't a probe to see how NATO would react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a lower cost to itself. I connect all the dots and show why Russia can't manage - and wouldn't risk - a war with NATO anytime soon. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-09-11T05:14Z 349K followers, 825.8K engagements
"Why Russia Can NEVER Use a Nuclear Weapon Russia has threatened to use nukes over [--] times since they invaded Ukraine with many famous "nuclear red lines." But the volume of threats has been so large many people have begun asking the hard questions. In this video I explore the true state of the Russian nuclear arsenal and whether or not its actually a credible threat. I bring in examples from the Cold War and nuclear doctrine then go all the way down to the individual psychology of Vladimir Putin. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a"
YouTube Link 2025-02-11T18:37Z 339K followers, 1.7M engagements
"Is Russia Preparing to Attack Sweden Sweden could be in danger. NATO intelligence claims that Russia is planning an attack to test the NATO alliance and Article V within 5-8 years. I talk about why Sweden could be on the shortlist as one of those targets. The discussion includes Gotland Island Russian hybrid warfare recent sabotage attacks against Sweden and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-06-14T02:04Z 319K followers, 226.9K engagements
"Russia is LOSING the Battle for Crimea Take advantage of Ekster's Labor Day sale to get up to 48% off (through September 16th). And use code PAULWARBURG at checkout to unlock additional savings https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I talk about how Ukraine is playing the long game on Crimea how they can take it back over time and how in the present moment"
YouTube Link 2025-09-09T01:53Z 337K followers, 308.5K engagements
"Russias Oil Industry is Dying Faster Than You Think Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to Russian oil and gas. This winter lots of Russian energy infrastructure is on track to potentially freeze as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine. Now it's being made worse by new sanctions and new efforts to take Russia's shadow fleet of oil tankers out of the equation. We could see Russian oil revenues drop drastically over the next several months potentially below critical levels. What does that mean for the future of Russia and for Russia's war against Ukraine You can support"
YouTube Link 2025-03-07T15:58Z 376K followers, 81.7K engagements
"Russia is Absolutely PANICKING About Venezuela Right Now The U.S. capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro has Russia extremely worried - and it could have a big impact on the war in Ukraine. There are implications for the Russian shadow fleet and for Russian oil in general. On top of that it sets a global precedent that does not look good for Russia to say the least. I discuss all of it why it's so bad for Putin's reputation and where things go from here. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-10T04:55Z 381K followers, 743.4K engagements
"The U.S. Attack on Venezuela is Worse Than You Think The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on as well as the most likely paths forward. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-04T07:08Z 381K followers, 514.6K engagements
"The REAL Reason Americans Feel So Poor (even when they arent) Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Americans consistently vote on the economy. Or to put it in better terms Americans vote based on how rich or how poor they FEEL. The problem is that perceptions don't always match reality with average Americans consistently ranking among the world's richest people - and it isn't even close. In this video I discuss why this is all the case the real reason American's often feel desperately poor and why"
YouTube Link 2025-05-01T05:53Z 344K followers, 136.4K engagements
"Why India is Suddenly Abandoning Russia Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg India and China are abandoning Russian oil seemingly overnight. For years Russia's shadow fleet has evaded sanctions and continued sales to China and India. Most people assumed this was for idealogical reasons and that India and China were Russia's allies. But now that's been flipped on its head showing the relationships are based on little more than mere convenience and personal"
YouTube Link 2025-11-26T05:07Z 381K followers, 293.4K engagements
"How Germany is Becoming Russia's Worst Nightmare Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Germany is remilitarizing - and it's a bigger deal than most people realize. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused many far-reaching geopolitical effects and the latest is that Germany is now investing to become the largest military force in all of Europe. In this video I analyze all the angles - from why Germany's military has been so small in recent decades to why they are changing now to what the impact of"
YouTube Link 2025-05-22T16:33Z 351K followers, 647.6K engagements
"Ukraine Just Humiliated Russia in the Worst Possible Way Russia's nuclear capabilities are under attack. Ukraine has stolen the plans for Russia's new "super secret" nuclear submarine. The implications are huge - both for Russia and Ukraine but also for Russia's ability to project nuclear power for years to come. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject"
YouTube Link 2025-08-05T08:06Z 325K followers, 868.2K engagements
"Russia Is Officially On Its Last Reserves Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Satellite imagery shows that Russia's Soviet-era stockpiles are now on their last reserves. Quite bluntly Russia has run out of tanks and armored vehicles. This has huge implications for the war in Ukraine in general - from Russian attrition to overall strategy to the movement of the front lines. In this video I bring it all together to explain why Ukraine fights the way it does and why Russia is now incapable of"
YouTube Link 2025-10-30T21:31Z 381K followers, 460K engagements
"This May Be the Worst News Putin Has Ever Gotten Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has unveiled a new game changer in its war against Russia. A new network of fortifications and trenches that the Russian military will absolutely be unable to penetrate. I discuss the fortifications themselves and why they are so significant as well as what they mean for the current peace talks and how they change the overall strategy and nature of the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-31T00:48Z 381K followers, 673.2K engagements
"Russias Banks Are Literally Running Out of Money Let's talk about the Russian economy and how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine. I discuss Russia's precarious banking situation and the way Russia has attempted to hide about half of the cost of the war in Ukraine from the general public. I also touch on inflation in Russia and how all of this is contributing to the collapse of the ruble. 0:00 - Preview 1:16 - Regular Video You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-04T07:19Z 53.4K followers, 133.8K engagements
"Why is America Intentionally Destroying its Global Influence The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. From Greenland to the Panama Canal to tariffs to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and so much more the U.S. is backpedalling on decades of foreign policy. But why In this video I talk about the real foundations of American power - and prosperity - and how Donald Trump's policies are undermining those very foundations (and with them America's future). You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-13T04:05Z 162K followers, 889.6K engagements
"Will Russia Attack Norway Next Russia has created some pretty significant propaganda campaigns to justify a future invasion of Norway. In particular focus is the Svalbard archipelago. Should Norway be worried and could it be Russia's next invasion target Where do NATO and Article [--] play in Subscribe to my channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Watch my full-length analysis of Russia's intentions for Norway on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/TQfyZKgHgFMsi=bzRlHDTdkgMTQ5Zz Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:"
YouTube Link 2024-06-20T16:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Ukraine FINALLY Has What it Needs to WIN the War The war in Ukraine is beginning to shift as the United States for the first time in Trump's presidency begins making policy decisions that could change the tide of the battle. At first the changes might seem insignificant and underwhelming. But when you dig deeper you realize that this is a pivotal moment giving Ukraine access to what they need to finally protect themselves against Russia and secure an ultimate victory. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-16T22:17Z 196K followers, 244.1K engagements
"Let's Talk About Why Russia Sends Teenagers to War Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Let's talk about the stark differences between Ukraine and Russia's recruitment drafting and conscription practices. Who is targeted (primarily) to be drafted for military service and why You'll see why the answer really does matter and how it reveals many other key facts that people often miss. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky:"
YouTube Link 2025-01-27T18:22Z 49K followers, 42.2K engagements
"Russia is Caught in an Unemployment Death Spiral Let's talk about Russia's labor shortage. It's a bigger deal than most people realize. Unemployment in Russia is low right now but that masks a dark underlying reality. The current situation is a result of wartime stimulus - but what happens when the war in Ukraine ends or the money runs out It doesn't look good for Russian employees. 0:00 - Preview 0:33 - Regular Video Find "Why Nations Fail" here to learn more about how the Black Plague led to the birth democracy (and a lot more): https://amzn.to/4honASN Want to support my work Become a"
YouTube Link 2025-02-05T18:33Z 140K followers, 90K engagements
"Why Trump CAN'T Stop Russia's Economic Collapse Will Donald Trump remove sanctions from Russia It's the question everyone seems to be asking. When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine economic warfare is extremely important. But the fear of many is that Donald Trump will rescue Russia from its coming economic collapse. In this video I talk about why that's impossible and therefore why it's unlikely for the United States to even try. I cover sanctions Russia's Shadow Fleet Europe's navy chokepoints in the Baltic Sea and the Black Sea Ukraine's long range strike capabilities Trump's energy"
YouTube Link 2025-03-25T03:06Z 136K followers, 254.7K engagements
"Why is Trump STILL Trying to Scam Ukraine The United States' attitude towards peace concerning the war in Ukraine has been confusing to say the least. From peace talks to ceasefire talks to Trump & Zelenskyy's fight to the pause of U.S. military aid to it being resumed just a week later. What's going on Is Donald Trump on Vladimir Putin's side Or is there something else going on here In this video I examine the latest developments in Ukraine's ceasefire talks with Russia - and demonstrate why we shouldn't take Donald Trump at his word. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-20T16:35Z 113K followers, 98.3K engagements
"How Trump's Trade Wars Could Cause a Real War Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Trump's trade war with China is now in full swing with no signs of letting up. Both nations are placing heavy tariffs on each other leading to a state of economic warfare as each tries to destroy the other. The question on everyone's mind is could it lead to an actual war perhaps even World War [--] While it's a dramatic question it's worth asking given similar events throughout human history. In this video I examine"
YouTube Link 2025-04-16T03:23Z 148K followers, 152.9K engagements
"Trumps Ukraine 'Minerals' Deal Could Be the Most Corrupt Thing I've Ever Seen Donald Trump's negotiations to end the war in Ukraine have climaxed in a so-called "rare earth minerals deal". But the truth of the deal is that it is anything but that. I read the actual text of the document and much of what I read didn't align with the things Trump and his team had said about it. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully and uncover the high risk for corruption in the deal structure that Trump is proposing Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy should sign this Friday to help lead to an"
YouTube Link 2025-02-27T08:22Z 70.7K followers, 79.6K engagements
"The Hidden Crisis Destroying Russias Army Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia's military is struggling to find recruits. The only way to convince people to join their war against Ukraine is to offer them excessively high military recruitment bonuses and salaries. But these efforts while a short term fix for producing manpower have an effect on the quality of Russia's soldiers that Russia may not have properly anticipated. And with a declining Russian economy these payments can't be kept up"
YouTube Link 2025-06-27T18:52Z 181K followers, 323.3K engagements
"Why did Russia just bombitself Russia just bombed itself. No this is not an exaggeration and no this is not a drill. It's just the latest convoluted move in Russia's war against Ukraine and Trump's Ukraine peace talks. Apparently Russia would rather bomb itself as a pretext than allow a ceasefire to stand. Vladimir Putin will continue his invasion of Ukraine no matter the cost and Russia is not interested in peace. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-22T06:26Z 120K followers, 119.3K engagements
"What youre not being told about U.S. missiles striking Russia Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 50% OFF the Vantage plan during their biggest sale of the yearbut only for a limited time Thanks to Ground News for sponsoring this video. The United States recently unlocked ATACMs missiles for long range strikes into Russian territory. What does it mean for the war in Ukraine and where do things go from here Could this cause World War [--] to spark Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to"
YouTube Link 2024-11-29T18:30Z 27.1K followers, 65.6K engagements
"Trump's New Plan for the Economy is Worse Than You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Donald Trump is pushing America the closest it's ever been to a centrally planned economy - where the president calls all the shots and makes economic choices on behalf of the entire nation. Unfortunately this has terrible historical precedents - centrally planned economies almost never do well. In this video I look at Trump's economy including tariffs interest rates and his attempts to control the Federal"
YouTube Link 2025-05-26T18:31Z 165K followers, 115.1K engagements
"Russia Can't Survive the Oil Price Crash In response to Trump's tariffs global oil prices have begun crashing. For Russia and Vladimir Putin that's bad news - Russia can't survive low oil prices. In this video I talk about Russia's war against Ukraine the state of the Russian economy and what lower global energy prices mean for Russia's future. Spoiler alert: the factors that caused the collapse of the Soviet Union are now in play once again. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my"
YouTube Link 2025-04-10T06:34Z 139K followers, 233.7K engagements
"Russias New Strategy Has ALREADY Failed Russia has been trying a new strategy in their war against Ukraine. It isn't working. As just the latest iteration in failed strategies it also reveals Russia's increasing desperation and their inability to sustain the war in its current format. In this analysis of the war in Ukraine I look at how Russia's strategies have been adjusted throughout the war and how this reveals a military that was wholly unprepared for the kind of war that it itself started. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a"
YouTube Link 2025-09-10T05:06Z 290K followers, 245.6K engagements
"Russias Economic Crisis is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine the economic devastation in Russia is undeniable. And yet Russia is doing all they can to deny it. Officially the Kremlin touts strong GDP growth in Russia despite the war as a sign of a strong and flourishing economy. But behind the scenes when one actually looks at the balance sheet there's a different picture forming. In this video I take a close look at the"
YouTube Link 2025-06-25T21:56Z 178K followers, 240.9K engagements
"Russian Soldiers Killed My Cousin (and attacked my family) Russian soldiers killed my cousin in Ukraine in July. What Russia did next tells you everything you need to know about who's right and who's wrong in the war in Ukraine. Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth"
YouTube Link 2025-02-11T02:59Z 55.7K followers, [----] engagements
"Russia is NOT the Soviet Union (it's much worse) We talk a lot about the Russian economy and how current trends caused by the war in Ukraine could create the conditions for an economic collapse. But how realistic is that In this video I take a look at what caused the Soviet Union to collapse and demonstrate how modern Russia shows all the same symptoms - only much worse. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe"
YouTube Link 2025-01-20T22:48Z 47.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Russia is QUICKLY Losing its Ability to Wage War Ukraine's strikes against Russia are beginning to have a large impact. Whether they be drones or Flamingo Missiles military targets or infrastructure Russia's ability to continue fighting is being severely ground down by well targeted hits. On one hand Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. On the other hand the military can't acquire sufficient equipment to make meaningful offensives. The rampant shortages on the home front as"
YouTube Link 2025-09-12T03:19Z 292K followers, 595K engagements
"This Is The Crisis China Has Been Waiting For Trump's trade war with China carries serious risks. Few people truly understand them. In this video I discuss whether China would dump U.S. treasury bonds what this would do to the value of the dollar and what the risk of inflation really is. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1"
YouTube Link 2025-04-23T05:12Z 229K followers, 383.9K engagements
"How (and why) Moscow Keeps Siberia Stuck in the Dark Ages Let's talk about what's going on in Siberia and how they're reacting to the War in Ukraine. We take a brief dive into Siberian history and then talk about modern Siberia and even China. Watch my full-length documentary on Siberia's history on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/4gMrVgIf120si=GaoBqOpeHpMm4P7I Watch my previous discussion on Siberia: https://youtu.be/Gvpo7Uuj43w Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2024-10-17T17:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The Collapse of Americas Arms Industry Has Already Begun Protect your internet privacy with Private Internet Access: https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest victim is the U.S. arms trade - and with it American military power as a whole. In this video I talk about why losing the U.S. arms trade will be so catastrophic and why Trump's policies towards Ukraine are costing the U.S. far more money than they are saving. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-04-02T19:27Z 144K followers, 285.9K engagements
"STOP Believing This LIE About Russia When analyzing Russia's war against Ukraine many make the mistake of comparing Russia to the Soviet Union. But since Russia is only a vestige of the former Soviet Union this leads people to overestimate Russia's strengths and underestimate Russia's weaknesses. In this video I examine how we should REALLY think about Russia including its history and why it has gone to war with Ukraine. The answers may surprise you You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg"
YouTube Link 2025-07-09T04:43Z 191K followers, 219.9K engagements
"Still think Russia is winning the war WATCH THIS When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together all of the facts from attrition to economic warfare and show how Ukraine is not only winning - but why they actually can't lose (if they are supported for the long haul). You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-06-19T04:05Z 178K followers, 490.4K engagements
"Russias New Pipeline Problem is Worse Than You Think Ukraine just ended Russian gas shipments in pipelines over its territory. This has big implications - a lot of which haven't been fully appreciated yet. In this video I look at the potential impacts especially around Moldova and Transnistria. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2025-01-05T04:04Z 44.7K followers, 243.4K engagements
"Why Rebellion in Russia is Far More Likely Than You Might Think Let's talk about the possibility of rebellion in Russia. Is it a realistic possibility or just mere speculation In this video I take a look at Russia's situation as a result of the war in Ukraine and compare it to a broad history of rebellions in general to assess the likelihood. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2024-12-20T02:37Z 34.5K followers, 70.7K engagements
"The U.S. Finally Unlocked Long Range Weapons for Ukraine - Heres how it will change the war The United States just unlocked ATACMs missiles for long range strikes into Russian territory. What does it mean for the war in Ukraine and where do things go from here Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: patreon.com/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:"
YouTube Link 2024-11-18T08:03Z 15.8K followers, 40.4K engagements
"Why the United States is Going to War With Iran Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan The United States just bombed Iran's nuclear facilities. I discuss the reasons behind this fateful move whether or not I believe Iran was pursuing nuclear weapons and what the war between Israel Iran and now the United States could mean for a regional conflict in the Middle East and whether or not I believe this could escalate to "World War 3". You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-06-22T08:11Z 191K followers, 189K engagements
"The Death Spiral That Can Kill Any Democracy (were in one now) The rise and fall of democracies is an ancient story not a new one. Throughout history we have seen patterns when democracies rise up bringing prosperity to their people only to decay into dictatorships seemingly as quickly as they began. This video explains why identifying some of the fatal flaws in democracies and how we can work to overcome them for our own lifetimes. I talk about things impacting American politics the presidential elections Donald Trump and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-04-24T23:06Z 153K followers, 138K engagements
"Ukraine Just Turned Russias Greatest Strength Into a FATAL Weakness The cold Russian winters have often been cited as a factor that makes Russia undefeatable on the battlefield. But many people miss an important fact: this has only been true in contexts where Russia was the defender. As the invading army in their war against Ukraine it now turns out that Russia's greatest strength is becoming its greatest weakness. Ukraine has figured this out and is now actively working to make this worse for Russia this winter with pressure on Russian supply chains that Russia simply can NOT handle. You can"
YouTube Link 2025-09-04T05:47Z 294K followers, 566.3K engagements
"Russias Moral Decay is FAR Worse Than You've Been Told Many have pointed to Russian "moral superiority" over the west as an excuse for Russia's war against Ukraine. This argument holds no water. In this video I take a deep look at Russian propaganda narratives about Russian "morality" and "family values" and expose how Russia when judged by their own moral code is just as evil as the west it proposes to condemn. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-08-07T04:30Z 223K followers, 236.9K engagements
"Why Siberia Might Actually Secede From Russia Siberia is a very unique piece of territory that few people truly understand. Due to Russia's war against Ukraine some interesting trends have emerged in Siberia. In this video I draw a line through Siberia's dark history from the Russian Empire to the Soviet Union to the Russian Federation. I ask the questions "Would Siberia ever want to secede and if so could they" Then to tie it all off I bring China into the picture. Whatever happens one thing is clear - history in the making is far more fascinating than we ever imagined. You can support my"
YouTube Link 2025-09-30T00:30Z 301K followers, 353.4K engagements
"The War in Ukraine Has ALREADY Completely Changed Humanitys Future.but no one's talking about it Russia's war against Ukraine has already changed the course of human history - many people just don't know it yet. The rise of drone warfare especially in the latter years of the war is a seismic shift in how warfare is fought. That has massive implications - not just from a technological standpoint but also from a logistical standpoint and it could reshape the nature of power dynamics and which nations have large geopolitical advantages in the future. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-08T06:01Z 189K followers, 224.7K engagements
"What youre not being told about Trump and Ukraine Let's talk about Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential election and what it means for Ukraine. Will aid end And if so what will that actually do to Ukraine Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my"
YouTube Link 2024-11-17T04:44Z 27.1K followers, 177.3K engagements
"Debunking the Most Dangerous Myth About NATO Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg It's become fashionable to blame NATO for freeloading off of the United States lately. On the surface this argument seems to have some merit - most NATO nations have chronically underspent on defense while the United States has invested huge amounts. But there is much more to the reality than at first meets the eye. In this episode I talk about the history of NATO and why the U.S. has always turned a blind eye to"
YouTube Link 2025-05-20T17:04Z 165K followers, 154.2K engagements
"Could Russia Actually Lose Kaliningrad Kaliningrad might be the most unique piece of Russian territory. In this video I dive deep into Kaliningrad's history and current events around the territory that have been brought about by the War in Ukraine. The big question: might Kaliningrad actually secede from Russia Join me for this lesson on history and current events. 0:00 - Preview 0:48 - Regular Video Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-07T06:07Z 56.3K followers, 314.5K engagements
"What everyones missing about Trump & Zelenskyys fight Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Trump Vance and Zelenskyy's fight in the Oval Office of the White House is big news. But who's really correct In this video I carefully break down every key moment of the argument and respond to what's happening to show which side is clearly right and which side is clearly wrong. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Watch the full conversation here:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-02T17:26Z 72.8K followers, 64.1K engagements
"The Roman Empire Reveals How Russia Will Collapse Empires rise and fall and Russia is just one in a long string of failed empires over human history. Let's talk about the Russian economy and how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine. I discuss Russia's "war chest" the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my"
YouTube Link 2025-04-07T17:49Z 180K followers, 447.6K engagements
"The Only REAL Way to Stop the War in Ukraine Lots of people are talking about peace in Ukraine. That of course is what we all want. But is it actually realistic given today's circumstances In this video I take a deep and honest look at the actual facts on the ground and what will actually need to happen for the war in Ukraine to arrive at an ultimate and final resolution. We examine historical precedents for peace plans like this one the specific history of Russia and Ukraine the psychology of Vladimir Putin and more. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-01-19T15:42Z 193K followers, 87.1K engagements
"Russia is Still Losing the War.and it's not even close There's been a lot of attention on the front lines in the Ukraine War lately. In particular Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar have made headlines with Russia claiming they captured the cities. But this wasn't actually true. That brings to mind deeper questions - are these targets actually highly strategically important or are they more important merely as propaganda objectives for Russia to show a sense of "progress" in their war You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-08-08T06:05Z 220K followers, 199.1K engagements
"Russia is NOT the Soviet Union (its much worse) We talk a lot about the Russian economy and how current trends caused by the war in Ukraine could create the conditions for an economic collapse. But how realistic is that In this video I take a look at what caused the Soviet Union to collapse and demonstrate how modern Russia shows all the same symptoms - only much worse. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe"
YouTube Link 2024-12-22T05:50Z 48.4K followers, 234.7K engagements
"A Tsunami Just Crippled Russia's Nuclear Fleet One of Russia's most important nuclear naval bases just got hit by a massive earthquake. And a tsunami. And there's a volcano in the area too. Let's talk about it and the little discussed aspects of why its all significant. I cover everything from the Russian Orthodox Church to Russian propaganda to Russia's nuclear deterrence to China's relationship with Russia. You'll be surprised how well it all fits together. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-31T06:07Z 288K followers, 552.1K engagements
"Something is Going DEEPLY Wrong in Russia Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free It's no secret that Russia's economy is struggling to keep up with the demands of their war against Ukraine. And yet until now the Russian government has done all they can to deny this reality. But now even the Kremlin can't hide the economic devastation. Vladimir Putin has admitted that the war is taking a massive toll on Russian society - though perhaps he himself didn't realize it - by promising to lower Russia's military budget even while"
YouTube Link 2025-07-01T00:38Z 179K followers, 251.9K engagements
"Debunking the Biggest Success Story of Trumps Tariffs Create your own daily newsletter with ReadPartner. Get 70% off for the first [--] months: https://readpartner.com/promo/paulwarburgvia=paulwarburg Donald Trump's tariffs have been controversial to say the least. Some say they are destroying the U.S. (and global) economy. Others say they have already brought back massive investment to the United States including massive investments from companies like TSMC building fabs in Arizona. In this video I take a close look at the REAL factors driving TSMC investment to demonstrate why tariffs are NOT"
YouTube Link 2025-04-08T16:29Z 140K followers, 116.7K engagements
"Why Russia hasn't actually collapsed.yet Lots of people think that because Russia hasn't collapsed yet it will never happen. So let's take a closer look chatting about the Russian economy how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine what's allowing it to hold on for so long and why that's coming to an end. I discuss Russia's "war chest" the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel"
YouTube Link 2025-07-17T16:46Z 198K followers, 359.2K engagements
"America Just Shattered [--] Years of Global Progress Donald Trump's tariffs are having a massive impact on global trade. Stock markets crashed and then soared as tariffs were put in place and then paused. But the truth is that the potential for a recession or economic collapse is far from behind us. In this video I talk about the lasting impacts of Trump's trade wars and the most important factor that most people including Wall Street seem to be ignoring - human psychology in the face of broken trust. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me"
YouTube Link 2025-04-10T23:34Z 139K followers, 436.9K engagements
"Are Russia's Oligarchs About to Turn on Putin Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan 0:00 - Preview 0:57 - Main Video Let's talk about assassination attempts against Vladimir Putin. He's clearly afraid of them. But are they a genuine threat And if so would such a situation actually be helpful for Ukraine or would it just lead to more of the same Don't miss this latest analysis on Russia's invasion of Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118"
YouTube Link 2025-01-29T22:00Z 49.1K followers, 46.7K engagements
"5000 Years of Military History Predict Russia's Defeat in Ukraine The news is constantly telling us that Russia "has the momentum" in its war against Ukraine. This couldn't be further from the truth. Such headlines focus solely on the area that's moving the slowest - the front line - rather than the areas where the real action is actually happening. Behind the scenes in economics technology and more Russia is losing momentum - and fast. On the front lines Russia is barely moving. And in all the important ways when we look carefully we see that Ukraine has the momentum and is on a trajectory"
YouTube Link 2025-08-16T05:47Z 239K followers, 189.5K engagements
"The EU FINALLY Called Putins Bluff Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This week we have some great news in regards to the war in Ukraine. The European Union is finally stepping up in a major way that will likely guarantee Ukraine's eventual victory over Russia. They are ramping up military aid at a time when they are being intentionally excluded by Trump and the United States from the Ukraine/Russia peace talks process. Vladimir Putin is obviously upset and responding with propaganda and"
YouTube Link 2025-03-23T16:01Z 137K followers, 355.2K engagements
"Russias Population Collapse is Worse Than You Think Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: http://incogni.com/warburg Russia has a massive demographic crisis - covering everything from their birth rate (fertility rate) immigration numbers and of course the War in Ukraine. In our lifetimes this could easily lead to the weakening (or collapse) of the Russian state. Let's examine all of the numbers and ask the most important question of all - if this is the case why did Putin start his war against Ukraine and make things even"
YouTube Link 2025-04-28T22:54Z 180K followers, 661.5K engagements
"What you're not being told about Russia's economy Let's talk about the Ukraine War - and what it's doing to the Russian economy. We discuss the collapse of the ruble inflation and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject This video is"
YouTube Link 2024-10-27T06:06Z 296K followers, 137.7K engagements
"Why Russias Manpower Situation is FAR Worse Than Ukraines "Ukraine is running out of soldiers." It's become the most common narrative saying that Ukraine cannot win the war against Russia In this video I explain why this is FAR from true. I look at the actual recruitment numbers between Ukraine and Russia put those numbers in context address some common misconceptions and more. You'll see that far from losing Ukraine is well equipped to win its war against Russia. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-08-18T19:35Z 241K followers, 215.4K engagements
"What everyone is missing about Ukraines ceasefire proposal The United States' attitude towards Ukraine continues to flip back and forth as "peace talks" on Russia's war against Ukraine progress. Now the United States has resumed military aid to Ukraine less than a week after pausing it. What's actually going on Could a ceasefire actually move the world closer to peace Or is it all just political posturing and a continued attempt to negotiate a better minerals deal You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-03-12T16:56Z 97.3K followers, 226.5K engagements
"What happens if the war doesnt end soon What happens if the war in Ukraine continues for another [--] years [--] years How about even [--] years It's a scenario that few have explored in detail. In this video I look at the implications if the war continues - from a humanitarian perspective a strategic perspective an economic perspective a technological perspective and a regional perspective. Then I offer some solutions and practical ways forward to actually end the war faster. I discuss the need for aid to Ukraine the different types of aid that can be offered and how it can be given to Ukraine at a"
YouTube Link 2025-07-25T17:33Z 214K followers, 99.9K engagements
"Russias Energy Crisis is MUCH Worse Than We Thought Russia is having gasoline shortages all over the place as Ukraine has been striking Russian energy targets. Oil refineries gas facilities oil pipelines etc. This is quickly becoming a bigger deal than a lot of people realize. On the international revenue front Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. On the domestic front rampant shortages show that Ukraine's strikes have reached a critical point where Russia"
YouTube Link 2025-09-18T18:56Z 298K followers, 664.8K engagements
"Why is North Korea Already Sending More Troops to Ukraine Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan More North Korean troops are entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against heavy losses. What does that reveal about Russia's war against Ukraine and the potential for NATO troops to support Ukraine You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-28T20:02Z 71.3K followers, 39.8K engagements
"What youre not being told about the cost of the Ukraine War The cost of the war in Ukraine has been a huge sticking point in both the United States and Europe. Citizens and legislators alike complain about how expensive it is to continue funding Ukraine and sending them weapons to defend themselves against Russia. But the truth is far different from the narrative. In this video I break down what the dollars being spent on Ukraine REALLY amount to and prove that supporting Ukraine is far easier and more affordable than it is often made out to be. In fact I argue persuasively that not only is"
YouTube Link 2025-04-05T21:59Z 138K followers, 133.6K engagements
"Putin Just Accidentally Revealed The Quickest Way to Defeat Russia Russia's war against Ukraine has permanently damaged their standing in the global economy. Now Russia has few trading partners and the ones that remain are only "fair weather friends." As we see the world quickly moving towards completely abandoning the Russian economy Vladimir Putin is getting desperate revealing his hand and showing the world that scares him the most. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a"
YouTube Link 2025-08-15T05:31Z 231K followers, 463.1K engagements
"What everyone is missing about Russia's arms industry collapse Let's talk about the Russian arms industry. It's eroding FAST. And that means a lot more for Russia than just a few lost rubles in weapons sales. What's even worse for Russia the nation that might replace them is.Ukraine. Take a deeper look in this video. Explore the impact of the decline in Russian arms production and the implications for the country's military capabilities and soft power. Check out my in-depth analysis of Russia's arms industry collapse on The Icarus Project: https://youtu.be/NZ8AKZLZzYUsi=L9suq1nLQ4L0LR9T You"
YouTube Link 2024-12-19T03:38Z 33.9K followers, 156.6K engagements
"History Tells Us How the Ukraine War Could End (it's worse than you think) When it comes to ending Russia's war against Ukraine Donald Trump has made big promises coming forward with many plans and theories. None of them have worked. In this video I discuss what's really going on in Ukraine and what history teaches us about the only way to firmly end this conflict while saving the most lives possible. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject"
YouTube Link 2025-07-01T22:48Z 192K followers, 167.2K engagements
"Could Russia Actually Lose Kaliningrad Kaliningrad might be the most unique piece of Russian territory. In this video I dive deep into the big question: might Kaliningrad actually secede from Russia Want to support my work Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-09T22:34Z 54.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Can Ukraine Survive Without U.S. Aid The situation looks bad. The United States has paused its military support to Ukraine - perhaps briefly perhaps permanently. What does this mean for the future of Ukraine's war against Russia Will Ukraine continue to hold its own Or will it be forced to surrender In this video I give an update and analysis of the current state of Russia's war against Ukraine including the potential for a peace plan and how Ukraine is doing against Russia right now. I cover U.S. aid European aid Ukrainian native capabilities strategic and tactical options whether Donald"
YouTube Link 2025-03-06T02:12Z 74.9K followers, 78K engagements
"Ukraine Just Outsmarted Russia in the Most Embarrassing Way Go to https://PIAVPN.com/PaulWarburg to get 83% off from my sponsor Private Internet Access with [--] months free Russia's latest offensive against Ukraine may have actually been a trap. Their salient near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar made big headlines only to be quickly beaten back by Ukrainian special forces from the Azov Brigade. It matches the pattern of other traps Ukraine has set for Russia throughout the war. The implications of this are large.and they are still relevant even if this wasn't a trick. From now on Russia will have"
YouTube Link 2025-08-31T20:58Z 287K followers, 482.2K engagements
"How Trumps Ukraine Plan Makes Nuclear War MORE Likely Trump's Ukraine peace plan is very publicly based on the risk of nuclear war with Russia. Trump sees Russia's nukes as an existential threat to be avoided at all costs. But are these concerns correctly placed Russia has threatened to use nukes over [--] times since they invaded Ukraine with many famous "nuclear red lines." But with every red line crossed the risk of Russia's nukes looks dubious at best. However by playing into this hand we actually DO create a more risky nuclear world - in a way that might be at first unintuitive. In this"
YouTube Link 2025-03-25T19:27Z 119K followers, 68.5K engagements
"Russia is Trying to Pull Transnistria Into the War (again) Ukraine just ended Russian gas shipments in pipelines over its territory. This has big implications - a lot of which haven't been fully appreciated yet. In this video I take a second look at the potential impacts especially around Moldova and Transnistria and argue that Russia may be trying to open up a new front in the Ukraine war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Follow me on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/paulwarburg.bsky.social Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-01-07T05:44Z 44.6K followers, 96K engagements
"What Everyone is Getting Wrong About North Korean Soldiers in Ukraine Let's talk about North Korean troops entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against Russia's losses - and what it might have to do with Russia and China. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking"
YouTube Link 2024-10-25T04:30Z 296K followers, 205.5K engagements
"Why Tariffs Could Make America's Border Crisis Even Worse Donald Trump's proposed tariffs have been big news. Included has been a proposal for a 25% tariff on goods originating from Mexico which hasn't yet gone away. But what if this tariff actually makes America's border problems with Mexico worse in long term In this video I examine how tariffs fail to address the underlying root causes of illegal immigration to the United States and instead have the potential to make that root cause much much worse. 0:00 - Preview 0:40 - Regular Video You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-02-26T03:04Z 70.1K followers, 27.1K engagements
"Putin No Longer Trusts His Own Soldiersthats worse than you think As Russia continues it war against Ukraine stories of disorder within the Russian military are far from rare. For most Russian soldiers they aren't in Ukraine out of a sense of patriotism or duty but rather out of a desire for large paychecks. But what happens when the war in Ukraine ends and these soldiers return home en masse I examine that in this video and why it more than likely impacts the psychology of Vladimir Putin and his decision making process when it comes to the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-19T03:55Z 214K followers, 152.8K engagements
"We Need to Talk About "NATO Expansion" Vladimir Putin has used the myth of NATO expansion to try to justify his invasion of Ukraine. But his narrative has no basis in historical reality. In this video I discuss Russian propaganda the real history of NATO and the Soviet Union and why other countries joining NATO is actually the opposite of NATO aggression. Article of Gorbachev refuting Putin's claims about NATO expansion: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/did-nato-promise-not-to-enlarge-gorbachev-says-no/ You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118"
YouTube Link 2025-07-23T17:15Z 216K followers, 166.6K engagements
"I Have Some Difficult News to Share An update on my son and where I've been for the last several weeks. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my"
YouTube Link 2025-06-12T16:26Z 176K followers, 352.4K engagements
"Russia is Trapped in Their Warand the implications are terrifying Russia is continuing their war against Ukraine full steam ahead even though it's become increasingly clear that the nation cannot sustain its cost or casualty toll. But as Russia hits over a million casualties and even Vladimir Putin has to admit that the Russian economy is struggling Putin is also doubling down on the war effort making no signs of being interested in peace talks and doubling down on his objectives. Why In short it's becoming increasingly clear that for Vladimir Putin defeat is simply not an option. He will"
YouTube Link 2025-07-11T04:43Z 192K followers, 374K engagements
"Is the United States FINALLY Changing Course on Ukraine The United States has paused the delivery of Patriot missiles to Ukraine. But that's not the full story. There's a lot of key details that are being left out of the analysis which when combined with details from previous episodes of Trump's actions on Ukraine paint a clearer picture. I explain what appears to be Trump's strategy towards Ukraine and the implications of what it means for Ukraine Russia and The United States. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-07T04:17Z 191K followers, 148K engagements
"Europe Might ACTUALLY Send Troops to Ukraine Now Boris Johnson just made a big statement that Europe should send troops to Ukraine BEFORE a ceasefire. He is now very explicitly calling Putin's bluff in Russia's war against Ukraine and encouraging actions that will actually stop Putin. This is a big change from former statements which have been very careful to only talk about sending troops to Ukraine AFTER a ceasefire is implemented as a peacekeeping force. It could signal a big change in the Ukraine War - one that's even bigger than I anticipated and something that is very encouraging for an"
YouTube Link 2025-09-14T06:47Z 297K followers, 205.8K engagements
"Russia's Demographic Crisis is a Ticking Time Bomb Let's talk about demographics. It might sound boring but it's actually a fascinating story of what's going on in Russia right now - and how it traces its way at least as far back as World War II. We talk about Russia's aging population how it's being made worse by Putin's war in Ukraine and more. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me:"
YouTube Link 2024-10-22T03:00Z 295K followers, 14.4K engagements
"Why the News Doesnt Even Try to Be Honest Anymore The news has changed in recent decades. It's goal is no longer primarily to inform but rather to entertain. This is why most people hate watching networks like Fox News and CNN and why there are twice as many people who actively avoid the news as there are who actively watch the news. I talk about the history of journalism how we got here and what to do about it. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Join my email newsletter:"
YouTube Link 2025-05-24T00:44Z 163K followers, 67.8K engagements
"The Siege of Crimea Has Already Begunbut nobodys talking about it Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I expand on my previous video to show why Crimea not only can and will be taken - but how it already is being taken and how Russia is already beginning to"
YouTube Link 2025-08-01T05:00Z 216K followers, 391.3K engagements
"Russias military is being totally paralyzed Ukraine has a "new" strategy on the battlefield that is literally crippling the Russian military. It's already forced them to stall their summer offensive.and it can do a whole lot more. But it's not what you might think. In this video I talk about how Ukraine is using Russia's greatest strength to defeat them making short work of Russian supply lines and potentially preparing for something big. Source for much of this video: https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/nationalist-vigilantes-are-now-policing-russias-streets-02732125 You can support my work by"
YouTube Link 2025-07-29T01:36Z 213K followers, 336.1K engagements
"North Korean Troops in Ukraine are Worse Than You Think Let's talk about North Korean troops entering the Ukraine War to reinforce against Russia's losses - and what it might have to do with Russia and China. Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2gsub_confirmation=1 You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my"
YouTube Link 2024-10-19T05:30Z 35.9K followers, 193.6K engagements
"The Hidden Reasons Ukraine is CONFIDENT About Recapturing Crimea One of Ukraine's most important objectives in the war against Russia is to recapture the occupied Crimean Peninsula from Russian control. Many analysts and politicians say it isn't possible - but they miss several very important points. I talk about how Ukraine actually CAN retake Crimea and why it could surprisingly be much easier than most people even imagine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-07-19T23:37Z 199K followers, 499.8K engagements
"Russia Just Declared War On My Channel Go to my sponsor https://venice.ai/paulwarburg and use code paulwarburg to enjoy private uncensored AI. Using my code will get you 20% off a Pro plan. Russia has declared war on my channel and it appears that Vladimir Putin might be watching. Recently viewers discovered an AI version of me spreading Russian talking points about the war in Ukraine. But the conversation is deeper than that. In this video I talk about Russia's information warfare strategy and the surprising reasons they do what they do. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to"
YouTube Link 2026-02-13T20:34Z 381K followers, 131.1K engagements
"Something BIG Has Changed on the Front Lines in Ukraine The nature of Russia's war against Ukraine is changing. Russia ability to conduct offensives against Ukrainian positions is slowing allowing Ukraine to build up a surplus of material. That in turn has led to a surprising development - Ukraine is increasingly going on the offensive. In this video I look at the latest updates in the Ukraine War including how drones continue to change the nature of the battlefield and how Ukraine continues to put more pressure on Russia than ever before. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to"
YouTube Link 2026-02-13T06:03Z 381K followers, 386.3K engagements
"Russias Starlink Crisis is Much Worse Than We Thought The Russian military's loss of access to Starlink has proven to be far more detrimental to their war against Ukraine than initially thought. This video examines the critical impact on the frontlines of the war in Ukraine exploring how Elon Musk's decision affects both Russian and Ukrainian forces. I dive deep into the implications for both Russia and Ukraine and how Putin's reaction shows how desperate Russia really is. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Become"
YouTube Link 2026-02-11T01:36Z 381K followers, 272.2K engagements
"The Situation in Iran Is Worse Than We Thought Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these"
YouTube Link 2026-02-07T05:13Z 381K followers, 214.9K engagements
"Russia Just Lost One of Their Most Important Assets (in a single night) Go to https://surfshark.com/warburg or use code WARBURG at checkout to get [--] extra months of Surfshark VPN Russia just lost access to Starlink. The implications are huge - but the most important ones are even bigger than most people realize. In this video I go deep into what the loss of Starlink means for the Russian military - and the Ukrainian military - and why Elon Musk has now finally made this decision. Ways to support the channel Patreon (best way to support consistently): https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118"
YouTube Link 2026-02-06T04:38Z 381K followers, 353.9K engagements
"Russia CAN'T Get Rid of Their Gold.that's causing major problems for Putin Russia is facing a similar problem to the one that brought down the Qing Dynasty (the Chinese Empire). They are running out of the ability to pay their soldiers. But the problem goes much deeper than that. In this video I dive deep into the apparent contrast between Russia's on-paper gold reserves and what they are actually able to convert into usable currency in reality. We cover inflation the decline of the ruble how and why China is seeding Russia with their own currency (the Yuan) and much more. This video includes"
YouTube Link 2026-01-27T21:04Z 381K followers, 234.7K engagements
"This Trump Move Was Easy to Miss But It Explains a Lot Browse Ekster's New Year's Sale (up to 48% off) today before it ends and get an extra 20% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG20 (available for a limited time) https://partner.ekster.com/paulwarburg As he prepares for midterm elections Donald Trump has been making moves in domestic politics that have gone unnoticed by most of the international community. Focused on Greenland Venezuela Ukraine Iran tariffs and more it's easy to miss the significance of what Trump is trying to in America's housing market. That in turn reveals a lot about"
YouTube Link 2026-01-24T17:28Z 381K followers, 238K engagements
"Russia Just Reached Its Worst Tipping Point Yet 👉 Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PAULWARJAN4 🔐 100% Discount for the first [----] people 💥 Dive deep into AI and Learn Automations Build AI Agents Make videos & images all for free 🎁 Bonuses valued at $5100+ if you join and attend Thanks to Outskill for sponsoring today's video. Russia just crossed a crucial tipping point in their war against Ukraine. They are now losing more soldiers than they can replace on a monthly basis. That's obviously a big deal but it's even bigger than it looks once you"
YouTube Link 2026-01-22T04:39Z 381K followers, 330.8K engagements
"Russia is FREAKING OUT About Frances Latest Announcement Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan France just made a MASSIVE announcement that has both Russia and the United States rattled. They are now providing Ukraine with the bulk of their foreign military intelligence replacing the United States and removing the most of the remaining leverage the United States had over Ukraine to pressure them into an early peace deal. This changes the nature of the war in many ways but also has important"
YouTube Link 2026-01-19T19:31Z 381K followers, 306.5K engagements
"Dont Be Fooled - Iran Has Crossed the Point of No Return Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. In fact things have now reached a tipping point and the Ayatollah has a plan to flee to Russia. Donald Trump has threatened military intervention which could be imminent. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place - except it's actually even worse. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why"
YouTube Link 2026-01-15T02:29Z 381K followers, 208.3K engagements
"The U.S. Plan for Greenland is Worse Than You Think The United States is weighing its options for taking over Greenland. They have not ruled out military force and continually bring up the topic of the threat from Russia and China as their justification. However there's more to this than meets the eye. In this video I discuss the true strategic value of Greenland why the U.S. really wants it whether or not the United States would invade Greenland and what all of this means for the NATO alliance. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a"
YouTube Link 2026-01-14T05:02Z 381K followers, 302.1K engagements
"Russia is Absolutely PANICKING About Venezuela Right Now The U.S. capture of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro has Russia extremely worried - and it could have a big impact on the war in Ukraine. There are implications for the Russian shadow fleet and for Russian oil in general. On top of that it sets a global precedent that does not look good for Russia to say the least. I discuss all of it why it's so bad for Putin's reputation and where things go from here. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-10T04:55Z 381K followers, 743.4K engagements
"They're Lying to You About Venezuela The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on showing in very clear detail why the stated justifications simply aren't true. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-06T06:16Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements
"This is ALREADY Russia's Worst Year Yet [----] just started but it's already shaping up to be a terrible year for Russia. Already teetering due to their war in Ukraine this is the year that attrition will catch up with Russia in a major way. Their energy infrastructure is being attacked more and more every day their economy is crumbling their ability to recruit soldiers is weakening and so much more. On top of that they could potentially lose two major strategic partners in Iran and Venezuela. And as all of this happens Ukraine's ability to resist is only becoming greater. Let's take a look at"
YouTube Link 2026-01-05T03:17Z 381K followers, 507.6K engagements
"The U.S. Attack on Venezuela is Worse Than You Think The United States has attacked Venezuela and captured president Nicholas Maduro under the direction of Donald Trump. As usual with things like this the stated reasons diverge from the observable facts. I put together the pieces here to lay out the real motives behind what's going on as well as the most likely paths forward. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2026-01-04T07:08Z 381K followers, 514.6K engagements
"The Iran Protests are Becoming Truly Insane Protests are erupting all across Iran and the situation is only getting worse. Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene if Iran uses force against protesters and Iran isn't exactly happy about that either. The situation is eerily similar to what caused the collapse of the Persian monarchy and led to the creation of the Iranian regime in the first place. Let's look at what's going and what makes these protests different from protests in previous years - and why it's so scary for the Ayatollah regime. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2026-01-03T17:12Z 381K followers, 530.1K engagements
"This May Be the Worst News Putin Has Ever Gotten Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg Ukraine has unveiled a new game changer in its war against Russia. A new network of fortifications and trenches that the Russian military will absolutely be unable to penetrate. I discuss the fortifications themselves and why they are so significant as well as what they mean for the current peace talks and how they change the overall strategy and nature of the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-31T00:48Z 381K followers, 673.2K engagements
"Putin Just Suffered ANOTHER Crippling Blow There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia just lost a top ranking general with a very important job. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this event goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this could be a game-changing event in the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-23T23:33Z 381K followers, 461.7K engagements
"Putin Just Got Some REALLY Bad News There's big news in Russia's war against Ukraine. Europe just approved a new $90b loan to fund the Ukrainian government for the next two years. The surface level implications are obvious but the true significance of this loan goes far deeper than most people realize. I examine everything and show why this is a game-changing event in the war. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-21T23:13Z 381K followers, 494K engagements
"Whats Trump REALLY doing in Venezuela right now The United States has blockaded Venezuela under the direction of Donald Trump. The idea is to stop the transit of sanctioned oil tankers and some have begun to speculate that this could mean war. But there's a few aspects here that most people seem to be missing. I put together the pieces here to lay out how likely a U.S. war with Venezuela really is in light of the overarching geopolitics that led us to this point at this time. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee:"
YouTube Link 2025-12-20T20:09Z 381K followers, 264.4K engagements
"Ukraine Never Ceases to Amaze Me Browse Ekster's Christmas Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg In Russia's war against Ukraine much of the mainstream media seems convinced that Ukraine is losing. Even after four years of warfare with Ukraine showing what it can do Russia's large size still has many people convinced that the war is hopeless for Ukraine. However history and reality paint a different picture. In this video I talk about how history shows why countries in Ukraine's situation"
YouTube Link 2025-12-19T23:17Z 381K followers, 341.8K engagements
"Russias Point of No Return is Closer Than We Thought Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan In their war against Ukraine Russia has always projected an aura of unstoppable strength. It's never been true. Every time Russia has said something the world has seen that the reality is far different than the story. But that doesn't stop Russia from trying. In this video I talk about why Russia's remaining strength has been vastly overplayed from economic power based on gold reserves to the amount of"
YouTube Link 2025-12-18T18:40Z 381K followers, 445.3K engagements
"Why is America Intentionally Throwing Away its Global Power The United States under president Donald Trump seems to be intentionally destroying its global influence. The latest development is a new National Security Strategy that undermines the post-WWII global order that the United States built with much effort and intentionality. The U.S. has expressed a desire to abandon former allies and global dominance to focus on regional power instead. This comes on the back of an already highly unsuccessful tariff strategy that undermined trade relationships and the relevance of the U.S. dollar. In"
YouTube Link 2025-12-15T23:05Z 381K followers, 356.2K engagements
"Yes Russia is Really Running Out of Money Because of their war against Ukraine Russia is quickly running out of money. There are now several indicators that things have reached a tipping point. Russia has lost the ability to fund military bonuses and pay in several regions and they have simultaneously begun to sell off gold to curb inflation. The question to ask though is why didn't Russia sell their gold sooner and how much do they really have left that they can sell When we consider everything we realize that Russia is far closer to ruin than even they may realize. You can support my work"
YouTube Link 2025-12-14T15:47Z 381K followers, 303.7K engagements
"Russia Just Reached a Critical Tipping Point In their war against Ukraine Russia has suffered massive casualties. The one thing keeping Russia going has been their ability to continue to fill their ranks. And that has just changed. Many Russian regions are now struggling to meet their recruitment quotas and on top of that they are also being forced to lower the signing bonuses they can offer. Simply put Russia is running out of money. Printing rubles won't cut it any more and without the ability to fill their ranks with recruits in exchange for stacks of cash Putin's ability to wage war is"
YouTube Link 2025-12-10T17:41Z 381K followers, 570.6K engagements
"Ukraine Just Unleashed a Secret Weapon Behind Russias Front Lines Many people say that Ukraine can't possibly win its war against Russia because Russia is a much larger opponent. But this doesn't match even with Russia's own recent history. In this video I talk about the growing Ukrainian insurgency movement in the occupied Donbas region and how it is making a meaningful difference on the battlefield. I map this to the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan a war that they ultimately lost due to insurgency. I then talk about why this matters for any peace deals between Ukraine and Russia"
YouTube Link 2025-12-09T18:35Z 381K followers, 409.1K engagements
"Ukraine is Now Striking Russias Shadow Fleet Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan This is a first in the Ukraine War. Ukraine has humiliated Vladimir Putin. They've struck two Russian shadow fleet vessels - and claimed credit for it. This isn't just another strike it's a message. In this video we take a deep look at Ukraine's strategy against Russia covering both economic and psychological warfare to show how devastatingly effective Ukraine's strategy really is. You can support my work by becoming"
YouTube Link 2025-12-01T00:25Z 381K followers, 233.6K engagements
"Why Russia Is Desperately Selling Off Its Gold Visit https://baer.skin/paul to lock in your 60% Off on the BRSkin Hoodie Russia is quickly selling off its gold - to a peculiar buyer. The deeper you look the worse it gets with some big indications for the Russian economy and the Russian government as a whole. I take a deep look in this video from Russia's reserves to the ruble to inflation and more to show how we can see some things very clearly that Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin would prefer to hide. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/useru=64634118 Buy"
YouTube Link 2025-11-29T04:22Z 381K followers, 344.3K engagements
"Why China is Suddenly Turning Against Russia Don't Forget Visit https://bit.ly/WARBURG25 to get your own DNA kit from MyHeritage for just $25 - plus free shipping - and get a [--] day free trial of MyHeritage Sale ends soon so use coupon code WARBURG25 to claim yours today Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine China has been taking advantage of the Ukraine War to make several moves against Russia - particularly in Siberia and the Russian Far East. The risk to Putin and Moscow has become even more pronounced as the Kremlin's financial position has weakened and they have lost the ability to provide"
YouTube Link 2025-11-27T23:31Z 381K followers, 513K engagements
"Why India is Suddenly Abandoning Russia Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg India and China are abandoning Russian oil seemingly overnight. For years Russia's shadow fleet has evaded sanctions and continued sales to China and India. Most people assumed this was for idealogical reasons and that India and China were Russia's allies. But now that's been flipped on its head showing the relationships are based on little more than mere convenience and personal"
YouTube Link 2025-11-26T05:07Z 381K followers, 293.4K engagements
"Let's Crush the Biggest Myth About the Ukraine War Take your personal data back with Incogni Use code WARBURG at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/warburg When it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine a lot of people in high places get some very basic facts wrong. For starters they don't understand what type of conflict the war in Ukraine actually is. They also overestimate Russia's strength while underestimating Ukraine's. In this video I bring together some key facts and historical context to show why the war in Ukraine has NOT gone on too long and why the"
YouTube Link 2025-11-25T03:54Z 381K followers, 249.8K engagements
"Russias Attacks on Poland Are NOT What You Think Go to https://ground.news/Paul to uncover the story behind the story. Subscribe through my link now and get 40% OFF the Vantage plan Russia destroys a Polish railway bombs a Turkish vessel and sends fresh drone incursions into Europe. This is no longer an accident - it's a pattern with a very clear goal. But there's something here a lot of people are missing. These aren't probe to see how NATO will react - Russia already knows how NATO will react. Instead there's a darker plan at play here - a plan to help Russia do more damage to Ukraine at a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-24T05:00Z 381K followers, 242.7K engagements
"Why Ukraine WON'T Sign the U.S. "Peace Deal" There's a lot of talk right now about the latest U.S. negotiations under Donald Trump to end the war in Ukraine. From Donald Trump talking to Vladimir Putin and Russia without Ukraine in the room to the offering of the same peace terms that have been rejected multiple times basically amounting to Ukrainian capitulation. In this video I look at all of the pieces carefully including the context and content of past offers of "peace deals" to draw a logical conclusion about the current state of Ukraine negotiations and where things will likely go from"
YouTube Link 2025-11-23T05:00Z 381K followers, 238.5K engagements
"There's a BIG Crisis Brewing for Russia in Occupied Ukraine Want to restore the planets ecosystems and see your impact in monthly videos The first [---] people to join Planet Wild with my code PAUL11 will get the first month for free at: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/join If you want to get to know them better first check out their mission using art to protect marine life: https://planetwild.com/r/paulwarburg/m21 There's a looming crisis growing in Ukraine in the regions occupied by Russia. As a result of the methods Russia has used in its war against Ukraine many environmental problems"
YouTube Link 2025-11-22T04:45Z 381K followers, 322.6K engagements
"Russia is Bracing for a MASSIVE Revenue Shock Browse Ekster's Black Friday Sale (up to 54% off) today before it ends and get an extra 10% off using my discount code PAULWARBURG https://partner.ekster.com/pauljwarburg Russia's oil revenues are collapsing fast. Urals crude is now just $36 a barrel. That carries HUGE implications. For Russia the oil trade isn't just losing revenue - it's no longer profitable. In this video I talk about the war in Ukraine and recent developments that are going to drag down the Russian economy like never before. We learn why countries like India and China are"
YouTube Link 2025-11-21T03:18Z 381K followers, 200.7K engagements
"Russias Shadow Fleet Just Suffered a FATAL Blow Ukraine has now begun to strike new categories of facilities - pumping stations and loading facilities in both the Black Sea and the Baltic - removing the ability of Russia's shadow fleet to generate revenues. But the impact is bigger than it might even at first seem. Combined with sanctions Ukraine's latest strikes are putting coordinated pressure on Russia's shadow fleet - and the pressure is working. China and India are abandoning Russia signaling a potential beginning of the end of the war in Ukraine. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-20T04:54Z 381K followers, 214.5K engagements
"Ukraine Just Exposed Chinas Greatest Weakness The United States has threatened to impose secondary sanctions on countries that continue to purchase Russian oil. That's interesting but not nearly as interesting as what China's response to this move reveals. We've now seen how quickly China is willing to turn its back on its geopolitical "allies" - but that reveals a whole lot more about China than most people think. Put in the context of tariffs sanctions trade wars and economics it shows why China KNOWS a war with the west would be unviable for it. You can support my work by becoming a"
YouTube Link 2025-11-13T17:36Z 381K followers, 537.1K engagements
"What Everyone Gets Wrong About China Invading Taiwan Many people know that China has talks and plans for invading Taiwan. Far less people know the full history here causing them to miss the full story. While many people think of Taiwan as a modern geopolitical event the truth is that China has been talking about invading Taiwan for decades - approximately [--] years since the 1970s. Nothing has ever happened. When we understand WHY China hasn't invaded Taiwan yet and we compare it to what is happening today we begin to see a clear picture of why China would likely NOT invade Taiwan in the near"
YouTube Link 2025-11-10T18:59Z 381K followers, 482.6K engagements
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