#  @wade_andrew Andrew Wade Andrew Wade posts on X about wnba, prop, in the, thread the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::36711316/interactions)  - [--] Week [-----] +126% - [--] Month [------] +92% - [--] Months [-------] +11% - [--] Year [---------] +69,223% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::36711316/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +100% - [--] Month [--] +29% - [--] Months [---] +13% - [--] Year [---] +5,980% ### Followers: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::36711316/followers)  - [--] Week [-----] -0.03% - [--] Month [-----] -0.09% - [--] Months [-----] +26% - [--] Year [-----] +273% ### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::36711316/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [social networks](/list/social-networks) [nfl](/list/nfl) [countries](/list/countries) [finance](/list/finance) [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations) [musicians](/list/musicians) [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) [celebrities](/list/celebrities) [ncaa basketball](/list/ncaa-basketball) [ncaa football](/list/ncaa-football) **Social topic influence** [wnba](/topic/wnba), [prop](/topic/prop), [in the](/topic/in-the), [thread](/topic/thread), [play](/topic/play), [discord](/topic/discord), [nfl](/topic/nfl), [games](/topic/games), [fd](/topic/fd), [has been](/topic/has-been) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "A lot of people were upset about Iowa basketball not landing any transfers due to NIL reasons (and rightfully so) as Iowa has kind of dragged their feet on it but it sure doesnt seem to have as much impact on the HS athletes looking to join Iowa basketball or Iowa football" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1541200996893720576) 2022-06-26T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Honest to god question has LeBron ever talked shit on a rookie before they ever played their first game I know Kobe and MJ would have went at a rookie like Caitlin hard but they would have let their on court play do the talking. Some of these WNBA old heads blow" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1790848681559629943) 2024-05-15T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "I think Angel Reese is a good player but just look at her reaction her when Caitlin is cheap shot. This is why I dont like her. What a trash response by her Why do none of Caitlin Clarks teammates ever do anything to stop this from happening https://t.co/j2BGddbdGX Why do none of Caitlin Clarks teammates ever do anything to stop this from happening https://t.co/j2BGddbdGX" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1797053107605803335) 2024-06-01T23:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The WNBA growing rapidly and Caitlin Clark exponentially growing it even more upon her arrival can both be true. Its also worth noting that there is likely some correlation between the popularity surge in WNCAA the last few years with players like Caitlin Angel Paige The narrative that Caitlin Clark is saving the WNBA is simply false. The league doubled its revenue in the five years before Clark showed up. That was during a pandemic Just because you just noticed the league when Clark arrived does not mean no one else was watching before. The narrative that Caitlin Clark is saving the WNBA is" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1797312293451297132) 2024-06-02T17:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "@Iowa_Cub I could not agree more. I think jersey mikes is trash. Firehouse subs is bomb though" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1879667671635304714) 2025-01-15T23:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "@TCarmTheGoat I joined his cord because he gave it out for $10 as a promo and I kept seeing him drop +4000 wins. I hated it the moment I got in there Dude was dropping [--] straights a day at [----] odds or worse generally The odds he was posting were also not legit. He posted a Josh Hart o13.5" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1882380327160819723) 2025-01-23T10:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "The passionate fan base that follows both isnt common. NIL has more mouths to feed at Iowa than many other schools. Football will always be the favorite and so that leaves mens basketball sitting by the way side but if Beth can make a splash here this could be huge for Iowa" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1900966648212775201) 2025-03-15T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Im rambling but again Gary Barta would have me worried. Beth has me ready for the next phase of Iowa basketball. I will always appreciate what Fran did for the program. What an unbelievable human being" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1900966651954110733) 2025-03-15T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Heres my NBA betting card for tonight: - Jamal Murray [--] [--] [--] points (all .5u each) - Brunson + Cade combined points [--] [--] [--] (1U .5u .5u) - KAT 4/6/7 assists (1U .5u .5u) - MPJ o12.5 p 1U - Jamal + Leonard o8.5 combined assists 1U - MPJ + Jaden Mc 20+ p each - .5U" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1914419034503962925) 2025-04-21T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements "Also playing a few floor general specials for low units and a few NHL plays that I posted in my discord. Total units wagered today: [-----] units" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1914419036450148755) 2025-04-21T20:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements "Fever [--] v Sky [--] - This game could have actually been worse if Indiana could make a shot in the first quarter. CC definitely stat padded a TD but I love it. She finished with [--] PAs with [--] in the 2nd half. - Seemed like Fever got into a rhythm in the 2nd half moving the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924183232331047018) 2025-05-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Ball well. Aliyah Boston also finished with [--] PAs all of which came in the 2nd half. Bonner and Howard are beasts. - I am not a fan of Angel Reese for a lot of reasons but Ill give her this. Shes so dominant on the glass. Which helps make up for her still" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924183234214310313) 2025-05-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "WNBA Prop Thread for 5/19. Heres the most important info to help you bet" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924312989244760127) 2025-05-19T03:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Alright going to stick to three WNBA props a day on here: WNBA prop #1 Chelsea Gray [--] A and [--] A (+400 and +1200 on FD both .5U) She finished with [--] PAs last game. I was on this in her first game as well. Gets a softer matchup vs the Sun. Just love it at these odds" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924949047892185419) 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "WNBA Prop #2 Rhyne Howard o3.5 A (MGM [----] 1.25U) With Canada out Rhyne saw significant usage in Canadas role. She led the Dream in PAs with [--]. She converted for [--] assists. The Fever allowed a very low conversion rate vs the Sky but the Sky were getting open looks and not knocking them down plus the Dreams offense looks leagues better than the Sky in terms of ball movement and scoring" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924949162505699543) 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "WNBA Prop #3 Brionna Jones o2.5A (365 +110 .75U) The Dream had a significant jump in [--] attempts in their first game meanwhile the Fever continued their trend of allowing open [--] looks vs the Sky. Jones did wonders playing the inside game vs the Mystics and had [--] PAs in that game. While I dont believe the Fever d will collapse on Jones like the Mystic did there still should be more than a few open looks" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924949216016716008) 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@tytalkssports_ Cant wait to track the potentials of Chelsea. Should have been an easy cash" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1924985068201673135) 2025-05-21T00:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "WNBA Play #3 Kelsey Plum 6+ A (FD [----] 1U) No Rickea means even more usage for Kelsey. The likely replacement is Sarah Ashlee Barker who has primarily served as a shooter. I toyed with taking PA but [----] is high. Given that Plum has had [--] and [--] PAs I expect her to continue her control of the offense and focus on getting the bigs and Barker involved" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925241893241372794) 2025-05-21T17:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Im seeing assist lines already pop up for tomorrow so getting this out a little early for tomorrow Potential Assists for WNBA games on 5/22: New York Liberty:" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925314333703119062) 2025-05-21T22:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Play #1 Caitlin Clark o9.5 A (DK -145) Played this last night. Clark is on a tear and this line should be at [----]. Her PAs are through the roof and gets another quality matchup vs Dream. Teams have been picking up Caitlin on inbound so Fever were bringing the ball up with the bigs and setting a screen for Caitlin to receive and initiate the offense" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925575443651907667) 2025-05-22T15:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Prop Thread for 5/23: Sun v Lynx: - Aneesah Morrow is Q doubt she plays but if she does likely just eating into bench minutes of Parks and Peters - Sonia made her debut and played [--] min/Allen dropped to just [--] min. - Doubt we get likes but Hartley has [--] and [--] PAs. - Mabry has struggled and gets another tough matchup vs Lynx - Hiedeman doubled playing time and responded well. Had [--] PAs and finished [--] assists short of a DD - Phee/Courtney/Alanna dominating usage. Aces shot well from [--] vs Sun Alanna and Courtney leading in attempts" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925752752707129396) 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Mystics v Aces - Kiki just had monster game on glass but gets tough matchup vs Aces. Aces have been bleeding points to bigs this season though. - No. [--] guard options have had success vs Aces (Rivers and Cloud). Ill be eying up Sonia or Melbourne. Sykes has monster usage but I think Aces will try to get ball out of her hands. - Chelsea has [--] and [--] PAs but a horrible conversion rate. - Shakira Austin out = more Dolson barring foul trouble" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925752759627747495) 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "If you like this or find this helpful please give me a follow or share with others #WNBA #PlayerPropBets" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1925752761565548639) 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "WNBA Play #2 Sonia Citron [--] and 20+ points (+235 and +920 FD .5u each) Sonia is quietly having a good start to her rookie year. Sykes has been the hot topic with over 30% usage but I imagine the Aces look to stop Sykes and force the ball out of her hand. Sonia has been efficient and her shots are increasing. I think we could see a bit more drive and dish from Sykes today with the rook having a big game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1926002946602410187) 2025-05-23T19:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "WNBA Play #1 Aja [--] [--] and [--] assists (FD +156 FD +780 ESPN +1800 .5u each) Aja is the hub of this offense and has [--] PAs over the last two games. Shes looking to pass and get her teammates involved and she is finding them for open looks. Her conversion rate is 30% but given how good the looks have been this should be higher" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1926675996553470462) 2025-05-25T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Potential Assists for the 5/27 5-game slate Wings v Sun" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1927201206310514925) 2025-05-27T03:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dream v Sparks Rickea Jackson IN; Sarah Ashlee Barker usage down; this also could lead to more PA opps for Plum Griner OUT; Nia Coffey got the start (18 points [--] boards [--] PAs) Griner isn't as active on the glass as she should be given how tall she is and we saw Nia steal a few opps from Bri Jones Sparks continue to struggle vs bigs even allowing Reese to get [--] on 5/11 and Cardoso to get [--] on 6/9 both of whom have been struggling. Nia and Bri could be in for big days. Te-Hina Paopao IN; distributing gets evened out (i.e. fewer assist opps for Rhyne); also this means less Maya Caldwell" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1927319224281690567) 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Sky v Mercury Moriah Jefferson Questionable; I don't expect this to impact Nurse Atkins or Sloot HVL Questionable Angel Reese had [--] PAs as the Sky want to use her as a point forward but until she develops an outside shot or better passing presence I don't think this is overly effective. However she did have several PA opps from kick outs which honestly given her poor play at the rim was good to see. Cardoso finally got going this season crossing her o/u on points The Mercury are allowing the 2nd fewest attempts from within [--] feet and the 3rd worst shooting % from between 5-9 feet which is" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1927319228283015588) 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "If you like this content please follow and like the thread #WNBA #PlayerPropBets" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1927319230615076922) 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Prop Thread for todays Fever v Mystics game Here is what youve got to know - Caitlin Clark OUT: Sydney Colson will get the start. Shes a veteran who can run the offense well enough but she has only limited start throughout her career and has averaged [----] minutes per game. I anticipate we see her for 15-20 minutes with Sophie and Lexi filling in the remaining CC minutes - CC out is an opportunity for AB to show why she is one of the best in the league. Her role as a facilitator should increase. She already has 10/8/10 PAs the last [--] games and if she gets an assist like Im hammering it -" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1927672978122355014) 2025-05-28T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I wanted Lexi Held lines so bad. She should have been priced around [---] or [---] points which she just hit" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1931551584628199881) 2025-06-08T03:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@BREBetting Holy shit thats wild. I lived in Newton from 1995-2008 when I went to college. Did you ever know a Dennis or Cathy Curtis" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1932849062853640529) 2025-06-11T17:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@BREBetting Ahhh okay that makes sense. Maytag really screwed the whole town" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1932851208206573811) 2025-06-11T17:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Sky vs Dream Sloot OUT; we saw a switch in lineups with Rachel Banham taking over for Sloot and Rebecca Allen stepping in with Kia Nurse going to the bench. Unfortunately the results still sucked. I will say this though the Sky did a good job of spreading the ball around but nobody besides Angel Reese could score (who saw that one coming). Reese was not only an efficient scorer in the last game vs a softer Liberty D without Jones but that might have been her best passing performance of the season. Not only did she put up a season high [--] PAs but her vision was better and we saw a few nice" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1933314390683455573) 2025-06-13T00:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Player Prop Thread for todays triple header Sky v Sun Saniya Rivers QUESTIONABLE; generally will illness and how bad the Sun are and with the return of Lindsey Allen I bet they hold her out. Sloot OUT; The Sky are trying to figure out what their best starting five is. Kia Nurse reentered the starting rotation and we saw Atkins take on the majority of facilitating responsibilities. I was on her the first game just happened to be a day late. Atkins finished with [--] PAs. ODO IN; Haley Peters goes back to the bench. ODO will help in the rebounding department against a good rebounding" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1934228750247276698) 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dream v Mystics Mystics head coach Sydney Johnson mentioned that he needs to get Edwards and Austin more involved now that they are both healthy. I don't know how plans to do that but if that comes to fruition it likely means slightly less Kiki. Thankfully the Dream have Griner and Jones so bigs will be necessary in this matchup. If I wasn't concerned about minutes I would be excited about Kiki's scoring potential in this matchup. I may have to take a flyer on her anyways just in case. She's an incredibly efficient scorer for a rookie shooting 70.4% in the RZ. Is Griner washed Since her" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1934228753397301566) 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Mercury v Aces Kahleah Copper is expected to play; We've only seen her with this new Mercury lineup for [--] minutes in the first preseason game so there is quite a bit of unknown. With that small sample size there were two things we can glean her usage was down from years past (as expected) but still in good territory (23.1%) and AT will still be the primary facilitator of the offense. She is likely on a minutes limit but her presence will be huge for the Mercury who have been trying to find a capable scoring threat outside of Satou all season. Lexi Held and Kitija Laksa have been good off the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1934228756140290479) 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Aces vs Lynx Aja Wilson OUTwith a concussion. We will see significant usage again from Jewell Chelsea and Jackie. Alanna Smith left last game in the 2nd half. We saw extended minutes from Karlie Samuelsoon and Maria Kliundikova in the 2nd. Jessica Sheppherd OUT The Aces defense has been a mess and will continue to be a bigger mess if A'ja is out. Especially in the paint where Phee and Alanna Smith do much of their dirty work. Several Lynx players have good shooting matchups here. Starting with Courtney who has seen a reduction in minutes the past five games but came out aggressive last game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1934983370548609139) 2025-06-17T14:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Storm vs Sparks Julie Allemand OUT Kelsey Plum and Odyssey Sims OUT The Sparks possess the 2nd worst RZ defense; Phee just went for [--] on them. Ezi has been an incredibly efficient scorer the last two games with [--] points and [--] points on 5-8 and 6-8 shooting and she sees over 50% of her production in the restricted zone. Personally I like the volume of Nneka a bit more along with her 64.1% shooting % in the restricted zone. The Sparks are allowing the 4th most points to forwards. Rickea Jackson has been on an absolute tear. After a rough start to the season she had [--] and [--] points in back" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1934983372931031301) 2025-06-17T14:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Im beginning my watch back of the Fever v Sun. Ill give away a month free membership to my picks + PA data subscription to the first person to correctly guess the amount of potential assists Caitlin had tonight. Go" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1935161529999180160) 2025-06-18T02:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I just finished watching the Fever v Sun game Mark it on your calendars 7/15/25 Caitlin is scoring [--] or getting a triple double. She has never liked Jacy Sheldon. This will be great Also Sophie is a dawg" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1935170477934174255) 2025-06-18T02:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Prop Thread for todays only game Sun v Mercury Sami Whitcomb QUESTIONABLE; we will likely see a 3-5 minute increase with Kaleah Copper and the remaining minutes split between Laksa and Held if Whitcomb is out. I think we see a slight minute increase from Copper regardless for what its worth. The Sun are on a back to back for the first time this season. They are already the 4th worst shooting team in the league but will now be on tired legs facing one of the best defenses in the league. The Mercury shooting a ton of 3s and that combined with their lack of size in the starting lineup has" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1935307350216241274) 2025-06-18T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Player Prop Thread for todays doubleheader Mercury vs Liberty Mercury on a back to back. Sami Whitcomb was ruled out in yesterday's game unsure of her status. I think we could see one of AT or Copper sit in this game due to their injuries this season. If Sami sits it adds more minutes for the guards. Same for Copper. Lexi Held and Kitija Laksa likely see the most benefit. Akoa Makani's minutes seem capped to the 20-22 mark. Satou Sabally is coming off a season-high [--] rebound game vs the Sun and she now gets a matchup with the Liberty who allow the 3rd most rebounds to forwards. However" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1935684444100178363) 2025-06-19T13:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Player Prop Thread for tomorrows [--] game slate **Lynx vs Mystics** Phee QUESTIONABLE Phee was downgraded to doubtful on game day on Saturday. My guess is this was two-fold. Phee isn't 100% healthy and there was no since in rushing her back vs the short-handed Sparks. After this game they have three days rest but this is a winnable game without Phee. It's a long season I lean she rests but I'll give a breakdown of plays with and without her. Jessica Shepherd IN this major. She will likely take away most of the PT by Maria and we will see Alanna Smith's minutes reduced. Without Phee the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1937481952619012111) 2025-06-24T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Player Prop Thread for tonights doubleheader Fever vs Sparks - DeWanna Bonner is no longer a member of the Fever and they have upgraded with Aari McDonald who will steal minutes from Syndey Colson and actually provide a playmaking guard to take pressure off CC. - Odyssey Sims OUT - I wrote this before CC was ruled out (I'm keeping those pieces in because they are relevant to other Fever members). CC being out changes the entire dynamic of this team. The Fever did just sign Aari McDonald back to the team. Colson will get the start and McDonald will absorb most of the minutes. - Without CC" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1938291376980168770) 2025-06-26T17:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Looking to add a 1-2 cappers who do [--] or more of the below sports MLB Soccer College football Shoot me a DM if you have any interest and have tracking data" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1938818654839144661) 2025-06-28T04:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Doing the Dream v Lynx watch back and [--] min of the game is missing in the 2nd quarter. I always have issues with Atlanta home games @WNBA" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1938969026262376668) 2025-06-28T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Sky vs Sparks - If either of these teams can make baskets this will be prop heaven but as we saw the other night in the Sky vs Valks game it can also be heartbreak if nobody can hit a shot. - Kamilla Cardoso OUT; as I noted this completely changed the dynamic of the game for the Sky. Michaela Onyenwere got the start and it was mostly not memorable in any way shape or form. - Sims IN. This is good for the entire LA offense - Angel Reese and Aerial Atkins saw the biggest impacts though. Starting with Reese her usage jumped from [----] to [--] and her already insane rebounding % of 43.8% jumped up" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1939304785905160419) 2025-06-29T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Aces vs Mercury - The Mercury won the first matchup between these two teams but A'ja Wilson was not there and Copper was still working her way back from injury. With those two stars returning you would expect both teams to be on positive trajectories. Yet the Aces seem to have gotten worse and the Mercury look like a title contender at this point. - Let's start with the big factor in this game. While the Aces are effective at limiting overall [--] attempts teams are converting at the 5th highest % with a 33.7% from deep. Now they get the Mercury who shoot a league-high [--] 3s a game. They had a" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1939304788803436586) 2025-06-29T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Commissioners Cup Player Prop Thread Note: I wrote this whole thing before CC was ruled out and forgot to post. I included both scenarios but just going to post as is. Lynx v Fever - Tonight's Commissioners Cup has plenty of storylines outside of the grand prize the winning team gets. - Caitlin Clark QUESTIONABLE; undoubtedly the biggest storyline and for everyone except for the players who voted CC the 9th best guard a really big deal in terms of what the outcome could be. I am assuming Caitlin will play after being a partial participant. When she spoke to the media she mentioned that she is" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1940108864411636064) 2025-07-01T18:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Storm v Dream** - Rhyne Howard is DTD but she was in a sling after leaving the last game with an injury with a few minutes remaining in the 3rd I find it hard to believe she plays in this game. If she is out I imagine we see Shatori Walker-Kimbrough gets the start. - As could have been expected we saw usage skyrocket for Alisha Gray in the 4th with Rhyne out going from her season average of 20.8% to 29.2% and her rebound % go from 16.6% to 44.4%. - Moreover we saw Jordin Canada put up a season high [--] Pas with over 35% of those coming in the 4th quarter. Part of this is due Rhyne out but" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1940786561194315850) 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Mercury v Wings** - A lot to unpack for the Wings. NaLyssa Smith was traded (and somehow the Wings got a [--] for her) Kaila Charles was released and Teaira McCowan and Luisa Geiselsoder were re-activated. - Additionally Paige Bueckers was a full participant in practice Tuesday and there is a possibility that DJC returns as well. For a Wings team that seems to experiment with their lineups game to game this makes for a lot of uncertainty so here's what I would have the starting lineup be. Paige Arike Aziaha MHA and Luisa. I like that Luisa can play on the perimeter and MHA does a good job as a" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1940786564314906725) 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Mystics v Lynx** - Jade Melbourne QUESTIONABLE. If she plays Lucy Olsen's minutes will be limited to the single digits. If she is out Lucy Olsen will see the bulk of those minutes. - The Lynx have allowed [--] of the last [--] centers to go over their rebound line and we've seen big rebounding performances from big forwards including Kiki (Natasha -13; Bri Jones - 8; Kiki - 11; Hamby - 12; Nneka - 10). - While the Lynx have been effective at defending the PNR (they rank 4th against the PNR man and 2nd against the PNR ballhandler) they rank 9th in RZ-paint defense where Shakira and Kiki have both" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1940786577392713959) 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I just want some Kelsey Mitchell and Tiffany Hayes assist props on this Saturday. Too much to ask @FanDuel" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1941590354437759393) 2025-07-05T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Aces vs Sun** - Tina Charles is QUESTIONABLE. Not sure what the situation is but why play her at this point if she's injured If she is out we likely see Aneesah get the start. - Jaelyn Brown is OUT this raises the floor of minutes for Saniya Rivers and Jacy Sheldon. - This is a perfect get-right spot for the Aces who take on the 2-15 Sun without Marina Mabrey who is supposed to be returning soon. The one thing you have to worry about is if this gets out of hand too soon and when the starters would be pulled. - Defensively the Sun allow a lot of points in the paint allowing the most shots in" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1941853511391551886) 2025-07-06T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Sky vs Lynx** - Alanna Smith left the game with an injury last night. Not sure the extent of it but if she is out I expect Jessica Shepherd to get the start. - Let's start off with this Angel Reese has been fantastic this season. She may have cost me a +2800 on her 25+ last game by missing a layup but honestly just an incredible performance by her. With Kamila Cardoso out Anel has seen her usage jump from 20.9% to 26.5% and her rebound % go from 43.8% to 50%. In two games without Cardoso she has [--] and [--] rebounds and has eclipsed her season high in shot attempts in both games (16 and 19)." [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1941853514029740157) 2025-07-06T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Mercury vs Wings** - The Mercury and the Wings face off just days after the Wings surprising defeat of the Mercury and there is a lot to unpack. - Copper and Satou are shockingly out as is DJC. We will get a healthy dose of Kalani Brown and likely 30+ minutes from Laksa and Whitcomb with 20-25 minutes coming from Katheryn Westbeld. - The Wings were on a short-handed roster and that may still hold true in this matchup as Arike has yet to practice with her thumb injury. Honestly though not sure it's that big of a deal at this point as the rookie trio of guards has been playing well. - The" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1942204008728334746) 2025-07-07T12:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Valks v Fever** - CC is IN. - Damiris Dantas is IN this could eat into Sophie and/or Natasha Howard minutes but I am hoping we see more Makayla Timpson. She's been fantastic in her limited minutes. - With CC in I'll be looking at AB or Natasha points and possibly CC assists with a dabble on the triple double. CC likes to put on a show and a game back in Indiana after several games off is surely an opportunity for that. - AB and CC operate the PNR more effectively than any other duo in the league and it's nearly unstoppable with the attention CC commands coming off the screen and her passing" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1942909085369651710) 2025-07-09T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Lynx v Mercury** - Both Satou and Copper considered DTD. The Mercury don't have another game for nearly a week after this. The Mercury have been cautious with injuries so far this season but this is a big game between two of the best teams in the W. - DaWanna Bonner is now a Mercury. I don't quite see the fit on the court. - These two teams have squared off twice and both games were without AT or Copper and the last game was also without Phee. - If they are both out the pressure will again be on the trio of Akoa Makina Whitcomb and Laksa to convert their looks. In the game vs the Wings" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1942909087907242247) 2025-07-09T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "7/10 WNBA Prop Thread **Aces vs Mystics** - A'ja Wilson was in shootaround. I lean she plays at this point. The rest of this was written prior to that announcement. - With A'ja out we saw some interesting decisions. Chelsea Jewell and Jackie took up the lions share of minutes playing [--] [--] and [--] while Dana Evans Kierstan Bell NaLyssaq Smith Aaliyah Nye and Kiah Stokes all got between 7-13 minutes. Usage wise Dana Evans led the way with a 41.2% rating and Jackie Young put in a 34.3% usage rating (she averages 25.6% on the season). What was most shocking was the involvement on the glass by" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1943358582206140883) 2025-07-10T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@HoopHerSpeaks None of those are assists but considering I watch every single potential game to track potential assists its bad across the board. Every game has [--] or [--] questionable assists awarded" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1943500074626982108) 2025-07-11T02:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "7/12 WNBA Prop Thread **Sky vs Lynx** - Well this Sky team is a bit different then what we've seen. Let's start with the obvious. Kamilla Cardoso is back after several games away with the national team and we saw Kamilla come off the bench playing [--] minutes which is actually a minute above her [----] minute per game average. - It seems as if Tyler Marsh unlocked something with Cardoso out though. Elizabeth Williams played 30+ minutes in the three games without Cardoso and the Sky offense looked dare I say good Although Elizabeth played just [--] minutes with Cardoso in the lineup that was still" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1944050617598558697) 2025-07-12T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "7/16 WNBA Prop Thread **Dream vs Sky** - I wrote everything below before Angel was ruled out. Cardoso is going to have much higher usage as is Elizabeth Williams. It's still a tough matchup for both though. - Rhyne was a late scratch on Sunday and is now out through July from most recent news. Without Rhyne in the lineup Canada has notched [--] and [--] Pas and Bri Jones has notched [--] Pas. Alisha Gray had [--] as well which was primarily kickstarted by Canada getting it to Grey on the wing who could then get an easier entry pass to Bri and/or Griner. - With Rhyne out Maya Caldwell got the start but" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1945486551099572702) 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Fever v Liberty** - No Jonquel Jones - I wrote all of this before CC got hurt in the last minute of the game vs the Sun. Everything below holds true except for I think we see more attention placed on Kelsey which will open things up a little for Aari McDonald who will get the start in CC's place. Aari boards is a going to be a play for me whenever that drops. Also without CC the pace drops significantly and the offensive rating of the Fever drops as well. We got Kelsey Mitchell assist props for the game vs the Sun would be something I am interested in if we can get those again. - The last" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1945486570464616633) 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Aces vs Wings** - I'm going to start with the Wings here and the most obvious success of this team they have been so incredibly effective at limiting rebounds. Angel Reese only put up [--] and [--] vs them. They are allowing the 3rd fewest rebounds to bigs over the last [--] games and just limited AB and Natasha to just [--] combined rebounds last game. They are however allowing the 4th most rebounds to guards over the last [--] games and we just saw Sophie get [--] and Aari get [--] rebounds off the bench. Without A'ja in the last game vs the Wings we saw Jackie get [--] boards. - With Arike in the lineup we" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1945486576210890779) 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "It was a crazy day in the Discord today @FullstopPicks crushed baseball +240 ✅ +320 ✅ +370 ✅ +413 ✅ +500 ✅ +988 ✅ +1300 ✅ +3000 ✅ Join now to get all access to all his plays at Use code FULLSTOP for 25% off your first month http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/ http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1947499086451736719) 2025-07-22T03:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dream vs Aces - Rhyne Howard is OUT Maya Caldwell got the start in her place. As can be expected usage goes up across the board with Rhyne out. In the last game we saw Alisha's usage go up from 20.6% to 23.7% rebound % go up from 16.8% to 21.9% and assist % go up from 21.1% to 27.8%. Bri and Griner saw similar usage growth and Canada's assist % sky rocketed. Without Rhyne Canada has averaged [--] Pas - Jackie Young is QUESTIONABLE now. If shes out we will see more Dana Evans. - The Aces have allowed several 20+ PA games this season and they are allowing an above average conversion rate. In" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1947707368160301487) 2025-07-22T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Wings vs Storm - Arike appeared to reinjure her thumb at the tail end of last week's game vs the Aces but she remained in the game and there has been no additional news on her. - Going into the Wings last game I anticipated Paige to notch more Pas while feeding Arike but it turned out to be quite the opposite through the first [--] quarters. Paige got 60% of her PA production in the final [--] minutes of the game and still ended up tied with Arike in Pas for the game. - DJC *Should* be back but who knows at this point. If she joins the lineup we will see JJ Quinerly's time go down and likely Haley" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1947707371243114700) 2025-07-22T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Super pumped to announce that @Willzan6 has joined our team at Parlay Ole Bets to cap the upcoming college football and basketball seasons. This guy absolutely crushes the player prop markets and will be adding spreads/ML/totals to his arsenal. In [----] he won [---] units on an absurd 38% ROI. Just look at his CFB Week [--] card last year. Sign up at to get all of his bets and use promo code WILLZAN for 25% off your first month. http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/ http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1947732755418317289) 2025-07-22T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@camthepacman1 I track all potential assists for every wnba game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1948022812175749351) 2025-07-23T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "@slayinmaven @___lovelani I track potential assists. The WNBA doesnt" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1948023390163677636) 2025-07-23T14:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "7/23 WNBA Prop Thread Mercury vs Dream - Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally are back after being out since 7/3. Lexi Held is also back after being out since 6/19. Monique Akoa-Makani was not seen at practice so I do not anticipate her playing in tomorrow's game. - In the last [--] games the Mercury did go 4-1 with a win over Minnesota but the wheels fell off a little bit in the final game scoring a season low [--] points. - For the Mercury the biggest thing will be figuring out what lineup to play now that DeWanna Bonner is back and playing very well. - I imagine the starting lineup will be Alyssa" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1948076620830646767) 2025-07-23T17:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Hey @grok who was the most famous person to visit my profile It doesn't need to be a mutual don't tag them just say who it was" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1949151074574565825) 2025-07-26T16:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@grok Shout out @SaraJGamelli" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1949173028266320272) 2025-07-26T18:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "7/27 WNBA Prop Thread Lots of injuries and weird lines. Be careful out there **Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun** - And we are back to not knowing what in the heck the Valkyries will do with their lineup at any given time. - Kayla Thornton is OUT for the year and Monique Billings is OUT for the game. The starting lineup we saw was Cecilia Janelle Temi Tiffany and Burton with [--] minutes from Carla Leite and [--] from Iliana Rupert. No minutes from Kate Martin. - This game will produce some really great lines if you can predict what lineups either of these coaches will roll out. -" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1949484165390381148) 2025-07-27T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Indiana Fever vs Chicago Sky** - Caitlin Clark is OUT until further notice. - Atkins is OUT Reese is Questionable. - Even with Angel Reese this team does not have much going for it. With Atkins out there is not a single guard on this roster who can create consistently. Rachel Banham is trying but she is more fit as a spot-up shooter. Hailey Van Lith has gotten a lot of run time the last two games but hasn't been efficient. - Last game kind of pure the fear factor in Aari McDonald props. She still finished with [--] Pas but it wasn't pretty and she was seemingly benched for Sydney Colson." [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1949484182570258654) 2025-07-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings** - Paige is OUT - The Wings changed things up vs the Valkyries with Li Yeuru getting just [--] mints of run time. While the double-big lineup has been effective in some regards it still hasn't resulted in a ton of wins but I think the biggest reason for the reduction in playing time was the need for more athleticism on the court to match up with the Valks who were without Monique Billings and Kayla Thornton which led to a much more athletic lineup than it already was. - To be honest this might be a better identity anyways when they aren't going up against" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1949484195799052354) 2025-07-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Dream v Wings** - Atlanta is on a B2B and will be on their 3rd game in [--] days. I wouldn't be surprised to see Griner sit out this game for rest. As I mentioned in the last write-up I wouldn't have been shocked to see Griner get less minutes and get played off the court vs the Valks small lineup and that's exactly what happened with Naz Hillmon getting [--] minutes of run time. This one will be interesting as the Wings rolled out a small-ball lineup vs the Liberty that featured [--] guards and [--] big (Luisa) with Li Yeuru getting [--] minutes off the bench. - The Wings have operated at the 4th" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1950580508754125259) 2025-07-30T15:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@&1389807567429042216 **Mercury v Fever** - Caitlin Clark is OUT. - This is the first matchup between these two teams this season. - The Mercury have had some struggles vs off-ball guards the last few weeks with Kayla McBride getting [--] points Alisha Gray with [--] points and Sabrina Ionescu with [--] points. Watching the game with Sabrina back she was getting the ball in transition and off of off-ball screens with consistency btu she was also able to just beat her defender off the dribble. These are three main staples of Kelsey Mitchell's offensive attack. - What I have been so impressed with" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1950580519424450949) 2025-07-30T15:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/1 WNBA Prop Thread **Mercury vs Dream ** - What a quick turnaround for these two after facing off a week ago. - Rhyne Howard is OUT She was expected out all of July but it is now August and I haven't heard anything yet. - Canada was out last game with an illness and is now listed as questionable for this game. In the last game she had [--] Pas but converted just [--]. If she is out Paopao will get the start. Despite being the starting point guard her PA numbers have not been strong all season but she has never met a shot she didn't want to take. - Griner went off in this matchup scoring 17" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1951311498933866886) 2025-08-01T15:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/2 WNBA Prop Thread Lynx v Aces - I imagine we see a better showing than the [--] point beat down the Lynx put on the Aces last a little over a week ago. - In the two games since the Aces benched Jewell Lloyd and this offense has looked so much better. It's an incredibly small sample size but the Aces offensive net rating is [-----] in two games compared to [---] over the season and their defensive rating of [----] is [--] points better then their season average. Granted they have played two weaker teams in the Wings and Sparks. - In these two games Chelsea has notched [--] and [--] Pas both season highs" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1951660576595456311) 2025-08-02T15:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/3 WNBA Prop Thread I wrote these on Friday and updated where I remembered changes were needed based on last two days of news. Should be mostly good I think. Liberty vs Sun - Stewie is OUT - Emma Meeseman was available to play but did not log any minutes. I imagine that changes in this game. This will eat into Talbot's minutes. - Aneesah Morrow has now logged [--] straight starts but still only played [--] minutes on Friday but she got [--] rebounds that short time frame. In the three games with Morrow starting Charles has [--] [--] and [--] rebounds. Worth monitoring if Morrow gets the start. - Defensively" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1952038144779624711) 2025-08-03T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Lynx vs Storm ** - Phee is out for two weeks. This generally means Jessica Shepherd will slot into the starting lineup. - Dijonae Carrington is the newest member of the Lynx squad and will likely make her debut tonight as well albeit likely under an organic minutes limit (I anticipate about [--] minutes). - Gabby Williams Pas continue to stay low as she's had [--] or fewer Pas in [--] of her last [--] games but did have [--] in the last game. The Lynx defense is the best in the league but will be missing one of the best defenders in the league. That being said I imagine we see Dijonae matching up on" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1952778374201434146) 2025-08-05T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Mystics vs Sky** - Angel Reese is OUT - Ariel Atkins QUESTIONABLE. And they desperately need her but considering how bad this team is it doesn't make sense to rush her back. She was participating in shootaround though. - Hailey Van Lith QUESTIONABLE. If both HVL and Atkins are out tonight Sevgi Uzun should get even more minutes. She played [--] last game and had the third best +/- on the team at [--]. She hasn't been particularly aggressive with her shot but she has been a willing rebounder and a solid facilitator. Might be worth a DFS or fantasy stream on the cheap. - Cardoso has hit 10+" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1952778378349551747) 2025-08-05T17:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Anyone want me to go live and break down todays game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1953150596711891055) 2025-08-06T17:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/6 WNBA Slate Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1YqKDZNvMAEJV https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1YqKDZNvMAEJV" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1953206524001829237) 2025-08-06T21:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/7 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sky - Rhyne DOUBTFUL. The Dream's [--] point defense has suffered in the time period with Rhyne out as they are allowing the highest shooting % from [--] over the last [--] games. Additionally with Rhyne out Allisha Gray's rebounding % goes up and she now gets a matchup vs the Sky who have allowed some big rebounding games to wings including [--] combined to Allisha and Rhyne in the first matchup of the season and [--] to Allisha and Maya Caldwell in the blowout game just before the all-star break. - It's also worth noting that the Sky can get toasted by guards (Copper - 25" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1953455143644754375) 2025-08-07T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/7 WNBA Slate Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1gqxvjrWoWgxB https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1gqxvjrWoWgxB" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1953528324166410521) 2025-08-07T18:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/9 WNBA Prop Thread Sparks vs Valks - What I love about the Valks is they are consistent in their identity regardless of who is in the game. They pressure anyone the moment they enter the paint they put a ton of on ball pressure early and often and they allow a ton of 3s. Conversely they shoot 3s like they are worried they may not be allowed to anymore. - The Valks are 2-1 against the Sparks but the Sparks are coming into this game on a hot streak winning [--] of their last [--] and just outscoring everyone. - Defensively though they let anyone and everyone score on them. They are the 4th worst" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1954254324240109993) 2025-08-09T18:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@JoeyKnisch Heck yeah man Glad you like them and I appreciate your support. Ill be doing write ups for NFL too" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1954259504440439108) 2025-08-09T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@HouseOfDragons7 @JoeyKnisch Heck yes Im glad I can appease the Royal Bank of Bravos" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1954330403608920240) 2025-08-09T23:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "Storm vs Sparks - This is going to be a copy and paste for the Sparks D from the last game prop thread as it still holds true: they let anyone and everyone score on them. They are the 4th worst team in the W in points allowed in the paint and they are worst team vs forwards in points in the paint allowed. They also happen to be allowing the 2nd most rebounds over the last [--] games to forwards. - In addition to bleeding points to bigs in the paint they Sparks are allowing the 5th highest shooting % from [--] on the 2nd most attempts allowed over the last [--] games. - To add more insult to injury" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1954539613001072841) 2025-08-10T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dream vs Mercury - Rhyne QUESTIONABLE; her presence has huge implications on the way the Dream operate. Without Rhyne in the lineup the Dream are allowing the 3rd highest shooting % over the last [--] games. Additionally without Rhyne in the lineup we have seen Allisha Gray go off for [--] and [--] against the Mercury. Gray gets most of her production from spot-up shooting in transition and as the PNR ball handler all of which the Mercury rank bottom half of the league against. - Brittney Griner QUESTIONABLE. She has already had her homecoming in Phoenix but this game this environment still means a" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1954539616138412474) 2025-08-10T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/11 WNBA Prop Thread This was written before Charless was ruled out but all points still stand. Sun vs Valks - The Sun are on a B2B after playing a close competitive game vs the Aces last night. This means the Sun wonky rotations get wonkier. Tina Charles has played twice on a B2B. She averages [----] minutes a game and just [--] in her two games on a B2B. Marina Mabrey averages [--] minutes per game but did play just [--] minutes on July [--] in a B2B. If the game is close Mabrey will get her minutes not so sure on Charles. - Aaliyah Edwards made her debut and already outplayed Aneesah Morrow in" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1955022663761662141) 2025-08-11T21:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Liberty vs Sparks - Should we just rename this the matchup between Sabrina and Kelsey Plum These two love to get up against each other. In the two matchups this season Kelsey has averaged [----] PAs which is [----] Pas higher than her last [--] games. - Isabelle Harrison is OUT leaving the Liberty with two true bigs. - Well it appears that the paint defense hasn't exactly improved the Liberty were just having some easier matchups against the Wings and Sun. The Liberty just allowed [--] points in the paint to a Phee-less Lynx squad which pushed them to be 5th worst of the last [--] games. They'll have a" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1955262916699230251) 2025-08-12T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "College football is right around the corner and Wills got us covered in @ParlayOleBet Hes already got [--] plays posted. Dont miss out Played this as my first prop of the year. Lets run it Played this as my first prop of the year. Lets run it" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956139422506004486) 2025-08-14T23:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "8/15 WNBA Prop Thread This was written and posted yesterday in my discord. The big updates are Shakira Austin is out and so is Arike. **Mystics v Fever** - Shakira Austin has been out the last two games with "soreness". Seems like maybe a little more than just soreness considering the Mystics just signed a big to a 7-day contract. If Shakira doesn't play we will likely Stefanie Dolson get the start with Emily Engstler and Alysha Clark getting [--] minutes off the bench. Also of note is that Jacy Sheldon appeared to go down with an injury late in the 3rd quarter. She was on pace for only 12-15" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956381104245801028) 2025-08-15T15:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Continued - The Fever defense has been in the top half of the league the last [--] games but they dont do anything particularly special. Sonia Citron will likely draw Sophie or Lexie which will not be easy for her. I did notice in her first two games vs the Fever she pulled down [--] rebounds. There are several factors of interest here. Many of her big rebound games were due to her sagging off her player and helping in the paint but this was different. She was primarily matched up on Lexie and because Lexie was so aggressive in crashing the glass it forced Sonia closed to the basket boxing her" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956381106821099687) 2025-08-15T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Storm vs Dream** - I find gambling on back to back rematches to be incredibly difficult. How much is actually going to change strategically from game to game so some of this may feel copy and paste from my Wednesday write-up but that is because some of it is. - Jordin Canada is out for at least two weeks with a hamstring strain. This means a huge spike in Rhyne's assist %. As mentioned in Wednesday's thread we see a [--] PA uptick for Rhyne with Jordin out of the lineup while Allisha Gray sees a [--] PA uptick. The most concerning piece for me going into this last game was how many minutes would" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956381127368904964) 2025-08-15T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Aces vs Mercury** - After the embarrassing blowout loss to the Lynx the Aces are quietly on a [--] game winning streak. In that time frame they have the 2nd best net offensive rating and 5th best net defensive rating. They have the highest rebound % and the 5th highest EFG%. In that time frame they are allowing the 3rd points in the paint and the 4th lowest [--] point %. - They are now catching a Phoenix Mercury team that has been struggling offensively (compared to the standards they've set for themselves this year). They have the 4th worst offensive net rating over the last [--] games. - Over the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956381132242681926) 2025-08-15T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "*WNBA Free Play* Maddy Siegrist O11.5P +100 Discord got this at [----] would still play [----]. Arike is OUT. Last game the Wings went with Maddy at the [--] to start the game and went 9-13. She should see 25+ minutes in this game and gets one of the worst paint defenses in the league. The Sparks rank 2nd to last in the RZ and Maddy gets 48% of her production there. Research powered by @PropsEdge Use code ANDREW for 25% off" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1956478311942733923) 2025-08-15T22:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Follow @ParlayOleBet and get the full MLB card from Fullstop Get @ParlayOleBet to [---] followers tonight and Ill post a baseball ladder for the massive Monday slate If you want to cash more ladders with me throughout the season then come over to https://t.co/Mwh7xj7L9T using the code FULLSTOP Get @ParlayOleBet to [---] followers tonight and Ill post a baseball ladder for the massive Monday slate If you want to cash more ladders with me throughout the season then come over to https://t.co/Mwh7xj7L9T using the code FULLSTOP" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1957550457427014013) 2025-08-18T21:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Sun vs Mystics - I know the Sun are a bad team but I do feel like they are actively throwing games. I know that sounds absurd but just watch the last minute of the game vs the Fever. It's either that or they are actually even more poorly coached then I can fathom. They drained [--] valuable seconds off the clock before getting a bad shot off and then didn't foul. Make it make sense. - I say all of this to say just always proceed with caution for this team. - That being said Leila Lecan had quite the game. We finally got point props for her on FD and now we are getting assist props. She said a" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1957875320444580010) 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Storm vs Sky - Angel Reese should be back soon (she was practicing and is now listed as QUESTIONABLE) which is welcome news for this disaster of a team that doesn't control its' own first round pick in the [----] WNBA draft that at the moment would be the number [--] overall pick. I say all of that to say although they are horrible we don't have to worry too much about tanking but I'm sure they will be more conservative with several players (namely Atkins and Angel) down the stretch. I don't anticipate she plays in this game but if she does I'll happily take her PRA instead of Cardosos PR. - This" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1957875323812655404) 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Dream vs Aces - This is a matchup of [--] of the best [--] teams in terms of net rating differential over the last [--] games and two teams battling for playoff seeding. - After scoring just [--] points in the first half the Dream put up [--] points against the Valks in the second half. The only noticeable difference was Paopao running the point in the second half resulting in a career-high [--] Pas. Rhyne still had more Pas but got 85% of her Pas in the second half. So why was Paopao playing Mainly because Maya Caldwell got into foul trouble and was limited to [--] minutes. We've seen Paopoa go in waves of" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1957875326744498282) 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Mercury vs Valks - The Mercury rank 2nd to last in points allowed in the paint to forwards and they rank last in rebounds allowed to forwards. They just allowed Nneka Ezi and Malonga to all get 7+ rebounds and Nneka scored [--] on the Mercury. [--] of her [--] makes were in the RZ. - At the end of the day someone has to rebound the basketball. This is not rooted in data but I have a feeling it will be Satou. - Without a true big on the floor she has shown the ability to pull down boards and had [--] in her last game vs the Valks. - Iliana Rupert went into concussion protocol and did not return on" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1957875329605018032) 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "College football season is here Follow @Willzan6 as hes going to be making money every weekend in @ParlayOleBet Rocking this with the boys lets run it up Rocking this with the boys lets run it up" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1958645302048813256) 2025-08-21T21:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨WNBA Free Play🚨 Sonia Citron 4+ A (1U on +120 FD) I got this out to the Discord last night at +172 for [--] and +870 for [--] but would just take the straight now. This is not the best matchup but I love what I saw from the Mystics yesterday. So let me break it down. Alysha Clark got the start over Jade Melbourne which immediately threw my radar up. The second thing that threw my radar up was Sug Sutton getting subbed out within [--] minutes. Basically the Mystics were trying to rotate Sonia and Sug in and out and not with each other as much as you can with limited talent and depth at the guard" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1959661448185225384) 2025-08-24T16:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/2 WNBA Prop Thread Liberty vs Valks Sabrina is QUESTIONABLE for this pivotal matchup. The Liberty sit in 5th and Valks in 6th as it currently stands but [--] games separate them. The Valks are trying to hold off the Storm and Fever while the Liberty are trying to keep pace with the Mercury and Dream for guaranteed home-court advantage in the 1st round. With Sabrina out I anticipated Natasha Cloud getting the lion's share of ball handling responsibilities she finished with just [--] Pas. Additionally with Sabrina out Emma got the surprising start with a [--] big lineup. With Jonquel Sabrina Natasha" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1962890605807423715) 2025-09-02T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Fever vs Mercury The first time these two teams faced it was a shootout with the game going over [---] points. The second time the Fever couldn't buy a bucket. They also were operating without a true point guard and the Mercury were putting a ton of pressure on Kelsey Mitchell. Odyssey Sims just posted her second highest PA total of the season for the Fever. In the first game against the Mercury Aari McDonald had [--] Pas. The Mercury are the 4th worst rebounding team in the league and allow the most rebounds to opposing forwards. Furthermore they are allowing the most points in the paint to" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1962890610387697720) 2025-09-02T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/5 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sparks Allisha Gray is OUT. Without her in the lineup the Dream rolled out Bri Jones Naz Rhyne Paopao and Jordin Canada. Paopao saw just [--] minutes though with Maya Caldwell getting [--] minutes. I like Paopao but her and Canada on the court at the same time makes no sense and it appears Smesko realized that very quickly as well. Interestingly enough and shoutout to my guy Flo for catching this but apparently Jordin Canada was never on a minute limit in her return but he was just trying to be smart about it. We both hammered her assist prop and it paid off" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1964081500485239223) 2025-09-05T21:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The man @Willzan6 went off today in college football in the @ParlayOleBet discord. 7-1 day +4.68 units ✅-130 ✅-140 ✅-140 ✅-130 ✅+108 ✅-113 ✅+200 Lock in with him using code Willzan for 25% off your first month" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1964540347792708015) 2025-09-07T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/8 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sun Allisha Gray was OUT the last two games. The most important thing is ensuring she is healthy. There is no sense in playing her now if she is not 100% especially in a winnable game vs the Sun. She is currently listed. QUESTIONABLE. I am seriously so over betting on the Sun. Rachid Meziane might be the worst head coach I've ever seen. His rotations truly make no sense. Lindsey Allen continues to get heavy minutes over Leila Lacan. We are also seeing 30-year old Mamignan Toure get heavy minutes too. It's actually dumb. For the love of god people do not bet on" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1965031637844123874) 2025-09-08T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is some good CLV. DD sent to the discord: +280 PR sent to the discord: o18.5 PR DD [--] minutes later: [----] PR [--] minutes later: o25.5 PR" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1965166634181779931) 2025-09-08T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/9 WNBA Prop Thread **Mystics vs Liberty** The 5th seed is all but set in stone for the Liberty at this point. They're [--] games behind the Mercury and [--] games in front of the Valks. Sabrina has been QUESTIONABLE the last several games before ultimately being ruled out. The goal is the playoffs but considering how little this entire team has played together it wouldn't be the worst get the entire healthy unit together once before playoffs. They take on the Mystics who are eliminated but still fighting albeit poorly. As I've mentioned several times with the Mystics eliminated we can expect to" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1965506034191270110) 2025-09-09T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Shout out to Zach Ertz and Tucker Kraft for the receptions combo bang in @ParlayOleBet 🧨 5/5 +1100 💥6/6 +3900 Code NFL gets you 50% off your first month through the end of the weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966345491333218636) 2025-09-12T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Rams vs Titans** Puka Nacua popped up with an injury after the Texans game but that's pretty much every game for Puka. He picked up right he left off last year though getting [--] catches on [--] targets for [---] yards. It was pretty much the Puka and Davante show as they received [--] of the total [--] targets on the team. Despite much speculation that Blake Corum would see more work this season Kyren got [--] rush attempts to his [--]. According to MacVey that was not intentional and they do anticipate getting Corum more involved but this is still Kyren's backfield. Defensively the Titans defense held" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619947033088391) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Jaguars vs Bengals** Well the Jaguars running back situation has been cleared up. Tank Bigsby is no longer there and Travis Etienne looked very good in his first game in the Liam Coen regime. The Bengals allowed just [--] yards vs the Cleveland Browns a shocking development for a defense that was one of the worst in the league last year at defending the run. They have a true test though this week vs the Jags. The Bengals had quite a bit more success defending the man/gap running concept allowing just [----] yards per carry vs zone concepts where they allowed [----] yards per carry. This fits" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619950283694408) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Browns vs Ravens** Quinshon Judkins returns and it is uncertain if he will be ready to play or not but this rushing attack could use him. Jerome Ford was largely ineffective in his [--] carries getting just [--] yards and getting stuffed 100% of the time. Dylan Sampson was slightly better but that's not hard. Part of this ineffectiveness led to Joe Flacco throwing the ball 45x which is not what the Browns want to do ever. The surprise player of the day was Harold Fannin Jr. He had [--] targets and brought in [--] receptions but the most surprising thing was his [--] 1st read targets. His route tree was" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619953395888540) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Bills vs Jets** The Bills got torched in the running game by the Baltimore Ravens allowing [---] yards on the ground for a [---] yard per carry average. What was interesting though was that 74.8% of those yards came on explosive runs and the Bills still posted a stuff rate that ranked in the top half of the league. It's also an incredibly tough rushing attack to defend against between Henry and Lamar. But the Bills don't get a break as they now face Breece Hall and Justin Fields. Despite all of the hype surrounding Braelon Allen taking snaps away from Breece Hall Allen got just [--] carries" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619957183344762) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Giants vs Cowboys** Russ Wilson is still the starting QB which means the Giant's offense is basically unplayable at this point from an overs perspective. It sounds like though with one more bad game that the Jaxon Dart era will start sooner than expected. Malik Nabors was getting visibly frustrated during the game. Welcome to the Russell Wilson experience Malik. This also impacted the running attack as the Commanders were able to load the box to stop 2nd-year starter Tyrone Tracy Jr. This isn't going to get easier against the Cowboys who added Kenny Clark produced a strong first game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619967224508551) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Seahawks vs Steelers** Kenneth Walker was given [--] attempts compared to [--] by Zach Charbonnet. The Seahawks mentioned earlier that that wasn't necessarily the plan but it is something to monitor. And it was mentioned that they need to get back to the outside zone mentioned that they need to get back to being an outside zone running team which favors Kenneth Walker slightly (52.99% compared to Zach's 48.9% attempt % last year and a success rate of 42% compared to Zach's 37.9% success rate). Jaxon Smith-Njigba is quickly making people forget all about Tyler Lockett and DJ Metcalf. He had 9" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619970722480339) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Broncos vs Colts** Bo Nix didn't look great but I feel confident he will improve. There weren't many surprises with how the Broncos handled player usage. JK Dobbins got [--] attempts compared to RJ Harvey's [--] but RJ had some explosive carries. It's going to be tough to keep him off the field and Sean said as much in his post-game press conference. Receiver wise Courtland Sutton led the way in target % (22.5%) route % (86%) and 1st read % (37.5%). These numbers closely reflect [----]. Behind him was Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims getting a nearly even split across the board in all advanced" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1966619973775937569) 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Chargers vs Raiders** Omarion Hampton seemingly has a hold on this backfield after getting [--] carries to Najee Harris' [--] but according to Harbaugh they planned for 12-15 plays for Najee and he got to [--]. His workload will increase but remains to be seen by how much. Just be weary on Hampton overs. The Raiders rush defense was top half of the league last year and got an easy test vs the Patriots. It was mentioned all summer how healthy Herbert looked and he quickly showed what that meant. He was dynamic and gained [--] yards on [--] rushes. He had [--] yards vs a largely similar Raiders defense" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1967648195850493974) 2025-09-15T17:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/17 WNBA Prop Thread **Lynx vs Valks** Tiffany is OUT. Kaila will start. Burton has averaged [----] Pas per game over the last [--] including [--] vs the Lynx on 9/6 but she has only gone over [--] assists in [--] of [--] games vs the Lynx. With Tiffany Hayes + Cecilia in the lineup we do see a drop in Burtons Pas. Update after game 1: Burton finished with [--] assists on [--] Pas. I mention this every single prop thread but the Valks aggressively collapse on bigs and allow a ton of 3s (the most of any team this season). One thing to note though is that this [--] volume isn't applicable to everyone. They like to" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1968323752250532270) 2025-09-17T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Liberty vs Mercury** Stewie (4 min) Sabrina (2.5 min) and Jonquel (2 min) all saw bumps come playoff time last year. AT has played heavy minutes as is but I think we could see her running 36/37 minutes in tight games. Copper/Satou/Bonner will all see bumps. In the last three games against the Mercury Sabrina has had [--] [--] and [--] Pas while putting together two games of 5+ rebounds. Sabrina hasn't really looked like herself in a few weeks but she's been getting it done in the R+A department and playoffs is a different animal. Last year Sabrina saw nearly a [--] rebound bump to [---] rebounds per" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1968323756910415928) 2025-09-17T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/17 WNBA Review: Valks vs Lynx and Mercury vs Liberty https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1BdxYZmeeyBKX https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1BdxYZmeeyBKX" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1968411334112067624) 2025-09-17T20:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/19 WNBA Prop Thread Not doing a long prop thread for tonights game. Just a few quick notes though: - Stewie did not look very good with her knee injury. More Emma minutes possibly. - Jonquel has been dominating the glass (as expected). I have money on her series rebound leader prop so not going to double dip - We saw AT be aggressive in attacking the basket taking [--] shots in reduced minutes due to blowout. Monique assists are correlated here and she had [--] Pas in [--] min (I would expect her to get 25-26 minutes normally) - The home court advantage will be huge tonight for the Mercury. And" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969032343798124762) 2025-09-19T13:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "I have spent over [--] hours this week meticulously analyzing each NFL game to help you know what you need to know. So here is the: Week [--] NFL Prop Thread If you like this content please share yall. Its the best way you can show your appreciation. **Packers vs Browns** This Packers defense is legit. They've now taken down two of the best offenses from last year with ease. This season they are producing the 9th best EPA/Pass while allowing the lowest yards per pass in the league. The Packers defense is primarily a mix of Cover [--] and Cover [--] (which aligns with last season trends) and the emphasis" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969414765454766457) 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Cowboys vs Bears** This Cowboys secondary got absolutely burnt by the Giants but it's worth mentioning that Russell Wilson was playing out of his mind dropping dimes into tight coverage throughout. On the flip side the Bears pass defense is also atrocious. Both teams rank bottom [--] in EPA/Pass. The Bears are generating the 4th lowest pressure amount through two weeks while allowing the 2nd highest time to throw. Meanwhile the Cowboys are allowing the 7th highest average separation. The Cowboys are playing zone at a 92.3% clip (2nd highest in the league) with the majority of those looks being" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969414773935579391) 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Bengals vs Vikings The backup game. Joe Burrow is out for at least three months which means we are getting the Jake Browning show. On the flip side JJ McCarthy is out with an ankle injury which means we are getting the Carson Wentz experience. I don't anticipate much of a drop off in the Bengals offense as a result of Jake Browning starting but I have no idea what to expect for the Vikings and Carson Wentz although if we're being honest it can't be much worse than it has been. I am not sure what to expect from Carson Wentz and I'm not going to bother digging into it for this week to be" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969414776901013977) 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Falcons vs Panthers** This Falcons rush defense has been strong to start the season allowing the 9th fewest rushing yards while producing the 8th highest stuff %. They have been particularly strong against zone concepts allowing just [----] YPC. On the flip side the Panthers rush defense is one of the worst defenses in the league and they are bottom [--] in explosive runs % allowed. Bijan has had a great deal of success against this D as well having put together a [--] yard and [---] yard performance last year. They also possess a bottom [--] pass defense in terms as well. Tight ends in particular" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969414806894522420) 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Jets vs Buccaneers** Justin Fields is OUT. Tyrod Taylor will start. The Bucs are producing the 8th highest pressure rate through two weeks and allowed Michael Penix to rush for [--] yards on [--] carries and CJ Stroud to gain [--] yards on [--] carries. I will be looking at rushing yard overs for Taylor in this matchup. Last week the Bills had a hey-day against this Jets defense primarily running zone concepts. On [--] carries out of zone concepts James Cook had [---] yards for a 76.9% success rate. On man concepts he had just [--] yards on [--] carries for a 42.9% success rate. Bucky Irving though just 3" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969414817698971800) 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "I appreciate you Tyquan Thornton" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1969961673344815450) 2025-09-22T03:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Jackie Young should thrive in this matchup. Allisha Gray was easily able to get into the lane she just couldn't convert in game [--] or [--] but went 9-15 in game [--]. She hit 7/8 in the paint. This is the bread and butter of what Jackie can do best. She is able to get in the lane. 51% of her production came from the paint. And 24% of her production came as the PNR ball handler where the Fever are ranked in the bottom half of the league. Jackie was defended by Lexie Hull and it felt like this was a matchup they wanted to exploit which they did. Jackie went 9/16. I've been high on Jackie assists but" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1970463876937552378) 2025-09-23T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Lynx v Mercury** Against the Liberty we saw the roll woman for the Mercury playing a supportive drop coverage on the ball handler. This led to several open looks for Jonquel Jones. She just couldn't convert. If they deploy a similar plan this could lead to open 3PA for both Phee and Alanna Smith. After game [--] it's safe to say this is exactly what happened. Phee attempted [--] 3PA [---] higher than her season average. Last series was not the best for Courtney Williams and that compounded with the effectiveness of Natisha led to Courtney actually playing slightly fewer minutes than her season" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1970463879840047132) 2025-09-23T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "This is just my personal opinion but based on how the teams performed (in several capacities) here are my thoughts on all W teams: - Wings - Definitely gone - Sky - Probably gone - Sun - The worst coach Ive ever seen. Has to go. - Mystics - Keep. That team played hard and has good pieces - Storm - Probably got to go. That team was way too inconsistent. All other playoff teams: Keep. The fact that that Marsh and Koclanes kept their jobs and Sandy got let go is wild. Also I really dont see how the Sun keep Meziane" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1970508532962468302) 2025-09-23T15:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Game [--] WNBA Prop Thread - 9/26 Not going to do the 50/50 statistical regurgitation filled with observational analysis that I normally do. You can read my last prop thread for some of that but going to focus more on observations and strategy for game [--]. Fever v Aces The Fever are surprisingly heading to Indiana with a tied-up series. If you knew that was going to be the case and bet on that you should join my discord. Gainbridge is going to be absolutely electric tomorrow night. In game two we honestly saw more of the same from game [--] schematically. The Fever matched up 1v1 on the Aces with" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1971582076458831917) 2025-09-26T14:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Panthers vs Patriots This game has the potential to be gross. The Panthers wide receiver group is entirely banged up. Tet McMillan is DTD but I imagine he plays. Xavier Legette is DTD with a hamstring but less sure on him. Jalen Coker is still out as well and JT Sanders is week to week with an ankle injury. No idea on what to expect from this Panthers WR crew but here's the existing pecking order based on route share: Tet (88.1%); Legette (77.8%); Renfrow (74.6%); David Moore (29.4%); Brycen (20.6%). With Legette out last week though we saw Moore get the biggest jump going from [--] routes in" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972042603458891847) 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Free Play #2 Hunter Henry o3.5 receptions [----] (discord got it at -110) 1U Tight ends in particular have had a great deal of success against this Panthers D. Brenton Strange had [--] yards on [--] catches Trey McBride had [--] yards on [--] catches and Kyle Pitt tallied [--] catches as well. Hunter Henry has the highest fantasy points per route run against Cover [--] (17.5%) and Cover [--] (46.6%) and is averaging [---] YPRR against Cover [--] and garnering a 31% 1st read share which is incredibly high" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972336492921147495) 2025-09-28T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "9/28 WNBA Prop Thread Aces vs Fever The Fever are on their last leg of a wildly poor variance season with so many season-ending injuries. Odyssey Sims picked a horrible time to be completely incapable of making a basket which leaves just Kelsey Mitchell and Lexie Hull as the only floor-spacing shooters on the court and it shows. On the Odyssey note she was limited to [--] minutes mainly because she was entirely ineffective. Shey Peddy got heavy minutes. If she starts off slow she'll have a quick hook again. Because of Natasha's inability to slow anyone down she's been played off the court" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972340192922247318) 2025-09-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Lynx vs Mercury The big news here is Phee being OUT. Also head coach Cheryl Reeve is OUT but that shouldn't impact nearly as much. With Phee out this season we historically have seen Jessica Shepard get the start but she's been limited this series to low minutes in favor of Maria Kliundikova who has done a fine job guarding both Phee and Satou Sabally. Alanna Smith got played off the floor last game and played just [--] minutes. She will be needed in this one and out of all Lynx players she is the only one who actually sees a positive bump in performance consistently. She's cleared 10+ points" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972340195887608218) 2025-09-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Monday Night Football Doubleheader Prop Thread **Jets vs Dolphins** The Dolphins rush defense has been one of the worst in the league. It has the 3rd worst EPA/Rush 8th worst stuff % and the 11th worst yard per play. This could be a nice bounce back spot for Breece Hall who saw just a 39.1% attempt share last week with the Jets playing from behind and Braelon Allen getting into the mix. Aaron Glenn mentioned in his press conference this week that they have to get Breece Hall the ball more. The Jets rush defense has been better depending on scheme. Overall they are allowing the 11th worst" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972646536745300070) 2025-09-29T12:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@JeffreyTheGreek @WCCSG_ Dude I went to Rutgers for the Iowa game. You have to visit. I never thought I would say this but Rutgers was absolutely wild" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972783460181033191) 2025-09-29T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Thursday Night Football Prop Thread 49ers v Rams The 49ers are in zone 75.2% of the time with the majority of that being Cover [--] (11th highest amount) with the second highest amount being in Cover [--]. This allows for underneath routes at a heavy rate. Against the 49ers the Cardinals had success running crossers from the wideouts while the Jaguars had a lot of success with outs and crossers as well. The biggest opportunity I see is with tight ends. The 49ers are allowing the 3rd most inline targets and Brenton Strange just had [--] catches. But let's be honest it doesn't really matter when you" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1973824202479448345) 2025-10-02T18:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Sounds the alarms. There is a WNBA @FanDuel for the first time all playoffs. @StephenFlorival @ShamBreakDaBank" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974069499587690694) 2025-10-03T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Cowboys vs Jets** This Cowboys defense while still bad has been doing a much better job of keeping things in front of them limiting the abundance of explosive plays. This is not to say that they are good but it isn't a full on passing fest like it was vs the Giants. Fortunately for the Cowboys the Jet's passing attack isn't particularly explosive. The Cowboys are allowing the most targets to backs (we just saw GB backs combine for [--] catches) and the 13th most targets to inline receivers. They play the 2nd most zone of all teams in the league with the 5th most cover 3" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974150382621499771) 2025-10-03T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Raiders vs Colts** Ashton Jeanty had a breakout performance last game and now gets a good matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have had a middle of the road rush defense but have struggled most against zone concepts where they are allowing [----] yards per carry compared to [----] yards per carry in man/gap concepts. Jeanty does 67% of his work out of zone concepts and has significantly more success from these looks. Likely just a stay away for me. To this point the Colts have done a solid job of mixing in coverages which has created an above-average EPA/Pass" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974161868588789982) 2025-10-03T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Dolphins vs Panthers** Tyreek Hill is OUT for the season. While Mike McDaniels' mentioned that it will take a village to replace Hill it's actually a bit clearer than that. Jaylen Waddle is going to get more targets than he is currently but he will likely be priced appropriately. Malik Washington is the person I am targeting. He plays roughly the same % out wide and in the slot as Tyreek Hill and they love to use him creatively in the run game and with designed passes. He has [--] of the team's [--] designed targets. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine will also see a big bump in route" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974172554295218414) 2025-10-03T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Finals Game [--] Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ynKOMmAPdrJR https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ynKOMmAPdrJR" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974188076978319762) 2025-10-03T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Titans vs Cardinals ** Trey Benson was supposed to be the do-everything back but instead he slotted exactly into James Connor's old role which is still more usage but not the usage anybody was hoping for. In fact he got zero snaps on the Cardinals final drive but it is looking like that may have been due to injury. He is now on IR. Emari Demercado and Michael Carter are going to see a usage bump. Michael Carter is slated to start and get the majority of rushing snaps while Emari is likely to continue with his third down work. Depending on lines whoever is running the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974195602092163364) 2025-10-03T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "NFL Week [--] Prop Thread **Patriots vs Bills (SNF)** Rhamondre got the first snap of the game and proceeded to get 58.3% of the snaps while Tre Henderson got just 29.2% of the snaps. The carries were split Rhamondre (9) Tre (7) and Antonion (6) and Rhamondre ran more routes than all the backs combined at [--] but I say all of this to say just avoid this backfield. It's not worth it. That stinks because this Bills rush defense has been well below average and just gage up [---] rushing yards to the Saints. This team while sitting at 2-2 is not that good of a football team and will likely be operating" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974221783571313112) 2025-10-03T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Finals Game [--] Prop Thread **Aces vs Mercury** There is so much to unpack from game [--]. The chess match we saw was so much fun and we are in for quite a chess match going forward in game [--]. Let's start with the inverted pick and roll that the Mercury love to run. The Lynx struggled against this in the 1st half of game [--] last series and in the second half they just stopped switching on the screen and the guard provided help support on AT over the top. I mentioned this in my write-up for game [--] but I was curious how the Aces would be able to handle this given they have bit more size at the" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974821891438485620) 2025-10-05T13:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "What a way to end the WNBA season. Finished the season +64 units. Every single play tracked in the discord @ParlayOleBet Cant wait for Unrivaled Season 2" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1976861454742802441) 2025-10-11T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **49ers vs Buccaneers ** There are a lot of injuries on both sides that makes this relatively difficult to put together a thread early on. Bucky Irving is QUESTIONABLE going into this game. Todd Bowles said it's day by day right now but I imagine they will be cautious with his injury. Mike Evans is still OUT. On the 49ers side Brock Purdy is still dealing with a toe injury but Mac Jones has been playing very well in his place. George Kittle is likely OUT although it hasnt been made official yet. Ricky Pearsall and Juaun Jennings could return but it's up in the air" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1977152831980487042) 2025-10-11T23:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Lions to Chiefs (SNF)** The Chiefs rushing defense is struggling. They rank B3 in EPA/Rush B7 in rush YPP and B15 in stuff %. After Gibbs dominated usage in the rushing attack the majority of the season we saw David Montgomery rumble for [--] attempts in his homecoming in Cleveland. Both have good matchups here though and on national television I anticipate we get a heavy dose of Gibbs in the rushing and receiving game. The Lions rushing defense has been quite a bit better ranking T4 in EPA/Rush and T6 in stuff % but they have had more issues defending man/gap concepts." [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1977350876055679161) 2025-10-12T12:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Bears vs Raiders The Raiders have allowed back to back big days by QBs on the ground with Herbert getting [--] yards on [--] carries and Mariota busting out a 40-yard game. Caleb Williams has at least 5+ runs in every game this season. The Raiders defense overall has not been that good but the rush defense had been surprisingly effective leading into the Commanders game. They were allowing the lowest EPA/Rush but had also faced the 7th fewest rush attempts as a % of total plays. This is primarily a result of them playing a stacked box 45.5% of the time. Against the Commanders they upped the ante" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972042586404933650) 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Chargers vs Giants Tyrone Tracy Jr is OUT. With Tyrone out Cam had a 70% RB share after the injury and performed well gaining [--] yards on [--] carries. The Chargers rushing defense had been "strong" through two games as they allowed the 8th fewest yards on the ground but digging into the numbers they had also seen the 2nd fewest carries to date after facing poor rushing attacks in the Chiefs and Raiders. They were producing the 2nd lowest stuff % across the league. I took a stab on JK Dobbins and he rewarded us handsomely. The Chargers got wrecked against zone concepts (5.56 YPC) and that's" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972042589882011965) 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Jaguars vs 49ers Several injury notes here first. Brock Purdy should be back. Mac Jones is dealing with a slight knee issue. Jauan Jennings was OUT last week but I believe could be back this week. That will eat into the targets of Ricky Pearsall. Jennings was practicing this week. On the Jaguars front several interesting playing time trends. Travis Etienne saw just 62.3% of snaps while LeQuint Allen got 19.6% and Bhaysul Tuten got 17.1% with the rush attempt split being 55.4% 3.6% and 17.1%. Parker Washington also got a heavy dose of targets in this game and it sure did seem like he was" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972042606332014942) 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Colts vs Rams Kyren Williams continues to drop in RB share as Blake Corum becomes more integrated into the offense. In spite of this Kyren has still gotten [--] [--] and [--] carries while Corum has gone up to [--] [--] and [--]. This is by design. The Rams want to run the ball and they want this level of a split between the backs but I don't see Kyren reaching [--] carries on a consistent basis. Going into last week the Colts were allowing the 4th highest YPC and the 4th worst EPA/Rush. They had been relatively ineffective against both rushing concepts but the bottled Tony Pollard up for [--] yards on 16" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972042609339388403) 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Week [--] NFL Free 🪜 Cam Skattebo 5/6/7 receptions (FD [---] FD [---] [---] 1200) Tyrone Tracy Jr is OUT. With Tyrone out Cam had a 70% RB share after the injury and performed well gaining [--] yards on [--] carries. The Chargers rushing defense had been "strong" through two games as they allowed the 8th fewest yards on the ground but digging into the numbers they had also seen the 2nd fewest carries to date after facing poor rushing attacks in the Chiefs and Raiders. They were producing the 2nd lowest stuff % across the league. I took a stab on JK Dobbins and he rewarded us handsomely. The Chargers got" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1972337289088135597) 2025-09-28T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Texans vs Ravens** We're not fully out of the woods yet on this RB timeshare but Woody Marks had a breakout performance last week and my only regret is pairing him with Ollie Gordon in a ladder. DeMeco Ryans is saying all the right things about how both backs provide value and I think he really means it but this is now Woody's backfield. In week [--] Woody had a 58.5% snap % (compared to Chubbs 40%). He had [--] carries compared to Chubbs [--] and ran double the routes as Chubb. He just gives them so much more versatility. Going into the game vs the Lions I mentioned that" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1974107836696412602) 2025-10-03T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "WNBA Finals Game [--] Prop Thread **Aces vs Mercury** Let's start with what we saw in the Aces decisive game [--] win over the Mercury. As expected Jackie Young got her legs back and had an absolute dominant night scoring [--] points on 12-20 shooting. She added in [--] rebounds. If she keeps this up my WNBA Finals MVP ticket at +2500 is looking VERY GOOD. What I really liked about this Aces offense was just how well they were moving the ball around. Chelsea looks amazing and A'ja played a phenomenal all-around game leading the game in rebounds and getting double digit Pas. Defensively the Aces actually" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1975881464576405649) 2025-10-08T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Broncos vs Jets** Devonta Smith went off for [--] catches on [--] targets and [---] yards against the Broncos. He had [--] catches on [--] targets against cornerbacks not named Pat Surtain while Surtain allowed no catches on [--] target. AJ Brown had [--] catches on [--] targets for [--] yards. Why this is important is this aligns with what we generally have seen with the Broncos. Pat Surtain will generally shut down one side of the field as he follows the team's best receiver. The number [--] receiver *usually* cooks. This will impact Garrett Wilson. This Denver Broncos defense is incredibly" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1976760236582355191) 2025-10-10T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Rams vs Ravens** This Ravens team is not good offensively or defensively. Without Lamar Jackson Derrick Henry is not getting as good of looks running the ball and Cooper Rush looked VERY bad. There is a chance the Ravens move to Snoop Huntley. Zay Flowers was Cooper's favorite target but still not good. The Ravens rush defense is bad against man/gap concepts as they are allowing the 2nd highest YPC and the highest success rate. The Rams have nearly a 50/50 split between the two concepts. It remains to be seen though how much they rely on Blake Corum as RB2 after his" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1977056927348932878) 2025-10-11T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Cardinals vs Colts** With Trey Benson out Michael Carter was the clear bell cow of this backfield getting 59.4% of the snaps and 62.1% of the rushing attempts (18 attempts). He also led the team in routes run and had [--] targets and lets not forget the costly mistake made by Emari to miss out on scoring a TD. I just don't understand why this kind of usage wasn't given to Trey Benson but whatever. The Colts rush defense is incredibly average but they are stronger against man concepts than they are zone concepts but they are still bottom [--] in success rates vs both. The" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1977079064948359202) 2025-10-11T18:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Saints vs Bears** Luther Burden had a breakout performance with surface statistics but his underlying metrics are still not that exciting. Despite generating [--] receptions/targets and leading the team in receiving yards he was 4th on the team in route %. This has to change as Olamide looks bad and had one major drop on MNF. DJ Moore was also taken to the hospital after the MNF game. His status is up in the air but if he is OUT this is great for Burden. He was a DNP on Wednesday but is no longer on the injury report. Swift popped up on the injury report but is" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1979518011796250987) 2025-10-18T12:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@ballskenesdeep The higher they are on the list the better matchup they have on paper. The next step is to understand whether their prop is over priced under priced or right priced" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1979923722552111550) 2025-10-19T14:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "We still have work today to get back this month but these made for a nice Thursday night. Also shoutout to Bet365 for giving me bonus bets for the parlay without the Nembhard leg" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1981580350745936111) 2025-10-24T04:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Going to be posting a few more data sheets here to help you all out with your NFL betting. This isnt everything I use but its a good start. Best matchups on paper at the top. If you like this please like/Rt and Ill post the WR sheets I have as well. I post my data sheets in @ParlayOleBet on Wednesdays" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1981781423905550623) 2025-10-24T17:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Cash the collab. Thats [--] in a row. Tomorrow we go for [--] For my 2nd play of the night @wade_andrew and I are 2-0 on these collabs to start the season lets make it 3/3 - today unlike the previous ladders we have cooked up this unders play: Zach Lavine u3.5 Ast DK [----] LIKE and FOLLOW if tailing. The Kings brought in a lot of https://t.co/kgbzhN5AqV For my 2nd play of the night @wade_andrew and I are 2-0 on these collabs to start the season lets make it 3/3 - today unlike the previous ladders we have cooked up this unders play: Zach Lavine u3.5 Ast DK [----] LIKE and FOLLOW if tailing. The Kings" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1981940465294561700) 2025-10-25T04:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Titans vs Colts** The Titans had some fight in their first game without Bill Callahan but ultimately got whooped. They are likely going to get whooped here. They're such a bad football team. Jonathan Taylor should be in line for another huge day. The Titans are allowing the most yards per carry this week to the predominant concept they are facing and they are bottom-10 in explosive rushes allowed. Calvin Ridley was out last game with a hamstring injury. With him out we saw Van Jefferson and Chimere Dike get a heavy uptick in usage while Lockett saw his time dip even more (and then he got" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1982168722786992334) 2025-10-25T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Cowboys vs Broncos** There is a ton of hate on the internet for Riley Moss but he is one of the best number [--] corners in the league. The issue is that he plays next to one of the best number [--] corners in the league in Patrick Surtain which means there is a ton of volume that heads Riley's way. The one area he has struggled with though is big WRs (think Tee Higgins - 6'4). The way the Broncos have traditionally defended these matchups is Surtain would blanket CeeDee while Moss takes Pickens although it wouldn't be the worst idea to put Moss on CeeDee and bracket him with a safety with" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1982168726217928856) 2025-10-25T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "@Ryanniwnl Ahh okay. Take whatever your bankroll is (I.e. how much money you would be very okay with losing) and divide it by [--] (2%) or [---] (1%) or [---] (.5%) depending on your risk tolerance" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1983752774270743004) 2025-10-30T04:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Week [--] TNF Prop Thread **Ravens @ Dolphins** Lamar Jackson is expected to play Thursday night which is a huge boost for this Ravens squad although Snoop played well last week. With Lamar in the lineup Zay Flowers has cleared his [----] RY line in [--] of [--] games with his lone miss being against the Lions in a game where Lamar was getting pressured constantly. He's got a top-10 matchup this week against the Dolphins that play the 4th most 2-hi looks. Outs hitches and gos are the most effective routes against this d all of which bode well for Zay Flowers. It also bodes well for Mark Andrews who has" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1983925687158542487) 2025-10-30T15:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🐱 Panthers @ 🧀Packers At some point the Panthers need to fully invest in utilizing the better back (i.e. Rico Dowdle) and it seems like things are shifting that way. Last week Rico had [--] yards on [--] carries while Chuba had [--] yards on [--] carries but [--] of Chuba's rush attempts came in the 2nd half compared to Rico's [--] (when the Panthers were getting blown out). According to Dave Canales "Chuba Hubbard has meant a lot to this team. Wanted to give him an opportunity following his calf injury. We cannot ignore the fact that Rico has been exceptional". I read this as Chuba is about to take a big" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327533287133286) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🐦 Falcons @ Patriots Drake London and Michael Penix are considered day to day at this point and boy did the Falcons look bad with Kirk Cousins in the lineup. They couldn't get anything going. When Drake London is out it *usually* means more work for Darnell Mooney but he had a pretty lifeless game. According to Raheem Morris "we've gotta get Darnell Mooney going. We've got to hit him when he's open but Mooney has to do a better job of getting open for himself". Drake London was officially limited in practice yesterday. The Falcons rush defense has struggled at times and are allowing the 7th" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327535413637527) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⚡Chargers @ 🏛 Titans I hate betting on the Titans but a few things worth note. Calvin Ridley was out in week [--] with a hamstring and he was out on Wednesday and Thursday. With Ridley out we are seeing Van Jefferson Chimere Dike and Elic Ayomanor get the WR routes and all split time nearly equally. They also all had [--] targets although Dike was the only one to convert more than [--] (Jefferson only had [--] reception but also only had [--] catchable targets). Elic had [--] 1st read targets. Gunnar Helm had a nearly even split with Chig in routes but did not produce enough to justify what is likely a 2.5" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327537787617477) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🐴 Colts @ 🔦 Steelers The Steelers have signed Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The Steelers need WR help but MVS is basically a poor version of DK Metcalf however he has some familiarity with Aaron Rodgers which is a big deal when Aaron Rodgers is your QB. Is this the week that Jonathan Taylor is finally slowed down The Steelers possess a top-8 EPA/Rush and play with a stacked box at the 6th highest rate in the league. The only thing the Steelers truly struggle with is stuff rate and explosive plays allowed (which kind of go hand in hand). Against stacked boxes JT is averaging [----] YPC but a 10.4%" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327540836876524) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "⛏ 49ers @ 🗽 Giants Rookie RB Cam Skattebo is out for the season which means it's Tyrone Tracy Jr time in New York but this isn't the best matchup for Tyrone who gets the majority of his work in zone concepts which we've seen the 49ers be effective at stopping (remember Bijan two weeks ago). I do like the idea of Tracy as a receiver here though. Combined Cam and Tyrone had [--] routes and [--] targets last week. After a rough week last week Christian McCaffery should be able to get back on track here in what I consider to be a top-5 rushing matchup. Ricky Pearsall is not expected to be ready for" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327544838180886) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🚣 Vikings @ 🦁 Lions Carson Wentz is out for the season and it sounds like JJ McCarthy should be back in the starting lineup which is absolutely horrible news for Vikings skill position players. The Lions pass defense ranks top-7 in EPA/Pass as well so I am just avoiding Vikings receivers unless its an under. The Lions are allowing the 4th fewest targets to Tes which might be worth a TJ Hockenson under. Aaron Jones returned to the lineup after several weeks out and he outsnapped Jordan Mason in a negative game script [--] to [--] with rush attempts split 5/2/4 between Jones/Scott/Mason. They now" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327550542463326) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🐆 Jaguars @ 🏴☠ Raiders Travis Hunter finally had his breakout performance in the week [--] London game in large part due to a negative game script as the Jaguars were getting blown out by the Rams. In that game he generated [--] targets and pulled in [--] receptions. The exciting stat line here though is the [--] 1st read targets which equates to a 39.3% 1st read %. Worth noting that Parker had [--] targets and Brian Thomas had [--] targets as Trevor threw the ball [--] times. His average is [--] so adjusting for a normal game script we would expect to see [--] [--] and [--] from BTJ Parker and Travis. With two weeks" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327554384449622) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "🏹 Chiefs @ 💵 Bills Ed Oliver is on IR which is a big hit to the Bills rush defense. Although they are allowing more YPC (6.4) with him than without him (5.1) they have posted nearly double the stuff rate with him in the game and they have an EPA/Rush of .007 with him (much better than the .047 without him). The biggest impact is going to be felt against man concept teams. Oliver is a major issue in 1v1 battles but zone concepts hide some of that effectiveness. Isaiah Pacheco has a sprained MCL and is listed week to week. I would be shocked if he played. Kareem Hunt will be the goal line guy" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327562022306183) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🦅 Seahawks @ 🛀 Commanders Jayden Daniels was out on Monday night but is trending towards playing this week. Terry McLaurin went out of Monday's game with an injury. He is OUT for this game. With McLaurin out Chris Moore saw a 71.1% route share with Luke McCaffery and Jaylin Lane both seeing around 35% route share. In this same time Deebo had [--] targets (a 27.8% target share). The last two weeks without Terry Zach Ertz had [--] total targets. We saw nearly an even split between Jeremy McNicholas and JCM against the Chiefs but that was primarily for the pass-catching ability of JCM. JCM still" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984327565314752911) 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@StephenFlorival Dude absolutely deserved man Keep crushing it" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1984353092490706969) 2025-10-31T20:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Week [--] MNF Prop Threa Cardinals @ Cowboys The Cardinals released Michael Carter and then brought him back. Emari Demercado is set to return but is more of a third-down back which leaves Bam Knight as the starter still and he goes against a very weak Cowboys rush defense. Honestly the entire Cowboys defense is trash. The Cowboys are allowing the 9th most YPC to man schemes and are bottom [--] in success rate allowed stuff % and explosive runs allowed. The issue is going to be that the Cardinals are playing the hot hand on offense according to Jonathan Gannon. On the flip side the Cardinals are" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1985455392747634951) 2025-11-03T21:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Giants vs Bears** With Cam Skattebo OUT we saw Devin Singletary get more carries than Tyrone Tracy and more snaps overall. This is a gross backfield situation though but they have a decent matchup going up against the Bears who rank 6th in yards allowed per carry and scheme success rate. This is likely a stay away from me though. This Bears rush defense. On the flip side I LOVE this matchup for the Bears running backs but with how well Kyle Monangai played it will be difficult to know what the snap count will be if DeAndre Swift returns. Despite Vegas projecting this to be a neutral game" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929320867340740) 2025-11-07T22:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Falcons vs Colts** The Falcons rush defense did a good job of containing Tre Henderson last week but they get Jonathan Taylor this week. JT is coming off a down performance against a sneaky tough rush defense in the Steelers. This is a nice bounce back spot in what is my number one rushing matchup of the week. The Falcons rank bottom [--] in YPC allowed success rate allowed and stuff %. Bijan has faced a gauntlet of rush defenses going up against the Dolphins Patriots and now the Colts. Coming off a loss in what is likely a negative game script for the Falcons I like the under here for him or" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929333701922939) 2025-11-07T22:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Browns vs Jets** This Jets team just got completely ravished. Defensively Sauce Gardner is gone which is only going to make a bad man-centric pass defense even worse. Rush defense wise the Jets rank well in success rate and stuff % against man concepts but are allowing [---] yards per carry. More importantly they just traded away Quinnen Williams who is a huge piece of their success against man concepts. Judkins should be healthy after sustaining an injury last week. Despite wanting to leave Breece Hall was not traded. And he is going to wish he was because he is going to get destroyed" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929685755007118) 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Jags vs Texans** CJ Stroud was injured in the loss to the Denver Broncos. Davis Mills took over and went 17/30 for [---] yards but just [---] yards per throw. With Stroud out Nico saw [--] targets Schultz saw [--] Kirk saw [--] and Xavier saw [--] targets. Travis Hunter is OUT for several games and there is a chance Brian Thomas Jr and Dyami Brown are OUT next week as well. The next person up is Parker Washington to go along with newly acquired Jakobi Meyers. According to Liam Coen Parker will operate out of the slot with Jakobi playing out wide as it is easier to pick up. Austin Trammell got [--] routes" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929688246427832) 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "**Lions vs Commanders** After several weeks of struggling we saw Chris Rodriguez get the same number of rushing attempts as JCM. The Lions are allowing the 8th most YPC but have above average defensive success rates and stuff %. It is worth noting that Chris got 1/3 of his snaps and over half of his carries in the 4th quarter when the Commanders are getting blown out. The Lions offense struggled against the Vikings and I don't think this is the get-right spot. The Commanders rank in the middle in yards allowed and EPA/Rush and are bottom-10 in yards allowed per play. While they have been" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929703576604928) 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Rams vs 49ers** The last time these two teams faced the Rams turned the ball over several times and the 49ers capitalized on the road. The Rams did a wonderful job of bottling up Christian McCaffery (albeit without George Kittle to help in the blocking game) to [--] yards on [--] carries but they got toasted in the passing attack allowing [--] receptions for [--] yards to Christian in a game without Jennings Ricky or Kittle. With both Kittle and Jennings back Christian is averaging just over [---] targets a game over [--] a game lower than his season average of [---] Blake Corum had a 30.2% attempt share" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929706172833974) 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "**Steelers vs Chargers ** The Colts run primarily man concepts and the Steelers absolutely shut them down last week but the advanced metrics paint a slightly different picture. The Steelers drastically reduced their stacked box rate and actually posted the 3rd worst EPA/Rush of all teams last week. I have a bit of PTSD after loving Vidal last week in what was a great matchup on paper. This week he is my third best matchup in part because the Steelers rank bottom [--] in YPC allowed and success rate allowed. This Chargers rush defense has been below average and just allowed Tony Pollard to gain" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1986929709033382371) 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@vassassin18 You do a phenomenal job with this and I need to add this to my arsenal" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1989419606839365680) 2025-11-14T19:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements "People love to brag on CLV (myself included) but does it matter If you asked my bankroll the last few weeks it would tell you no. BUT CLV (closing line value) IS one of the most important metrics betting -- IF (and that's a big if) used correctly. Here's how CLV helps (how it can be dangerous coming next week): [--]. It tells you whether you're beating the market and if you are consistently beating the closing line you likely have a long-term edge (as long as you are not artificially creating CLV - more on that next week). [--]. It allows an independent evaluation of the process not the results." [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1991218077707694108) 2025-11-19T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "🚨FREE PLAY ALERT🚨 Jayden Higgins o2.5 receptions - [---] DK 1U Jayden was drafted in the 2nd round of the [----] Draft out of Iowa State with high expectations but it took until October to start seeing consistent snap share 50%. Since October 5th he has seen 50% snap share 5/6 times and is averaging [--] targets/game in that time frame. With Davis Mills at QB he has averaged [--] targets a game (granted in mostly negative game scripts). He is the #2 receiver behind Nico Collins at this point. Here are just a few quotes from Texans coaching staff the last two weeks: "When we target him it's a high" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1991614763286385119) 2025-11-20T21:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "The last [--] days has been just crap no way around it but finally had some good variance on my side and strung together multiple winners. +201 +293 +541 +700 +1056 +1400 +10u day yesterday" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1991910626353185224) 2025-11-21T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "@Gambler77Goated Im with you on this one brother. Cant wait for [--] more drops Sunday" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1992095576130048274) 2025-11-22T04:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements "Dont do dumb shady shit and you wont get exposed. @DK__DFS honestly might be one of the least sales-y people here. Hes just tired of people like you scamming people. This guy is a a good marketing story Expose VIP sellers farm rage engagement hey guys build trust with me instead sell a VIP Its not just exposing the industry Its manufacturing villains so he can sell the hero act on the back end. This guy is a a good marketing story Expose VIP sellers farm rage engagement hey guys build trust with me instead sell a VIP Its not just exposing the industry Its manufacturing villains so he can sell" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1995200440796168281) 2025-11-30T18:37Z [----] followers, 40.7K engagements "The market doesn't care if you beat the closing line. Your bankroll does. As mentioned last week CLV is one of the best long-term indicators in evaluating your betting process but it can be dangerous if used incorrectly. Here's how. [--]. You can gain CLV without having skill. [--]. You're using CLV as a shield for your losses. CLV is a market-timing metric not a handicapping-quality metric. [--]. CLV is less predictive in props than it is in spreads/totals. This is especially true for smaller markets. It's more volatile and can move quickly due to the output of one projection site or one capper with" [X Link](https://x.com/wade_andrew/status/1996292605798396094) 2025-12-03T18:57Z [----] followers, 35.2K engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@wade_andrew Andrew Wade
Andrew Wade posts on X about wnba, prop, in the, thread the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [-----] #
- [--] Week [-----] +126%
- [--] Month [------] +92%
- [--] Months [-------] +11%
- [--] Year [---------] +69,223%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [--] +100%
- [--] Month [--] +29%
- [--] Months [---] +13%
- [--] Year [---] +5,980%
Followers: [-------] #
- [--] Week [-----] -0.03%
- [--] Month [-----] -0.09%
- [--] Months [-----] +26%
- [--] Year [-----] +273%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence social networks nfl countries finance travel destinations musicians automotive brands celebrities ncaa basketball ncaa football
Social topic influence wnba, prop, in the, thread, play, discord, nfl, games, fd, has been
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"A lot of people were upset about Iowa basketball not landing any transfers due to NIL reasons (and rightfully so) as Iowa has kind of dragged their feet on it but it sure doesnt seem to have as much impact on the HS athletes looking to join Iowa basketball or Iowa football"
X Link 2022-06-26T23:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Honest to god question has LeBron ever talked shit on a rookie before they ever played their first game I know Kobe and MJ would have went at a rookie like Caitlin hard but they would have let their on court play do the talking. Some of these WNBA old heads blow"
X Link 2024-05-15T20:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"I think Angel Reese is a good player but just look at her reaction her when Caitlin is cheap shot. This is why I dont like her. What a trash response by her Why do none of Caitlin Clarks teammates ever do anything to stop this from happening https://t.co/j2BGddbdGX Why do none of Caitlin Clarks teammates ever do anything to stop this from happening https://t.co/j2BGddbdGX"
X Link 2024-06-01T23:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The WNBA growing rapidly and Caitlin Clark exponentially growing it even more upon her arrival can both be true. Its also worth noting that there is likely some correlation between the popularity surge in WNCAA the last few years with players like Caitlin Angel Paige The narrative that Caitlin Clark is saving the WNBA is simply false. The league doubled its revenue in the five years before Clark showed up. That was during a pandemic Just because you just noticed the league when Clark arrived does not mean no one else was watching before. The narrative that Caitlin Clark is saving the WNBA is"
X Link 2024-06-02T17:00Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@Iowa_Cub I could not agree more. I think jersey mikes is trash. Firehouse subs is bomb though"
X Link 2025-01-15T23:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@TCarmTheGoat I joined his cord because he gave it out for $10 as a promo and I kept seeing him drop +4000 wins. I hated it the moment I got in there Dude was dropping [--] straights a day at [----] odds or worse generally The odds he was posting were also not legit. He posted a Josh Hart o13.5"
X Link 2025-01-23T10:50Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"The passionate fan base that follows both isnt common. NIL has more mouths to feed at Iowa than many other schools. Football will always be the favorite and so that leaves mens basketball sitting by the way side but if Beth can make a splash here this could be huge for Iowa"
X Link 2025-03-15T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Im rambling but again Gary Barta would have me worried. Beth has me ready for the next phase of Iowa basketball. I will always appreciate what Fran did for the program. What an unbelievable human being"
X Link 2025-03-15T17:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Heres my NBA betting card for tonight: - Jamal Murray [--] [--] [--] points (all .5u each) - Brunson + Cade combined points [--] [--] [--] (1U .5u .5u) - KAT 4/6/7 assists (1U .5u .5u) - MPJ o12.5 p 1U - Jamal + Leonard o8.5 combined assists 1U - MPJ + Jaden Mc 20+ p each - .5U"
X Link 2025-04-21T20:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"Also playing a few floor general specials for low units and a few NHL plays that I posted in my discord. Total units wagered today: [-----] units"
X Link 2025-04-21T20:40Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Fever [--] v Sky [--] - This game could have actually been worse if Indiana could make a shot in the first quarter. CC definitely stat padded a TD but I love it. She finished with [--] PAs with [--] in the 2nd half. - Seemed like Fever got into a rhythm in the 2nd half moving the"
X Link 2025-05-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Ball well. Aliyah Boston also finished with [--] PAs all of which came in the 2nd half. Bonner and Howard are beasts. - I am not a fan of Angel Reese for a lot of reasons but Ill give her this. Shes so dominant on the glass. Which helps make up for her still"
X Link 2025-05-18T19:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"WNBA Prop Thread for 5/19. Heres the most important info to help you bet"
X Link 2025-05-19T03:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Alright going to stick to three WNBA props a day on here: WNBA prop #1 Chelsea Gray [--] A and [--] A (+400 and +1200 on FD both .5U) She finished with [--] PAs last game. I was on this in her first game as well. Gets a softer matchup vs the Sun. Just love it at these odds"
X Link 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"WNBA Prop #2 Rhyne Howard o3.5 A (MGM [----] 1.25U) With Canada out Rhyne saw significant usage in Canadas role. She led the Dream in PAs with [--]. She converted for [--] assists. The Fever allowed a very low conversion rate vs the Sky but the Sky were getting open looks and not knocking them down plus the Dreams offense looks leagues better than the Sky in terms of ball movement and scoring"
X Link 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"WNBA Prop #3 Brionna Jones o2.5A (365 +110 .75U) The Dream had a significant jump in [--] attempts in their first game meanwhile the Fever continued their trend of allowing open [--] looks vs the Sky. Jones did wonders playing the inside game vs the Mystics and had [--] PAs in that game. While I dont believe the Fever d will collapse on Jones like the Mystic did there still should be more than a few open looks"
X Link 2025-05-20T22:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@tytalkssports_ Cant wait to track the potentials of Chelsea. Should have been an easy cash"
X Link 2025-05-21T00:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"WNBA Play #3 Kelsey Plum 6+ A (FD [----] 1U) No Rickea means even more usage for Kelsey. The likely replacement is Sarah Ashlee Barker who has primarily served as a shooter. I toyed with taking PA but [----] is high. Given that Plum has had [--] and [--] PAs I expect her to continue her control of the offense and focus on getting the bigs and Barker involved"
X Link 2025-05-21T17:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Im seeing assist lines already pop up for tomorrow so getting this out a little early for tomorrow Potential Assists for WNBA games on 5/22: New York Liberty:"
X Link 2025-05-21T22:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Play #1 Caitlin Clark o9.5 A (DK -145) Played this last night. Clark is on a tear and this line should be at [----]. Her PAs are through the roof and gets another quality matchup vs Dream. Teams have been picking up Caitlin on inbound so Fever were bringing the ball up with the bigs and setting a screen for Caitlin to receive and initiate the offense"
X Link 2025-05-22T15:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Prop Thread for 5/23: Sun v Lynx: - Aneesah Morrow is Q doubt she plays but if she does likely just eating into bench minutes of Parks and Peters - Sonia made her debut and played [--] min/Allen dropped to just [--] min. - Doubt we get likes but Hartley has [--] and [--] PAs. - Mabry has struggled and gets another tough matchup vs Lynx - Hiedeman doubled playing time and responded well. Had [--] PAs and finished [--] assists short of a DD - Phee/Courtney/Alanna dominating usage. Aces shot well from [--] vs Sun Alanna and Courtney leading in attempts"
X Link 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mystics v Aces - Kiki just had monster game on glass but gets tough matchup vs Aces. Aces have been bleeding points to bigs this season though. - No. [--] guard options have had success vs Aces (Rivers and Cloud). Ill be eying up Sonia or Melbourne. Sykes has monster usage but I think Aces will try to get ball out of her hands. - Chelsea has [--] and [--] PAs but a horrible conversion rate. - Shakira Austin out = more Dolson barring foul trouble"
X Link 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"If you like this or find this helpful please give me a follow or share with others #WNBA #PlayerPropBets"
X Link 2025-05-23T03:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"WNBA Play #2 Sonia Citron [--] and 20+ points (+235 and +920 FD .5u each) Sonia is quietly having a good start to her rookie year. Sykes has been the hot topic with over 30% usage but I imagine the Aces look to stop Sykes and force the ball out of her hand. Sonia has been efficient and her shots are increasing. I think we could see a bit more drive and dish from Sykes today with the rook having a big game"
X Link 2025-05-23T19:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"WNBA Play #1 Aja [--] [--] and [--] assists (FD +156 FD +780 ESPN +1800 .5u each) Aja is the hub of this offense and has [--] PAs over the last two games. Shes looking to pass and get her teammates involved and she is finding them for open looks. Her conversion rate is 30% but given how good the looks have been this should be higher"
X Link 2025-05-25T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Potential Assists for the 5/27 5-game slate Wings v Sun"
X Link 2025-05-27T03:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream v Sparks Rickea Jackson IN; Sarah Ashlee Barker usage down; this also could lead to more PA opps for Plum Griner OUT; Nia Coffey got the start (18 points [--] boards [--] PAs) Griner isn't as active on the glass as she should be given how tall she is and we saw Nia steal a few opps from Bri Jones Sparks continue to struggle vs bigs even allowing Reese to get [--] on 5/11 and Cardoso to get [--] on 6/9 both of whom have been struggling. Nia and Bri could be in for big days. Te-Hina Paopao IN; distributing gets evened out (i.e. fewer assist opps for Rhyne); also this means less Maya Caldwell"
X Link 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sky v Mercury Moriah Jefferson Questionable; I don't expect this to impact Nurse Atkins or Sloot HVL Questionable Angel Reese had [--] PAs as the Sky want to use her as a point forward but until she develops an outside shot or better passing presence I don't think this is overly effective. However she did have several PA opps from kick outs which honestly given her poor play at the rim was good to see. Cardoso finally got going this season crossing her o/u on points The Mercury are allowing the 2nd fewest attempts from within [--] feet and the 3rd worst shooting % from between 5-9 feet which is"
X Link 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"If you like this content please follow and like the thread #WNBA #PlayerPropBets"
X Link 2025-05-27T11:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Prop Thread for todays Fever v Mystics game Here is what youve got to know - Caitlin Clark OUT: Sydney Colson will get the start. Shes a veteran who can run the offense well enough but she has only limited start throughout her career and has averaged [----] minutes per game. I anticipate we see her for 15-20 minutes with Sophie and Lexi filling in the remaining CC minutes - CC out is an opportunity for AB to show why she is one of the best in the league. Her role as a facilitator should increase. She already has 10/8/10 PAs the last [--] games and if she gets an assist like Im hammering it -"
X Link 2025-05-28T10:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I wanted Lexi Held lines so bad. She should have been priced around [---] or [---] points which she just hit"
X Link 2025-06-08T03:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@BREBetting Holy shit thats wild. I lived in Newton from 1995-2008 when I went to college. Did you ever know a Dennis or Cathy Curtis"
X Link 2025-06-11T17:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@BREBetting Ahhh okay that makes sense. Maytag really screwed the whole town"
X Link 2025-06-11T17:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Sky vs Dream Sloot OUT; we saw a switch in lineups with Rachel Banham taking over for Sloot and Rebecca Allen stepping in with Kia Nurse going to the bench. Unfortunately the results still sucked. I will say this though the Sky did a good job of spreading the ball around but nobody besides Angel Reese could score (who saw that one coming). Reese was not only an efficient scorer in the last game vs a softer Liberty D without Jones but that might have been her best passing performance of the season. Not only did she put up a season high [--] PAs but her vision was better and we saw a few nice"
X Link 2025-06-13T00:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Player Prop Thread for todays triple header Sky v Sun Saniya Rivers QUESTIONABLE; generally will illness and how bad the Sun are and with the return of Lindsey Allen I bet they hold her out. Sloot OUT; The Sky are trying to figure out what their best starting five is. Kia Nurse reentered the starting rotation and we saw Atkins take on the majority of facilitating responsibilities. I was on her the first game just happened to be a day late. Atkins finished with [--] PAs. ODO IN; Haley Peters goes back to the bench. ODO will help in the rebounding department against a good rebounding"
X Link 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream v Mystics Mystics head coach Sydney Johnson mentioned that he needs to get Edwards and Austin more involved now that they are both healthy. I don't know how plans to do that but if that comes to fruition it likely means slightly less Kiki. Thankfully the Dream have Griner and Jones so bigs will be necessary in this matchup. If I wasn't concerned about minutes I would be excited about Kiki's scoring potential in this matchup. I may have to take a flyer on her anyways just in case. She's an incredibly efficient scorer for a rookie shooting 70.4% in the RZ. Is Griner washed Since her"
X Link 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mercury v Aces Kahleah Copper is expected to play; We've only seen her with this new Mercury lineup for [--] minutes in the first preseason game so there is quite a bit of unknown. With that small sample size there were two things we can glean her usage was down from years past (as expected) but still in good territory (23.1%) and AT will still be the primary facilitator of the offense. She is likely on a minutes limit but her presence will be huge for the Mercury who have been trying to find a capable scoring threat outside of Satou all season. Lexi Held and Kitija Laksa have been good off the"
X Link 2025-06-15T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aces vs Lynx Aja Wilson OUTwith a concussion. We will see significant usage again from Jewell Chelsea and Jackie. Alanna Smith left last game in the 2nd half. We saw extended minutes from Karlie Samuelsoon and Maria Kliundikova in the 2nd. Jessica Sheppherd OUT The Aces defense has been a mess and will continue to be a bigger mess if A'ja is out. Especially in the paint where Phee and Alanna Smith do much of their dirty work. Several Lynx players have good shooting matchups here. Starting with Courtney who has seen a reduction in minutes the past five games but came out aggressive last game"
X Link 2025-06-17T14:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Storm vs Sparks Julie Allemand OUT Kelsey Plum and Odyssey Sims OUT The Sparks possess the 2nd worst RZ defense; Phee just went for [--] on them. Ezi has been an incredibly efficient scorer the last two games with [--] points and [--] points on 5-8 and 6-8 shooting and she sees over 50% of her production in the restricted zone. Personally I like the volume of Nneka a bit more along with her 64.1% shooting % in the restricted zone. The Sparks are allowing the 4th most points to forwards. Rickea Jackson has been on an absolute tear. After a rough start to the season she had [--] and [--] points in back"
X Link 2025-06-17T14:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Im beginning my watch back of the Fever v Sun. Ill give away a month free membership to my picks + PA data subscription to the first person to correctly guess the amount of potential assists Caitlin had tonight. Go"
X Link 2025-06-18T02:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I just finished watching the Fever v Sun game Mark it on your calendars 7/15/25 Caitlin is scoring [--] or getting a triple double. She has never liked Jacy Sheldon. This will be great Also Sophie is a dawg"
X Link 2025-06-18T02:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Prop Thread for todays only game Sun v Mercury Sami Whitcomb QUESTIONABLE; we will likely see a 3-5 minute increase with Kaleah Copper and the remaining minutes split between Laksa and Held if Whitcomb is out. I think we see a slight minute increase from Copper regardless for what its worth. The Sun are on a back to back for the first time this season. They are already the 4th worst shooting team in the league but will now be on tired legs facing one of the best defenses in the league. The Mercury shooting a ton of 3s and that combined with their lack of size in the starting lineup has"
X Link 2025-06-18T12:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Player Prop Thread for todays doubleheader Mercury vs Liberty Mercury on a back to back. Sami Whitcomb was ruled out in yesterday's game unsure of her status. I think we could see one of AT or Copper sit in this game due to their injuries this season. If Sami sits it adds more minutes for the guards. Same for Copper. Lexi Held and Kitija Laksa likely see the most benefit. Akoa Makani's minutes seem capped to the 20-22 mark. Satou Sabally is coming off a season-high [--] rebound game vs the Sun and she now gets a matchup with the Liberty who allow the 3rd most rebounds to forwards. However"
X Link 2025-06-19T13:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Player Prop Thread for tomorrows [--] game slate Lynx vs Mystics Phee QUESTIONABLE Phee was downgraded to doubtful on game day on Saturday. My guess is this was two-fold. Phee isn't 100% healthy and there was no since in rushing her back vs the short-handed Sparks. After this game they have three days rest but this is a winnable game without Phee. It's a long season I lean she rests but I'll give a breakdown of plays with and without her. Jessica Shepherd IN this major. She will likely take away most of the PT by Maria and we will see Alanna Smith's minutes reduced. Without Phee the"
X Link 2025-06-24T12:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Player Prop Thread for tonights doubleheader Fever vs Sparks - DeWanna Bonner is no longer a member of the Fever and they have upgraded with Aari McDonald who will steal minutes from Syndey Colson and actually provide a playmaking guard to take pressure off CC. - Odyssey Sims OUT - I wrote this before CC was ruled out (I'm keeping those pieces in because they are relevant to other Fever members). CC being out changes the entire dynamic of this team. The Fever did just sign Aari McDonald back to the team. Colson will get the start and McDonald will absorb most of the minutes. - Without CC"
X Link 2025-06-26T17:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Looking to add a 1-2 cappers who do [--] or more of the below sports MLB Soccer College football Shoot me a DM if you have any interest and have tracking data"
X Link 2025-06-28T04:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Doing the Dream v Lynx watch back and [--] min of the game is missing in the 2nd quarter. I always have issues with Atlanta home games @WNBA"
X Link 2025-06-28T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sky vs Sparks - If either of these teams can make baskets this will be prop heaven but as we saw the other night in the Sky vs Valks game it can also be heartbreak if nobody can hit a shot. - Kamilla Cardoso OUT; as I noted this completely changed the dynamic of the game for the Sky. Michaela Onyenwere got the start and it was mostly not memorable in any way shape or form. - Sims IN. This is good for the entire LA offense - Angel Reese and Aerial Atkins saw the biggest impacts though. Starting with Reese her usage jumped from [----] to [--] and her already insane rebounding % of 43.8% jumped up"
X Link 2025-06-29T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aces vs Mercury - The Mercury won the first matchup between these two teams but A'ja Wilson was not there and Copper was still working her way back from injury. With those two stars returning you would expect both teams to be on positive trajectories. Yet the Aces seem to have gotten worse and the Mercury look like a title contender at this point. - Let's start with the big factor in this game. While the Aces are effective at limiting overall [--] attempts teams are converting at the 5th highest % with a 33.7% from deep. Now they get the Mercury who shoot a league-high [--] 3s a game. They had a"
X Link 2025-06-29T12:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Commissioners Cup Player Prop Thread Note: I wrote this whole thing before CC was ruled out and forgot to post. I included both scenarios but just going to post as is. Lynx v Fever - Tonight's Commissioners Cup has plenty of storylines outside of the grand prize the winning team gets. - Caitlin Clark QUESTIONABLE; undoubtedly the biggest storyline and for everyone except for the players who voted CC the 9th best guard a really big deal in terms of what the outcome could be. I am assuming Caitlin will play after being a partial participant. When she spoke to the media she mentioned that she is"
X Link 2025-07-01T18:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Storm v Dream - Rhyne Howard is DTD but she was in a sling after leaving the last game with an injury with a few minutes remaining in the 3rd I find it hard to believe she plays in this game. If she is out I imagine we see Shatori Walker-Kimbrough gets the start. - As could have been expected we saw usage skyrocket for Alisha Gray in the 4th with Rhyne out going from her season average of 20.8% to 29.2% and her rebound % go from 16.6% to 44.4%. - Moreover we saw Jordin Canada put up a season high [--] Pas with over 35% of those coming in the 4th quarter. Part of this is due Rhyne out but"
X Link 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mercury v Wings - A lot to unpack for the Wings. NaLyssa Smith was traded (and somehow the Wings got a [--] for her) Kaila Charles was released and Teaira McCowan and Luisa Geiselsoder were re-activated. - Additionally Paige Bueckers was a full participant in practice Tuesday and there is a possibility that DJC returns as well. For a Wings team that seems to experiment with their lineups game to game this makes for a lot of uncertainty so here's what I would have the starting lineup be. Paige Arike Aziaha MHA and Luisa. I like that Luisa can play on the perimeter and MHA does a good job as a"
X Link 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mystics v Lynx - Jade Melbourne QUESTIONABLE. If she plays Lucy Olsen's minutes will be limited to the single digits. If she is out Lucy Olsen will see the bulk of those minutes. - The Lynx have allowed [--] of the last [--] centers to go over their rebound line and we've seen big rebounding performances from big forwards including Kiki (Natasha -13; Bri Jones - 8; Kiki - 11; Hamby - 12; Nneka - 10). - While the Lynx have been effective at defending the PNR (they rank 4th against the PNR man and 2nd against the PNR ballhandler) they rank 9th in RZ-paint defense where Shakira and Kiki have both"
X Link 2025-07-03T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I just want some Kelsey Mitchell and Tiffany Hayes assist props on this Saturday. Too much to ask @FanDuel"
X Link 2025-07-05T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aces vs Sun - Tina Charles is QUESTIONABLE. Not sure what the situation is but why play her at this point if she's injured If she is out we likely see Aneesah get the start. - Jaelyn Brown is OUT this raises the floor of minutes for Saniya Rivers and Jacy Sheldon. - This is a perfect get-right spot for the Aces who take on the 2-15 Sun without Marina Mabrey who is supposed to be returning soon. The one thing you have to worry about is if this gets out of hand too soon and when the starters would be pulled. - Defensively the Sun allow a lot of points in the paint allowing the most shots in"
X Link 2025-07-06T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sky vs Lynx - Alanna Smith left the game with an injury last night. Not sure the extent of it but if she is out I expect Jessica Shepherd to get the start. - Let's start off with this Angel Reese has been fantastic this season. She may have cost me a +2800 on her 25+ last game by missing a layup but honestly just an incredible performance by her. With Kamila Cardoso out Anel has seen her usage jump from 20.9% to 26.5% and her rebound % go from 43.8% to 50%. In two games without Cardoso she has [--] and [--] rebounds and has eclipsed her season high in shot attempts in both games (16 and 19)."
X Link 2025-07-06T13:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mercury vs Wings - The Mercury and the Wings face off just days after the Wings surprising defeat of the Mercury and there is a lot to unpack. - Copper and Satou are shockingly out as is DJC. We will get a healthy dose of Kalani Brown and likely 30+ minutes from Laksa and Whitcomb with 20-25 minutes coming from Katheryn Westbeld. - The Wings were on a short-handed roster and that may still hold true in this matchup as Arike has yet to practice with her thumb injury. Honestly though not sure it's that big of a deal at this point as the rookie trio of guards has been playing well. - The"
X Link 2025-07-07T12:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Valks v Fever - CC is IN. - Damiris Dantas is IN this could eat into Sophie and/or Natasha Howard minutes but I am hoping we see more Makayla Timpson. She's been fantastic in her limited minutes. - With CC in I'll be looking at AB or Natasha points and possibly CC assists with a dabble on the triple double. CC likes to put on a show and a game back in Indiana after several games off is surely an opportunity for that. - AB and CC operate the PNR more effectively than any other duo in the league and it's nearly unstoppable with the attention CC commands coming off the screen and her passing"
X Link 2025-07-09T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lynx v Mercury - Both Satou and Copper considered DTD. The Mercury don't have another game for nearly a week after this. The Mercury have been cautious with injuries so far this season but this is a big game between two of the best teams in the W. - DaWanna Bonner is now a Mercury. I don't quite see the fit on the court. - These two teams have squared off twice and both games were without AT or Copper and the last game was also without Phee. - If they are both out the pressure will again be on the trio of Akoa Makina Whitcomb and Laksa to convert their looks. In the game vs the Wings"
X Link 2025-07-09T11:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"7/10 WNBA Prop Thread Aces vs Mystics - A'ja Wilson was in shootaround. I lean she plays at this point. The rest of this was written prior to that announcement. - With A'ja out we saw some interesting decisions. Chelsea Jewell and Jackie took up the lions share of minutes playing [--] [--] and [--] while Dana Evans Kierstan Bell NaLyssaq Smith Aaliyah Nye and Kiah Stokes all got between 7-13 minutes. Usage wise Dana Evans led the way with a 41.2% rating and Jackie Young put in a 34.3% usage rating (she averages 25.6% on the season). What was most shocking was the involvement on the glass by"
X Link 2025-07-10T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@HoopHerSpeaks None of those are assists but considering I watch every single potential game to track potential assists its bad across the board. Every game has [--] or [--] questionable assists awarded"
X Link 2025-07-11T02:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"7/12 WNBA Prop Thread Sky vs Lynx - Well this Sky team is a bit different then what we've seen. Let's start with the obvious. Kamilla Cardoso is back after several games away with the national team and we saw Kamilla come off the bench playing [--] minutes which is actually a minute above her [----] minute per game average. - It seems as if Tyler Marsh unlocked something with Cardoso out though. Elizabeth Williams played 30+ minutes in the three games without Cardoso and the Sky offense looked dare I say good Although Elizabeth played just [--] minutes with Cardoso in the lineup that was still"
X Link 2025-07-12T15:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"7/16 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sky - I wrote everything below before Angel was ruled out. Cardoso is going to have much higher usage as is Elizabeth Williams. It's still a tough matchup for both though. - Rhyne was a late scratch on Sunday and is now out through July from most recent news. Without Rhyne in the lineup Canada has notched [--] and [--] Pas and Bri Jones has notched [--] Pas. Alisha Gray had [--] as well which was primarily kickstarted by Canada getting it to Grey on the wing who could then get an easier entry pass to Bri and/or Griner. - With Rhyne out Maya Caldwell got the start but"
X Link 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Fever v Liberty - No Jonquel Jones - I wrote all of this before CC got hurt in the last minute of the game vs the Sun. Everything below holds true except for I think we see more attention placed on Kelsey which will open things up a little for Aari McDonald who will get the start in CC's place. Aari boards is a going to be a play for me whenever that drops. Also without CC the pace drops significantly and the offensive rating of the Fever drops as well. We got Kelsey Mitchell assist props for the game vs the Sun would be something I am interested in if we can get those again. - The last"
X Link 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aces vs Wings - I'm going to start with the Wings here and the most obvious success of this team they have been so incredibly effective at limiting rebounds. Angel Reese only put up [--] and [--] vs them. They are allowing the 3rd fewest rebounds to bigs over the last [--] games and just limited AB and Natasha to just [--] combined rebounds last game. They are however allowing the 4th most rebounds to guards over the last [--] games and we just saw Sophie get [--] and Aari get [--] rebounds off the bench. Without A'ja in the last game vs the Wings we saw Jackie get [--] boards. - With Arike in the lineup we"
X Link 2025-07-16T14:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"It was a crazy day in the Discord today @FullstopPicks crushed baseball +240 ✅ +320 ✅ +370 ✅ +413 ✅ +500 ✅ +988 ✅ +1300 ✅ +3000 ✅ Join now to get all access to all his plays at Use code FULLSTOP for 25% off your first month http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/ http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/"
X Link 2025-07-22T03:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream vs Aces - Rhyne Howard is OUT Maya Caldwell got the start in her place. As can be expected usage goes up across the board with Rhyne out. In the last game we saw Alisha's usage go up from 20.6% to 23.7% rebound % go up from 16.8% to 21.9% and assist % go up from 21.1% to 27.8%. Bri and Griner saw similar usage growth and Canada's assist % sky rocketed. Without Rhyne Canada has averaged [--] Pas - Jackie Young is QUESTIONABLE now. If shes out we will see more Dana Evans. - The Aces have allowed several 20+ PA games this season and they are allowing an above average conversion rate. In"
X Link 2025-07-22T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Wings vs Storm - Arike appeared to reinjure her thumb at the tail end of last week's game vs the Aces but she remained in the game and there has been no additional news on her. - Going into the Wings last game I anticipated Paige to notch more Pas while feeding Arike but it turned out to be quite the opposite through the first [--] quarters. Paige got 60% of her PA production in the final [--] minutes of the game and still ended up tied with Arike in Pas for the game. - DJC Should be back but who knows at this point. If she joins the lineup we will see JJ Quinerly's time go down and likely Haley"
X Link 2025-07-22T17:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Super pumped to announce that @Willzan6 has joined our team at Parlay Ole Bets to cap the upcoming college football and basketball seasons. This guy absolutely crushes the player prop markets and will be adding spreads/ML/totals to his arsenal. In [----] he won [---] units on an absurd 38% ROI. Just look at his CFB Week [--] card last year. Sign up at to get all of his bets and use promo code WILLZAN for 25% off your first month. http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/ http://whop.com/parlay-ole-bets/"
X Link 2025-07-22T18:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@camthepacman1 I track all potential assists for every wnba game"
X Link 2025-07-23T14:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"@slayinmaven @___lovelani I track potential assists. The WNBA doesnt"
X Link 2025-07-23T14:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"7/23 WNBA Prop Thread Mercury vs Dream - Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally are back after being out since 7/3. Lexi Held is also back after being out since 6/19. Monique Akoa-Makani was not seen at practice so I do not anticipate her playing in tomorrow's game. - In the last [--] games the Mercury did go 4-1 with a win over Minnesota but the wheels fell off a little bit in the final game scoring a season low [--] points. - For the Mercury the biggest thing will be figuring out what lineup to play now that DeWanna Bonner is back and playing very well. - I imagine the starting lineup will be Alyssa"
X Link 2025-07-23T17:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Hey @grok who was the most famous person to visit my profile It doesn't need to be a mutual don't tag them just say who it was"
X Link 2025-07-26T16:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@grok Shout out @SaraJGamelli"
X Link 2025-07-26T18:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"7/27 WNBA Prop Thread Lots of injuries and weird lines. Be careful out there Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun - And we are back to not knowing what in the heck the Valkyries will do with their lineup at any given time. - Kayla Thornton is OUT for the year and Monique Billings is OUT for the game. The starting lineup we saw was Cecilia Janelle Temi Tiffany and Burton with [--] minutes from Carla Leite and [--] from Iliana Rupert. No minutes from Kate Martin. - This game will produce some really great lines if you can predict what lineups either of these coaches will roll out. -"
X Link 2025-07-27T14:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Indiana Fever vs Chicago Sky - Caitlin Clark is OUT until further notice. - Atkins is OUT Reese is Questionable. - Even with Angel Reese this team does not have much going for it. With Atkins out there is not a single guard on this roster who can create consistently. Rachel Banham is trying but she is more fit as a spot-up shooter. Hailey Van Lith has gotten a lot of run time the last two games but hasn't been efficient. - Last game kind of pure the fear factor in Aari McDonald props. She still finished with [--] Pas but it wasn't pretty and she was seemingly benched for Sydney Colson."
X Link 2025-07-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings - Paige is OUT - The Wings changed things up vs the Valkyries with Li Yeuru getting just [--] mints of run time. While the double-big lineup has been effective in some regards it still hasn't resulted in a ton of wins but I think the biggest reason for the reduction in playing time was the need for more athleticism on the court to match up with the Valks who were without Monique Billings and Kayla Thornton which led to a much more athletic lineup than it already was. - To be honest this might be a better identity anyways when they aren't going up against"
X Link 2025-07-27T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream v Wings - Atlanta is on a B2B and will be on their 3rd game in [--] days. I wouldn't be surprised to see Griner sit out this game for rest. As I mentioned in the last write-up I wouldn't have been shocked to see Griner get less minutes and get played off the court vs the Valks small lineup and that's exactly what happened with Naz Hillmon getting [--] minutes of run time. This one will be interesting as the Wings rolled out a small-ball lineup vs the Liberty that featured [--] guards and [--] big (Luisa) with Li Yeuru getting [--] minutes off the bench. - The Wings have operated at the 4th"
X Link 2025-07-30T15:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@&1389807567429042216 Mercury v Fever - Caitlin Clark is OUT. - This is the first matchup between these two teams this season. - The Mercury have had some struggles vs off-ball guards the last few weeks with Kayla McBride getting [--] points Alisha Gray with [--] points and Sabrina Ionescu with [--] points. Watching the game with Sabrina back she was getting the ball in transition and off of off-ball screens with consistency btu she was also able to just beat her defender off the dribble. These are three main staples of Kelsey Mitchell's offensive attack. - What I have been so impressed with"
X Link 2025-07-30T15:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/1 WNBA Prop Thread **Mercury vs Dream ** - What a quick turnaround for these two after facing off a week ago. - Rhyne Howard is OUT She was expected out all of July but it is now August and I haven't heard anything yet. - Canada was out last game with an illness and is now listed as questionable for this game. In the last game she had [--] Pas but converted just [--]. If she is out Paopao will get the start. Despite being the starting point guard her PA numbers have not been strong all season but she has never met a shot she didn't want to take. - Griner went off in this matchup scoring 17"
X Link 2025-08-01T15:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/2 WNBA Prop Thread Lynx v Aces - I imagine we see a better showing than the [--] point beat down the Lynx put on the Aces last a little over a week ago. - In the two games since the Aces benched Jewell Lloyd and this offense has looked so much better. It's an incredibly small sample size but the Aces offensive net rating is [-----] in two games compared to [---] over the season and their defensive rating of [----] is [--] points better then their season average. Granted they have played two weaker teams in the Wings and Sparks. - In these two games Chelsea has notched [--] and [--] Pas both season highs"
X Link 2025-08-02T15:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/3 WNBA Prop Thread I wrote these on Friday and updated where I remembered changes were needed based on last two days of news. Should be mostly good I think. Liberty vs Sun - Stewie is OUT - Emma Meeseman was available to play but did not log any minutes. I imagine that changes in this game. This will eat into Talbot's minutes. - Aneesah Morrow has now logged [--] straight starts but still only played [--] minutes on Friday but she got [--] rebounds that short time frame. In the three games with Morrow starting Charles has [--] [--] and [--] rebounds. Worth monitoring if Morrow gets the start. - Defensively"
X Link 2025-08-03T16:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"**Lynx vs Storm ** - Phee is out for two weeks. This generally means Jessica Shepherd will slot into the starting lineup. - Dijonae Carrington is the newest member of the Lynx squad and will likely make her debut tonight as well albeit likely under an organic minutes limit (I anticipate about [--] minutes). - Gabby Williams Pas continue to stay low as she's had [--] or fewer Pas in [--] of her last [--] games but did have [--] in the last game. The Lynx defense is the best in the league but will be missing one of the best defenders in the league. That being said I imagine we see Dijonae matching up on"
X Link 2025-08-05T17:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mystics vs Sky - Angel Reese is OUT - Ariel Atkins QUESTIONABLE. And they desperately need her but considering how bad this team is it doesn't make sense to rush her back. She was participating in shootaround though. - Hailey Van Lith QUESTIONABLE. If both HVL and Atkins are out tonight Sevgi Uzun should get even more minutes. She played [--] last game and had the third best +/- on the team at [--]. She hasn't been particularly aggressive with her shot but she has been a willing rebounder and a solid facilitator. Might be worth a DFS or fantasy stream on the cheap. - Cardoso has hit 10+"
X Link 2025-08-05T17:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Anyone want me to go live and break down todays game"
X Link 2025-08-06T17:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/6 WNBA Slate Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1YqKDZNvMAEJV https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1YqKDZNvMAEJV"
X Link 2025-08-06T21:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/7 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sky - Rhyne DOUBTFUL. The Dream's [--] point defense has suffered in the time period with Rhyne out as they are allowing the highest shooting % from [--] over the last [--] games. Additionally with Rhyne out Allisha Gray's rebounding % goes up and she now gets a matchup vs the Sky who have allowed some big rebounding games to wings including [--] combined to Allisha and Rhyne in the first matchup of the season and [--] to Allisha and Maya Caldwell in the blowout game just before the all-star break. - It's also worth noting that the Sky can get toasted by guards (Copper - 25"
X Link 2025-08-07T13:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/7 WNBA Slate Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1gqxvjrWoWgxB https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1gqxvjrWoWgxB"
X Link 2025-08-07T18:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/9 WNBA Prop Thread Sparks vs Valks - What I love about the Valks is they are consistent in their identity regardless of who is in the game. They pressure anyone the moment they enter the paint they put a ton of on ball pressure early and often and they allow a ton of 3s. Conversely they shoot 3s like they are worried they may not be allowed to anymore. - The Valks are 2-1 against the Sparks but the Sparks are coming into this game on a hot streak winning [--] of their last [--] and just outscoring everyone. - Defensively though they let anyone and everyone score on them. They are the 4th worst"
X Link 2025-08-09T18:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JoeyKnisch Heck yeah man Glad you like them and I appreciate your support. Ill be doing write ups for NFL too"
X Link 2025-08-09T19:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@HouseOfDragons7 @JoeyKnisch Heck yes Im glad I can appease the Royal Bank of Bravos"
X Link 2025-08-09T23:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"Storm vs Sparks - This is going to be a copy and paste for the Sparks D from the last game prop thread as it still holds true: they let anyone and everyone score on them. They are the 4th worst team in the W in points allowed in the paint and they are worst team vs forwards in points in the paint allowed. They also happen to be allowing the 2nd most rebounds over the last [--] games to forwards. - In addition to bleeding points to bigs in the paint they Sparks are allowing the 5th highest shooting % from [--] on the 2nd most attempts allowed over the last [--] games. - To add more insult to injury"
X Link 2025-08-10T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream vs Mercury - Rhyne QUESTIONABLE; her presence has huge implications on the way the Dream operate. Without Rhyne in the lineup the Dream are allowing the 3rd highest shooting % over the last [--] games. Additionally without Rhyne in the lineup we have seen Allisha Gray go off for [--] and [--] against the Mercury. Gray gets most of her production from spot-up shooting in transition and as the PNR ball handler all of which the Mercury rank bottom half of the league against. - Brittney Griner QUESTIONABLE. She has already had her homecoming in Phoenix but this game this environment still means a"
X Link 2025-08-10T13:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/11 WNBA Prop Thread This was written before Charless was ruled out but all points still stand. Sun vs Valks - The Sun are on a B2B after playing a close competitive game vs the Aces last night. This means the Sun wonky rotations get wonkier. Tina Charles has played twice on a B2B. She averages [----] minutes a game and just [--] in her two games on a B2B. Marina Mabrey averages [--] minutes per game but did play just [--] minutes on July [--] in a B2B. If the game is close Mabrey will get her minutes not so sure on Charles. - Aaliyah Edwards made her debut and already outplayed Aneesah Morrow in"
X Link 2025-08-11T21:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Liberty vs Sparks - Should we just rename this the matchup between Sabrina and Kelsey Plum These two love to get up against each other. In the two matchups this season Kelsey has averaged [----] PAs which is [----] Pas higher than her last [--] games. - Isabelle Harrison is OUT leaving the Liberty with two true bigs. - Well it appears that the paint defense hasn't exactly improved the Liberty were just having some easier matchups against the Wings and Sun. The Liberty just allowed [--] points in the paint to a Phee-less Lynx squad which pushed them to be 5th worst of the last [--] games. They'll have a"
X Link 2025-08-12T13:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"College football is right around the corner and Wills got us covered in @ParlayOleBet Hes already got [--] plays posted. Dont miss out Played this as my first prop of the year. Lets run it Played this as my first prop of the year. Lets run it"
X Link 2025-08-14T23:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"8/15 WNBA Prop Thread This was written and posted yesterday in my discord. The big updates are Shakira Austin is out and so is Arike. Mystics v Fever - Shakira Austin has been out the last two games with "soreness". Seems like maybe a little more than just soreness considering the Mystics just signed a big to a 7-day contract. If Shakira doesn't play we will likely Stefanie Dolson get the start with Emily Engstler and Alysha Clark getting [--] minutes off the bench. Also of note is that Jacy Sheldon appeared to go down with an injury late in the 3rd quarter. She was on pace for only 12-15"
X Link 2025-08-15T15:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Continued - The Fever defense has been in the top half of the league the last [--] games but they dont do anything particularly special. Sonia Citron will likely draw Sophie or Lexie which will not be easy for her. I did notice in her first two games vs the Fever she pulled down [--] rebounds. There are several factors of interest here. Many of her big rebound games were due to her sagging off her player and helping in the paint but this was different. She was primarily matched up on Lexie and because Lexie was so aggressive in crashing the glass it forced Sonia closed to the basket boxing her"
X Link 2025-08-15T15:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Storm vs Dream - I find gambling on back to back rematches to be incredibly difficult. How much is actually going to change strategically from game to game so some of this may feel copy and paste from my Wednesday write-up but that is because some of it is. - Jordin Canada is out for at least two weeks with a hamstring strain. This means a huge spike in Rhyne's assist %. As mentioned in Wednesday's thread we see a [--] PA uptick for Rhyne with Jordin out of the lineup while Allisha Gray sees a [--] PA uptick. The most concerning piece for me going into this last game was how many minutes would"
X Link 2025-08-15T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Aces vs Mercury - After the embarrassing blowout loss to the Lynx the Aces are quietly on a [--] game winning streak. In that time frame they have the 2nd best net offensive rating and 5th best net defensive rating. They have the highest rebound % and the 5th highest EFG%. In that time frame they are allowing the 3rd points in the paint and the 4th lowest [--] point %. - They are now catching a Phoenix Mercury team that has been struggling offensively (compared to the standards they've set for themselves this year). They have the 4th worst offensive net rating over the last [--] games. - Over the"
X Link 2025-08-15T15:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Free Play Maddy Siegrist O11.5P +100 Discord got this at [----] would still play [----]. Arike is OUT. Last game the Wings went with Maddy at the [--] to start the game and went 9-13. She should see 25+ minutes in this game and gets one of the worst paint defenses in the league. The Sparks rank 2nd to last in the RZ and Maddy gets 48% of her production there. Research powered by @PropsEdge Use code ANDREW for 25% off"
X Link 2025-08-15T22:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Follow @ParlayOleBet and get the full MLB card from Fullstop Get @ParlayOleBet to [---] followers tonight and Ill post a baseball ladder for the massive Monday slate If you want to cash more ladders with me throughout the season then come over to https://t.co/Mwh7xj7L9T using the code FULLSTOP Get @ParlayOleBet to [---] followers tonight and Ill post a baseball ladder for the massive Monday slate If you want to cash more ladders with me throughout the season then come over to https://t.co/Mwh7xj7L9T using the code FULLSTOP"
X Link 2025-08-18T21:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sun vs Mystics - I know the Sun are a bad team but I do feel like they are actively throwing games. I know that sounds absurd but just watch the last minute of the game vs the Fever. It's either that or they are actually even more poorly coached then I can fathom. They drained [--] valuable seconds off the clock before getting a bad shot off and then didn't foul. Make it make sense. - I say all of this to say just always proceed with caution for this team. - That being said Leila Lecan had quite the game. We finally got point props for her on FD and now we are getting assist props. She said a"
X Link 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Storm vs Sky - Angel Reese should be back soon (she was practicing and is now listed as QUESTIONABLE) which is welcome news for this disaster of a team that doesn't control its' own first round pick in the [----] WNBA draft that at the moment would be the number [--] overall pick. I say all of that to say although they are horrible we don't have to worry too much about tanking but I'm sure they will be more conservative with several players (namely Atkins and Angel) down the stretch. I don't anticipate she plays in this game but if she does I'll happily take her PRA instead of Cardosos PR. - This"
X Link 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Dream vs Aces - This is a matchup of [--] of the best [--] teams in terms of net rating differential over the last [--] games and two teams battling for playoff seeding. - After scoring just [--] points in the first half the Dream put up [--] points against the Valks in the second half. The only noticeable difference was Paopao running the point in the second half resulting in a career-high [--] Pas. Rhyne still had more Pas but got 85% of her Pas in the second half. So why was Paopao playing Mainly because Maya Caldwell got into foul trouble and was limited to [--] minutes. We've seen Paopoa go in waves of"
X Link 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Mercury vs Valks - The Mercury rank 2nd to last in points allowed in the paint to forwards and they rank last in rebounds allowed to forwards. They just allowed Nneka Ezi and Malonga to all get 7+ rebounds and Nneka scored [--] on the Mercury. [--] of her [--] makes were in the RZ. - At the end of the day someone has to rebound the basketball. This is not rooted in data but I have a feeling it will be Satou. - Without a true big on the floor she has shown the ability to pull down boards and had [--] in her last game vs the Valks. - Iliana Rupert went into concussion protocol and did not return on"
X Link 2025-08-19T18:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"College football season is here Follow @Willzan6 as hes going to be making money every weekend in @ParlayOleBet Rocking this with the boys lets run it up Rocking this with the boys lets run it up"
X Link 2025-08-21T21:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨WNBA Free Play🚨 Sonia Citron 4+ A (1U on +120 FD) I got this out to the Discord last night at +172 for [--] and +870 for [--] but would just take the straight now. This is not the best matchup but I love what I saw from the Mystics yesterday. So let me break it down. Alysha Clark got the start over Jade Melbourne which immediately threw my radar up. The second thing that threw my radar up was Sug Sutton getting subbed out within [--] minutes. Basically the Mystics were trying to rotate Sonia and Sug in and out and not with each other as much as you can with limited talent and depth at the guard"
X Link 2025-08-24T16:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/2 WNBA Prop Thread Liberty vs Valks Sabrina is QUESTIONABLE for this pivotal matchup. The Liberty sit in 5th and Valks in 6th as it currently stands but [--] games separate them. The Valks are trying to hold off the Storm and Fever while the Liberty are trying to keep pace with the Mercury and Dream for guaranteed home-court advantage in the 1st round. With Sabrina out I anticipated Natasha Cloud getting the lion's share of ball handling responsibilities she finished with just [--] Pas. Additionally with Sabrina out Emma got the surprising start with a [--] big lineup. With Jonquel Sabrina Natasha"
X Link 2025-09-02T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Fever vs Mercury The first time these two teams faced it was a shootout with the game going over [---] points. The second time the Fever couldn't buy a bucket. They also were operating without a true point guard and the Mercury were putting a ton of pressure on Kelsey Mitchell. Odyssey Sims just posted her second highest PA total of the season for the Fever. In the first game against the Mercury Aari McDonald had [--] Pas. The Mercury are the 4th worst rebounding team in the league and allow the most rebounds to opposing forwards. Furthermore they are allowing the most points in the paint to"
X Link 2025-09-02T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/5 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sparks Allisha Gray is OUT. Without her in the lineup the Dream rolled out Bri Jones Naz Rhyne Paopao and Jordin Canada. Paopao saw just [--] minutes though with Maya Caldwell getting [--] minutes. I like Paopao but her and Canada on the court at the same time makes no sense and it appears Smesko realized that very quickly as well. Interestingly enough and shoutout to my guy Flo for catching this but apparently Jordin Canada was never on a minute limit in her return but he was just trying to be smart about it. We both hammered her assist prop and it paid off"
X Link 2025-09-05T21:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The man @Willzan6 went off today in college football in the @ParlayOleBet discord. 7-1 day +4.68 units ✅-130 ✅-140 ✅-140 ✅-130 ✅+108 ✅-113 ✅+200 Lock in with him using code Willzan for 25% off your first month"
X Link 2025-09-07T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/8 WNBA Prop Thread Dream vs Sun Allisha Gray was OUT the last two games. The most important thing is ensuring she is healthy. There is no sense in playing her now if she is not 100% especially in a winnable game vs the Sun. She is currently listed. QUESTIONABLE. I am seriously so over betting on the Sun. Rachid Meziane might be the worst head coach I've ever seen. His rotations truly make no sense. Lindsey Allen continues to get heavy minutes over Leila Lacan. We are also seeing 30-year old Mamignan Toure get heavy minutes too. It's actually dumb. For the love of god people do not bet on"
X Link 2025-09-08T12:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is some good CLV. DD sent to the discord: +280 PR sent to the discord: o18.5 PR DD [--] minutes later: [----] PR [--] minutes later: o25.5 PR"
X Link 2025-09-08T21:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/9 WNBA Prop Thread Mystics vs Liberty The 5th seed is all but set in stone for the Liberty at this point. They're [--] games behind the Mercury and [--] games in front of the Valks. Sabrina has been QUESTIONABLE the last several games before ultimately being ruled out. The goal is the playoffs but considering how little this entire team has played together it wouldn't be the worst get the entire healthy unit together once before playoffs. They take on the Mystics who are eliminated but still fighting albeit poorly. As I've mentioned several times with the Mystics eliminated we can expect to"
X Link 2025-09-09T20:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Shout out to Zach Ertz and Tucker Kraft for the receptions combo bang in @ParlayOleBet 🧨 5/5 +1100 💥6/6 +3900 Code NFL gets you 50% off your first month through the end of the weekend"
X Link 2025-09-12T03:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Rams vs Titans Puka Nacua popped up with an injury after the Texans game but that's pretty much every game for Puka. He picked up right he left off last year though getting [--] catches on [--] targets for [---] yards. It was pretty much the Puka and Davante show as they received [--] of the total [--] targets on the team. Despite much speculation that Blake Corum would see more work this season Kyren got [--] rush attempts to his [--]. According to MacVey that was not intentional and they do anticipate getting Corum more involved but this is still Kyren's backfield. Defensively the Titans defense held"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Jaguars vs Bengals Well the Jaguars running back situation has been cleared up. Tank Bigsby is no longer there and Travis Etienne looked very good in his first game in the Liam Coen regime. The Bengals allowed just [--] yards vs the Cleveland Browns a shocking development for a defense that was one of the worst in the league last year at defending the run. They have a true test though this week vs the Jags. The Bengals had quite a bit more success defending the man/gap running concept allowing just [----] yards per carry vs zone concepts where they allowed [----] yards per carry. This fits"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Browns vs Ravens Quinshon Judkins returns and it is uncertain if he will be ready to play or not but this rushing attack could use him. Jerome Ford was largely ineffective in his [--] carries getting just [--] yards and getting stuffed 100% of the time. Dylan Sampson was slightly better but that's not hard. Part of this ineffectiveness led to Joe Flacco throwing the ball 45x which is not what the Browns want to do ever. The surprise player of the day was Harold Fannin Jr. He had [--] targets and brought in [--] receptions but the most surprising thing was his [--] 1st read targets. His route tree was"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bills vs Jets The Bills got torched in the running game by the Baltimore Ravens allowing [---] yards on the ground for a [---] yard per carry average. What was interesting though was that 74.8% of those yards came on explosive runs and the Bills still posted a stuff rate that ranked in the top half of the league. It's also an incredibly tough rushing attack to defend against between Henry and Lamar. But the Bills don't get a break as they now face Breece Hall and Justin Fields. Despite all of the hype surrounding Braelon Allen taking snaps away from Breece Hall Allen got just [--] carries"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Giants vs Cowboys Russ Wilson is still the starting QB which means the Giant's offense is basically unplayable at this point from an overs perspective. It sounds like though with one more bad game that the Jaxon Dart era will start sooner than expected. Malik Nabors was getting visibly frustrated during the game. Welcome to the Russell Wilson experience Malik. This also impacted the running attack as the Commanders were able to load the box to stop 2nd-year starter Tyrone Tracy Jr. This isn't going to get easier against the Cowboys who added Kenny Clark produced a strong first game"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Seahawks vs Steelers Kenneth Walker was given [--] attempts compared to [--] by Zach Charbonnet. The Seahawks mentioned earlier that that wasn't necessarily the plan but it is something to monitor. And it was mentioned that they need to get back to the outside zone mentioned that they need to get back to being an outside zone running team which favors Kenneth Walker slightly (52.99% compared to Zach's 48.9% attempt % last year and a success rate of 42% compared to Zach's 37.9% success rate). Jaxon Smith-Njigba is quickly making people forget all about Tyler Lockett and DJ Metcalf. He had 9"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Broncos vs Colts Bo Nix didn't look great but I feel confident he will improve. There weren't many surprises with how the Broncos handled player usage. JK Dobbins got [--] attempts compared to RJ Harvey's [--] but RJ had some explosive carries. It's going to be tough to keep him off the field and Sean said as much in his post-game press conference. Receiver wise Courtland Sutton led the way in target % (22.5%) route % (86%) and 1st read % (37.5%). These numbers closely reflect [----]. Behind him was Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims getting a nearly even split across the board in all advanced"
X Link 2025-09-12T21:48Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Chargers vs Raiders Omarion Hampton seemingly has a hold on this backfield after getting [--] carries to Najee Harris' [--] but according to Harbaugh they planned for 12-15 plays for Najee and he got to [--]. His workload will increase but remains to be seen by how much. Just be weary on Hampton overs. The Raiders rush defense was top half of the league last year and got an easy test vs the Patriots. It was mentioned all summer how healthy Herbert looked and he quickly showed what that meant. He was dynamic and gained [--] yards on [--] rushes. He had [--] yards vs a largely similar Raiders defense"
X Link 2025-09-15T17:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/17 WNBA Prop Thread Lynx vs Valks Tiffany is OUT. Kaila will start. Burton has averaged [----] Pas per game over the last [--] including [--] vs the Lynx on 9/6 but she has only gone over [--] assists in [--] of [--] games vs the Lynx. With Tiffany Hayes + Cecilia in the lineup we do see a drop in Burtons Pas. Update after game 1: Burton finished with [--] assists on [--] Pas. I mention this every single prop thread but the Valks aggressively collapse on bigs and allow a ton of 3s (the most of any team this season). One thing to note though is that this [--] volume isn't applicable to everyone. They like to"
X Link 2025-09-17T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Liberty vs Mercury Stewie (4 min) Sabrina (2.5 min) and Jonquel (2 min) all saw bumps come playoff time last year. AT has played heavy minutes as is but I think we could see her running 36/37 minutes in tight games. Copper/Satou/Bonner will all see bumps. In the last three games against the Mercury Sabrina has had [--] [--] and [--] Pas while putting together two games of 5+ rebounds. Sabrina hasn't really looked like herself in a few weeks but she's been getting it done in the R+A department and playoffs is a different animal. Last year Sabrina saw nearly a [--] rebound bump to [---] rebounds per"
X Link 2025-09-17T14:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/17 WNBA Review: Valks vs Lynx and Mercury vs Liberty https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1BdxYZmeeyBKX https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1BdxYZmeeyBKX"
X Link 2025-09-17T20:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/19 WNBA Prop Thread Not doing a long prop thread for tonights game. Just a few quick notes though: - Stewie did not look very good with her knee injury. More Emma minutes possibly. - Jonquel has been dominating the glass (as expected). I have money on her series rebound leader prop so not going to double dip - We saw AT be aggressive in attacking the basket taking [--] shots in reduced minutes due to blowout. Monique assists are correlated here and she had [--] Pas in [--] min (I would expect her to get 25-26 minutes normally) - The home court advantage will be huge tonight for the Mercury. And"
X Link 2025-09-19T13:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"I have spent over [--] hours this week meticulously analyzing each NFL game to help you know what you need to know. So here is the: Week [--] NFL Prop Thread If you like this content please share yall. Its the best way you can show your appreciation. Packers vs Browns This Packers defense is legit. They've now taken down two of the best offenses from last year with ease. This season they are producing the 9th best EPA/Pass while allowing the lowest yards per pass in the league. The Packers defense is primarily a mix of Cover [--] and Cover [--] (which aligns with last season trends) and the emphasis"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Cowboys vs Bears This Cowboys secondary got absolutely burnt by the Giants but it's worth mentioning that Russell Wilson was playing out of his mind dropping dimes into tight coverage throughout. On the flip side the Bears pass defense is also atrocious. Both teams rank bottom [--] in EPA/Pass. The Bears are generating the 4th lowest pressure amount through two weeks while allowing the 2nd highest time to throw. Meanwhile the Cowboys are allowing the 7th highest average separation. The Cowboys are playing zone at a 92.3% clip (2nd highest in the league) with the majority of those looks being"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Bengals vs Vikings The backup game. Joe Burrow is out for at least three months which means we are getting the Jake Browning show. On the flip side JJ McCarthy is out with an ankle injury which means we are getting the Carson Wentz experience. I don't anticipate much of a drop off in the Bengals offense as a result of Jake Browning starting but I have no idea what to expect for the Vikings and Carson Wentz although if we're being honest it can't be much worse than it has been. I am not sure what to expect from Carson Wentz and I'm not going to bother digging into it for this week to be"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Falcons vs Panthers This Falcons rush defense has been strong to start the season allowing the 9th fewest rushing yards while producing the 8th highest stuff %. They have been particularly strong against zone concepts allowing just [----] YPC. On the flip side the Panthers rush defense is one of the worst defenses in the league and they are bottom [--] in explosive runs % allowed. Bijan has had a great deal of success against this D as well having put together a [--] yard and [---] yard performance last year. They also possess a bottom [--] pass defense in terms as well. Tight ends in particular"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Jets vs Buccaneers Justin Fields is OUT. Tyrod Taylor will start. The Bucs are producing the 8th highest pressure rate through two weeks and allowed Michael Penix to rush for [--] yards on [--] carries and CJ Stroud to gain [--] yards on [--] carries. I will be looking at rushing yard overs for Taylor in this matchup. Last week the Bills had a hey-day against this Jets defense primarily running zone concepts. On [--] carries out of zone concepts James Cook had [---] yards for a 76.9% success rate. On man concepts he had just [--] yards on [--] carries for a 42.9% success rate. Bucky Irving though just 3"
X Link 2025-09-20T14:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"I appreciate you Tyquan Thornton"
X Link 2025-09-22T03:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Jackie Young should thrive in this matchup. Allisha Gray was easily able to get into the lane she just couldn't convert in game [--] or [--] but went 9-15 in game [--]. She hit 7/8 in the paint. This is the bread and butter of what Jackie can do best. She is able to get in the lane. 51% of her production came from the paint. And 24% of her production came as the PNR ball handler where the Fever are ranked in the bottom half of the league. Jackie was defended by Lexie Hull and it felt like this was a matchup they wanted to exploit which they did. Jackie went 9/16. I've been high on Jackie assists but"
X Link 2025-09-23T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lynx v Mercury Against the Liberty we saw the roll woman for the Mercury playing a supportive drop coverage on the ball handler. This led to several open looks for Jonquel Jones. She just couldn't convert. If they deploy a similar plan this could lead to open 3PA for both Phee and Alanna Smith. After game [--] it's safe to say this is exactly what happened. Phee attempted [--] 3PA [---] higher than her season average. Last series was not the best for Courtney Williams and that compounded with the effectiveness of Natisha led to Courtney actually playing slightly fewer minutes than her season"
X Link 2025-09-23T12:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"This is just my personal opinion but based on how the teams performed (in several capacities) here are my thoughts on all W teams: - Wings - Definitely gone - Sky - Probably gone - Sun - The worst coach Ive ever seen. Has to go. - Mystics - Keep. That team played hard and has good pieces - Storm - Probably got to go. That team was way too inconsistent. All other playoff teams: Keep. The fact that that Marsh and Koclanes kept their jobs and Sandy got let go is wild. Also I really dont see how the Sun keep Meziane"
X Link 2025-09-23T15:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Game [--] WNBA Prop Thread - 9/26 Not going to do the 50/50 statistical regurgitation filled with observational analysis that I normally do. You can read my last prop thread for some of that but going to focus more on observations and strategy for game [--]. Fever v Aces The Fever are surprisingly heading to Indiana with a tied-up series. If you knew that was going to be the case and bet on that you should join my discord. Gainbridge is going to be absolutely electric tomorrow night. In game two we honestly saw more of the same from game [--] schematically. The Fever matched up 1v1 on the Aces with"
X Link 2025-09-26T14:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Panthers vs Patriots This game has the potential to be gross. The Panthers wide receiver group is entirely banged up. Tet McMillan is DTD but I imagine he plays. Xavier Legette is DTD with a hamstring but less sure on him. Jalen Coker is still out as well and JT Sanders is week to week with an ankle injury. No idea on what to expect from this Panthers WR crew but here's the existing pecking order based on route share: Tet (88.1%); Legette (77.8%); Renfrow (74.6%); David Moore (29.4%); Brycen (20.6%). With Legette out last week though we saw Moore get the biggest jump going from [--] routes in"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Free Play #2 Hunter Henry o3.5 receptions [----] (discord got it at -110) 1U Tight ends in particular have had a great deal of success against this Panthers D. Brenton Strange had [--] yards on [--] catches Trey McBride had [--] yards on [--] catches and Kyle Pitt tallied [--] catches as well. Hunter Henry has the highest fantasy points per route run against Cover [--] (17.5%) and Cover [--] (46.6%) and is averaging [---] YPRR against Cover [--] and garnering a 31% 1st read share which is incredibly high"
X Link 2025-09-28T16:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"9/28 WNBA Prop Thread Aces vs Fever The Fever are on their last leg of a wildly poor variance season with so many season-ending injuries. Odyssey Sims picked a horrible time to be completely incapable of making a basket which leaves just Kelsey Mitchell and Lexie Hull as the only floor-spacing shooters on the court and it shows. On the Odyssey note she was limited to [--] minutes mainly because she was entirely ineffective. Shey Peddy got heavy minutes. If she starts off slow she'll have a quick hook again. Because of Natasha's inability to slow anyone down she's been played off the court"
X Link 2025-09-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Lynx vs Mercury The big news here is Phee being OUT. Also head coach Cheryl Reeve is OUT but that shouldn't impact nearly as much. With Phee out this season we historically have seen Jessica Shepard get the start but she's been limited this series to low minutes in favor of Maria Kliundikova who has done a fine job guarding both Phee and Satou Sabally. Alanna Smith got played off the floor last game and played just [--] minutes. She will be needed in this one and out of all Lynx players she is the only one who actually sees a positive bump in performance consistently. She's cleared 10+ points"
X Link 2025-09-28T16:38Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Monday Night Football Doubleheader Prop Thread Jets vs Dolphins The Dolphins rush defense has been one of the worst in the league. It has the 3rd worst EPA/Rush 8th worst stuff % and the 11th worst yard per play. This could be a nice bounce back spot for Breece Hall who saw just a 39.1% attempt share last week with the Jets playing from behind and Braelon Allen getting into the mix. Aaron Glenn mentioned in his press conference this week that they have to get Breece Hall the ball more. The Jets rush defense has been better depending on scheme. Overall they are allowing the 11th worst"
X Link 2025-09-29T12:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@JeffreyTheGreek @WCCSG_ Dude I went to Rutgers for the Iowa game. You have to visit. I never thought I would say this but Rutgers was absolutely wild"
X Link 2025-09-29T22:00Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Thursday Night Football Prop Thread 49ers v Rams The 49ers are in zone 75.2% of the time with the majority of that being Cover [--] (11th highest amount) with the second highest amount being in Cover [--]. This allows for underneath routes at a heavy rate. Against the 49ers the Cardinals had success running crossers from the wideouts while the Jaguars had a lot of success with outs and crossers as well. The biggest opportunity I see is with tight ends. The 49ers are allowing the 3rd most inline targets and Brenton Strange just had [--] catches. But let's be honest it doesn't really matter when you"
X Link 2025-10-02T18:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Sounds the alarms. There is a WNBA @FanDuel for the first time all playoffs. @StephenFlorival @ShamBreakDaBank"
X Link 2025-10-03T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Cowboys vs Jets This Cowboys defense while still bad has been doing a much better job of keeping things in front of them limiting the abundance of explosive plays. This is not to say that they are good but it isn't a full on passing fest like it was vs the Giants. Fortunately for the Cowboys the Jet's passing attack isn't particularly explosive. The Cowboys are allowing the most targets to backs (we just saw GB backs combine for [--] catches) and the 13th most targets to inline receivers. They play the 2nd most zone of all teams in the league with the 5th most cover 3"
X Link 2025-10-03T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Raiders vs Colts Ashton Jeanty had a breakout performance last game and now gets a good matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have had a middle of the road rush defense but have struggled most against zone concepts where they are allowing [----] yards per carry compared to [----] yards per carry in man/gap concepts. Jeanty does 67% of his work out of zone concepts and has significantly more success from these looks. Likely just a stay away for me. To this point the Colts have done a solid job of mixing in coverages which has created an above-average EPA/Pass"
X Link 2025-10-03T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Dolphins vs Panthers Tyreek Hill is OUT for the season. While Mike McDaniels' mentioned that it will take a village to replace Hill it's actually a bit clearer than that. Jaylen Waddle is going to get more targets than he is currently but he will likely be priced appropriately. Malik Washington is the person I am targeting. He plays roughly the same % out wide and in the slot as Tyreek Hill and they love to use him creatively in the run game and with designed passes. He has [--] of the team's [--] designed targets. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine will also see a big bump in route"
X Link 2025-10-03T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Finals Game [--] Preview https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ynKOMmAPdrJR https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ynKOMmAPdrJR"
X Link 2025-10-03T19:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **Titans vs Cardinals ** Trey Benson was supposed to be the do-everything back but instead he slotted exactly into James Connor's old role which is still more usage but not the usage anybody was hoping for. In fact he got zero snaps on the Cardinals final drive but it is looking like that may have been due to injury. He is now on IR. Emari Demercado and Michael Carter are going to see a usage bump. Michael Carter is slated to start and get the majority of rushing snaps while Emari is likely to continue with his third down work. Depending on lines whoever is running the"
X Link 2025-10-03T19:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"NFL Week [--] Prop Thread Patriots vs Bills (SNF) Rhamondre got the first snap of the game and proceeded to get 58.3% of the snaps while Tre Henderson got just 29.2% of the snaps. The carries were split Rhamondre (9) Tre (7) and Antonion (6) and Rhamondre ran more routes than all the backs combined at [--] but I say all of this to say just avoid this backfield. It's not worth it. That stinks because this Bills rush defense has been well below average and just gage up [---] rushing yards to the Saints. This team while sitting at 2-2 is not that good of a football team and will likely be operating"
X Link 2025-10-03T21:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Finals Game [--] Prop Thread Aces vs Mercury There is so much to unpack from game [--]. The chess match we saw was so much fun and we are in for quite a chess match going forward in game [--]. Let's start with the inverted pick and roll that the Mercury love to run. The Lynx struggled against this in the 1st half of game [--] last series and in the second half they just stopped switching on the screen and the guard provided help support on AT over the top. I mentioned this in my write-up for game [--] but I was curious how the Aces would be able to handle this given they have bit more size at the"
X Link 2025-10-05T13:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"What a way to end the WNBA season. Finished the season +64 units. Every single play tracked in the discord @ParlayOleBet Cant wait for Unrivaled Season 2"
X Link 2025-10-11T04:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread **49ers vs Buccaneers ** There are a lot of injuries on both sides that makes this relatively difficult to put together a thread early on. Bucky Irving is QUESTIONABLE going into this game. Todd Bowles said it's day by day right now but I imagine they will be cautious with his injury. Mike Evans is still OUT. On the 49ers side Brock Purdy is still dealing with a toe injury but Mac Jones has been playing very well in his place. George Kittle is likely OUT although it hasnt been made official yet. Ricky Pearsall and Juaun Jennings could return but it's up in the air"
X Link 2025-10-11T23:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Lions to Chiefs (SNF) The Chiefs rushing defense is struggling. They rank B3 in EPA/Rush B7 in rush YPP and B15 in stuff %. After Gibbs dominated usage in the rushing attack the majority of the season we saw David Montgomery rumble for [--] attempts in his homecoming in Cleveland. Both have good matchups here though and on national television I anticipate we get a heavy dose of Gibbs in the rushing and receiving game. The Lions rushing defense has been quite a bit better ranking T4 in EPA/Rush and T6 in stuff % but they have had more issues defending man/gap concepts."
X Link 2025-10-12T12:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Bears vs Raiders The Raiders have allowed back to back big days by QBs on the ground with Herbert getting [--] yards on [--] carries and Mariota busting out a 40-yard game. Caleb Williams has at least 5+ runs in every game this season. The Raiders defense overall has not been that good but the rush defense had been surprisingly effective leading into the Commanders game. They were allowing the lowest EPA/Rush but had also faced the 7th fewest rush attempts as a % of total plays. This is primarily a result of them playing a stacked box 45.5% of the time. Against the Commanders they upped the ante"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Chargers vs Giants Tyrone Tracy Jr is OUT. With Tyrone out Cam had a 70% RB share after the injury and performed well gaining [--] yards on [--] carries. The Chargers rushing defense had been "strong" through two games as they allowed the 8th fewest yards on the ground but digging into the numbers they had also seen the 2nd fewest carries to date after facing poor rushing attacks in the Chiefs and Raiders. They were producing the 2nd lowest stuff % across the league. I took a stab on JK Dobbins and he rewarded us handsomely. The Chargers got wrecked against zone concepts (5.56 YPC) and that's"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Jaguars vs 49ers Several injury notes here first. Brock Purdy should be back. Mac Jones is dealing with a slight knee issue. Jauan Jennings was OUT last week but I believe could be back this week. That will eat into the targets of Ricky Pearsall. Jennings was practicing this week. On the Jaguars front several interesting playing time trends. Travis Etienne saw just 62.3% of snaps while LeQuint Allen got 19.6% and Bhaysul Tuten got 17.1% with the rush attempt split being 55.4% 3.6% and 17.1%. Parker Washington also got a heavy dose of targets in this game and it sure did seem like he was"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Colts vs Rams Kyren Williams continues to drop in RB share as Blake Corum becomes more integrated into the offense. In spite of this Kyren has still gotten [--] [--] and [--] carries while Corum has gone up to [--] [--] and [--]. This is by design. The Rams want to run the ball and they want this level of a split between the backs but I don't see Kyren reaching [--] carries on a consistent basis. Going into last week the Colts were allowing the 4th highest YPC and the 4th worst EPA/Rush. They had been relatively ineffective against both rushing concepts but the bottled Tony Pollard up for [--] yards on 16"
X Link 2025-09-27T20:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Free 🪜 Cam Skattebo 5/6/7 receptions (FD [---] FD [---] [---] 1200) Tyrone Tracy Jr is OUT. With Tyrone out Cam had a 70% RB share after the injury and performed well gaining [--] yards on [--] carries. The Chargers rushing defense had been "strong" through two games as they allowed the 8th fewest yards on the ground but digging into the numbers they had also seen the 2nd fewest carries to date after facing poor rushing attacks in the Chiefs and Raiders. They were producing the 2nd lowest stuff % across the league. I took a stab on JK Dobbins and he rewarded us handsomely. The Chargers got"
X Link 2025-09-28T16:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Texans vs Ravens We're not fully out of the woods yet on this RB timeshare but Woody Marks had a breakout performance last week and my only regret is pairing him with Ollie Gordon in a ladder. DeMeco Ryans is saying all the right things about how both backs provide value and I think he really means it but this is now Woody's backfield. In week [--] Woody had a 58.5% snap % (compared to Chubbs 40%). He had [--] carries compared to Chubbs [--] and ran double the routes as Chubb. He just gives them so much more versatility. Going into the game vs the Lions I mentioned that"
X Link 2025-10-03T13:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"WNBA Finals Game [--] Prop Thread Aces vs Mercury Let's start with what we saw in the Aces decisive game [--] win over the Mercury. As expected Jackie Young got her legs back and had an absolute dominant night scoring [--] points on 12-20 shooting. She added in [--] rebounds. If she keeps this up my WNBA Finals MVP ticket at +2500 is looking VERY GOOD. What I really liked about this Aces offense was just how well they were moving the ball around. Chelsea looks amazing and A'ja played a phenomenal all-around game leading the game in rebounds and getting double digit Pas. Defensively the Aces actually"
X Link 2025-10-08T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Broncos vs Jets Devonta Smith went off for [--] catches on [--] targets and [---] yards against the Broncos. He had [--] catches on [--] targets against cornerbacks not named Pat Surtain while Surtain allowed no catches on [--] target. AJ Brown had [--] catches on [--] targets for [--] yards. Why this is important is this aligns with what we generally have seen with the Broncos. Pat Surtain will generally shut down one side of the field as he follows the team's best receiver. The number [--] receiver usually cooks. This will impact Garrett Wilson. This Denver Broncos defense is incredibly"
X Link 2025-10-10T21:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Rams vs Ravens This Ravens team is not good offensively or defensively. Without Lamar Jackson Derrick Henry is not getting as good of looks running the ball and Cooper Rush looked VERY bad. There is a chance the Ravens move to Snoop Huntley. Zay Flowers was Cooper's favorite target but still not good. The Ravens rush defense is bad against man/gap concepts as they are allowing the 2nd highest YPC and the highest success rate. The Rams have nearly a 50/50 split between the two concepts. It remains to be seen though how much they rely on Blake Corum as RB2 after his"
X Link 2025-10-11T17:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Cardinals vs Colts With Trey Benson out Michael Carter was the clear bell cow of this backfield getting 59.4% of the snaps and 62.1% of the rushing attempts (18 attempts). He also led the team in routes run and had [--] targets and lets not forget the costly mistake made by Emari to miss out on scoring a TD. I just don't understand why this kind of usage wasn't given to Trey Benson but whatever. The Colts rush defense is incredibly average but they are stronger against man concepts than they are zone concepts but they are still bottom [--] in success rates vs both. The"
X Link 2025-10-11T18:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Week [--] NFL Prop Thread Saints vs Bears Luther Burden had a breakout performance with surface statistics but his underlying metrics are still not that exciting. Despite generating [--] receptions/targets and leading the team in receiving yards he was 4th on the team in route %. This has to change as Olamide looks bad and had one major drop on MNF. DJ Moore was also taken to the hospital after the MNF game. His status is up in the air but if he is OUT this is great for Burden. He was a DNP on Wednesday but is no longer on the injury report. Swift popped up on the injury report but is"
X Link 2025-10-18T12:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@ballskenesdeep The higher they are on the list the better matchup they have on paper. The next step is to understand whether their prop is over priced under priced or right priced"
X Link 2025-10-19T14:52Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"We still have work today to get back this month but these made for a nice Thursday night. Also shoutout to Bet365 for giving me bonus bets for the parlay without the Nembhard leg"
X Link 2025-10-24T04:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Going to be posting a few more data sheets here to help you all out with your NFL betting. This isnt everything I use but its a good start. Best matchups on paper at the top. If you like this please like/Rt and Ill post the WR sheets I have as well. I post my data sheets in @ParlayOleBet on Wednesdays"
X Link 2025-10-24T17:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Cash the collab. Thats [--] in a row. Tomorrow we go for [--] For my 2nd play of the night @wade_andrew and I are 2-0 on these collabs to start the season lets make it 3/3 - today unlike the previous ladders we have cooked up this unders play: Zach Lavine u3.5 Ast DK [----] LIKE and FOLLOW if tailing. The Kings brought in a lot of https://t.co/kgbzhN5AqV For my 2nd play of the night @wade_andrew and I are 2-0 on these collabs to start the season lets make it 3/3 - today unlike the previous ladders we have cooked up this unders play: Zach Lavine u3.5 Ast DK [----] LIKE and FOLLOW if tailing. The Kings"
X Link 2025-10-25T04:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Titans vs Colts The Titans had some fight in their first game without Bill Callahan but ultimately got whooped. They are likely going to get whooped here. They're such a bad football team. Jonathan Taylor should be in line for another huge day. The Titans are allowing the most yards per carry this week to the predominant concept they are facing and they are bottom-10 in explosive rushes allowed. Calvin Ridley was out last game with a hamstring injury. With him out we saw Van Jefferson and Chimere Dike get a heavy uptick in usage while Lockett saw his time dip even more (and then he got"
X Link 2025-10-25T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Cowboys vs Broncos There is a ton of hate on the internet for Riley Moss but he is one of the best number [--] corners in the league. The issue is that he plays next to one of the best number [--] corners in the league in Patrick Surtain which means there is a ton of volume that heads Riley's way. The one area he has struggled with though is big WRs (think Tee Higgins - 6'4). The way the Broncos have traditionally defended these matchups is Surtain would blanket CeeDee while Moss takes Pickens although it wouldn't be the worst idea to put Moss on CeeDee and bracket him with a safety with"
X Link 2025-10-25T19:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"@Ryanniwnl Ahh okay. Take whatever your bankroll is (I.e. how much money you would be very okay with losing) and divide it by [--] (2%) or [---] (1%) or [---] (.5%) depending on your risk tolerance"
X Link 2025-10-30T04:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Week [--] TNF Prop Thread Ravens @ Dolphins Lamar Jackson is expected to play Thursday night which is a huge boost for this Ravens squad although Snoop played well last week. With Lamar in the lineup Zay Flowers has cleared his [----] RY line in [--] of [--] games with his lone miss being against the Lions in a game where Lamar was getting pressured constantly. He's got a top-10 matchup this week against the Dolphins that play the 4th most 2-hi looks. Outs hitches and gos are the most effective routes against this d all of which bode well for Zay Flowers. It also bodes well for Mark Andrews who has"
X Link 2025-10-30T15:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🐱 Panthers @ 🧀Packers At some point the Panthers need to fully invest in utilizing the better back (i.e. Rico Dowdle) and it seems like things are shifting that way. Last week Rico had [--] yards on [--] carries while Chuba had [--] yards on [--] carries but [--] of Chuba's rush attempts came in the 2nd half compared to Rico's [--] (when the Panthers were getting blown out). According to Dave Canales "Chuba Hubbard has meant a lot to this team. Wanted to give him an opportunity following his calf injury. We cannot ignore the fact that Rico has been exceptional". I read this as Chuba is about to take a big"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🐦 Falcons @ Patriots Drake London and Michael Penix are considered day to day at this point and boy did the Falcons look bad with Kirk Cousins in the lineup. They couldn't get anything going. When Drake London is out it usually means more work for Darnell Mooney but he had a pretty lifeless game. According to Raheem Morris "we've gotta get Darnell Mooney going. We've got to hit him when he's open but Mooney has to do a better job of getting open for himself". Drake London was officially limited in practice yesterday. The Falcons rush defense has struggled at times and are allowing the 7th"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⚡Chargers @ 🏛 Titans I hate betting on the Titans but a few things worth note. Calvin Ridley was out in week [--] with a hamstring and he was out on Wednesday and Thursday. With Ridley out we are seeing Van Jefferson Chimere Dike and Elic Ayomanor get the WR routes and all split time nearly equally. They also all had [--] targets although Dike was the only one to convert more than [--] (Jefferson only had [--] reception but also only had [--] catchable targets). Elic had [--] 1st read targets. Gunnar Helm had a nearly even split with Chig in routes but did not produce enough to justify what is likely a 2.5"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🐴 Colts @ 🔦 Steelers The Steelers have signed Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The Steelers need WR help but MVS is basically a poor version of DK Metcalf however he has some familiarity with Aaron Rodgers which is a big deal when Aaron Rodgers is your QB. Is this the week that Jonathan Taylor is finally slowed down The Steelers possess a top-8 EPA/Rush and play with a stacked box at the 6th highest rate in the league. The only thing the Steelers truly struggle with is stuff rate and explosive plays allowed (which kind of go hand in hand). Against stacked boxes JT is averaging [----] YPC but a 10.4%"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"⛏ 49ers @ 🗽 Giants Rookie RB Cam Skattebo is out for the season which means it's Tyrone Tracy Jr time in New York but this isn't the best matchup for Tyrone who gets the majority of his work in zone concepts which we've seen the 49ers be effective at stopping (remember Bijan two weeks ago). I do like the idea of Tracy as a receiver here though. Combined Cam and Tyrone had [--] routes and [--] targets last week. After a rough week last week Christian McCaffery should be able to get back on track here in what I consider to be a top-5 rushing matchup. Ricky Pearsall is not expected to be ready for"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🚣 Vikings @ 🦁 Lions Carson Wentz is out for the season and it sounds like JJ McCarthy should be back in the starting lineup which is absolutely horrible news for Vikings skill position players. The Lions pass defense ranks top-7 in EPA/Pass as well so I am just avoiding Vikings receivers unless its an under. The Lions are allowing the 4th fewest targets to Tes which might be worth a TJ Hockenson under. Aaron Jones returned to the lineup after several weeks out and he outsnapped Jordan Mason in a negative game script [--] to [--] with rush attempts split 5/2/4 between Jones/Scott/Mason. They now"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🐆 Jaguars @ 🏴☠ Raiders Travis Hunter finally had his breakout performance in the week [--] London game in large part due to a negative game script as the Jaguars were getting blown out by the Rams. In that game he generated [--] targets and pulled in [--] receptions. The exciting stat line here though is the [--] 1st read targets which equates to a 39.3% 1st read %. Worth noting that Parker had [--] targets and Brian Thomas had [--] targets as Trevor threw the ball [--] times. His average is [--] so adjusting for a normal game script we would expect to see [--] [--] and [--] from BTJ Parker and Travis. With two weeks"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"🏹 Chiefs @ 💵 Bills Ed Oliver is on IR which is a big hit to the Bills rush defense. Although they are allowing more YPC (6.4) with him than without him (5.1) they have posted nearly double the stuff rate with him in the game and they have an EPA/Rush of .007 with him (much better than the .047 without him). The biggest impact is going to be felt against man concept teams. Oliver is a major issue in 1v1 battles but zone concepts hide some of that effectiveness. Isaiah Pacheco has a sprained MCL and is listed week to week. I would be shocked if he played. Kareem Hunt will be the goal line guy"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🦅 Seahawks @ 🛀 Commanders Jayden Daniels was out on Monday night but is trending towards playing this week. Terry McLaurin went out of Monday's game with an injury. He is OUT for this game. With McLaurin out Chris Moore saw a 71.1% route share with Luke McCaffery and Jaylin Lane both seeing around 35% route share. In this same time Deebo had [--] targets (a 27.8% target share). The last two weeks without Terry Zach Ertz had [--] total targets. We saw nearly an even split between Jeremy McNicholas and JCM against the Chiefs but that was primarily for the pass-catching ability of JCM. JCM still"
X Link 2025-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@StephenFlorival Dude absolutely deserved man Keep crushing it"
X Link 2025-10-31T20:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Week [--] MNF Prop Threa Cardinals @ Cowboys The Cardinals released Michael Carter and then brought him back. Emari Demercado is set to return but is more of a third-down back which leaves Bam Knight as the starter still and he goes against a very weak Cowboys rush defense. Honestly the entire Cowboys defense is trash. The Cowboys are allowing the 9th most YPC to man schemes and are bottom [--] in success rate allowed stuff % and explosive runs allowed. The issue is going to be that the Cardinals are playing the hot hand on offense according to Jonathan Gannon. On the flip side the Cardinals are"
X Link 2025-11-03T21:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Giants vs Bears With Cam Skattebo OUT we saw Devin Singletary get more carries than Tyrone Tracy and more snaps overall. This is a gross backfield situation though but they have a decent matchup going up against the Bears who rank 6th in yards allowed per carry and scheme success rate. This is likely a stay away from me though. This Bears rush defense. On the flip side I LOVE this matchup for the Bears running backs but with how well Kyle Monangai played it will be difficult to know what the snap count will be if DeAndre Swift returns. Despite Vegas projecting this to be a neutral game"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Falcons vs Colts The Falcons rush defense did a good job of containing Tre Henderson last week but they get Jonathan Taylor this week. JT is coming off a down performance against a sneaky tough rush defense in the Steelers. This is a nice bounce back spot in what is my number one rushing matchup of the week. The Falcons rank bottom [--] in YPC allowed success rate allowed and stuff %. Bijan has faced a gauntlet of rush defenses going up against the Dolphins Patriots and now the Colts. Coming off a loss in what is likely a negative game script for the Falcons I like the under here for him or"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Browns vs Jets This Jets team just got completely ravished. Defensively Sauce Gardner is gone which is only going to make a bad man-centric pass defense even worse. Rush defense wise the Jets rank well in success rate and stuff % against man concepts but are allowing [---] yards per carry. More importantly they just traded away Quinnen Williams who is a huge piece of their success against man concepts. Judkins should be healthy after sustaining an injury last week. Despite wanting to leave Breece Hall was not traded. And he is going to wish he was because he is going to get destroyed"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Jags vs Texans CJ Stroud was injured in the loss to the Denver Broncos. Davis Mills took over and went 17/30 for [---] yards but just [---] yards per throw. With Stroud out Nico saw [--] targets Schultz saw [--] Kirk saw [--] and Xavier saw [--] targets. Travis Hunter is OUT for several games and there is a chance Brian Thomas Jr and Dyami Brown are OUT next week as well. The next person up is Parker Washington to go along with newly acquired Jakobi Meyers. According to Liam Coen Parker will operate out of the slot with Jakobi playing out wide as it is easier to pick up. Austin Trammell got [--] routes"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Lions vs Commanders After several weeks of struggling we saw Chris Rodriguez get the same number of rushing attempts as JCM. The Lions are allowing the 8th most YPC but have above average defensive success rates and stuff %. It is worth noting that Chris got 1/3 of his snaps and over half of his carries in the 4th quarter when the Commanders are getting blown out. The Lions offense struggled against the Vikings and I don't think this is the get-right spot. The Commanders rank in the middle in yards allowed and EPA/Rush and are bottom-10 in yards allowed per play. While they have been"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Rams vs 49ers The last time these two teams faced the Rams turned the ball over several times and the 49ers capitalized on the road. The Rams did a wonderful job of bottling up Christian McCaffery (albeit without George Kittle to help in the blocking game) to [--] yards on [--] carries but they got toasted in the passing attack allowing [--] receptions for [--] yards to Christian in a game without Jennings Ricky or Kittle. With both Kittle and Jennings back Christian is averaging just over [---] targets a game over [--] a game lower than his season average of [---] Blake Corum had a 30.2% attempt share"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"**Steelers vs Chargers ** The Colts run primarily man concepts and the Steelers absolutely shut them down last week but the advanced metrics paint a slightly different picture. The Steelers drastically reduced their stacked box rate and actually posted the 3rd worst EPA/Rush of all teams last week. I have a bit of PTSD after loving Vidal last week in what was a great matchup on paper. This week he is my third best matchup in part because the Steelers rank bottom [--] in YPC allowed and success rate allowed. This Chargers rush defense has been below average and just allowed Tony Pollard to gain"
X Link 2025-11-07T22:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@vassassin18 You do a phenomenal job with this and I need to add this to my arsenal"
X Link 2025-11-14T19:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements
"People love to brag on CLV (myself included) but does it matter If you asked my bankroll the last few weeks it would tell you no. BUT CLV (closing line value) IS one of the most important metrics betting -- IF (and that's a big if) used correctly. Here's how CLV helps (how it can be dangerous coming next week): [--]. It tells you whether you're beating the market and if you are consistently beating the closing line you likely have a long-term edge (as long as you are not artificially creating CLV - more on that next week). [--]. It allows an independent evaluation of the process not the results."
X Link 2025-11-19T18:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"🚨FREE PLAY ALERT🚨 Jayden Higgins o2.5 receptions - [---] DK 1U Jayden was drafted in the 2nd round of the [----] Draft out of Iowa State with high expectations but it took until October to start seeing consistent snap share 50%. Since October 5th he has seen 50% snap share 5/6 times and is averaging [--] targets/game in that time frame. With Davis Mills at QB he has averaged [--] targets a game (granted in mostly negative game scripts). He is the #2 receiver behind Nico Collins at this point. Here are just a few quotes from Texans coaching staff the last two weeks: "When we target him it's a high"
X Link 2025-11-20T21:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"The last [--] days has been just crap no way around it but finally had some good variance on my side and strung together multiple winners. +201 +293 +541 +700 +1056 +1400 +10u day yesterday"
X Link 2025-11-21T16:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"@Gambler77Goated Im with you on this one brother. Cant wait for [--] more drops Sunday"
X Link 2025-11-22T04:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements
"Dont do dumb shady shit and you wont get exposed. @DK__DFS honestly might be one of the least sales-y people here. Hes just tired of people like you scamming people. This guy is a a good marketing story Expose VIP sellers farm rage engagement hey guys build trust with me instead sell a VIP Its not just exposing the industry Its manufacturing villains so he can sell the hero act on the back end. This guy is a a good marketing story Expose VIP sellers farm rage engagement hey guys build trust with me instead sell a VIP Its not just exposing the industry Its manufacturing villains so he can sell"
X Link 2025-11-30T18:37Z [----] followers, 40.7K engagements
"The market doesn't care if you beat the closing line. Your bankroll does. As mentioned last week CLV is one of the best long-term indicators in evaluating your betting process but it can be dangerous if used incorrectly. Here's how. [--]. You can gain CLV without having skill. [--]. You're using CLV as a shield for your losses. CLV is a market-timing metric not a handicapping-quality metric. [--]. CLV is less predictive in props than it is in spreads/totals. This is especially true for smaller markets. It's more volatile and can move quickly due to the output of one projection site or one capper with"
X Link 2025-12-03T18:57Z [----] followers, 35.2K engagements
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