# ![@foliotrail Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1877363116704464896.png) @foliotrail Julian Ciccale

Several companies are making significant strides in their respective industries, including $IREN, which is reallocating capital and raising guidance for its AI cloud business to $500M ARR by Q1 [----]. $APP is also making progress with its self-serve platform, which is expected to create a data flywheel and drive growth. Meanwhile, $ZETA reported its 16th consecutive beat and raise quarter, demonstrating a culture of execution.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1877363116704464896/interactions)
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### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::1877363116704464896/posts_active)
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- [--] Month [---] -21%
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### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::1877363116704464896/followers)
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- [--] Week [-----] +0.46%
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### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::1877363116704464896/influencer_rank)
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### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[stocks](/list/stocks)  61% [finance](/list/finance)  25% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  19% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  15% [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  3% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  1% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  1% [countries](/list/countries)  1% [exchanges](/list/exchanges)  1%

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) 22%, [$iren](/topic/$iren) #133, [$app](/topic/$app) #108, [business](/topic/business) 11%, [$zeta](/topic/$zeta) 10%, [app](/topic/app) #2691, [in the](/topic/in-the) 7%, [$bwa](/topic/$bwa) 6%, [open ai](/topic/open-ai) #3362, [company](/topic/company) 5%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@themarketjarl](/creator/undefined) [@happyjackinjax](/creator/undefined) [@claude](/creator/undefined) [@mathlonning](/creator/undefined) [@wealthmatica](/creator/undefined) [@openai](/creator/undefined) [@marketmaestro1](/creator/undefined) [@nietschecapital](/creator/undefined) [@knightcapitalyt](/creator/undefined) [@lajit6384](/creator/undefined) [@buccocapital](/creator/undefined) [@geminiapp](/creator/undefined) [@sama](/creator/undefined) [@altimetercap](/creator/undefined) [@steelmindcap](/creator/undefined) [@johnnynel](/creator/undefined) [@dsteinberg10000](/creator/undefined) [@zetaglobal](/creator/undefined) [@mikealfred](/creator/undefined) [@daschreiber](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Iris Energy Limited (IREN)](/topic/$iren) [AppLovin Corporation (APP)](/topic/$app) [ZetaChain (ZETA)](/topic/$zeta) [BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)](/topic/$bwa) [Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM)](/topic/$sym) [Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS)](/topic/$hims) [Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)](/topic/$amd) [Robinhood Markets, Inc.  (HOOD)](/topic/$hood) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft) [Metadium (META)](/topic/$meta) [Lemonade, Inc. (LMND)](/topic/$lmnd) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. (CWAN)](/topic/$cwan) [Apple, Inc. (AAPL)](/topic/$aapl) [Applied Digital Corp. (APLD)](/topic/$apld) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla) [Oscar Health, Inc.  (OSCR)](/topic/$oscr)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"$IREN is my purest AI GW investment. Price action is weak but as long as contracted AI Cloud keeps climbing I stay patient. Already a 27% position even with this "drawdown". It could be months until we see $60 again; as long as they're delivering like they have been doing I simply do not care"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022000286550683977)  2026-02-12T17:30Z [----] followers, 18K engagements


"@buccocapital I think the right question to ask is: Why would anyone (online) use anything other than Stripe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022316889720938839)  2026-02-13T14:28Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"No new executions this week. I want to see either: 1) real capitulation in my names (forced liquidations not just red screens) or 2) a clean reset in macro data/volatility. Until one of those shows up best move for me is doing nothing and letting theses play out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022289403402412213)  2026-02-13T12:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"It was a great report. I liked your grenade comparison is so true and I don't think we're out of the woods yet. It would be appreciated if you post a bigger analysis on the situation we're now. Where growth/tech has pulled back significantly (in many cases erasing a year worth of gains) vs IWM QQQ SPY which are sitting comfy near ATHs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022335984151548349)  2026-02-13T15:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"On another front @Claude leapfrogged @GeminiApp on deep thinking working with docs and in general getting real stuff done"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021509085561278616)  2026-02-11T08:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Me and my team have switched coding from @claude Code to @OpenAI Codex [---] ; in [--] hours we can already feel the difference OpenAI leapfrogged Claud Code as of today. Period"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021509410791522615)  2026-02-11T08:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$HOOD post earning selloff looks more about multiple panic than business. Strong rev growth solid margins multiple $100M+ lines and the stock trades like the SuperApp bet already failed. I already added last week waiting for stabilization for my next add. It's not core to my portfolio but rather a 5% holding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021581394510582120)  2026-02-11T13:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"* Interviewer: "Do you think space data centers will provide a meaningful amount of compute for OpenAI in the next two to three years . Five years @sama: "No" (Pragmatism vs. Hype) https://www.youtube.com/live/rMZ3dnduL4k https://www.youtube.com/live/rMZ3dnduL4k"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021596086108852374)  2026-02-11T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ I am sharing here an extract of my report on $IREN earnings. Better late than never. There's a bonus with my PTs at the end of the thread TL;DR Story: Unchanged. Price action: down 25% Action: hold. $IREN reported Q2 FY2026 results that reflect a company deep in its transformation from BTC miner to AI Cloud platform. Revenue came in at $185M (down 23% QoQ) driven by declining BTC mining as GPUs replace ASICs while AI Cloud rev more than doubled to $17M. The net loss of $(155.4)M is almost entirely noise $219M in non-cash/one-time items from convertible note mechanics and a debt conversion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021619211575922780)  2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ This Is What an early Infrastructure Story Looks Like $IREN is in the messy middle of a massive transformation. The P&L looks ugly because the old business (Bitcoin mining) is being wound down while the new business (AI Cloud) hasn't fully ramped. But behind the numbers the strategic positioning is exceptional: They have the power (4.5GW+) they have the anchor customer (Microsoft $9.7B) they have the capital ($9.2B raised YTD) and they have the execution track record (7+ years 810MW operational). Only 10% of their secured power is being utilized for the current $3.4B ARR target which means"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021619214201557464)  2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"4/ Bonus: My $IREN Price Targets I have adjusted my model to consider the new information that I have now. I have not changed multiples only the underlying data behind it. The new PTs are roughly +-10% from the previous one I had so I still stand by these targets: In my original model I had estimated 7.5% interest rate payment it's now 6% but blended 3%. I am using 5% blended to be on the safe side I added debt amortisation as per CFO explanation (which reduces debt and increases market cap) Scaled down Adj. EBITDA margins and Rev x MW: to consider a more complex mix of revenue profile not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021619215304659429)  2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@mathlonning Just bananas. I'm not adding on this earnings move. added aggressively on the latest pullback mid $5XX $500 and $389. Right now 10% on $APP. Waiting for the call 👊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021698469467975767)  2026-02-11T21:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$APP. Adam talking about volatility and AI. When he looks at their dashboard all the metrics are at all-time highs. Real disconnect between market sentiment and the reality of their business"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021706756775203243)  2026-02-11T22:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Like it or not $HOOD selloff is about multiple not the business. 52% rev growth 56% EBITDA margin and [--] lines $100M ARR dont scream broken. Market fixated on no rev guide; and frustrated. Plus $BTC drawdown not helping. The road from $20B to $70B was harder than the road from $70B to $250B; if you are patient. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021947240965689670 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021947240965689670"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2021947240965689670)  2026-02-12T13:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"We are probably still in the early innings of the biggest tech revolution we are going to see in our lifetime and the market" is bullish on consumer defensive Really 😂"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021994435538825225)  2026-02-12T17:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"AI is a bubble; compute CAPEX is garbage; these are fake dollars; fake accounting; totally rubbish. 😂😂😂 Anthropic: "Today our run-rate revenue is $14 billion - with this figure growing 10x annually in each of the past three years." @AltimeterCap happy to return again as a Major Investor in the latest $30 B / $380 B round. 👊🚀 https://t.co/QouEPVGTrW Anthropic: "Today our run-rate revenue is $14 billion - with this figure growing 10x annually in each of the past three years." @AltimeterCap happy to return again as a Major Investor in the latest $30 B / $380 B round. 👊🚀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022035404938195179)  2026-02-12T19:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"sarcasm in case you are wondering 😉"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022035488828477505)  2026-02-12T19:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ZETA drawdown looks more like position clean-up than "thesis" break. Doing fresh math top-down across [--] different valuation multiples: EV/Rev; EV/EBITDA or P/E (PEG); and applying current peers' (who already had similar 30%/40% haircuts) medians to $ZETA. I get to (using last reported financials and estimates): EV/Rev = $47 EV/EBITDA = $36 P/E = $18 (the lowest as $ZETA is not GAAP profitable *yet*) https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022044790670479732 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022044790670479732"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022044790670479732)  2026-02-12T20:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I share every position every trade every weight in my +$10M portfolio CPA-audited 52% return in [----]. You can see exactly what I own and why. 7-day trial for $7 https://www.foliotrail.com/subscribeutm_source=x https://www.foliotrail.com/subscribeutm_source=x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022241243603091759)  2026-02-13T09:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I've been a shareholder since spring [----]. This company is just amazing Adam execution is absolutely top of the world level. And the financials well. there is not another company at that size with that. Look (extract from my earnings report): $APP delivered a monster Q4 and full year [----] growing revenue 66% YoY to $1.66B with an 84% Adjusted EBITDA margin. *This is one of the strongest financial profiles in public markets period.* The core mobile gaming business keeps accelerating while e-commerce is scaling from early innings with real proof points. Q1'26 Guidance (5-7% sequential growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022312697459597788)  2026-02-13T14:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Market is obsessing over $APP competition headlines while ignoring elite margins on strong growth and a reasonable PEG. Story unchanged multiple reset. The single metric I care about into Q1: conversion rate on impressions. If that keeps grinding higher the rest is noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022336231019864351)  2026-02-13T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$APP next catalyst: the Axon Ads Manager. They're moving from a manual high-touch process with a few large clients to a self-serve platform for any business. This is the move from 'service' to 'platform.' I am watching carefully this evolution and reporting details to my subs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/1982871261656019232)  2025-10-27T18:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Rule [--]. Thesis check Ask "Did the core engine of value creation improve stall or deteriorate" For $ZETA that is share gains in data-driven marketing. For $SYM it is proof that automation demand and backlog are compounding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015813261204025517)  2026-01-26T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Rule [--]. Economics and cash Ignore the headline EPS first. Look at: Revenue vs usage or volumes Margins and incremental margins Cash generation vs stock-based comp This is how I judge $BWA or $TE as real businesses not tickers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015813262177124722)  2026-01-26T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Sharing my latest analysis on $CWAN Clearwater Analytics. Another SaaS being dragged. $CWAN is not just accounting software. It is becoming the Golden Copy of truth for institutional investing reconciling and reporting over $10T of assets daily. Thread: 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016885043881271591)  2026-01-29T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why the moat matters: * Switching costs are brutal * Clients do not leave once assets are onboarded * [--] years of data mapping creates a data network effect * Agentic AI resolves data breaks automatically * Private credit growth is a major tailwind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016885047547027951)  2026-01-29T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My take: The market still sees $CWAN as niche back-office software. That view is outdated. This is a sticky high-quality compounder with upside from private assets and AI public or private. Full analysis: 👉 https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/CWANutm_source=x https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/CWANutm_source=x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016885048490791335)  2026-01-29T14:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$APP is my worst performing position YTD. (Yes worse than $HIMS) Down 27% from my [----] avg price. (Although still up big from my cost basis.) After trimming 1/4 of my position in December I started to buy more shares. The company remains phenomenal. I am much more bullish now at these prices. I am not going anywhere. Wall St is in for a big surprise from Adam soon. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017622985994367174 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017622985994367174"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017622985994367174)  2026-01-31T15:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Volatility is back especially in high-beta names. My stance this week is simple no heroics. Ill only add where the long-term thesis is de-risking faster than the price and Im happy to let cash and ballast like $BWA do some work"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018315720220672116)  2026-02-02T13:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Rule [--] line of sight to self-funding. I wont make something a core if it needs perfect capital markets. For $TE my step up in conviction is about seeing credible funding and policy visibility not just "AI" or "solar" narratives"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349967694332161)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Rule [--] portfolio role. A large position must have a job. Ballast like $BWA behaves very differently from high beta AI infra like $IREN. I don't let three names do the same job at max size thats hidden concentration"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349968591909045)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Ooops I did it again (buy). Nobody actually knows where the bottom is. So I am being careful not reckless "all in" style. I still see lot of "optimism" in my timeline. Far away from full blown fear. Like the bottom is in we'll bounce soon etc. My best guess is that more pain is coming our way Accumulated a LOT of shares in my favourite names: $IREN $TE $APP and many more. I am in Asia. Its the middle of the night here. No need to catch the intraday bottom. I have been saving dry powder (from other trims) for days like today. 💪🏼 https://t.co/bDS5CBDxJa Accumulated a LOT of shares in my"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2019671597343469937)  2026-02-06T07:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I have an unproven theory on the $IREN deal. It is possible that a deal was going to be inked at/before earnings but the spook on the equities market (especially for the Hyperscalers) delayed the official signing of a multi-billion-dollar deal. Anyways it does not change the fact that there is a high chance of something being announced in the next months. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019673302651007457 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019673302651007457"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2019673302651007457)  2026-02-06T07:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Steelmindcap Very good research I agree with the conclusion; market is excessively discounting this company. Disclaimer: I do not own any shares of $OSCR right now (I did in the past("  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2020816680721453534)  2026-02-09T11:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Been in Asia almost [--] weeks for business and leisure. Barely on X. I come back and its chaos. Bulls turned bears. Permabulls crying. Big accounts margin called. Investors became traders. Traders became investors. Like Mike Tyson said: everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face. Welcome to the public markets Yes high-beta bets got crushed. So what Did we really expect markets to rally forever My top holding $IREN reported strong results and more importantly top-tier execution. Price action still doesnt reflect the quality of the business. Ill share a deeper analysis soon. Price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021302631516303715)  2026-02-10T19:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JohnnyNel_ @Claude @OpenAI It's impressive. I think sharper is the right adjective. I feel also the UX is a big improvement from Claude Code. What are you developing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021513379651944467)  2026-02-11T09:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"2/ Expectations vs. Reality Scorecard In my expectations piece (sent before earnings) I estimated a 60% chance of positive capacity-related news and a 30% chance of a binding deal on par with Microsoft. Here's how each item landed:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021619212402200747)  2026-02-11T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$APP. Many repeated questions about $META moving in their market Adam keeps explaining how well their model works and their MOAT is intact and how impossible the $META threat is. Call is getting boring (Adam and Matt certainly look bored). Lots of nonsense questions repeated topics from past quarters. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021717531128480178 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021717531128480178"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021717531128480178)  2026-02-11T22:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@dsteinberg10000 @ZetaGlobal Very well said David. Keep executing. The "comeback" will be for the books"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2021992210410201198)  2026-02-12T16:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@mikealfred Agree. I liquidated $BWA for this reason. Too soon but hey"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022012916913070135)  2026-02-12T18:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@mathlonning Fake bounce but yeah. How quickly everything changed on a couple of weeks right"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022210217124229158)  2026-02-13T07:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@wealthmatica Correct. On my note I refer to the gaming business meaning actual "gaming *AD* business""  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022313513343992183)  2026-02-13T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"good point. this is tricky App is a major player right now. They claim their AI model works without this bridging ids however if ever META or AAPL enforce ther ToS I guess we could see erosion on their margins. the probability of this is non-zero. on the other hand the probability of them going out of business is think is really low https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022315688266707181 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022315688266707181"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022315688266707181)  2026-02-13T14:23Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@MarketMaestro1 looking forward buddy when are you coming to Madrid 😎"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022351431790137405)  2026-02-13T16:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@TheMarketJarl @happyjackinjax Investors are to be concerned about the future not the past. That is why $APLD trades at 30x fwd revenues vs $IREN at 7.6x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022353771733590301)  2026-02-13T16:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$BTC post quantum. Do you think it's vulnerable We are talking about a $1.3T asset. I think an upgrade is incoming sooner or later. FYI ssh already says: ** WARNING: connection is not using a post-quantum key exchange algorithm. ** This session may be vulnerable to "store now decrypt later" attacks. ** The server may need to be upgraded. See . https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022368573407089143 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022368573407089143"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2022368573407089143)  2026-02-13T17:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I recently released a ticker analysis on $AMD to my community. After a +95% move in one year sentiment is split. Is AMD just riding Nvidias AI wave or becoming the only real strategic alternative in AI infrastructure This is no longer about cheap chips. Thread 👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363694054936707)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"1/ What AMD Actually Is $AMD is no longer a second source CPU company. They now design full-stack compute: Ryzen and EPYC CPUs Instinct AI accelerators Helios rack-scale systems From laptops to yotta-scale AI clusters AMD wants to build the whole machine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363695032291728)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"3/ The Numbers Q3 Revenue: $9.2B (+36% YoY) Q3 Operating Income: $1.27B (+80% YoY) Gross Margin: 54% Forward 2yr EPS CAGR: 41% Operating leverage is real. Profits are scaling faster than revenue"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363697112580147)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"4/ Valuation Reality NTM P/E: 41x PEG: [---] Looks expensive optically but reasonable for 40% earnings growth. This is not AI hysteria pricing. It is growth being paid for honestly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363698131853320)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"5/ The Strategic Pivot CES [----] was the declaration. $AMD unveiled the Helios rack platform Announced a 6GW OpenAI deployment They are no longer selling chips. They are selling yotta-scale compute architecture"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363698983247913)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"6/ $AMD vs Nvidia Two philosophies. $NVDA: Vertical empire. CUDA lock-in. Full stack control. $AMD: Open hardware. ROCm. Massive memory. No lock-in. Hyperscalers want leverage against Nvidias pricing power. AMD is the only escape valve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363700115722303)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"7/ Margin of Safety $3.4B net cash No balance sheet risk EPYC server CPUs funding the AI push But valuation safety is moderate. At 41x forward earnings execution must be clean"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363701109829728)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"8/ Bull vs Bear Bulls: Memory wins inference. MI455 has 432GB OpenAI validates ROCm Strong operating leverage Bears: Forever second to Nvidia TSMC dependency Any Helios delay hurts badly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363702066102386)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"9/ My Take This trade is simple. The world is too big for one compute supplier. Lisa Su is betting on that reality. If Helios ramps and margins push past 55% $300 comes fast. Miss execution and the multiple compresses. Full analysis on This is not financial advice. https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/AMD.htmlutm_source=x https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/AMD.htmlutm_source=x https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/AMD.htmlutm_source=x https://www.foliotrail.com/tickers/AMD.htmlutm_source=x"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014363703156633653)  2026-01-22T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Big moves in $LMND and $ZETA. This where I lean hardest on pre-defined ranges (trim/add) and thesis work. If Im improvising risk management intraday I assume my emotions are in charge and default to doing less not more. 👊"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014727345223958957)  2026-01-23T15:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"You keep grinding but nobody listens actually you earn haters by the day. People are blind IMO. We are just starting to "re-risk" after last year's pullback. This is nothing this is not "risk on" this is not VIX muted "volatitliy". So much room to go. And frankly I could stay like these for years. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014729719434866707 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014729719434866707"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014729719434866707)  2026-01-23T15:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"These two are completely separate for me. I bucket $ZETA as a compounding name. If execution stays clean and performance is there I am not touching it. $LMND is different. It is heavily priced on future expectations and far more macro and liquidity sensitive. Here I watch the environment not the price. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014736740330648033 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014736740330648033"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014736740330648033)  2026-01-23T16:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"What I track each month in my own portfolio. And what I deliberately ignore. For me this is the difference between feeling like a gambler watching ticks (what my friends think I do) vs feeling like a business owner managing risk. Just a taste on $IREN $APP and $ZETA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014797543239000363)  2026-01-23T20:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$APP: The "Tax Collector" of Infinite Content The market misprices $APP as a niche ad tool missing the macro shift: GenAI is driving the cost of app creation to near zero. As millions of AI-generated apps flood the ecosystem Discovery becomes the single most valuable asset. The AXON engine is the gatekeeper of that discovery. If AI generates 10x more content APP processes 10x more auctions. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015143658576626057 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015143658576626057"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015143658576626057)  2026-01-24T19:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"$ZETA: The Fuel for AI Agents The consensus fear is that AI makes marketing software obsolete. This is wrong. AI agents replace human labor not data. $ZETA owns the identity graph (200M+ profiles) that AI agents require to function. Unlike $CRM (which suffers as human seats decrease) ZETA's usage-based model thrives as AI scales the volume of marketing interactions. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015143660648829291 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015143660648829291"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015143660648829291)  2026-01-24T19:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Big macro week tariffs chatter FOMC and mega-cap prints from $MSFT $META $TSLA $AAPL. My plan is boring on purpose. Let prices move then compare them to pre-written earnings and macro scenarios. Reaction first portfolio changes if any later"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015769117681192966)  2026-01-26T12:49Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"When you think like an owner you dont need [--] slides. You need [--] bullets you can write down before the call and check after thesis numbers behavior"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015813259236913626)  2026-01-26T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Rule [--]. Management behavior I care less about guidance beats and more about: Capital allocation (buybacks vs empire building) How they talk about risk Whether they admit trade-offs This matters a lot in names like $APP $HIMS $IREN"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015813263087268094)  2026-01-26T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I totally get the "urge" to short $SLV or $GLD here. I just dont think its worth it. This metal rush may be more profound than we imagine. Yes it will pop. I just dont think were close yet. Wait until your neighbors start asking if its a good moment to buy some gold or silver. Thats when youll know the top is near. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015849715288375318 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015849715288375318"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015849715288375318)  2026-01-26T18:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why reinvent the wheel Pabrai says the smartest shortcut is to study proven masters & clone their best ideas. My service Foliotrail lets you follow my high-conviction moves each backed by the deep analysis I provide to subscribers. 👇"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/1954532411431141451)  2025-08-10T13:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Nietschecapital Do you think the short report is rumour or real I am 70/30 right now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2013004779807486413)  2026-01-18T21:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@daschreiber @Tesla @Lemonade_Inc Fantastic job Great work to you and your teams"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2013979219785593275)  2026-01-21T14:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bear case on $APP: Ad demand is cyclical short-form social is a formidable competitor and regulatory friction (for example GDPR blocking parts of the web product) can slow rollout. Ecom partners must also adapt creatives to new formats which can delay adoption"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014001313768493199)  2026-01-21T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"In a concentrated portfolio I want a few $APP type engines surrounded by uncorrelated stories infra like $TE automation like $SYM ballast like $BWA. For $APP I am watching AXON performance vs peers ecom traction and FCF per share over time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2014001314859008039)  2026-01-21T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why $APP and $ZETA don't fall into the "SaaS is dead category"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015143656684990728)  2026-01-24T19:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My 3-bullet earnings framework: 1) Thesis check 2) Economics and cash 3) Management behavior If one of these breaks I re-underwrite. If all three hold volatility is usually noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015813260218380344)  2026-01-26T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Mixed tape $IREN and $LMND down after a strong Friday $HIMS up but still searching for a bottom $APP grinding after the short chatter. Owner mindset: I am more interested in whether [----] cash flows are getting safer or riskier than in todays percentage moves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2015821782574362948)  2026-01-26T16:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$IREN vs $APLD multiples comparison. NTM EV/REV: 11x vs 30x NTM EV/EBITDA 19x vs 80x Analysts Growth: EBITDA CAGR: 170% vs 143% REV CAGR: 131% vs 60% What am I missing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016232483751108653)  2026-01-27T19:30Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Agrippa_Inv Agree I was owner of $REAZ for a brief period in [----] an decided to rotate out of it waiting for the housing market to catchup. Is it [----] the year It may very well be"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016239128933720442)  2026-01-27T19:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@dotkrueger Correct. Not all Europe is like that. Spain France Portugal Greece and Italy yes. Switzerland and Germany completely different. This is the one of the things that I don't envy from the US"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016425477020295347)  2026-01-28T08:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I spent a lot of time on $IREN early and passed. In hindsight it has been a huge winner but that original no is still a useful case study in how to think about an AI infra "pivot" (key word here) coming out of a crypto base"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016538058426888568)  2026-01-28T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"What $IREN does in plain English: It built ultra low cost renewables powered data centers for Bitcoin mining then started repurposing that infra into high density liquid cooled GPU sites and an AI cloud offering now anchored by a large Microsoft contract"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016538059278340319)  2026-01-28T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Why the story was interesting: Structural edge in vertical integrated clean power and sites Existing data center build and operate muscle from mining Massive AI demand tailwind"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016538060356202912)  2026-01-28T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Nietschecapital [--] years max I think Anthropic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016638967962075437)  2026-01-28T22:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@mind1nvestor wen $HIMS asking for a friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016854004945313805)  2026-01-29T12:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The real shift: front-to-back integration. With Enfusion + Beacon CWAN moved from back office utility to full operating system. From trade execution to accounting to risk. TAM expands to $23B. Higher reward higher execution risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016885046645326003)  2026-01-29T14:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Forget the media the bears the politicians. In investing you have to think for yourself. Be skeptical and most importantly don't get trapped in the short term noise"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017177047358214391)  2026-01-30T10:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If you are mostly following accounts or media that post several times a day about short-term price swings you are doing this completely wrong. Remember the X algo loves to feed you "breaking news"; perfectly designed to not think clearly or make you feel you should "do something. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017179202479661323 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017179202479661323"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017179202479661323)  2026-01-30T10:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Accumulated a LOT of shares in my favourite names: $IREN $TE $APP and many more. I am in Asia. Its the middle of the night here. No need to catch the intraday bottom. I have been saving dry powder (from other trims) for days like today. 💪🏼"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017331736141824137)  2026-01-30T20:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@SylentTrade Not there but pretty close. $IREN is my top position"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017469185547501960)  2026-01-31T05:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Investinc_Intel yes plus the supposed "threat" from Google gaming engine"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2017668533803749485)  2026-01-31T18:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@moninvestor I'd add $SYM to robotics Mon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2004312710302126509)  2025-12-25T22:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@travelingsales8 $BWA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2006843269943382088)  2026-01-01T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"OK I'm super bullish on $ZETA too But $PLTR at $5 went up 30x in a couple of years. A 30x from today for $ZETA (even with dilution let's say a 25x) would be a $142B company. Let's go grazy and say $ZETA can get a [---] P/E. that means $1.42B on GAAP Earnings. Their own [----] Rev target is $2.1B . not impossible but . definitely low probability. 🙏 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009202121602671061 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009202121602671061"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2009202121602671061)  2026-01-08T09:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@haddad_jac79558 Could be. I want also to hear concrete action plans on streamlining operations and grow profitability and FCF on the tail of AI inside of Zeta Global own teams. Leaner = faster = better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2012982791525294340)  2026-01-18T20:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Most investors size positions on vibes upsize after a run cut after a drawdown. Thats backwards. Size should follow conviction not price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349963021877584)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"My process: moving a company from a small starter to an "anchor" is rare. It usually takes months/quarters of watching a business like $IREN $ZETA behave through real stress not one good earnings date"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349963961377042)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Rule [--] time in the wild. A business must live through at least one nasty macro tape or company specific scare. How did management communicate Did customers churn Did the balance sheet bend or break Thats when conviction is earned"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349966746362213)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Example $ZETA stayed many many months in the prove it bucket while I watched management delivery innovation cash generation and SBC or dilution trend. Only when those lined up and macro stayed hostile did it graduate. Patience and process. Final weight is an output"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018349969569140983)  2026-02-02T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"With $SYM and $IREN reporting Im focused less on the quarter and more on evidence around backlog quality contract durability and funding. Earnings are checkpoints in a multi-year thesis not a "trading" event I need to nail every time. This also means less stress/worry about price action; and more focus on the story and quality of management execution. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018421165543305657 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018421165543305657"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2018421165543305657)  2026-02-02T20:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"2025 is closed. Here is the damage. S&P 500: +16% Nasdaq: +19% My Portfolio: +52% (Audit in progress) This marks my 6th consecutive year compounding at 45% CAGR. While you were 'waiting for a pullback' on $APP and $HOOD I was riding them to multi-bagger returns"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2006809674906316906)  2026-01-01T19:28Z [----] followers, 766.5K engagements


"The "flywheel" at $APP is real and verifiable. They use the massive first-party data to train their AXON AI engine. A smarter AI leads to better ad monetization for all their developer clients which in turn attracts more developers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1962863738534375594)  2025-09-02T13:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$TMDX is not just taking share in the organ transplant market; it's fundamentally expanding the Total Addressable Market by increasing the number of viable organs available each year through its OCS/NOP ecosystem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/1980696504684646506)  2025-10-21T18:03Z [----] followers, 12.4K engagements


"The AI CAPEX cycle is accelerating not stalling. Wall St underestimated the spend $MSFT deployed $37.5B this quarter (with 2/3 strictly on silicon/chips) $META a massive $115B$135B guidance for [----] to secure a compute advantage $TSLA is targeting $20B while hinting at building its own "Terafab." Across the board demand continues to outstrip supply signaling that the infrastructure build-out is still in its early innings. 🧨🚀 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016838816158396437 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016838816158396437"  
[X Link](https://x.com/foliotrail/status/2016838816158396437)  2026-01-29T11:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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