# ![@doc_mcgraw Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::4760254244.png) @doc_mcgraw Doc aka Trader McGraw

Doc aka Trader McGraw posts on X about spx, vix, $spx, market the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::4760254244/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4760254244/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [-------] +1,399%
- [--] Month [-------] +44%
- [--] Months [-------] +91%
- [--] Year [-------] +59%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::4760254244/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4760254244/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [--] +153%
- [--] Month [--] +28%
- [--] Months [---] +39%
- [--] Year [---] +33%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::4760254244/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4760254244/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] +0.55%
- [--] Month [-----] +2.10%
- [--] Months [-----] +24%
- [--] Year [-----] +98%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::4760254244/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::4760254244/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  42.11% [stocks](/list/stocks)  8.77% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  7.02% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  2.63% [countries](/list/countries)  2.63% [social networks](/list/social-networks)  2.63% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  0.88% [musicians](/list/musicians)  0.88% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  0.88% [currencies](/list/currencies)  0.88%

**Social topic influence**
[spx](/topic/spx) #175, [vix](/topic/vix) #149, [$spx](/topic/$spx) 9.65%, [market](/topic/market) #3940, [gamma](/topic/gamma) 7.02%, [in the](/topic/in-the) 5.26%, [trade](/topic/trade) 5.26%, [events](/topic/events) 4.39%, [hedging](/topic/hedging) #237, [closed](/topic/closed) 4.39%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@menthorqpro](/creator/undefined) [@volsignals](/creator/undefined) [@optionsdepth](/creator/undefined) [@binkeles](/creator/undefined) [@tradevolatility](/creator/undefined) [@zeecontrarian1](/creator/undefined) [@nationsindexes](/creator/undefined) [@ksidiii](/creator/undefined) [@unusualwhales](/creator/undefined) [@tim10337907](/creator/undefined) [@realjc](/creator/undefined) [@docmcgraw](/creator/undefined) [@optstrategist](/creator/undefined) [@alma18499](/creator/undefined) [@t1alpha](/creator/undefined) [@jamcroissant](/creator/undefined) [@binkus300](/creator/undefined) [@optionsinsight](/creator/undefined) [@spotgamma](/creator/undefined) [@vixologist](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/$spx) [Vixco (VIX)](/topic/$vix) [Eclipse (ES)](/topic/$es) [Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)](/topic/$lrcx) [Now Coin (NOW)](/topic/$now) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/bitcoin) [Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU)](/topic/$btu) [CONSOL Energy Inc. (CEIX)](/topic/$ceix) [Cellebrite DI Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares (CLBT)](/topic/$clbt) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/$tsla)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"**Current VIX Landscape: Key Levels and Dynamics** - **12-18 VIX**: Heavy vega selling pressure in this range which is likely to keep VIX low. As implied volatility remains subdued this environment encourages traders to continue reducing volatility exposure. - **18-25 VIX**: Transition zone with reduced vega selling. Here traders start monitoring for potential upward volatility shifts but arent yet in active buying mode. This level serves as a watch area where sentiment can change if conditions appear riskier. - **25-35 VIX**: The beginning of vega buying kicks in as traders shift towards"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1854468212122898494)  2024-11-07T10:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$SPX Game Plan - Friday Dec. [--] (HUGE $SPX MOPEX + PCE) Context 6:00 AM: $ES down -0.75% $NQ down -1.25%. VIX in backwardation reflecting heightened uncertainty. EM = [--] points (already exceeded early AM). 8:30 AM: PCE report potential major mover. 9:30 AM: Large AM $SPX expiry SET crucial for direction. Debt ceiling drama adding extra spice. Key Levels & IF/THEN Scenarios Above [----] IF over [----] THEN path to 5820/25. IF over [----] THEN target 5835/40. IF over [----] THEN battle at [----]. IF over [----] THEN [----] (Thursday close) becomes next target. IF over [----] THEN push to 5875/80 likely. Below"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1870092027397886062)  2024-12-20T13:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was just Looking at that chart this AM on @unusual_whales but decided to post this TERMS chart as most folks would 'get it' more easily I know it's diff but more familiar to most Thx for posting this one SPX Volatility Kurtosis ☄ Chart represents a look at the tailedness of the Implied Volatility distribution across the option chain for the upcoming year. Kurtosis insinuates an estimate of how often extreme volatility events could occur. A normal IV distribution has a Kurtosis https://t.co/5ijr12d0iR SPX Volatility Kurtosis ☄ Chart represents a look at the tailedness of the Implied"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021002611273388242)  2026-02-09T23:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"and how can they learn that from you Is there a link or something I can teach anyone to see the charts as I do. https://t.co/alRgPYAfmT I can teach anyone to see the charts as I do. https://t.co/alRgPYAfmT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021611935641309303)  2026-02-11T15:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Well done You wish you had paid $49.99 to make [---] times what you paid. 👇 https://t.co/PKBlrRzI9o You wish you had paid $49.99 to make [---] times what you paid. 👇 https://t.co/PKBlrRzI9o"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021644931354513663)  2026-02-11T17:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Great analysis by @binkus300 (he has [--] accounts) Back on X by popular demand (ie Ive been bugging him) Reply in comments if youd like us to do a joint livestream soon Heatmap Update SPX [-------] (+15.22) What's Changed Net gamma gone MORE negative: [-------] (was -351k then -305k earlier). Market fragility increasing even as price grinds higher. This is important. Green cushion shifting UP with price: Brightest green now 6945-6965 price Heatmap Update SPX [-------] (+15.22) What's Changed Net gamma gone MORE negative: [-------] (was -351k then -305k earlier). Market fragility increasing even as"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021645572260987244)  2026-02-11T18:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"With the continued rise of 0Dte and short dated SPX and now mag7 ish 3x per week I expect Vix to be somewhat tamer and VVIX to be the tell VIX Will Lie to You VIX measures 30-day implied volatility. As volume migrates to [--] day options (and now [--] day with Mon/Wed) the 30-day contracts become less representative of actual risk. VIX could sit at [--] while intraday SPX is a knife fight. The "fear gauge" becomes desensitized. Meanwhile VVIX (vol-of-vol) will explode. Because with expirations every [--] hours the market reprices risk constantly. A headline can spike Wednesday IV by [--] vols without"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2018411435328704860)  2026-02-02T19:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Appears Nomura agrees with you. @options_insight I know ur in the crypto weeds (I'm barely a tourist while - can you be a tour guide) Is Bitcoin doing what it was supposed to do Over the past few weeks Ive been asking a simple question: Is Bitcoin doing what it was supposed to do When I asked publicly whether there is a reason to buy Bitcoin right now I didnt get answers. I got ridicule. Not a single https://t.co/k31r9PrqJb Is Bitcoin doing what it was supposed to do Over the past few weeks Ive been asking a simple question: Is Bitcoin doing what it was supposed to do When I asked publicly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2019361221640892499)  2026-02-05T10:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The term structure is kinky (hey don't go there - get your minds out of the gutter) with a near term peak on 2/13 next Friday (Friday Feb [--] [----] has US CPI (Jan) plus a GDP release along with U.K. unemployment and Eurozone trade data all clustered before and around the cash open.) Thats exactly the kind of oneday macro event cluster that pumps 710D SPX vol: traders load shortdated hedges into that window dealers get short gamma there and the local IV kinks up versus the rest of the curve while the next few weeks are dotted with a sawtooth pattern of backwardated weekly expiries that stay bid"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2019361957015396810)  2026-02-05T10:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#Silver algo overlords The 7:15 AM Liquidation Driver The timing aligns with a massive breakdown in Precious Metals specifically Silver. While it had been weak all morning a heavy wave of selling hit the CME around 7:15 AM as Silver futures plunged over 5% in minutes failing to break key resistance at $90.50. When we see that kind of aggressive "non-equities" liquidation in the pre-market it almost always triggers a "cross-asset" de-risking. The $ES$ was already teetering near the 6930-6940 zone and that metals flush provided the excuse for the algos to dump the index futures and hunt for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2019389670711239058)  2026-02-05T12:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"SPX Daily Plan Thu 02/05 Kinky Term Structure + SIlver Meltdown = Algo Overlords https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1vAGRQOEjzjKl https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1vAGRQOEjzjKl"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2019403192078143570)  2026-02-05T13:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Might take about Bill Belichick not getting voted into their pro football Hall of Fame: Bill Belichick is a  [----] LEAP Jan [----] expiry. Why the greeks line up: Delta: Near-certain outcome. Narrative risk already priced. Theta: Irrelevant. Time only helps more distance from recency bias. Vega: Volatility declines in his favor. Debate fades legacy hardens. Gamma: Low. No sudden shocks left; path dependency is locked. Skew: Positive. Voters prefer inevitability over controversy. Tape read: [----] was a liquidity air-pocket not a trend break. [----] clears congestion assignment is automatic."  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2020344356696125560)  2026-02-08T03:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"🧭 GEX Read Tue Feb [--] SPX [----] (+0.47%) 📏 Tue EM: [--] (ref 6965) [----] bottom EM [----] top EM TUE PRVIEW 🧱 Upside ceilings (stacked deep dealers aren't letting this run) 70207030: GIGANTIC +GEX wall. This is where dealer hedging becomes a brick wall. Every tick higher triggers selling back into range. You don't punch through this without a narrative shift. 70007010: LARGE +GEX cluster sitting right on Top EM (7000). Rallies don't die here they get slowly suffocated. Expect chop fade attempts and time decay doing the work for dealers. ⚡ Inflection 6980: The gate. Above it price gets permission"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2020980104281641165)  2026-02-09T21:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"RT @spotgamma: Last weekend we wrote about the growing fragility forming beneath the markets surface. The vol spams we observed this past"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021001492610629783)  2026-02-09T23:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"RT @vixologist: I mentioned yesterday that the Feb VX futures contract will be following spot VIX like a puppy dog until it expires next We"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021611736646750658)  2026-02-11T15:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"RT @Tim10337907: new low when it comes to how much we cut post Powell - SR3M6/SRZ6 - already have a rate flattener on but this here got nu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021644728941613209)  2026-02-11T17:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"RT @realjc: SPY Implied Volatility Skew 0dte🟡Calls 🟣Puts 2/13 Friday expiry🟠Calls 🔴Puts Friday's IV is lower than today's across the c"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021644785556320360)  2026-02-11T17:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"just nowDoc McGraw MARKET ALERT: LIQUIDATION FLUSH THE TAPE: We just saw a vicious 15-minute flush. $ES$ got hit hard slicing from [----] down to [------]. THE DRIVER: This was a forced liquidation event. Silver just cratered dropping 5% in a vertical line to the $79.00$ handle. Were seeing a "margin call" domino effectthe CME recently jacked up silver margins to 15% and that 7:15 AM move was the trap door opening. When metals go into a tailspin like that the algos de-risk everything instantly. THE SETUP: Technical Failure: We couldn't hold the mid-point of the Monkey Bar value area. Once 6939"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2019391341369647471)  2026-02-05T12:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The Liquidity Trap: Deleveraging Overwhelms the Tape Today wasnt a standard macro pullback; it was a cross-asset deleveraging event. The hallmark of a liquidity squeeze is when "everything that can be sold is sold." We saw silver crater nearly 10% in a vertical drop yet the 10Y Treasury yield moved lower. This decoupling tells us the market wasn't fearing "higher-for-longer" ratesit was fearing a margin call. The SPX closed at [----] down over 1.5% after a violent intraday range of [----] to [----]. The fact that we closed a mere [--] points off the lows confirms that the selling was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2022060495176364325)  2026-02-12T21:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX Daily Plan Thurs. Jan [--] data Dump + TSM https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1mnxeNaQbAnKX https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1mnxeNaQbAnKX"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2011793337511235710)  2026-01-15T13:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"NFL actually Didn't make the choice JayZ company has the contract to select the entertainment Fire JayZ I see your confusion. you don't understand Capitalism. The NFL makes decisions about what they think is best for their business. If you think they chose Bad Bunny to make a cultural statement or came to their decision without tons of deliberation and consensus among the I see your confusion. you don't understand Capitalism. The NFL makes decisions about what they think is best for their business. If you think they chose Bad Bunny to make a cultural statement or came to their decision"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2020984306391449603)  2026-02-09T22:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Out of 0Dte ICs in time to watch them clean out the Goat Shed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021273978753462399)  2026-02-10T17:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"🍅 @Nubzoid_ @doc_mcgraw Doc can talk about whatever he wants. This is a public space so thrown tomatoes are always a threat 😜 @Nubzoid_ @doc_mcgraw Doc can talk about whatever he wants. This is a public space so thrown tomatoes are always a threat 😜"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021611629503222081)  2026-02-11T15:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"WEEKEND Rabbit Hole: What are we seeing in this chart for the CBOE [--] month correlation at an extreme peak vs [--] month. (cor1m vs cor3m). Implication is that we are at short term bottom / reversal. Similar signs can be found in vix backwardation / term structure. Oversimplified COR goes up during selloffs (the correlation is high because everything is going down. Same if we look at ADD Breadth or whatever. AI explainer based on my convo with it (FYI I dont ask AI to-do the thinking for me - and neither should you - I ask it to be my editor copywriter.) This chart was on Bloomberg / has been"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1898520284887413065)  2025-03-08T23:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Straddle Reprice Friday June [--] (Post-NFP Reaction 9:10 AM) Strike Used: [------] Spot Price: [------] Straddle Pricing: [-----] Implied Range: [----] to [----] Volatility was drained from the chain quickly after the NFP print a classic post-event vol crush. At 9:10 AM the updated straddle reflected an expected move of just [-----] down sharply from the pre-open 50-point expectation. This re-centers the day around the [--------] zone with upside containment implied unless fresh flows disrupt the compression. The chain is signaling event risk is priced out but intraday range can still stretch if liquidity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1930978833923969031)  2025-06-06T13:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Now that I have spent almost [--] years in Rural Upstate NY this video is spot on Mad Respect The best Super Bowl commercial of all-time. Hits me very time thinking of my dad & grandfather. Salute to all the farmers out there. 🫡 https://t.co/O0H91xdveb The best Super Bowl commercial of all-time. Hits me very time thinking of my dad & grandfather. Salute to all the farmers out there. 🫡 https://t.co/O0H91xdveb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2020999541080637562)  2026-02-09T23:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"That's part of the picture The Definitive SPX Market Crash Indicator: Here's a new indicator that is a meta-ratio of SPX (30y Yield / 2y Yield) pricing equities directly against the curve of bond market. It melds the equity price structure into the bonds market term structure. It's well known that the https://t.co/OL8CsSkguT The Definitive SPX Market Crash Indicator: Here's a new indicator that is a meta-ratio of SPX (30y Yield / 2y Yield) pricing equities directly against the curve of bond market. It melds the equity price structure into the bonds market term structure. It's well known that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021000284676423812)  2026-02-09T23:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"IMHO that's an artifact of how the interface renders it @realjc @unusual_whales Why the fuck is tomorrow so high @realjc @unusual_whales Why the fuck is tomorrow so high"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021003238431129729)  2026-02-09T23:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🔥⚡ Trump Climate Move: Wheres the REAL Alpha Headline: EPA endangerment finding repealReality: Slow burn. Existing plant rules stay. Legal theater not immediate coal windfall. The Actual Play: Pentagon directed to BUY coal-fired electricity. National security fuel. Thats a concrete demand backstop for US thermal coal miners with federal land exposure: $BTU (Peabody) $CEIX (Consol) $ARLP (Alliance) $HNRG (Hallador) more torque $NC (NACCO) more torque Not a revolution. But its a marginal policy-driven bid that isnt in the spreadsheets yet. PRB and Appalachian basins got a new customer with"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021161987795767724)  2026-02-10T09:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Quantuition with Doc McGraw https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yNGabLmqzRJj https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yNGabLmqzRJj"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021215580989399470)  2026-02-10T13:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Seems you're not alone there Cellebrite - $CLBT Got pitched $CLBT a few days ago by @YanivUliel who manages Eden Funds and has deep long-standing experience with Cellebrite dating back to well before its IPO alongside extensive background in defense and security. Additional credit to @jeremie0117 for https://t.co/mgDhQ0UCiO Cellebrite - $CLBT Got pitched $CLBT a few days ago by @YanivUliel who manages Eden Funds and has deep long-standing experience with Cellebrite dating back to well before its IPO alongside extensive background in defense and security. Additional credit to @jeremie0117 for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021639402662113515)  2026-02-11T17:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"RT @aaplbottomjeans: At the moment $SPX [----] acting as the GREAT WALL OF CHINA stopping these invading bulls from surpassing. Once this Del"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021644830649282977)  2026-02-11T17:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"🎯 @themarketear Yes Skew looks high due to hedging demand BUT that doesn't always lead to a sell off. This close to OPEX (next Friday) there is also a lot of put premium that needs to decay and so there will be delta buyback flows that come with that if we don't get a crack lower. Also the @themarketear Yes Skew looks high due to hedging demand BUT that doesn't always lead to a sell off. This close to OPEX (next Friday) there is also a lot of put premium that needs to decay and so there will be delta buyback flows that come with that if we don't get a crack lower. Also the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021672604579623404)  2026-02-11T19:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Excellent score Im going to see if I can figure out how to do that End of Day Scorecard SPX Closed [-------] How Did Our Analysis Do Overall: Very strong the framework worked the close was slightly lower than expected. What We Got RIGHT ✅ [----] floor held all day never breached put wall fortress did its job [----] was the ceiling End of Day Scorecard SPX Closed [-------] How Did Our Analysis Do Overall: Very strong the framework worked the close was slightly lower than expected. What We Got RIGHT ✅ [----] floor held all day never breached put wall fortress did its job [----] was the ceiling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021710562103554211)  2026-02-11T22:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Like I Said: The Pentagon Play Was Always the Real Alpha Monday AM I was reading the WSJ piece on Trump's climate rollback. Headline guys saw "EPA endangerment finding repeal" and started drooling. But I wrote: "Reality: Slow burn. Existing plant rules stay. Legal theater not immediate coal windfall. The Actual Play: Pentagon directed to BUY coal-fired electricity. 'National security' fuel." Fast forward [--] hours. Today's news: Trump directs Pentagon to buy coal power. Defense contracts. Federal backstop. Real demand. The tickers I flagged $BTU $CEIX $ARLP $HNRG $NC just got a new customer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2021758717759226014)  2026-02-12T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"And a VIX unclench from there @doc_mcgraw Yessir youre 💯 % correct Doc. That 20-25 zone wears and will be sticky until next weeks $VIX $Vixperation https://t.co/lEPrVWOgzK @doc_mcgraw Yessir youre 💯 % correct Doc. That 20-25 zone wears and will be sticky until next weeks $VIX $Vixperation https://t.co/lEPrVWOgzK"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2022101030696300632)  2026-02-13T00:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"### **SPX Game Plan for Monday Aug 12** #### **Week Overview (Leading to EOM):** Key market-moving data points and events to watch: - **PPI CPI**: Key economic indicators. - **QYLD Roll**: Thursday August [--]. - **Unemployment Numbers**: Released on August [--] (Monthly Options Expiration Mopex). - **Monthly Vixperation**: August [--]. - **Jackson Hole Symposium**: August 22-24. - **NVIDIA Earnings**: August [--]. - **Geopolitical Risks**: Potential Iranian attack on Israel (August 13) coinciding with a significant Jewish holiday. Other key factors: - **JPY Carry Trade Unwind**: Possible market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1822947418536624622)  2024-08-12T10:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"### SPX Game Plan for Wednesday August [--] **Key Events:** - **VIXPERATION:** Hedging mostly complete based on [--] AM /VX prices. Deltas are largely hedged but could see final adjustments causing minor wiggles. - **1:00 PM:** 20-Year Bond Auction - **2:00 PM:** FOMC Minutes release (potential for algorithmic-driven moves) - **Upcoming:** Unemployment Numbers on Thursday Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday (main event) **Market Setup:** - **GEX:** Broadly positive with [----] as the main pivot level for today. - **Estimated Market (EM) Move:** [--] points **As of 6:00 AM:** - **SPX Open Estimate:** 5600"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1826212476960080380)  2024-08-21T10:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"**$SPX Game Plan Tuesday Sept. [--] 2024** Were in a double-negative gamma environment. Broadly speaking market participants are sitting on long puts below [----] and long calls above [----] (according to Nomura not everyones playing this way though). **IF $SPX rallies toward 5600:** Market makers (MM) will probably need to hedge those short calls which could ramp things up and amplify the rally. Gamma risk builds creating a feedback loop that sends prices higher. **IF $SPX drops below 5400:** Negative gamma in the [----] zone means faster and more aggressive declines. Dealers will hedge by selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1833471065940484503)  2024-09-10T11:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$SPX - TA / Price Action Plan: Use Gex for confirmation of course IF $SPX holds above [----] THEN potential move towards [----] with possible extension to 5790-5800. IF $SPX breaks below [----] THEN expect consolidation for 1-2 days. IF $SPX breaks below [----] THEN path opens towards [----] then [----] with potential downside to [----]. --- Trade Plans: Bullish Plan: IF $SPX above [----] consider Sept [--] 5750C with a target of [----]. Bearish Plan: IF $SPX under [----] consider Sept [--] 5630P with a target of [----]. chart = @MenthorQpro #Optionselling #StockMarket #investing #BullMarket or #BearMarket $SPX $SPY"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1838013247787774242)  2024-09-23T00:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"JPM in da House Jan [----] short call (same strike as the Dec 31) More to come"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1852056013391749320)  2024-10-31T18:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I will NOT put out my SPX Game Plan AM note (or maybe a very short note). I caught a pretty nasty bug over the Thanksgiving weekend (along with my daughter and son in law)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1863905617884135479)  2024-12-03T11:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"### **$SPX Game Plan - Wednesday Dec. 4** --- ### **Context: SPX Outlook and Key Events** - **SPX premarket**: [----] as of 5:00 AM. - **Chop Zone**: [--------]. - **EM**: [--] points +/- (volatility in check thanks to GEX). --- ### **Market Positioning and Sentiment** - **Bullish Options Activity**: - Traders rolling into higher strike calls targeting a breakout above **6100**. - **61006200** shaping up as a high-liquidity zone with increasing focus on upside. - **Recent Market Behavior**: - Steady grind higher supported by hedge funds and individual investors chasing performance. - Mostly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1864260387224326388)  2024-12-04T10:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was looking over some chats in @VolSignals discord and saw something about the $vvix: $vix ratio I remember playing with it in like [----] so palyed with it a little. Iwas also chatting about it in my AM 'SPX Game Plan" voice call (8 AM) on @MenthorQpro recently (lots of stuff on X from @Ksidiii @ZeeContrarian1 @TradeVolatility and others about the topic broadly). BTW feel free to chime in and 'discuss' / correct my initial dive for what it's worth (while waiting for the NCAA Football games) inflection in VVIX:VIX Ratio Indicating a Shift to Stability A "shift down" to a more stable market"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1874517165749195070)  2025-01-01T18:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Moving Parts of the Yen Carry Trade 1.What is the Yen Carry Trade Investors borrow yen at low rates and convert it to higher-yielding currencies like USD to invest in assets such as Treasuries equities or commodities 2.Why is it Unwinding Rising speculation of BOJ tightening or adjusting its yield curve control policy. U.S. bond yields are rising narrowing the carry trades profitability. Macro uncertainties and risk-off sentiment are driving investors to close leveraged positions. Does Unwinding Work Investors liquidate U.S. assets and convert USD back to yen strengthening the yen. Selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1881533444833808677)  2025-01-21T02:45Z [----] followers, 16.8K engagements


"$SPX Game Plan Wednesday Jan. [--] (FOMC + Big Tech Earnings) (today's Note ChatGPT ONLY format my ramblings as I wrote them Vs LLM rewrite) LMK if u prefer this CONTEXT After Monday drop and Tue pop the gap is close to be filled ish $ASML earnings BEAT bullish Semi sector equipment makers + Baby Whale (or school of fish) spotted at 6025/20 PCS and 6100/6105 CCS (Ahead of FOMC ) EM = [--] (its been creeping up the last few days - mentioned in previous note that straddle seemed cheap) Today is a 'no school - snow day' for me (like when I was a kid in NYC). Maybe I can use the time to get into some"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1884555867074281678)  2025-01-29T10:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Doc GPT my words GPT format I think this better than stream of consciousness the last one $SPX Game Plan Thursday Jan. [--] (Big Tech Round [--] + Data Oh Joy) CONTEXT Post-FOMC/presser: Muted roller coaster $SPX closed within EM (go figure). Tech earnings reaction: Broadly positive ($TSLA $META $MSFT $LRCX $NOW) but $NOW crapped the bed. Upcoming Data:8:30 AM: GDP Upcoming Earnings: $AAPL $V $KLAC $INTC (Do they matter anymore) Friday: PCE (8:30 AM) VOLATILITY & STRUCTURE EM: [--] points IV: [--] (Friday IV = 19ish) IV Next Week: 1316ish (Bar Mitzvah Sweet Sixteen) $SPX Holding Above: [--] & [--] DMA"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1884947555319968159)  2025-01-30T12:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PREVIEW I may be doing more of these 'for educational purposes' trade setups Not sure: Commnet retweet and discuss with me ### **$SPX Game Plan for Wednesday Feb. [--] 2025** #### **Market Context & Volatility Overview** - **VIX**: [----] **VIX9D**: [--] Volatility compression suggesting a tighter range. - **Key GEX Flip Point**: VIX [--] Market bias shifts if breached. - **Extreme VIX Levels**: - **Above 20** Increased hedging demand bearish pressure. - **Below 16** Volatility crush stable bullish environment. #### **Overnight Session & Market Catalysts** - **Overnight Low**: [----] (Negative reaction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1887123321700979086)  2025-02-05T12:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"From a buddy of mine (former fx and commodities MM) SUBSTACK☝🥳🥳🥳 After literally one year of some people kept pestering me with substack I finally done. It is $35/month please do not use yearly sub as I don't plan to do this more than [--] year. https://t.co/BaUXpHadXp ✅What you will get: - daily premarket posts - weekly https://t.co/BF9D6fVOEX SUBSTACK☝🥳🥳🥳 After literally one year of some people kept pestering me with substack I finally done. It is $35/month please do not use yearly sub as I don't plan to do this more than [--] year. https://t.co/BaUXpHadXp ✅What you will get: - daily"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1887638067835531728)  2025-02-06T23:02Z [----] followers, 24.4K engagements


"I am / do similar (full time trader sharing for free) 🔥💰🙇♀"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1893673147871760485)  2025-02-23T14:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX setting up for a wild finish into NFP. IC Whale back with size. Levels vol and what matters 👇 🧵"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1897630701358358864)  2025-03-06T12:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Here's how to practically use and interpret each of these 30-day volatility indexes including their IF/THEN implications and how to analyze them together: Scenario (CURRENTLY based on the website) VolDex flat/slightly down PutDex sharply CallDex slightly RiskDex TailDex sharply :Short-term bearish risk and tail-risk falling significantly while calls modestly bid. Indicates market pricing in less fear of big declines limited downside risk in immediate term possible bullish relief or sideways consolidation. Implication: Favor neutral to slightly bullish trades; consider premium-selling"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1899579296508682358)  2025-03-11T21:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"A Quick Lesson in Volatility and Options Pricing A friend purchased SPY June [---] puts about a month ago for approximately $5.10. Recently the value of the put option spiked above $21 as SPY declined. However despite SPY hitting a new local low of on Thursday the options value was actually lower than it was a few days prioreven though the underlying price was also lower. This highlights an important concept in options pricing: volatility and time decay play a significant role beyond just the movement of the underlying asset. Volatility Expansion: A surge in implied volatility (IV) earlier in"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1900594195837935644)  2025-03-14T17:05Z [----] followers, 15.7K engagements


"#SPX Game Plan March [--] (MOPEX - Q1 ) I've been visiting with family since Wed. note will be brief + my access to all my tools is limited. Will hit the high points CONTEXT FOMC pop fading Macro bros warning of slower growth inflation and tariff the usual Large AM expiration MM reaction depends on SET (usually within a few minutes of open = some post-SET reactions possible) THEN we have part [--] = the PM opex AM opex key levels (broadly / rough estimate) = [----] with the 5620/35 area important over/under Over [----] can open door to 45/55/70 choppy area Lets call it 5655/60 ish In the Semi space"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1903042574539010294)  2025-03-21T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"DocGPT on spring break - Gone Wild"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1905186107496559073)  2025-03-27T09:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"new toy might be 'typos' call it under development"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1905569610801226113)  2025-03-28T10:36Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"New Toy [---] typos and levels wrongish but work in progress"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1905586889140101261)  2025-03-28T11:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Restrike Adjustment after the close Final"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1906802358635389313)  2025-03-31T20:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Looks like 60k call debit spreads for Mon. April [--] about a 3-mil lottery tick for fitty cent screenshot of position = @OptionsDepth brought to you by fitty cent lottery co"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1908532464374431927)  2025-04-05T14:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The YLD family of funds sells covered calls on a range of underlying indices including the Nasdaq [---] (NDX) S&P [---] and Russell [----]. While that broad selling impacts trading into Fridays expiration as billions in notional delta get sold across major indices todays focus is on QYLD which specifically targets the NDX. QYLD systematically sells billions of dollars in at-the-money NDX calls for the following months AM expiration. These positions are typically bought back the day before expiration(yesterday) as part of their roll process. According to their strategy QYLD executes these buybacks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1912896733706657902)  2025-04-17T15:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"200 weekly MA sits at [----] and has held for [--] years Will it continue to hold Asking for a friend"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1913665937825501449)  2025-04-19T18:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX Game Plan Thursday April [--] (tape bombs giveth tape bombs taketh away) 🧭 Context Gap up SPX topped [----] IV dropped [----] = key pivot lost after 2PM Range: [--------] IC Whale doubled: CCS = 5445/50 PCS = 5290/85 📅 Events 08:30 ET Durable Goods Jobless Claims IMF/Euro conference = headline tape Earnings: $CMG $NOW $IBM $LRCX $TXN $VKTX $NE 📊 Levels / Flow O/N range: [--------] Straddle = [---] [--------] Key zones: [----] = magnet 5445/50 = CCS wall 5290/85 = PCS floor [----] [----] = stall zones [----] = isolated above 💥 Vol View VIX1D = [----] VIX = [----] VVIX = [---] Still backwardated terms flat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1915365113772548166)  2025-04-24T11:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"1. China Shipment Disruptions Immediate Collapse: A near-stop in shipments within two weeks aligns with escalations in trade tensions (e.g. new tariffs export controls). Recent U.S. tariffs on Chinese EVs steel and semiconductors (May 2024) could explain abrupt supply-chain pullbacks. Supply-Chain Chaos: Ships returning mid-voyage suggest importers are rushing to avoid tariffs or preempt embargoes. This risks port congestion contract disputes and inventory shortfalls. [--]. Consumer Impact Short-Term Price Spikes: Electronics auto parts and holiday goods (e.g. back-to-school inventory) may see"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1916446976553505080)  2025-04-27T10:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Traveling back from my daughters med school graduation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1919394154548760772)  2025-05-05T14:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🔍 $SPX Road Map 0DTE: Thursday May [--] 📍 Spot [----] ( AM ET) 🗓 PPI + Retail Sales (8:30AM) $WMT earnings (BMO) Powell (8:40AM) CHOP ZONE: [--------] Main battle zone flat gamma = two-way flow Likely where majority of intraday trade occurs IF Within Chop Zone: IF above [----] [--------] = resistance pocket IF below [----] 5835/40 = minor support IF stuck [--------] = algo chop zone until Powell IF Above [----] THEN [----] Thin structure light resistance Vol crush needed to float higher IF Above [----] THEN [----] MM resistance grows Rally likely slows dealer selling zone IF Above [----] THEN [----] [----] Major"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1922965877202305303)  2025-05-15T10:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🧭 Post-MOPEX Look Ahead: Here's the Road MapEven If the Bend Ahead Isn't Clear 🔮 No crystal ballbut we can still read the signs before the curve. 🔁 Weekly Recap: $SPX +5.27% $NDX +7.15% $DJI +3.41% Risk-on flows dominated Moodys downgraded U.S. credit (Aaa Aa1) Friday AH /ES dropped [----] pts back to Thurs close ⚠ Structural Zones: ➕ [----] = Gamma void breakout risk ➖ [----] = Tail risk zone 🧲 [--------] = Primary chop zone (Fri Hi/Lo = 5958/5907) 🧮 Straddle Pricing: Mon SPX = [--] Fri SPX = [--] [--------] May [--] EOM = [---] [--------] June OPEX = [---] [--------] 📅 May EOM JPM Collar: 6265C (short) /"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1924067676588028156)  2025-05-18T11:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I spoke about (and have been speaking about) Vixpery a lot recently. I posted some follow up stuff yesterday afternoon re: $Vix and the 2-3 pm selloff. Anyway to follow up the 'official' settlement price is today and here's the process. The VIX Monthly AM Settlement (SOQ - Settlement on Open) is a critical process that determines the final settlement value for VIX options and futures on expiration day. Here's how it works: The AM Settlement Process Timing: VIX monthly options settle on the Wednesday that's [--] days before the third Friday of the following month with settlement occurring at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1925117011404747151)  2025-05-21T09:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"1 dte SPX road map will be available in my subsatck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1925656676222246987)  2025-05-22T20:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🚨 SPX 0DTE Emergency Roadmap 8:20 AM Spot: [----] (Trump Tariff Tape Bomb) 📉 IMMEDIATE SITUATION: Below [----] = dealer short gamma = explosive moves Above [----] = long gamma = stabilization zone Current zone = max chaos 🔻 DOWNSIDE PATHS IF breaks [----] Acceleration to [--------] Limited bounces violent moves IF breaks [----] Deep short gamma pocket Panic drop to [--------] possible IF reaches [----] Max short gamma Target [--------] if momentum continues 🔺 UPSIDE PATHS IF bounce [----] Still in short gamma Fast rip to [--------] if it catches momentum IF [----] Enters long gamma zone Moves calm grind toward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1925893351951265830)  2025-05-23T12:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was scrolling through X this morning (Monday May [--] - 6:00 AM) and came across a FinancialJuice tweet about Japan announcing a [---] billion yen emergency spending package to counter U.S. tariffs. After digging into the context heres what I think might happen and what Im keeping an eye on moving forward. Japans [---] billion yen plan rolled out today May [--] [----] is meant to protect its exporterslike automakers and steel firmsfrom the sting of U.S. tariffs. But Im worried this could backfire. Japans already dealing with a shaky economy; their GDP shrank in Q1 [----] with exports down 0.6% and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1926946527752187964)  2025-05-26T10:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$SPX: GAMMA SQUEEZE TARGET [----] STALL [----] CRITICAL BREAK [----] DEALER SELL ZONE [--------] STALL ZONE [----] TWO-WAY ZONE [--------] MICRO PIVOT [----] ACCELERATION ZONE [--------] KEY PIVOT [----] MAGNET [----] INFLECTION [----] CHOP FLOOR [----] POTENTIAL MAGNET [----] all this and MORE before the open on substack https://www.substack.com/@tradermcgraw331292 https://www.substack.com/@tradermcgraw331292"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1927367795823501504)  2025-05-27T14:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"cheat Card I do in the AM and Have Claude make a TV string form my analysis"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1928538708556333402)  2025-05-30T19:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"JPM restrike is in Final Answer"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1928546011963707426)  2025-05-30T20:16Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements


"let's add to that buyback window closes June [--] Vixpery FOMC and last day to Trade the AM opex is Wed too (market closed the [--] for Juneteenth) Will wait for that week and see what the structure looks like CTAs shorting in all scenarios according to GS. https://t.co/mQsjP779LB CTAs shorting in all scenarios according to GS. https://t.co/mQsjP779LB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1929721189792206916)  2025-06-03T02:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"What are CTAs and How They Impact Markets CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisors) are systematic hedge funds that use computer algorithms and trend-following strategies to trade across global markets - stocks bonds commodities and currencies. Think of them as massive automated trading systems that buy when prices are rising and sell when prices are falling. Here's why they matter for market dynamics: This Substack is reader-supported. To receive new posts and support my work consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Trend Amplifiers: CTAs act like market momentum accelerators. When stocks go up"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1929929499627418000)  2025-06-03T15:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Beautiful Foggy Morning in Upstate New York (Finger Lakes area) [--] minutes after sunrise 🌅 View from the Front Porch"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1931651932856168631)  2025-06-08T09:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Breakfast Time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1932030961518023096)  2025-06-09T11:04Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Just got home from my Fathers Day weekend outside of Boston I see some interesting stuff Stay tuned for my write up in the AM Teaser / look at Tdex (@Nations_Indexes ) and some of the other products and tell me what you see @MenthorQpro also has some posts from a different angle Write up will be here on X Live AM on YouTube etc Also broadcast live here on X with screenshare Good night https://substack.com/@tradermcgraw331292r=19pdos&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile https://substack.com/@tradermcgraw331292r=19pdos&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1934415684856959439)  2025-06-16T01:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX Daily Plan Mon. June [--] https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1OwGWXkoNjmJQ https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1OwGWXkoNjmJQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1934585239848075649)  2025-06-16T12:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"come-on folks like retweet help a brother out SPX Daily Plan Mon. June [--] https://t.co/tGw7s3hfC2 SPX Daily Plan Mon. June [--] https://t.co/tGw7s3hfC2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1934622337371930804)  2025-06-16T14:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I'm going to be 'rolling out' content - educational stuff: trade structures examples to consider etc. FAST back-test Numbers may off More to give folks the flavor 📊 Volatility Context on Trade Date (June [--] 2025) * **VIX closed at approximately 17.26** * **VVIX was elevated around 99101** reflecting vol-of-vol stress from FOMC noise * This divergence between VIX and VVIX signals rich premium in front-dated and vol-sensitive structures. --- ## 💡 Expected Move Estimate for June [--] SPX Using the standard formula: Expected Move SPX * (VIX % / 100) * (days to exp / 252) * SPX [----] * VIX 17.3% *"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1936410483403137406)  2025-06-21T13:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I was skimming through some chart setups a guy was reviewing and saw much to my dismay ; Vix is at resistance (oy vey). So i wrote this little explanation about why you CANNOT use TECHNICAL ANALYSIS on $VIX: The VIX isnt a tradeable asset - its a calculation. Trying to apply traditional technical analysis to VIX is like doing chart analysis on the weather forecast instead of actual temperature readings. Heres why this matters for momentum trading: VIX is backward-looking math not forward-looking price discovery. Its calculated from SPX option prices using Black-Scholes assumptions. When you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1937416849353806299)  2025-06-24T07:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"you talking about me This is so real https://t.co/sfihT7KA3d This is so real https://t.co/sfihT7KA3d"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1943698518104735886)  2025-07-11T15:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX Traders I came up with this. I think its handy dandy and an easy way to understand whats going on in the GEX space using QUANTUITION"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1944008397558350164)  2025-07-12T12:18Z [----] followers, 16.8K engagements


"Good teaching tool The interaction of the greeks visualized. This chart never gets old. https://t.co/Sj2NgbtIu9 The interaction of the greeks visualized. This chart never gets old. https://t.co/Sj2NgbtIu9"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1944116093775491264)  2025-07-12T19:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"lol You think the biggest institutions are looking at candle sticks and h/s patterns Institutional Price Action--Cheat Sheet. https://t.co/kYLSlbGPxS Institutional Price Action--Cheat Sheet. https://t.co/kYLSlbGPxS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1944672259270127974)  2025-07-14T08:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"In my AM note I said: VRP is stretched to [---] a signal that implied is still rich vs. realized and theres still room to bleed vol A subscriber asked me: What is VRP to you And can you explain your Tier [--] Alpha shortcut The answer: VRP (Volatility Risk Premium) is the difference between implied vol what options are pricing in and realized vol what the market is actually doing. When VRP is wide options are overpriced relative to reality which favors passive flows and vol sellers. Right now VRP is stretched mainly because sticky implied vol is being propped up by the August tariff deadline. This"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1948409890839335216)  2025-07-24T15:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"My posts will be limited today. Engaged in a serious naval strategy session"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1951682250501923292)  2025-08-02T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Understanding the VVIX:VIX Ratio: A Quick Dive: Lets break down the VVIX:VIX ratio a slick metric for reading market vibes and volatility expectations. Useful for anyone trading or eyeing markets. VIX 101: The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is the markets fear gauge measuring expected 30-day S&P [---] volatility via options prices. Low VIX (1215) = calm market. High VIX (40+) = panic city. VVIX 101: The Cboe VIX Volatility Index (VVIX) tracks the volatility of volatilityhow much the VIX itself might swing based on VIX options. It usually ranges from [-----] averaging [--]. The Ratio: VVIX VIX shows"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1955561179478155411)  2025-08-13T09:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Theres been a lot of talk in the SPX trading communitysome of us had heard that SVOL was one of the funds behind those large SPX call positions and I was curious if that was true. I started wondering what a short volatility income ETF was doing with so much size in SPX options especially since the funds primary mandate is volatility premium harvesting. My hunch was it might be part of a tail risk and convexity overlay so I did a deep dive with Perplexity to investigate. Heres what turned up: *** **SPXW September [--] [----] Calls:** - SVOL holds an estimated **12002700 contracts** on this line"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1956637055032684976)  2025-08-16T08:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"JPM collar in da house Nov EOM sold [----] C vs 6155/5150 pds X 4.35k cts. Delta offset BTO Aug [--] (0DTE) [----] C x 2k at 2:05 ish PM possible adjustment after the close IF SPX moves enough from price when collar was struck"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1961501233413316850)  2025-08-29T18:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"When I do my 8:30 AM SPS daily plan I sometimes mention the VVIX to VIX ratio Heres how I interpret the VVIX: VIX ratio regimes: Low Ratio (below 5): This typically occurs during or just after a volatility event. VIX is elevatedfear has been realizedbut VVIX lags suggesting traders arent expecting further chaos. This regime often marks peak stress and the market may be near a turning point. Volatility could mean-revert or stabilize soon. Mid Range (5 to 6): This is the neutral zone. VVIX and VIX are proportionally aligned and the markets volatility expectations match current conditions. Its"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1964470276793516386)  2025-09-06T23:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The Signal Everyones Missing: Equity Put-Call Ratios I was reading Larry McMillans (@optstrategist )latest note this weeksomething Ive been doing religiously for the past [--] yearswhen he mentioned the CPCE. It hit me that many of todays traders especially the crypto and Reddit/GME crowd (hey no disrespectsome of you are great traders and subscribers) might not be familiar with this classic indicator. Hell a lot of them probably think gamma is just a Greek letter. Thats exactly why I decided to write this up. Heres where it gets interesting and where most casual market watchers tune out. Dont."  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1964477511766626572)  2025-09-06T23:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"📉 **Skew Watch**: While VIX prints have traders yelling too low the real storys under the hood. SPX skew keeps steepening as hedging demand ramps up even with ATM vols staying tame. The 25-delta ratio now sits in the 90th+ percentile across the front six months with 1M skew near the 93rd percentile. Meanwhile RTY skew remains flatjust 36th percentile for 1M. That divergence tracks: investors are loading up on downside protection in large-cap names (especially Tech) while reaching for upside in small-caps which theyre underweight and see as ripe for catch-up. RTYs outpaced SPX for five"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1965345347972092105)  2025-09-09T09:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Is that why they call me the IC goat"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1967691963240779930)  2025-09-15T20:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Gamma/GEX Jargon Sheet - Plain English 🏦 The Basics Market Makers (MMs) = The banks/firms that sell you options. Think of them like a casino - they take the other side of your bet. Hedging = When market makers buy/sell stock to protect themselves from losing money on the options they sold you. Gamma Exposure (GEX) = How much stock the market makers have to buy or sell when the price moves. It's like measuring how "twitchy" they are. ⚖ Positive Gamma Zone Market makers act like a magnetic equilibrium - they keep price balanced around that level Creates back-and-forth choppy action Result:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1969930400282677753)  2025-09-22T01:03Z [----] followers, 12.3K engagements


"took an L today why Because I didn't stick to my own plan. Lizard brain grabbed the mouse Ever notice some people never have a loss Fascinating 🧐"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1970583092005126651)  2025-09-23T20:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"WAIT this Just IN: MM are SHORT the [----] puts the Whale sold How can that be MM had so much inventory short there (6610 was the area we closed at Thurs maybe ATM customer put buys for Mon Either way what looked like a cushion at [----] is now double trouble at [----] and [----] .MM positioning Should I tag the Whale and warn him table = @OptionsDepth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1972131339890540865)  2025-09-28T02:48Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"looks like we have a reservation to visit [----] on Friday. [----] synthetic short it looks like (MM position number right of midline is MM long / left is short chart = @OptionsDepth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1973854805509701804)  2025-10-02T20:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"**Alma makes a great observation 👇** (in her substack @alma18499 ) When the government shuts down agencies like BLS BEA and Census stop collecting and releasing data. That means the market loses access to the core macro releases jobs (NFP claims) inflation (CPI PPI PCE) growth (GDP) and demand (retail sales JOLTS). The timing matters: the Fed has just restarted rate cuts and is explicitly datadependent. But heading into the Oct [----] FOMC meeting policymakers wont have NFP claims or CPI in hand. Instead theyll be leaning on private proxies like ADP or PMIs thinner signals that carry more"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1974053230041575463)  2025-10-03T10:05Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"🧠 SPX Straddle Cheat Sheet: Delta Anchors for Tomorrows Move This isnt groundbreaking for experienced SPX tradersbut its a reliable end-of-day tool for framing directional risk. Use the next-day ATM straddle price at the close to estimate the markets expected move. Then map out Delta levels using simple multiples: 📍 0.5x Straddle Price [----] Delta Tight range. Useful for intraday scalping premium selling or framing half-move fades. 📍 1.0x Straddle Price [--] Delta Expected move zone. Market pricing suggests itll stay inside this range. 📍 1.2x Straddle Price [--] Delta 1-standard deviation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1976558750203875750)  2025-10-10T08:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"My son and daughter Were at his wedding rehearsal dinner"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1979323778586054748)  2025-10-17T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"With my son and his bride to be - wedding is tonight Ive been away all week so comments and posts have been minimal Monday night- Ill be back"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1979472136415642027)  2025-10-18T08:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Its official- my new daughter in law"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1979725405449064845)  2025-10-19T01:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"**VIX is Math Not Markets** VIX isnt a tradeable asset - its a calculation derived from SPX option prices using Black-Scholes assumptions. When you see VIX hitting resistance youre witnessing the mathematical output of option flows not price discovery between buyers and sellers. Those trendlines and moving averages Youre doing technical analysis on a derivative calculation not actual market forces"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1984304224021152121)  2025-10-31T16:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I think we all know they just because somebody is buying 8% out of the money puts thats a target is not necessarily down 8%. It could be down 3%. It could be down 15%. Its buying volatility not percentage down even if were down 8% then the parts are worthless. The puts that are bought are not the destination. Someone is picking up $3M in $NVDA puts [--] minutes before close. They are betting on a -8% pullback in a few weeks. $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/3et2bWAkmQ Someone is picking up $3M in $NVDA puts [--] minutes before close. They are betting on a -8% pullback in a few weeks. $SPY $QQQ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1984635870469574844)  2025-11-01T14:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX Quick Take - week ahead Source @OptionsDepth week ahead aggregate MM position number https://open.substack.com/pub/tradermcgraw331292/p/spx-quick-take-week-aheadr=19pdos&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/tradermcgraw331292/p/spx-quick-take-week-aheadr=19pdos&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/1990136842373435788)  2025-11-16T19:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"SPX GAMMA CHEAT CARD: WEEK OF NOV 17-21 MONDAY 11/17 - The Steering Wheel 🎯 Dealers short gamma - two-way rocket fuel Break [----] accelerates to 6800+ Break [----] amplifies to [----] Spot [----] = dead center of gamma vacuum KEY LEVELS ALL WEEK: 6600-6650 = Long gamma floor (recurring support) [----] = Neutral inflection/breakpoint 6850-6900 = Resistance ceiling IF MONDAY 6800: 🚀 TUE: Compression 6780-6850 WED: Pin 6780-6820 pre-NVDA THU: NVDA outcome drives (thin) FRI: Coin flip chop around [----] IF MONDAY 6700: ⚓ TUE: Bounce 6680-6750 (fortress support) WED: Compression 6700-6770 THU: NVDA beat ="  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1990138848844689675)  2025-11-16T19:24Z [----] followers, 22.8K engagements


"$QYLD selling ATM calls for Jan AM about 25% done"  
[X Link](https://x.com/doc_mcgraw/status/2002060870248243313)  2025-12-19T16:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

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