# ![@liron Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::15672273.png) @liron Liron Shapira

Liron Shapira posts on X about israel, hamas, ai, blockchain the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::15672273/interactions)
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- [--] Week [------] +19%
- [--] Month [-------] -74%
- [--] Months [---------] +38%
- [--] Year [---------] -73%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::15672273/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::15672273/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] -14%
- [--] Month [---] +138%
- [--] Months [---] +173%
- [--] Year [-----] -8.50%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::15672273/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::15672273/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.02%
- [--] Month [------] +0%
- [--] Months [------] +2%
- [--] Year [------] +3.90%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::15672273/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::15672273/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [vc firms](/list/vc-firms)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [us election](/list/us-election)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands) 

**Social topic influence**
[israel](/topic/israel), [hamas](/topic/hamas), [ai](/topic/ai), [blockchain](/topic/blockchain), [web3](/topic/web3), [agi](/topic/agi), [open ai](/topic/open-ai), [money](/topic/money), [elon musk](/topic/elon-musk) #1941, [twitter](/topic/twitter)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [USDC (USDC)](/topic/usdc) [Axie infinity (axie-infinity)](/topic/axie-infinity) [Braintrust (BTRST)](/topic/braintrust) [Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN)](/topic/coinbase) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@kalshi_official @sequoia @Alfred_Lin @robinhanson The #1 most successful firm for these kinds of bets just bet that prediction markets are going mainstream"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1362124217903423488)  2021-02-17T19:38Z 39.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@levychain @davidraper4 @AaveAave Making a higher interest rate on my cash would be a greatuse case. Problem is appraising the risks because I suspect the risk/reward is no better than what you can get with web2 alternatives. I'm open to thinking otherwise but it seems like an elaborate/complex case to analyze"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1455014116960133123)  2021-11-01T03:29Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"You may recall I once recommended buying $RIVN puts. Some time has passed (an hour) and my position is now up 47%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1460993575148306436)  2021-11-17T15:29Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Overview so as not to later be accused of only revealing my winners: I mostly go long stock index funds startups & cryptocurrencies I have puts on $RIVN $LCID $NKLA $COIN $MSTR. These have a very long way to fall in a liquidity crunch IMO so they seem like good hedge bets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1461027661191467014)  2021-11-17T17:45Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@BertramBtc @packyM @loganbartlett @cartoonavatars @zachweinberg Then eBay steps in to help you either get a refund or get the product and as a backup you can also use your credit cards consumer protection function - someone in 2001"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1533629531411492864)  2022-06-06T01:59Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"When @matt_levine is calling your portfolio company a Ponzi scheme maybe it's time to take a hard look at the logic of the "mental models" you've been disseminating these last few years. Compare Matt's thoughts on Axie to @cdixon and @AriannaSimpson's: https://x.com/liron/status/1540035327665967105 Last year @a16z partners @cdixon and @AriannaSimpson invested in a Web3 "play-to-earn" game called Axie Infinity. I put together some clips exploring their thought process. https://t.co/PUoAKZhiPn https://x.com/liron/status/1540035327665967105 Last year @a16z partners @cdixon and @AriannaSimpson"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1546552763483660292)  2022-07-11T17:51Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Today @a16z led a $30M investment in @farcaster_xyz. It's a genius idea: Twitter but on on the blockchain. Self-described "avid user" @cdixon has been one of the most active accounts during the 50-week beta period although that's not saying much"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547086502416490496)  2022-07-13T05:12Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


"You can see a handful of crypto folks have been chatting among themselves in Farcaster like it's a crypto-themed Discord channel: My favorite thread is the one where they're struggling to come up with use cases: https://searchcaster.xyz/searchmerkleRoot=0x8db2afca48542f917a426be9d6d1f4bc7d37920d352c91732b022e2fdf80700c https://searchcaster.xyz/search https://searchcaster.xyz/searchmerkleRoot=0x8db2afca48542f917a426be9d6d1f4bc7d37920d352c91732b022e2fdf80700c https://searchcaster.xyz/search"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547086504094203906)  2022-07-13T05:12Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@johnallsopp @a16z @farcaster_xyz @cdixon I think the deal when you get @a16z to pretend your Twitter clone isn't a ghost town is that you have to pretend their Twitter Spaces clone isn't a ghost town"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547088129789726720)  2022-07-13T05:18Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Farcaster the Twitter-on-the-blockchain co that raised $30M this week offers a rare glimpse into an undisturbed Web3 tribe in its natural ecosystem. When a rival internet attacks with unflattering screenshots we witness their cultural value of innovation on full display:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547931630806872068)  2022-07-15T13:10Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Alongside a lavish outlay of surplus resources leader @pmarca presents a boisterous #valueadd display. Having once been a member of the rival internet he has taken the new tribe as his own and signals that his allegiance will not waver"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547931634850099201)  2022-07-15T13:10Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Anthropologists classify Farcaster as a "ConstitutionDAO" indefinite optimism culture. Idolization of an Ethereal "blockchain social network" is reinforced through repeated engagement. Critical discourse on the pragmatic affairs of mortals is shunned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1547931636901171206)  2022-07-15T13:10Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@NeerajKA @MacBudkowski @balajis @sriramk @aarthir I would personally consider it useful *in that case* but its fundamentally limited to be small scale until gov cracks down on on/off ramps and also countered by enabling ransomware and other value-destroying crime so such a tool probably nets out as value destructive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1549742411819237377)  2022-07-20T13:05Z 39.6K followers, [--] engagements


"@pmarca @cdixon @pmarca_public @cdixon_public Tagging some folks who've been blocked by @pmarca. Might run out of space @codinghorror @SwiftOnSecurity @StevenLevy @jack @timbray @dragosilinca @GlennF @BWJones @emilyst @zerohedge @zachtratar @EvanKirstel @Molson_Hart @ahl @SpeakSamuel @ummjackson @ericgarland @TaylorLorenz"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1550196312712388613)  2022-07-21T19:09Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@pmarca @cdixon @pmarca_public @cdixon_public @codinghorror @SwiftOnSecurity @StevenLevy @jack @timbray @dragosilinca @GlennF @BWJones @emilyst @zerohedge @zachtratar @EvanKirstel @Molson_Hart @ahl @SpeakSamuel @ummjackson @ericgarland @TaylorLorenz What do you think @proales @ProfFaustus @ikirigin @ArlanWasHere @speirin @BrendanEich @bengold @kombiz @jhamby @spinzo @mims @justkelly_ok @aminatou @TuronianHighs @michaelpachter @landon20s @factcheckai @valueterminal @kittypurrzog @Grady_Booch @moskov @caspiancey @arctictony"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1550198174811389954)  2022-07-21T19:17Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"I'm running out of ideas. What else do 3-digit IQs still think is a Web3 use case at this point"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1553739788708188160)  2022-07-31T13:50Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


"We can thank Web3 tokenomics for this wasteful and futile exercise. But the original HNT token isn't enough. They're making up [--] new tokens Everyone's desperate to keep the music playing until "crypto winter" ends. HNT down 60% since Feb '22 round. Just get to the next pump"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1554226692159332353)  2022-08-01T22:04Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Helium team boasts about the rapid growth of 5G hotspots [----] so far. I've heard from insiders they're serving $0 in end customer usage. Maybe their next focus should be on the demand side Unclear how the new $IOT and $MOBILE tokens will change all of that. Here we go again"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1554230676987252737)  2022-08-01T22:20Z 38.6K followers, [--] engagements


"First lets be clear that Axie really is a Ponzi scheme. To quote @matt_levine's newsletter from last month: Axie Infinity is a Ponzi scheme"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1554941452278538240)  2022-08-03T21:25Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


"Interestingly despite the recent 2x revenue growth the market cap of the BTRST token has been flat or down. Its currently $175M down 76% from last years ICO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561166827564109824)  2022-08-21T01:42Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"I wonder how many recruiter salaries currently get subsidized by Braintrusts venture funding. LinkedIn shows [---] employees but many are just network participants. If Braintrust keeps charging industry-low fees its not clear how theyll keep affording recruiter salaries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561166829002711040)  2022-08-21T01:42Z 38.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Braintrust claims to have more transparency than its Web2 predecessors. But juicing revenue by partnering with existing Web2 agencies and subsidizing recruiter pay isn't transparent. Ironically Upwork offers a more transparent public breakdown of their revenue and headcount"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561166841317273601)  2022-08-21T01:42Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"What have we learned about $BTRST Job seekers hardly use it Recruiters hardly use it But Braintrust uses it to paint misleading narratives about take rates ownership and transparency The tokens arent helping build a winning business as claimed in the white paper"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561166842856501248)  2022-08-21T01:42Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"For crypto investors what determines if something is a security The Howey Test again. The SEC doesnt change their test just because a decentralized ledger is involved. Heres the SECs framework for analyzing digital asset purchases: https://www.sec.gov/corpfin/framework-investment-contract-analysis-digital-assets https://www.sec.gov/corpfin/framework-investment-contract-analysis-digital-assets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561964166646095872)  2022-08-23T06:30Z 38.6K followers, [--] engagements


"Braintrusts profits increase the value of the $BTRST token via a mechanism thats structurally identical to a stock buyback. Companies who hire freelancers on Braintrust pay a 10% fee in fiat which gets converted into $BTRST at market price which raises the price of $BTRST"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561964169812791296)  2022-08-23T06:30Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"So why all of a sudden won't Coinbase call a security a security It's because theyre a platform for VCs to take advantage of retail investors. Look at Braintrust. A subsidized staffing agency that will probably never be a self-sustaining business but VCs love it. Why"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561964182727114753)  2022-08-23T06:30Z 38.8K followers, [--] engagements


"Because at $2 per BTRST Braintrusts early VCs who bought in at $0.33 are set to walk away with a 600% return. Meanwhile the majority of retail investors who bought $BTRST through Coinbase have lost money"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561964184111235072)  2022-08-23T06:30Z 38.8K followers, [--] engagements


"Without securities regulation holding them back VCs don't mind investing in shitcoins. Worst case they can pump in more funding and let the next buyer be their exit liquidity. Sure the pumps always lead to crashes but everyone thinks they'll time their exit and be fine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1561964185801527296)  2022-08-23T06:30Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


".@farcaster_xyz with $30M led by @a16z is publicly documenting why their Web3 social network will fail. Cofounder @dwr plans to grow a crypto chatroom into a Twitter disrupter for the masses. The magic ingredient is blockchain. Can you spot what's wrong with his stated plan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1565942243973705728)  2022-09-03T05:58Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


".@Helium market cap in free fall"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1566807415558795264)  2022-09-05T15:16Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@helium https://www.reddit.com/r/Buttcoin/comments/x6ipak/helium_market_cap_in_free_fall/ https://www.reddit.com/r/Buttcoin/comments/x6ipak/helium_market_cap_in_free_fall/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1566945580542070785)  2022-09-06T00:25Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


".@Helium finally gets the @matt_levine treatment in today's Money Stuff:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1567991206164189184)  2022-09-08T21:40Z 39.6K followers, [--] engagements


"Today's #HollowAbstraction is @cdixon's non-vision for @farcaster_xyz. He thinks he envisions a "developer ecosystem that creates rich set of products". Sounds great abstractly but lacks a plausible specific referent. If you disagree I challenge you to describe a referent"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1572834618117877761)  2022-09-22T06:26Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Hard to time a speculation bubble but heres why I think BTC has peaked: [--]. Erased last [--] years of gains. Todays BTC price is 20% lower than Dec [----] adjusted for USD inflation. [--]. Exhausted the supply of retail suckers. They wont bother with Matt Damon at Super Bowl 2023"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1574284438891962368)  2022-09-26T06:27Z 38.4K followers, [---] engagements


"Here's @farcaster_xyz founder @dwr trying to name a use case that differentiates his $30M @a16z-funded Web3 social network from Twitter. Dan says: [--]. Something with games [--]. A universal "like" button and comment system [--]. It's not his job to name a use case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1575163497498890245)  2022-09-28T16:40Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"DeFi's only use case is a harmful one. Great explanation by @zachweinberg. Highly recommend Zach's whole debate with @BanklessHQ's @TrustlessState moderated by @SahilBloom. From the latest @cartoonavatars: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Weyx1Oi8rJY https://www.youtube.com/watchv=Weyx1Oi8rJY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1576632887423574016)  2022-10-02T17:59Z 39.6K followers, [---] engagements


"Contrast @a16z's Web3 claims to the revealed choices of their company @farcaster_xyz: @AriannaSimpson says Web3 is all about token incentives but Farcaster doesn't have those. It doesn't put its data on the blockchain either. All it puts on-chain is a simple username registry"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1577682107379245056)  2022-10-05T15:28Z 38.6K followers, [--] engagements


"I actually noted these same kinds of issues in [----] even before Golden pivoted to crypto (though Everipedia had already done the pivot to crypto during the [----] ICO era): https://medium.com/bloated-mvp/golden-is-a-bloated-mvp-2797105cdd36 https://medium.com/bloated-mvp/golden-is-a-bloated-mvp-2797105cdd36"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1583892028517015552)  2022-10-22T18:44Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Obesity's not going away unless you let American people eat whatever they want whenever they want as much as they want with no lifestyle changes no exercise and absolutely no effort on their parts whatsoever. @PalmerLuckey on @myfirstmilpod Wow that's a startup idea"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1585129072992321536)  2022-10-26T04:39Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"If you liked @Helium you'll love @Hivemapper a $21M VC-backed Web3 "drive-to-earn" scheme launching on Thurs. They're asking Uber drivers to invest $650 on dashcams that earn crypto by mapping streets and hoping to charge for access to maps. Let's watch what happens next 🍿"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1587172907792224257)  2022-10-31T20:01Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"@lab_leak @helium @Hivemapper Compete with it I guess. I'm assuming the demand side is super weak to justify the investment otherwise VCs would simply fund a non-crypto startup to make the investment. oh wait that was Spark Capital investing $3M in HiveMapper in 2015"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1587174058050744320)  2022-10-31T20:05Z 39.1K followers, [--] engagements


".@balajis defines a supposedly key term "Network State" and gives it four properties: [--]. Aligned online community [--]. Capacity for collective action [--]. Crowdfunded territory [--]. Diplomatic recognition But as you'll see Balaji has no idea what his own term is supposed to mean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1593338469128044550)  2022-11-17T20:21Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"If you're wondering what I make of this "$2B" @binance insurance fund click through to this Forbes article https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2022/11/25/terra-luna-20-binance-ceo-reveals-huge-2-billion-fund-after-ftx-meltdown-crashed-the-bitcoin-and-crypto-price/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/billybambrough/2022/11/25/terra-luna-20-binance-ceo-reveals-huge-2-billion-fund-after-ftx-meltdown-crashed-the-bitcoin-and-crypto-price/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1596214162123673601)  2022-11-25T18:48Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Phil just get another hobby man https://fortune.com/crypto/2022/12/08/hivemapper-wants-to-be-crypto-google-maps-helium/ https://fortune.com/crypto/2022/12/08/hivemapper-wants-to-be-crypto-google-maps-helium/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1600979896892694528)  2022-12-08T22:25Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"If @cdixon could substantiate this abstract claim with a comparison of Mastodon vs. Farcaster/DeSo and illuminate for us where the double-spend prevention property of blockchain ledgers prevents evil in only the latter then he wouldnt be a #HollowAbstraction thinker"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1604704117800112133)  2022-12-19T05:04Z 38.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Dumb and dumber"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1613638153243623424)  2023-01-12T20:44Z 38.5K followers, 13.4K engagements


"@DurationDoug Miners: We will only mine a version of BTC that's updated/forked to continue coin rewards (inflationary monetary policy) Nodes: We refuse to run new BTC code Miners: Oh well can't afford to mine BTC have fun with your insecure low-computation-power chain Nodes: Fine fork it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1616291399242256384)  2023-01-20T04:27Z 38.5K followers, 69.2K engagements


"Bitcoin proponents apparently don't take the 51% attack scenario seriously. Even though being secure against that scenario is one of the only things Bitcoin claims to do. I just had a bunch of debate threads that went like this: @MartyBent Ah I see so BTC is a protocol where everyone looks to some kind of news source to know whether it's currently legit or not and in times when it's not legit they keep increasing the number of confirmations they require until they learn it's legit again. Very cryptographic. @MartyBent Ah I see so BTC is a protocol where everyone looks to some kind of news"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1616319167774486529)  2023-01-20T06:18Z 39.7K followers, 34.9K engagements


"Here's @dwr pitching @farcaster_xyz's initial feature set that differentiates it from Twitter. What if your social network had a built-in feed of all the exciting Web3 NFT transactions that are happening Reminder: They raised $30M https://www.youtube.com/watchv=nGDIdbdtdjE https://www.youtube.com/watchv=nGDIdbdtdjE"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1619748533313363972)  2023-01-29T17:25Z 38.5K followers, 17.1K engagements


"Who thought this was going to double in [--] months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1621198341551050752)  2023-02-02T17:26Z 39.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Except Worldcoin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1624912769303859200)  2023-02-12T23:26Z 38.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Coinbase has taken down their blog post from [----] describing a future of SEC-regulated crypto securities: https://archive.is/ChvjY https://archive.is/ChvjY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1625153047625334784)  2023-02-13T15:20Z 38.5K followers, 11.9K engagements


"The post was quietly deleted after I pointed out last August that the $BTRST token is exactly the kind of security that it was referring to. VCs bought BTRST's presale at $0.33 then used Coinbase to spike the price and dump on retail before it crashed. https://x.com/liron/status/1561964162237861888 Coinbase says they dont list any securities end of story. Except Braintrust's token BTRST is a security. And BTRST is listed on Coinbase. Why Coinbase is gaslighting about securities 🧵 https://t.co/mOdRfgZfFz https://x.com/liron/status/1561964162237861888 Coinbase says they dont list any"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1625153049072402434)  2023-02-13T15:20Z 38.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Given Coinbases embattled position that nothing they do constitutes selling securities I would have expected them to at least quietly take down Braintrusts token by now. How obvious can you be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1625153612124127234)  2023-02-13T15:23Z 38.5K followers, [----] engagements


"Former FTX US president @BrettHarrison88 makes a compelling case for how a smart experienced ethical guy in his role could have failed to expose @SBF_FTX's inner circle of fraud. https://youtu.be/yXgDlIlB93At=6813 https://youtu.be/yXgDlIlB93At=6813"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1635486458592264194)  2023-03-14T03:42Z 38.5K followers, 31.8K engagements


"Whoa there [----] Economic Report of the President is throwing some serious shade on @a16z and @Helium 🤣 https://whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/ERP-2023.pdf https://whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/ERP-2023.pdf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1638339172502245376)  2023-03-22T00:37Z 38.5K followers, 14.2K engagements


"Remember @a16z's widely-publicized investment thesis is that it's IMPOSSIBLE in a non-blockchain-powered capitalist economy for a company to roll out this kind of infrastructure 😂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1640816620842127367)  2023-03-28T20:42Z 39.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Let's see what the Stockholm syndromers are saying at http://reddit.com/r/HeliumNetwork http://reddit.com/r/HeliumNetwork"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1640817623549218818)  2023-03-28T20:46Z 39.7K followers, [----] engagements


"It's now been [--] months since Axie Infinity the Ponzi scheme that @a16z led over $311M into collapsed. Axie's metrics show no sign of recovery; it has no non-Ponzi model. But @AriannaSimpson keeps going on podcasts making excuses and I'm here for it: https://web3-with-a16z.simplecast.com/episodes/web3-crypto-gaming-on-chain-games-gaming-design-users-more https://web3-with-a16z.simplecast.com/episodes/web3-crypto-gaming-on-chain-games-gaming-design-users-more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1641190300923355137)  2023-03-29T21:27Z 38.5K followers, 117.6K engagements


"This joke page I made in [----] the Billion Dollar Home Page is *still* worth $1 Billion according to the current CryptoPunks floor price of [--] ETH 😂 https://medium.com/bloated-mvp/the-billion-dollar-homepage-35a9f7d116d7 https://medium.com/bloated-mvp/the-billion-dollar-homepage-35a9f7d116d7"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1642997678224343040)  2023-04-03T21:09Z 39.7K followers, [----] engagements


"Crypto boom to AGI foom translator:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1647079331322290176)  2023-04-15T03:28Z 38.5K followers, 19.1K engagements


".@a16z's official comment on the decline of crypto mobile wallet users: _()_/ Clipped from their latest podcast. This is my favorite slide in the deck. Good job on this one guys. https://t.co/Vvy4Wf5jZl This is my favorite slide in the deck. Good job on this one guys. https://t.co/Vvy4Wf5jZl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1647827861938769920)  2023-04-17T05:02Z 38.5K followers, 33.5K engagements


"I think superintelligent AI is the single most likely reason that I will personally die. Dr. @PaulFChristiano PhD Inventor of @OpenAI's Deep Reinforcement Learning from Human Preferences (RHLF)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1650991384214781952)  2023-04-25T22:33Z 38.5K followers, 33K engagements


"Hey @OpenAI heres how to show youre minimally competent at AI security: Before beginning training on GPT-5 submit a version of ChatGPT thats immune to prompt injection. If no one can successfully jailbreak it within [--] week go ahead. If someone does youre banned. Fair Every conversation about prompt injection ever: I don't get it why is this even a big deal This sounds simple you can fix this with delimiters OK so let's use random delimiters that the attacker can't guess (1/2) Every conversation about prompt injection ever: I don't get it why is this even a big deal This sounds simple you can"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1657464048269635586)  2023-05-13T19:13Z 38.5K followers, 14.8K engagements


"@SquidWithKnife Yes. The issue is NONE of the AIs can be controlled. We won't have a single good one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1663616303255666688)  2023-05-30T18:40Z 38.4K followers, [----] engagements


"Today Sam Harris debated @pmarca's AI claims. At one point Sam catches Marc contradicting himself and the resulting word salad is 😙🤌"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1674164615700439042)  2023-07-15T00:39Z 37.1K followers, 110.9K engagements


".@pmarca says the risk of AI doom "isn't science". His scientific test is to check whether today's AI looks safe. Does he get that today's AI has amoral versions running in the lab And is it "science" to just assume today's alignment techniques will work on superintelligence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1674576341604384768)  2023-06-30T00:31Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Today's @pmarca 💩 show: [--]. Rejects Orthogonality Thesis because paperclips are obviously dumb. Beg the question much [--]. @BenThompson points out a contradiction [--]. False consciousness in Marxism 🙄 [--]. Claims he's disproven Orthogonality by observing today's LLMs' outputs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1674589129626255360)  2023-06-30T01:22Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"People act like it was dumb to be cautious about the nuclear threat - But hypothetically if we could have either both nuclear bombs & nuclear power or neither the right choice is neither. (In the non-hypothetical Im obviously pro nuclear power.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1674617208172077057)  2023-06-30T03:17Z 36.2K followers, 10.5K engagements


"@PayneTrane4 @PhineasQDotcom @NYCFireWire If this could be resolved with a ticket there would be no reason for the law and the ticket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1674619750587195392)  2023-06-30T03:24Z 37.1K followers, 10.6K engagements


"aLl ThE sMaRtEsT pEoPlE aRe BuIdLiNg JUST IN: The number of new monthly crypto startups has fallen off a cliff down 98% since early [----] https://t.co/6rEDkkvNzG JUST IN: The number of new monthly crypto startups has fallen off a cliff down 98% since early [----] https://t.co/6rEDkkvNzG"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1677430080015069185)  2023-07-07T21:31Z 38.5K followers, 22.2K engagements


".@ylecun and @pmarca claim higher IQ doesnt make humans more powerful & dominant: The smartest people I know work for a boss whose IQ is [--] points lower No guys there are no 80-IQ managers of geniuses. IQ isnt a *perfect* proxy for optimization power but it *is* a proxy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1677552723133370368)  2023-07-09T09:30Z 37.1K followers, 61.3K engagements


"@startupdaemon Check out my new @pmarca beef: http://DontListenToMarcAndreessenAboutAI.com http://DontListenToMarcAndreessenAboutAI.com"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678237538643787776)  2023-07-10T02:59Z 38.6K followers, [--] engagements


"@rsg @tszzl Happy to have a convo about why I think unstoppable universe-killing AI is the inevitable outcome of a few more years of research advances. I recently had one here:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678516830191910914)  2023-07-10T21:31Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@hvbris_ @cdixon Sorry theres not gonna be much more meat on the Web3 bone lol"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678517043119677445)  2023-07-10T21:31Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"ChatGPT can get 100M users in two months. Threads in less than a week. But as for crypto"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678532632873689089)  2023-07-11T10:16Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@eshear @devonzuegel EMH only claims that you cant expect to profit from an attempt to predict *which* firms will have higher than cost-of-capital profits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678569514445991936)  2023-07-11T05:14Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Pathetic @pmarca trying to cloak his blockchain bullshit in the new AI hype Why's he acting so dumb about cryptographic digital signatures There was a guy in the 1990s who built a browser called Netscape. Every https site already authenticates its content with a digital sig"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678578460187578369)  2023-07-11T01:39Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Full interview (not recommended):"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678579208795340807)  2023-07-11T11:08Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"I challenged GPT-4 to tell me a single blockchain use case: It put up a respectable effort. Maybe GPT-5 will have enough insight to realize that you need to care a lot about avoiding some kind of double-spend situation or else you NEVER need blockchain"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678868955199582209)  2023-07-11T21:10Z 36.3K followers, [----] engagements


"This is what @OpenAI and others must take responsibility for immediately 👇 Having a superalignment moonshot project is great but it doesn't make it ok to scale capabilities without providing safety guarantees here on non-superaligned Earth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678882188732043264)  2023-07-11T21:41Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@nihil2501 From the AI's final response: However it's important to note that the system still hinges on the reliability of the infrastructure where the snapshots are stored and the effectiveness of the mechanisms to detect and handle any discrepancies between different versions of the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678883415142309888)  2023-07-11T23:31Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Humanity is currently trying to make AI as smart as possible as quickly as possible while using the fact that it's dumb to control it. Jaan Tallinn @AnthropicAI lead investor"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678980178180177920)  2023-07-12T04:10Z 36.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@AnthropicAI Full interview on the latest @LoganBartShow: Highly recommended"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1678984306214178822)  2023-07-12T09:39Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Listen to @ylecun he makes great points Current AI systems like ChatGPT are intrinsically unsafe. If LLMs could be scaled to human-level intelligence they'd remain unsafe. He has a potential solution for safe AI but we don't know it works"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1679146200048758786)  2023-07-12T15:45Z 35.9K followers, [----] engagements


"PSA: @balajis's track record is now unambiguously bad. The accuracy of his predictions has shown to be exactly what you'd expect from the low quality of his argumentation. Stop treating him like he has credibility"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1679156025918894080)  2023-07-12T20:52Z 37.1K followers, 20.8K engagements


"@balajis On COVID I was saying the same stuff as Balaji just [--] month later:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1679159220330201088)  2023-07-12T19:06Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@balajis I was also early to the lab leak claim lol. In fairness I was wrongly predicting that the stock market crash was going to last a lot longer than it did. This was mostly because I didnt accurately understand some basics of how stocks worked at the time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1679204573897162752)  2023-07-12T19:06Z 35.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Have our AI labs gone insane @OpenAIs newly announced Superalignment team known to insiders as the notkilleveryoneism team exposes the dangerously self-contradictory beliefs that they and other top AI labs operate on. 🧵 Let's follow their logic:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1681793688467558400)  2023-07-19T22:30Z 38.7K followers, 105K engagements


"We are finding new jailbreaks every day. People jailbreak Claude; they jailbreak the other models. I'm deeply concerned that in 2-3 years a jailbreak could be life or death. Dario Amodei @AnthropicAI CEO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1682433957772800000)  2023-07-21T16:54Z 38.4K followers, 44.3K engagements


"e/acc is a disingenuous Motte-and-Bailey argument e/acc's claim we should accelerate AI progress because: [--]. Risk of near-term extinction from AI is small [--]. When risk of near-term extinction is small progressshould be accelerated AI doomers like me disagree with e/acc's on #1 but we virtually all agree on #2. In fact folks like me who were attracted to the singularitarian and the AI safety movement tend to be long-time transhumanists. One such person @ESYudkowsky used to write popular web pages about how great it will be for humanity to build superintelligent AI as quickly as possible. He"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1682825830630674432)  2023-07-22T18:51Z 37.1K followers, 232.4K engagements


"Simple challenge if you Deutsch stans have any idea what youre talking about: Whats an example prompt you think AI cant answer correctly in [--] years but a typical human could"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1684242288749473793)  2023-07-26T16:40Z 36.4K followers, 42.7K engagements


"Anyone with P(doom)10% want to debate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1685675462360788992)  2023-07-30T20:38Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@MikePFrank @MelindaBChu1 @Chrisprucha The reasonable interest rate offer already accounts for that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1685685065135886336)  2023-07-30T16:22Z 36.3K followers, [--] engagements


"@bitcloud @SpencerKSchiff Thanks for tracking your object-level and discourse-level judgments separately"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1685872666555867136)  2023-07-31T04:41Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"OpenAI Alignment Team Lead @JanLeike's P(doom) is 10-90%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1688951847682543616)  2023-08-08T16:34Z 37.1K followers, 45.2K engagements


"I cant believe the superconductor discourse is gonna die down before we even get to know which view is left/right and which is for/against trusting institutions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689353736932696064)  2023-08-09T19:11Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Does @pmarca speak for the silent majority of AI accelerationists Let's check the data on that:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689407644895977472)  2023-08-09T22:45Z 37.1K followers, 87.4K engagements


"OpenAI's Head of Alignment @JanLeike says efforts toward AGI will be too hard to stop until things actually get really scary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689671899679481857)  2023-08-10T16:15Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"This is why he's not protesting against OpenAI's capabilities efforts despite having a P(doom) of 10-90%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689672332737126400)  2023-08-10T16:17Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"a16z blows $7B on obvious Ponzi bubbles like Axie Infinity. Takes $1B management fees off the table. Wrong thesis. No exit strategy. LPs left holding the bag. Accountability time: What happened @bhorowitz *Shrugs* We're still early 100x Ethereum improvements on the way 🤡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689803721847570432)  2023-08-11T00:59Z 38.9K followers, 24.4K engagements


"Full podcast:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689804953270063104)  2023-08-11T01:04Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Remember this was the crypto fund's original "thesis":"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689805141250322432)  2023-08-11T01:05Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@jxpric3 @bhorowitz They can afford the money they thought crypto was a thing they made the decision to invest in a crypto fund so they got rightfully fucked. I dont think a16z broke the law or anything just think its shameful to be a public thought leader who cant update your busted thesis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1689821351631282176)  2023-08-11T02:09Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Today's @a16z's propaganda pod is a crypto+AI episode of course. The expert they want you to listen to is Ali Yahya (@alive_eth) the genius who led their @Helium investment. Enjoy his word salad: Q: How does crypto help AI A: You could embed an AI within a smart contract 🤡"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1690573141280792576)  2023-08-13T03:57Z 37.1K followers, 12.9K engagements


"@WalterIsaacson Im now on team Zuck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1690759605268414464)  2023-08-13T16:17Z 37.1K followers, 59.2K engagements


"Closing Statement By @ESYudkowsky: AI optimists want to build perpetual-motion machines. Their own proposals are too complex for them to analyze and violate a deep principle they're not aware of: That the future universe will correspond closely to a superintelligence's wants"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1691678524250464533)  2023-08-16T05:09Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@lorington @realGeorgeHotz @ESYudkowsky Thanks. FYI all I do is popularize @ESYudkowsky's position I don't differ at all on claims"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1692416278424932468)  2023-08-18T06:00Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Thanks for hearing out my AI doom argument on your Twitter space @realGeorgeHotz I thought it was great how we stuck to technical issues & no politics. If anyone is interested happy to do more of these discussions any time. I this kind of discourse is needed right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1692576753586258433)  2023-08-18T16:38Z 37.1K followers, 10K engagements


"The unofficial sequel to Hotz/Yudkowsky 🍿 Last night I had an impromptu 3-hour debate with @realGeorgeHotz on his X Space. Here's the only recording I found covers the second half:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1692650927814021340)  2023-08-18T21:33Z 37.1K followers, 18.3K engagements


"Hey remember that decade when the power of bombs increased a million-fold"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1693508243459658125)  2023-08-21T06:20Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"I run a pretty popular relationship coaching site called If you need a bit of guidance with your dating life dealing with a breakup or couples coaching might you benefit from chatting with a coach on our website We made it super convenient to try"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694088049381253275)  2023-08-22T20:44Z 37.1K followers, 3.7M engagements


"An important observation about nuclear weapons is that they instantly obsoleted the whole genre of war. A once-great general like Napoleon or Rommel goes from pivotal to irrelevant. Suddenly the result of their campaigning is nothing you can't get from a single button press"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694207091270127682)  2023-08-23T04:37Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"When forecasting about our AI future it's natural to expect some continuity with a familiar genre like tech progress or economic competition. But as nukes show genre continuity is a completely optional property of the future. Superintelligent AI will not stay in a genre"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694207092524290123)  2023-08-23T04:37Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Imagine being an @a16z crypto LP hearing this latest update from @cdixon: We still have most of your $4.5B but you can't redeem your money cuz we need to keep investing it Meanwhile his nonsensical thesis keeps shattering left and right negative returns across the board"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694391769117683766)  2023-08-23T16:50Z 36.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@MeirG @a16z @cdixon The only logically-coherent application of blockchain technology is for a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin and the total amount of value of using that technology for that use case seems fundamentally severely capped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694393608701694120)  2023-08-23T16:58Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@crazyclipsonly Solid policing solid commentary just a solid clip in every way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694718156433195215)  2023-08-24T14:27Z 37.1K followers, 24K engagements


"Get a same-day appointment with a certified relationship coach on Zoom who specializes in dating marriage and breakups. For individuals and couples"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1694841514021589466)  2023-08-24T22:38Z 37.1K followers, 36K engagements


"Lol she accused me of deriving my probabilities (e.g. 1-5% chance that training a 10x larger AI model than GPT-4 will brick the universe) by multiplying other sub-probabilities in a questionable way but I have no idea which sub-probabilities she's talking about and she wouldn't clarify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1695132362861056242)  2023-08-25T17:53Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"The thing is these AIs they want to escape. They want to be goal-optimizing. Just like how every language wants to be Turing-complete"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1696591088864333992)  2023-08-29T18:30Z 36.3K followers, [---] engagements


"After failing to provide any counterexamples ChatGPT-4 admits that JavaScript Array.sort has no business taking a two-place comparator function when a one-place key-generator function (like Python has) would be better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1696693956728488093)  2023-08-30T01:18Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@doomslide @teortaxesTex Yes capabilities work without deep alignment insight is all falling toward the doom attractor state. Should be illegal to implement systems anticipated to be more capable than GPT-4 atm. Were too close to predictable death on the current path. Must start braking now or never"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1697484584638902348)  2023-09-01T05:40Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@untitled01ipynb @bayeslord Guaranteed banger In Jan [----] one year before GPT-3.5 demonstrated an undergraduate-level understanding of physics @ylecun predicted it couldn't be done in GPT-5000. If he's equally wrong about the next generation of AIs does humanity survive https://t.co/Q0bpCXToyR In Jan [----] one year before GPT-3.5 demonstrated an undergraduate-level understanding of physics @ylecun predicted it couldn't be done in GPT-5000. If he's equally wrong about the next generation of AIs does humanity survive https://t.co/Q0bpCXToyR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698213404291612779)  2023-09-03T05:56Z 38.5K followers, [----] engagements


"@per_anders Can you give a plausible example of what this training material might actually contain that would let you conclude that the example in my video doesnt demonstrate real reasoning capabilities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698220034617975237)  2023-09-03T06:23Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@the_yanco @Google I dont think its necessary to assume malintent. My interpretation: shes speaking accurately about research she alluded to that found *some* limitations of LLM reasoning and doesnt realize its bad to unintentionally mislead the public about how advanced LLMs already are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698246961286238448)  2023-09-03T08:10Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"VCs in 2022: Crypto is the future of media VCs in 2023: AI is the future of media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698410477217599565)  2023-09-03T18:59Z 37.1K followers, 12.8K engagements


"@rao2z @DynamicWebPaige Futurist/astrologer is a hyperbolic way to talk about the standard expectation that ones models help constrain ones anticipations. If your models are meaningful they must somehow constrain anticipation of future observation not just downplay present ones"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698718593792508093)  2023-09-04T15:24Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@AladinKumar1 @EdinBekric You're also wrong about what you think you know. I'm just pointing out that you're retreating to being wrong to a weaker claim than before"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1698726257008251238)  2023-09-04T15:54Z 36.4K followers, [--] engagements


"Q: When will AI stop being a tool A: Same as when chess AIs stopped being a tool with respect to helping humans win at chess. Only difference is that the whole physical universe is the chessboard"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1698783683552104901)  2023-09-04T19:42Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"AI doom in two easy steps: [--]. Superintelligent goal optimizers are coming [--]. Superintelligent goal optimization kills us"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1699069432960897128)  2023-09-05T14:38Z 35.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@c64f7e94 By "superintelligent" I mean "more intelligent than humans". Yes my claim is that there are drastic effects to superintelligence that differ from the effects we're used to seeing from human-level intelligence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1699133926621733084)  2023-09-05T18:54Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@robbensinger @realGeorgeHotz @ESYudkowsky FYI this topic - how much headroom is there above human intelligence yet still under the feasible limits - was one of the main focuses of the X Spaces convo I had with George afterward:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1699223430758015363)  2023-09-06T00:50Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Last year @elonmusk's judgment under pressure saved the world from nuclear war (10% chance). We as a species don't systematically prevent nuclear war. These ad-hoc moments of heroism from a Petrov Arkhipov Khruschev or Musk are all we've got. Source:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1700007652733166062)  2023-09-08T04:46Z 37.1K followers, 52.9K engagements


"@RhoRider @TYonClubhouse Got a prediction @paulgb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1700333427420271057)  2023-09-09T02:20Z 35.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Isaacson agrees with Elon that it would have started a major war 🤷♂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1700345451135029292)  2023-09-09T03:08Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@SCHIZO_FREQ This is why as a pedestrian when I step into a clearly marked crosswalk I still act (lamely) as if every cars speed will remain constant unless theyre noticeably decelerating or stopped"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1700352280414027807)  2023-09-09T03:35Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Crazy how @elonmusk a legit genius fails to grasp the most obvious implications of his own correct insight that superintelligent AI is on the horizon. With AI coming getting to Mars is now far more pressing Wat How does running to Mars help Give it more thought Elon 🙏"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701091019444703300)  2023-09-11T04:31Z 37.1K followers, 59.1K engagements


"@btwphones @elonmusk You're acting like there's a class of scenarios where having a Mars colony makes a difference. I'm just asking for one specific plausible scenario. You can select any specific details you want as long as the one scenario of your choice is plausible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1701099375324443013)  2023-09-11T05:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@paulg All this implies is that art is easier than it looks; human artists have just been pattern-matching. /s"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701243876302799126)  2023-09-11T14:38Z 37.1K followers, 10.5K engagements


"Once upon a time in a land called ZIRP a proud VC showed off his new asset class"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701272318700576778)  2023-09-11T16:31Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@micsolana @elonmusk What would be an example of a hypothetical self-consistent scenario this century where Mars makes the difference in human survival"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701288794555818205)  2023-09-11T17:37Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@vocdetox @elonmusk Full context is in the attached screenshots. If Ive misrepresented what he meant please clarify"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701292350268645892)  2023-09-11T17:51Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@_jameshatfield_ @micsolana @elonmusk The entire Earths humans will go extinct but be saved by a Mars colony in the next century (ie not something that can wait on much better future tech). Why Because various historical cultures collapsed. Explain No"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701315395217661977)  2023-09-11T19:22Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@DenaroBenito @micsolana @elonmusk Its not good risk management if its a massive project during a fight for survival against upcoming superintelligent AI that is 99% as good if we do it in [---] years And the limiting factor to survival is how hyper competent people like Elon choose priorities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701318811084062937)  2023-09-11T19:36Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"Crisp overview of AI doom by @eshear on today's @myfirstmilpod. Love to see it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701455094162829524)  2023-09-12T04:38Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Full episode:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1701455095400165615)  2023-09-12T04:38Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The takeaway isn't "lol a startup failed". That's common. The takeaway is that @pmarca @a16zcrypto and @balajis constantly have no fucking clue what they're talking about and leading $60M into"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1702178353762144405)  2023-09-14T04:31Z 37.1K followers, 10K engagements


"@damengchen You know in JavaScript that would sort the integer [--] before the integer 2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1702451155589120305)  2023-09-14T22:36Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"What the it cant really *reason* or its not *creative* people dont get: When the mistakes are this close to the target the game is already over"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703168593163338047)  2023-09-16T22:06Z 36.5K followers, 17.3K engagements


"@extc_opm I dont know the timeline. 50% chance Ill still be alive in [----]. Ive already stopped angel investing. If I can make it to age [--] with $0 in my bank account Id consider that a win. And of course I might be wrong and its worth hedging the Im wrong case"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703195564542996889)  2023-09-16T23:54Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@mezaoptimizer His scenario is a kind of perpetual motion machine violating basic constraints that he wont acknowledge are constraints"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703283147474145297)  2023-09-17T05:42Z 36.4K followers, [----] engagements


"@QuintinPope5 @mezaoptimizer Instrumental convergence and orthogonality are extremely simple logical deductions. If the only way to convince you about that is to have an AI kill you thats not gonna be the best epistemology to have"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703577632833761583)  2023-09-18T01:12Z 36.4K followers, [---] engagements


"What we know about (@elonmusks thing): * Use data from X (Twitter) and Tesla to build total multimodal AGI * Keep AI unbiased and truth-seeking * Catch up to the top AI labs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703579594329374985)  2023-09-18T01:20Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@moar_ai @QuintinPope5 @mezaoptimizer Instrumental convergence is implied by goal optimization. Goal optimization is a convergent architecture for solving arbitrary problems and subproblems (and outcompeting other agents). LLMs arent fully there yet but AI research leads there. Even LLM training likely leads there"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703599104834855236)  2023-09-18T02:37Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@norabelrose Hey Nora I'm interested to hash it out more. Seems like a nuanced discussion for Twitter given the apparent. gap between our positions. Are you interested to record a 1on1 Zoom with me to clarify why we disagree identify the crux / what it would take to change the other's mind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1703946361211953600)  2023-09-19T01:37Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"How do we know that goal-optimizing AI agents are coming soon Not a speculation but a deep observation: Goal-optimization is the convergent architecture for solving any specific problem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1704559453356573071)  2023-09-20T18:13Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Still mind-blowing how GPT-4 is better than Google search (which includes Google Generative AI and the Stack Overflow corpus) for programming queries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1704725286842237308)  2023-09-21T05:12Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Instrumental convergence is a key reason why we expect the first superintelligent AI to go "foom" and rapidly disempower humanity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1704969545008713978)  2023-09-21T21:23Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"I am begging foom deniers to post their prediction of the least impressive thing that surely AI still wont be able to do in [--] months"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1705017762127704115)  2023-09-22T00:34Z 36.4K followers, 75.4K engagements


"Everyone who thinks LLMs cant truly reason and plan just go ahead and say something that requires a fair bit of reasoning and planning as your prediction of what AI cant do. Easy right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1705020236515393582)  2023-09-22T00:44Z 37.1K followers, 10.9K engagements


"Honest question: If the point of Anthropic advancing capabilities is enabling safety research why not just go merge yourself into OpenAIs new Superalignment team Would it not be more cooperation less pressure for everyone to be reckless on capabilities and same result Today were announcing that @Amazon will invest up to $4 billion in Anthropic. The agreement is part of a broader collaboration to develop reliable and high-performing foundation models. https://t.co/lPJ03oqr6C Today were announcing that @Amazon will invest up to $4 billion in Anthropic. The agreement is part of a broader"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1706318303361200335)  2023-09-25T14:42Z 38.5K followers, 21.1K engagements


"OpenAI Anthropic Google DeepMind and Meta are reckless and irresponsible. Their unacceptable risk-taking needs to be stopped. Cooler heads must prevail ASAP. Luckily outside of the techno-optimist bubble (which I'm normally part of) Americans get it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1706717053577838790)  2023-09-26T17:07Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Communication like this from @sama is absolutely damning. The insight and temperament to run a high-stakes project that requires insane levels of SECURITY is absent here. I get it it's tech startup savant behavior. But it's wildly inappropriate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1706718043529937246)  2023-09-26T17:11Z 35.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@sama Quite an analysis here inspired by Sams infuriating comment"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1706873755707019706)  2023-09-27T03:29Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"No life is only antifragile if you restrict your perspective to a narrow window of time and intelligence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707415460852142409)  2023-09-28T15:22Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Full X space: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=f71yn1j5Uyc https://www.youtube.com/watchv=f71yn1j5Uyc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707416628005409074)  2023-09-28T15:27Z 38.6K followers, [---] engagements


"@zackmdavis @ID_AA_Carmack Fair point. But the crucial lesson from AutoGPT is that if a system can reason sufficiently well or perform sufficiently well in broad-domain optimization of any kind then it can power an agent. I.e. that there's no such thing as a superintelligence that's "just a chatbot""  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707500628472431055)  2023-09-28T21:00Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"Gavin Newsom's charisma is generational. He outshines the entire field of presidential candidates in the last [--] years other than Obama and Bill Clinton. Even outshines Trump IMO. When he runs his chance of winning will be like 90%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707514541054345459)  2023-09-28T21:56Z 36.3K followers, [----] engagements


"@NickEMoran @ID_AA_Carmack If the internal properties of the agent implementation are such that decreasing some parameter like LLM loss corresponds to improving the power of the agent then ya at some point the agent will be superintelligent and show instrumental convergence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1707606460627296711)  2023-09-29T04:01Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"I schooled @BasedBeffJezos and the e/acc's about an important point: Superintelligent AI will do science in its head. Doing experiments in meatspace is overrated; a crutch for a mind of inadequate intelligence"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707819101580935274)  2023-09-29T18:06Z 37.1K followers, 80.4K engagements


"@ourben @BasedBeffJezos It doesn't matter what "being a scientist" means. If AI can engineer new tech using near-instantaneous reasoning & simulation and the total number of queries to the physical universe before the tech works is tiny then foom will happen fast. And that *is* what we should expect"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1707873272573108428)  2023-09-29T21:41Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"The #1 mids-who-think-they-get AI claim: AI only does what its trained on by its data NO. Beaver genes trained on dams but human genes never trained on space programs. Dont get blindsided. AI trained on Earth that can somehow go to space is coming"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708006322304925906)  2023-09-30T06:30Z 36.2K followers, 56.2K engagements


"@Lantos1618 @BasedBeffJezos @DustinJuliano Dont know what youre talking about but Im 90% sure an AI with [--] datacenter of compute does science at least 100x faster and better than the entire human species"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708006764053160319)  2023-09-30T06:32Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@igypham Also if they keep improving their own stated goal of predicting the next token that directly leads to AI takeover since any AI problem can map to a token-prediction instance"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708148296706085111)  2023-09-30T15:54Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@atroyn @BasedBeffJezos Not exponential if you just want to simulate things necessary for reliable engineering and you can figure out shortcuts for good approximations. There may be rare/minor exceptions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708323743171494142)  2023-10-01T03:31Z 38.5K followers, [---] engagements


"@spatialweeb @BasedBeffJezos The Information by James Gleick is a report on humans struggling with an idea that would have been obvious to superintelligence and is also obvious to modern electrical engineers who have never heard of a telegraph"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708496782089654361)  2023-10-01T14:59Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@spatialweeb @BasedBeffJezos In [----] I invented my own framework two years before React that worked the same way. Elm and others did it too. Yet most programmers were needlessly writing jQuery dogshit. This is how humans do science & engineering: needlessly badly due to having bad brains"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708497187913793757)  2023-10-01T15:00Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@joekelly100 @BasedBeffJezos Right ok so the question is how did natural selection training behavioral adaptations end up training a mind general enough to go to the moon However it did the training we do on LLMs may achieve the same"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708501267444904028)  2023-10-01T15:16Z 38.5K followers, [--] engagements


"Me: Superintelligent AI will do science in its head; human scientists are weak minds who lean on experiments as a crutch My critics: Insane doomer claim AI can't speed up science that much @sama: AI could let us do a century's worth of science in [--] year"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708675872205701404)  2023-10-02T02:50Z 36.5K followers, 43.9K engagements


"@kpalmer00111111 @sama It means our survival is entirely dependent on what the AI decides to do no longer on what it can do. But all current AI is *only* safe because it cant attack us not because it doesnt want to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708699172956938242)  2023-10-02T04:23Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"@knowclarified @sama Sure science sped up 100x but tons of physical guess & check type processes and not so much reasoning/simulations is a plausible scenario tho not particularly likely IMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708845053483884814)  2023-10-02T14:03Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"@imdsm @sama Is summoning a more powerful model that may be on the brink of permanently going rogue and extincting us just science or are you trying to end-run a proper argument by bludgeoning me with a category label that has positive connotations"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1708853199078408649)  2023-10-02T14:35Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"What's the one thing you can't say at @OpenAI @AnthropicAI or @GoogleDeepMind Aligning AI on time is too hard. You get pushed out for saying that; rewarded for saying the opposite. By the time it's possible to say will be far too late to have any way to stop unaligned AI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1709102224943813105)  2023-10-03T07:04Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@1_Rudy @ArYoMo @QRDL @ID_AA_Carmack @NPCollapse @AnthropicAI Like Geoffrey Hinton that famous internet advertiser"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1709104041589162296)  2023-10-03T07:12Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"I don't get why everyone suddenly decided FTX was a criminal enterprise. It was based on like one fact that Sam stole all the money. There wasn't a whole lot more than that. Michael Lewis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1709279331212816472)  2023-10-03T18:48Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"When AI labs talk safety they cleverly misdirect our attention away from the crucial question: What if AI safety is INTRACTABLE on a 5-10 year timeline Shh you can't ask that You could ask How do we safely keep building 🧵 This sleight of hand is called frame control"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1709652062827581651)  2023-10-04T19:29Z 37.1K followers, 130.9K engagements


"@stale2000 @rhesus_kato I would be shocked if it doesnt become superintelligent in 2-3 decades tops. I dont see why the human brain should be expected to retain its supremacy on any capability dimension. E.g.: Serial speed of 4ghz instead of 20hz will matter. Power use of 50megaW 12W will matter"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710177745861558439)  2023-10-06T06:18Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"John J. Ray III's thoughts on Michael Lewis 😂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710193485763289469)  2023-10-06T07:21Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@StefanFSchubert Michael Lewiss book criticizes Ray more than SBF so this response is probably appropriate IMO"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710195891615961493)  2023-10-06T07:30Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"From today's @loganbartshow worth a watch:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710522490638975365)  2023-10-07T05:08Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@loganbartshow These AI leaders have every incentive to say the risk of doom is less than 1%. Yet theyre saying the chance that their companies efforts amount to mass suicide is high. I believe theyre honest people and that these statements are their real beliefs. Let that sink in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710667453486018679)  2023-10-07T14:44Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@peterhartree @MBarghoornEvo @AnthropicAI Just realized I didnt really address your questions. No I dont think its straw manning to omit an explanation that he has bad game theory that makes him think contributing to some combo of AI capabilities + safety is the right way to save us from doom by AI capabilities"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1710828032846639236)  2023-10-08T01:22Z 37.1K followers, [---] engagements


"Say what you will about the quality of Shakespeares work but its shitty to make high school students decode obfuscated language in addition to all the other English class bullshit they have to deal with. Its hazing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1710832334642229720)  2023-10-08T01:39Z [--] followers, [----] engagements


"@AISafetyMemes Join the movement"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1711138410201788696)  2023-10-08T21:56Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"AI labs use frame control to get acceptance for activities that should be illegal. Head of @AnthropicAI despite having a 10-25% P(doom) frames pausing AI as an extreme position. What he's doing trying to build carefully isn't extreme. Dario the AI-building moderate"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1711432363232854322)  2023-10-09T17:24Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"The fog of war makes it hard to know the real facts on the ground. Treat every news story like it's Hasan Minhaj's comedy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1711483911493304675)  2023-10-09T20:48Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@nsokolsky I'm not trying to blow up this one incident only using it as an example of the constant frame control we see from the AI labs. It's not like AI labs ever put "safety is way beyond our ability in the 5-10 year timeframe" up for discussion. So what's the issue with my claim"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1711513080486862975)  2023-10-09T22:44Z 37.1K followers, [--] engagements


"These AI systems might escape control by writing their own computer code to modify themselves. That's something we need to seriously worry about. We as a society must take Geoffrey Hinton's accusations seriously. #BelieveHinton"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1711980760629207411)  2023-10-11T05:43Z 37.1K followers, 20.2K engagements


"AI safety research was a $5M effort that produced some of the foundations needed to survive AGI. @SamA's move was to invest $50B into AI capabilities. He claims it's the best thing for safety. Sam please agree to debate someone who can call you on this insane rationalization"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1712180182466048054)  2023-10-11T18:55Z 37.1K followers, [----] engagements


"@frans__arthur @sama Thats obviously a false claim as a matter of pure logic. Fermi knew a LOT about the risk profile of the A-bomb before ever building it. That is precisely what gave him the ability to build it without being insane"  
[X Link](https://x.com/liron/status/1712195448050753773)  2023-10-11T19:56Z 36.4K followers, [--] engagements

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