# ![@victor_privin Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1434266587188666372.png) @victor_privin Fermion

Fermion posts on X about ai, $orcl, $nok, $7240t the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1434266587188666372/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1434266587188666372/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +20%
- [--] Month [------] +123%
- [--] Months [-------] -25%
- [--] Year [-------] -79%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1434266587188666372/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1434266587188666372/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Month [--] -48%
- [--] Months [---] +154%
- [--] Year [---] +4,086%

### Followers: [---] [#](/creator/twitter::1434266587188666372/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1434266587188666372/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +2.30%
- [--] Month [---] +25%
- [--] Months [---] +210%
- [--] Year [---] +1,003%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1434266587188666372/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1434266587188666372/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  51% [finance](/list/finance)  23% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  17% [currencies](/list/currencies)  11% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  8% [countries](/list/countries)  3% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  3% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  2% [financial services](/list/financial-services)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 22%, [$orcl](/topic/$orcl) #203, [$nok](/topic/$nok) #403, [$7240t](/topic/$7240t) #306, [$flnc](/topic/$flnc) #26, [$bntx](/topic/$bntx) #3, [$icln](/topic/$icln) #3, [$gsm](/topic/$gsm) #3, [$tigr](/topic/$tigr) #7, [$adtn](/topic/$adtn) #1

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@hiteshkar](/creator/undefined) [@junkbondinvest](/creator/undefined) [@aleabitoreddit](/creator/undefined) [@blueorcainvest](/creator/undefined) [@expphilosopher](/creator/undefined) [@firstadopter](/creator/undefined) [@contrariankiwi](/creator/undefined) [@tomsmith839](/creator/undefined) [@kacperpkch](/creator/undefined) [@saynototrading](/creator/undefined) [@penpizzareport](/creator/undefined) [@kobeissiletter](/creator/undefined) [@roiecohen](/creator/undefined) [@nstepmum](/creator/undefined) [@omrilegacy](/creator/undefined) [@karczektrader](/creator/undefined) [@pernasresearch](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@vraserx](/creator/undefined) [@yosilevi565](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Oracle Corporation (ORCL)](/topic/$orcl) [Nokia Corporation (NOK)](/topic/$nok) [Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC)](/topic/$flnc) [Transocean LTD. (RIG)](/topic/$rig) [Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)](/topic/$hcc) [UiPath, Inc. (PATH)](/topic/$path) [Alcoa, Corp. (AA)](/topic/$aa) [SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY)](/topic/$spy) [M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO)](/topic/$mho) [FAME AI (FMC)](/topic/$fmc) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Oscar Health, Inc.  (OSCR)](/topic/$oscr) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Morgan Stanley (MS)](/topic/morgan-stanley) [Spacemesh (SMH)](/topic/$smh) [Cameco Corporation (CCJ)](/topic/$ccj) [Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)](/topic/$dpz) [AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.  (AIRO)](/topic/$airo) [Bloom Energy Corporation (BE)](/topic/$be) [Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH)](/topic/$enph) [First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)](/topic/$fslr) [Nextracker Inc. (NXT)](/topic/$nxt) [Atlassian Corporation PLC (TEAM)](/topic/$team) [Salesforce Inc (CRM)](/topic/$crm) [Adobe, Inc. (ADBE)](/topic/$adbe) [Snowflake Inc. (SNOW)](/topic/$snow) [monday.com Ltd. (MNDY)](/topic/$mndy) [Kaspi.kz Joint Stock Company (KSPI)](/topic/$kspi) [NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)](/topic/$nvda) [Validity (VAL)](/topic/$val) [BP p.l.c. (BP)](/topic/$bp) [Auroracoin (AUR)](/topic/$aur)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Worth revisiting. The performance gap has only widened since then. $ICLN Dedicated to all the MAGA crowdand the ultra-left who shun the stock marketwho missed out on clean energy gains this year. $ICLN +10.43% YTD https://t.co/seOx8c7jtj Dedicated to all the MAGA crowdand the ultra-left who shun the stock marketwho missed out on clean energy gains this year. $ICLN +10.43% YTD https://t.co/seOx8c7jtj"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2019069407687790901)  2026-02-04T15:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Aluminum rerated. $AA Coal rerated. $HCC Uranium rerated. $CCJ Silicon is now officially a critical mineral and $GSM is next. Domestic + allied production. Policy tailwinds. Strategic safeguards. 🌀🌀🌀 Rare earths whoosh: PRESIDENT TRUMP ORDERED THE COMMERCE DEPARTMENT AND THE U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE TO NEGOTIATE AGREEMENTS WITH FOREIGN SUPPLIERS TO REDUCE U.S. RELIANCE ON IMPORTED PROCESSED CRITICAL MINERALS CITING NATIONAL SECURITY RISKS. THE WHITE HOUSE DECLARED U.S. Rare earths whoosh: PRESIDENT TRUMP ORDERED THE COMMERCE DEPARTMENT AND THE U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE TO NEGOTIATE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011562258430902562)  2026-01-14T22:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"With all the Pentagon Pizza Indicator 🍕🚨 posts from @PenPizzaReport showing above-average activity Im starting to feel an irrational urge to pull the financial statements of Dominos Papa Johns and whoever supplies mozzarella to the DoD. $DPZ $PZZA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011609703189823633)  2026-01-15T01:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@aleabitoreddit I get the contract mechanics. My question is about returns at this price. To make money here backlog has to triple or the market has to re-rate this from [--] sales to 20+. Otherwise the upside just isnt there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013698790599852163)  2026-01-20T19:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@aleabitoreddit $AIRO was a much better pitch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013700837554397408)  2026-01-20T19:51Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@firstadopter Is it good for $DGXX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2018850678949437536)  2026-02-04T00:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Thats why I like $ICLN. It gives broad exposure to high-quality names like $ENPH $FSLR $NXT $BE without having to bet on a single winner. I didnt have strong conviction on who would take the most share so owning the basket made more sense to me. $ICLN is now my biggest position. 🔥 ENPH is gonna double quickly ENPH is gonna double quickly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2019068709902377323)  2026-02-04T15:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@KobeissiLetter @ContrarianKiwi you know what it means for $TIGR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2019422955818848505)  2026-02-05T14:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Time to execute the falling knife play. 🔪🩸 Im doubling down on $ORCL - increasing the position from 5% - 12% at $140/share. Yes its uncomfortable. Yes sentiment is awful. Thats the point. This is what being greedy when others are fearful actually looks like. 🙄 Im leaving the rest of $IGV untouched. Passing on: $CRM $ADBE $SNOW $MNDY $TEAM $PATH $CSU.TO Why no SaaS Because the game has shifted from growth at all costs to scale at all costs. Infrastructure is the trade. Why Im skipping the neo-clouds: 1) Moat erosion AI is commoditizing code. When models can write refactor and deploy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2019444492680519952)  2026-02-05T16:14Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Roie_cohen $ORCL    $IGV"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2021217289526202870)  2026-02-10T13:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Fast forward $ICLN is beating $SPY YTD. I had a strong conviction this would happen all year. People kept telling me: Trump hates clean energy. Green tech is dead. Its a green new scam. Driving the whales crazy. 👇 But markets dont work on slogans - they work on positioning. When everyone is scared of a sector thats exactly when I looked deeper into $ICLN and then started buying aggressively $FLNC for slightly different reasons. Its the asteroid paradox ☄: If a meteor were really going to wipe us out selling your stocks would be pointless - money wouldnt matter. So markets rebound the moment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/1985089376997519522)  2025-11-02T20:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I did not arrive at $ALSTI by looking for battery safety as a theme. I arrived there through fear. When I first invested in $FLNC the company was under heavy pressure from a short thesis published by @blueorcainvest (Blue Orca Capital). The core of the argument was not accounting fraud or demand weakness but something far more existential: fires 🧯🔥. Containers burning projects halted regulators involved insurers stepping back. The implication was clear and unsettling. In Battery Energy Storage Systems a single safety failure does not just damage a quarter or a margin profile. It can kill an"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011139805858410621)  2026-01-13T18:14Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@NStepmum $KSPI is a buy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012171878706631053)  2026-01-16T14:35Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Nokias $NOK Q4 [----] was operationally steady but unevenly received by the market. Comparable net sales grew 3% year over year (constant currency) while the stock fell 67% pre-market on a cautious Q1 commentary. Full-year operating profit reached 2.0B slightly above the midpoint of prior guidance with free cash flow conversion of 72%. Growth in the quarter was concentrated in Network Infrastructure where sales rose 7% led by a 17% increase in Optical Networks. Demand came primarily from AI and cloud customers with book-to-bill above [--] across both optical and IP. For the full year Nokia"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2016907127751643448)  2026-01-29T16:11Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"This is the $FLNC risk I warned about. Pipeline growth without conversion is not growth. When order intake stalls the equity reprices fast. -35% days are what happen when execution lags expectations. 😔 📊 Portfolio update - January [----] Today I said goodbye to $FLNC. The thesis no longer offers asymmetric upside and capital has better work to do elsewhere. Current long exposure: $ICLN $RIG $ADTN $GSM $HCC $ORCL $NOK $MHO $BNTX $ALSTI $TIGR $FMC $AEBI Not financial advice. https://t.co/ltYhR9CBfg 📊 Portfolio update - January [----] Today I said goodbye to $FLNC. The thesis no longer offers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2019538444587004024)  2026-02-05T22:27Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"I hate this merger. I bought $RIG as a pure ultra-deepwater torque play. Scarce assets. Long-cycle projects. High operating leverage. And yeah the stock has doubled since I bought. Now I wake up owning jack-ups. Different market. Different cycle. Different economics. My entire thesis breaks. I didnt sign up for shallow-water commoditized rigs with shorter contracts and lower barriers to entry. This might make sense on a spreadsheet. (Questionable) But for my portfolio Absolute thesis drift. Hate it. WTF. Transocean $RIG said it will buy Valaris $VAL in a $5.8B all stock deal creating an"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2020875682847310154)  2026-02-09T15:01Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"$RIG just added $168M in firm backlog. $120M new Deepwater contract with $BP (Brazil 2026) $48M extension in Norway keeping the rig working through Sept [----] High-spec floaters stay tight. Dayrates keep compounding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2008173484568899983)  2026-01-05T13:47Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Ive been thinking a lot about Tiger Brokers $TIGR lately and I think this is one of the most misunderstood setups in global fintech right now. Lets start with the obvious mismatch. Robinhood $HOOD trades at 4045x earnings. Tiger $TIGR trades at 8x forward earnings. Same industry. Similar user behavior. Completely different expectations priced in. That alone doesnt make it interesting. The opportunity is in understanding why. The consensus narrative says: China risk. Regulation. Capital controls. Political overhang. End of story. But I think that story is largely exhausted - and more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013048335188304250)  2026-01-19T00:38Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@Omri_Legacy   $TIGR  "  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2020932844022005979)  2026-02-09T18:48Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@firstadopter Have you seen Kodak AI $KDK Or $AUR It's coming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2022098754435002508)  2026-02-13T00:01Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"📊 Portfolio update - January [----] Today I said goodbye to $FLNC. The thesis no longer offers asymmetric upside and capital has better work to do elsewhere. Current long exposure: $ICLN $RIG $ADTN $GSM $HCC $ORCL $NOK $MHO $BNTX $ALSTI $TIGR $FMC $AEBI Not financial advice. Always do your own diligence. 📊 Updated portfolio positioning. "Most history is guessing and the rest is prejudice." - Will & Ariel Durant Long: $FLNC $HCC $RIG $ICLN $ADTN $GSM $BNTX $MHO $FMC https://t.co/ISZDjJosgs 📊 Updated portfolio positioning. "Most history is guessing and the rest is prejudice." - Will & Ariel"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2009723344006844716)  2026-01-09T20:25Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Sold my biggest position today: $ICLN at $19/share. It was a strong performer over the past year materially outperforming both $QQQ and $SPY over the holding period. Notably I initiated the position at a time when the prevailing narrative was that a Trump presidency would severely damage the clean energy industry while valuation multiples and implied discounts across the ETFs largest holdings looked particularly attractive. For now Im stepping back - staying patient and focusing on finding better opportunities and real discounts. Going forward I intend to concentrate more on identifying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2021279139127324712)  2026-02-10T17:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@karczektrader $TIGR will most likely be the Asian $HOOD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2022371728366715268)  2026-02-13T18:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"5/ $ORCL as the valuation anchor + where the real risk is concentrated Oracle provides a concrete reference point for the discussion. Once a dot-com-era symbol today $ORCL trades at [--] forward earnings (2-year view) - not [--] like in the dot-com era - supported by: recurring enterprise+government revenue real cloud demand incremental AI monetization Thats mid-range valuation - not bubble territory yet. At the same time its important to separate the stack: The most visible stress recently has been in the high-beta / high-risk / leveraged compute layer (capacity intermediaries and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2000989051260723259)  2025-12-16T17:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"4/ Why historical bubble analogies keep missing Dot-com and [----] comparisons persist because theyre emotionally familiar. But the numbers dont line up. In true bubbles: leaders traded at 60100+ earnings were weak or speculative capital discipline was largely absent Todays large tech and AI leaders generally sit around: [----] forward earnings strong cash-flow bases visible monetization paths imo but yet to be determined Thats not cheap. But its not manic. It means the dominant risk is execution and growth normalization not a wholesale collapse from fantasy pricing. This is where fear of"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001019935204761955)  2025-12-16T20:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"5/ $ORCL as the valuation anchor - and where risk actually lives Oracle serves as a grounding reference point. Once a dot-com-era symbol today $ORCL trades at [--] forward earnings (2-year view) - not [--] like in the dot-com era supported by: recurring enterprise revenue real cloud demand incremental AI monetization That places it firmly in the mid-range valuation not extreme growth territory like back in the 2000s. At the same time its important to separate the stack: The most visible stress recently has been in the high-beta / high-risk / leveraged compute layer (capacity intermediaries and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001019939264876699)  2025-12-16T20:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Why Wall Street will forget the "AI bubble" narrative 🧵 For context Id recommend reading my previous thread on Fear of Technology vs Fear of Not Owning It 👇 https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2000272647834276064s=20 Two Forces Colliding in Markets: Fear of Technology vs Fear of Not Owning It 🧵 Over the next five years markets will be shaped less by traditional valuation debates and more by a deep psychological and generational clash. Not bulls vs bears. Not growth vs value. But two https://t.co/OpxHiQiCUa https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2000272647834276064s=20 Two Forces Colliding in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001050921388634161)  2025-12-16T22:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ This is where I think the conversation often goes wrong. Yes monetary policy is easing. Yes liquidity conditions are being loosened. But what matters more in my opinion is where capital is being allowed to flow. This week the House advanced legislation to speed up permits for large technology and AI infrastructure projects including data centers and semiconductor manufacturing. That tells me something important. The government is not trying to slow this buildout. It is actively enabling it. This does not look like capital chasing vapor. It looks like capital being directed into physical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001050927890096488)  2025-12-16T22:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"3/ When I look beyond headlines the adoption picture still seems intact. Public interest in the phrase "AI bubble" has clearly cooled. Google searches are well off their highs. That says more about narrative fatigue than about demand. What I dont see slowing is usage. Cost per unit of intelligence continues to fall. Model efficiency improves generation by generation. Enterprise adoption continues. AI tools are being integrated into everyday workflows. Demand for compute remains strong. Corporate spending on AI-related productivity tools continues. In my experience speculative bubbles usually"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001050932491247768)  2025-12-16T22:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"4/ Historical bubble comparisons still come up a lot but I dont think they hold up well. Dot-com and late-1980s analogies are emotionally familiar yet the numbers tell a different story. Back then market leaders often traded at extreme multiples 60100x or more with weak or speculative earnings and little capital discipline. Today most large AI and technology leaders trade closer to 2030x forward earnings supported by real cash flow and visible monetization paths. That doesnt mean risk is gone. It means the dominant risk has shifted toward execution and growth normalization rather than a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001050940405686388)  2025-12-16T22:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"5/ What were seeing now is that the "AI bubble" story is no longer behaving like a single unified thesis. Risk is being priced very unevenly across the stack. Highly leveraged capital-intensive compute and infrastructure names such as $CRWV $IREN $APLD and $NBIS have sold off sharply. That seems rational. Markets are pricing funding risk margin pressure and the difficulty of scaling capital-heavy businesses as hyperscaler spending normalizes. Meanwhile platform companies with pricing power diversified revenue and embedded enterprise demand are being treated very differently. That divergence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001050943643685361)  2025-12-16T22:04Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@pernasresearch I dont think earnings behavior supports that yet. Prices have moved largely in line with earnings expectations that were already priced in not ahead of them. 👇 4/ Valuations support that interpretation in my view. Tech is up roughly 28% year to date yet forward P/E multiples for the sector are flat to slightly lower than where they started. This time prices rose while valuation stayed contained because earnings largely materialized https://t.co/3cotcENqWD 4/ Valuations support that interpretation in my view. Tech is up roughly 28% year to date yet forward P/E multiples for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001188070314348992)  2025-12-17T07:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"How I dance when $ORCL drops and I get to buy more Meanwhile everyone else turns bearish 🕺📉 This might look a lot like [------]. $CSCO - the internet infrastructure bellwether back then - fell 3738% peak to trough during the year and still ended up +31% in [--] and +150% in [--]. AI is only in year [--]. The internet buildout ran closer to [--] years before peaking"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2001527874612806124)  2025-12-18T05:40Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Genes analysis is helpful but I think the real mispricing lies in how the market perceives risk not in whether OpenAI trades at [--] or [--] revenue. Multiple expansion rarely begins with investors deciding that a company deserves a higher multiple. What changes first is the markets expectation of growth durability and strategic relevance. Valuation multiples are a lagging outcome of that shift not its cause. What feels different this cycle compared with prior bubbles is that the dominant force is not simple greed but fear of irrelevance. The speed of adoption is so rapid that remaining"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2002548679392014433)  2025-12-21T01:16Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@unusual_whales [--] % not a bubble 🫧"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2002881367949066538)  2025-12-21T23:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ Why Im investing in $ORCL despite it being called a falling knife 🧵 Buying falling knives is risky. Its volatile uncomfortable and forces you to tolerate sharp drawdowns while everyone around you tells you that youre early the narrative turns against you that you are wrong or both. I fully agree with that framing. Where I strongly disagree is the idea that all falling stocks are the same or that buying into weakness is inherently reckless. What I do not do is buy companies simply because they are falling. Most stocks in free fall deserve it. There is usually no structural reason to build"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003133663744037050)  2025-12-22T16:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ Why Im investing in $ORCL despite it being called a falling knife 🧵 Buying falling knives is risky. Its volatile uncomfortable and forces you to tolerate sharp drawdowns while everyone around you tells you that youre early the narrative turns against you that you are wrong or both. I fully agree with that framing. Where I strongly disagree is the idea that all falling stocks are the same or that buying into weakness is inherently reckless. What I do not do is buy companies simply because they are falling. Most stocks in free fall deserve it. There is usually no structural reason to build"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003140952941002900)  2025-12-22T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ RAG and why it changes where AI value accrues ⚙ Over the past year Ive been studying several AI-adjacent themes in depth: agentic AI in enterprises (e.g. $PATH) healthcare systems and insurers like $OSCR and $UNH and mRNA biotechnology particularly $BNTX which were hard to grasp. All of these areas are transformative. And all of them are extremely hard to invest in cleanly. I could clearly see the end-state - AI agents running enterprises healthcare systems becoming continuously adaptive biology becoming programmable - but I couldnt find a stable place in the value chain where returns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003140956602720498)  2025-12-22T16:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ Why Im investing in $ORCL despite it being called a falling knife 🧵 Buying falling knives is risky. Its volatile uncomfortable and forces you to tolerate sharp drawdowns while everyone around you tells you that youre early the narrative turns against you that you are wrong or both. I fully agree with that framing. Where I strongly disagree is the idea that all falling stocks are the same or that buying into weakness is inherently reckless. What I do not do is buy companies simply because they are falling. Most stocks in free fall deserve it. There is usually no structural reason to build"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003146529595363461)  2025-12-22T16:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"2/ RAG and why it changes where AI value accrues ⚙ Over the past year Ive been studying several AI-adjacent themes in depth: agentic AI in enterprises (e.g. $PATH) healthcare systems and insurers like $OSCR and $UNH and mRNA biotechnology particularly $BNTX which were hard to grasp. All of these areas are transformative. And all of them are extremely hard to invest in cleanly. I could clearly see the end-state - AI agents running enterprises healthcare systems becoming continuously adaptive biology becoming programmable - but I couldnt find a stable place in the value chain where returns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003146533219500286)  2025-12-22T16:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ From RAG theory to Oracles full-stack advantage. 💡 Once you accept that RAG is the mechanism through which AI becomes operational inside real organizations the next question is execution. Who can actually deliver this at scale securely and inside existing enterprise and government systems This is where Oracle looks fundamentally different from almost every other AI narrative in the market. Oracle Cloud spans every meaningful AI layer end to end: 1) massive AI infrastructure via Stargate with Softbank's and Genesis mission backing 2) access to top-tier models across providers (GPT Gemini"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003146537682059747)  2025-12-22T16:52Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@junkbondinvest You were wrong on $FLNC when I was loading up at $5; now it's at $20. Let's see if you'll be wrong again this time on $ORCL. 1/ Why Im investing in $ORCL despite it being called a falling knife 🧵 Buying falling knives is risky. Its volatile uncomfortable and forces you to tolerate sharp drawdowns while everyone around you tells you that youre early the narrative turns against you that you https://t.co/yp5s5S6l6f 1/ Why Im investing in $ORCL despite it being called a falling knife 🧵 Buying falling knives is risky. Its volatile uncomfortable and forces you to tolerate sharp"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003223650326253637)  2025-12-22T21:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@junkbondinvest Dj vu from the $FLNC thread in April 😌 You may want to bookmark this one too. 🚨 Mythbusting time Some folks claim Fluence Energy $FLNC is just assembling Chinese-made batteries 🔋. @junkbondinvest Lets break down why thats not true with facts memes and manufacturing receipts. Buckle up 👇 🚨 Mythbusting time Some folks claim Fluence Energy $FLNC is just assembling Chinese-made batteries 🔋. @junkbondinvest Lets break down why thats not true with facts memes and manufacturing receipts. Buckle up 👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003226037396881718)  2025-12-22T22:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@hiteshkar @junkbondinvest Appreciate that 😄 $ORCL Currently 7% of my portfolio. I averaged down to a $192 entry and plan to keep buying below that. If it dips under my cost Ill scale it up gradually - potentially all the way to 15%. Honestly I wouldnt mind if it gives me the chance. 😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003255022516064709)  2025-12-23T00:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@hiteshkar @junkbondinvest 🤞🤞🤞 Lets see how things evolve though. The $PSKY deal could shift sentiment or the technicals quite quickly so I still want to stay cautious and let it play out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003259498061004963)  2025-12-23T00:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Has Morgan Stanley started chasing $FLNC Morgan Stanley: "We note that battery storage could experience significantly greater demand than we currently forecast stemming from the data center opportunity. DC developers have increasingly expressed a desire to use BESS in a variety of applications from backup load https://t.co/0eRW2aKwC6 Morgan Stanley: "We note that battery storage could experience significantly greater demand than we currently forecast stemming from the data center opportunity. DC developers have increasingly expressed a desire to use BESS in a variety of applications from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003612583627227205)  2025-12-23T23:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Not something I say often but $NOK s marketing deserves an applause 👏 From 📞 to 🌐 weve come a long way 🔗: https://t.co/NxUTCCuzEz https://t.co/6DJTqArB5V From 📞 to 🌐 weve come a long way 🔗: https://t.co/NxUTCCuzEz https://t.co/6DJTqArB5V"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003872385687319024)  2025-12-24T16:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@VraserX Good point but Im not sure if its OpenAIs main focus. In the video he explicitly talks about Oracles advantage"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003982848681021449)  2025-12-25T00:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"This sell-side list from $MS is actually worrying for $SMH. When consensus gets this concentrated it usually signals late-cycle risk. 🚩"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2004169869609390258)  2025-12-25T12:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"My [----] picks ✍ ☁ Cloud / Networking / Digital Infrastructure $ADTN 🌐 Fiber and access networks; leveraged to broadband expansion and telco capex cycles. $ORCL ☁ Enterprise databases + fast-growing cloud infrastructure quietly compounding via AI workloads. $NOK 📡 Telecom infrastructure private networks and mission-critical enterprise connectivity. 🧱 Materials / Industrials $GSM 🪨 High-quality silica sand and industrial minerals tied to infrastructure energy and manufacturing demand. $SON 📦 Global packaging leader with durable cash flows and pricing power. $GEF 📦 Industrial packaging and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2004289314348585035)  2025-12-25T20:33Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@EXP_Philosopher Ive looked into it a bit. Sumitomo seems solid but I havent done a deep dive into the books"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2004904048819110279)  2025-12-27T13:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Aluminum producers like $AA $CENX $CSTM $KALU have already rerated on this demand setup. The lag is upstream: silicon metal/ferroalloys. If aluminum production tightens further suppliers like $GSM should see the benefit next. Silicon and ferroalloy inputs havent repriced yet. The aluminum smelters are competing with data centers for electrical capacity. The data centers need aluminum for the build out. Inventories are falling rapidly. Premiums are blowing out. Find me a more bullish setup in the commodities complex. The aluminum smelters are competing with data centers for electrical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2005412313797423567)  2025-12-28T22:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TomSmith839 @yosilevi565 well done 👍"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2005590553350811665)  2025-12-29T10:43Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ Nokia and Quantum Cryptography 🌐🔐 When people hear quantum cryptography they often picture futuristic physics with little relevance today. What makes $NOK interesting is that it approaches the problem from a practical network-engineering angle: how to protect global communication networks against future quantum computers while operating within todays technical and operational constraints. Nokias core assumption is that the shift to quantum computing will happen gradually over many years not overnight - what I agree with. The problem is that data sent today - such as financial records"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2006359117095473318)  2025-12-31T13:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"2/ The Technical Core: Quantum-Safe Networking 🧬⚙ At a technical level $NOK starts from a clear distinction. Symmetric cryptography remains secure against quantum computers when key sizes are increased while asymmetric cryptography - used for key exchange and digital trust is fundamentally vulnerable to quantum algorithms such as Shors. Nokias near-term response is post-quantum cryptography (PQC): new mathematically grounded schemes designed to resist quantum attacks and deployable with existing hardware. What differentiates Nokia is where PQC is applied. Instead of treating cryptography as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2006359127115624570)  2025-12-31T13:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ Bell Labs: QKD Limits and Topological Qubits 🧪🌌 At Nokia Bell Labs the focus shifts to fundamental research. In quantum communications Bell Labs takes a cautious stance on Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) highlighting physical limitations such as fiber attenuation trusted-node architectures and the unresolved challenge of quantum repeaters for long-distance scalability. Bell Labs therefore frames QKD as a selective tool suitable for specific high-value links rather than a universal solution. Satellite-assisted QKD and repeater research are explored but always with an emphasis on physical"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2006359138322825636)  2025-12-31T13:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Oncology approvals continue to outpace historical averages highlighting a supportive regulatory environment for novel cancer therapies. This trend directly benefits BioNTech $BNTX 💉 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41573-026-00001-z https://www.nature.com/articles/d41573-026-00001-z"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2007490081553305663)  2026-01-03T16:31Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Ive seen the chatter around TE but its not related to my [----] picks. FLNC is still my largest position and one I have high conviction in but I wouldnt put TE in the same bucket based on what I know so far. TE does have a U.S. manufacturing facility and is often mentioned as having a strong backlog which explains some of the enthusiasm. That said from the outside it looks like much of that story may already be priced in and I havent done enough work on margins competitive positioning or longer-term execution to have a firm view. So for now I dont know enough about the company to have a strong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2007495145667662207)  2026-01-03T16:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@EXP_Philosopher @Kacper_PK_CH Its the opposite for $RIG: if Venezuelan reserves open up to US-aligned companies it directly increases demand for ultra-deepwater offshore drilling exactly the niche where Transocean specializes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2007560393947001247)  2026-01-03T21:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"My [----] resolutions: its either government contracts or dancing on TikTok. Ill take both. $ORCL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2008137880208916676)  2026-01-05T11:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Jefferies just became my top pick. $ORCL $ORCL Jefferies ORCL is a top pick despite ongoing debate around its growing AI-related debt and ability to fund aggressive expansion. The companys strategy hinges on executing a rapid data center buildout to meet surging demand for AI compute and converting its $523B backlog $ORCL Jefferies ORCL is a top pick despite ongoing debate around its growing AI-related debt and ability to fund aggressive expansion. The companys strategy hinges on executing a rapid data center buildout to meet surging demand for AI compute and converting its $523B backlog"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2008141060665729112)  2026-01-05T11:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@SayNoToTrading Have you seen the $HON and $NOK partnership https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2006359117095473318s=20 1/ Nokia and Quantum Cryptography 🌐🔐 When people hear quantum cryptography they often picture futuristic physics with little relevance today. What makes $NOK interesting is that it approaches the problem from a practical network-engineering angle: how to protect global https://t.co/nQcgA44VKV https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2006359117095473318s=20 1/ Nokia and Quantum Cryptography 🌐🔐 When people hear quantum cryptography they often picture futuristic physics with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2008675713579446521)  2026-01-06T23:03Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@SayNoToTrading Same for me. I didnt invest because of the quantum story. My interest was driven mainly by the Infinera acquisition and Nvidia backing not the quantum narrative. Just initiated a position in $NOK. Earlier this year Nokia completed the acquisition of Infinera materially strengthening its optical networking capabilities. That matters because the AI buildout hasnt just driven demand for compute - it has quietly exposed a much bigger https://t.co/KnpsjxQG0X Just initiated a position in $NOK. Earlier this year Nokia completed the acquisition of Infinera materially strengthening its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2008784081803264016)  2026-01-07T06:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"TikTok is quietly restructuring its US operations. Instead of a clean sale the company is splitting staff and functions: US data infrastructure and security move into an Oracle-led joint venture while global commerce and revenue teams remain with ByteDance. The logic is straightforward. $ORCL becomes the trusted US control layer earning long-duration high-margin cloud revenue with regulatory lock-in. TikTok remains operational in the US while reducing political risk. The US government gets enforceable oversight without a ban. To me it seems like a controlled decoupling and $ORCL is positioned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2009661671833325633)  2026-01-09T16:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@aphysicist In [----] tech CapEx as a % of GDP nearly matched the COMBINED scale of the largest capital projects of the 20th century. And its not a bad thing. We need a bubble 🫧 - some of them will lose and some will win big"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2009955880092221491)  2026-01-10T11:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@JZaliaduonis Government contracts and dancing on TikTok. $ORCL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2010368518793888120)  2026-01-11T15:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@RJCcapital Appreciate the shoutout. Happy the deep dives added value will keep pushing hard and bringing alpha. 💪"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2010908564576231577)  2026-01-13T02:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@Tecnology @calcalist @shulman_sophie @Goldfarb_Emil"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011127354525888788)  2026-01-13T17:25Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Thanks Ill definitely check it out. The regulatory tailwind on November [--] further strengthened my conviction and with aluminum and coal stocks rerating recently Im increasingly optimistic about $GSM. I also wrote a note on the latest quarterly earnings if youre interested 👇 1/ Ferroglobes $GSM Q3 [----] call focused on two core developments: (1) the accelerating trade protection landscape for silicon metal and ferrosilicon in both the U.S. and EU and (2) the companys growing strategic positioning within next-generation battery materials through its https://t.co/nnXssWqPqH 1/ Ferroglobes $GSM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011469025209979013)  2026-01-14T16:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@TomSmith839 I also like $AVNW; it's under the radar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011786198142922948)  2026-01-15T13:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Morgan Stanley upgraded Nokia to Overweight citing rising demand from AI-driven data centers. Apparently someone finally followed the cables. $NOK +4.5%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011797931603456454)  2026-01-15T13:49Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@hiteshkar Let me surprise you I never exited BESS. Theres still value further down the supply chain. I just moved one layer downstream. Fun fact: $FLNC and $TSLA are customers of my new company 👇🤭 I did not arrive at $ALSTI by looking for battery safety as a theme. I arrived there through fear. When I first invested in $FLNC the company was under heavy pressure from a short thesis published by @blueorcainvest (Blue Orca Capital). The core of the argument was not https://t.co/CYsjaGmgNZ I did not arrive at $ALSTI by looking for battery safety as a theme. I arrived there through fear. When I"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011837753600716833)  2026-01-15T16:27Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"I listened to $ADTN s presentation at the Needham conference and two points stood out clearly. First management highlighted an approximately $800 million annual opportunity related to the replacement of Huawei equipment. This is not hypothetical - it is an ongoing regulation-driven transition across the U.S. and Europe. Second ADTRAN is well positioned for the next phase of hyperscaler-driven network upgrades. The company has a sizable installed base of optical access gear and as hyperscalers upgrade their core networks carriers must upgrade access and IP backhaul to connect to them. This"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011875983826035001)  2026-01-15T18:59Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@StockSavvyShay Why not 10x Still expansive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011944694729642009)  2026-01-15T23:32Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"The recent thread claiming that "RAG is broken at scale" actually points to something important thats easy to miss - and its a quiet strength for $ORCL. 🏎 Most AI systems today work by dumping huge numbers of documents into one big semantic soup. They break everything into pieces turn those pieces into embeddings and hope the system can guess whats relevant. That works fine with a small set of documents. As the pile grows it starts to fall apart. Too many things look "similar" the wrong context gets pulled in answers become unreliable and hallucinations increase. This is where many cloud AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011977900380061760)  2026-01-16T01:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@wallstengine $FOUR: Congrats to Michael Burry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012161398860595351)  2026-01-16T13:53Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"This "AI bubble" chart reminds me of $ORCL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012162651862770169)  2026-01-16T13:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Oracle's backlog is coming in hot this year. In the coming weeks we plan to start testing ads in ChatGPT free and Go tiers. Were sharing our principles early on how well approach adsguided by putting user trust and transparency first as we work to make AI accessible to everyone. What matters most: - Responses in https://t.co/3UQJsdriYR In the coming weeks we plan to start testing ads in ChatGPT free and Go tiers. Were sharing our principles early on how well approach adsguided by putting user trust and transparency first as we work to make AI accessible to everyone. What matters most: -"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012230776578888087)  2026-01-16T18:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Ban Huawei already. We need more tailwinds for $NOK and $ADTN. Brussels in move to bar Chinese suppliers from EUs critical infrastructure https://t.co/0mvO1je0Mc Brussels in move to bar Chinese suppliers from EUs critical infrastructure https://t.co/0mvO1je0Mc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012508713769214323)  2026-01-17T12:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@kimmonismus That's why $ORCL will be one of the most valuable companies on the planet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2012960744334152187)  2026-01-18T18:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Posts like this just reinforce a conviction Ive been building for a while. Replacing Huawei infrastructure in the EU isnt optional anymore - its inevitable. The path may be messy but the direction is clear. Thats my alpha. And its why my conviction in adding to $ADTN and $NOK keeps growing. Greenland is a sideshow. But there is signal. You should be asking why is the admin willing to piss off the Europeans to this extent over something that while strategically valuable is far from a core priority The answer is that the Trump admin knows something you dont. Greenland is a sideshow. But there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013031075354747214)  2026-01-18T23:29Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@ContrarianKiwi The growth is phenomenal relative to its valuation. Very few companies grow at the same rate while trading at such low multiples"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013422382950531458)  2026-01-20T01:24Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@aleabitoreddit Whats the justification for a $17B market cap Just because it makes drones If it cant secure a $175M contract why should it trade at [--] sales Pretty boring"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2013693917888147841)  2026-01-20T19:23Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@EXP_Philosopher @Kacper_PK_CH Yes $TDW could benefit similarly because they'd likely see a demand surge for logistics/crew transport in Venezuelan deepwater projects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2007597250797826202)  2026-01-03T23:37Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@BrillResearch Let's hope $BNTX breaks through as well. 😉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011161040353181838)  2026-01-13T19:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"The Moderna+Merck $MRNA $MRK melanoma data last week matters less as a single-product win and more as a turning point for mRNA oncology. Five-year recurrence reduction tells the market that personalized mRNA vaccines can generate durable immune control when paired with checkpoint inhibitors. That de-risks the platform itself not just one trial or one company. This is where BioNTech $BNTX stands out. While Moderna $MRNA is proving that mRNA can work in cancer BioNTech $BNTX has been building toward this moment for years with oncology as its core identity not a diversification effort. Its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2014655674362274102)  2026-01-23T11:05Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"Im pretty skeptical of General Fusion as an investment. Their whole approach relies on a transient spherical-tokamak plasma that still has bad curvature (important) and known pressure-driven instabilities. They dont eliminate those instabilities what they do is try to outrun them with millisecond compression while leaning on rotation conducting liquid metal and perfect symmetry something that doesnt really practical. Thats a very narrow stability window and unlike conventional tokamaks (where Im specialized) theres no long-lived equilibrium no transport averaging and no real control once"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2017239275171955000)  2026-01-30T14:11Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@SharogradskyM"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2017770284489519586)  2026-02-01T01:21Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@crashkolnikov Any idea why Mark Munch (EXEC VP) is selling the stock aggressively"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2017970484281790788)  2026-02-01T14:37Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Fluence Energy $FLNC Price Target Raised to $15.00/Share From $10.00 by Goldman Sachs. *NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG CALLS FOR INCREASED SPEND ON POWER GENERATION FOR DATACENTERS *NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG CALLS FOR INCREASED SPEND ON POWER GENERATION FOR DATACENTERS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/1976016200065863891)  2025-10-08T20:05Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"Guilty. Santas sack is heavy with coal this year 🎅🏼📦 $HCC Someone has been loading up on coal lately. Could it be Santa https://t.co/k5A3uf9Y6W Someone has been loading up on coal lately. Could it be Santa https://t.co/k5A3uf9Y6W"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2003834221174132792)  2025-12-24T14:24Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"$BNTX just quietly strengthened its oncology pipeline. The FDA granted a special status called Orphan Drug Designation to BioNTechs new lung cancer therapy gotistobart. This is for a severe form of lung cancer where patients often have very few options once standard treatments stop working. Why it matters: gotistobart isnt chemotherapy. Instead it helps the immune system by removing cells that protect the tumor. The FDA designation helps speed development and gives incentives if approved - and a large late-stage trial is already underway. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011088996613410978"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011088996613410978)  2026-01-13T14:52Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"@hiteshkar Have you covered $HASI in more depth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011839200006410693)  2026-01-15T16:33Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"@hiteshkar I heard about the company back in [----]. I'm surprised they're still in the game. Thought you had some insight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011841497419649242)  2026-01-15T16:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Ferroglobe $GSM supplies 1315% of the worlds silicon metal - the raw feedstock later refined into polysilicon for solar $TAN and semiconductor wafers $SMH. About 45% of its revenue comes straight from this segment. Its the first industrial step in the chip supply chain - turning quartz into the silicon every wafer is built on. With 75% of global output in China and 10% in Russia  Ferroglobe (14%) is the only scalable Western link in this chain - a small company sitting on a big strategic bottleneck. 🧱⚙ The truth: silicon is the real nuclear bomb 💣 of industrial security - the silent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2015593069295345973)  2026-01-26T01:10Z [---] followers, [----] engagements


"1. There is no evidence Oracle has a $300B binding capex commitment to OpenAI. TD Cowens $156B figure is a long-term scenario-based infrastructure estimate not a contracted obligation and not front-loaded. Treating it as an immediate balance-sheet burden is incorrect. [--]. CDS widening does not signal imminent distress. It reflects higher leverage expectations during a deliberate capex cycle - something every hyperscaler experienced during earlier cloud buildouts. Markets are pricing that risk that's all. [--]. The Cerner argument is overstated. Oracle acquired Cerner as a strategic adjacency not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2017979529709461570)  2026-02-01T15:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"ROIC expansion is about to erase the bear case from existence. $ORCL $ORCL PLANS TO SELL UP TO $20B IN COMMON STOCK TO FUND AI INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDOUT https://t.co/jD3yiwE3is $ORCL PLANS TO SELL UP TO $20B IN COMMON STOCK TO FUND AI INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDOUT https://t.co/jD3yiwE3is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2018337340247126514)  2026-02-02T14:54Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"@FinanceJack44 @thexcapitalist The return is higher when you take on leverage. Its basic man. I prefer higher return on AI if it scales. All the other comps are boring. 🥱"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2018343466955137456)  2026-02-02T15:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements


"Most of their profits are coming from crypto take-rates not from a durable brokerage moat. 90%+ of revenue is driven by crypto trading volumes + a 1% fee thats [---] competitors. That makes $ETOR essentially a levered bet on crypto activity not a structurally advantaged platform. If volumes normalize or fees compress the fundamentals evaporate fast. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011855625630708139 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011855625630708139"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2011855625630708139)  2026-01-15T17:38Z [---] followers, [---] engagements


"A few weeks ago I wrote a thesis on STIF $ALSTI arguing that BESS safety is not a feature but a condition of existence and that STIF sits downstream of inevitability rather than upstream of execution risk. Todays earnings did not change that view. STIF reported [----] revenue of 90.5m up 47.8% year over year and above its own targets with pro forma revenue reaching 104m. Growth was driven primarily by the BESS explosion protection segment which grew over 40% and now represents nearly half of total revenue. Demand continues to come from the same places the thesis focused on: large-scale"  
[X Link](https://x.com/victor_privin/status/2014694066886238313)  2026-01-23T13:37Z [---] followers, [----] engagements

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