#  @pickeringenergy Dan Pickering Dan Pickering posts on X about iran, stocks, $xom, oil the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1141793002605731841/interactions)  - [--] Week [------] +70% - [--] Month [-------] -60% - [--] Months [-------] -10% - [--] Year [---------] +24% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1141793002605731841/posts_active)  - [--] Week [--] +78% - [--] Month [--] +26% - [--] Months [---] +65% - [--] Year [---] +4.90% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1141793002605731841/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +0.10% - [--] Month [------] +0.90% - [--] Months [------] +4% - [--] Year [------] +11% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1141793002605731841/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 27.91% [stocks](/list/stocks) 18.6% [countries](/list/countries) 15.5% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 7.75% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 6.2% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 4.65% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 3.1% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 2.33% **Social topic influence** [iran](/topic/iran) 10.08%, [stocks](/topic/stocks) 7.75%, [$xom](/topic/$xom) 6.98%, [oil](/topic/oil) 6.98%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 4.65%, [if you](/topic/if-you) 4.65%, [$fang](/topic/$fang) 3.88%, [market](/topic/market) 3.88%, [twitter](/topic/twitter) 3.88%, [gas](/topic/gas) 3.88% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@bigideascapital](/creator/undefined) [@danmurphy](/creator/undefined) [@davidwethe](/creator/undefined) [@texaschildrens](/creator/undefined) [@oceansprayinc](/creator/undefined) [@jimcramer](/creator/undefined) [@javierblas](/creator/undefined) [@thefrackingguy](/creator/undefined) [@warrenpies](/creator/undefined) [@elonmusk](/creator/undefined) [@kvanthof](/creator/undefined) [@chrisawright](/creator/undefined) [@ferrotv](/creator/undefined) [@annmarie](/creator/undefined) [@reignots](/creator/undefined) [@pep_energybrain](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Exxon Mobil (XOM)](/topic/$xom) [Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG)](/topic/$fang) [Devon Energy Corp (DVN)](/topic/$dvn) [Pioneer Natural Resources Co (PXD)](/topic/$pxd) [Convex Finance (CVX)](/topic/$cvx) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [EOG Resources Inc (EOG)](/topic/$eog) [Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA)](/topic/$ctra) [Oxygen (OXY)](/topic/$oxy) [69Coin (69)](/topic/$69) [Transocean LTD. (RIG)](/topic/$rig) [Validity (VAL)](/topic/$val) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [BP p.l.c. (BP)](/topic/$bp) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "(Over)Supply/demand fundamentals continue to drag down oil price. Where do we go Low enough to shut down supply - which means OPEC cut or lower US shale activity. I suspect the latter and think well see $FANGs low $50s red light get triggered. No fun but necessary #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2000914889146290582) 2025-12-16T13:04Z 34.4K followers, 23.3K engagements "My conclusion from above: Trump wants oil price down/low.He is not a friend of the US energy industry he is a counterparty to the oilpatch. $XOM politely said what almost everyone attending had to be thinking. Uninvestable without significant changes. This is going to take TIME" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2009767332705354220) 2026-01-09T23:20Z 34.4K followers, 64.5K engagements "Observation: Not a single shale-oriented independent E&P player was in attendance. No $EOG $FANG $DVN etc. None of these folks likely to be a Ven player and probably none of them loving what is happening as the US pushes/sponsors a bunch of competitive barrels in Venezuela" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2009767334815096961) 2026-01-09T23:20Z 34.4K followers, 12.8K engagements "Looking to [----] - OPEC+ production will be higher y/y (even though they've paused average production will still be up y/y). US producers are flat/up in [----] (PEP's research coverage shows our covered companies +2% y/y). Somebody has to blink or inventory hits Covid highs" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2013078241787945352) 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "What price is a catalyst for change in supply behavior Trump wants $50. For Harold Hamm in the Bakken the number is high $50's. $FANG has signaled low $50's is red light territory. Will OPEC+ cut and support price" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2013078243763470360) 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Rubio yesterday to Senate Foreign Relations Committee: "There's no world in which the United States is subsidizing investment in Venezuelan oil" Meanwhile from Exxon headquarters #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2016886583702454544) 2026-01-29T14:50Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow Yes No See results I am uninterested Yes No See results I am uninterested" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2018122652947279916) 2026-02-02T00:41Z 34.4K followers, 23.2K engagements "Took a look late last week at oil/oil markets with CNBC's @dan_murphy. Covered a lot of ground - from Iran (oil market at 25% probability of disruption) to Venezuela to Kazakhstan to supply/demand imbalance. Always something happening #EFT #OOTT https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/01/30/escalation-in-us-iran-tensions-could-push-oil-prices-to-triple-digits.html https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/01/30/escalation-in-us-iran-tensions-could-push-oil-prices-to-triple-digits.html" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2018307275014783260) 2026-02-02T12:55Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "I think this might be the equivalent of me getting on the Golf Channel to talk about improving your short game" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2018525538978345134) 2026-02-03T03:22Z 34.4K followers, 11K engagements "US and Iran powwow today - oil markets will care. WTI off its recent highs ($65/bbl) but well above recent lows ($55). Fundamentals soft geopolitical stuff has ramped. I'm fading most permutations of Iran/US outcome. Thread below.your observations welcomed. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823000917606775) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "WTI rallies every time Iran/US tensions rise. It should. On a risk-weighted basis if something notably bad erupts in the Middle East that results in meaningful supply disruption oil prices are going high (think $100+). So oil should have a risk-weighted premium" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823004453319127) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Of course the key question is how much premium and for how long I see it as TWO things have to happen. First tensions have to turn into something more meangingful (like summer 2025) and second a conflict has to result in some sort of damage to Middle East production/supply" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823007993352483) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Taking a step back why would oil prices go high 30mmbopd are produced by Iran (3.5mmbopd) or within [---] miles of Iran borders. Thats 30% of global supply. 20mmbopd moves thru the Straits of Hormuz (on Iran's border). If you shut off even a fraction of this.oil prices go up" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823011256496206) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "If you think my high/low oil prices are incorrect input your own. If you are a $50 low $100 high then the current market implied risk is 28% (using same formula above). Build your own adventure $40/$120 $60/$150 etc" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823027031273905) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Why bother with all this If equities go up with oil price and oil price is going up because of an Iran premium you can make some sort of educated guess on whether or not you want to buy/sell/hold your energy stocks. The more Iran premium the more of an Iran bet you are making" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823029740802476) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Now that we have a formula/methodolgy we have to make a qualitative assessment of whether the implied probabilities (at 20% in $55/$100 scenario) make things "cheap" or "expensive". The past [--] years of history say that Iran conflicts don't result in production disruptions" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823032479674696) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "On September 14th [----] Iran lobbed a missle into Saudi's Abqaiq processing facility (7mmbopd). During that period oil had drifted from $52 in July [----] to mid$50's on tensions.then spiked to $62/bbl on the first trading day following the Sept 14th attack" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823035365384341) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "It held above $60 for another day then moved back to $52 by late September. Why Iran's missile hit a spot that was repaired within weeks. That seems like a message not an attempt at a lethal blow. Tensions eased the premium evaporated" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823038569869446) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Looking at the conflict with Iran last summer (yep it was just June [--] [----] that bombs were flying in Iran). WTI oil traded +$10/bbl intraday on June 13th and settled +$5/bbl at $73.proceeds to drift up to $75/bbl on June 19th. Here's where it gets interesting" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823041728115109) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "On June 23rd Iran launched a missle at US air base in Qatar (after signaling its intentions). Oil closed at $69. Cease fire announced June 24th oil closes $64.right back at pre-crisis levels. Tensions eased the premium evaporated" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823044768985365) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Iran could have mined the Straits of Hormuz they didn't. They could have lobbed missiles into Saudi oilfields they didn't. The Israelis or US could have bombed Iranian oilfields and infrastructure. They didn't. There was no disruption. Just like 2019" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823047856001195) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "ACTIONS by both parties have shown that damaging Iranian or Middle East oil production is a third rail type of action. Developed countries want uninterupted oil flow and low gasoline prices. If Iran removes that they invite harsher actions/retaliation" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823050980749462) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "If US hurts Iran oil production the US is hurting itself (high oil/gasoline). And if the US overtly pushes regime change leaving Iran no off-ramps or "nothing to lose" then Iran could lash out (high oil/gasoline). Does Trump really want that in front of the midterms" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823054042591278) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "I put all these ingredients in a blender and come up with the conclusion that even if the likelihood of a conflict US/Iran is high the probability of meanignful supply reduction is low. Thus FOR ME implied odds of 20-30% conflict+disruption feels too high" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823056986980683) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Said another way in my opinion the cost of Iran-conflict-takes-oil-to-$100 insurance is too high. Makes me inclined to fade any oil rally above low $60's. Of course all this can change with a tweet or one missle.but I bet I get the chance to own oil/energy lower than here" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823059885257164) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Is all this too simplistic Sure. But how this plays out could be a +50%/-10% move in oil.which matters and thus demands attention. Side note I'm building a time machine to enable restarting my career as a tech guy instead of an energy guy. GoFundMe info available via DMs. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2019823063400083894) 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Hat tip to Bloomberg's @DavidWethe for the Harold Hamm interview last Friday. I'm convinced [----] is the Battle of the Titans (OPEC+ vs. US shale) to see who is the first to reduce production in a dramatically oversupplied market. Maybe shale is blinking first Thread. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2013078227640545678) 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, 11.3K engagements "What's happening - Hamm indicating his Continental Resources is stopping drilling in the Bakken. Quote was "This will be the first time in over [--] years that Harold Hamm has not had an operation with drilling rigs in North Dakota". So something is changing" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2013078229850915301) 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, 12.7K engagements "And there it is https://www.devonenergy.com/news/2026/Devon-Energy-and-Coterra-Energy-to-Combine-Creating-a-Premier-Shale-Operator A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow https://www.devonenergy.com/news/2026/Devon-Energy-and-Coterra-Energy-to-Combine-Creating-a-Premier-Shale-Operator A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2018294347754529054) 2026-02-02T12:04Z 34.4K followers, 18K engagements ""Energy as an AI hedge" has traction. Stat from Goldman today - $XLE on track for [--] straight weeks of outperformance vs. SPX to the tune of +25percentage points. Monster. Welcome after [--] years of underperformance. Sustainable.guess we have to see if tech trade get reborn. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2021945095432679848) 2026-02-12T13:50Z 34.4K followers, 15.9K engagements "Another Merger Monday this time in OFS with $RIG and $VAL putting together a behemoth offshore driller. Tasty premium paid in all stock deal helps out $RIG balance sheet and lots of contract coverage. Not many names left in the space now.natural outcome of the downturn. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2020865157719560620) 2026-02-09T14:19Z 34.4K followers, 24.3K engagements "Uhhhhhhhplease dont. Oil market needs more OPEC+ production like I need to be in charge of a first grade bake sale. Maybe posturing to please the US Maybe figurative air cover for more US Iranian strikes Thanks for ruining Spring Break #EFT #OOTT https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-leans-towards-resumption-oil-output-increases-april-sources-say-2026-02-13/#::text=Summaryimmediately%20to%20requests%20for%20comment" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2022287756475461948) 2026-02-13T12:32Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Admit it.if you are being completely objective the performance of energy stocks today in the face of oil price is pretty darn impressive" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1252267019304607744) 2020-04-20T16:04Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Alerting all oil recovery skeptics.there is hope. At coffee shop today big pickup pulls in woman hops out to stand grab her latte. Boyfriend stays in the truck.AND LEAVES IT RUNNING. Weve got a chance people.weve got a chance" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1254069786008485888) 2020-04-25T15:28Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Tsunami of shut-ins are coming. Speaking with multiple public/privates all saying they've got their plans and are starting to turn off volumes. Realized cash pricing $2-$10 the driver. Not surprising but evidence the "market" works faster than government regulators or OPEC+" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1255335302530584576) 2020-04-29T03:17Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "One year ago the amazing congenital pediatric heart surgery team @TexasChildrens hospital performed an incredibly complicated [--] hour surgery. Today baby Merrill rides with a special heart and mucho gusto. So very thankful for the best baby heart team in the world" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1265459328066207744) 2020-05-27T01:46Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "The PEP #EFT EnergyDogface Challenge is ON Submit your best video here on Twitter. Must include @OceanSprayInc + FleetwoodMac song. Be original. Tag #EFT & @pickeringenergy. Winners announced 10/30.hopefully on Roll Call. PEP Swag as prizes. PEP=final judge/jury. Let's Roll" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1319012387719086080) 2020-10-21T20:27Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Dare i say it Yes I will. [----] is the year to think #MEGA. Make Energy Great Again. Too much pessimism not enough respect. No more dumpster fire mentality. Time to think positive and be optimistic. All aboard" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1339793479996743681) 2020-12-18T04:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "My [--] year old son teaches sixth grade math. He's not an investor & has no stonk portfolio. At lunch today he asked about GameStop. Several of his friends "along for the ride". This is not a market rebellion it is a combo of greed and Ponzi scheme and will end horribly for most" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1355633313378086912) 2021-01-30T21:45Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Eyecatching stuff: $XOM/$CVX merger rumor gets no respect as both underperform S&P.appropriate as that deal damn hard to get done. $TSLA +6% rumor is Elon will spend almost [--] days this month focused on the car business (vs. SpaceX Boring Neuralink bitcoin GME tweets etc)" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1356385727173525511) 2021-02-01T23:35Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "I feel so fortunate to have energy expert Jim Cramer assessing how quickly oil will become obsolete. He also said the energy sector was dead before this 75%+ move. Just hanging on every word" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1360233322627043328) 2021-02-12T14:24Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Gonna be a LOT of fingerpointing around power outages etc. Texas grid simply not made for this sort of demand and lack of fuel didnt help (wind AND nat gas). Clearly highlights we are not ready/capable to go to carbon free power any time soon. Energy transition will be long" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1361675477442826241) 2021-02-16T13:55Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Gotta say dont love Wall Street folks jumping on oil can go to $100 bandwagon. Sure its possible but why hype it up too much Slow and steady capex down free cash up and let the market show us tightness with inventory draws. I want [--] years of +50%/yr not [--] year of +75%" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1364797049263321088) 2021-02-25T04:39Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Oh boy.@jimcramer closed Mad Money today with a double down on the end of oil. It's all gonna be EVs not gasoline. A disservice to listeners encouraging them to think we don't need hydrocarbons. Energy Transition will last decades. Where does he think electricity comes from" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1366902826799095811) 2021-03-03T00:06Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Holy schnikes Listening to CNBC in my car and commercial comes on. They are pitchingwait for itoil and gas investments. The commodities. Baby WE ARE BACK (And now I am frightened)" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1408075959509602305) 2021-06-24T14:54Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "My secret is out. It isnt the Cardinal its the kid. Shes nailed the last [--] points in WTI. Recently promoted to MD. Salary increase after threat to go join Vitol. Worth every penny" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1410803445498580993) 2021-07-02T03:32Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Great Salt Lake is approaching its lowest water level in [--] years. Climate folks say global warming. But what was the cause/issue in [----] when it set its low water record I dont knowbut the climate boogeyman isnt around every corner contrary to everything you read" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1416825498387234819) 2021-07-18T18:21Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Welcome to the next [--] years.immediately after Senate approval for Infra bill (incentivizing many things competitive to oil&gas) Biden administration asks OPEC for further production bump. "We don't want your dirty hydrocarbons.but while we need them we want them cheap"" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1425413847016517633) 2021-08-11T11:08Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Oil demand probably hit a secular peak last year and thanks to #EVs now is in secular decline. Though ARK has no formal forecast I believe that #Oilprices are on their way back to $12 the level reached after the [----] oil cartel crisis or lower now that EVs are taking off. Oil demand probably hit a secular peak last year and thanks to #EVs now is in secular decline. Though ARK has no formal forecast I believe that #Oilprices are on their way back to $12 the level reached after the [----] oil cartel crisis or lower now that EVs are taking off" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1442536702539534340) 2021-09-27T17:08Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "We endured 5+ years of painful energy downcycle for time periods like now (commodity price strength money flow waking up to the opportunity). Harder part is sticking around for the next double. This doesn't end with stocks trading at 8-14% free cash yields. #staythecourse #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1445518392409014285) 2021-10-05T22:36Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Consensus is shale companies will cave in and spend like drunken sailors.I disagree - the companies have been pummeled into submission. it is the (new) INVESTORS that will cave - theyll be the ones clamoring for growth 2023+. And energy stocks will re-rate as/when this happens" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1451975205040054279) 2021-10-23T18:13Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "SPR reserve release thinking 1) we all "know" its coming 2) WTI oil -$9 from highs (covid also driving) 3) it isn't that many barrels in grand scheme of things 4) OPEC may react by slowing production adds. Conclusion - this too shall pass & oil fundy's are fine. Don't panic" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1463125267677945857) 2021-11-23T12:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Oil getting back to that spot where it held last time. It was tasty then and it is tasty now. Covid is a problem.but not a big one. Close your eyes and step up.or at least get more bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1472985974489731072) 2021-12-20T17:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Emptyevery time i drive past. The energy transition is going to take a LONG time" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1477333132105945094) 2022-01-01T17:37Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Its happening.the market's slinking back into energy. YTD $XOM +15% $BP +14% beating out E&Ps like $EOG $FANG & $DVN (+12-13%). These majors don't move without big institutional buyers. Greed always wins people.always. Oil&gas putting up the numbers.2022 outperforms again" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1480957694785826820) 2022-01-11T17:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Tech investors/growth investors got a taste this week of what is was like in energy 10-15 times PER YEAR from [----] through [----]. Energy hands are scarred and weathered and tough tech hands are silkier than an English nobleman" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1484648602526003203) 2022-01-21T22:06Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "heythe lock worked" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1487884007115214852) 2022-01-30T20:22Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Where are the calls for windfall profits taxes on Google and Apple #EFT 40bn profits for BP and Shell fuel calls for windfall tax on energy firms https://t.co/NpIXPOtAez 40bn profits for BP and Shell fuel calls for windfall tax on energy firms https://t.co/NpIXPOtAez" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1490023542271918080) 2022-02-05T18:04Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Received word today from Ford that I will not get a [----] Ford Lightning - ordered within minutes of the order book opening in May [----]. So when we look at EV adoption stats keep in mind vehicle availability is a factor" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1499949059993395201) 2022-03-05T03:24Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "@JavierBlas @TheFrackingGuy There is an old adage - lack of preparation on your part does not constitute an emergency on mypart. Having said that - I believe the Russian situation has kicked off the next growth phase of US oilpatch which will result in new highs in US production by 2024/2025" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1500131175037341697) 2022-03-05T15:28Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "I read Senator Warren talking about windfall profits tax on an industry that just went through a near death experience and is being asked to invest precious capital to bump production. So tone deaf and wrong that i am embarassed for our political system. Embarassed" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1501654968654340101) 2022-03-09T20:23Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Eyecatching: Oil -3% today.and I just don't care. Whether WTI is $110 $120 or $90 on any given day we're in an environment where #EnergySecurity is gaining steam and we're gonna need more Trustworthy Barrels. Demand destruction/recession is our biggest risk.not supply. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1507097845329010689) 2022-03-24T20:51Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Classic this morning. Oil getting smoked on potential big SPR release and energy stocks higher. Why Although front month WTI down -3.5% FY23 and FY24 WTI is up +0.6% and +1.8%. More supply near term but more demand (SPR refill) down the road.#PoliticalMisfire #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1509531450521133056) 2022-03-31T14:01Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "A lot to unpack around President's press conf remarks on SPR gasoline etc. Thread below. Conclusion: Nothing I saw today makes me less bullish about owning energy equities. Watch the back end of the curve (trading higher) - that is the tell. FY25 WTI is $73 going to $80+" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1509606273930735629) 2022-03-31T18:59Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Regretfully announcing my Twitter retirement. Combination of compliance time sink and nervousness about reprisals from diehard advocates on both energy transition AND oil&gas fronts. My family and job are too important to endanger. Its been a fun ride April Fools" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1509860710897045504) 2022-04-01T11:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Since Friday morning thousands of energy nerds the press and oil watchers debated a 180mmbbl release from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Meanwhile the world consumed 300mmbbls" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1510971355558297603) 2022-04-04T13:23Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Our friend Jim Cramer talks so much about energy now that I just dont have the time to point out all the gaffes and incorrect facts/statements. One thing he isnt wrong about - energy has more upside ahead" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1511469455917912068) 2022-04-05T22:22Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "I am watching this House Energy/Commerce meeting with the oil company execs. If it wasn't so sad it would be a good comedy. This is not a Q&A process this is an exercise in politicians generating content for their social media and re-election campaigns. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1511736170669129738) 2022-04-06T16:02Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Bezos gets ultra rich and buys the Washington Post and does Blue Origin.Elon Musk gets ultra rich and buys Twitter and does SpaceX. Joining the elite club @pickeringenergy bought a used typewriter and some old bottle rockets at a yard sale last weekend" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1514554912482463751) 2022-04-14T10:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Talk about bravado - Melvin Capital (smoked by meme stocks) was -40% last year -20% YTD. Negotiating with investors to return capital and start a new fund. Will let those investors in the new vehicle. Would high water mark travel Ballsy play for fee reset. Not a good look" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1516987688997502976) 2022-04-21T03:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Yet another wakeup call for underweight energy non-believers. Buffet and Berkshire bought $40B of energy stocks in Q1. Im sure it was just a trade" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1520859549393166336) 2022-05-01T20:15Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "We haven't had one of these bloodbath days in energy recently ( $XLE -6.6% as I type) but we shouldn't be surprised with market increasingly baking in recession (demand risk). Gut check time for the next while. Call me a maniac but I think energy remains compelling so you BTD" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1523691321499607042) 2022-05-09T15:48Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Biden releases SPR (3x) and today saying will release heating oil reserve if necessary. Running out of above ground options the inevitable progress here is supporting the release of below ground reserves - otherwise known as drilling. Hide and watch - incentives are coming. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1528725892977008643) 2022-05-23T13:13Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Eyecatching - if you sold energy today because OPEC hinting about excluding Russia (and thus giving themselves more room to produce) you sold for the wrong reason. More oil keeps prices reasonable demand OK and generates longevity.that is how we're really gonna get paid. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1531765266648117249) 2022-05-31T22:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Energy proud. Proud of energy. The best sight between Houston and Austin #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1534619256175923206) 2022-06-08T19:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "So damn frustrating. Oil/gas/gasoline prices high because of supply/demand imbalance. You fix with more supply or less demand.period. If demand declines are politically upalatable then supply must increase. Increasing oil company taxes accomplishes nothing. WAKE UP WASHINGTON" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1536778061747605504) 2022-06-14T18:30Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "The irony of a gas tax holiday - in theory it lowers the "cost" to the consumer while simultaneously supporting demand which keeps the price higher than it would otherwise be. SUPPLY is the answer" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1539641941348204544) 2022-06-22T16:10Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Any investor that buys a house off a handwritten sign on the side of the roadwellIm just sort of in awe of both sides of that transaction" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1544877051529904128) 2022-07-07T02:52Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Down 60c in [--] days. Gouging bastards conquered. Thank you White House for everything youve done to help the driving public" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1545855404793536514) 2022-07-09T19:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Elon on the $TSLA conference call and nobody had the guts to ask about Twitter. Sheep" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1549893241922887682) 2022-07-20T23:05Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "OPEC shows willingness to protect price with a reversal of last months token increase. WTI rallying $3+/bbl today while US money managers holidaying. Watch it go down 50c tomorrow and energy stocks fall because oil is down. My defeatist thinking courtesy of 2014-2022. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1566799815576633345) 2022-09-05T14:46Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Becoming increasingly clear OPEC is going to make an effort to support price. Why cut Because they dont like the price. Whether it is demand destruction or trading action that is causing weakness this market is going to have a lot fewer barrels come Mid-November (SPR and OPEC)" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1576656012110487553) 2022-10-02T19:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Food for thought.OPEC can cut more/longer than Biden administration can release from SPR. This OPEC meeting a wakeup call for US politicians that energy inflation is going to be STICKY" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1577624995278233603) 2022-10-05T11:41Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "Record oil profits getting bashed hard by politicians - please just shut up. Within the past [--] months 100+ energy companies went bankrupt. $AAPL and $XOM had almost the exact same net income. Where is the outrage at the high cost of IPhones Hypocrisy" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1586170205914693633) 2022-10-29T01:37Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Im old enough to remember a time when making money was respected. I really really really miss those days" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1586171459462115329) 2022-10-29T01:42Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "Will save some ammo for after the press conference - but there is a reason energy stocks arent cratering on windfall profits tax threats. Because it isnt going to happen. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1587124888388702210) 2022-10-31T16:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "I know little about crypto but I watched the Enron saga unfold back in [----] and this FTX meltdown has many similar characteristics. Be careful" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1590915599852769280) 2022-11-11T03:53Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "The energy sector and oil/gas markets have a way of testing your conviction (another way of saying - breaking your heart). Usually when you think the setup is the most obvious (end of SPR China covid easingetc). Don't play the game if you can't take the vol. I remain bullish" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1600540654295470080) 2022-12-07T17:20Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements "In case you think there is no recession ongoing I present the Cracker Indicator. Name Brand $3.28 and plenty of supply. Store brand $1.98 and shelf is bare" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1614401709954007040) 2023-01-14T23:18Z 34.4K followers, 36.1K engagements "Almost 100% correlations - 1) I wake up early to "get some work done" my little girl also wakes up and demands an early breakfast. 2) I need to get something done at night little lady requires [---] books and [--] songs before bed. Is this typical" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1615934075734196227) 2023-01-19T04:48Z 34.4K followers, 61.2K engagements ""We're gonna need oil for at least another decade".the President of the United States. And he wonders why oil companies didn't pour a bunch of cash into new drilling at his request #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1623150984611393538) 2023-02-08T02:45Z 34.4K followers, 42.5K engagements "OPEC cutting 1mmbbls/day - my mind is blown. These moves typically telegraphed. This one wasnt. Caught traders flat footed and lowest net long levels in years. Biden administration going to love this - NOT. Great reminder to never be complacent. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1642555680820191232) 2023-04-02T15:52Z 34.4K followers, 77K engagements "In the I should have known better category - hall pass for buddies 60th birthday in NYC - 2am finish and woke up at 7:15am - almost exactly the time my flight back to Houston was departing. Now missing kiddos Unicorn Extravaganza and totally in the doghouse. Pray for me" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1657386565503516672) 2023-05-13T14:05Z 34.4K followers, 59K engagements "Eyecatching: Goldman backs off $90/bbl.all the way to $81. The reality of 2H '23 is that unless demand totally lays an egg inventories should draw nicely and prices will recover. $75 $85 $95.all would feel tasty vs. current level/chop. Deep breaths and patience. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1668718695974072320) 2023-06-13T20:35Z 34.4K followers, 28.8K engagements "Solid argument by @WarrenPies for Brent touching $100/bbl. I HOPE HE IS WRONG. $100 puts demand at risk and brings politics back into the equation. I'm an oil bull.I want $80-$90 WTI with duration. Counterintuitive but $100/bbl is worse for equity investors. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1700252847030567265) 2023-09-08T21:00Z 34.4K followers, 23.7K engagements "Eyecatching - Energy CEO types and Wall Street analysts saying oil could be $150/bblplease has everyone forgotten 3mmbbls/day of OPEC+ offline capacity No way oil averages $100+ in [----]. Just wanting it doesnt make it so. And we shouldnt want it (demand). #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1706858857849618434) 2023-09-27T02:30Z 34.4K followers, 79.8K engagements "So whether $XOM for $PXD happens now or later consolidation is coming. If you don't grow volumes you grow by consolidation cost cuts and scale. We saw this in the early 90's.when the big guys start buying each other the dominos fall fast. Thread below #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1710121426630439300) 2023-10-06T02:34Z 34.4K followers, 139.9K engagements "Oil markets got a lot more complicated over the weekend. Iran backs Hamas and so higher risk of Middle East conflict and/or tougher sanctions on Iran barrels. Oil goes higher. But Saudi hates Iran and might release oil to prevent a spike. Oil goes lower. Tough to call.#EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1711127092522541481) 2023-10-08T21:11Z 34.4K followers, 37.3K engagements "In my opinion this $XOM + $PXD deal kicks off Shale3.0 - bigger companies bigger deals even longer laterals cost-focused inventory for 2030+ eventually multi-basin.Evolution not revolution. US production to 14-15mmbopd by 27-28. #Shale3dot0 #EFT https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231011046108/en/ https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231011046108/en/" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1712056095911432375) 2023-10-11T10:42Z 34.4K followers, 69.7K engagements "Quick takeaways from Day One of $XOM + $PXD combo: Market didnt love it with XOM off 4%. Probably a bit of deal exhaustion. If u believe this cycle has duration (which I do) this was a solid (massive) bolt-on at a decent price for excellent assets. Thread below #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1712218034209755519) 2023-10-11T21:26Z 34.4K followers, 53.4K engagements "Another big energy merger deal another yawn from Wall Street. $CVX + $HES and $XOM + $PXD have very different assets but contain several of the same messages. Many will look back at these deals in [--] years and wonder why they didnt listen. Thread below. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1716639695046602864) 2023-10-24T02:16Z 34.4K followers, 118.5K engagements "WSJ reporting $OXY for CrownRock at well above $10B. Ive heard $13B is the number. At that price whoever is the buyer we better see a serious deep dive on the value/assumptions given $8-$10B was the going-in expectation. A good time to be a Permian seller. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1730089159895691724) 2023-11-30T04:59Z 34.4K followers, 54.1K engagements "With respect to @elonmusk onstage/CNBC F-bombs.the last time I saw/heard something like that was Jeff Skilling of Enron calling an investor an a**hole on a quarterly conference call. That didn't end well. Just saying. $TSLA" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1730204214222098752) 2023-11-30T12:36Z 34.4K followers, 44.3K engagements "Im not sure which is more painful - A [--] year career in energy or coming to the Houston Galleria in December. just kidding. The Galleria is worse than almost anything the human brain can imagine" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1731439613699399850) 2023-12-03T22:25Z 34.4K followers, 27.5K engagements "Well.there it is: $OXY for CrownRock. Rumor mill was there two weeks ago and today it was made official. $12B consideration. Smiling faces at sponsor (Lime Rock) and family (Dunns). Competitve process and $OXY paid the most. Thoughts via thread below:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1734425215696839020) 2023-12-12T04:09Z 34.4K followers, 61.7K engagements "Energy investors and analysts watching $META and $AMZN crush their Q4 results. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1753178649614799336) 2024-02-01T22:08Z 34.4K followers, 30.8K engagements "1994 right out of business school. Choose your sector they said.energy or tech.what's it going to be I said.energy" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1753179810669441190) 2024-02-01T22:13Z 34.4K followers, 14.8K engagements "Toby Keith had some of the best lines ever in country music. I aint as good as I once was but Im as good once as I ever was is a favorite. RIP. His passing at age [--] has this [--] year old questioning how I am spending my time" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1755001690108182761) 2024-02-06T22:53Z 34.4K followers, 18.7K engagements "WSJ has $FANG buying Endeavor. This deal starts on 2nd base for me as Diamondback management has done nothing but smart stuff for years and the asset overlap is excellent. That said - I want the details @KVanthof #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1756771201655939216) 2024-02-11T20:04Z 34.4K followers, 27.2K engagements "As if earnings season and mergers weren't enough entertainment we now have the $XOM + $CVX battle over $HES's Guyana. These two literally fighting (in arbitration court) to spend $40B+. Tells you Guyana is really really really (that's [--] reallys) valuable. Pull up the popcorn" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1765738513138344395) 2024-03-07T13:57Z 34.4K followers, 41.6K engagements "Beware the calls for $100 oil. It might happen but it is FAR from sustainable with this much OPEC+ production off the market. Supply/demand tighter than I expected earlier this year but not $100/bbl good. Lets just be happy with $80 WTI #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1777043550842085740) 2024-04-07T18:39Z 34.4K followers, 23.7K engagements "Eyecatching - Darn it $FANG + Endeavor gets a second request from FTC on last possible daywhen is the government going to realize no Permian producer is going to influence/control the price of oil. OPEC cant even do it at 30mmbbls/day #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1785091873838670234) 2024-04-29T23:40Z 34.4K followers, 19.8K engagements "Meanwhileover at $DVNs M&A war room" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1795781390870495636) 2024-05-29T11:37Z 34.4K followers, 33.2K engagements "Crude opens down 5% or almost $4/bbl. You dont know the geopolitical risk premium until it comes out. Crude remains heavy. no room for OPEC+ to return. None" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1850659981575528932) 2024-10-27T22:04Z 34.4K followers, 63.9K engagements "I suspect that after this election is over the world will still consume over 100mmbbls/day of oil and energy companies will still make a lot of money" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1853768037218025818) 2024-11-05T11:55Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements "The Energy Secretary nod goes to Chris Wright @ChrisAWright_ He knows the energy industry knows what is sensible and what is impractical. Doubt he will get Drill Baby Drill from the E&P industry but we can count on him advocating for practical policy. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1857911862093873579) 2024-11-16T22:21Z 34.4K followers, 24.4K engagements "In the cateogry of "Why won't generalist investors deploy capital in the oil and gas space" - nothing like President Trump directly asking OPEC to lower prices (and energy industry profitability). That'll make a diversified investor think twice about getting bullish #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1882489140870258973) 2025-01-23T18:02Z 34.4K followers, 29.5K engagements "Big protest on deportations in Houston this afternoon. I live about [--] blocks from several I59 overpasses where people like to hang signs/flags. The massive phalanx of cars rolling thru my neighborhood blasting music (turned up to 11) isnt necessarily winning me over" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1886168140016501000) 2025-02-02T21:41Z 34.4K followers, 25.4K engagements "I'm old enough to remember when the US President didn't argue with another world leader on national TV. Wow just wow. With friends like these" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1895536474508202245) 2025-02-28T18:08Z 34.4K followers, 49.4K engagements "It is with great joy that I announce the FINAL results of my [--] year bet with QuickDrawCapital/ZenQDC on Permian E&P vs. S&P500. The bet outlasted his time on Twitter.but the results are still just as sweet. My Permian names lapped the S&P500. History and details in thread. #EFT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1895872911862612267) 2025-03-01T16:25Z 34.4K followers, 28.3K engagements "Buckle up people you're gonna get your chance at "cheap" energy names. There is NO ROOM for even 200kbbls/day of OPEC oil returning to the market.ugh just ugh. And you wonder why generalists won't get involved in energy #EFT #OOTT https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/7477.htm https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/7477.htm" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1896637702818455558) 2025-03-03T19:04Z 34.4K followers, 50K engagements "Bloomberg headline: US Shale Can Live With $50 Per Barrel Oil Price: BNEF #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1905243073266794775) 2025-03-27T12:58Z 34.4K followers, 31.7K engagements "Let's summarize - oil markets getting worse gas markets getting better stocks markets in risk off mode uncertainty rising. Value in energy pretty good.but rate of change is negative and value is not a catalyst. Some thoughts within on oil markets in particular. #EFT #OOTT"" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1908300488992338026) 2025-04-04T23:27Z 34.4K followers, 175.3K engagements "S&P futures off -4.5% tonight. There is a silver lining to this. At -5% per day the market is at zero by the end of April and there will only be upside" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/1909023868569735540) 2025-04-06T23:22Z 34.4K followers, 18.9K engagements "Eyecatching - litmus test for investor views on Upstream - $MTDR intends to drop a rig (9 goes to 8) and announces $400MM share repo authorization. My personal view - exactly the right thing to do. Buy cheap barrels in the stock market save some valuable inventory. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1915162669054644451) 2025-04-23T21:55Z 34.4K followers, 41.9K engagements "Its going to get even uglier. Hello $50s WTI (or worse) Absolutely no room for incremental barrels at a price in the $60s. Doesnt matter why they are doing it OPEC is doing it. Stay buckled up #EFT #OOTT https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/243563-03-may-2025.html https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/243563-03-may-2025.html" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1918659586375991809) 2025-05-03T13:31Z 34.4K followers, 83.1K engagements "Israel bombs Iran nuclear facilities oil spikes stock markets dip retaliation promised and now we ponder what comes next. Spoiler alert wide range of potential oil outcomes (WTI $50-$90+) but from $73/bbl this morning downside skew outweighs upside skew. #EFT #OOTT Thread:" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1933492702936494521) 2025-06-13T11:52Z 34.4K followers, 97.1K engagements "I'd rather have [--] months of $50 oil pain US E&P capex cuts US prod down 1+mmbopd OPEC "all the way back" demand growth spurred and be primed for a cyclical recovery than [--] years of $60-$65 oil where industry profits blah energy 2.5% S&P OPEC overhang remains. #EFT #OOTT" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1963961194806407179) 2025-09-05T13:43Z 34.4K followers, 37.7K engagements "Spent time with Bloomberg's @FerroTV and @annmarie talking Venezuela issues/implications. Topics = winners/losers oil prices implications speed for this to play out willingness of majors to invest need for clarity. #EFT #OOT Segment starts 1:50. https://youtu.be/-Sq1NwXp5tAsi=h1cYQyHs_pgRu7GE&t=6691 https://youtu.be/-Sq1NwXp5tAsi=h1cYQyHs_pgRu7GE&t=6691" [X Link](https://x.com/pickeringenergy/status/2008302447098216842) 2026-01-05T22:19Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@pickeringenergy Dan PickeringDan Pickering posts on X about iran, stocks, $xom, oil the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 27.91% stocks 18.6% countries 15.5% technology brands 7.75% cryptocurrencies 6.2% social networks 4.65% automotive brands 3.1% celebrities 2.33%
Social topic influence iran 10.08%, stocks 7.75%, $xom 6.98%, oil 6.98%, in the 4.65%, if you 4.65%, $fang 3.88%, market 3.88%, twitter 3.88%, gas 3.88%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @bigideascapital @danmurphy @davidwethe @texaschildrens @oceansprayinc @jimcramer @javierblas @thefrackingguy @warrenpies @elonmusk @kvanthof @chrisawright @ferrotv @annmarie @reignots @pep_energybrain
Top assets mentioned Exxon Mobil (XOM) Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG) Devon Energy Corp (DVN) Pioneer Natural Resources Co (PXD) Convex Finance (CVX) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) EOG Resources Inc (EOG) Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) Oxygen (OXY) 69Coin (69) Transocean LTD. (RIG) Validity (VAL) Bitcoin (BTC) BP p.l.c. (BP) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"(Over)Supply/demand fundamentals continue to drag down oil price. Where do we go Low enough to shut down supply - which means OPEC cut or lower US shale activity. I suspect the latter and think well see $FANGs low $50s red light get triggered. No fun but necessary #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2025-12-16T13:04Z 34.4K followers, 23.3K engagements
"My conclusion from above: Trump wants oil price down/low.He is not a friend of the US energy industry he is a counterparty to the oilpatch. $XOM politely said what almost everyone attending had to be thinking. Uninvestable without significant changes. This is going to take TIME"
X Link 2026-01-09T23:20Z 34.4K followers, 64.5K engagements
"Observation: Not a single shale-oriented independent E&P player was in attendance. No $EOG $FANG $DVN etc. None of these folks likely to be a Ven player and probably none of them loving what is happening as the US pushes/sponsors a bunch of competitive barrels in Venezuela"
X Link 2026-01-09T23:20Z 34.4K followers, 12.8K engagements
"Looking to [----] - OPEC+ production will be higher y/y (even though they've paused average production will still be up y/y). US producers are flat/up in [----] (PEP's research coverage shows our covered companies +2% y/y). Somebody has to blink or inventory hits Covid highs"
X Link 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"What price is a catalyst for change in supply behavior Trump wants $50. For Harold Hamm in the Bakken the number is high $50's. $FANG has signaled low $50's is red light territory. Will OPEC+ cut and support price"
X Link 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Rubio yesterday to Senate Foreign Relations Committee: "There's no world in which the United States is subsidizing investment in Venezuelan oil" Meanwhile from Exxon headquarters #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2026-01-29T14:50Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow Yes No See results I am uninterested Yes No See results I am uninterested"
X Link 2026-02-02T00:41Z 34.4K followers, 23.2K engagements
"Took a look late last week at oil/oil markets with CNBC's @dan_murphy. Covered a lot of ground - from Iran (oil market at 25% probability of disruption) to Venezuela to Kazakhstan to supply/demand imbalance. Always something happening #EFT #OOTT https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/01/30/escalation-in-us-iran-tensions-could-push-oil-prices-to-triple-digits.html https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/01/30/escalation-in-us-iran-tensions-could-push-oil-prices-to-triple-digits.html"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:55Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"I think this might be the equivalent of me getting on the Golf Channel to talk about improving your short game"
X Link 2026-02-03T03:22Z 34.4K followers, 11K engagements
"US and Iran powwow today - oil markets will care. WTI off its recent highs ($65/bbl) but well above recent lows ($55). Fundamentals soft geopolitical stuff has ramped. I'm fading most permutations of Iran/US outcome. Thread below.your observations welcomed. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"WTI rallies every time Iran/US tensions rise. It should. On a risk-weighted basis if something notably bad erupts in the Middle East that results in meaningful supply disruption oil prices are going high (think $100+). So oil should have a risk-weighted premium"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Of course the key question is how much premium and for how long I see it as TWO things have to happen. First tensions have to turn into something more meangingful (like summer 2025) and second a conflict has to result in some sort of damage to Middle East production/supply"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Taking a step back why would oil prices go high 30mmbopd are produced by Iran (3.5mmbopd) or within [---] miles of Iran borders. Thats 30% of global supply. 20mmbopd moves thru the Straits of Hormuz (on Iran's border). If you shut off even a fraction of this.oil prices go up"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"If you think my high/low oil prices are incorrect input your own. If you are a $50 low $100 high then the current market implied risk is 28% (using same formula above). Build your own adventure $40/$120 $60/$150 etc"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Why bother with all this If equities go up with oil price and oil price is going up because of an Iran premium you can make some sort of educated guess on whether or not you want to buy/sell/hold your energy stocks. The more Iran premium the more of an Iran bet you are making"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Now that we have a formula/methodolgy we have to make a qualitative assessment of whether the implied probabilities (at 20% in $55/$100 scenario) make things "cheap" or "expensive". The past [--] years of history say that Iran conflicts don't result in production disruptions"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"On September 14th [----] Iran lobbed a missle into Saudi's Abqaiq processing facility (7mmbopd). During that period oil had drifted from $52 in July [----] to mid$50's on tensions.then spiked to $62/bbl on the first trading day following the Sept 14th attack"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"It held above $60 for another day then moved back to $52 by late September. Why Iran's missile hit a spot that was repaired within weeks. That seems like a message not an attempt at a lethal blow. Tensions eased the premium evaporated"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Looking at the conflict with Iran last summer (yep it was just June [--] [----] that bombs were flying in Iran). WTI oil traded +$10/bbl intraday on June 13th and settled +$5/bbl at $73.proceeds to drift up to $75/bbl on June 19th. Here's where it gets interesting"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"On June 23rd Iran launched a missle at US air base in Qatar (after signaling its intentions). Oil closed at $69. Cease fire announced June 24th oil closes $64.right back at pre-crisis levels. Tensions eased the premium evaporated"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Iran could have mined the Straits of Hormuz they didn't. They could have lobbed missiles into Saudi oilfields they didn't. The Israelis or US could have bombed Iranian oilfields and infrastructure. They didn't. There was no disruption. Just like 2019"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"ACTIONS by both parties have shown that damaging Iranian or Middle East oil production is a third rail type of action. Developed countries want uninterupted oil flow and low gasoline prices. If Iran removes that they invite harsher actions/retaliation"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"If US hurts Iran oil production the US is hurting itself (high oil/gasoline). And if the US overtly pushes regime change leaving Iran no off-ramps or "nothing to lose" then Iran could lash out (high oil/gasoline). Does Trump really want that in front of the midterms"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I put all these ingredients in a blender and come up with the conclusion that even if the likelihood of a conflict US/Iran is high the probability of meanignful supply reduction is low. Thus FOR ME implied odds of 20-30% conflict+disruption feels too high"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Said another way in my opinion the cost of Iran-conflict-takes-oil-to-$100 insurance is too high. Makes me inclined to fade any oil rally above low $60's. Of course all this can change with a tweet or one missle.but I bet I get the chance to own oil/energy lower than here"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Is all this too simplistic Sure. But how this plays out could be a +50%/-10% move in oil.which matters and thus demands attention. Side note I'm building a time machine to enable restarting my career as a tech guy instead of an energy guy. GoFundMe info available via DMs. #EFT"
X Link 2026-02-06T17:18Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Hat tip to Bloomberg's @DavidWethe for the Harold Hamm interview last Friday. I'm convinced [----] is the Battle of the Titans (OPEC+ vs. US shale) to see who is the first to reduce production in a dramatically oversupplied market. Maybe shale is blinking first Thread. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, 11.3K engagements
"What's happening - Hamm indicating his Continental Resources is stopping drilling in the Bakken. Quote was "This will be the first time in over [--] years that Harold Hamm has not had an operation with drilling rigs in North Dakota". So something is changing"
X Link 2026-01-19T02:37Z 34.4K followers, 12.7K engagements
"And there it is https://www.devonenergy.com/news/2026/Devon-Energy-and-Coterra-Energy-to-Combine-Creating-a-Premier-Shale-Operator A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow https://www.devonenergy.com/news/2026/Devon-Energy-and-Coterra-Energy-to-Combine-Creating-a-Premier-Shale-Operator A lot of chatter on $DVN / $CTRA for the past [--] days. Merger Monday tomorrow"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:04Z 34.4K followers, 18K engagements
""Energy as an AI hedge" has traction. Stat from Goldman today - $XLE on track for [--] straight weeks of outperformance vs. SPX to the tune of +25percentage points. Monster. Welcome after [--] years of underperformance. Sustainable.guess we have to see if tech trade get reborn. #EFT"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:50Z 34.4K followers, 15.9K engagements
"Another Merger Monday this time in OFS with $RIG and $VAL putting together a behemoth offshore driller. Tasty premium paid in all stock deal helps out $RIG balance sheet and lots of contract coverage. Not many names left in the space now.natural outcome of the downturn. #EFT"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:19Z 34.4K followers, 24.3K engagements
"Uhhhhhhhplease dont. Oil market needs more OPEC+ production like I need to be in charge of a first grade bake sale. Maybe posturing to please the US Maybe figurative air cover for more US Iranian strikes Thanks for ruining Spring Break #EFT #OOTT https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/opec-leans-towards-resumption-oil-output-increases-april-sources-say-2026-02-13/#::text=Summaryimmediately%20to%20requests%20for%20comment"
X Link 2026-02-13T12:32Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Admit it.if you are being completely objective the performance of energy stocks today in the face of oil price is pretty darn impressive"
X Link 2020-04-20T16:04Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Alerting all oil recovery skeptics.there is hope. At coffee shop today big pickup pulls in woman hops out to stand grab her latte. Boyfriend stays in the truck.AND LEAVES IT RUNNING. Weve got a chance people.weve got a chance"
X Link 2020-04-25T15:28Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Tsunami of shut-ins are coming. Speaking with multiple public/privates all saying they've got their plans and are starting to turn off volumes. Realized cash pricing $2-$10 the driver. Not surprising but evidence the "market" works faster than government regulators or OPEC+"
X Link 2020-04-29T03:17Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"One year ago the amazing congenital pediatric heart surgery team @TexasChildrens hospital performed an incredibly complicated [--] hour surgery. Today baby Merrill rides with a special heart and mucho gusto. So very thankful for the best baby heart team in the world"
X Link 2020-05-27T01:46Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The PEP #EFT EnergyDogface Challenge is ON Submit your best video here on Twitter. Must include @OceanSprayInc + FleetwoodMac song. Be original. Tag #EFT & @pickeringenergy. Winners announced 10/30.hopefully on Roll Call. PEP Swag as prizes. PEP=final judge/jury. Let's Roll"
X Link 2020-10-21T20:27Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Dare i say it Yes I will. [----] is the year to think #MEGA. Make Energy Great Again. Too much pessimism not enough respect. No more dumpster fire mentality. Time to think positive and be optimistic. All aboard"
X Link 2020-12-18T04:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"My [--] year old son teaches sixth grade math. He's not an investor & has no stonk portfolio. At lunch today he asked about GameStop. Several of his friends "along for the ride". This is not a market rebellion it is a combo of greed and Ponzi scheme and will end horribly for most"
X Link 2021-01-30T21:45Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Eyecatching stuff: $XOM/$CVX merger rumor gets no respect as both underperform S&P.appropriate as that deal damn hard to get done. $TSLA +6% rumor is Elon will spend almost [--] days this month focused on the car business (vs. SpaceX Boring Neuralink bitcoin GME tweets etc)"
X Link 2021-02-01T23:35Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I feel so fortunate to have energy expert Jim Cramer assessing how quickly oil will become obsolete. He also said the energy sector was dead before this 75%+ move. Just hanging on every word"
X Link 2021-02-12T14:24Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Gonna be a LOT of fingerpointing around power outages etc. Texas grid simply not made for this sort of demand and lack of fuel didnt help (wind AND nat gas). Clearly highlights we are not ready/capable to go to carbon free power any time soon. Energy transition will be long"
X Link 2021-02-16T13:55Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Gotta say dont love Wall Street folks jumping on oil can go to $100 bandwagon. Sure its possible but why hype it up too much Slow and steady capex down free cash up and let the market show us tightness with inventory draws. I want [--] years of +50%/yr not [--] year of +75%"
X Link 2021-02-25T04:39Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Oh boy.@jimcramer closed Mad Money today with a double down on the end of oil. It's all gonna be EVs not gasoline. A disservice to listeners encouraging them to think we don't need hydrocarbons. Energy Transition will last decades. Where does he think electricity comes from"
X Link 2021-03-03T00:06Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Holy schnikes Listening to CNBC in my car and commercial comes on. They are pitchingwait for itoil and gas investments. The commodities. Baby WE ARE BACK (And now I am frightened)"
X Link 2021-06-24T14:54Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"My secret is out. It isnt the Cardinal its the kid. Shes nailed the last [--] points in WTI. Recently promoted to MD. Salary increase after threat to go join Vitol. Worth every penny"
X Link 2021-07-02T03:32Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Great Salt Lake is approaching its lowest water level in [--] years. Climate folks say global warming. But what was the cause/issue in [----] when it set its low water record I dont knowbut the climate boogeyman isnt around every corner contrary to everything you read"
X Link 2021-07-18T18:21Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Welcome to the next [--] years.immediately after Senate approval for Infra bill (incentivizing many things competitive to oil&gas) Biden administration asks OPEC for further production bump. "We don't want your dirty hydrocarbons.but while we need them we want them cheap""
X Link 2021-08-11T11:08Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Oil demand probably hit a secular peak last year and thanks to #EVs now is in secular decline. Though ARK has no formal forecast I believe that #Oilprices are on their way back to $12 the level reached after the [----] oil cartel crisis or lower now that EVs are taking off. Oil demand probably hit a secular peak last year and thanks to #EVs now is in secular decline. Though ARK has no formal forecast I believe that #Oilprices are on their way back to $12 the level reached after the [----] oil cartel crisis or lower now that EVs are taking off"
X Link 2021-09-27T17:08Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"We endured 5+ years of painful energy downcycle for time periods like now (commodity price strength money flow waking up to the opportunity). Harder part is sticking around for the next double. This doesn't end with stocks trading at 8-14% free cash yields. #staythecourse #EFT"
X Link 2021-10-05T22:36Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Consensus is shale companies will cave in and spend like drunken sailors.I disagree - the companies have been pummeled into submission. it is the (new) INVESTORS that will cave - theyll be the ones clamoring for growth 2023+. And energy stocks will re-rate as/when this happens"
X Link 2021-10-23T18:13Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"SPR reserve release thinking 1) we all "know" its coming 2) WTI oil -$9 from highs (covid also driving) 3) it isn't that many barrels in grand scheme of things 4) OPEC may react by slowing production adds. Conclusion - this too shall pass & oil fundy's are fine. Don't panic"
X Link 2021-11-23T12:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Oil getting back to that spot where it held last time. It was tasty then and it is tasty now. Covid is a problem.but not a big one. Close your eyes and step up.or at least get more bullish"
X Link 2021-12-20T17:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Emptyevery time i drive past. The energy transition is going to take a LONG time"
X Link 2022-01-01T17:37Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Its happening.the market's slinking back into energy. YTD $XOM +15% $BP +14% beating out E&Ps like $EOG $FANG & $DVN (+12-13%). These majors don't move without big institutional buyers. Greed always wins people.always. Oil&gas putting up the numbers.2022 outperforms again"
X Link 2022-01-11T17:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Tech investors/growth investors got a taste this week of what is was like in energy 10-15 times PER YEAR from [----] through [----]. Energy hands are scarred and weathered and tough tech hands are silkier than an English nobleman"
X Link 2022-01-21T22:06Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"heythe lock worked"
X Link 2022-01-30T20:22Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Where are the calls for windfall profits taxes on Google and Apple #EFT 40bn profits for BP and Shell fuel calls for windfall tax on energy firms https://t.co/NpIXPOtAez 40bn profits for BP and Shell fuel calls for windfall tax on energy firms https://t.co/NpIXPOtAez"
X Link 2022-02-05T18:04Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Received word today from Ford that I will not get a [----] Ford Lightning - ordered within minutes of the order book opening in May [----]. So when we look at EV adoption stats keep in mind vehicle availability is a factor"
X Link 2022-03-05T03:24Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"@JavierBlas @TheFrackingGuy There is an old adage - lack of preparation on your part does not constitute an emergency on mypart. Having said that - I believe the Russian situation has kicked off the next growth phase of US oilpatch which will result in new highs in US production by 2024/2025"
X Link 2022-03-05T15:28Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I read Senator Warren talking about windfall profits tax on an industry that just went through a near death experience and is being asked to invest precious capital to bump production. So tone deaf and wrong that i am embarassed for our political system. Embarassed"
X Link 2022-03-09T20:23Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Eyecatching: Oil -3% today.and I just don't care. Whether WTI is $110 $120 or $90 on any given day we're in an environment where #EnergySecurity is gaining steam and we're gonna need more Trustworthy Barrels. Demand destruction/recession is our biggest risk.not supply. #EFT"
X Link 2022-03-24T20:51Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Classic this morning. Oil getting smoked on potential big SPR release and energy stocks higher. Why Although front month WTI down -3.5% FY23 and FY24 WTI is up +0.6% and +1.8%. More supply near term but more demand (SPR refill) down the road.#PoliticalMisfire #EFT"
X Link 2022-03-31T14:01Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"A lot to unpack around President's press conf remarks on SPR gasoline etc. Thread below. Conclusion: Nothing I saw today makes me less bullish about owning energy equities. Watch the back end of the curve (trading higher) - that is the tell. FY25 WTI is $73 going to $80+"
X Link 2022-03-31T18:59Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Regretfully announcing my Twitter retirement. Combination of compliance time sink and nervousness about reprisals from diehard advocates on both energy transition AND oil&gas fronts. My family and job are too important to endanger. Its been a fun ride April Fools"
X Link 2022-04-01T11:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Since Friday morning thousands of energy nerds the press and oil watchers debated a 180mmbbl release from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Meanwhile the world consumed 300mmbbls"
X Link 2022-04-04T13:23Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Our friend Jim Cramer talks so much about energy now that I just dont have the time to point out all the gaffes and incorrect facts/statements. One thing he isnt wrong about - energy has more upside ahead"
X Link 2022-04-05T22:22Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I am watching this House Energy/Commerce meeting with the oil company execs. If it wasn't so sad it would be a good comedy. This is not a Q&A process this is an exercise in politicians generating content for their social media and re-election campaigns. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2022-04-06T16:02Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Bezos gets ultra rich and buys the Washington Post and does Blue Origin.Elon Musk gets ultra rich and buys Twitter and does SpaceX. Joining the elite club @pickeringenergy bought a used typewriter and some old bottle rockets at a yard sale last weekend"
X Link 2022-04-14T10:43Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Talk about bravado - Melvin Capital (smoked by meme stocks) was -40% last year -20% YTD. Negotiating with investors to return capital and start a new fund. Will let those investors in the new vehicle. Would high water mark travel Ballsy play for fee reset. Not a good look"
X Link 2022-04-21T03:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Yet another wakeup call for underweight energy non-believers. Buffet and Berkshire bought $40B of energy stocks in Q1. Im sure it was just a trade"
X Link 2022-05-01T20:15Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"We haven't had one of these bloodbath days in energy recently ( $XLE -6.6% as I type) but we shouldn't be surprised with market increasingly baking in recession (demand risk). Gut check time for the next while. Call me a maniac but I think energy remains compelling so you BTD"
X Link 2022-05-09T15:48Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Biden releases SPR (3x) and today saying will release heating oil reserve if necessary. Running out of above ground options the inevitable progress here is supporting the release of below ground reserves - otherwise known as drilling. Hide and watch - incentives are coming. #EFT"
X Link 2022-05-23T13:13Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Eyecatching - if you sold energy today because OPEC hinting about excluding Russia (and thus giving themselves more room to produce) you sold for the wrong reason. More oil keeps prices reasonable demand OK and generates longevity.that is how we're really gonna get paid. #EFT"
X Link 2022-05-31T22:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Energy proud. Proud of energy. The best sight between Houston and Austin #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2022-06-08T19:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"So damn frustrating. Oil/gas/gasoline prices high because of supply/demand imbalance. You fix with more supply or less demand.period. If demand declines are politically upalatable then supply must increase. Increasing oil company taxes accomplishes nothing. WAKE UP WASHINGTON"
X Link 2022-06-14T18:30Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The irony of a gas tax holiday - in theory it lowers the "cost" to the consumer while simultaneously supporting demand which keeps the price higher than it would otherwise be. SUPPLY is the answer"
X Link 2022-06-22T16:10Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Any investor that buys a house off a handwritten sign on the side of the roadwellIm just sort of in awe of both sides of that transaction"
X Link 2022-07-07T02:52Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Down 60c in [--] days. Gouging bastards conquered. Thank you White House for everything youve done to help the driving public"
X Link 2022-07-09T19:40Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Elon on the $TSLA conference call and nobody had the guts to ask about Twitter. Sheep"
X Link 2022-07-20T23:05Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"OPEC shows willingness to protect price with a reversal of last months token increase. WTI rallying $3+/bbl today while US money managers holidaying. Watch it go down 50c tomorrow and energy stocks fall because oil is down. My defeatist thinking courtesy of 2014-2022. #EFT"
X Link 2022-09-05T14:46Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Becoming increasingly clear OPEC is going to make an effort to support price. Why cut Because they dont like the price. Whether it is demand destruction or trading action that is causing weakness this market is going to have a lot fewer barrels come Mid-November (SPR and OPEC)"
X Link 2022-10-02T19:31Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Food for thought.OPEC can cut more/longer than Biden administration can release from SPR. This OPEC meeting a wakeup call for US politicians that energy inflation is going to be STICKY"
X Link 2022-10-05T11:41Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Record oil profits getting bashed hard by politicians - please just shut up. Within the past [--] months 100+ energy companies went bankrupt. $AAPL and $XOM had almost the exact same net income. Where is the outrage at the high cost of IPhones Hypocrisy"
X Link 2022-10-29T01:37Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Im old enough to remember a time when making money was respected. I really really really miss those days"
X Link 2022-10-29T01:42Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Will save some ammo for after the press conference - but there is a reason energy stocks arent cratering on windfall profits tax threats. Because it isnt going to happen. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2022-10-31T16:50Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I know little about crypto but I watched the Enron saga unfold back in [----] and this FTX meltdown has many similar characteristics. Be careful"
X Link 2022-11-11T03:53Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The energy sector and oil/gas markets have a way of testing your conviction (another way of saying - breaking your heart). Usually when you think the setup is the most obvious (end of SPR China covid easingetc). Don't play the game if you can't take the vol. I remain bullish"
X Link 2022-12-07T17:20Z 34.4K followers, [---] engagements
"In case you think there is no recession ongoing I present the Cracker Indicator. Name Brand $3.28 and plenty of supply. Store brand $1.98 and shelf is bare"
X Link 2023-01-14T23:18Z 34.4K followers, 36.1K engagements
"Almost 100% correlations - 1) I wake up early to "get some work done" my little girl also wakes up and demands an early breakfast. 2) I need to get something done at night little lady requires [---] books and [--] songs before bed. Is this typical"
X Link 2023-01-19T04:48Z 34.4K followers, 61.2K engagements
""We're gonna need oil for at least another decade".the President of the United States. And he wonders why oil companies didn't pour a bunch of cash into new drilling at his request #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-02-08T02:45Z 34.4K followers, 42.5K engagements
"OPEC cutting 1mmbbls/day - my mind is blown. These moves typically telegraphed. This one wasnt. Caught traders flat footed and lowest net long levels in years. Biden administration going to love this - NOT. Great reminder to never be complacent. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-04-02T15:52Z 34.4K followers, 77K engagements
"In the I should have known better category - hall pass for buddies 60th birthday in NYC - 2am finish and woke up at 7:15am - almost exactly the time my flight back to Houston was departing. Now missing kiddos Unicorn Extravaganza and totally in the doghouse. Pray for me"
X Link 2023-05-13T14:05Z 34.4K followers, 59K engagements
"Eyecatching: Goldman backs off $90/bbl.all the way to $81. The reality of 2H '23 is that unless demand totally lays an egg inventories should draw nicely and prices will recover. $75 $85 $95.all would feel tasty vs. current level/chop. Deep breaths and patience. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-06-13T20:35Z 34.4K followers, 28.8K engagements
"Solid argument by @WarrenPies for Brent touching $100/bbl. I HOPE HE IS WRONG. $100 puts demand at risk and brings politics back into the equation. I'm an oil bull.I want $80-$90 WTI with duration. Counterintuitive but $100/bbl is worse for equity investors. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-09-08T21:00Z 34.4K followers, 23.7K engagements
"Eyecatching - Energy CEO types and Wall Street analysts saying oil could be $150/bblplease has everyone forgotten 3mmbbls/day of OPEC+ offline capacity No way oil averages $100+ in [----]. Just wanting it doesnt make it so. And we shouldnt want it (demand). #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-09-27T02:30Z 34.4K followers, 79.8K engagements
"So whether $XOM for $PXD happens now or later consolidation is coming. If you don't grow volumes you grow by consolidation cost cuts and scale. We saw this in the early 90's.when the big guys start buying each other the dominos fall fast. Thread below #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-10-06T02:34Z 34.4K followers, 139.9K engagements
"Oil markets got a lot more complicated over the weekend. Iran backs Hamas and so higher risk of Middle East conflict and/or tougher sanctions on Iran barrels. Oil goes higher. But Saudi hates Iran and might release oil to prevent a spike. Oil goes lower. Tough to call.#EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-10-08T21:11Z 34.4K followers, 37.3K engagements
"In my opinion this $XOM + $PXD deal kicks off Shale3.0 - bigger companies bigger deals even longer laterals cost-focused inventory for 2030+ eventually multi-basin.Evolution not revolution. US production to 14-15mmbopd by 27-28. #Shale3dot0 #EFT https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231011046108/en/ https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231011046108/en/"
X Link 2023-10-11T10:42Z 34.4K followers, 69.7K engagements
"Quick takeaways from Day One of $XOM + $PXD combo: Market didnt love it with XOM off 4%. Probably a bit of deal exhaustion. If u believe this cycle has duration (which I do) this was a solid (massive) bolt-on at a decent price for excellent assets. Thread below #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-10-11T21:26Z 34.4K followers, 53.4K engagements
"Another big energy merger deal another yawn from Wall Street. $CVX + $HES and $XOM + $PXD have very different assets but contain several of the same messages. Many will look back at these deals in [--] years and wonder why they didnt listen. Thread below. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-10-24T02:16Z 34.4K followers, 118.5K engagements
"WSJ reporting $OXY for CrownRock at well above $10B. Ive heard $13B is the number. At that price whoever is the buyer we better see a serious deep dive on the value/assumptions given $8-$10B was the going-in expectation. A good time to be a Permian seller. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2023-11-30T04:59Z 34.4K followers, 54.1K engagements
"With respect to @elonmusk onstage/CNBC F-bombs.the last time I saw/heard something like that was Jeff Skilling of Enron calling an investor an a**hole on a quarterly conference call. That didn't end well. Just saying. $TSLA"
X Link 2023-11-30T12:36Z 34.4K followers, 44.3K engagements
"Im not sure which is more painful - A [--] year career in energy or coming to the Houston Galleria in December. just kidding. The Galleria is worse than almost anything the human brain can imagine"
X Link 2023-12-03T22:25Z 34.4K followers, 27.5K engagements
"Well.there it is: $OXY for CrownRock. Rumor mill was there two weeks ago and today it was made official. $12B consideration. Smiling faces at sponsor (Lime Rock) and family (Dunns). Competitve process and $OXY paid the most. Thoughts via thread below:"
X Link 2023-12-12T04:09Z 34.4K followers, 61.7K engagements
"Energy investors and analysts watching $META and $AMZN crush their Q4 results. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2024-02-01T22:08Z 34.4K followers, 30.8K engagements
"1994 right out of business school. Choose your sector they said.energy or tech.what's it going to be I said.energy"
X Link 2024-02-01T22:13Z 34.4K followers, 14.8K engagements
"Toby Keith had some of the best lines ever in country music. I aint as good as I once was but Im as good once as I ever was is a favorite. RIP. His passing at age [--] has this [--] year old questioning how I am spending my time"
X Link 2024-02-06T22:53Z 34.4K followers, 18.7K engagements
"WSJ has $FANG buying Endeavor. This deal starts on 2nd base for me as Diamondback management has done nothing but smart stuff for years and the asset overlap is excellent. That said - I want the details @KVanthof #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2024-02-11T20:04Z 34.4K followers, 27.2K engagements
"As if earnings season and mergers weren't enough entertainment we now have the $XOM + $CVX battle over $HES's Guyana. These two literally fighting (in arbitration court) to spend $40B+. Tells you Guyana is really really really (that's [--] reallys) valuable. Pull up the popcorn"
X Link 2024-03-07T13:57Z 34.4K followers, 41.6K engagements
"Beware the calls for $100 oil. It might happen but it is FAR from sustainable with this much OPEC+ production off the market. Supply/demand tighter than I expected earlier this year but not $100/bbl good. Lets just be happy with $80 WTI #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2024-04-07T18:39Z 34.4K followers, 23.7K engagements
"Eyecatching - Darn it $FANG + Endeavor gets a second request from FTC on last possible daywhen is the government going to realize no Permian producer is going to influence/control the price of oil. OPEC cant even do it at 30mmbbls/day #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2024-04-29T23:40Z 34.4K followers, 19.8K engagements
"Meanwhileover at $DVNs M&A war room"
X Link 2024-05-29T11:37Z 34.4K followers, 33.2K engagements
"Crude opens down 5% or almost $4/bbl. You dont know the geopolitical risk premium until it comes out. Crude remains heavy. no room for OPEC+ to return. None"
X Link 2024-10-27T22:04Z 34.4K followers, 63.9K engagements
"I suspect that after this election is over the world will still consume over 100mmbbls/day of oil and energy companies will still make a lot of money"
X Link 2024-11-05T11:55Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The Energy Secretary nod goes to Chris Wright @ChrisAWright_ He knows the energy industry knows what is sensible and what is impractical. Doubt he will get Drill Baby Drill from the E&P industry but we can count on him advocating for practical policy. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2024-11-16T22:21Z 34.4K followers, 24.4K engagements
"In the cateogry of "Why won't generalist investors deploy capital in the oil and gas space" - nothing like President Trump directly asking OPEC to lower prices (and energy industry profitability). That'll make a diversified investor think twice about getting bullish #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2025-01-23T18:02Z 34.4K followers, 29.5K engagements
"Big protest on deportations in Houston this afternoon. I live about [--] blocks from several I59 overpasses where people like to hang signs/flags. The massive phalanx of cars rolling thru my neighborhood blasting music (turned up to 11) isnt necessarily winning me over"
X Link 2025-02-02T21:41Z 34.4K followers, 25.4K engagements
"I'm old enough to remember when the US President didn't argue with another world leader on national TV. Wow just wow. With friends like these"
X Link 2025-02-28T18:08Z 34.4K followers, 49.4K engagements
"It is with great joy that I announce the FINAL results of my [--] year bet with QuickDrawCapital/ZenQDC on Permian E&P vs. S&P500. The bet outlasted his time on Twitter.but the results are still just as sweet. My Permian names lapped the S&P500. History and details in thread. #EFT"
X Link 2025-03-01T16:25Z 34.4K followers, 28.3K engagements
"Buckle up people you're gonna get your chance at "cheap" energy names. There is NO ROOM for even 200kbbls/day of OPEC oil returning to the market.ugh just ugh. And you wonder why generalists won't get involved in energy #EFT #OOTT https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/7477.htm https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/7477.htm"
X Link 2025-03-03T19:04Z 34.4K followers, 50K engagements
"Bloomberg headline: US Shale Can Live With $50 Per Barrel Oil Price: BNEF #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2025-03-27T12:58Z 34.4K followers, 31.7K engagements
"Let's summarize - oil markets getting worse gas markets getting better stocks markets in risk off mode uncertainty rising. Value in energy pretty good.but rate of change is negative and value is not a catalyst. Some thoughts within on oil markets in particular. #EFT #OOTT""
X Link 2025-04-04T23:27Z 34.4K followers, 175.3K engagements
"S&P futures off -4.5% tonight. There is a silver lining to this. At -5% per day the market is at zero by the end of April and there will only be upside"
X Link 2025-04-06T23:22Z 34.4K followers, 18.9K engagements
"Eyecatching - litmus test for investor views on Upstream - $MTDR intends to drop a rig (9 goes to 8) and announces $400MM share repo authorization. My personal view - exactly the right thing to do. Buy cheap barrels in the stock market save some valuable inventory. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2025-04-23T21:55Z 34.4K followers, 41.9K engagements
"Its going to get even uglier. Hello $50s WTI (or worse) Absolutely no room for incremental barrels at a price in the $60s. Doesnt matter why they are doing it OPEC is doing it. Stay buckled up #EFT #OOTT https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/243563-03-may-2025.html https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/243563-03-may-2025.html"
X Link 2025-05-03T13:31Z 34.4K followers, 83.1K engagements
"Israel bombs Iran nuclear facilities oil spikes stock markets dip retaliation promised and now we ponder what comes next. Spoiler alert wide range of potential oil outcomes (WTI $50-$90+) but from $73/bbl this morning downside skew outweighs upside skew. #EFT #OOTT Thread:"
X Link 2025-06-13T11:52Z 34.4K followers, 97.1K engagements
"I'd rather have [--] months of $50 oil pain US E&P capex cuts US prod down 1+mmbopd OPEC "all the way back" demand growth spurred and be primed for a cyclical recovery than [--] years of $60-$65 oil where industry profits blah energy 2.5% S&P OPEC overhang remains. #EFT #OOTT"
X Link 2025-09-05T13:43Z 34.4K followers, 37.7K engagements
"Spent time with Bloomberg's @FerroTV and @annmarie talking Venezuela issues/implications. Topics = winners/losers oil prices implications speed for this to play out willingness of majors to invest need for clarity. #EFT #OOT Segment starts 1:50. https://youtu.be/-Sq1NwXp5tAsi=h1cYQyHs_pgRu7GE&t=6691 https://youtu.be/-Sq1NwXp5tAsi=h1cYQyHs_pgRu7GE&t=6691"
X Link 2026-01-05T22:19Z 34.4K followers, [----] engagements
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