# ![@weatherwilly Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::956398885.png) @weatherwilly Will Ciccone

Will Ciccone posts on X about euro, new england, jersey, sunday the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[countries](/list/countries)  [currencies](/list/currencies)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [finance](/list/finance)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [nfl](/list/nfl)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [nhl](/list/nhl) 

**Social topic influence**
[euro](/topic/euro), [new england](/topic/new-england), [jersey](/topic/jersey), [sunday](/topic/sunday), [target](/topic/target), [new jersey](/topic/new-jersey), [we are](/topic/we-are), [snow](/topic/snow) #906, [greenland](/topic/greenland), [canada](/topic/canada)

**Top assets mentioned**
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### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"As the flakes fly today I continue to be drawn into the trends on this front wave for Saturday. Excellent trends to seperate 50/50 low from main vortex in Can which reinforces high pressure allowing a potential great burst of warm air advection snow (frontogensis). See gifs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1889438905943957570)  2025-02-11T22:18Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Not going to comment too much about next weeks potential again till tomorrow. Although there are some compelling signals any trend towards more a more progressive flow by Euro or Can next [--] hours would be beginning of the end imo. Staying patient before I pull the trigger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1890777758642348366)  2025-02-15T14:58Z 12K followers, 10.8K engagements


"For the layman out there who doesnt follow advanced parts of weather forecasting what I'm saying here is the models are struggling with handleing the energy involved fot the storm threat next week. this animation shows how they are erratic with the energy placement run to run (common at this lead time) For a bigger storm to develop you're going to want to see more consolidated bundling of those blue colors not see it stretched out. I'm waiting till tomorrow to make any initial calls because volatility is simply too high at this lead time. By tomorrow even though we won't have all the answers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1890869467619492076)  2025-02-15T21:03Z 11.1K followers, 39.4K engagements


"As promised I will attempt to put my first estimate together this afternoon regarding how I think this week's storm trends/tracks. Stay tuned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1891116945161781362)  2025-02-16T13:26Z 11.1K followers, 14.7K engagements


"*Update* Although our winter season is ageing and daily averages now start to increase (normal temperatures) colder and stormier conditions will prevail 1st half of March. Expect a lot more ski country snow and colder than normal conditions at times for the Northeast. Remember colder than normal will feel warmer in march than it did in Jan and Feb due to seasonal transition. A lot of this will be due to a few factors. In particular trends on models to want to keep the polar vortex on our side of the globe in March (strat. warming impacted this) an MJO that will not go into hostile territory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1893403001446113694)  2025-02-22T20:50Z 11.1K followers, 12.1K engagements


"Although the worst of winter is over for coastal areas I do think the models are too warm in the long range and we're going to have another run in the interior as we get into March"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1894549117239435275)  2025-02-26T00:44Z 11.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@VermonsterWx @SurfSkiWeather It truly is awesome observing it myself. When I go I stay on opposite side of village at 1600ft and even there the snow accumulation is usually half. Jay gets all the attention but Mt Mansfield is very underrated when it comes to similar upslope IMHO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1912499851066999175)  2025-04-16T13:34Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Storm towards the end of next week is still very much on the table. Models are trying to sort out the interaction of all the different short waves involved. I think the main energy just ends up collapsing into the mean trough and we see a coastal. Overall pattern supports it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1981835889908101579)  2025-10-24T21:31Z 11.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Pattern Update: First arctic shot of the season next week then eyes on an active start to December"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1985881748987678958)  2025-11-05T01:27Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@BradyBGWX Yeah that's well said. I think the key is to just have accountability so if there's a forecast you're going to be bold and make which I is actual 'forecasting" vs following the model consensus you just have to admit when you're wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1986134494114615326)  2025-11-05T18:12Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Looks like about 6" of fresh snow on Mt Mansfield. Winter is in full bloom in New England Ski areas this morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1986440353101324700)  2025-11-06T14:27Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"All in on the fast start to winter this year. The factors continue to trend and support a quick seasonal transition as late November approaches. Now we wait and see. Here are my Dec analogs from my Winter Forecast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1987895481826201945)  2025-11-10T14:49Z 11.5K followers, 19.8K engagements


"Snow in Charlotte"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1988024436826452194)  2025-11-10T23:22Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Here is correction on long range models for upcoming [--] days. This doesn't mean this always happens moving forward but when there is support from current mjo observations and seasonal analogs it can help correct future model errors at times. You all know I've been bullish on Dec"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1988956688578408541)  2025-11-13T13:06Z 11.5K followers, [----] engagements


"We have yet to see a big warm-up in NE this Nov. Models been too aggressive pushing ridge in the east. Looking at Thanksgiving week I see no reason why this (pic 1) will not correct to the mjo analogs (pic 2) and become a colder look in the Northeast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1988956897454747664)  2025-11-13T13:07Z 11.5K followers, 14.9K engagements


"Euro weeklies are not too far off from my Dec analogs. Getting interesting. Thinking we initially see west to east type storms that cold sector/snow focuses on new England/northern mid Atl then things drop further south by mid month. We saw this in [----]. I'll do a video on this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1990546626528882810)  2025-11-17T22:24Z 11.6K followers, 15.7K engagements


"Let me know how you all did in these areas always like to verify *Update on tonight's low pressure system* This is best representation of what i think happens. Areas in NWNJ highlands above 900ft see some grass get white- particularly in Sussex county. Highpoint 1"+ Poconos 1-3" Rain elsewhere maybe a flake or two https://t.co/wtvJTxIzUh *Update on tonight's low pressure system* This is best representation of what i think happens. Areas in NWNJ highlands above 900ft see some grass get white- particularly in Sussex county. Highpoint 1"+ Poconos 1-3" Rain elsewhere maybe a flake or two"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1991124623455359250)  2025-11-19T12:41Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"*Pattern Update* -Most hyped December for cold and snow I have ever seen (for good reasons) -Mother Nature will humble a forecaster even when everything looks perfect -Keep an eye on weekend after Thanksgiving"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1991316623232233915)  2025-11-20T01:24Z 11.6K followers, 11.9K engagements


"@njshore23 Initially more new England but by week [--] dec this is best chance you have had in years"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1991326584662557102)  2025-11-20T02:03Z 11.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@Nick_Meyers12 There's going to be a front coming through right now looks like Tuesday night but the speed on these things will probably change. By sat I think we can lock on what happens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1991527519473004709)  2025-11-20T15:22Z 11.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Week [--] December will likely correct to the MJO phase [--] December composite (pic 2). The trough is too far west once again on the long range European. Very favorable for New England and possible northern mid atl further south then follows as December unfolds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1991580570057601127)  2025-11-20T18:53Z 11.6K followers, 16K engagements


"@WeathermanV Yeah that's a different conversation though I'm this case I'm talking and the overall change from warm to cold. The particulars of who gets snow I mentioned other day New England and maybe parts of northern mid ATL initially"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1992307776194802101)  2025-11-22T19:02Z 11.6K followers, [--] engagements


"The ridge in the east continues to get over modeled for week [--] of December imo. Should initially see a west to east storm track where New Eng. is in cold sector maybe northern Mid-Atl. By wk [--] storm track starts to work more south. Discussed in last weeks video. Stay tuned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1992979180112289860)  2025-11-24T15:30Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"*Monday Night Update: Evolution Looks Good into December* - Big cold shot with snow showers moves in later this week - Warmer risks for early Dec overstated in the Northeast - Cold air starts to press with east west storm track working south as month evolves (New Eng to Mid Atl) [----] map credits to https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/19-Dec-95-SurfaceMaps.html https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/19-Dec-95-SurfaceMaps.html"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1993118271550198071)  2025-11-25T00:43Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@BradyBGWX Thanks man"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1993120086278767057)  2025-11-25T00:50Z 11.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@joey17456 @JayB7897 @ccace_wx First of all why don't you watch my content I'm not just pulling information from one person I'm making my own conclusions. Second of all that's false it depends where you were living Northwest New Jersey had a great winter in [----] 1984"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1993408654205395259)  2025-11-25T19:57Z 11.6K followers, [--] engagements


"@jerseyjohn43 Nobody forecasts anymore it drives me crazy they just model follow ensemble means and come up with all these fancy graphs and statistics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1993424068696326387)  2025-11-25T20:58Z 11.6K followers, [---] engagements


"Just like that we have our main models hinting at potential first winter storm of the season in the Northeast Tuesday. I am not jumping on anything yet but as you can see the models continue to respond to the evolving pattern. Remember interior is favoried initially. Stay tuned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1993657024543146318)  2025-11-26T12:24Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Happy Thanksgiving Here is my rough idea of what i think happens on Tuesday. This looks to me like a classic early season wave of low pressure that hits interior areas of NE and Mid-Atlantic highlands with accumulating snow. Will hone in over next few days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1994084790547489016)  2025-11-27T16:43Z 11.6K followers, 26.5K engagements


"Quick video regarding my thoughts on Tuesday's storm threat. Classic early season wave of low pressure that hits highlands of Mid Atl into New England with accumulating snow. Will start to get more detailed in terms of amounts and placement tomorrow. Still preliminary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1994565610643017904)  2025-11-29T00:34Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"*Preliminary Snowfall Forecast: Tuesday* More commentary to come"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1994879493022826704)  2025-11-29T21:21Z 11.6K followers, 14.8K engagements


"@EudoraVideo No Randolph is in [--] to [--]. Literally right on the line because that's where the New Jersey Highlands start to the east won't get much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1994905578594816257)  2025-11-29T23:05Z 11.6K followers, [---] engagements


"*Monday Night Storm Video Discussion* -Many areas living on the edge forecasting this based on experience -Storm moves in around daybreak with initial period of snow across blue zones - Changes to mixing by mid morning in light blue all rain to south - Over by evening"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1995650805580312585)  2025-12-02T00:26Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Good to see the 0z gfs drawing a line in the sand where the cold air pits up a fight tomorrow morning .This needs to occur for my forecast idea to hit. Nail biter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1995703438458716177)  2025-12-02T03:55Z 11.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Forecast will bust in light blue zone. I always try to get an early jump on things stay consistent and avoid going back and forth with models. True forecasting involves risk of being wrong. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn't. This time it didn't. I keep tabs 0-1 on season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1995872412735611118)  2025-12-02T15:07Z 11.6K followers, [---] engagements


"Forecast will bust on southern edges of light blue zone. I try to get an early jump on things stay consistent and avoid going back and forth with models. True forecasting involves risk of being wrong. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn't. This time it didn't"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1995877611252449492)  2025-12-02T15:27Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Final forecast verification from yesterday's storm. Actual snowfall vs my forecast evolution from Thursday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1996202850989556135)  2025-12-03T13:00Z 11.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Haven't said much about what the gfs had for Mon bc it was out on an island. Now it is trending to a non event like other models. snow showers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1996928195082223774)  2025-12-05T13:02Z 11.8K followers, [----] engagements


"@JayB7897 Lol Cold and dry until we get the PNA to pop and nao to stay negative. New England still is a chance for a late developer next week but you're too close to the coast probably"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1996928764018614558)  2025-12-05T13:04Z 11.6K followers, [---] engagements


"Need more amplification for this thing to produce anything later this weekend. With no block the Atlantic highway is wide open for business. Need to depend on trends in western ridge flex or shortwave to break off ahead into Atlantic to slow this down. Can happen but its tough"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1998485756092826001)  2025-12-09T20:11Z 11.7K followers, [----] engagements


"This is just a mean. Its not what the end pattern will look like as this period approaches. Ridges and troughs are washed out. Looking deeper into the individual ensemble members you can see warm vs cold clusters. The average in between leads you nowhere imho"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1998487226225754585)  2025-12-09T20:17Z 11.7K followers, 12.4K engagements


"@AlMugno @CAEZMEH Yeah I don't buy any major warm-ups transient at best. My concern right now is getting some damn blocking to develop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1998591605666886032)  2025-12-10T03:12Z 11.6K followers, [--] engagements


"Regarding the long range. The big warm up narrative is overblown in my opinion. North Pacific block cold air on our side of globe. Don't be surprised to see that Western trough trend deeper offshore and the Northeast trough to deepen as period approaches. Any warm up transitory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1999483716192915683)  2025-12-12T14:17Z 11.7K followers, 15.3K engagements


"Let's hope there's more storms this winter (there will be). I hate mostly sitting this one out ufortunately a few more important things I have to deal with. The atmosphere is starting to saturate and snow is falling in spots but this won't ramp up until later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2000008113697538157)  2025-12-14T01:01Z 11.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Models been flirting with some winter threats around Christmas. Any merit to it Its possible a block is developing with a 50/50 low which is key to holding in cold air/hp ahead of storms. May be a bit early but this pattern continues to evolve post xmas. Im bullish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2001287828219576825)  2025-12-17T13:46Z 11.7K followers, 16.5K engagements


"Gfs really is dreaming of a White Christmas. Notice the block trends in image two how it settles in keeping cold air/storm track more south. Far from locked in European model is warmer but it's nice to see there's a chance. Will break this down more later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2002353107649298617)  2025-12-20T12:19Z 11.7K followers, 15.9K engagements


"We talk a lot about a "block" but in practical terms it's what it does to our weather at the surface. Notice how over last two days the HP to the north ahead of Tue storm system is trending stronger. Models tend to underestimate this in long range. Result is snowier solution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2002440374980120662)  2025-12-20T18:06Z 11.8K followers, 12.7K engagements


"Not a forecast but this trend does hammer home the point of a model finally understanding there's a block in place just after Christmas- tables can turn quickly. Someone will see impacs southern New England is where I'd want to be. Blanket torch statements need to go"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2003070803676688577)  2025-12-22T11:51Z 11.9K followers, 45K engagements


"We are in good shape New England. Its funny if a few days in the 40s was our torch then you have to laugh. Fancy long term ensemble means and charts never should just be taken verbatim. There were key observations and analog support for the trends we are now seeing. Doesn't always work out this way but it was enough to stick with a forecast and not flip flop. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003084257271435732 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2003084257271435732"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2003084257271435732)  2025-12-22T12:44Z 11.9K followers, 13.1K engagements


"Heavy snow over Randolph right now. We are getting some mountain enhancement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2003457268256505892)  2025-12-23T13:26Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"We now turn our attention to Friday night into Saturday's snowstorm potential. Here is my first look at what I expect. This is not based on a model its my opinion on how this evolves/trends. Moderate snow accumulations of 4"+ possible with this. *ice to south not shown on map*"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2003543188246790575)  2025-12-23T19:08Z 11.8K followers, 13.7K engagements


"Around the New Year we need to watch this. There is a signature here that can produce something significant on the tail of that initial vortex. Big block in place and PNA is positive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2003544982901145991)  2025-12-23T19:15Z 11.8K followers, [----] engagements


"*Final Forecast* Most areas in New England I kept the same decreased amounts across parts of NJ and PA due to heavy sleet potential. Storm moves in later this afternoon over by tomorrow morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004534005111328896)  2025-12-26T12:45Z 11.9K followers, 33.8K engagements


"Tonight's Winter Storm Play by Play A real nail biter for some as a battle between snow and sleet will go back and forth in areas like NNJ NE PA. Full blown snowstorm over Hudson valley and NW CT. CNJ sees initial thump of snow tonight before changeover. Fun tracking ahead"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004638142620368952)  2025-12-26T19:39Z 11.9K followers, 15.3K engagements


"@RyanODog123 @IsaacWxObserver @AlMugno yeah i think you outperform me but its close"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004640382173282811)  2025-12-26T19:48Z 11.8K followers, [--] engagements


"The way things are setting up to open up January you're going to have a true blocking pattern that's going to lock in cold air over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. If you get a short wave to come across the country you could see a major winter storm. This is a big storm pattern"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004644356582768725)  2025-12-26T20:03Z 11.9K followers, 24.7K engagements


"Here's that big band developing that's been shown on the models from the frontogensis.jackpot zone setting up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004666894583030208)  2025-12-26T21:33Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Northern New Jersey is undergoing a battle right now. Sleet and snow just dueling it out. Snowing very hard right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004691329914122267)  2025-12-26T23:10Z 11.9K followers, 24.1K engagements


"@AlMugno @RyanODog123 You're going to get all snow now that initial warm surge is over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004722786175160695)  2025-12-27T01:15Z 11.8K followers, [--] engagements


"*Update* Dry slot taking over NNJ. Heavy snow to north sinking air over NNJ. Caught between two vort maxes (pic 2). Expect nothing to pick up again until next vort max (pic 3) moves in around midnight. Few inches of snow can fall form this but high end totals will not verify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004737211041026217)  2025-12-27T02:12Z 11.9K followers, 14.4K engagements


"That second max approaching area now.couple more inches for spots in NNJ can be expected"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004764076824838248)  2025-12-27T03:59Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Final total Randolph New Jersey (NNJ) 3.4". Includes 0.2" sleet. Came in light in northern New Jersey last night due to that dry slot the sleet was not a surprise. To the north worked out well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004894803000262884)  2025-12-27T12:39Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"We now turn our attention back to the first week of Jan. The ensemble systems are hinting at the potential for storm energy from the west to eject east into a dome of cold high pressure over the Northeast. The block locks in the cold. Textbook look for big storm potential"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004946372882018423)  2025-12-27T16:04Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Oh and by the way I don't care if this amounts to nothing the look is exactly what you'd want to see if you're looking for a major storm. We wait years many times to get a *projection* like this. All you can ask for is the potential impossible to not discuss as a weather lover"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2004947197478199452)  2025-12-27T16:07Z 11.9K followers, 51.6K engagements


"@IsaacWxObserver Exactly We all where focused on wrong thing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2005069706651488643)  2025-12-28T00:14Z 11.9K followers, [---] engagements


"My thoughts on next weeks east coast storm threat. Pattern looks great but this is most hyped period i have ever seen in my [--] years following the weather. A lot still needs to go right. In video below i take you though it step by step"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2005729062719799643)  2025-12-29T19:54Z 11.9K followers, 24.5K engagements


"@LeonardYou23495 yeah i remember just reading the nws discussions and looing at the charts on the teleconnections. I think as early as [----] i had access to just the mrf and eta models. Good old days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2005730155789230313)  2025-12-29T19:58Z 11.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Means nothing yet because this is still long range and can trend back but remember in my video yesterday i discussed watching trends in that western ridge for next week. This is wrong trend with it getting knocked down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2006029871420440721)  2025-12-30T15:49Z 11.9K followers, 11.7K engagements


"This will likely trend a little stronger for Early new Year's Day. few inches possible on new England coast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2006085985407238559)  2025-12-30T19:32Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Last [--] days temps. Plus we have had frequent episodes of accumulating snowfall in the Northeast. Ski country has been buried. No big storms but to say this hasn't been a good start to Winter is pathetic. Who cares if it gets warm for [--] days. Things need to be put in perspective"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2007206304276983938)  2026-01-02T21:44Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"The "warmup" will last [--] days temps in 40s. By this time next week we will be talking about winter storm threats and arctic outbreaks. This is opposite the warm winter years we have had where cold shots quickly come and go. That's all for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2007486815461048557)  2026-01-03T16:18Z 12K followers, 10.9K engagements


"For next week below sums up what im watching. Confident things flip much colder after the thaw but a storm will depend on southern jet. Notice differences between two models.one has strong southern jet the other (image 2) has northern squashing it. Not sure what wins yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2008237428855722029)  2026-01-05T18:01Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"I haven't commented much on next week because i remain bearish. However its that near miss system Thurs that can establish cold air and clog up the jet stream for something real to follow it next weekend. Its too long range to analyze it any further than this for now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2009320162240155860)  2026-01-08T17:43Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Regarding my target period for next weekend. The near miss storm late next week is the key to establishing cold air clogging up the jet stream and establishing a 50/50 low seen below. If this trends in that direction more it will be our best chance of the season"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2009665019454312837)  2026-01-09T16:34Z 11.9K followers, 12.4K engagements


"X is messed up the chronological order of tweets for some reason on people's feeds. This tweet explains best my speculation how I think next week can evolve. I could be wrong but I think the pattern for the system next week is a miss but then it sets up the real deal next wkend Regarding my target period for next weekend. The near miss storm late next week is the key to establishing cold air clogging up the jet stream and establishing a 50/50 low seen below. If this trends in that direction more it will be our best chance of the season. https://t.co/OXJEyBPOIi Regarding my target period for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2009761289510199371)  2026-01-09T22:56Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"GFS was exciting last night but would involve perfect timing of disturbances and I still think is unlikely given setup out ahead. I've been burned in the past by trying to will these setups to form a big coastal so sticking to my guns. Hope im eating my words later this week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2009995027863482524)  2026-01-10T14:25Z 11.9K followers, [----] engagements


"New euro and euro AIFS are actively flirting with the GFS now.I'm watching that northern lobe trending to drop into backside of trough which allows storm to hug and go negative. 🍅 will be thrown at my forecast by Tuesday if this holds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010050641931145279)  2026-01-10T18:06Z 12.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@mike61400 Agree I'm just sticking to how I've seen these things evolve in past usually a near miss but always outliers well know a lot more next [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010069269011480643)  2026-01-10T19:20Z 11.9K followers, [---] engagements


"This midweek system is really a tease but I maintain the view we do not see a consolidated storm. I like frontal snows across the interior with a wildcard for backlash snows in New England if I had to place a bet. I continue to be bullish on the threat that follows next weekend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010397973868617928)  2026-01-11T17:06Z 12.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@mark_glatfelter For new england"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010423512473927995)  2026-01-11T18:48Z 11.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Thursday was never the right setup I'm not playing Monday morning quarterback here it just didn't have the signature you want to see out ahead. It's just interior frontal snow. The GFS was holding on to a dream that no other models were showing. More later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010813462142685485)  2026-01-12T20:37Z 12.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Quick [--] min video As previously discussed Thurs system is a non event for most outside frontal snow for the interior. However I have not given up on my main target period which has been Sunday/Mon. I explain why below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2010871419761020960)  2026-01-13T00:28Z 12.1K followers, 12.7K engagements


"Making progress on the Sunday target period we discussed. Let's see how next [--] hours trend. Still over [---] hours out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2011423267723108531)  2026-01-14T13:00Z 12K followers, [----] engagements


"More progress. I expect even further shifts as the current storm moving through is modeled better on its departure remember that was always the key. If we don't see trends back east tnt this thing is going to hit and trend more west imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2011476846202757155)  2026-01-14T16:33Z 12K followers, 25K engagements


"@xweareback2222 Haha if it holds Fingers crossed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2011478805341176265)  2026-01-14T16:41Z 12K followers, [---] engagements


"*Update: Sunday's Storm Chances Increasing Data is in and trends are what i wanted to see last night for winter storm system to impact region Sun. Key is animation [--]. Notice how the jet is trending tighter with a favorable jet streak over the region. I believe you are seeing this shift due to the models now properly handling placement of disturbance related to yesterday's departing system and impact on kinking the jet upstream. This is what I was banking on when I became bullish this week. The result is that jet streak to coming in closer to the coast thus the surface low seen in animation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012145344440607001)  2026-01-16T12:50Z 12.6K followers, 11.2K engagements


"@MelissaServedio we do light snow sat then sunday late moring if this keeps moving west"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012174570489270692)  2026-01-16T14:46Z 12K followers, [---] engagements


"Video breakdown on tap for 7pm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012250317933490603)  2026-01-16T19:47Z 12.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Sunday looks good to me. The 7pm video tonight is what that will be discussing. I am talking winter storm good for spots I kept tomorrows light event separate seen below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012279079433654398)  2026-01-16T21:41Z 12.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@AlMugno yeah we both will be measuring at least 2" by afternoon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012324849008390432)  2026-01-17T00:43Z 12K followers, [--] engagements


"@njshore23 Someone in eastern new England is going to be very happy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012381386800243057)  2026-01-17T04:28Z 12K followers, [--] engagements


"If anyone missed the video I shared 18z euro ensemble as it's track made most sense to me. This was based on how it handled precipitation shield vs jet streak trends. Bottom line coastal NJ up to eastern New Eng is the spot to be Sunday for moderate snowfall imo"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012383024206262640)  2026-01-17T04:34Z 12.1K followers, [----] engagements


"*Here is my snowfall forecast for Sunday* I like what I see. This anticipates another small tick west on high skill models. Eastern New England looks great to me. This can be an old fashioned snowstorm there if this pans out as I expect. More later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012516605293473891)  2026-01-17T13:25Z 12.2K followers, 46.9K engagements


"@hecht_asher bc i think late development of low out in ocean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012518839326482675)  2026-01-17T13:34Z 12.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Close up view of what a true model correction/shift looks like. All over [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012552652110848352)  2026-01-17T15:48Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Around 1" so far in Randolph"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012555139991695626)  2026-01-17T15:58Z 12.1K followers, [----] engagements


"1" hr snowfall Randolph"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012559425974804710)  2026-01-17T16:15Z 12.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Just dumping"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012563402820813132)  2026-01-17T16:31Z 12.1K followers, [----] engagements


"When you have a jet overhead like this it doesn't take much to shift the precipitation shield west. I'm telling you guys Eastern New England is in a really good spot. You'll see more enhancement popping up on the models"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012567778062979151)  2026-01-17T16:48Z 12.6K followers, [----] engagements


"@jeffmastro362 I don't think so I think the focus is going to be more up in northeastern New England but yes it's possible localized"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012602238800146592)  2026-01-17T19:05Z 12.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@cam_458 With the jet streak it's going to be overhead I'm telling you there's going to be over performing in Eastern New England"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012604915508555794)  2026-01-17T19:16Z 12.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Really focusing on tomorrow but the signal for next weekend is quite large. You're dealing with Arctic air in place combined with a great classic blocking signature (pic 1) with finally evidence of an active subtropical jet to attack the cold air. We'll be talking about this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012669682235425113)  2026-01-17T23:33Z 12.2K followers, 23.8K engagements


"Final forecast very little changes. OId fashioned snowstorm for eastern New England on track tomorrow. Video out soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012694319807807988)  2026-01-18T01:11Z 12.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Not to be redundant but here is a last look at what I expect today. This will be graded when storm ends. I can tell you right now some areas in NNJ and CT can see [--] to [--] inches locally (hopefully my backyard) with coastal taking over later. Real deal today"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012864035574730912)  2026-01-18T12:25Z 12.3K followers, [----] engagements


"As coastal low forms this will all start to fill in this afternoon with eastern areas favored all the way up through New England. Cold air also gets pulled in from low in as we get towards evening which will help areas on coast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012928742977310816)  2026-01-18T16:43Z 12.6K followers, [----] engagements


"This is the biggest potential we have seen on a [--] day map since Feb [----]. Here's why and the variables I discuss below have to hold for this to work in particular the sub tropical jet. [--]. You have signifigant cold in place (pic1) [--]. You have a big textbook block 50/50 low combo to lock in that cold (pic2) [--]. You then for first time this year have a sub tropical jet attacking the locked in cold (pic 3) The result is a major winter storm forming as moisture gets thrown over cold air and impacting somewhere in the mid-atl into southern New Eng."  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012952176830665205)  2026-01-18T18:16Z 12.9K followers, 22.3K engagements


"@Ian524498493163 @The_Noticer1 @xweareback2222 This will be a flat suppressed wave if the stj trends weaker if that doesn't happen this will be more north than that models underdo the warm air advection this far out.so that's key to watch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012960046766858670)  2026-01-18T18:47Z 12.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Round [--] about to get underway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2012993359367819305)  2026-01-18T20:59Z 13.3K followers, [----] engagements


"For those of you who thought the radar wouldn't fill in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013016416597811383)  2026-01-18T22:31Z 12.3K followers, [----] engagements


"Storm ending in northwestern New Jersey. Final total Randolph today was 4.2". 3.8" yesterday Two day total 8""  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013068624726983112)  2026-01-19T01:58Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements


"*Video out at 7pm tonight to discuss next weekends major potential* This will be relevant for anyone from VA to Southern New England this far out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013317113990029684)  2026-01-19T18:26Z 12.6K followers, [----] engagements


"Big Time Storm Potential This Weekend: Here is my initial assessment of the factors I am watching. No official first call until tomorrow when i have enough data to evaluate if the miss scenario has any merit. I rather have a good first jump then rush it out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013405682838499568)  2026-01-20T00:18Z 12.7K followers, 42.8K engagements


"Good morning. Major winter storm continues to target region this weekend. Just under [--] days out. Plan is to evaluate everything today and then put out preliminary idea of where this tracks and who's impacted"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013590038206976281)  2026-01-20T12:30Z 12.7K followers, 10.4K engagements


"*Initial Threat Assessment for Weekend Storm Potential* This map does not follow a particular model it represents my estimate of how the storm evolves. I will update daily as I hone in. High Impact potential [--] days away necessary to start forecasting. More commentary later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013728364637413380)  2026-01-20T21:40Z 12.7K followers, 59.5K engagements


"@Lclimateguy these tend to trend north at the end. The northern interaction and the block starting to ease off. The [----] feb scenerio is incredibly rare"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013743973857133027)  2026-01-20T22:42Z 12.7K followers, [----] engagements


"@dhurley737 I agree and I tried to account for that what I have here is north of mostly every model. of course it can go more but I'm not going to be that bold yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013747093395960079)  2026-01-20T22:54Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@ImpactMovie Lol and I'm trying to hold back still"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013787063569494514)  2026-01-21T01:33Z 12.7K followers, [---] engagements


"*Major Winter Storm on Track late Saturday night to Monday.* The window for a miss has passed prepare for impacts all the way up to Southern New England. Next update 2pm. I will take a firmer stance on track how far north the heavy snow gets and rough ideas accumulation ranges. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013974771738788238 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013974771738788238"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2013974771738788238)  2026-01-21T13:59Z 13K followers, 20.8K engagements


"*Storm Update* This is my preliminary estimate. Its still early I can be wrong but its my best efforts on how i think this evolves. Goal is to provide more consistency than app snowfall projections. Thread below is my breakdown. Video at 8pm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014070180326912095)  2026-01-21T20:18Z 13.2K followers, 348.5K engagements


"Two important parts to this system. Trends at [-----] feet and modeled surface high pressure. Models are now converging on more interaction between northern and southern streams"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014070182155612215)  2026-01-21T20:18Z 12.9K followers, 10.6K engagements


"This allows initial surface low to track a more north initially. However there is a massive brick wall of high pressure (1040mb) out ahead with deep cold air in place due to -NAO Block"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014070184504361106)  2026-01-21T20:18Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements


"the early interaction at 500mb (assuming that occurs) is a tug of war with deep high pressure. No one is going anywhere near above freezing i worry about a warm nose though from coastal transfer the ridge is far back to west so its a close call good thing we have that high in place https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014098860453278009 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014098860453278009"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014098860453278009)  2026-01-21T22:12Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements


"@FMSStudio87 yes boston is included the HP nose will cut off some precip with this sheering off the north but then you have potential costal redevelopment which can save you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014099252511666683)  2026-01-21T22:14Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@1Bayda Sunday afternoon to eve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014100301800677807)  2026-01-21T22:18Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@DocTooch yeah its going to be huge my gut tells me we see some more interaction vs the gfs flat wave"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014100393660178536)  2026-01-21T22:18Z 12.7K followers, [---] engagements


"Good Morning. No changes to going forecast. Will have next round of updates and commentary later this afternoon I always stay a little conservative with accumulations until we are inside 48hrs. On the final update I will be more precise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014314913263505813)  2026-01-22T12:31Z 12.9K followers, [----] engagements


"BTW I mentioned this in the videos but I plan to incorporate the possible late coastal enhancement for New England on Monday on my final update. I also will zoom out on my map to include a wider area since I have followers up there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014319710704157180)  2026-01-22T12:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements


"*Morning Update* No changes to going forecast. Will have next round of updates and commentary later this afternoon I always stay a little conservative with accumulations until we are inside 48hrs. On the final update I will be more precise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014320222476419332)  2026-01-22T12:52Z 13K followers, 50.6K engagements


"@stevectweather Thanks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014330422579048833)  2026-01-22T13:32Z 12.6K followers, [---] engagements


"The high end snow potential from this system are elevated northern areas that will squeeze out the max snow to liquid ratios. This includes NW NJ Poconos CT Mountains Berkshires. My final forecast will try to capture this initial release is more general focused on placement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014377219846451677)  2026-01-22T16:38Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Another key detail im ironing out w/ this storm. After the initial overrunning thump of snow and ice to south Sun morning into afternoon potential lull then coastal low development Sun night which is part [--]. This is what can really up the ante especially in New England"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014381416528711930)  2026-01-22T16:55Z 13.1K followers, 10.2K engagements


"This is the trend a snow lover wants to see back that coastal low up baby. Lets take this through Monday morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014396890377241013)  2026-01-22T17:56Z 13.1K followers, 16.4K engagements


"@IamHBAR it is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014412320345100376)  2026-01-22T18:58Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@Vettecarowner22 nah bc if we did see mixing its after main liquid falls anyway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014412450490200302)  2026-01-22T18:58Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements


"I'll expand my coverage to all of new England for my next updated forecast map (tonight or tomorrow morning). Its a lot of work (lol) but this storm has good coverage and want to include everyone. So everyone from Richmond to Maine will be included"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014414579766374410)  2026-01-22T19:07Z 13.3K followers, [----] engagements


"This is incredibly overdone to the South. The national blend of models is a great tool in many cases but not for the snowfall forecast for this storm. I have a feeling a lot of apps use this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014439007506096571)  2026-01-22T20:44Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"This is incredibly overdone on the SOUTH on this image. The national blend of models is a great tool in many cases but not for the snowfall forecast for this storm. I have a feeling a lot of apps use this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014440380582789496)  2026-01-22T20:49Z 13K followers, 25.8K engagements


"**Forecast Update** Major Winter Storm on track Sunday AM-Monday Below is my updated snowfall forecast. Next map update will be final forecast tomorrow night. Goal is to not have to change this much. Video out soon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014501887949643973)  2026-01-23T00:54Z 13.2K followers, 41.7K engagements


"@Vandelay069247 ratios vs qpf i am balancing out. best snow growth i still see over purple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014511653723713815)  2026-01-23T01:33Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@njshore23 I don't think it's wrong I think it's partially right I think it balances out the Euro being too warm. I like the blend right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014513993713377459)  2026-01-23T01:42Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@MendozaTweets Yeah I'm south of that check out the video I just put in. I talk about why I don't think the Mixing going to get that far north"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014524968617308479)  2026-01-23T02:25Z 12.9K followers, [---] engagements


"Talk about dynamics for very heavy snow in circled area on 0z GFS Sunday night as coastal low takes over. -8c air at 5000ft low level jet cranking from east conveyor belt look. We will hone in on these dynamics tomorrow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014552811711709336)  2026-01-23T04:16Z 13K followers, [---] engagements


"Talk about dynamics for very heavy snow in circled area on 0z GFS Sunday night as coastal low takes over. -8c air at 5000ft low level jet cranking from east conveyor belt look. We will hone in on these dynamics tomorrow and where they actually may set up vs projections"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014553035649732825)  2026-01-23T04:17Z 13K followers, 19.2K engagements


"Entering a potential historic period over next two weeks imo. The Arctic will continue to dump very cold air and snow into the United States. Payback for [--] years of mild winters. Most people will be begging for spring to come"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014555608230310133)  2026-01-23T04:27Z 13K followers, 16.4K engagements


"**Morning Update Thread** No changes. If I need to make a changes that's what final forecast will be for tomorrow morning. A lot of talk about warm air moving in and mixing up to SNE. Very possible but at this time I am betting on the colder solution. Thread below is why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014702321611993599)  2026-01-23T14:10Z 13.1K followers, 33.5K engagements


"Airmass just ahead of storm on Sunday morning. You have a 1040HP 5k foot temps [--] deg surface temps single digits to teens. Warmer models are showing warm air intruding in mid levels causing sleet/frz rain all the way up to NYC AI euro and GFS are colder.so who's right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014702323784724566)  2026-01-23T14:10Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements


"In [--] out of [--] times with a surface low cutting to our west and redevelop off coast I would buy the mix to NYC. However this is not your run of the mill cold and HP. I think the euro is underestimating this and how it relates to the timing of when the coastal redevelops"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014702326833951134)  2026-01-23T14:10Z 13K followers, 44.6K engagements


"@WxmanFranz @brianhulbert26 yeah i have that factored in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014702456119136403)  2026-01-23T14:11Z 12.9K followers, [--] engagements


"I am officially ringing the Storm Bell. Preparations for major winter storm NC to ME should be occurring now. This storm will be historic given the cold air and geographical size of the impact zone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014742139096182969)  2026-01-23T16:48Z 13.1K followers, 10.8K engagements


"@MatthewGor34914 its been a longgg time since im trying to remember myself outside 1996"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014745587942375758)  2026-01-23T17:02Z 13K followers, [---] engagements


"@andiamoxoxo thats primary low pressure thats dying transfering its energy to the coast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014773892443676848)  2026-01-23T18:55Z 13K followers, [----] engagements


"My going forecast sharing again so its refreshed in feed for folks asking. Entire map is high impact lower snow amount areas see a lot of ice. Stay tuned for big 7pm Update"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014784137970733372)  2026-01-23T19:35Z 13K followers, 18.1K engagements


"Final Forecast from Video"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2014904360656925156)  2026-01-24T03:33Z 13.1K followers, 19.5K engagements


"Good morning. Here was last nights Final Forecast. Stay tuned for tracking updates. This is going to come in with a big thump tomorrow. Conditions will deteriorate quickly by late morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015038912297640352)  2026-01-24T12:28Z 13.1K followers, 21.6K engagements


"2 degrees in NW NJ. Talk about Arctic air in place. Look at the double digit negatives to the north"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015042356907528257)  2026-01-24T12:41Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Our storm is blooming as the primary low is moving out of the gulf into extremely cold arctic air.Calm before the storm over the Mid-Atl and Northeast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015086751539204260)  2026-01-24T15:38Z 13.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@OTN_Weather Stick to your guns man"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015114655270592853)  2026-01-24T17:29Z 13.1K followers, 10.3K engagements


"@MelissaServedio There is.you'll get a nice accumulation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015130534888747151)  2026-01-24T18:32Z 13K followers, [---] engagements


"@TheGreatGlonzo I would be riding the name all day long if this was a normal cold air mass but this is a very abnormally dense Arctic air mass that you do not see often"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015134783680942530)  2026-01-24T18:49Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@greg9559 Good let them flip flop. It ends up being a roulette wheel the amount of times forecasts are changed these days"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015144040522543175)  2026-01-24T19:25Z 13.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@tfar3 [--] to [--] heavy snow to some sleet i have you in the blue on my forecast map"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015149026023297141)  2026-01-24T19:45Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements


"@hinikerguy88 yeah i do its my favorate projection right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015150307274023179)  2026-01-24T19:50Z 13K followers, [----] engagements


"**Saturday Night Storm Update: Play by Play for Tomorrow** No changes to the final forecast. This cold air will put up a fight tomorrow and the snow will come in and accumulate fast prior to any changeovers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015208325386821807)  2026-01-24T23:41Z 13.2K followers, 18.5K engagements


"@heaton_kri44729 Your welcome Kristine i try my best i wont always be right but hopefully more right than wrong. Thats great you have a nice community. I went to the Sat mass myself today with family "  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015249256962011191)  2026-01-25T02:23Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Snowstorm and [--] degrees haven't seen this since 96"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015394950142124299)  2026-01-25T12:02Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"Over 3" and counting in Randolph. ratios must be [--] to [--]. old fashioned major winter storm is kicking into gear and only will pick up in intensity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015412781047062819)  2026-01-25T13:13Z 13.2K followers, 10.7K engagements


"@DocTooch yea and our ratios are insane right now we are in good shape Doc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015418808127660236)  2026-01-25T13:37Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements


"There is no doubt in my mind the storm belongs in Kocins book and may end up being a top five NESIS. It's not because of the snowfall amounts we've gotten a lot more before. But its the sheer size of this storm and the impact zone along with the air mass that's in place"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015446214423073045)  2026-01-25T15:26Z 13.2K followers, 10.8K engagements


"12pm Storm Update: Lets Ring that Bell Again This storm is absolutely cranking. 1-2 feet incoming for spots"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015467700084961471)  2026-01-25T16:51Z 13.2K followers, 10.9K engagements


"Okay this is where things are going to get interesting and fun. The sleet line is establishing itself. Over the next few hours we're going to have to see how far north it actually gets. It's Also going to be pivoting SW to NE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015489973080789209)  2026-01-25T18:20Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"I can confirm this is not sleet and heavy snow. However just to myself about [--] miles is sleet over basking ridge I'm told"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015494045896737279)  2026-01-25T18:36Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@Vettecarowner22 @nynjpaweather Not so fast we're still all snow here in Randolph look at the correlation coefficient it's putting up a fight it's also going to be pivoting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015499300524994695)  2026-01-25T18:57Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@WetsideCricker7 yeah this isnt over yet another few inches of snow on back end posible. I am almost at a foot"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015559993659932881)  2026-01-25T22:58Z 13.2K followers, [--] engagements


"Observation update Randolph NJ Total accumulation 11.5" includes 1" of sleet. Winds are picking up temperature [--]. Current conditions: heavy sleet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015561781632958731)  2026-01-25T23:05Z 13.2K followers, [----] engagements


"@Vettecarowner22 You should change soon I just did"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2015577951861899397)  2026-01-26T00:10Z 13.2K followers, [---] engagements


"Reporting 19" as of 1250pm Randolph NJ Epic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1356300665031688194)  2021-02-01T17:57Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Just broke [--] Feet in Randolph NJ.storm total 25" so far .all measurements taken using an average of [--] snow boards cleared every [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1356350937393147904)  2021-02-01T21:17Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Final tally for tonight in Randolph NJ 27.8".will see how it adds up again early tomorrow morning"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1356460183904530432)  2021-02-02T04:31Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"We haven't had a good winters in years and already I hear so much "can't wait for spring enough with this snow" snow lovers are a rare breed.how can you not love snow.it's nature's gift and completely transforms a landscape to a peaceful place"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1363173902445346823)  2021-02-20T17:09Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Twitter gets really quiet when most folks don't expect much snow in their backyard.the true weather enthusiasts stay on.got to appreciate the meteorology of this storm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1482357437307015173)  2022-01-15T14:22Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Hope you guys realize how impressive it is to see a normalized anomaly this strong at [---] hours out on an ensemble system not to mention the negative underneath.buckle up winter is coming and may be sooner than some think"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1599508330443313152)  2022-12-04T20:57Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"*6pm Storm Update* I am sticking by my colder forecast for this storm that I put out this morning. The video below explains why. As of now I am expecting wintery impacts by tomorrow afternoon for anyone in dark pink zone to the NW. Final update in the AM with any changes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1603165570748260359)  2022-12-14T23:10Z 13.4K followers, [---] engagements


"300ft Morristown NJ vs 1000ft Randolph only [---] miles away"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1603484493750362114)  2022-12-15T20:17Z 13.4K followers, 23K engagements


"Most bullish signal I have seen this season.ensemble models show a pattern (pic 1) that could support east coast storm 13th.unlike recent events projected migration of t storms in tropics support the west ridge/east trough projections are showing (mjo phase [--] pic2)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1610458662564159489)  2023-01-04T02:10Z 13.4K followers, 47.2K engagements


"Winters return on track for end of Jan to Feb on major models (pic 1).initial response at 18k ft then cold air follows by end of Jan (Will Take Time).this time unlike Dec it is backed by consistent trends in tropics (pic 2) and a decent shot of elongated Polar Vortex (pic3)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1612798584394489859)  2023-01-10T13:08Z 13.4K followers, 25.4K engagements


"90 hour GFS ensemble starting the squeeze on 10mb Polar Vortex. Nice to see this inside [---] hrs vs a 300hr projection.if this continues it will help support the case for late Jan to Feb we have been discussing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1613609001375105027)  2023-01-12T18:48Z 13.4K followers, 17.8K engagements


"Winter weather lovers we might be at Rock bottom but just above rock bottom is at least having something to look at on a [---] hour long-range model. I will not discuss this unless I actually see more support for it but it's better than having nothing to look at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1620915631574089728)  2023-02-01T22:42Z 13.4K followers, 22.6K engagements


"Winter is an awful season when it's mild and in 40s most days with high lows at night. I don't know how people down south think this is good. Give me [--] with a snow pack or give me Summer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1624145968550629376)  2023-02-10T20:39Z 13.4K followers, 13.9K engagements


"New data coming in going to be an old fashioned snowstorm in NNJ into Southern New England tonight.just like the ones we used to know.snow will be very heavy at times by late tonight with snowfall rates 1" per hour in places"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1630236847019532288)  2023-02-27T16:02Z 13.4K followers, 25.2K engagements


"This picture is gold.for snow starved folks along east coast this is the exact pattern you need shown for storm development March 10th on.block is west east orientated there's a western ridge and perfect 50/50 low.if this verifies my call for winter over in Mid-Atl would be wrong Let's see what happens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1630951517367705601)  2023-03-01T15:21Z 13.4K followers, 33.2K engagements


"Colder than normal temperatures continue into May. We torched all winter and then right on cue a cold spring prevails. Did you expect anything different"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1650827210696060929)  2023-04-25T11:40Z 13.4K followers, 22.6K engagements


"Summers over in my book once this beautiful Fall airmass hits Wednesday night.summer dew points gone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1701312835454697617)  2023-09-11T19:12Z 13.4K followers, 25.2K engagements


"Goodbye summer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1702133279682380082)  2023-09-14T01:32Z 13.4K followers, 12.9K engagements


"The [----] Winter Outlook"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1714066987649798257)  2023-10-16T23:53Z 13.4K followers, 202.6K engagements


"2024 Winter Outlook Maps. For those who want the finer details the video discussion is in an earlier tweet linked below: https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1714066987649798257t=U6AycJ_AkIXGyM78fz6Wvg&s=19 The [----] Winter Outlook https://t.co/v2dWcpNzdh https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1714066987649798257t=U6AycJ_AkIXGyM78fz6Wvg&s=19 The [----] Winter Outlook https://t.co/v2dWcpNzdh"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1714075656521232657)  2023-10-17T00:27Z 13.4K followers, 170.7K engagements


"GFS ensemble now trending towards Euro and agrees with its own MJO progression. My Forecast: A true pattern change starts last few days of the year.will take about two weeks from there to fully settle in and see wintery weather near big cities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1736734244125200809)  2023-12-18T13:04Z 13.4K followers, 25.1K engagements


"Pattern Update: All in On January Pattern Change [--]. I am forecasting a major pattern change for January [--]. Evolution starts after Christmas kicks in by 2nd week of Jan [--]. There will be no pushing this off if its delayed I change whole winter forecast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1737470874301657102)  2023-12-20T13:51Z 13.4K followers, 41.4K engagements


"Major pattern change (cold) continues to be on track for turn of the year and can have staying power. My attention is on the end of the 1st week of Jan for potential winter storm development ingredients I like to see just staring to get "sniffed out" on long range models"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1738710982455689407)  2023-12-23T23:59Z 13.4K followers, 15K engagements


"Holiday Video Update: Hunting for Snow [--]. Pattern change kicks in post NYE (0:22) [--]. Winter storm potential Jan 7th along East Coast (1:20) [--]. Pattern change may have staying power (2:40)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1739780789842112635)  2023-12-26T22:50Z 13.4K followers, 15.9K engagements

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