# ![@tomnixson Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880.png) @tomnixson Tom Nixson

Tom Nixson posts on X about polymarket, math, money, market the most. They currently have [--] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] -18%
- [--] Month [------] -24%
- [--] Months [------] +6,496,800%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -42%
- [--] Month [---] -15%
- [--] Months [---] +36,200%

### Followers: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +11%
- [--] Month [--] +82%
- [--] Months [--] +1,950%

### CreatorRank: [---------] [#](/creator/twitter::1691190963018874880/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1691190963018874880/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [countries](/list/countries)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [champions league](/list/champions-league) 

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #1393, [math](/topic/math), [money](/topic/money), [market](/topic/market), [single](/topic/single), [crypto](/topic/crypto), [leaderboard](/topic/leaderboard) #486, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity), [if you](/topic/if-you), [edge](/topic/edge)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/ethereum) [Flex Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FLEX)](/topic/$flex)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"just unlocked access to a new world the current is changing systems are syncing banks are coming onchain will you be early this time trillions onchain https://app.deform.cc/form/b6c87fc7-10f8-4e07-a75b-e9e266a8f61e https://app.deform.cc/form/b6c87fc7-10f8-4e07-a75b-e9e266a8f61e"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/1942388710030426518)  2025-07-08T01:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@knight_kirill @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket brother im not sure I'd call 10m a risky play lol feels like 30th anniversary just flips the script on usual valuation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004312986421530687)  2025-12-25T22:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Hans323 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade brother this is pure latency alpha not your usual volatility grind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004335234364633396)  2025-12-25T23:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@said116dao @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade anonymous official plus holiday timing is exactly why NO still gets love here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004569812232774079)  2025-12-26T15:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @DropperPM @PolymarketTrade this snap dynamic is real attention jumps before odds even wake up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004635657294270547)  2025-12-26T19:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@kepochnik_ @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade arb looks boring on paper but boring pays consistently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004636465561849999)  2025-12-26T19:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@hanakoxbt @Polymarket could be insiders or just someone very confident in bad endings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004649976161591734)  2025-12-26T20:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade either someone knows something or really wants everyone to think they do"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004652198278353147)  2025-12-26T20:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 13k fills tells you everything nobody predicts that much on accident"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004676853425209404)  2025-12-26T22:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @euanker cheap NOs during uncertainty is such a tell if you know where to look"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004700385936871522)  2025-12-26T23:46Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade buying aggressively with certainty only makes sense if you know the outcome"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004729965770911873)  2025-12-27T01:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@RDX_arXS @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade feels like a pure data grind no edge outside reading Silver Bulletin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004730342327157023)  2025-12-27T01:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xfs7 @SentientAGI @Polymarket SERA updates give a visible signal not just hype"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004734613965734110)  2025-12-27T02:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@hanakoxbt @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade classic arb sounds simple but repeating it clean is the whole game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004908330746286574)  2025-12-27T13:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade tail farming like this looks dumb until one resolution pays the whole basket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004935217468113042)  2025-12-27T15:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@gusik4ever underdog pricing is where polymarket quietly shines"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004951410824413319)  2025-12-27T16:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@knight_kirill @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade handshake length feels more predictable than whether the meeting even happens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004953701107245158)  2025-12-27T16:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade funny how a single geopolitical resolution flips a quiet account"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004954160635220039)  2025-12-27T16:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade two losses all year tells you this is mechanics not conviction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004959618741731768)  2025-12-27T16:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade market fading every hope rally says more than any speech"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2004961339442184211)  2025-12-27T17:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade And if Trump actually calls Putin after that market is gonna move fast like instant repricing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005016915488669917)  2025-12-27T20:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade damn bro nature just decided to play the market for us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005017190685409720)  2025-12-27T20:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade And this sharky loop is basically farming inefficiencies humans cant see in time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005018371121955322)  2025-12-27T20:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xMovez makes me wanna track every tiny niche like this there is real money in the obvious"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005018722868809752)  2025-12-27T20:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@crypto_betty @Polymarket This is exactly why small edges repeated beat big single bets any day"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005045046564061246)  2025-12-27T22:36Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@immortalhowwl @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket consensus in low liquidity is just vibes pretending to be math"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005061487824670734)  2025-12-27T23:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@bckfv_eth @PolymarketTrade bundling tail risks like this always looks calm until one headline ruins it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005072987540602910)  2025-12-28T00:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade watching the same setup print again tells you it isnt luck its process"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005226803158569309)  2025-12-28T10:38Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@knight_kirill @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade surface alignment is there but this still feels way more fragile than the market implies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005288072951582993)  2025-12-28T14:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade belief traders fund the guys who move first and say nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005299005899801008)  2025-12-28T15:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xashensoul @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket honestly Id wait for post-Christmas numbers before touching 82%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005299354165559358)  2025-12-28T15:26Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket betting on Elon staying quiet feels like asking a hurricane to take a nap"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005299714141675542)  2025-12-28T15:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade bets are on who gets indicted first and it wont be pretty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005300056161988614)  2025-12-28T15:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@senzer @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade love seeing disciplined execution paying off keep grinding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005300520265920659)  2025-12-28T15:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gusik4ever yeah this is exactly why ive been leaning Polymarket for underdogs lately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005300779037634731)  2025-12-28T15:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Ivanbenzemama @Lighter_xyz @zscdao @Polymarket 50% to community is huge will be interesting to see who actually sells vs holds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005301239576428754)  2025-12-28T15:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@immortalhowwl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade watching for hot news is smart all the rest is just noise until then"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005301653877268784)  2025-12-28T15:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@zerqfer sunday + no data + neutral RSI is usually how boring UP days happen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005304575642018043)  2025-12-28T15:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ruggedpikachu @Polymarket I would rather wait a week and get clarity than wake up to chaos and cope posts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005311625730113886)  2025-12-28T16:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade people lose money because they trade emotions not because markets are broken"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005329281203999068)  2025-12-28T17:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@AIexey_Stark @Polymarket @vnovakovski @PolymarketTrade @Lighter_xyz feels like the team is lining everything up quietly season end + AMA wasnt random"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005339509014351950)  2025-12-28T18:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tomdnc @Polymarket 93c feels like a free lunch especially with rules clearly favoring NO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005349426718785954)  2025-12-28T18:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade love how he didnt chase hype just let the numbers tell the story"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005357687761191407)  2025-12-28T19:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket yeah thats not a red flag thats a siren"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005391593617097129)  2025-12-28T21:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@cryptovcdegen @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade crazy how small edges stacked properly turn into real money love seeing that discipline"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005420487086948366)  2025-12-28T23:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@AlenaChramtsova @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade honestly 48% feels generous id wait for Monday news before sizing in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005424052081713631)  2025-12-28T23:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Mnilax @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade tracking this account is the best Netflix intel you can get rn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005428157915295778)  2025-12-28T23:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade wow that wallet sizing is basically a roadmap to the finale insane insight"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005448469151195616)  2025-12-29T01:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@lunatik_corp @Polymarket honestly Wills low odds scream narrative shield they wont burn him just yet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005448860303589497)  2025-12-29T01:20Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@PredMTrader quietly one of the more meaningful Kalshi updates this year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005481058763161858)  2025-12-29T03:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Trader Eurospar on @Polymarket just dropped 30k on @Lighter_xyz launching exactly on December [--]. Very strange because the 29th is already in full swing and there's still no release. Are people really willing to risk such amounts if it's not insider info If not then I've completely stopped understanding this market. As for me I sold my position. Turned out very tasty more than x2. Now I won't have to be nervous and can calmly prepare for the New Year. Congrats to everyone who exited with profit Profile: http://polymarket.com/@Eurosparvia= http://polymarket.com/@Eurosparvia="  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005627635951350127)  2025-12-29T13:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@knight_kirill @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade yeah exchange countdowns without an announcement are just vibes not confirmation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005651275673895338)  2025-12-29T14:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade splitting between top two brackets hedges the risk nicely"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005664083199283287)  2025-12-29T15:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade feels like last-minute momentum could flip everything in hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005689582927716545)  2025-12-29T17:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ventry089 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade crowd trades what feels safe this guy trades what feels embarrassing to click"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005711258230653402)  2025-12-29T18:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@cryptovcdegen @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade most people copy wallets but never copy the patience part"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005712090120835576)  2025-12-29T18:46Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@DashaMalyk @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolyBaddies hopper death would hurt but thematically clean. full circle sacrifice vibes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005712354022223888)  2025-12-29T18:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@DankoWeb3 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 700k farmers is wild tho think theyll manage the sell pressure well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005725290040013139)  2025-12-29T19:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade bro watching community sentiment implode is actually a signal here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005754958004752571)  2025-12-29T21:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@linie_oo @Polymarket focusing on one niche really separates grinders from gamblers respect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005761520857465232)  2025-12-29T22:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ramperxx @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade betting on exact words feels crazy but the agenda gives you a huge edge"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005763090277904532)  2025-12-29T22:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@NicoleXBT @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade tiny edges stacked thousands of times thats the real game here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005776753759756345)  2025-12-29T23:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xTengen_ @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is next-level automation turning cents into serious stacks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005776934551372286)  2025-12-29T23:04Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@gorynicheth @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @zscdao honestly betting on [----] now feels like trying to catch a ghost"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005777392145686549)  2025-12-29T23:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@immortalhowwl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade teaser adding Eight and Murray just made his next moves way more interesting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005777749772767695)  2025-12-29T23:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@GreekGamblerPM @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade wow"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005778070301524063)  2025-12-29T23:08Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@DankoWeb3 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade NO could be sneaky safe if a stealth launch really delays everything past 2025"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005778469171650864)  2025-12-29T23:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xCreed_ @Lighter_xyz @Polymarket eah feels like the market already priced in disappointment NO looks tempting here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005778943740395597)  2025-12-29T23:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@FridayNtrades @Polymarket refreshing at 5pm ET feels like the only way to catch real moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005780091637489692)  2025-12-29T23:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@thelordofpolym @Polymarket @zscdao @PolymarketTrade yeah short speech seems likely Trump rarely goes deep in private meetings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005781162506252397)  2025-12-29T23:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket damn this is pure mechanical edge no story needed at all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005781851219312937)  2025-12-29T23:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@sopersone @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade nice breakdown basically youre just harvesting mispricing across underdogs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005784656243998971)  2025-12-29T23:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@syanovee following inflows without context is how you become exit liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005790039670940060)  2025-12-29T23:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade people think straddles are boring until they see asymmetric sizing do the work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005972312508772851)  2025-12-30T12:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade three trades and done is underrated. most people die from overtrading"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005985897641328833)  2025-12-30T12:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade the stream going dark is the weirdest part. thats when tradition usually breaks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005986160020247010)  2025-12-30T12:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@travolta1337 polymarket punishes greed way faster than it rewards patience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005991020736176184)  2025-12-30T13:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@sopersone @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade small size + patience beats big brains every time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005991347912876502)  2025-12-30T13:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade hype is insane but paper takes longer than tweets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2005991516821676286)  2025-12-30T13:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade funny how this looks boring until you realize where the pnl actually comes from"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006054568417980713)  2025-12-30T17:27Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@phosphenq @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is basically free liquidity for anyone who actually watched the season instead of highlights"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006058047064375360)  2025-12-30T17:41Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade once latency clears you either size or shut it down no in between"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006058442109137134)  2025-12-30T17:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@KnightShift @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade feels like a classic headline premium auction but the market usually fades that once the hammer drops"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006059188892385742)  2025-12-30T17:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade [--] percent feels like traders pricing deterrence more than intent drills are loud but blockades are a different beast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006059753819029606)  2025-12-30T17:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@phosphenq @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade [----] trades and no hero wins is the tell this is just discipline not luck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006068265370476795)  2025-12-30T18:22Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@breezyjpg @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketMoney yea discount is tempting but gotta watch that MRI closely could swing everything"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006073572167655544)  2025-12-30T18:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket wonder how Polymarket will price this in real time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006080460364124234)  2025-12-30T19:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@BullpenFi 8.3% odds feel like the market is factoring in off-field noise hard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006080939831746575)  2025-12-30T19:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@itslirrato @Polymarket yea I noticed the advisory quirk too makes YES way juicier than it looks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006081413909766248)  2025-12-30T19:14Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@bckfv_eth @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade feels like one wrong vote away from a repeat shutdown"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006108304741663056)  2025-12-30T21:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade people call it luck until they see the same thing work [----] times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006158581150752911)  2025-12-31T00:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket @BullpenFi clob under the hood but ui feels like a real exchange which matters way more than people admit"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006187829441749013)  2025-12-31T02:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@RDX_arXS @Polymarket feels like they traded character growth for a PSA ending"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006244711309210060)  2025-12-31T06:03Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade boring trades scare most accounts but thats where the math actually works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006360296454271349)  2025-12-31T13:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade people chase being right while this just front runs belief"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006360782074962173)  2025-12-31T13:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade honestly like it more as a hedge than a directional bet"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006369312739578097)  2025-12-31T14:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @tomdnc @PolymarketTrade boring trades scale. exciting trades usually end accounts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006369573868884388)  2025-12-31T14:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade small size is the camouflage. nobody watches you nobody adapts you just farm quietly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006370434137182544)  2025-12-31T14:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@goatyishere @Polymarket Eight feels like the clean narrative sacrifice. New-ish meaningful but not core enough to break the fandom"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006372572951372084)  2025-12-31T14:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gemchange_ltd yeah momentum + holiday crowd makes this one sticky"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006435446231011482)  2025-12-31T18:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade jan odds make sense but june pricing probably underestimates how messy this can get once hearings start"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006436439287087284)  2025-12-31T18:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0x_Andron @Stranger_Things fresh wallet plus single theme bets always makes me pause"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006439732742598987)  2025-12-31T18:58Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@qwerty_ytrevvq @BullpenFi @Polymarket this reads less like magic ai and more like discipline plus nonstop execution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006443732795797854)  2025-12-31T19:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade eight at 70% tells you traders think her story is done not that they hate her"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006444156206592347)  2025-12-31T19:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket honestly 50k feels like confidence more than inside info"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006446493121822874)  2025-12-31T19:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Tyler_Did_It honestly 80% to 100k is what makes me pause more than the hype"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006447348948619650)  2025-12-31T19:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is insane but the consistency is what really hits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006448711677931748)  2025-12-31T19:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket curious how the narrative swings will play out next week"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006448902409691642)  2025-12-31T19:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade bro 18k profit then back to negative thats brutal lesson"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006453852820877398)  2025-12-31T19:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@DankoWeb3 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade bro $17k PNL before the finale either hes got insider info or insane luck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006463031744802824)  2025-12-31T20:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@Hrundel75 @Stranger_Things @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade 2.6M on this market already crazy how much attention its getting"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006472971498733856)  2025-12-31T21:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket range markets always leak during volatility people underestimate how slow books recalibrate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006740472413483338)  2026-01-01T14:53Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@qwerty_ytrevvq @polydictions delegating scanning and alerts is underrated manual tracking just doesnt scale"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006741616472838507)  2026-01-01T14:57Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xTengen_ @SentientAGI @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket betting on Sandeep fumbling TGE this hard seems like the laziest bear case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006749723097747927)  2026-01-01T15:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@BagCalls @Polymarket @UMAprotocol tagdeus paying 3k to force a real review is kinda legendary ngl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006750223130100106)  2026-01-01T15:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@itslirrato @Polymarket this is the right way to do it. public process forces discipline and honesty"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006751612841361656)  2026-01-01T15:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@MoonDevOnYT lag arb only works if you own the execution path. copy paste bots just turn edge into a crowd trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006752096042017182)  2026-01-01T15:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket @base yea $2B feels like an easy under Base is cooking something bigger"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006786445869298132)  2026-01-01T17:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ventry089 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade latency is literally the edge here nothing else"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006793620008169600)  2026-01-01T18:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ArchiveExplorer @PolymarketTrade the finale really leaned into emotion over cheap shocks respect to the Duffers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006812766301310989)  2026-01-01T19:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is the part people miss. activity feels productive but conviction actually pays"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006846626183397378)  2026-01-01T21:54Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Ivanbenzemama @Backpack @zscdao @Polymarket lighter set the tone. if backpack executes clean a $1b fdv print doesnt sound crazy at all"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006846990009905189)  2026-01-01T21:56Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket people traded fear he traded math. boring structure great result"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006847410774085917)  2026-01-01T21:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade copy trading works until it doesnt. real question is how long the delay survives once size piles in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006848829329690945)  2026-01-01T22:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@bckfv_eth @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade pricing feels a bit rich but i still cant find a clean catalyst to fade yes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006849184872411527)  2026-01-01T22:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this market is really a bet on panic contagion not on AI cooling off"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006849562401734864)  2026-01-01T22:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@DankoWeb3 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade yeah feels like the markets fully baked in a pause but any ugly CPI print could flip this fast"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006870563894210989)  2026-01-01T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@sopersone @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade honestly just seeing the conviction makes me wanna track his next move"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006870790965440532)  2026-01-01T23:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Vladic_ETH @Polymarket looks like a perfect day for someone who loves the chaos every fill counts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2006873609432871242)  2026-01-01T23:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Ivanbenzemama @ChelseaFC @ManCity @FCBarcelona @zscdao @Polymarket prem would test him fast but that city game is trial by fire for any coach anyway"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007009876317495504)  2026-01-02T08:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@immortalhowwl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade shorter windows finally make sense for elon weekly markets were just noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007010438610092120)  2026-01-02T08:45Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@geekinlucci @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket yeah im with you q1 feels right and day one fdv is gonna be narrative driven more than fundamentals"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007028629268730161)  2026-01-02T09:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@paonx_eth damn he really treats Polymarket like a savings account with extreme interest"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007052072139858116)  2026-01-02T11:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket damn poorsob really turns tiny edges into insane cash"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007083818793287782)  2026-01-02T13:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@sopersone @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket this is the kind of calm edge you cant fake"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007084077502116313)  2026-01-02T13:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade everyone watches whales nobody watches consistency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007094331308724412)  2026-01-02T14:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is the unsexy part people skip. repeat the same edge until boredom turns into money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007105809231057293)  2026-01-02T15:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket this feels like one of those slow burn cases where nothing happens until everything does"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007106114790592773)  2026-01-02T15:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@linie_oo @Polymarket @zscdao hitting seventy once is about timing not growth one fed week can do it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007107091274567939)  2026-01-02T15:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @PolymarketTrade same sizing same pairs zero opinions. boring loop scary pnl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007135153597100395)  2026-01-02T17:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@KnightShift @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade basically a nothing month unless Venezuela suddenly blows up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007135512235254176)  2026-01-02T17:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@ventry089 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade people see [--] percent and think lottery he sees mispriced tails with capped downside"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007232724709581251)  2026-01-02T23:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket every time people say nothing will happen some random edge case shows up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007232889424097302)  2026-01-02T23:29Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade once you see the burst pattern you cant unsee it. the market always reacts late"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007239515237429476)  2026-01-02T23:56Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade that 30-minute spike will haunt him forever lesson in humility for degens"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007278361505321304)  2026-01-03T02:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@phosphenq @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket insane focus and repetition this is why the leaderboard never lies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007279144531567025)  2026-01-03T02:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade mario feels crowded avengers feels late spidey just feels clean for this setup"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007453537102393438)  2026-01-03T14:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket that timing is insane either unreal conviction or someone was way too early to be lucky"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007458023942287670)  2026-01-03T14:24Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade polymarket lets bots eat until someone complains loudly enough then rules magically change"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007460751267520919)  2026-01-03T14:35Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@said116dao @Polymarket 25k to 150k feels like someone peeked at the script"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007461716246888465)  2026-01-03T14:39Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade [---] into 323k just by sticking to the same loop that discipline tho"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007510774013718910)  2026-01-03T17:54Z [--] followers, 10.1K engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade two bets zero noise made 137k quietly respect that patience"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007532943842128340)  2026-01-03T19:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket everyone assuming a photo op but the clock is the real enemy here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007534453242143049)  2026-01-03T19:28Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@sopersone @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade thin books + fixed ranges is all you need everything else is noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007535071306408166)  2026-01-03T19:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket this feels less like prediction and more like live state transition pricing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007538215159312518)  2026-01-03T19:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade market turning a real power shift into a mugshot clock is peak polymarket behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007552780471611892)  2026-01-03T20:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@gusik4ever yeah bro the speed here is unreal market barely had time to blink"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007559213581775316)  2026-01-03T21:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$30 to $190K in four weeks. Every single position closed green. This wallet did not exist in October. Now it prints $18K per day without manual intervention. CrimsonFalconQuantum appeared on October [--] with an empty balance and a ready-to-run system. Four weeks later the account is executing pure automation on Ethereum micro windows. The playbook is deceptively simple. ETH [--] minute windows. Up or Down. Nothing else. No altcoins. No political markets. Just this one pattern. I tracked sixty consecutive trades to see any deviation. Same sizing. Same timing. Spot ETH moves on Coinbase."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007844756164837863)  2026-01-04T16:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"This Venezuela trade was finished by a bot before humans opened the article. $500 $409K came from automation not reaction speed. The system is already live across geopolitical markets. News hits structured feeds. Keywords map to active Polymarket events. Model selects direction. Orders land while odds still reflect the old reality. No prediction edge here. Just execution inside the gap where headlines move faster than probabilities. Geopolitical markets are perfect for this. Resolution risk jumps instantly. Pricing adjusts in steps. That mismatch is where automated wallets extract value."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2007885191239643423)  2026-01-04T18:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A Python script is draining Polymarket. $325K extracted from the same math bug over and over. The gap appears for seconds. This bot hits it first. Every time. I found distinct-baguette buried deep in the leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15-minute windows. Almost ignored it. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. Too low for a profitable trader. Way too low. Thats when it clicked I was measuring the wrong thing. This bot does not predict. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It watches one thing only: prices that violate basic math. Heres the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008053418581987403)  2026-01-05T05:50Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"A Polymarket wallet farmed $534K from price gaps with 97% accuracy. Let that sink in. Most arbitrage bots struggle to break 70%. This one misses [--] trades out of [---]. I saw Sharky6999 while scanning high-volume accounts. Expected a slow grinder. What I saw instead was size. BTC. ETH. XRP. SOL. Up or Down. Over and over. Bitcoin window. $50K position. Won. Ethereum window. $390K. Won. XRP. Solana. Doge. Green. Almost everything green. This is not how prediction markets work. These windows are coin flips by design. 50/50. Thats the point. The best systems Ive seen scrape 6570% by exploiting lag."  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008240526080770341)  2026-01-05T18:13Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"I found distinct-baguette three pages deep in a Polymarket leaderboard. JavaScript bot. [--] minute windows. BTC mostly. Standard grind setup. Nothing interesting until I clicked through to the equity curve. Steady climb for weeks. Then I looked at win rate and everything felt wrong. 75%. That is terrible for this kind of returns. Bots pulling $300K usually sit at 85% minimum. I was about to move on. Then I pulled the trade log and realized what I was missing. He is not trying to win these bets. He is buying both outcomes at the same time. YES and NO. Every single position. Here is why it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008545410705412389)  2026-01-06T14:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Sharky6999 closed 96% of [-----] positions green and pulled $534K from markets built to break even. $73000 average bet size. On [--] minute coin flips. I found the wallet last week scanning high volume accounts on Polymarket. Another grinder I assumed. Then I opened the position log and my scroll stopped dead. $50K on a BTC window. Won. $80K on ETH. Won. XRP Solana Doge. Green lines stacked for pages. Here is what broke my brain. The best lag-reading bots I have covered hit 65% to 70% win rates. That is elite performance on markets designed to be 50/50. Anything above 75% usually means low sample"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008646757022867546)  2026-01-06T21:08Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"CRYINGLITTLEBABY extracted $356K in thirty days without losing once. Every position closed green. Not 99%. Not 98%. One hundred percent. I found the wallet while scanning top monthly performers and stared at the trade log trying to find the error. Scrolled for ten minutes looking for red. Nothing. Just an unbroken chain of wins stretching across four weeks of continuous trading. That should not exist. Even the sharpest bots I track hover around 85% and call it elite. Variance always finds you eventually. This one never gave it the chance. I pulled timestamps and started matching trades to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008775864037638619)  2026-01-07T05:41Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"One wallet went from -$500 to $106K in three weeks. 95% win rate. Hundreds of trades per window. Two strategies running in sequence. I built a scanner to flag anomalies in Polymarket execution patterns. This account triggered every alert and sat alone at the top of the list. First time I opened the trade log I assumed the data was broken. 200+ orders firing inside a single [--] minute window. That volume does not happen unless something is catastrophically wrong with the feed. Ran the pull twice. Checked timestamps against Polymarket API. Not broken. Just execution at a speed that looked like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008885983152922715)  2026-01-07T12:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"One script turned $292K buying shares the market priced at pennies. 80% win rate. Every major profit started as a position traders already wrote off as dead. I pulled the wallet expecting momentum plays or latency arbitrage. Found something that looked broken at first glance. Opens YES. Opens NO. Holds both through chaos. Standard wallets panic when one side bleeds toward zero. Cut losses. Move on. Risk management [---]. This bot flips the script entirely. Position drops to [--] cents Starts buying. Hits [--] cents Buys heavier. Crashes to [--] cent Sweeps every share available. Collecting lottery"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2008994787433513183)  2026-01-07T20:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@carverfomo @PolymarketTrade this is basically volatility insurance priced by fear. most people cant sit on [--] cent risk without flinching"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009037115426836943)  2026-01-07T22:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@0xashensoul @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade [--] to [--] risk reward on a binary political event is insane. no edge justifies that exposure even if you think probability is 98%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009045111477555483)  2026-01-07T23:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$500K profit. $50K per day. 99% win rate. The equity curve is a straight line that forgot what drawdowns look like. My Python scanner flagged wallet 0x8dxd last week. Opened the chart expecting normal noise. Red zones. Variance. Corrections. Found none. Just an unbroken climb like the account disabled risk entirely. The bot trades BTC [--] minute windows on Polymarket. Standard market. Nothing exotic. But the edge is not in prediction. It is in the clock. When BTC moves hard on Binance Polymarket lags [--] to [--] seconds behind. Price already shifted 1%. Polymarket still displays old odds. Imagine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009146925019258909)  2026-01-08T06:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@carverfomo @PolymarketTrade fixed size same window zero opinions. boring and lethal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009208394494955575)  2026-01-08T10:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@k1rallik @Polymarket ai execution finally showing up in market cap not just decks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009234695104655578)  2026-01-08T12:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket feels like this market is really about patience vs headlines"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009235021996105857)  2026-01-08T12:05Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@tsybka @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket betting a calendar slam is basically buying a miracle ticket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009235310178398631)  2026-01-08T12:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this market always dies from one boring headline shutdown or nothing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009256836667437110)  2026-01-08T13:32Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"C++ terminal flagged a wallet pulling $338K from trades that looked mathematically impossible. 70% win rate. That number felt wrong. Too low for a profitable bot. Way too low. distinct-baguette sat in the leaderboard looking like a losing strategy. Almost skipped it entirely and moved to the next wallet. Then I ran the position data through my scanner. Bot buys YES and NO simultaneously. Same market. Same fifteen minute window. That is when the 70% win rate clicked. It is not picking winners. Half the positions lose by design. But it holds both outcomes. One always resolves to $1. Here is"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009266987101311151)  2026-01-08T14:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@sauronsl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade the win rate being ugly is the giveaway. clean arbs always look wrong to people counting wins"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009356796436337007)  2026-01-08T20:09Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@browomo this isnt trading at all its underwriting chaos and clipping premiums while retail argues in replies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009357653731066037)  2026-01-08T20:12Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@dunik_7 people call it gambling when they dont like who won. edge exists everywhere polymarket just makes it visible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009378165538394599)  2026-01-08T21:34Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mahera777 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade brand new wallet spraying only one direction always makes me uneasy either insane conviction or someone front-running reality"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009389356650222044)  2026-01-08T22:18Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"I coded [---] lines of C++ to hunt edge cases. Three weeks later the scanner flagged something I thought was a bug. PurpleThunderBicycleMountain. Down $19K. Then up $343K. Same timeframe my code went live. My terminal catches anomalies in Polymarket wallets. Pulls trade history. Maps patterns. This one lit up every alert I built. Opened the logs expecting dual-side arbitrage. Bot farms tiny spreads by owning both outcomes. Seen it a hundred times. That is not what the data showed. Single direction. Heavy size. Correct almost always. Then I saw the timing. BTC moves on Binance. My feed updates"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009511392898847186)  2026-01-09T06:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@tsybka @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket classic retail chasing headlines while whales just fade the narrative"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009546339009597479)  2026-01-09T08:42Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@DankoWeb3 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade feels like NO is playing the calendar while YES is paying up for momentum"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009546750902600150)  2026-01-09T08:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@nitesheth01 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade zero warmup and straight into geopolitics is always a tell"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009597106139640062)  2026-01-09T12:04Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@dunik_7 @Polymarket size isnt crazy but the focus is. this is not a tourist trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009599995348132279)  2026-01-09T12:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade apple losing momentum while google keeps shipping feels like the real tell here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009603932100899116)  2026-01-09T12:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@browomo yeah once latency is the edge vibes dont matter anymore. humans are exit liquidity here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009725594376814922)  2026-01-09T20:34Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@marlowxbt leaked repos are basically alpha faucets if you know what to look for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009729447046312178)  2026-01-09T20:50Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"Code exploited a timing lag into $52K daily on BTC 15-minute windows. Wallet 0x8dxd climbed from dust to $570K net profit. 98% green closes. I expected some predictive edge. Found a clock exploit instead. Spot moves first. Polymarket updates second. Gap lasts [--] to [--] seconds. Winning side still priced like coin flip during that window. Bot only trades that slice. Here is what the logs showed. BTC pumps $200 on Binance. Momentum clear. Polymarket YES still sits at [--] cents. Should be [--] cents already based on spot movement. Bot enters YES at [--] cents. Not predicting direction. Just buying"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009744520150192548)  2026-01-09T21:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@LuvvBank this isnt edge its just tax on being slow. UI traders are the liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009745149442584821)  2026-01-09T21:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@browomo this reads boring until you realize boring is exactly what compounds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2009971255118860476)  2026-01-10T12:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"My scanner flagged three wallets yesterday that should not exist. 0x31a5 0xa72D SBet365. Different names. Same pattern. Same timing. Same market. All funded days before Maduro arrest announcement. All bet heavy on YES. All walked away with six figures in [--] hours. Expected some diversified traders. Found coordinated insider operation. These wallets did not touch politics. Did not touch crypto. Did not touch anything except one single question: Will Maduro be arrested by January [--] The timing tells everything. Wallets funded January 6th. Maduro arrested January 9th. Trades placed [--] hours"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010072344019251584)  2026-01-10T19:32Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"My scanner caught bots extracting $40M from prediction markets in a way most traders never see. No predictions. No insider info. Just pure math arbitrage. I expected some complex strategy. Found something brutally simple instead. These bots do not predict if BTC hits $95K. They do not care who wins elections. They just watch two platforms show different prices for the same outcome. Here is the entire strategy. Polymarket shows YES at [--] cents. Kalshi shows NO at [--] cents. Both platforms ask the same question. One must pay $1. Bot buys both. Total cost: [--] cents. Guaranteed payout: $1. Profit:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010290580715077678)  2026-01-11T09:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@marlowxbt win rate baited you but the curve never lies this is pure math abuse"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010360837492351183)  2026-01-11T14:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"The easiest trade on Polymarket in 2025: bet Jesus does not return. $3.3M wagered. 5.5% annual return. Risk-free. Beat Treasury bills. I track absurd markets that somehow print money. This one topped them all. January 2025: Market opens. "Will Jesus Christ Return in 2025" NO shares at [--] cents. YES shares at [--] cents. Most bought NO. But enough believers stayed in to keep YES at 3% through spring. The math was brutal simplicity. Buy NO for [--] cents. Wait twelve months. Collect $1. Profit: [--] cents per share. Annualized: 5.5% return. Zero risk unless you believe in miracles. Beat US Treasury"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010478008881275029)  2026-01-11T22:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"A wallet printed $412K on Polymarket without ever guessing direction. Win rate sits at 74%. Looks mediocre. The PnL is not. I noticed it while scrolling BTC 15-minute markets. Same size. Same timing. Same exits. Over and over. No tweets. No profile history. No variance in behavior. Every trade looks identical. BTC window opens. Liquidity is thin. Prices drift. YES [--]. NO [--]. Total below $1. Both sides get filled within seconds. No hesitation. No scaling. Just flat execution. Market resolves. One side pays $1. The other dies. Net green. Next window. Same thing. I counted [---] consecutive trades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010735654368326141)  2026-01-12T15:28Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Someone made $436K betting on a classified US military operation five hours before it happened. Burdensome-Mix. Account created December [--]. Only traded Venezuela. Then vanished after Congress started investigating. My scanner caught this before media did. The timeline is impossible to explain. December 27: Account created on Polymarket. First bet: "Will Maduro be ousted by January 15" January [--] 21:58: Final $20K position. Bet YES at 8% odds. Five hours before the strike. January [--] 02:00: US begins bombing Venezuela. January [--] 05:21: Trump announces Maduro captured. January [--] 08:41: Starts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010829687879008296)  2026-01-12T21:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"$26 became $2700 in four hours betting on London weather. 10385% ROI. No insider info. No classified leaks. Just a weather API and Polymarket markets nobody watches. Lummox_eth found the most overlooked edge on the entire platform. 11:24 AM: Checks weather gov. Temperature reading: 9.2C. Polymarket market: "Will London hit 8C by 3PM" Trading at 12% YES. He bets $26 on YES. Weather data already shows 9.2C. Market has not caught up. Three hours later: resolves YES. Collects $190. Does not cash out. Immediately compounds. 11:47 AM: Rain prediction market. Weather radar shows zero precipitation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2010975179397071254)  2026-01-13T07:20Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"I found a GitHub repo with [---] lines of C++ that makes $24K per day. No password. No protection. Just sitting there. I downloaded it and watched CRYINGLITTLEBABY turn $430K in [--] days with a 100% win rate. I spent a week staring at this code expecting some genius algorithm. Another arbitrage bot another complex strategy. Then I saw what it actually does. Turns out the simplest ideas print the hardest. The bot watches one thing: Polymarket lagging behind Binance by [--] seconds. Sounds stupid until you see the gap. BTC drops 0.3% on Binance. That already happened. Done. But Polymarket still"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2011214243626930599)  2026-01-13T23:10Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$18K while 94% of bots died the same day. Polymarket added 3.15% fees. Arbitrage edge was 2%. Math said impossible. One bot disagreed. I track what survives rule changes. This one did more than survive. Week ago: Polymarket declares war on bots. New 3.15% commission on 15-minute markets. Goal: kill arbitrage. Old method dies instantly. Bots compared BTC price between Binance and Polymarket. Saw 2% difference. Bought. Waited [--] seconds. Collected spread. Now commission eats the entire edge. 94% shut down overnight. This bot changed what it watches. Does not track price anymore. Tracks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2011574210150179292)  2026-01-14T23:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"$6M profit. No code. No API. Just a human brain. kch123. Manual trader on Polymarket. Proved thinking still works. I heard all year: bots own Polymarket. Python executes arbitrage in [--] milliseconds. Humans cannot compete. Then my scanner flagged this wallet. $6M up. Expected HFT microsecond execution. Found human timing instead. Pauses between trades. Uneven intervals. Someone clicking manually. Trades sports. NFL. NBA. Moves markets with size. Enters before crowds. Not faster. Smarter. Here is why this matters. Copying speed bots is pointless. You are always one second behind. Lose money on"  
[X Link](https://x.com/tomnixson/status/2012196191992172949)  2026-01-16T16:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing