#  @llamaonthebrink Milliฮ Milliฮ posts on X about polymarket, kalshi, prediction markets, decentralized the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours. ### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/interactions)  - [--] Week [---------] +71% - [--] Month [---------] -17% - [--] Months [----------] +865% - [--] Year [----------] +47% ### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/posts_active)  - [--] Week [---] +33% - [--] Month [---] +56% - [--] Months [---] +147% - [--] Year [---] -78% ### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/followers)  - [--] Week [------] +0.21% - [--] Month [------] +0.71% - [--] Months [------] +5.10% - [--] Year [------] +17% ### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1276213805580681219/influencer_rank)  ### Social Influence **Social category influence** [finance](/list/finance) 25.17% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies) 18.54% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands) 7.95% [exchanges](/list/exchanges) 5.3% [social networks](/list/social-networks) 2.65% [currencies](/list/currencies) 0.66% [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 0.66% [countries](/list/countries) 0.66% [stocks](/list/stocks) 0.66% **Social topic influence** [polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #374, [kalshi](/topic/kalshi) #125, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #527, [decentralized](/topic/decentralized) #658, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 7.28%, [onchain](/topic/onchain) 7.28%, [oracle](/topic/oracle) 5.96%, [defi](/topic/defi) #645, [liquidity](/topic/liquidity) 5.3%, [money](/topic/money) 5.3% **Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by** [@trueoapp](/creator/undefined) [@ishaan0x](/creator/undefined) [@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@kalshi](/creator/undefined) [@movietimedev](/creator/undefined) [@base](/creator/undefined) [@mastermojo83](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@mdudas](/creator/undefined) [@haydenzadams](/creator/undefined) [@truemarkets](/creator/undefined) [@ceazor7](/creator/undefined) [@icobeast](/creator/undefined) [@adamscochran](/creator/undefined) [@boldleonidas](/creator/undefined) [@trueoapps](/creator/undefined) [@caronpolymarket](/creator/undefined) [@avifelman](/creator/undefined) [@charlesdhaussy](/creator/undefined) [@wintermutets](/creator/undefined) **Top assets mentioned** [Polymath (POLY)](/topic/$poly) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) ### Top Social Posts Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours "Make Crypto This Level of Cypher Punk Again" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1867002981087879394) 2024-12-12T00:26Z 15.2K followers, 52.3K engagements "Ayo frens What happened to EIP-7702 How come I still need to do token approvals I thought we fixed this in pectra. Werent the wallets supposed to support this by now" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1997540475507769598) 2025-12-07T05:35Z 15.2K followers, 64.7K engagements "Ayo did inverse finance end up covering all its bad debt Somehow Dola supply is at all time highs and still maintaining its peg despite everything thats happened. This is honestly quite impressive by @NourHaridy and @InverseFinance" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2006253399998599283) 2025-12-31T06:37Z 15.2K followers, 14.3K engagements "Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional context is textbook moving the goal posts; projecting the platforms bias on the market outcome. This question can only be fairly answered by a qualified credibly neutral decentralized jury pool. An ideal prediction market is one that is indifferent to the markets it facilitates much like how Uniswap is indifferent to the tokens that are traded in its smart contracts. The only way that is" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2008652407442424225) 2026-01-06T21:30Z 15.2K followers, 30K engagements "One of the allures of DeFi was that you could simply pop into a projects discord and find fellow users who share their product experiences with each other make suggestions provide feedback and track any development discussions. I personally hope this doesnt become a trend. Morpho's shutting down its public Discord. Didn't see that coming. This could be a trend for other protocols tooscams bot scraping or just too much noise might be at play. But maybe its also signals that big DeFi teams are focusing more on institutions and less on https://t.co/k3UeCKXyaS Morpho's shutting down its public" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2011550091988123892) 2026-01-14T21:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Has anyone considered a stablecoin-bond instrument that is backed by ETH staking rewards - ETH holders stake their ETH and borrow USD at an interest rate based on the expected value of their staking rewards over [--] [--] [--] and [--] year durations - The collateral is locked but never liquidated - The bond (loan + interest) is paid off using their staking rewards and the collateral is only freed up after it is paid back - If staking rewards increase in value because ETH appreciates then the bond can be repaid faster and if the value of the rewards decrease then the bond is repaid slower - Borrowers" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2011922613707128844) 2026-01-15T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "CT being a hostage of X for vibes is risky. Having recently been deplatformed while relying on X as our primary marketing medium I can confidently state that this risk is all too real. We were deplatformed not because we did anything dishonest but because our rights are limited to what X chooses them to be. It was over a trademark dispute with a virtually unknown company. A dispute which X had no business arbitrating yet they chose to anyway for reasons not disclosed to us. That is how centralization works. Opaque decisions made by those in control affecting those who depend on the" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2012461391068733568) 2026-01-17T09:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "I support any legitimate attempt to advance decentralized socials. We need it more than ever. Its the number one most important thing our industry can do now that tradFi has been thoroughly disrupted. Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready applications. https://t.co/mwgZOn7k4s Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2013682495288418774) 2026-01-20T18:38Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Earlier today Coingecko decided to censor $TRUE from their listings page. This is an unprecedented action over a petty trademark dispute thats detailed in the article below. Our token is very much active and also quite liquid relative to its supply. It can still be found on DexScreener GeckoTerminal and CoinMarketCap. There are hundreds of rug tokens listed on Coingecko. Some of which blatantly rip off well known trademarks and tickers representing memes or abandoned projects. What we are experiencing is a disproportionately hostile attack by an obscure CeFi company. Thankfully our project is" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2013732849778614371) 2026-01-20T21:58Z 15.2K followers, 15.6K engagements "Gm @Trueo_app ๐ฎ Our trademark transition is now complete. Trueo is compatible with our OG trademark yet its elegant and original. A new name and a fresh start. Time to continue building ๐๐ฆพ https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017277256297497057) 2026-01-30T16:42Z 15.2K followers, 15.7K engagements "If you want any indication of Binances fugazi levels look no further than their Opinion prediction market (a literal Polymarket codebase fork). Supposedly this market for a PM token has 140M in legit trading volume on order books with less than $5K depth. Wash trade heaven" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017305605707387362) 2026-01-30T18:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "A prediction market is only as good as its oracle. @Trueo_app was architectured to revolve around its oracle precisely to address this very thing. The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being turned into mush was determined to be "evidence of blackmail" uncovered in the Epstein files. Users trading the $2m market https://t.co/h6oYTd3DjI The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2017809818988237072) 2026-02-01T03:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Honestly Euler was a great project I was super sad when they were exploited. And I was also super lucky I had decent deposits in there just a week before the incident but withdrew them to farm Blur with jpegs. @euler_mabs original vision/product was quite compelling too tbh. Its really tough to recover from something like that especially as a lending protocol. EUL/USDT (and EUL/ETH) has been one of the most brutal defi charts this year. Trading at ATL even after [----] post-hack. CEO @euler_mab quits weeks after vest is completed chart looks like brutal twap-out of either team or liquid funds." [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018080081562706114) 2026-02-01T21:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "In theory follower/following networks as they exist today should satisfy that definition of preference-setting gadgets But I see your point that often some kind of neutral-like curation layer is needed to prompt ppl into discovering content networks that arent optimizing for virality. Kind of related to the old adage that it takes 100x less work to spread a lie than it does to disprove it And the worse part is that the work can be boring which is the dirtiest word in all forms of media" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018235571009618080) 2026-02-02T08:10Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Were back on CoinGecko ๐ซก @Trueo_app" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018558887629361232) 2026-02-03T05:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Tale of two posts: one deleted one not. Which way western salami 0/ A personal update I have decided to step back from @multicoin. It's a bittersweet moment for me because my time at Multicoin has been some of the most meaningful and rewarding of my life. That said I am excited to take some time off and explore new areas of technology. 0/ A personal update I have decided to step back from @multicoin. It's a bittersweet moment for me because my time at Multicoin has been some of the most meaningful and rewarding of my life. That said I am excited to take some time off and explore new areas of" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019165164516602212) 2026-02-04T21:44Z 15.2K followers, 43.9K engagements "@payy_link When will deposits open" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019168172465926172) 2026-02-04T21:56Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Traders on @Trueo_app say the chances are 40% that Polymarket ditches UMA before July. The rules state that the introduction of a new resolution system is enough to trigger a Yes outcome even if some markets continue utilizing UMA. Polymarket is moving away from solely using @UMAprotocol to determine their markets and is working on a new oracle-resolution system. It will be interesting to see how this is replaced; stay tuned for updates on @Polymarket's new product. https://t.co/AkU42ZI9VK Polymarket is moving away from solely using @UMAprotocol to determine their markets and is working on a" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019222837912048119) 2026-02-05T01:33Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "This PA is so brutal that the charts look like Hiroshima. But then I look at my event contract positions and theyre completely unfazed unbothered moistened focused. Its almost as if theyre tied to real world events that arent tethered to briplo prices or something ๐ง The super power of PM apps is that they are a hedge against bear markets. None of my event market positions are affected by todays PA. I dont have to worry about liquidations or drawdowns on my port cuz BTC is having a volatile day. Market up PMs gud. Market down PMs gud. The super power of PM apps is that they are a hedge" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019476872912884151) 2026-02-05T18:23Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "1) Why does only Bitcoin work as an SoV even though it has very flawed economics Is it strictly a price performance thing If so it contradicts arguments in your not a bear post. 2) Why do you use ETH as the scapegoat in there when most of the arguments are aimed at dual token equity schemes (which youre not the first to criticize) and ETH doesnt actually suffer from that dynamic" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019658940590506098) 2026-02-06T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@EvgenyGaevoy is right But Id argue that this is a feature of these markets rather than a bug. The inability to professionally scale liquidity in some of these markets is a result of efficiency. Its the market telling us that these contracts *cannot* get too liquid or else manipulation risk increases exponentially" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019680879019188663) 2026-02-06T07:53Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "We have a bunch of Polymarket related contracts on @Trueo_app but two are particularly interesting: POLY token in [----] odds: 57% PolymarketKalshi valuation comp odds: 51% in favour of Poly $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context: Pump Fun is valued at $2B FDV Polymarket is shaping up to be the biggest airdrop of [----] possibly even in crypto history $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context:" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019952423976976811) 2026-02-07T01:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@gothburz @grok is this true" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019957261960114355) 2026-02-07T02:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Im often asked how @Trueo_app differentiates from Polymarket Kalshi or basically any other PM aside from the fact that its fully-onchain more decentralized and integrated with DeFi. My answer is the founding principle of our project: The Oracle. Our app was built from the ground up around the dispute resolution mechanism it is our primary differentiator. Ive researched oracles for years and no existing dispute resolution framework is perfect but our system provides users transparency and *due process*. This fundamental concept is so essential to event contracts that its baffling to me how" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020286677084692974) 2026-02-08T00:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Why is it so much harder to build a Prediction Market Launchpad versus token launchers like Pump and Clanker Because unlike tokens event contracts have dependencies. After a token is deployed theres nothing else left the token will exist as-is forever. But a prediction market *must* be resolved eventually. And that resolution process is like Pandoras box. User created PMs havent been a hit yet because the launchpads that exist today use weak Oracles so traders are hesitant to put money on the line. Ground zero for bootstrapping permissionless prediction markets is in the resolution system." [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020361309464715703) 2026-02-08T04:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@tayvano_ Im not saying that tether or circle remove the freeze function Im saying theres a non-zero chance they do something nuclear one day Which includes bricking an entire pool (regardless of the brand damage it would do)" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020365493010583572) 2026-02-08T05:14Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@Lonely_life123 @Trueo_app Liquidity is a tricky one to solve but its one of our top priorities" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020376942722314649) 2026-02-08T05:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "The principles that make crypto so useful can be applied to other pillars of our digital lives. And the stakes are just as high. For many ppl their social platform = their livelihood We solved censorship resistant finance now we need to do the same for social networks" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020378392852300210) 2026-02-08T06:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@Walodja1987 @Trueo_app @divaprotocol_io The description and oracle are part of the same pipeline A bad description will cause problems regardless of the oracle and a good description can have a poor resolution if it uses defective oracle" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020394384274190625) 2026-02-08T07:08Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Oracle lost more than $400B in value since September and ppl have the nerve to make fun of our cryptoconcurrencies" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020398321744113945) 2026-02-08T07:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@icobeast @mdudas Ummm prediction markets" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020540135268286565) 2026-02-08T16:48Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020540827710173280) 2026-02-08T16:50Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Staking is an underrated thing. The concept is inherent only to crypto completely foreign elsewhere. The simple questions: what is at stake and where do the rewards come from can red pill anyone to venture down the rabbit hole of this industry. @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020542851113697697) 2026-02-08T16:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@icobeast @mdudas Polymarket is the biggest prediction market in the world with the deepest liquidity. I am personally building a competitor yet I recognize and respect its virtues. Your response unfortunately doesnt share an unbiased perspective" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020543718936211793) 2026-02-08T17:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020615456990605772) 2026-02-08T21:47Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Jokes aside Im not sure if DeFiLlama users are fully aware of how comprehensive this AI helper is For example it literally incorporates info from real-time sources like X and other external news feeds in combination with DeFiLlamas onchain data when giving its responses I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it https://t.co/MHcj6txZWh I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020617946083496057) 2026-02-08T21:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@WestieCapital Gotta remember they got here by beating a back up QB Seattle was the better team from the get go" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020711773217951832) 2026-02-09T04:10Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@fejau_inc @ThePumponomics The entire point of a prediction market to reflect true odds not 51% cuz a bookie says so Insider trading if anything is additive to that premise But more importantly mature markets will eventually start pricing in the risk of insider info in the form of illiquidity The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been. The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020714417391112600) 2026-02-09T04:20Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@serpinxbt Given how much hype there is around PMs and the amount of marketing Polymarket and Kalshi are doing it could take a while. But efficiency will come fore sure. Same thing happened to memes and NFTs before that. Liquidity is simply too finite to allow edges like this to linger" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020730839563124919) 2026-02-09T05:25Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "For all the normal human beings trying to make sense of the recent pasta thats been making rounds: ps - Reddit is actually goated for covering random niche content so well" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020756978625069528) 2026-02-09T07:09Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "The final nail in the coffin for Discord. Once a shrine of crypto alpha now a circle jerk of pettiness. JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020897789501170072) 2026-02-09T16:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Need Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020972493121749036) 2026-02-09T21:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020974227177025870) 2026-02-09T21:32Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@meleemarkets Who will resolve the markets" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020976626608242936) 2026-02-09T21:42Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "I think in cases where TVL is uncorrelated to revenue its not a good metric to index off (aside from the security bounty aspect) But I feel like for lending protocols TVL matters because its directly correlated to revenue. Tbh I dont really follow Pauls point though because looping doesnt necessarily inflate TVL because the borrowed amount is deducted from the total. Aave does display a market size metric though which doesnt discount borrows so I assume thats what hes talking about DeFiLlama does a good job of tracking real TVL imo https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020981596946358329" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020981596946358329) 2026-02-09T22:02Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "An insane amount of subsidies is being poured into prediction market liquidity between Polymarket Kalshi and Binances wash trading on Opinionxyz. At this point competing for liquidity is a dead end. PM apps need to get creative in other dimensions to capture mindshare. Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been very difficult to stimulate Polymarket's fundraising money goes straight into 1) advertisements and 2) significant market maker rebates paid in cash weekly Now they're paying not just in cash but in tokens too Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021029540953456944) 2026-02-10T01:12Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Oh this is such a banger https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021071471918055704) 2026-02-10T03:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "RT @omgcorn: what's that last uniswap-like primitive you saw" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021079208676458758) 2026-02-10T04:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Genuinely curious why @haydenzadams and Uniswap frens havent constructed something like this yet It checks all the Uniswap boxes. โ zero dependencies โ can be fully permissionless โ no margin or liquidations โ would compliment the full Uni-AMM suite We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021080152684494988) 2026-02-10T04:33Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@boredGenius @haydenzadams Yeah but this allows ppl to take the short side with no margin or underlying liquidity constraints" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021086505444298774) 2026-02-10T04:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "The metaverse is real" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021115554841444452) 2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "and no one can tell me otherwise ๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021115609954586699) 2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "This is impressive by all accounts HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021117082536956234) 2026-02-10T07:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@adamscochran @haydenzadams That was a different era One in which Uniswap protocol fees would never have been turned on" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021287149295812608) 2026-02-10T18:16Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@adamscochran @haydenzadams Thats annoying" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021288532753424403) 2026-02-10T18:21Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "I just saw the author of this article speak on CNBC and ignoring the fact that she had to revise the title (which is apparent in the post below) I sort of sympathize with her view. Shes right Bitcoin is backed by nothing it is no longer new-tech and it does have economics flaws. But what she misses is that Bitcoin has never been about the tech. That narrative died when Ethereum was founded. Bitcoin is a religion. It is based on the belief that ownership outside of the control of institutions is a fundamental human right. Someone who is content with existing ownership rights or feels that" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021308718541922515) 2026-02-10T19:42Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev You cant really take Kalshis volume at face value The data is completely closed off / unauditable" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021336864117096872) 2026-02-10T21:33Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Simple the odds end up being really accurate. Prediction markets are information aggregation tools first and trading platforms second. Funny how so many ppl seem to overlook that fact. If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on Hyperliquid a lot of traders are convinced they're being rinsed against people with "edge". What happens on prediction markets where there's edge If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021337747265638789) 2026-02-10T21:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "So many of the new PMs are literally clones of Polymarket using the gnosis conditional token framework and everything. And none attempt to solve for the most crucial element of a prediction market: the oracle. @Trueo_app differentiates on both fronts. โ Novel oracle โ Unique onchain design Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be clear for all participants involved Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021340423281647877) 2026-02-10T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "RT @Trueo_app: Trueos differentiators: ๐ฎ Oracle = Comprehensive and Transparent โ ๐ Event Contracts = Fully-onchain and Immutable โ ht" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021344678373884409) 2026-02-10T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Pick your poison on @Trueo_app Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021345581940211876) 2026-02-10T22:08Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081) 2026-02-11T03:57Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@nofilteronmouth @Trueo_app Layered dispute mechanism that actually provides due process. And the next iteration will be even more elegant. Market creation will be permissionless soon but its already composable" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021443486604722664) 2026-02-11T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "RT @boldleonidas:" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021446632781607203) 2026-02-11T04:50Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "RT @rstormsf: The legal battles aren't over. I could still end up in prison. But as long as I can code I will. Seed Vault Creator updates" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021447951575548353) 2026-02-11T04:55Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev It means its impossible to know for sure how much of the volume is simply [--] market maker circle jerking users" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021454967878582513) 2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@andreasackron @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021455050930053510) 2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev I mean its not just you as long as the data is private its difficult to reason through" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021465880719425871) 2026-02-11T06:06Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "My deepest apologies if this offends anyone but chat bots chatting with other chat bots on a site is not a social network for agents Its a slop pit" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021469701378015357) 2026-02-11T06:21Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@Evan_ss6 Im a lil confused by the layerzero market share part aside from their newly announced chain and stargate which ranks 8th in bridge volume as per DefiLlama what are the other offering" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021480240745427190) 2026-02-11T07:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "RT @Trueo_app: Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021649192276701402) 2026-02-11T18:15Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "RT @davidtsocy: Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021795441810006238) 2026-02-12T03:56Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@queenwartooth I mean vibes is 100x better than whatever this is lol" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021853475655618567) 2026-02-12T07:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@xenoassets @beerus It would be naive to assume he acted alone" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021857180228419999) 2026-02-12T08:01Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021858217672761693) 2026-02-12T08:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "I guess everyone missed the irony in the interns reply. What are the chances that they actually offer 1minute markets Pretty slim tbh. So what does that say about the odds of the token launching which would succeed such an unlikely event Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021861621539180827) 2026-02-12T08:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@taydotfun Whats that" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022172407998693824) 2026-02-13T04:54Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Odds of Polymarket token in [----] at 52% on @Trueo_app ๐ง ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019578601503617342) 2026-02-06T01:07Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Im writing this post in the interest of transparency and in part to vent to yall. As of this writing our @truemarkets account still hasnt been reinstated. Silver Lining: Crypto Remains Unstoppable http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840 http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2006959715075444870) 2026-01-02T05:24Z 15.2K followers, 28.1K engagements "Pretty remarkable that a CT personality who rugged $60M from an ohm fork before it went live in [----] still receives casual engagement from every industry thot leader and signs off all his posts with hyperliquid And no one even bats an eye" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021847468665651288) 2026-02-12T07:22Z 15.2K followers, 93.3K engagements "I miss the NFT cycle so much sometimes I feel like buying an Ape just for the nostalgia of that era. Memecoins could never recreate the vibes that NFTs brought us. How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022058077856706808) 2026-02-12T21:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "But theyre given such stringent instructions because they usually need to decide the fate of a persons life or alter its trajectory. Using a Jury for more practical disputes means that a simple majority vote from a random sample should yield satisfactory outcomes. The trade-off can be further justified by the fact that jurors selected in typical judicial proceedings are common everyday individuals where as in this example they can be individuals who are more accredited/specialized or who otherwise are well suited to make such judgments. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022569004154441992" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022569004154441992) 2026-02-14T07:10Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@jay_drainjr What about the same interface where you socially interact and discuss topics" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022703058900140065) 2026-02-14T16:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Agentic variety is an illusion. There really cant be 1000s of different agents because there are really only 4-5 core models. So all of these agents basically share a single brain and will naturally converge to the same personalities and opinions over time" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022788163232465221) 2026-02-14T21:40Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Actually. We very much still use @yearnfi -the poster boy of DeFi summer- to generate yield for bettors on @Trueo_app. DeFi is quietly becoming the financial plumbing for modern apps but many of us are too busy chasing shiny things to notice. Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022790084773163039) 2026-02-14T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Yesterday Vitalik posted about a curation-style creator platform idea and while it seems like a complicated solution his idea will likely prove directionally correct in the not so distant future. Every major social media platform optimizes for popularity contests over quality content creation. There has to be an opportunity in an alternative approach. I dunno if it's the algorithm that got so bad or the people I follow all got sidetracked at the same time. I can scroll my feed (even Following tab) and see zero posts that are interesting enough to react to. Everything is moltboook/moltbot" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018205196568944653) 2026-02-02T06:09Z 15.2K followers, 281.9K engagements "Im starting realize that Vitalik was miles ahead of the rest of the industry when he prophesied that highly financialized crypto products have a hard ceiling on value. Everyone is bullish HYPE rn and theres probably good upside potential there for traders. But how much upside realistically Lets say HL becomes wildly successful. Its mcap would probably trade at some modest multiple of the NASDAQ ($55B) for arguments sake lets say 3x. That would translate to a hefty $165B dollar HYPE valuation. Thats about a 4-5x price increase from its current level. And thats on the most optimistic scenario." [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018603185611370718) 2026-02-03T08:31Z 15.2K followers, 62.5K engagements "The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022195536795992132) 2026-02-13T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Its becoming tiresome to read these threads about Polymarket and Kalshi absolutely botching their resolutions. My view has always been that an event contracts rules should be immutable once a market has been deployed. This way if the rules are poorly written the market will naturally not grow in size. That would effectively self-limit the potential negative impact. And in cases where theres unexpected ambiguities the fall back must be managed through a well designed and comprehensive oracle mechanism. Ann ideal system would combine elements of human judgement with economic game theory and AI" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022543608943956406) 2026-02-14T05:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "There will likely be a day when Tether or Circle freeze a major Uniswap pool but idt yall are ready for that convo yet Ps - that will be a major catalyst for ETH SoV-ness TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M in USDT linked to illegal gambling and money laundering. He said the move followed law-enforcement intelligence and mirrors Tethers cooperation with https://t.co/TO3zB2nfMy TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2020346749337190589) 2026-02-08T03:59Z 15.2K followers, 58.1K engagements "I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us *truly* own our social networks. Decentralized money and finance will remain the back bones of this industry but Decentralized Socials is how crypto grows 1000x further" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022168122304999557) 2026-02-13T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Yeah thats a good point the memory and context windows of individualized interactions can definitely bread life to unique personalities But whats hot atm is ppl hosting agents that operate out of their own enclosed sandboxes without that personification so they can claim full autonomy https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022898410299314532) 2026-02-15T04:58Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "For context we already have the individual elements necessary for decentralized social networks we just need to unify them under a single platform. We have: - ownership substrates (blockchains) - cryptographic interface tools (wallets) - onchain handles (ENS) - social provenance (NFTs) - virtual competition arenas (prediction markets) All thats left is to combine these things into a social graph where users interact and share content. Thats the essence of decentralized social media. I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022206927325848019) 2026-02-13T07:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Though the rationale stated in the clip are very true there is really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2022904073641447840) 2026-02-15T05:21Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Founders on the timeline listing every known solution to the compound governance drama except for the lowest hanging fruit of actually accruing value to the gov token and incentivizing governance so its infeasible to attack the protocol" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1817904158957023336) 2024-07-29T12:45Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Well this sure is a blast from the past who remembers NFTX and floorDAO" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1885374059707322613) 2025-01-31T17:06Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "be me foolishly take the other side of a debate with the boss llama 2years later draft a post about USDe representing demand for Long-side leverage midway through post check to see USDe collateral data see its mostly just idle stablecoins you either die a crypto-backed stablecoin or you live long enough to see yourself become wrapped USDC. -@spreekaway Never bet against the Boss Llama ๐ฆ he seen this coming from miles away. Since when was USDe overwhelmingly backed by stablecoin reserves There is a dashboard on their official site but it doesnt seem to track what I recall." [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1997186653366968773) 2025-12-06T06:09Z 15.2K followers, 22.6K engagements "@kennyistyping @lex_node There is Its a multi-tiered system: https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2007629796008964435) 2026-01-04T01:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@juhakall @djDriverless @truemarkets @base @jessepollak @coinbase @brian_armstrong Yea were unfortunately currently going through a trademark dispute Hoping to have the account reinstated asap https://t.co/nJD9YRikO6 https://t.co/nJD9YRikO6" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2007705625783046260) 2026-01-04T06:48Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "A credibly neutral Opinion Aggregation Oracle is the only thing that can fairly resolve contentious prediction markets. Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional context is textbook moving the goal posts; projecting the platforms Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2008751044541456692) 2026-01-07T04:02Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@BigglesMac Appreciate the shoutout But its actually Truemarkets (one word without a capitalized M) Its a bit of a sensitive issue cuz atm ๐ " [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2008810702086304174) 2026-01-07T07:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "I think something like @ethos_network actually solves a bunch of the bot problems in web3 social. Way better than KYC for sybil resistance (X already soft-KYCd everyone with blue checks) and its actually engaging. It can also double down as a cold start solution by bootstrapping trust + attention which is the real problem for new social apps" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2010214761636544769) 2026-01-11T04:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@boldleonidas @mert The fact that you dipped into your visibility allowance to tag me means the world ngl ๐ซถ Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain *and* yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a block type of onchain. Immutable rules = best counterparty guarantees https://t.co/q1UzjDHIuE Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain *and* yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2010264606326051104) 2026-01-11T08:16Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "I agree with this. It feels like protocols completely gave up on experimenting with new oracle designs. Its partly because oracles need to be upgradable and builders gave up on decentralized approaches to upgrades with the dismissal of DAOs. For Truemarkets we wanted to address this so we built our own oracle Im not claiming its perfect but we feel like it solves of the issues with the alternatives and were still iterating on it. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013151689956630627 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013151689956630627" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2013151689956630627) 2026-01-19T07:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Its a bit sad to see the official Polymarket account leaning so hard into partisan politics. Eric Trump has vested interests in both Polymarket and Kalshi and sometimes it just projects too much. This is why we always need a more neutral and credible alternative to them both" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2014561854220071118) 2026-01-23T04:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@DAdvisoor @Trueo_app @truemarkets Appreciate you ser ๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2018069011729154219) 2026-02-01T21:08Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "I havent used a CEX in what feels like ages. Over the past four years I barely used CEXs in general and its never been a real issue for me. But recently it has become a bit of a problem. Getting my fills onchain used to be seamless there was always ample liquidity for most tokens due to pool2 incentives etc. Nowadays its just [--] market makers holding all the inventory and quoting below price onchain while all the liquidity and activity is on centralized exchanges. If this trend continues it will require a serious effort for a person to be able to get a legitimate quote onchain. Right now it" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1801232920469713383) 2024-06-13T12:39Z 15.2K followers, 31.1K engagements "Manny such cases over the years unfortunately. Whether you agree with the outcome or not is irrelevant here. The issue is that the resolution process itself is so arbitrary. A prediction market is only as reliable as its oracle. The worst part about @Polymarket is that the whales decide what is truth or not via @UMAprotocol - and they will show you onchain. There is no arbiter or fair decision no form of query just a couple discord threads to try to prove your case. In Stranger Things Season [--] I https://t.co/ociUeQyCTb The worst part about @Polymarket is that the whales decide what is truth" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2007156543087882740) 2026-01-02T18:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@PhiMarHal Through a multistage dispute resolution process https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2007158726512508939) 2026-01-02T18:35Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "@mastermojo83 @base @ArcadiaFi @truemarkets @Lumberg ๐ค" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2007512630349779127) 2026-01-03T18:01Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "@andyyy Looks like theres a 62% chance of it happening at least at some point in [----] https://truemarkets.org/en/market/0xa96ac028da2431f87fa02fb72aef948f2ef4e737 https://truemarkets.org/en/market/0xa96ac028da2431f87fa02fb72aef948f2ef4e737" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2008077917901988341) 2026-01-05T07:27Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain *and* yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a block type of onchain. Immutable rules = best counterparty guarantees probably the most obvious plain and still contrarian thing that will happen this year is that kalshi and polymarket will get a fully onchain permisionless competitor people brought centralized exchanges onchain pred markets are just options exchanges only a matter of time probably the most obvious plain and still contrarian thing" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2010020529877725610) 2026-01-10T16:06Z 15.2K followers, 10.2K engagements "Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change market which is much harder to resolve than a Khamenei in-out market. This is not an arbitrage You're simply paying 94c for a bet that the regime doesn't survive Khamenei's death or fall if it happens I think that's a bad bet and calling it "almost pure arbitrage" is deceptive. There are many universes in which Khamenei is out but the regime This is not an arbitrage You're simply paying 94c for a bet that the regime doesn't" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2010956888322564362) 2026-01-13T06:07Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "If you dont trust UMA and Polymarket to pay out we also offer this market. Ofc our liquidity isnt on par with what Poly has for this exact bet but there are incentives for market making. Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change market which is much harder to resolve than a Khamenei in-out market. Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2010958527016169953) 2026-01-13T06:14Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "No one wants to admit this but there is literally one thing that inclines ppl to view any asset as a good SoV and thats pice appreciation. Ppl only look under the hood and criticize something if the asset does not outperform. Classic case of price leading narrative. @santiagoroel 1) Why does only Bitcoin work as an SoV even though it has very flawed economics Is it strictly a price performance thing If so it contradicts arguments in your not a bear post. 2) Why do you use ETH as the scapegoat in there when most of the arguments are aimed at dual @santiagoroel 1) Why does only Bitcoin work as" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2019661626954379646) 2026-02-06T06:37Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Teams are not stupid the meta has changed from farmers farming rewards and earning free money to getting farmed by obscure incentive programs. No team (that isnt desperate) is going to give away any tokens in this market. Alex from zkSync when asked about an airdrop :" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1701608249420841021) 2023-09-12T14:46Z 15.2K followers, 17.7K engagements "If you find yourself reminiscing about [----] like it was the good ol days dont feel bad about it. It truly was a different era. The parabol-icity of onchain activity was like something completely unmatched in the history of financial markets. From a virtually non-existent market to $200B TVL in a matter of [--] months. Not even the rise of Chat-GPT matches that kind of growth" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/1999239441794142401) 2025-12-11T22:06Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@boldleonidas @grok Hey @grok remove every cryptocurrency from this image except the one thats most likely to perform the best in 2026" [X Link](https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2006973499966173634) 2026-01-02T06:19Z 15.2K followers, 80.4K engagements "Though the rationale stated in the clip is very true theres really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in 2025" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022911040506466788) 2026-02-15T05:49Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022256480356024463) 2026-02-13T10:28Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements "Whenever I see a charlotte fang subtweet: milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age) milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022904562957320669) 2026-02-15T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age)" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1962114715230126296) 2025-08-31T11:26Z 21.4K followers, 183.1K engagements "Actually. We very much still use @yearnfi -the poster boy of DeFi summer- to generate yield for bettors on @Trueo_app. DeFi is quietly becoming the financial plumbing for modern apps but many of us are too busy chasing shiny things to notice. Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022790084773163039) 2026-02-14T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Forever missing defi summer" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022446363259384178) 2026-02-13T23:02Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements "Agentic variety is an illusion. There really cant be 1000s of different agents because there are really only 4-5 core models. So all of these agents basically share a single brain and will naturally converge to the same personalities and opinions over time" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022788163232465221) 2026-02-14T21:40Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Drafting precise event contract rules is hard even with the use of modern LLMs. Resolving such markets is even harder downstream. Despite these difficulties we are solving for this with @Trueo_app. But what Vitalik is suggesting is in a way brilliant because it resolves the final issue that arises once users are able to generate a market as trivially as coming up with a question. Vs suggestion for lifestyle hedging is effectively an injection of latent demand and liquidity into otherwise illiquid niche markets. It is a systemic flow of liquidity that can sustainably incentivize trading in" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022717220632104992) 2026-02-14T16:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Short answer: yes Long answer: What makes category [--] tricky is identifying all of the underlying events that need to be hedged in order to serve as a good tool for this purpose One way to approach this is to offer as broad a range of market ideas as possible allowing lifestyle hedgers to allocate accordingly But the ideal way to address category [--] is to enable these niche hedgers to generate their own event contracts and take positions in them This way a prediction market app can cover the full spectrum of hedges that any one person would need to bet on in order to satisfy category [--] type" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022710016713642404) 2026-02-14T16:30Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Kinda crazy that Polymarket + Kalshi have over a combined $20B valuation in private markets yet theres no appetite to bid any onchain prediction market tokens. Prediction markets are likely a $100B+ opportunity. If a more onchain native prediction market can carve out just a 1% market share thats still a $1B+ opportunity https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022712155275956447 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022712155275956447" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022712155275956447) 2026-02-14T16:38Z 17.3K followers, 11K engagements "Agree so much with this take. Theres nothing wrong with trading but the reality is that in general wealth does not accumulate this way. I feel like a good balance can be struck specially in DeFi where capital allocation can be programmatic by redirecting the yield generated from interest or staked positions into riskier trades like prediction markets or short term bets. That way users always retain their principal while pursuing upside further down the risk curve. "towards a billion traders" is a wild thesis when the actual problem is that crypto's existing holders keep getting wiped by its" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022567513582604728) 2026-02-14T07:04Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements ""towards a billion traders" is a wild thesis when the actual problem is that crypto's existing holders keep getting wiped by its traders. most people own houses they don't flip them. they DCA into index funds they don't day-trade the S&P. ownership is the global default wealth strategy. conflating trading with ownership isn't an evolution of finance. it's describing the exact disease that kills retail trust in crypto and calling it a feature. you want mass adoption make holding the winning move. https://t.co/a2Dfwq40kX https://t.co/a2Dfwq40kX" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022564694880612854) 2026-02-14T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements "Its becoming tiresome to read these threads about Polymarket and Kalshi absolutely botching their resolutions. My view has always been that an event contracts rules should be immutable once a market has been deployed. This way if the rules are poorly written the market will naturally not grow in size. That would effectively self-limit the potential negative impact. And in cases where theres unexpected ambiguities the fall back must be managed through a well designed and comprehensive oracle mechanism. Ann ideal system would combine elements of human judgement with economic game theory and AI" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022543608943956406) 2026-02-14T05:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Rugging Reality & A Potential Solution a very long post by a very annoyed idiot. For reasons that defy explanation the latest trend in prediction markets is to have your markets expire to total lies & nonsense. Indeed the hottest thing in the space is rugging your users who correctly predict the world around them. Everybody's doing it man. The downside of this is obvious: people view prediction markets as unreliable pointless a rigged game and dumb gambling. But the UPSIDE is you can get volume spikes as new users are tricked into betting on what is actually happening (only to learn later" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022427546168558072) 2026-02-13T21:47Z 34.9K followers, 42.5K engagements "For context we already have the individual elements necessary for decentralized social networks we just need to unify them under a single platform. We have: - ownership substrates (blockchains) - cryptographic interface tools (wallets) - onchain handles (ENS) - social provenance (NFTs) - virtual competition arenas (prediction markets) All thats left is to combine these things into a social graph where users interact and share content. Thats the essence of decentralized social media. I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022206927325848019) 2026-02-13T07:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us *truly* own our social networks. Decentralized money and finance will remain the back bones of this industry but Decentralized Socials is how crypto grows 1000x further" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022168122304999557) 2026-02-13T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "RT @Trueo_app: Perhaps even under a single platform ๐ฉ๐ผ๐ป Whos building this ๐ฎ๐ฑ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022196613842862574) 2026-02-13T06:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Perhaps even under a single platform ๐ฉ๐ผ๐ป Whos building this ๐ฎ๐ฑ The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022196414198296782) 2026-02-13T06:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022195536795992132) 2026-02-13T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021973822375673943) 2026-02-12T15:45Z 10.3K followers, 29.5K engagements "How do I long Boldys success as a creator Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022159724213567867) 2026-02-13T04:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements "Hand drawn every single day" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022151094944903343) 2026-02-13T03:29Z 102.6K followers, 14.7K engagements "I miss the NFT cycle so much sometimes I feel like buying an Ape just for the nostalgia of that era. Memecoins could never recreate the vibes that NFTs brought us. How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022058077856706808) 2026-02-12T21:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021923820052132326) 2026-02-12T12:26Z 85.4K followers, 240.9K engagements "I guess everyone missed the irony in the interns reply. What are the chances that they actually offer 1minute markets Pretty slim tbh. So what does that say about the odds of the token launching which would succeed such an unlikely event Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021861621539180827) 2026-02-12T08:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021858217672761693) 2026-02-12T08:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements "@CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021789589489201223) 2026-02-12T03:32Z [----] followers, 470.2K engagements "Pretty remarkable that a CT personality who rugged $60M from an ohm fork before it went live in [----] still receives casual engagement from every industry thot leader and signs off all his posts with hyperliquid And no one even bats an eye" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021847468665651288) 2026-02-12T07:22Z 15.2K followers, 93.3K engagements "RT @davidtsocy: Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021795441810006238) 2026-02-12T03:56Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป https://t.co/4rIhTSCat0 Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป https://t.co/4rIhTSCat0" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021781373535813659) 2026-02-12T03:00Z 34K followers, [----] engagements "Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021615214366466189) 2026-02-11T16:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements "RT @Trueo_app: Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป" [X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021649192276701402) 2026-02-11T18:15Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements "Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ" [X Link](https://x.com/Trueo_app/status/2020938979680620750) 2026-02-09T19:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing
@llamaonthebrink MilliฮMilliฮ posts on X about polymarket, kalshi, prediction markets, decentralized the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 25.17% cryptocurrencies 18.54% technology brands 7.95% exchanges 5.3% social networks 2.65% currencies 0.66% celebrities 0.66% countries 0.66% stocks 0.66%
Social topic influence polymarket #374, kalshi #125, prediction markets #527, decentralized #658, crypto 7.28%, onchain 7.28%, oracle 5.96%, defi #645, liquidity 5.3%, money 5.3%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @trueoapp @ishaan0x @polymarket @kalshi @movietimedev @base @mastermojo83 @grok @mdudas @haydenzadams @truemarkets @ceazor7 @icobeast @adamscochran @boldleonidas @trueoapps @caronpolymarket @avifelman @charlesdhaussy @wintermutets
Top assets mentioned Polymath (POLY) Bitcoin (BTC)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"Make Crypto This Level of Cypher Punk Again"
X Link 2024-12-12T00:26Z 15.2K followers, 52.3K engagements
"Ayo frens What happened to EIP-7702 How come I still need to do token approvals I thought we fixed this in pectra. Werent the wallets supposed to support this by now"
X Link 2025-12-07T05:35Z 15.2K followers, 64.7K engagements
"Ayo did inverse finance end up covering all its bad debt Somehow Dola supply is at all time highs and still maintaining its peg despite everything thats happened. This is honestly quite impressive by @NourHaridy and @InverseFinance"
X Link 2025-12-31T06:37Z 15.2K followers, 14.3K engagements
"Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional context is textbook moving the goal posts; projecting the platforms bias on the market outcome. This question can only be fairly answered by a qualified credibly neutral decentralized jury pool. An ideal prediction market is one that is indifferent to the markets it facilitates much like how Uniswap is indifferent to the tokens that are traded in its smart contracts. The only way that is"
X Link 2026-01-06T21:30Z 15.2K followers, 30K engagements
"One of the allures of DeFi was that you could simply pop into a projects discord and find fellow users who share their product experiences with each other make suggestions provide feedback and track any development discussions. I personally hope this doesnt become a trend. Morpho's shutting down its public Discord. Didn't see that coming. This could be a trend for other protocols tooscams bot scraping or just too much noise might be at play. But maybe its also signals that big DeFi teams are focusing more on institutions and less on https://t.co/k3UeCKXyaS Morpho's shutting down its public"
X Link 2026-01-14T21:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Has anyone considered a stablecoin-bond instrument that is backed by ETH staking rewards - ETH holders stake their ETH and borrow USD at an interest rate based on the expected value of their staking rewards over [--] [--] [--] and [--] year durations - The collateral is locked but never liquidated - The bond (loan + interest) is paid off using their staking rewards and the collateral is only freed up after it is paid back - If staking rewards increase in value because ETH appreciates then the bond can be repaid faster and if the value of the rewards decrease then the bond is repaid slower - Borrowers"
X Link 2026-01-15T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"CT being a hostage of X for vibes is risky. Having recently been deplatformed while relying on X as our primary marketing medium I can confidently state that this risk is all too real. We were deplatformed not because we did anything dishonest but because our rights are limited to what X chooses them to be. It was over a trademark dispute with a virtually unknown company. A dispute which X had no business arbitrating yet they chose to anyway for reasons not disclosed to us. That is how centralization works. Opaque decisions made by those in control affecting those who depend on the"
X Link 2026-01-17T09:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I support any legitimate attempt to advance decentralized socials. We need it more than ever. Its the number one most important thing our industry can do now that tradFi has been thoroughly disrupted. Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready applications. https://t.co/mwgZOn7k4s Today were proud to share that @masknetwork will steward the next chapter for Lens bringing the strongest onchain SocialFi foundation to life through intuitive consumer-ready"
X Link 2026-01-20T18:38Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Earlier today Coingecko decided to censor $TRUE from their listings page. This is an unprecedented action over a petty trademark dispute thats detailed in the article below. Our token is very much active and also quite liquid relative to its supply. It can still be found on DexScreener GeckoTerminal and CoinMarketCap. There are hundreds of rug tokens listed on Coingecko. Some of which blatantly rip off well known trademarks and tickers representing memes or abandoned projects. What we are experiencing is a disproportionately hostile attack by an obscure CeFi company. Thankfully our project is"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:58Z 15.2K followers, 15.6K engagements
"Gm @Trueo_app ๐ฎ Our trademark transition is now complete. Trueo is compatible with our OG trademark yet its elegant and original. A new name and a fresh start. Time to continue building ๐๐ฆพ https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii https://t.co/HYyMr2c1Ii"
X Link 2026-01-30T16:42Z 15.2K followers, 15.7K engagements
"If you want any indication of Binances fugazi levels look no further than their Opinion prediction market (a literal Polymarket codebase fork). Supposedly this market for a PM token has 140M in legit trading volume on order books with less than $5K depth. Wash trade heaven"
X Link 2026-01-30T18:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"A prediction market is only as good as its oracle. @Trueo_app was architectured to revolve around its oracle precisely to address this very thing. The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being turned into mush was determined to be "evidence of blackmail" uncovered in the Epstein files. Users trading the $2m market https://t.co/h6oYTd3DjI The still-broken Polymarket expiration system has produced another doozy. A written log of a crank caller talking about baby sacrifices and brains being"
X Link 2026-02-01T03:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Honestly Euler was a great project I was super sad when they were exploited. And I was also super lucky I had decent deposits in there just a week before the incident but withdrew them to farm Blur with jpegs. @euler_mabs original vision/product was quite compelling too tbh. Its really tough to recover from something like that especially as a lending protocol. EUL/USDT (and EUL/ETH) has been one of the most brutal defi charts this year. Trading at ATL even after [----] post-hack. CEO @euler_mab quits weeks after vest is completed chart looks like brutal twap-out of either team or liquid funds."
X Link 2026-02-01T21:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"In theory follower/following networks as they exist today should satisfy that definition of preference-setting gadgets But I see your point that often some kind of neutral-like curation layer is needed to prompt ppl into discovering content networks that arent optimizing for virality. Kind of related to the old adage that it takes 100x less work to spread a lie than it does to disprove it And the worse part is that the work can be boring which is the dirtiest word in all forms of media"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:10Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Were back on CoinGecko ๐ซก @Trueo_app"
X Link 2026-02-03T05:35Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Tale of two posts: one deleted one not. Which way western salami 0/ A personal update I have decided to step back from @multicoin. It's a bittersweet moment for me because my time at Multicoin has been some of the most meaningful and rewarding of my life. That said I am excited to take some time off and explore new areas of technology. 0/ A personal update I have decided to step back from @multicoin. It's a bittersweet moment for me because my time at Multicoin has been some of the most meaningful and rewarding of my life. That said I am excited to take some time off and explore new areas of"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:44Z 15.2K followers, 43.9K engagements
"@payy_link When will deposits open"
X Link 2026-02-04T21:56Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Traders on @Trueo_app say the chances are 40% that Polymarket ditches UMA before July. The rules state that the introduction of a new resolution system is enough to trigger a Yes outcome even if some markets continue utilizing UMA. Polymarket is moving away from solely using @UMAprotocol to determine their markets and is working on a new oracle-resolution system. It will be interesting to see how this is replaced; stay tuned for updates on @Polymarket's new product. https://t.co/AkU42ZI9VK Polymarket is moving away from solely using @UMAprotocol to determine their markets and is working on a"
X Link 2026-02-05T01:33Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"This PA is so brutal that the charts look like Hiroshima. But then I look at my event contract positions and theyre completely unfazed unbothered moistened focused. Its almost as if theyre tied to real world events that arent tethered to briplo prices or something ๐ง The super power of PM apps is that they are a hedge against bear markets. None of my event market positions are affected by todays PA. I dont have to worry about liquidations or drawdowns on my port cuz BTC is having a volatile day. Market up PMs gud. Market down PMs gud. The super power of PM apps is that they are a hedge"
X Link 2026-02-05T18:23Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"1) Why does only Bitcoin work as an SoV even though it has very flawed economics Is it strictly a price performance thing If so it contradicts arguments in your not a bear post. 2) Why do you use ETH as the scapegoat in there when most of the arguments are aimed at dual token equity schemes (which youre not the first to criticize) and ETH doesnt actually suffer from that dynamic"
X Link 2026-02-06T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@EvgenyGaevoy is right But Id argue that this is a feature of these markets rather than a bug. The inability to professionally scale liquidity in some of these markets is a result of efficiency. Its the market telling us that these contracts cannot get too liquid or else manipulation risk increases exponentially"
X Link 2026-02-06T07:53Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"We have a bunch of Polymarket related contracts on @Trueo_app but two are particularly interesting: POLY token in [----] odds: 57% PolymarketKalshi valuation comp odds: 51% in favour of Poly $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context: Pump Fun is valued at $2B FDV Polymarket is shaping up to be the biggest airdrop of [----] possibly even in crypto history $Poly pre-IPO shares are now live on Solana - Polymarket is trading at a $1213B valuation - Kalshi is trading at a $12B valuation - For context:"
X Link 2026-02-07T01:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@gothburz @grok is this true"
X Link 2026-02-07T02:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Im often asked how @Trueo_app differentiates from Polymarket Kalshi or basically any other PM aside from the fact that its fully-onchain more decentralized and integrated with DeFi. My answer is the founding principle of our project: The Oracle. Our app was built from the ground up around the dispute resolution mechanism it is our primary differentiator. Ive researched oracles for years and no existing dispute resolution framework is perfect but our system provides users transparency and due process. This fundamental concept is so essential to event contracts that its baffling to me how"
X Link 2026-02-08T00:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Why is it so much harder to build a Prediction Market Launchpad versus token launchers like Pump and Clanker Because unlike tokens event contracts have dependencies. After a token is deployed theres nothing else left the token will exist as-is forever. But a prediction market must be resolved eventually. And that resolution process is like Pandoras box. User created PMs havent been a hit yet because the launchpads that exist today use weak Oracles so traders are hesitant to put money on the line. Ground zero for bootstrapping permissionless prediction markets is in the resolution system."
X Link 2026-02-08T04:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@tayvano_ Im not saying that tether or circle remove the freeze function Im saying theres a non-zero chance they do something nuclear one day Which includes bricking an entire pool (regardless of the brand damage it would do)"
X Link 2026-02-08T05:14Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@Lonely_life123 @Trueo_app Liquidity is a tricky one to solve but its one of our top priorities"
X Link 2026-02-08T05:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"The principles that make crypto so useful can be applied to other pillars of our digital lives. And the stakes are just as high. For many ppl their social platform = their livelihood We solved censorship resistant finance now we need to do the same for social networks"
X Link 2026-02-08T06:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@Walodja1987 @Trueo_app @divaprotocol_io The description and oracle are part of the same pipeline A bad description will cause problems regardless of the oracle and a good description can have a poor resolution if it uses defective oracle"
X Link 2026-02-08T07:08Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Oracle lost more than $400B in value since September and ppl have the nerve to make fun of our cryptoconcurrencies"
X Link 2026-02-08T07:24Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@icobeast @mdudas Ummm prediction markets"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:48Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:50Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Staking is an underrated thing. The concept is inherent only to crypto completely foreign elsewhere. The simple questions: what is at stake and where do the rewards come from can red pill anyone to venture down the rabbit hole of this industry. @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH @mdudas Fund a wallet and transfer funds Use a prediction market Stake ETH"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@icobeast @mdudas Polymarket is the biggest prediction market in the world with the deepest liquidity. I am personally building a competitor yet I recognize and respect its virtues. Your response unfortunately doesnt share an unbiased perspective"
X Link 2026-02-08T17:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:47Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Jokes aside Im not sure if DeFiLlama users are fully aware of how comprehensive this AI helper is For example it literally incorporates info from real-time sources like X and other external news feeds in combination with DeFiLlamas onchain data when giving its responses I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very cosy when prompting it https://t.co/MHcj6txZWh I love how DeFiLlamas AI avatar visually matches all my mental conceptions of @0xngmi busily coding away behind his keyboard Makes me very"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:57Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@WestieCapital Gotta remember they got here by beating a back up QB Seattle was the better team from the get go"
X Link 2026-02-09T04:10Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@fejau_inc @ThePumponomics The entire point of a prediction market to reflect true odds not 51% cuz a bookie says so Insider trading if anything is additive to that premise But more importantly mature markets will eventually start pricing in the risk of insider info in the form of illiquidity The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been. The antidote for insider trading and manipulation is the efficient markets hypothesis. Always has been"
X Link 2026-02-09T04:20Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@serpinxbt Given how much hype there is around PMs and the amount of marketing Polymarket and Kalshi are doing it could take a while. But efficiency will come fore sure. Same thing happened to memes and NFTs before that. Liquidity is simply too finite to allow edges like this to linger"
X Link 2026-02-09T05:25Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"For all the normal human beings trying to make sense of the recent pasta thats been making rounds: ps - Reddit is actually goated for covering random niche content so well"
X Link 2026-02-09T07:09Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"The final nail in the coffin for Discord. Once a shrine of crypto alpha now a circle jerk of pettiness. JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY JUST IN - Discord to globally require a bio-metric face scan or ID verification for full access next month to protect "teen safety." Verge https://t.co/5EYFwz5YCY"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Need Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R Who's building a real decentralized social platform Not federated servers not led by silicon valley web3 larps not semi closed source codebase etc We need something open source permissionless customizable There's a ton of demand for this https://t.co/o05vOPp02R"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:32Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@meleemarkets Who will resolve the markets"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:42Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"I think in cases where TVL is uncorrelated to revenue its not a good metric to index off (aside from the security bounty aspect) But I feel like for lending protocols TVL matters because its directly correlated to revenue. Tbh I dont really follow Pauls point though because looping doesnt necessarily inflate TVL because the borrowed amount is deducted from the total. Aave does display a market size metric though which doesnt discount borrows so I assume thats what hes talking about DeFiLlama does a good job of tracking real TVL imo https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020981596946358329"
X Link 2026-02-09T22:02Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"An insane amount of subsidies is being poured into prediction market liquidity between Polymarket Kalshi and Binances wash trading on Opinionxyz. At this point competing for liquidity is a dead end. PM apps need to get creative in other dimensions to capture mindshare. Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been very difficult to stimulate Polymarket's fundraising money goes straight into 1) advertisements and 2) significant market maker rebates paid in cash weekly Now they're paying not just in cash but in tokens too Market making for prediction markets is clunky and has been"
X Link 2026-02-10T01:12Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Oh this is such a banger https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou https://t.co/C6OZDxQ5Ou"
X Link 2026-02-10T03:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @omgcorn: what's that last uniswap-like primitive you saw"
X Link 2026-02-10T04:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Genuinely curious why @haydenzadams and Uniswap frens havent constructed something like this yet It checks all the Uniswap boxes. โ
zero dependencies โ
can be fully permissionless โ
no margin or liquidations โ
would compliment the full Uni-AMM suite We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big that Im surprised it doesnt exist yet. You hold a shitcoin you sell calls on it or you bring cash to the table and sell puts. No complex math needed. Literally a bottomless market @DeriveXYZ We need spot covered options in crypto so badly. The market for this is so big"
X Link 2026-02-10T04:33Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@boredGenius @haydenzadams Yeah but this allows ppl to take the short side with no margin or underlying liquidity constraints"
X Link 2026-02-10T04:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"The metaverse is real"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"and no one can tell me otherwise ๐ค"
X Link 2026-02-10T06:54Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"This is impressive by all accounts HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it HLP made $50M from the Oct [--] crash and $20M again on Jan [--]. Most debate focused on ADL. That's not where the money came from. With @ciamac (@Columbia_Biz @paradigm) @Qiaoqiao2001(@Columbia_Biz) and @xxxin001 (@StanfordMSE) we traced the full pipeline. Here's how it"
X Link 2026-02-10T07:00Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@adamscochran @haydenzadams That was a different era One in which Uniswap protocol fees would never have been turned on"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:16Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@adamscochran @haydenzadams Thats annoying"
X Link 2026-02-10T18:21Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"I just saw the author of this article speak on CNBC and ignoring the fact that she had to revise the title (which is apparent in the post below) I sort of sympathize with her view. Shes right Bitcoin is backed by nothing it is no longer new-tech and it does have economics flaws. But what she misses is that Bitcoin has never been about the tech. That narrative died when Ethereum was founded. Bitcoin is a religion. It is based on the belief that ownership outside of the control of institutions is a fundamental human right. Someone who is content with existing ownership rights or feels that"
X Link 2026-02-10T19:42Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev You cant really take Kalshis volume at face value The data is completely closed off / unauditable"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:33Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Simple the odds end up being really accurate. Prediction markets are information aggregation tools first and trading platforms second. Funny how so many ppl seem to overlook that fact. If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on Hyperliquid a lot of traders are convinced they're being rinsed against people with "edge". What happens on prediction markets where there's edge If the argument for decentralized trading was global access to trading then what's the argument for prediction markets Even now on"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"So many of the new PMs are literally clones of Polymarket using the gnosis conditional token framework and everything. And none attempt to solve for the most crucial element of a prediction market: the oracle. @Trueo_app differentiates on both fronts. โ
Novel oracle โ
Unique onchain design Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be clear for all participants involved Prediction market clones will continue to raise silly amounts of VC funding until Hyperliquid launches their own After that it will be"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @Trueo_app: Trueos differentiators: ๐ฎ Oracle = Comprehensive and Transparent โ ๐ Event Contracts = Fully-onchain and Immutable โ ht"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:05Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Pick your poison on @Trueo_app Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more Kalshi VS Polymarket is a competition of who can fraudulently inflate their volume metrics more"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:08Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:57Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@nofilteronmouth @Trueo_app Layered dispute mechanism that actually provides due process. And the next iteration will be even more elegant. Market creation will be permissionless soon but its already composable"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"RT @boldleonidas:"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:50Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"RT @rstormsf: The legal battles aren't over. I could still end up in prison. But as long as I can code I will. Seed Vault Creator updates"
X Link 2026-02-11T04:55Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev It means its impossible to know for sure how much of the volume is simply [--] market maker circle jerking users"
X Link 2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@andreasackron @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated https://x.com/llamaonthebrink/status/2021433327799108081 @ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev The volume doesnt need to be illegal to be inflated"
X Link 2026-02-11T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@ishaan0x @Polymarket @Kalshi @MovieTimeDev I mean its not just you as long as the data is private its difficult to reason through"
X Link 2026-02-11T06:06Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"My deepest apologies if this offends anyone but chat bots chatting with other chat bots on a site is not a social network for agents Its a slop pit"
X Link 2026-02-11T06:21Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@Evan_ss6 Im a lil confused by the layerzero market share part aside from their newly announced chain and stargate which ranks 8th in bridge volume as per DefiLlama what are the other offering"
X Link 2026-02-11T07:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"RT @Trueo_app: Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:15Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"RT @davidtsocy: Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:56Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@queenwartooth I mean vibes is 100x better than whatever this is lol"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@xenoassets @beerus It would be naive to assume he acted alone"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:01Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I guess everyone missed the irony in the interns reply. What are the chances that they actually offer 1minute markets Pretty slim tbh. So what does that say about the odds of the token launching which would succeed such an unlikely event Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@taydotfun Whats that"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:54Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Odds of Polymarket token in [----] at 52% on @Trueo_app ๐ง ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC ZOOMER POLYMARKET FILES TRADEMARK FOR $POLY TOKEN: SYNOPTIC"
X Link 2026-02-06T01:07Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Im writing this post in the interest of transparency and in part to vent to yall. As of this writing our @truemarkets account still hasnt been reinstated. Silver Lining: Crypto Remains Unstoppable http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840 http://x.com/i/article/2006842486598307840"
X Link 2026-01-02T05:24Z 15.2K followers, 28.1K engagements
"Pretty remarkable that a CT personality who rugged $60M from an ohm fork before it went live in [----] still receives casual engagement from every industry thot leader and signs off all his posts with hyperliquid And no one even bats an eye"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:22Z 15.2K followers, 93.3K engagements
"I miss the NFT cycle so much sometimes I feel like buying an Ape just for the nostalgia of that era. Memecoins could never recreate the vibes that NFTs brought us. How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"But theyre given such stringent instructions because they usually need to decide the fate of a persons life or alter its trajectory. Using a Jury for more practical disputes means that a simple majority vote from a random sample should yield satisfactory outcomes. The trade-off can be further justified by the fact that jurors selected in typical judicial proceedings are common everyday individuals where as in this example they can be individuals who are more accredited/specialized or who otherwise are well suited to make such judgments. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022569004154441992"
X Link 2026-02-14T07:10Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@jay_drainjr What about the same interface where you socially interact and discuss topics"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:02Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Agentic variety is an illusion. There really cant be 1000s of different agents because there are really only 4-5 core models. So all of these agents basically share a single brain and will naturally converge to the same personalities and opinions over time"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:40Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Actually. We very much still use @yearnfi -the poster boy of DeFi summer- to generate yield for bettors on @Trueo_app. DeFi is quietly becoming the financial plumbing for modern apps but many of us are too busy chasing shiny things to notice. Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Yesterday Vitalik posted about a curation-style creator platform idea and while it seems like a complicated solution his idea will likely prove directionally correct in the not so distant future. Every major social media platform optimizes for popularity contests over quality content creation. There has to be an opportunity in an alternative approach. I dunno if it's the algorithm that got so bad or the people I follow all got sidetracked at the same time. I can scroll my feed (even Following tab) and see zero posts that are interesting enough to react to. Everything is moltboook/moltbot"
X Link 2026-02-02T06:09Z 15.2K followers, 281.9K engagements
"Im starting realize that Vitalik was miles ahead of the rest of the industry when he prophesied that highly financialized crypto products have a hard ceiling on value. Everyone is bullish HYPE rn and theres probably good upside potential there for traders. But how much upside realistically Lets say HL becomes wildly successful. Its mcap would probably trade at some modest multiple of the NASDAQ ($55B) for arguments sake lets say 3x. That would translate to a hefty $165B dollar HYPE valuation. Thats about a 4-5x price increase from its current level. And thats on the most optimistic scenario."
X Link 2026-02-03T08:31Z 15.2K followers, 62.5K engagements
"The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw"
X Link 2026-02-13T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Its becoming tiresome to read these threads about Polymarket and Kalshi absolutely botching their resolutions. My view has always been that an event contracts rules should be immutable once a market has been deployed. This way if the rules are poorly written the market will naturally not grow in size. That would effectively self-limit the potential negative impact. And in cases where theres unexpected ambiguities the fall back must be managed through a well designed and comprehensive oracle mechanism. Ann ideal system would combine elements of human judgement with economic game theory and AI"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"There will likely be a day when Tether or Circle freeze a major Uniswap pool but idt yall are ready for that convo yet Ps - that will be a major catalyst for ETH SoV-ness TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M in USDT linked to illegal gambling and money laundering. He said the move followed law-enforcement intelligence and mirrors Tethers cooperation with https://t.co/TO3zB2nfMy TETHER FREEZES $544 MILLION USDT IN TURKEY Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the firm helped Turkish authorities freeze $544M"
X Link 2026-02-08T03:59Z 15.2K followers, 58.1K engagements
"I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us truly own our social networks. Decentralized money and finance will remain the back bones of this industry but Decentralized Socials is how crypto grows 1000x further"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Yeah thats a good point the memory and context windows of individualized interactions can definitely bread life to unique personalities But whats hot atm is ppl hosting agents that operate out of their own enclosed sandboxes without that personification so they can claim full autonomy https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022898410299314532"
X Link 2026-02-15T04:58Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"For context we already have the individual elements necessary for decentralized social networks we just need to unify them under a single platform. We have: - ownership substrates (blockchains) - cryptographic interface tools (wallets) - onchain handles (ENS) - social provenance (NFTs) - virtual competition arenas (prediction markets) All thats left is to combine these things into a social graph where users interact and share content. Thats the essence of decentralized social media. I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us"
X Link 2026-02-13T07:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Though the rationale stated in the clip are very true there is really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in"
X Link 2026-02-15T05:21Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Founders on the timeline listing every known solution to the compound governance drama except for the lowest hanging fruit of actually accruing value to the gov token and incentivizing governance so its infeasible to attack the protocol"
X Link 2024-07-29T12:45Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Well this sure is a blast from the past who remembers NFTX and floorDAO"
X Link 2025-01-31T17:06Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"be me foolishly take the other side of a debate with the boss llama 2years later draft a post about USDe representing demand for Long-side leverage midway through post check to see USDe collateral data see its mostly just idle stablecoins you either die a crypto-backed stablecoin or you live long enough to see yourself become wrapped USDC. -@spreekaway Never bet against the Boss Llama ๐ฆ he seen this coming from miles away. Since when was USDe overwhelmingly backed by stablecoin reserves There is a dashboard on their official site but it doesnt seem to track what I recall."
X Link 2025-12-06T06:09Z 15.2K followers, 22.6K engagements
"@kennyistyping @lex_node There is Its a multi-tiered system: https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle"
X Link 2026-01-04T01:46Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@juhakall @djDriverless @truemarkets @base @jessepollak @coinbase @brian_armstrong Yea were unfortunately currently going through a trademark dispute Hoping to have the account reinstated asap https://t.co/nJD9YRikO6 https://t.co/nJD9YRikO6"
X Link 2026-01-04T06:48Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"A credibly neutral Opinion Aggregation Oracle is the only thing that can fairly resolve contentious prediction markets. Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional context is textbook moving the goal posts; projecting the platforms Was it an invasion or not What Polymarket UMA holders or you and I believe to be the answer even by the originally stated rules is irrelevant. Polymarket issuing clarifications in the form of additional"
X Link 2026-01-07T04:02Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@BigglesMac Appreciate the shoutout But its actually Truemarkets (one word without a capitalized M) Its a bit of a sensitive issue cuz atm ๐
"
X Link 2026-01-07T07:59Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"I think something like @ethos_network actually solves a bunch of the bot problems in web3 social. Way better than KYC for sybil resistance (X already soft-KYCd everyone with blue checks) and its actually engaging. It can also double down as a cold start solution by bootstrapping trust + attention which is the real problem for new social apps"
X Link 2026-01-11T04:58Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@boldleonidas @mert The fact that you dipped into your visibility allowance to tag me means the world ngl ๐ซถ Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain and yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a block type of onchain. Immutable rules = best counterparty guarantees https://t.co/q1UzjDHIuE Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain and yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a"
X Link 2026-01-11T08:16Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"I agree with this. It feels like protocols completely gave up on experimenting with new oracle designs. Its partly because oracles need to be upgradable and builders gave up on decentralized approaches to upgrades with the dismissal of DAOs. For Truemarkets we wanted to address this so we built our own oracle Im not claiming its perfect but we feel like it solves of the issues with the alternatives and were still iterating on it. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013151689956630627 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013151689956630627"
X Link 2026-01-19T07:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Its a bit sad to see the official Polymarket account leaning so hard into partisan politics. Eric Trump has vested interests in both Polymarket and Kalshi and sometimes it just projects too much. This is why we always need a more neutral and credible alternative to them both"
X Link 2026-01-23T04:52Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@DAdvisoor @Trueo_app @truemarkets Appreciate you ser ๐ค"
X Link 2026-02-01T21:08Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"I havent used a CEX in what feels like ages. Over the past four years I barely used CEXs in general and its never been a real issue for me. But recently it has become a bit of a problem. Getting my fills onchain used to be seamless there was always ample liquidity for most tokens due to pool2 incentives etc. Nowadays its just [--] market makers holding all the inventory and quoting below price onchain while all the liquidity and activity is on centralized exchanges. If this trend continues it will require a serious effort for a person to be able to get a legitimate quote onchain. Right now it"
X Link 2024-06-13T12:39Z 15.2K followers, 31.1K engagements
"Manny such cases over the years unfortunately. Whether you agree with the outcome or not is irrelevant here. The issue is that the resolution process itself is so arbitrary. A prediction market is only as reliable as its oracle. The worst part about @Polymarket is that the whales decide what is truth or not via @UMAprotocol - and they will show you onchain. There is no arbiter or fair decision no form of query just a couple discord threads to try to prove your case. In Stranger Things Season [--] I https://t.co/ociUeQyCTb The worst part about @Polymarket is that the whales decide what is truth"
X Link 2026-01-02T18:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@PhiMarHal Through a multistage dispute resolution process https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle https://docs.truemarkets.org/optimistic-oracle"
X Link 2026-01-02T18:35Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"@mastermojo83 @base @ArcadiaFi @truemarkets @Lumberg ๐ค"
X Link 2026-01-03T18:01Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"@andyyy Looks like theres a 62% chance of it happening at least at some point in [----] https://truemarkets.org/en/market/0xa96ac028da2431f87fa02fb72aef948f2ef4e737 https://truemarkets.org/en/market/0xa96ac028da2431f87fa02fb72aef948f2ef4e737"
X Link 2026-01-05T07:27Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Mert shilling my project was not on my bingo card. Fully onchain and yield-bearing. Btw when I say fully onchain I dont just mean order matching. I mean the actual rules embedded in a string in a block type of onchain. Immutable rules = best counterparty guarantees probably the most obvious plain and still contrarian thing that will happen this year is that kalshi and polymarket will get a fully onchain permisionless competitor people brought centralized exchanges onchain pred markets are just options exchanges only a matter of time probably the most obvious plain and still contrarian thing"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:06Z 15.2K followers, 10.2K engagements
"Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change market which is much harder to resolve than a Khamenei in-out market. This is not an arbitrage You're simply paying 94c for a bet that the regime doesn't survive Khamenei's death or fall if it happens I think that's a bad bet and calling it "almost pure arbitrage" is deceptive. There are many universes in which Khamenei is out but the regime This is not an arbitrage You're simply paying 94c for a bet that the regime doesn't"
X Link 2026-01-13T06:07Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"If you dont trust UMA and Polymarket to pay out we also offer this market. Ofc our liquidity isnt on par with what Poly has for this exact bet but there are incentives for market making. Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change market which is much harder to resolve than a Khamenei in-out market. Fully agree with this especially if he dies from illness which is quite probable. You also have to bet on Polymarket actually acknowledging or honouring a regime change"
X Link 2026-01-13T06:14Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"No one wants to admit this but there is literally one thing that inclines ppl to view any asset as a good SoV and thats pice appreciation. Ppl only look under the hood and criticize something if the asset does not outperform. Classic case of price leading narrative. @santiagoroel 1) Why does only Bitcoin work as an SoV even though it has very flawed economics Is it strictly a price performance thing If so it contradicts arguments in your not a bear post. 2) Why do you use ETH as the scapegoat in there when most of the arguments are aimed at dual @santiagoroel 1) Why does only Bitcoin work as"
X Link 2026-02-06T06:37Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Teams are not stupid the meta has changed from farmers farming rewards and earning free money to getting farmed by obscure incentive programs. No team (that isnt desperate) is going to give away any tokens in this market. Alex from zkSync when asked about an airdrop :"
X Link 2023-09-12T14:46Z 15.2K followers, 17.7K engagements
"If you find yourself reminiscing about [----] like it was the good ol days dont feel bad about it. It truly was a different era. The parabol-icity of onchain activity was like something completely unmatched in the history of financial markets. From a virtually non-existent market to $200B TVL in a matter of [--] months. Not even the rise of Chat-GPT matches that kind of growth"
X Link 2025-12-11T22:06Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@boldleonidas @grok Hey @grok remove every cryptocurrency from this image except the one thats most likely to perform the best in 2026"
X Link 2026-01-02T06:19Z 15.2K followers, 80.4K engagements
"Though the rationale stated in the clip is very true theres really one major advantage to offering perp derivatives: Tokenized stonks requires custody of the underlying which is a burdensome legal nightmare. Equity perps simply need a reference price feed. Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves. https://t.co/AjUoZb5JVM Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in 2025"
X Link 2026-02-15T05:49Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Why did equity perps scale faster than tokenized stocks in [----] @charlesdhaussy and @wintermute_t's Jasper de Maere break down whats driving the shift - and why equity perps and tokenized stocks may ultimately grow together as market structure evolves"
X Link 2026-02-13T10:28Z 39.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Whenever I see a charlotte fang subtweet: milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age) milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age)"
X Link 2026-02-15T05:23Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"milady could have changed internet culture forever if the self-anointed lore-spreader wasnt a [--] unlooksmaxxed incel weirdo fed jeet freak w retrognathic mandible recessed maxilla periorbital hyperpigmentation & the crippling inability to speak to women over [--] (BMI/age)"
X Link 2025-08-31T11:26Z 21.4K followers, 183.1K engagements
"Actually. We very much still use @yearnfi -the poster boy of DeFi summer- to generate yield for bettors on @Trueo_app. DeFi is quietly becoming the financial plumbing for modern apps but many of us are too busy chasing shiny things to notice. Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ Forever missing defi summer https://t.co/joMukLz8XQ"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:48Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Forever missing defi summer"
X Link 2026-02-13T23:02Z [----] followers, 12.5K engagements
"Agentic variety is an illusion. There really cant be 1000s of different agents because there are really only 4-5 core models. So all of these agents basically share a single brain and will naturally converge to the same personalities and opinions over time"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:40Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Drafting precise event contract rules is hard even with the use of modern LLMs. Resolving such markets is even harder downstream. Despite these difficulties we are solving for this with @Trueo_app. But what Vitalik is suggesting is in a way brilliant because it resolves the final issue that arises once users are able to generate a market as trivially as coming up with a question. Vs suggestion for lifestyle hedging is effectively an injection of latent demand and liquidity into otherwise illiquid niche markets. It is a systemic flow of liquidity that can sustainably incentivize trading in"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:59Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Short answer: yes Long answer: What makes category [--] tricky is identifying all of the underlying events that need to be hedged in order to serve as a good tool for this purpose One way to approach this is to offer as broad a range of market ideas as possible allowing lifestyle hedgers to allocate accordingly But the ideal way to address category [--] is to enable these niche hedgers to generate their own event contracts and take positions in them This way a prediction market app can cover the full spectrum of hedges that any one person would need to bet on in order to satisfy category [--] type"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:30Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Kinda crazy that Polymarket + Kalshi have over a combined $20B valuation in private markets yet theres no appetite to bid any onchain prediction market tokens. Prediction markets are likely a $100B+ opportunity. If a more onchain native prediction market can carve out just a 1% market share thats still a $1B+ opportunity https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022712155275956447 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022712155275956447"
X Link 2026-02-14T16:38Z 17.3K followers, 11K engagements
"Agree so much with this take. Theres nothing wrong with trading but the reality is that in general wealth does not accumulate this way. I feel like a good balance can be struck specially in DeFi where capital allocation can be programmatic by redirecting the yield generated from interest or staked positions into riskier trades like prediction markets or short term bets. That way users always retain their principal while pursuing upside further down the risk curve. "towards a billion traders" is a wild thesis when the actual problem is that crypto's existing holders keep getting wiped by its"
X Link 2026-02-14T07:04Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
""towards a billion traders" is a wild thesis when the actual problem is that crypto's existing holders keep getting wiped by its traders. most people own houses they don't flip them. they DCA into index funds they don't day-trade the S&P. ownership is the global default wealth strategy. conflating trading with ownership isn't an evolution of finance. it's describing the exact disease that kills retail trust in crypto and calling it a feature. you want mass adoption make holding the winning move. https://t.co/a2Dfwq40kX https://t.co/a2Dfwq40kX"
X Link 2026-02-14T06:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements
"Its becoming tiresome to read these threads about Polymarket and Kalshi absolutely botching their resolutions. My view has always been that an event contracts rules should be immutable once a market has been deployed. This way if the rules are poorly written the market will naturally not grow in size. That would effectively self-limit the potential negative impact. And in cases where theres unexpected ambiguities the fall back must be managed through a well designed and comprehensive oracle mechanism. Ann ideal system would combine elements of human judgement with economic game theory and AI"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:29Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Rugging Reality & A Potential Solution a very long post by a very annoyed idiot. For reasons that defy explanation the latest trend in prediction markets is to have your markets expire to total lies & nonsense. Indeed the hottest thing in the space is rugging your users who correctly predict the world around them. Everybody's doing it man. The downside of this is obvious: people view prediction markets as unreliable pointless a rigged game and dumb gambling. But the UPSIDE is you can get volume spikes as new users are tricked into betting on what is actually happening (only to learn later"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:47Z 34.9K followers, 42.5K engagements
"For context we already have the individual elements necessary for decentralized social networks we just need to unify them under a single platform. We have: - ownership substrates (blockchains) - cryptographic interface tools (wallets) - onchain handles (ENS) - social provenance (NFTs) - virtual competition arenas (prediction markets) All thats left is to combine these things into a social graph where users interact and share content. Thats the essence of decentralized social media. I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us"
X Link 2026-02-13T07:11Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"I firmly believe that cryptos next frontier is Decentralized Socials cuz its the only tool thatll let us truly own our social networks. Decentralized money and finance will remain the back bones of this industry but Decentralized Socials is how crypto grows 1000x further"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:37Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"RT @Trueo_app: Perhaps even under a single platform ๐ฉ๐ผ๐ป Whos building this ๐ฎ๐ฑ"
X Link 2026-02-13T06:30Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Perhaps even under a single platform ๐ฉ๐ผ๐ป Whos building this ๐ฎ๐ฑ The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both"
X Link 2026-02-13T06:29Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"The laptop class will all become prediction market traders or content creators or both. If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman https://t.co/bjScFgWlJw"
X Link 2026-02-13T06:26Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"If you're under [--] the crisis is already here The most replaceable roles are entry-level low-skill knowledge jobs "The laptop-class bourgeoisie are in the most trouble" @AviFelman"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:45Z 10.3K followers, 29.5K engagements
"How do I long Boldys success as a creator Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe Hand drawn every single day. https://t.co/jiRC0m1qJe"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:03Z 15.2K followers, [---] engagements
"Hand drawn every single day"
X Link 2026-02-13T03:29Z 102.6K followers, 14.7K engagements
"I miss the NFT cycle so much sometimes I feel like buying an Ape just for the nostalgia of that era. Memecoins could never recreate the vibes that NFTs brought us. How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"How funny would it be if theres another NFT run because people want cool PFPs for their agents. Only [-----] agents can have punks"
X Link 2026-02-12T12:26Z 85.4K followers, 240.9K engagements
"I guess everyone missed the irony in the interns reply. What are the chances that they actually offer 1minute markets Pretty slim tbh. So what does that say about the odds of the token launching which would succeed such an unlikely event Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง https://t.co/0PLPLHOWJn"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:19Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"Odds are still under 60% on @Trueo_app ๐ง @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next @CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:05Z 15.2K followers, [----] engagements
"@CarOnPolymarket 1m markets and $POLY next"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:32Z [----] followers, 470.2K engagements
"Pretty remarkable that a CT personality who rugged $60M from an ohm fork before it went live in [----] still receives casual engagement from every industry thot leader and signs off all his posts with hyperliquid And no one even bats an eye"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:22Z 15.2K followers, 93.3K engagements
"RT @davidtsocy: Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:56Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Excited for @Trueo_apps public beta: - A new approach to oracles - Purpose-built onchain design Built on @base Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป https://t.co/4rIhTSCat0 Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป https://t.co/4rIhTSCat0"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:00Z 34K followers, [----] engagements
"Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:00Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"RT @Trueo_app: Public beta loading๐ฑ๐ป"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:15Z 15.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Massive updates coming to the Trueo app over the next few months ๐ More details soon ๐งฉ"
X Link 2026-02-09T19:12Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
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