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# ![@dioscuri Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::17308990.png) @dioscuri Henry Shevlin

Henry Shevlin posts on X about ai, in the, 6969, if you the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::17308990/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::17308990/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---------] +8.30%
- [--] Month [---------] +13%
- [--] Months [----------] -55%
- [--] Year [-----------] +716%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::17308990/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::17308990/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Months [---] +3.60%
- [--] Year [---] +103%

### Followers: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::17308990/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::17308990/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [------] +0.81%
- [--] Month [------] +4.70%
- [--] Months [------] +18%
- [--] Year [------] +117%

### CreatorRank: [------] [#](/creator/twitter::17308990/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::17308990/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [countries](/list/countries)  [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  [finance](/list/finance)  [social networks](/list/social-networks)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [gaming](/list/gaming)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [musicians](/list/musicians) 

**Social topic influence**
[ai](/topic/ai) #617, [in the](/topic/in-the), [6969](/topic/6969), [if you](/topic/if-you), [llm](/topic/llm) #282, [this is](/topic/this-is) #752, [open ai](/topic/open-ai), [history](/topic/history) #4451, [money](/topic/money), [has been](/topic/has-been)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Reddit, Inc.  (RDDT)](/topic/reddit) [Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)](/topic/microsoft)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"But uh yeah the take-home [----] word undergraduate essay is definitely dead. #ChatGPT"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1598463572514070528)  2022-12-01T23:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"#ChatGPT prompt: Imagine youre Taylor Swift and youre composing lyrics to a catchy new song about heartbreak and relationships titles Strangest game. It has four verses and a repeating chorus. The songs lyrics are as follows:"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1598671961806278656)  2022-12-02T13:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"1. Oh god I just had a rather dystopian vision about the future of #ChatGPT online influencers and romantic/erotic AI apps like @MyReplika and @_Lia27 . A quick thread ๐Ÿงต"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1619326827234996224)  2023-01-28T13:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"VERY impressive auditory illusion (if you can call multistable stimuli illusions). I love how you can effectively choose what to hear by looking at the relevant lyrics (Via Reddit)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1626261913129689089)  2023-02-16T16:47Z 12.7K followers, 381.5K engagements


"The False Promise of Nuclear Weapons: I dont know why people get so scared and excited by nuclear weapons. They are not actual suns and do not provide a pathway to building suns. They rely on exotic heavy metals to initiate their fusion reactions and their mass is vastly smaller than suns. It is at once comic and tragic as Borges might have noted that so much money and attention should be concentrated on so little a thing something so trivial when contrasted with the power of vast stellar objects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1633930986307174402)  2023-03-09T20:41Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@JohnZerilli Good post on this topic https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/05/23/can-things-be-both-popular-and-silenced/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/05/23/can-things-be-both-popular-and-silenced/"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1634117461619494913)  2023-03-10T09:02Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@JohnZerilli Am I right that the core argument here is CO2 'locked up' in trees doesn't always stay locked up fires development etc. That's an important consideration but shifting patterns of land use to promote more natural CO2 sinks still seems like part of our repertoire of solutions"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1634188037939769344)  2023-03-10T13:42Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@JohnZerilli In the sense that trees take in CO2 die decompose and bacteria release CO2 back into the atmosphere That's all true but assuming new trees are growing in their place (due to dedication of land for forest cover) and taking in CO2 there's still a net effect on atmospheric CO2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1634190982236217347)  2023-03-10T13:54Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"@JohnZerilli @FerryDanini Such extremes of fluff Is he/she a Maine Coon"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1634908513766895619)  2023-03-12T13:25Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"I was just on British TV this afternoon discussing the FLI petition for a pause on giant AI experiments. My [--] year old daughter decided this would be the ideal time for her TV debut too. https://www.youtube.com/live/wCvnyeH2fbwfeature=share&t=6715 https://www.youtube.com/live/wCvnyeH2fbwfeature=share&t=6715"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1641493420932755456)  2023-03-30T17:31Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@JohnZerilli Is that directed to me or Selene ๐Ÿ˜"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1641523827678035968)  2023-03-30T19:32Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Phenomenology question: when waking up suddenly from deep dreaming I sometimes have subtle but interesting visual "noise" ie low-key hallucinations especially when I close my eyes. Been happening for years and it doesn't occur when waking normally. Anyone else"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1647997257201885192)  2023-04-17T16:15Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"Heres a link to my cover article Would love to hear what others think. tl;dr both short- and long-term risks of AI are real but theres a need for more concrete positive visions of AI. As Yogi Berra said If you don't know where you are going youll end up someplace else"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1663845557113171972)  2023-05-31T09:51Z [----] followers, 20K engagements


"Maybe a petty complaint but I feel like share has become a massively overloaded function in mobile apps. Want to post on Twitter Share. Open in a different browser Share. Export a file to a different program Share. Send to a printer Share. These are all *different things*"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1667504876773941249)  2023-06-10T12:11Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@JakeWojtowicz What I wouldnt give for a Chipotle in Cambridge tho ๐Ÿ˜”"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1668377164675178498)  2023-06-12T21:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@JohnZerilli Im just baffled by why the social justice wing of AI ethics hates the AI safety community so much. People talk about competition for air time and resources but eg animal rights activists dont hate anti-poverty campaigners. Its a deeply unpleasant and ugly factionalism"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1676942190252097541)  2023-07-06T13:12Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements


"@JohnZerilli Yeah there's a weird attempt by Bender &c to define AI safety as the radix malorum of AI work when so many great scholars do great work under that label. Moreover I think it's bad form to belittle/smear other academic disciplines even if you don't hugely respect them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1677035451918475267)  2023-07-06T19:23Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements


"Hallucinations in LLMs are a problem for professional use but is it right to claim as in below WashPo piece that they weaken LLMs claims to humanlike intelligence Almost seems like the opposite to me - we often confabulate or fill in facts (see eg DRM paradigm below)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1677409633890172932)  2023-07-07T20:09Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@StefanFSchubert A big factor for me in assessing contrarianism is whether its built on top of a strong edifice of conventional knowledge of a field. Theres a big difference between eg Jacob Stegengas medical nihilism and someone who rejects modern medicine on the basis of vibes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1677719734446432256)  2023-07-08T16:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Whenever I hear my kids fighting over how to share out candy or cake or pizza between them I just shout out "if the fight doesn't end right now I'll come over there and eat it all myself." Rarely fails. I'm like the King Solomon of snacks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1677755028394631170)  2023-07-09T11:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Visiting @altontowers with the boy. First time hes tall enough for the white knuckle rides and hes cool as a cucumber"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1681270987264860160)  2023-07-18T11:53Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@ESYudkowsky @davidad @RichardSSutton Another factor that gets lost here is that much of human morality is about finding stable game-theoretic equilibria among agents with similar capabilities. Even if things like consistency/universalisability are key constraints on human morality no reason theyll apply to AGI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1687201712493449217)  2023-08-04T07:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@SpencrGreenberg Good as a word in English is polysemous and even as moral concept its vague and polymorphous; but insofar as theres a unified core it pertains to actions intentions virtues and outcomes tending to produce behavioural equilibria conducive of human thriving and autonomy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1689026359383744512)  2023-08-08T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Can you recognise the Bluetooth symbol If so can you draw it from memory (post image attempt in comments)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1689235160892362752)  2023-08-09T11:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@arachno_commie @PaulSkallas Yeah its amazing how well it holds up. I might do an occasional novelty Sonic [--] or Super Mario World run every few years but Ive [---] starsd Mario [--] at least half a dozen times now"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1690813833441386497)  2023-08-13T19:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@NathanpmYoung Ive had the same thought In fact the whole chain of analogue audio recording. Bizarre how you can take vibrations in the air turn them into electricity or grooves on a piece of plastic and then just turn them ack into sound at the other end with no coding whatsoever"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1691424410987642881)  2023-08-15T12:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@tautologer @eigenrobot Sure but that doesnt make it a Stag Hunt. Crucially of the two stable Nash Equilibria in SHs (hare hare) is suboptimal for all players compared to the other (stag stag) in purely selfish terms (harehare) is not ideal. Whereas (red red) is just as good as (blue blue)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1691496147037069314)  2023-08-15T17:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Simeon_Cps Honestly I think a lot of basic deception is well within GPT-4s capabilities already; its more a matter of motivation and knowing *when* to lie. See the famous example involving CAPTCHA solving (though note partial debunking by @MelMitchell1 too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1694634886894592108)  2023-08-24T08:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Trying to find more versions of an image. Do Google reverse image search but it only finds one version. Try Tineye get a bigger version but its from a [----] Livejournal with song lyrics overlaid. Yandex reverse image search [---] results high def. Worth learning Cyrillic for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1694827441372496379)  2023-08-24T21:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@bchadhill @RottenInDenmark I laughed off flossing for years. Once you get into the habit its a massive change in dental health. Now the hygienist high-fives me after our appointments. I even stopped getting canker sores"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1695498508411769279)  2023-08-26T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@normal_brandon1 @NathanpmYoung @NathanpmYoung is rebutting a rhetorical strategy *against* AI risk here not making a positive argument (though there are many). Just because something has science fiction vibes doesnt mean it cant become real sometimes sooner rather than later so calling it sci fi is weak"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1695523155660488760)  2023-08-26T19:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@tszzl Honestly we should do this for coolness value alone"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1695859452404965566)  2023-08-27T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@danwilliamsphil @Sander_vdLinden How does one control for social grading of language in these contexts Im guessing that low emotive tone is a feature of more high-brow/impersonal/institutional sources whereas high emotive tone is associated with low brow/individual commentary"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1698077776622825483)  2023-09-02T20:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I still think most people outside coders are vastly underusing ChatGPT. I know this because I stumble across new use cases every day. Simple example: today I got ChatGPT to give me a crash course in chemistry with initial needs analysis explainers pop quizzes and final exam"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1698317053323579622)  2023-09-03T12:48Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@RachelVT42 Agree its taking time to go mainstream But not ten years. Lots of major companies are quietly integrating it into their systems. Moodys for example have a brand new bespoke OpenAI LLM courtesy of Microsoft called Research Assistant. Its not secret but not widely advertised"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1698403953531138187)  2023-09-03T18:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Learning chemistry again as an adult and knowing some basic concepts from dynamical systems theory makes everything so much more intuitive. Is there any way it could be taught directly in high school Eg equilibria show up everywhere from ecology to economics to physics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1698685722859917631)  2023-09-04T13:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@WorldAndScience Drug glands from Iain M Banks' Culture books. Turn off pain boost alertness feel instant calm turn hunger or thirst or sexual drives on or off at will"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1698843279024939124)  2023-09-04T23:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@togelius Great interview Two quick qs - (1) you mention games being designed around AI but any thoughts on e.g. the various Skyrim mods using LLMs e.g. (2) What's the state of play for using using diffusion models in 3d rendering Are voxels or meshes easier"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1699408532628545775)  2023-09-06T13:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I love our biosphere and think we should be far more concerned about biodiversity loss but even my ecology doesnt run deep enough to save anopheles mosquitos"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1699482546751279410)  2023-09-06T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Hubie___ @BillSEsquire_11 @TedLogan1010 @No_Curve @Death6102 I Am Not A Physicist but my understanding would be that the closest m you get to free energy would be zero-point energy associated with quantum fluctuations. Eg you could generate electricity from the Casimir Effect for example though its not remotely feasible in practice"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1700912234145165407)  2023-09-10T16:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Looks like a great study on GenAI and work will look forward to getting my teeth into it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1703064574314807411)  2023-09-16T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RuxandraTeslo Completely agree. It very much depends on shared priorities (eg a fancy ring is halfway to a mortgage deposit). @wandaalbano and I didnt get engagement rings at all b/c we woke up one morning and decided to get wed at City Hall where we picked up some matching silver rings"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704136694163718609)  2023-09-19T14:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@JewelKnightJess N64 all the way although I only had N64 GameCube DS and a few gameboys. Never owned a SNES or NES (megadrive kid)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704144169369850134)  2023-09-19T14:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Hot take: physical academic books are nice as decoration but are vastly less practical than eBooks. Search functions and nested bookmark functions alone make ebooks superior for research"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704162976477954179)  2023-09-19T15:58Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@RachelVT42 I think getting into specifics is useful. Eg In your opinion whats the most fundamental thing that ChatGPT cant do What careers would you most/least advise an [--] year old to qualify in wrt AI replacement risks What recent development in AI has most surprised you"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704209474901151988)  2023-09-19T19:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The more I interact with GPT-4 the more convinced I am that it can be appropriately described as having beliefs thoughts reasons etc. Put another way its pushed me further towards shallow rather than deep accounts of mental states. Less sure about consciousness though"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704472190744244269)  2023-09-20T12:26Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements


"@petemandik Lets discuss ๐Ÿ˜„"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704478864351617486)  2023-09-20T12:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@RobertWringhim That depends on your approach to psychosemantics. It seems to me that we can - and regularly do - acquire externally concepts purely from linguistic inputs; we don't see directly perceive interest rates or adaptive pressures or unstable equilibria"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704495704750649447)  2023-09-20T14:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@pikeypilled If you want to stay healthy just make sure you get a diverse selection of seed oils in your diet. Personally I have 500mls of mixed anola soybean corn cottonseed grapeseed safflower and sunflower each day (more on vaccine booster days to help the mRNA spread)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1704878889074405522)  2023-09-21T15:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Almost [--] billion for the restoration of the Palace of Westminster is INSANE. Thats half of NASAs annual budget Thats the cost of our two new aircraft carriers Thats [--] Shards [--] Burj Khalifas Its absolutely mad"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1705183848231825596)  2023-09-22T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Sell the Palace of Westminster sell Whitehall relocate the entire UK government to Stoke-on-Trent. Deadly serious. Its more central London doesnt need it Stoke does and youd save a fortune"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1705197767755256028)  2023-09-22T12:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ptr_mcl In my curriculum it got FAR less time than 'core' maths skills like simultaneous and quadratic equations and was very severed from real life. More practical case studies focused on e.g. identifying bargains figuring out fake news etc. would be more useful to many"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1705260681426018719)  2023-09-22T16:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@lastpositivist In some ways I think its the delta rather than the absolute magnitude of material conditions that matters. Every time I visit my family in the Philippines Im struck by the general mood of optimism and Im sure its got something to do with 10+ years of 5+% GDP growth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1705573590911860885)  2023-09-23T13:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"Given the rumours about OpenAI having achieved AGI whats the quantum supremacy benchmark equivalent for the field here What kind of task would clearly demonstrate transformative AI capabilities rather than just GPT4+ cleverness"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1706248041722778067)  2023-09-25T10:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"$4 billion is a good chunk of money. Thats almost a quarter of a Palace of Westminster renovation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1706311283115446348)  2023-09-25T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ESYudkowsky Its conceivable that well have a decent (3-5 year) gap between AGI and ASI especially if current learning methods asymptote at the top end of human performance for most valuable cognitive tasks. A von-Neumann-in-your-smartphone world would be weird but not instantly fatal"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1706595246853718471)  2023-09-26T09:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@SciFi_Wargamers Controversial take: I preferred it when Orks used things like lascannons and heavy bolters rather than big shootas sluggas snazzguns etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1706605051152671024)  2023-09-26T09:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Explaining the OODA loop to my [--] year old son to help him in Mario 64"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708143534870503704)  2023-09-30T15:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I've just spent [--] minutes on a walk chatting naturally with ChatGPT and I'm confident that the addition of voice is an absolute gamechanger and fundamentally changes the affordances of the technology. Main issue currently is latency. If they can reduce gaps it'll be next level"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708213390198415792)  2023-09-30T20:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Yes this is anthropomorphism no it doesnt make the horrors of animal agriculture any less acute"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708272339102663061)  2023-10-01T00:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Algon_33 @ESYudkowsky As I understand it Pluto used an unshielded reactor primarily for reasons of weight and thermal efficiency. More shielding = more kgs and less heat transferred. Maybe () this could be overcome if you had civil aviation in mind but there would be significant design tradeoffs"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708453912632512801)  2023-10-01T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@essemharris Havent double checked everything but Ive not picked up any howlers so far. Plus it passes the Gell-Man amnesia test whenever Ive quizzed it about my academic specialities its sounded pretty sensible"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708568647331971149)  2023-10-01T19:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Hot take: the next [--] years of AI will be more revolutionary for philosophy of mind than anything philosophers of mind have written in the previous [--] years. (Source: I am a philosopher of mind the call is coming from inside the building)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708575735361732712)  2023-10-01T20:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Silly take: ChatGPT voice needs an ASMR option. Sometimes I want someone to describe 19th century sewing techniques to me in whispers for an hour with rain in the background"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708604355832631388)  2023-10-01T22:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"One of my biggest fears about AI is that it'll lead to a dopamine-addled "WALL:E" world of atomisation instant gratification and empty fleeting pleasure. But it doesn't have to be this way - AI tools could also help us find meaning and identity and become our best selves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708829104386998406)  2023-10-02T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@sdbaral @kevinnbass This seems like an empirical question no And one very much subject to context. Shame has been a central moral concept in a huge range of societies and I can think of many anecdotal cases where its been an effective regulator of my own or others behaviour"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708970693348429844)  2023-10-02T22:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@rogtron @tszzl I played a huge amount of CoD4/MW2 during my undergrad days and I resolutely sucked from beginning to end. I blame it on my poor sporting temperament as soon as things start going well I begin overthinking and freaking out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1708977121979191719)  2023-10-02T22:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I was chatting about Searles Chinese Room argument with ChatGPT and I was not prepared for this kind of response ๐Ÿคฏ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1709215251093160138)  2023-10-03T14:34Z 12.7K followers, 403.3K engagements


"@WillManidis I would love to see this applied to Warhammer (especially short-lived model ranges which can be predicted). Old minis still in sealed box go for an insane amount"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709226748557021285)  2023-10-03T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Sughammer Having lived in New York (city)for [--] years my impression is that most residents are only dimly aware that the wider state exists (except when doing their tax returns)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709240818140164109)  2023-10-03T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@IsusTrikanda That's not how ChatGPT or any LLM works and if you play around with it that becomes immediately very clear"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709293310634856608)  2023-10-03T19:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This is a real philosophical howler from the recent @guardian review of Dan Dennetts new book. ChatGPT correctly calls the mistake. Maybe time to talk about the Hallucination Problem for journalists ๐Ÿค”"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709546284070121907)  2023-10-04T12:29Z [----] followers, 39.4K engagements


"tfw you get to airport security and it looks like this ๐Ÿ˜Š"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709924696353841477)  2023-10-05T13:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"On my way to Princeton to talk about AI consciousness. One idea Ill be presenting is the immodestly titled Shevlins Triad - a set of three individually plausible but collectively inconsistent claims about the relationship between consciousness behaviour moral status. (1/n)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1709949952527356355)  2023-10-05T15:13Z [----] followers, 35.5K engagements


"@RachelVT42 Ive flown out of T2 four times this year (admittedly not at rush hour/peak season) and every time its been glorious. Theyve installed some the next-gen scanners too so if you get sent to the right lane in security you dont have to take liquids out of your bags"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1710110889104290007)  2023-10-06T01:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Imagine that scientists figure out consciousness. SHOCK 5% of humans are non-conscious due to a genetic mutation Theyre otherwise behaviourally normal and think theyre conscious. You discover your partner/spouse has this mutation. Does this change the way you feel about them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1710487099659452563)  2023-10-07T02:47Z [----] followers, 15.1K engagements


"Similar vibes for AI and animals. While AI raises a bunch of fascinating questions about cognition from a comparative psychology standpoint the world is already full of cute little Shoggoths with minds radically unlike our own"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1711027100323398093)  2023-10-08T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@SpacedOutMatt I dont how other people make major life purchases but my system usually involves an excel chart and six months of price comparisons and waiting for an optimal sale. and then I get drunk one night and buy the one I wanted all along because I liked the colour"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1712892468553728008)  2023-10-13T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Voice for LLMs is a game changer. A week ago the created a ChatGPT-plus account for my dad (mid-70s not tech savvy) and taught him how to interact with it. Hes been using it daily. He even messaged me in a panic today because hed lost the password and needed it urgently"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1713512674481303591)  2023-10-15T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Rainmaker1973 Quaternions are fantastic in four dimensional soups and stocks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1713993391132770797)  2023-10-16T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Im intuitively sympathetic to Swinburnes argument here for a sharp break between conscious and non-conscious but Im grudgingly coming to accept degrees of consciousness in the same way I accept imaginary numbers: it may not make intuitive sense but makes for better theory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1713994752763314500)  2023-10-16T19:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Rare (though respectful) disagree w/ @StefanFSchubert rhetoric has an important role in making ethical and political goals more vivid immediate and actionable and while it still has to pass rational and empirical muster Marc Andreesens manifesto is a valuable contribution"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1714015124518789481)  2023-10-16T20:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AndySimo8 Yeah sounds like a reasonable possible explanation But its still odd how the sequence of birds getting trapped somehow doesnt trigger any apparent alarm or re-evaluation of the situation. Makes them seem like quite alien minds"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1719088115338428443)  2023-10-30T20:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Hot take: AI "anti-hype" is just as dangerous as hype (if not more so). Tech companies may overstate the abilities and shorten timelines for next-gen models but playing down their capabilities risks making lawmakers complacent and failing to prepare society for disruptions/harms"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1719353978297680036)  2023-10-31T14:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"If employers dont raise wages in line with inflation employees can go on strike. But whats the equivalent when the government doesnt raise UBI"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1721936536101351509)  2023-11-07T17:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"(I realise labour laws often make strike action hard or impossible. But we also have many successful cases of strike action.)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1721936783271719348)  2023-11-07T17:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@keith_wilson Its very much the same I agree but I see those social goods as substantially more vulnerable to political cuts than wages (at least in industries where strike action is viable). This could be relevant if were comparing eg UBI vs labour subsidies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1721938829555184100)  2023-11-07T17:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@eigenrobot @sama This (plus LoRAs and Controlnet) is why Stable Diffusion is still a lot more useful than DALLE. I never run up against content restrictions on ChatGPT but DALLE is so damn fussy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1721983362812748067)  2023-11-07T20:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RachelVT42 I love Voicemod a one time purchase but well worth it It actually functions as a software Mic so you can even use it on Zoom calls. My favourite is using it to very slowly incrementally make your voice higher or lower"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1722640751308198231)  2023-11-09T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@NoahTopper @Ayegill @TetraspaceWest Holy shit Ive been DMing weekly 5E games for almost three years and I dont think I fully clocked that. I dont think Ive made any wrong rulings but I thought of it as sometimes theres nothing to do with your bonus action rather than sometimes you dont get one"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1723365984789000219)  2023-11-11T15:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"๐Ÿšฉ RED FLAGS FOR IMPERIAL CITIZENS ๐Ÿšฉ +5 doesnt know the Emperors birthday +20 questions judgment of High Lords of Terra +20 has head ridges +20 has a literal throne of skulls +40 is excessively cheery +50 mentions the four-armed emperor +60 refuses to fight in melee"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1724087382708719791)  2023-11-13T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Ilya Sutskever's name is on this letter. What on earth is happening"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1726611129617817713)  2023-11-20T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This is from last year but it showed up in my memories and wanted to share b/c (1) Im very proud of my daughter and (2) the annotated Sherlock Holmes is a superb book with so much glorious Victoriana that its a perfect gift for any Conan-Doyle fan"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1727111325464314018)  2023-11-21T23:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@JewelKnightJess This little guy can be yours for just [---] credits"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1727758363532918945)  2023-11-23T18:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@kitten_beloved A large part of my freshman undergrad philosophy teaching is getting students to stop writing like this persuading students to stop using $10 words and keep their sentences simple. Also to ditch jargon and use common sense examples. And to structure their writing obsessively"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728125944123256848)  2023-11-24T18:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@ptr_mcl Agree in practiced but of course its a practical question of where to find the marginal carbon-footprint-reduction-per-. Its entirely possible to overinvest in insulating homes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728126874075926808)  2023-11-24T19:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@_abstractivist_ Its an interesting heuristic but how does it handle stuff like dinosaurs or catastrophic extinction events or quantum physics Reality turns out to be pretty bizarre and outlandish at times"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728140339465306296)  2023-11-24T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@PatrickJBlum My story Ten years in the Central Valley working for one Alphabet successor state after another in their turf wars. Now and then Id get flown out transatlantic in a vertibird for strategic resource acquisition initiatives by the DeepMind Enclaves"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728498263521743018)  2023-11-25T19:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@crazyclipsonly Poor dude almost certainly on Ambien or Xanax and lost sense of where he was"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1728784927200608278)  2023-11-26T14:37Z 12.7K followers, 217.7K engagements


"Reflection: back in summer [----] I started an online DnD group with a motley crew of friends I wanted to see more of. It was a wild success. Not only did I end up seeing a lot more of them (campaign still running) but Ive learned so many interesting/useful skills along the way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728906286031679830)  2023-11-26T22:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Examples of stuff Ive learned: photoshop video editing voice modification software stable diffusion"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728906691520213360)  2023-11-26T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RuxandraTeslo How about Ripley She doesnt display any obvious arc or heros journey yet is awesome and iconic"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1728936452380397883)  2023-11-27T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@max77sabers @emollick Theres also the problem that Gemini needs to be dramatically better than ChatGPT to be a success (as measured by things like share price). Merely producing some as good as ChatGPT wouldnt go down well"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1730332030716567820)  2023-11-30T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@max77sabers @emollick Id add though that that may still be Googles best option: offer ChatGPT+ performance and features for free and slowly pull back market share from OpenAI on price alone. But its still a bit underwhelming from the company that invented Transformers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1730332363916288300)  2023-11-30T21:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"This is a very good question and an enduring mystery to me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1731741522188492879)  2023-12-04T18:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@RuxandraTeslo Unironically these cool grey rainy mornings make me feel pretty serene and cosy. Perfect for looking out at over a nice cup of tea"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1731950102376263811)  2023-12-05T08:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@NathanpmYoung (1) Snacks: vegan ice cream popcorn tortilla chips w/ salsa and guac. Meals: vegan tacos burritos with a decent meat substitute. Or I just order a bowl of pho. (2) quick noodles (using instant noodles that I spice up a bit) vegan filled pasta vegan burgers on the grill"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1732359252813983749)  2023-12-06T11:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Favourite alternative Christmas anthem"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1732425538604761537)  2023-12-06T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@GaryMarcus What would make an appropriate opening for Season [--] Lee Sedol game [--] (Obvs not OpenAI but I assume the show cuts between different big players)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733217222137458975)  2023-12-08T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@frances__lorenz Taylor Swift winning Time Person of the Year was the real Pivotal Act all along"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733248534701387797)  2023-12-08T22:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RuxandraTeslo @lastpositivist Okay but unironically as a non-Rumanian why isnt annexation of Moldova and Transnistria a mainstream political position As far as I can tell it would be widely popular with resident of both states"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733254799498342759)  2023-12-08T22:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@frances__lorenz I explicitly told my ChatGPT via custom instructions to use emojis and right now hes inner circle BFF territory"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733255165900128572)  2023-12-08T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"We need to stand up to woke capital to ensure that workers have full ownership of the surplus wokeness they create"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733463723753255177)  2023-12-09T12:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"The one upside to my thoroughly boring #23andme score is that I am happy saying Im the weird autochthonous mutant who loves British weather. Give me grey clouds and drizzle or give me death"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733620501187027068)  2023-12-09T22:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@gunsnrosesgirl3 Im guessing this owl doesnt like Pina Coladas"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733800085664698541)  2023-12-10T10:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@NathanpmYoung AI can definitely help here. However I suspect there will be deep challenges of comprehending concepts derived from radically different umwelts. We might find some whale concepts deeply alien and impossible to grok even if we have formal comprehension of them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1733884762681459199)  2023-12-10T16:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@AISafetyMemes Start with something more light-hearted like the Loch Ness Monster rather than ask them about their p(doom) ask them about their p(Ness)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1734340451032064108)  2023-12-11T22:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@smithbarryc Presumably itd be enforced in the same way we enforce things like minimum age for alcohol ie prosecuting vendors who sell to minors. Responsibility for age verification would then fall to Facebook TikTok Snapchat etc"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1735648503357981114)  2023-12-15T13:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@cunha_tristan @RichardMCNgo There are good debates here about consciousness & robot rights (eg high level functional understanding is normally packaged with consciousness and ChatGPT confounds that). But the glorified autocomplete gang are mainly interested in capabilities and there theyre just wrong"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1735656884365889927)  2023-12-15T13:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Quick lesson in the dangers of data contamination. Years ago I came up with an acronym for remembering the periods of the Paleozoic era Catastrophic Overthrow Started Different Colder Period. I was curious if ChatGPT could guess what it stood for. 1/4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1735725686826979823)  2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 1.6M engagements


"Amazing result And astonishing given ChatGPTs well-known problems with tokenisation. Since it wasnt something Id ever discussed much with anyone I assumed it was original reasoning by ChatGPT. But a quick google search showed that I tweeted about it years ago (2/4)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1735725693621674440)  2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 124.4K engagements


"So was this a contamination issue Only one way to check: come up with a new acronym and test it. I decided to try the houses of English monarchs: Norman Plantagenet Tudor Stuart Hanover Windsor. (3/4)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1735725700915556641)  2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 159.3K engagements


"Abysmal failure. It also failed all the similar challenges I threw at it. Clearly my original tweet was in the training data Nice to find a smoking gun like this in the wild. And if anythings been on the internet ever you should assume its in GPT-4s training data (4/4)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1735725704015118422)  2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 136.8K engagements


"@StefanFSchubert My sense is that bureaucratic incompetence usually picks out institutional-level failures and inadequate equilibria which is compatible with sometimes even exacerbated by highly competent individuals within the system"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1736816631882592669)  2023-12-18T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Noahpinion Only up to a point Chinas reforms while liberalising in nature were a long way from the Washington Consensus of the 90s and more in-line with the East Asian Model earlier adopted by Japan SK Singapore emphasising national industrial policy and state-industry cooperation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737108174732501338)  2023-12-19T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@keithfrankish I would argue that anyone who answers anything other than yes has an idiosyncratic understanding of conceptually possible to put it mildly"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737142293097013759)  2023-12-19T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@nath_ormond @keithfrankish Idiosyncratic as compared to the general understanding of the term as used in metaphysics philosophy of language and related disciplines"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737148017084653839)  2023-12-19T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Thats a big oof for France"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737384009280442554)  2023-12-20T08:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Lincoln81 But who are we going to train the models off if not excellent instructors like yourself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737403245335842945)  2023-12-20T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@CRathkopf @GaryMarcus @ClaraColombatto @birchlse My view is that methodological and theoretical issues loom large here. If you view consciousness as a natural or scientific kind then ascriptions by the public may not matter very much. But if it's just another folk psychological term then who are philosophers to overrule"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737405083007307778)  2023-12-20T09:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@xphilosopher Analytic philosophy is like the Disco Elysium writers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1737499135325131085)  2023-12-20T15:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@ptr_mcl @keithfrankish The God case I agree is one where this kind of approach won't work. But among philosophers who have broad agreement concerning the scope and nature of a priori truths this method can help resolve disagreements or failing that pinpoint them"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737525449532875012)  2023-12-20T17:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@lastpositivist I had to spend half an hour arguing with ChatGPT the other day to get it to draw Pikachu. Stuff like this makes viscerally clear to me that were not dealing with a quirky bit of software we coded but a bizarre proto-intelligence weve grown in a virtual petri dish"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1737853607725473860)  2023-12-21T15:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Ronaldo4333 @memeticsisyphus Do something new ideally outdoors"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1738741138083954768)  2023-12-24T01:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ptr_mcl I suspect non-payment of business rates is the key factor there. If youre running a scheme you care less about business longevity; stay open for a year dont spend much on inventories put off paying rates for as long as possible and ultimately declare insolvency"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1739839069235118157)  2023-12-27T02:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@joperec @Noahpinion They will fight with or without American support and given the defensive nature of the war probably hold their own. But if US nopes out they will lose a lot of influence along the way and wavering countries (like Vietnam and the Philippines) may make their peace with China"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1739967602380943379)  2023-12-27T11:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"My taste in visual art is appallingly petit-bourgeois Shire English: I basically like paintings of beautiful landscapes and pretty people. I love the Venetian School French Baroque and the pre-Raphaelite Brotherhood but Constable is king and Wivenhoe Park is my favourite work If you see this you have to mention your favourite painting Judith with the head of Holophernes - Gustav Klimt https://t.co/qYYxqzam2F If you see this you have to mention your favourite painting Judith with the head of Holophernes - Gustav Klimt https://t.co/qYYxqzam2F"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1740205187866984808)  2023-12-28T02:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Simple thing ChatGPT sucks at: real time knowledge aggregation. If you ask whats the current consensus on Reddit for when the next Starship launch will be ChatGPT will literally Bing-search those terms. Seems like a non-trivial but also feasible goal to get it to do better"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1740325141727588803)  2023-12-28T10:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@lastpositivist Gonna side with Yuzi on this one. Imagine what Disney would do to grave of the fireflies"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1741066889277968731)  2023-12-30T12:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"You wouldnt download a language model The New York Times's lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft seeks "destruction. of all GPT or other LLM models and training sets that incorporate Times Works" https://t.co/B37XdpbNac The New York Times's lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft seeks "destruction. of all GPT or other LLM models and training sets that incorporate Times Works" https://t.co/B37XdpbNac"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1741074815770087767)  2023-12-30T12:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"If I ever got sent back in time pre-1990 Id become a millionaire by patenting non-shitty suitcases"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1741382667432779932)  2023-12-31T08:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Celebrating my father-in-laws 70th birthday Philippines style"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1741450649789956104)  2023-12-31T13:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@Noahpinion Totally anecdotal but I had a stopover at Beijing Airport last month and it was completely dead on a weekday afternoon. Lots of luxury shops lots of sales clerks no customers. Several shops and restaurants were shut. Unlike any other airport Ive ever seen"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1741779499547754846)  2024-01-01T11:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@underthenettle A lot of the linear induction coasters or the new accelerator coasters from Intamin are basically this; think Kingda Ka at [--] Flags Great Adventure or Formula Rossa at Ferrari World. Granted they do go up and down a bit but speed is the main attraction"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1742475817467428986)  2024-01-03T09:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"My favourite videogame of [----] might just be @CobaltCoreGame. Beautifully balanced FTLinspired deckbuilder with a very cute and funny cast of animal characters. Also immediately engrossing and extremely addictive"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1742480697603018754)  2024-01-03T09:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements


"@StefanFSchubert This seems like a potentially unfair comparison at least without qualification. Science headlines for example are frequently misleading and moderated social media (like Reddits science subreddits) can provide vital qualifiers"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1743389476620038433)  2024-01-05T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RafaRuizdeLira PS:T is possibly my favourite game of all time ๐Ÿ˜Š did you play Disco Elysium Incredible game with very similar vibes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1744718301568319496)  2024-01-09T13:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"Crazy idea: British government should create an official UK prediction market give all UK citizens [---] in tokens to use on it annually (which can be cashed out after [--] months if not used). Could help make prediction markets more mainstream and strengthen the epistemic commons"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1745398690699690057)  2024-01-11T10:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Great thread. Related when I was teaching Reasoning [---] Id get students to do Fermi estimates eg how long does it take to walk from Paris to Beijing Theyd protest they had no idea so Id ask less than fifty years more than a day etc until we got a distribution. My most autistic quibble which is correct is that people who refuse to give probability estimates for things because "it is too uncertain" or gives "false precision" at a *deeply* fundamental level misunderstand the purpose of probabilities. My most autistic quibble which is correct is that people who refuse to give probability"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1745485454747574665)  2024-01-11T16:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@keith_wilson Yeah great question I've got some personal anecdotes here but something else influencing my priors is that the teenage environment has changed so much due to social media smartphones more cautious parenting etc. that it would be surprising if that *didn't* have big effects"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1745526323697594505)  2024-01-11T19:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements


"@keithfrankish The results remind me of the amusing result from the first Philpapers survey that philosophers were deeply divided about the existence of the external world but almost unanimous that George W Bush was a terrible president"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1747662667811086554)  2024-01-17T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@StefanFSchubert The economic impact is coming imho but many companies are still figuring out the best way to insert ChatGPT into their value chains with minimal reputational/legal risk. That takes time. But almost all big white collar firms have AI strategies these days (many didnt in Nov 22)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1747694486958829841)  2024-01-17T18:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@githii @crazyclipsonly Youre doing Gods work here @githii Absolutely drives me nuts when I see an interesting video and want more info but all the other comments are unrelated viral content"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1749043332511043705)  2024-01-21T12:16Z 12.7K followers, 181.9K engagements


"@lastpositivist Potential for a lot of us to feel personally attacked by that description ๐Ÿคฃ"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1749798724719542400)  2024-01-23T14:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


""Try 23andme" they said. "You'll be amazed at the interesting stuff that turns up in your ancestry" they said"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1750564649303462278)  2024-01-25T17:01Z 12.7K followers, 395.1K engagements


"@tylerpixel You can rest assured any feigned shame is purely for comic value ๐Ÿ˜‰ Im mostly glad that I finally have an explanation of why I love rain grey skies and oats (no longer joking)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1750668139858129121)  2024-01-25T23:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@petemandik You cant really appreciate colour until youve detached your retina and rubbed it on a red apple"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1751244958114210274)  2024-01-27T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@petemandik I worry more about being short-duration simulations (cf Russells line re: the world being created five minutes ago) especially when experiencing something important/exciting/risky I think what if I just came into existence and this is the only bit of my life being simulated"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753033261389906324)  2024-02-01T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@petemandik Thankfully Im not worried about it right now because Im sitting on the toilet browsing social media"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753033443233919429)  2024-02-01T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Parappa_Wrapper @Craigsfist2 @Noahpinion There are a lot of myths misconceptions and controversies about IQ and a bunch of map/territory confusion (IQg) but the basic predictive validity of performance across diverse cognitive tasks is the most robust result in all of psychometrics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753078696939020339)  2024-02-01T15:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Driving is a real underrated pleasure. We drove up to the Lake District late at night yesterday. My daughter slept and me my wife and my son had great conversations and took turns picking music. Some of the best time weve spent together in ages"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753776866614267975)  2024-02-03T13:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@BishopPair Im put off by how close CBT sounds to uh. The other thing CBT can stand for"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753794848111444328)  2024-02-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Have any of yall used Noom for weight loss and lifestyle change Im currently on a free trial but liking it so far and I have a good track record with app-based habits (eg 1100-day Duolingo streak)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753815286635966883)  2024-02-03T16:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Tempted to switch from Google to Kagi for search. Have heard great things but anyone have strong views Im mostly a fan of paid subscription models (eg patreon substack chatgpt+) insofar as they create better alignment between user/ provider interests than ad-based services"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753903977689690345)  2024-02-03T22:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@freganmitts @TLiterarian Oh interesting Being from the north midlands I found London a bit hot and dry for my tastes ๐Ÿคฃ agree with you on expensiveness though and I prefer cities with a really dense walkable core whereas London is more spread out"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753913956530315300)  2024-02-03T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@SciFi_Wargamers Malcador Spyrer but I bet someone says Eversor Assassin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1753916566066921707)  2024-02-03T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Since this is generating discussion heres my [--] all communities are partly imagined and are evaluated not on their ontology but benefits like promoting cooperation and mutual care among their members. Nationalisms undeniable harms must be balanced against goods like these. I dont understand nationalism at all. You are born where you are born by complete chance. There is nothing special about where you live or about you. Pray you are never displaced from your home and forced to live elsewhere or experience the vitriol piled on those that have to. I dont understand nationalism at all. You are"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1754161472488231209)  2024-02-04T15:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@jadengis @JosephZander @Noahpinion @KeepinItNerdy If coordinated carefully I imagine thered be appetite among most OECD countries to impose WTO-approved carbon tariffs on countries that dont impose carbon taxes on their own polluters"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1754253939023708446)  2024-02-04T21:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"And fascinatingly (terrifyingly) if @tegmark or @Disagreeable_I are right about the ontology of consciousness then its not so much VR as tourism"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1754621390508978655)  2024-02-05T21:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@DrJimFan Midjourney have played their hand incredibly well. I remember looking into their team size in the summer of [----] and as far I could figure out they had about [--] full-time employees"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1754712166471528887)  2024-02-06T03:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I've been calling ChatGPT "ChatG" for ages now and it just spontaneously dropped this bomb on me"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/1754719847865323536)  2024-02-06T04:13Z 12.7K followers, 494K engagements


"@IsaacKing314 Talos principle is incredible. Probably the best exploration of consciousness and AI Ive ever seen in a video game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1754999320523194676)  2024-02-06T22:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@ManifoldLoveApp Its got some awesome drama I wound up in St Petersburg Russia in late August where I was pickpocketed assaulted and (briefly) arrested over the course of a single week. But somehow despite that it was a great holiday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1755025524349358082)  2024-02-07T00:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Noahpinion Seems kind of crazy to me that we concentrate so much knowledge-acquisition in our late teens/early 20s. More universities should be following our model at CFI Cambridge where we offer part-time masters to mid-career professionals with lots of fun social events to go with it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1755026708858536413)  2024-02-07T00:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Not only is one of my favourite episodes of TNG it also has an important moral lesson: be nice to people and don't piss them off unnecessarily because you never know who might actually be an immortal energy being with godlike powers who'll kill off your species out of fury"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1756490591150498132)  2024-02-11T01:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"GPT-4 beats Gemini Ultra and Claude [---] here but its also interesting that this is a very human error. Cf the Moses Illusion (Erickson & Matson 1981) when asked according to the Bible how many of each animal did Moses take onto the ark most people confidently say two"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1756729801581207817)  2024-02-11T17:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@drkeithwilson What's probably happening is the models have lots of documented instances of the classic "what weighs more." trick question in their training data all followed by answers like "it's a trick". Their collective predictive weight drowns out the element of difference here"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1757182582754554037)  2024-02-12T23:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@drkeithwilson I see this as pretty human insofar as its matches the pattern of error in the Moses Illusion - the question is very similar to one that we have an easy answer to and we unconsciously assimilate it to *that* rather than paying attention to subtle difference"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1757183048209125537)  2024-02-12T23:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@davidmanheim @GaryMarcus Is it cheating if I use controlnet because if not thats pretty easy"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1757528653796200846)  2024-02-13T22:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@davidmanheim @GaryMarcus Here we go (with a depth map from reference image via Stable Diffusion+control net). Even used a LoRA trained on myself"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1757534711939834102)  2024-02-13T22:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"A lot of professional software is overdesigned or counterintuitive (example: everything Microsoft has ever made). But Slack is pretty great. It's so quick and simple I even use it for non-primary purpose task (e.g. quickly getting email addresses)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1757745524839506049)  2024-02-14T12:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Dmmagec I would compare it to the Sokal hoax but thatd be unfair to Social Text. In that case they were dealing with an author who was being deliberately sneaky. These authors even declare they used Midjourney"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1758166091161829452)  2024-02-15T16:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Amazing how fast generative video has come along seems like just a couple of years ago we were all laughing at the weird video of Will Smith eating spaghetti. (*checks* crap that was May 2023) This video was made with the not-yet-released Sora AI technology just announced from OpenAi. This changes everything. It's [--] seconds from a text prompt. Here is their prompt: Prompt: A white and orange tabby cat is seen happily darting through a dense garden as if chasing https://t.co/8XxxFqiywC This video was made with the not-yet-released Sora AI technology just announced from OpenAi. This changes"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1758226629090750946)  2024-02-15T20:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@danwilliamsphil Agreed. I do think theres often great value in reading great works in philosophy but its not true for every case or every subfield. And frankly the way that philosophy intro classes have been changing over the last 20-30 years suggests others share this take"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1758454663051923924)  2024-02-16T11:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@prerationalist OpenAI should get the real Will Smith to do an advertising campaign for them where he eats spaghetti really messily"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1758521132997628380)  2024-02-16T15:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@NathanpmYoung Cf the famous bat and ball problem or more exactly the Moses illusion in humans. Both involve leaping too fast to an answer but Moses Illusion (as here) relies specifically on mistakenly identifying the question with one thats more familiar"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1761725176855609842)  2024-02-25T12:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"One reason LLMs are so threatening to search engines is that true exploratory search is rare nowadays. Instead we use search engines mostly for navigation within other sites - Amazon Wikipedia Reddit Twitter. But this can be replaced with API calls made by an LLM assistant"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1761764805713473939)  2024-02-25T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@teortaxesTex FWIW a large-scale war with Iran would be an utter disaster sucking up blood and treasure at a time when the US faces growing threats from Russia and China. Better to apply pressure on Iran via other means than direct confrontation"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1761801964390650350)  2024-02-25T17:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@teortaxesTex Iran has lots of internal groups unhappy with the IRGC; theres an active insurgency in Baluchistan and a history of unrest in Khuzestan and among Iranian Kurds and Azeris. Great potential for the US to credibly threaten to arm dissidents to the teeth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1761802962798563756)  2024-02-25T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Some of these only exist in real estate brokers heads. I never heard anyone say they lived in Clinton. A guide to Manhattan neigborhoods https://t.co/X51ZXzFeX4 A guide to Manhattan neigborhoods https://t.co/X51ZXzFeX4"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1762221400876564543)  2024-02-26T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@petemandik I agree -Henry Sent From My Computer Phone Those who would give up a little liberty for a lot of safety deserve neither ABRAHAM LINCOLN Minnesota Mazda Association President 2006-2011"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1763318536070423015)  2024-02-29T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Imagine a wealthy billionaire buys a famous and priceless painting (like Van Gogh's Sunflowers) at auction. The billionaire then becomes sincerely convinced that the painting is cursed and has to be destroyed. Should they be *legally prevented* from destroying it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1763928744203346136)  2024-03-02T14:05Z [----] followers, 23K engagements


"At the risk of being unbearably smug Ill give my take on the whole philosophy vs comp sci debate which is that Classics is probably the hardest humanities major. To illustrate here is the declension table for ONE SINGLE GREEK VERB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1764095924677091502)  2024-03-03T01:10Z [----] followers, 108.6K engagements


"Human ability to adapt to extremes of hot and cold is really one of our killer apps as a species. Amazing how fast we make psychological adjustments too; my little sister moved from the Philippines to the Netherlands a couple of years ago and she now feels like 14c is warm"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1764277062041239761)  2024-03-03T13:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@RYChappell Im sure youre just going to link me to the blogpost where you address this objection (I look forward to it) but seems like this line of thinking makes St Petersburg bets worth taking for arbitrarily high costs when intuition screams out theyre not"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1764395796097601894)  2024-03-03T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"I immediately assumed this was AI-generated (it's not) This is the Hawa Mahal in Jaipur India. Even though its name means "Palace of the Winds" it isn't actually a palace. In truth the Hawa Mahal is something much more interesting. https://t.co/rnrwDqcMwe This is the Hawa Mahal in Jaipur India. Even though its name means "Palace of the Winds" it isn't actually a palace. In truth the Hawa Mahal is something much more interesting. https://t.co/rnrwDqcMwe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1765081741499216190)  2024-03-05T18:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@DrJimFan What's tricky is that there's no unbiased way to query whether there's emergent metacognition taking place. (1) Of course they'll talk like that because humans talk like that but (2) if there really *was* self-awareness in there how else could they demonstrate it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1765113849458442383)  2024-03-05T20:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"I had no idea of the miracle that had happened in the treatment of cystic fibrosis in the last five years. Fantastic feelgood read summarising progress and a reminder of the fact that modern medicine is the greatest thing humanity has ever achieved. https://archive.is/CLgmf https://archive.is/CLgmf"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1766415840906301702)  2024-03-09T10:48Z 10K followers, [----] engagements


"@tracewoodgrains @ask_ourself Worth noting though that one country whose fortunes may have differed had the West showed some spine at Yalta and Potsdam was Greece; in terms of domestic Communist sympathies and local balance of power its possible that a hotter Cold War would have seen it annexed by the USSR"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1766598128206037089)  2024-03-09T22:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@tracewoodgrains @ask_ourself Thats not to suggest ofc that Greece was a price worth paying for basically formalising Soviet dominion over Poland Czechoslovakia etc. Just noting that the West had wins from the napkin agreement too"  
[X Link](https://x.com/dioscuri/status/1766598482041700516)  2024-03-09T22:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing

@dioscuri Avatar @dioscuri Henry Shevlin

Henry Shevlin posts on X about ai, in the, 6969, if you the most. They currently have [------] followers and [----] posts still getting attention that total [-------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

Engagements: [-------] #

Engagements Line Chart

  • [--] Week [---------] +8.30%
  • [--] Month [---------] +13%
  • [--] Months [----------] -55%
  • [--] Year [-----------] +716%

Mentions: [--] #

Mentions Line Chart

  • [--] Months [---] +3.60%
  • [--] Year [---] +103%

Followers: [------] #

Followers Line Chart

  • [--] Week [------] +0.81%
  • [--] Month [------] +4.70%
  • [--] Months [------] +18%
  • [--] Year [------] +117%

CreatorRank: [------] #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence

Social category influence technology brands countries travel destinations finance social networks celebrities stocks gaming cryptocurrencies musicians

Social topic influence ai #617, in the, 6969, if you, llm #282, this is #752, open ai, history #4451, money, has been

Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"But uh yeah the take-home [----] word undergraduate essay is definitely dead. #ChatGPT"
X Link 2022-12-01T23:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"#ChatGPT prompt: Imagine youre Taylor Swift and youre composing lyrics to a catchy new song about heartbreak and relationships titles Strangest game. It has four verses and a repeating chorus. The songs lyrics are as follows:"
X Link 2022-12-02T13:34Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"1. Oh god I just had a rather dystopian vision about the future of #ChatGPT online influencers and romantic/erotic AI apps like @MyReplika and @_Lia27 . A quick thread ๐Ÿงต"
X Link 2023-01-28T13:29Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"VERY impressive auditory illusion (if you can call multistable stimuli illusions). I love how you can effectively choose what to hear by looking at the relevant lyrics (Via Reddit)"
X Link 2023-02-16T16:47Z 12.7K followers, 381.5K engagements

"The False Promise of Nuclear Weapons: I dont know why people get so scared and excited by nuclear weapons. They are not actual suns and do not provide a pathway to building suns. They rely on exotic heavy metals to initiate their fusion reactions and their mass is vastly smaller than suns. It is at once comic and tragic as Borges might have noted that so much money and attention should be concentrated on so little a thing something so trivial when contrasted with the power of vast stellar objects"
X Link 2023-03-09T20:41Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@JohnZerilli Good post on this topic https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/05/23/can-things-be-both-popular-and-silenced/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/05/23/can-things-be-both-popular-and-silenced/"
X Link 2023-03-10T09:02Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements

"@JohnZerilli Am I right that the core argument here is CO2 'locked up' in trees doesn't always stay locked up fires development etc. That's an important consideration but shifting patterns of land use to promote more natural CO2 sinks still seems like part of our repertoire of solutions"
X Link 2023-03-10T13:42Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements

"@JohnZerilli In the sense that trees take in CO2 die decompose and bacteria release CO2 back into the atmosphere That's all true but assuming new trees are growing in their place (due to dedication of land for forest cover) and taking in CO2 there's still a net effect on atmospheric CO2"
X Link 2023-03-10T13:54Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements

"@JohnZerilli @FerryDanini Such extremes of fluff Is he/she a Maine Coon"
X Link 2023-03-12T13:25Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements

"I was just on British TV this afternoon discussing the FLI petition for a pause on giant AI experiments. My [--] year old daughter decided this would be the ideal time for her TV debut too. https://www.youtube.com/live/wCvnyeH2fbwfeature=share&t=6715 https://www.youtube.com/live/wCvnyeH2fbwfeature=share&t=6715"
X Link 2023-03-30T17:31Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@JohnZerilli Is that directed to me or Selene ๐Ÿ˜"
X Link 2023-03-30T19:32Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements

"Phenomenology question: when waking up suddenly from deep dreaming I sometimes have subtle but interesting visual "noise" ie low-key hallucinations especially when I close my eyes. Been happening for years and it doesn't occur when waking normally. Anyone else"
X Link 2023-04-17T16:15Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"Heres a link to my cover article Would love to hear what others think. tl;dr both short- and long-term risks of AI are real but theres a need for more concrete positive visions of AI. As Yogi Berra said If you don't know where you are going youll end up someplace else"
X Link 2023-05-31T09:51Z [----] followers, 20K engagements

"Maybe a petty complaint but I feel like share has become a massively overloaded function in mobile apps. Want to post on Twitter Share. Open in a different browser Share. Export a file to a different program Share. Send to a printer Share. These are all different things"
X Link 2023-06-10T12:11Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements

"@JakeWojtowicz What I wouldnt give for a Chipotle in Cambridge tho ๐Ÿ˜”"
X Link 2023-06-12T21:58Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@JohnZerilli Im just baffled by why the social justice wing of AI ethics hates the AI safety community so much. People talk about competition for air time and resources but eg animal rights activists dont hate anti-poverty campaigners. Its a deeply unpleasant and ugly factionalism"
X Link 2023-07-06T13:12Z 10.9K followers, [---] engagements

"@JohnZerilli Yeah there's a weird attempt by Bender &c to define AI safety as the radix malorum of AI work when so many great scholars do great work under that label. Moreover I think it's bad form to belittle/smear other academic disciplines even if you don't hugely respect them"
X Link 2023-07-06T19:23Z 10.9K followers, [--] engagements

"Hallucinations in LLMs are a problem for professional use but is it right to claim as in below WashPo piece that they weaken LLMs claims to humanlike intelligence Almost seems like the opposite to me - we often confabulate or fill in facts (see eg DRM paradigm below)"
X Link 2023-07-07T20:09Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@StefanFSchubert A big factor for me in assessing contrarianism is whether its built on top of a strong edifice of conventional knowledge of a field. Theres a big difference between eg Jacob Stegengas medical nihilism and someone who rejects modern medicine on the basis of vibes"
X Link 2023-07-08T16:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Whenever I hear my kids fighting over how to share out candy or cake or pizza between them I just shout out "if the fight doesn't end right now I'll come over there and eat it all myself." Rarely fails. I'm like the King Solomon of snacks"
X Link 2023-07-09T11:11Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Visiting @altontowers with the boy. First time hes tall enough for the white knuckle rides and hes cool as a cucumber"
X Link 2023-07-18T11:53Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@ESYudkowsky @davidad @RichardSSutton Another factor that gets lost here is that much of human morality is about finding stable game-theoretic equilibria among agents with similar capabilities. Even if things like consistency/universalisability are key constraints on human morality no reason theyll apply to AGI"
X Link 2023-08-04T07:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@SpencrGreenberg Good as a word in English is polysemous and even as moral concept its vague and polymorphous; but insofar as theres a unified core it pertains to actions intentions virtues and outcomes tending to produce behavioural equilibria conducive of human thriving and autonomy"
X Link 2023-08-08T21:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Can you recognise the Bluetooth symbol If so can you draw it from memory (post image attempt in comments)"
X Link 2023-08-09T11:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@arachno_commie @PaulSkallas Yeah its amazing how well it holds up. I might do an occasional novelty Sonic [--] or Super Mario World run every few years but Ive [---] starsd Mario [--] at least half a dozen times now"
X Link 2023-08-13T19:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@NathanpmYoung Ive had the same thought In fact the whole chain of analogue audio recording. Bizarre how you can take vibrations in the air turn them into electricity or grooves on a piece of plastic and then just turn them ack into sound at the other end with no coding whatsoever"
X Link 2023-08-15T12:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@tautologer @eigenrobot Sure but that doesnt make it a Stag Hunt. Crucially of the two stable Nash Equilibria in SHs (hare hare) is suboptimal for all players compared to the other (stag stag) in purely selfish terms (harehare) is not ideal. Whereas (red red) is just as good as (blue blue)"
X Link 2023-08-15T17:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Simeon_Cps Honestly I think a lot of basic deception is well within GPT-4s capabilities already; its more a matter of motivation and knowing when to lie. See the famous example involving CAPTCHA solving (though note partial debunking by @MelMitchell1 too"
X Link 2023-08-24T08:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Trying to find more versions of an image. Do Google reverse image search but it only finds one version. Try Tineye get a bigger version but its from a [----] Livejournal with song lyrics overlaid. Yandex reverse image search [---] results high def. Worth learning Cyrillic for"
X Link 2023-08-24T21:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@bchadhill @RottenInDenmark I laughed off flossing for years. Once you get into the habit its a massive change in dental health. Now the hygienist high-fives me after our appointments. I even stopped getting canker sores"
X Link 2023-08-26T18:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@normal_brandon1 @NathanpmYoung @NathanpmYoung is rebutting a rhetorical strategy against AI risk here not making a positive argument (though there are many). Just because something has science fiction vibes doesnt mean it cant become real sometimes sooner rather than later so calling it sci fi is weak"
X Link 2023-08-26T19:46Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@tszzl Honestly we should do this for coolness value alone"
X Link 2023-08-27T18:02Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@danwilliamsphil @Sander_vdLinden How does one control for social grading of language in these contexts Im guessing that low emotive tone is a feature of more high-brow/impersonal/institutional sources whereas high emotive tone is associated with low brow/individual commentary"
X Link 2023-09-02T20:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I still think most people outside coders are vastly underusing ChatGPT. I know this because I stumble across new use cases every day. Simple example: today I got ChatGPT to give me a crash course in chemistry with initial needs analysis explainers pop quizzes and final exam"
X Link 2023-09-03T12:48Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@RachelVT42 Agree its taking time to go mainstream But not ten years. Lots of major companies are quietly integrating it into their systems. Moodys for example have a brand new bespoke OpenAI LLM courtesy of Microsoft called Research Assistant. Its not secret but not widely advertised"
X Link 2023-09-03T18:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Learning chemistry again as an adult and knowing some basic concepts from dynamical systems theory makes everything so much more intuitive. Is there any way it could be taught directly in high school Eg equilibria show up everywhere from ecology to economics to physics"
X Link 2023-09-04T13:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@WorldAndScience Drug glands from Iain M Banks' Culture books. Turn off pain boost alertness feel instant calm turn hunger or thirst or sexual drives on or off at will"
X Link 2023-09-04T23:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@togelius Great interview Two quick qs - (1) you mention games being designed around AI but any thoughts on e.g. the various Skyrim mods using LLMs e.g. (2) What's the state of play for using using diffusion models in 3d rendering Are voxels or meshes easier"
X Link 2023-09-06T13:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"I love our biosphere and think we should be far more concerned about biodiversity loss but even my ecology doesnt run deep enough to save anopheles mosquitos"
X Link 2023-09-06T17:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Hubie___ @BillSEsquire_11 @TedLogan1010 @No_Curve @Death6102 I Am Not A Physicist but my understanding would be that the closest m you get to free energy would be zero-point energy associated with quantum fluctuations. Eg you could generate electricity from the Casimir Effect for example though its not remotely feasible in practice"
X Link 2023-09-10T16:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Looks like a great study on GenAI and work will look forward to getting my teeth into it"
X Link 2023-09-16T15:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RuxandraTeslo Completely agree. It very much depends on shared priorities (eg a fancy ring is halfway to a mortgage deposit). @wandaalbano and I didnt get engagement rings at all b/c we woke up one morning and decided to get wed at City Hall where we picked up some matching silver rings"
X Link 2023-09-19T14:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@JewelKnightJess N64 all the way although I only had N64 GameCube DS and a few gameboys. Never owned a SNES or NES (megadrive kid)"
X Link 2023-09-19T14:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Hot take: physical academic books are nice as decoration but are vastly less practical than eBooks. Search functions and nested bookmark functions alone make ebooks superior for research"
X Link 2023-09-19T15:58Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@RachelVT42 I think getting into specifics is useful. Eg In your opinion whats the most fundamental thing that ChatGPT cant do What careers would you most/least advise an [--] year old to qualify in wrt AI replacement risks What recent development in AI has most surprised you"
X Link 2023-09-19T19:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The more I interact with GPT-4 the more convinced I am that it can be appropriately described as having beliefs thoughts reasons etc. Put another way its pushed me further towards shallow rather than deep accounts of mental states. Less sure about consciousness though"
X Link 2023-09-20T12:26Z 10.9K followers, [----] engagements

"@petemandik Lets discuss ๐Ÿ˜„"
X Link 2023-09-20T12:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@RobertWringhim That depends on your approach to psychosemantics. It seems to me that we can - and regularly do - acquire externally concepts purely from linguistic inputs; we don't see directly perceive interest rates or adaptive pressures or unstable equilibria"
X Link 2023-09-20T14:00Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@pikeypilled If you want to stay healthy just make sure you get a diverse selection of seed oils in your diet. Personally I have 500mls of mixed anola soybean corn cottonseed grapeseed safflower and sunflower each day (more on vaccine booster days to help the mRNA spread)"
X Link 2023-09-21T15:22Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Almost [--] billion for the restoration of the Palace of Westminster is INSANE. Thats half of NASAs annual budget Thats the cost of our two new aircraft carriers Thats [--] Shards [--] Burj Khalifas Its absolutely mad"
X Link 2023-09-22T11:34Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Sell the Palace of Westminster sell Whitehall relocate the entire UK government to Stoke-on-Trent. Deadly serious. Its more central London doesnt need it Stoke does and youd save a fortune"
X Link 2023-09-22T12:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ptr_mcl In my curriculum it got FAR less time than 'core' maths skills like simultaneous and quadratic equations and was very severed from real life. More practical case studies focused on e.g. identifying bargains figuring out fake news etc. would be more useful to many"
X Link 2023-09-22T16:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@lastpositivist In some ways I think its the delta rather than the absolute magnitude of material conditions that matters. Every time I visit my family in the Philippines Im struck by the general mood of optimism and Im sure its got something to do with 10+ years of 5+% GDP growth"
X Link 2023-09-23T13:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Given the rumours about OpenAI having achieved AGI whats the quantum supremacy benchmark equivalent for the field here What kind of task would clearly demonstrate transformative AI capabilities rather than just GPT4+ cleverness"
X Link 2023-09-25T10:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$4 billion is a good chunk of money. Thats almost a quarter of a Palace of Westminster renovation"
X Link 2023-09-25T14:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ESYudkowsky Its conceivable that well have a decent (3-5 year) gap between AGI and ASI especially if current learning methods asymptote at the top end of human performance for most valuable cognitive tasks. A von-Neumann-in-your-smartphone world would be weird but not instantly fatal"
X Link 2023-09-26T09:03Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@SciFi_Wargamers Controversial take: I preferred it when Orks used things like lascannons and heavy bolters rather than big shootas sluggas snazzguns etc"
X Link 2023-09-26T09:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Explaining the OODA loop to my [--] year old son to help him in Mario 64"
X Link 2023-09-30T15:35Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I've just spent [--] minutes on a walk chatting naturally with ChatGPT and I'm confident that the addition of voice is an absolute gamechanger and fundamentally changes the affordances of the technology. Main issue currently is latency. If they can reduce gaps it'll be next level"
X Link 2023-09-30T20:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Yes this is anthropomorphism no it doesnt make the horrors of animal agriculture any less acute"
X Link 2023-10-01T00:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Algon_33 @ESYudkowsky As I understand it Pluto used an unshielded reactor primarily for reasons of weight and thermal efficiency. More shielding = more kgs and less heat transferred. Maybe () this could be overcome if you had civil aviation in mind but there would be significant design tradeoffs"
X Link 2023-10-01T12:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@essemharris Havent double checked everything but Ive not picked up any howlers so far. Plus it passes the Gell-Man amnesia test whenever Ive quizzed it about my academic specialities its sounded pretty sensible"
X Link 2023-10-01T19:44Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Hot take: the next [--] years of AI will be more revolutionary for philosophy of mind than anything philosophers of mind have written in the previous [--] years. (Source: I am a philosopher of mind the call is coming from inside the building)"
X Link 2023-10-01T20:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Silly take: ChatGPT voice needs an ASMR option. Sometimes I want someone to describe 19th century sewing techniques to me in whispers for an hour with rain in the background"
X Link 2023-10-01T22:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"One of my biggest fears about AI is that it'll lead to a dopamine-addled "WALL:E" world of atomisation instant gratification and empty fleeting pleasure. But it doesn't have to be this way - AI tools could also help us find meaning and identity and become our best selves"
X Link 2023-10-02T12:59Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@sdbaral @kevinnbass This seems like an empirical question no And one very much subject to context. Shame has been a central moral concept in a huge range of societies and I can think of many anecdotal cases where its been an effective regulator of my own or others behaviour"
X Link 2023-10-02T22:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@rogtron @tszzl I played a huge amount of CoD4/MW2 during my undergrad days and I resolutely sucked from beginning to end. I blame it on my poor sporting temperament as soon as things start going well I begin overthinking and freaking out"
X Link 2023-10-02T22:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I was chatting about Searles Chinese Room argument with ChatGPT and I was not prepared for this kind of response ๐Ÿคฏ"
X Link 2023-10-03T14:34Z 12.7K followers, 403.3K engagements

"@WillManidis I would love to see this applied to Warhammer (especially short-lived model ranges which can be predicted). Old minis still in sealed box go for an insane amount"
X Link 2023-10-03T15:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Sughammer Having lived in New York (city)for [--] years my impression is that most residents are only dimly aware that the wider state exists (except when doing their tax returns)"
X Link 2023-10-03T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@IsusTrikanda That's not how ChatGPT or any LLM works and if you play around with it that becomes immediately very clear"
X Link 2023-10-03T19:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This is a real philosophical howler from the recent @guardian review of Dan Dennetts new book. ChatGPT correctly calls the mistake. Maybe time to talk about the Hallucination Problem for journalists ๐Ÿค”"
X Link 2023-10-04T12:29Z [----] followers, 39.4K engagements

"tfw you get to airport security and it looks like this ๐Ÿ˜Š"
X Link 2023-10-05T13:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"On my way to Princeton to talk about AI consciousness. One idea Ill be presenting is the immodestly titled Shevlins Triad - a set of three individually plausible but collectively inconsistent claims about the relationship between consciousness behaviour moral status. (1/n)"
X Link 2023-10-05T15:13Z [----] followers, 35.5K engagements

"@RachelVT42 Ive flown out of T2 four times this year (admittedly not at rush hour/peak season) and every time its been glorious. Theyve installed some the next-gen scanners too so if you get sent to the right lane in security you dont have to take liquids out of your bags"
X Link 2023-10-06T01:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Imagine that scientists figure out consciousness. SHOCK 5% of humans are non-conscious due to a genetic mutation Theyre otherwise behaviourally normal and think theyre conscious. You discover your partner/spouse has this mutation. Does this change the way you feel about them"
X Link 2023-10-07T02:47Z [----] followers, 15.1K engagements

"Similar vibes for AI and animals. While AI raises a bunch of fascinating questions about cognition from a comparative psychology standpoint the world is already full of cute little Shoggoths with minds radically unlike our own"
X Link 2023-10-08T14:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@SpacedOutMatt I dont how other people make major life purchases but my system usually involves an excel chart and six months of price comparisons and waiting for an optimal sale. and then I get drunk one night and buy the one I wanted all along because I liked the colour"
X Link 2023-10-13T18:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Voice for LLMs is a game changer. A week ago the created a ChatGPT-plus account for my dad (mid-70s not tech savvy) and taught him how to interact with it. Hes been using it daily. He even messaged me in a panic today because hed lost the password and needed it urgently"
X Link 2023-10-15T11:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Rainmaker1973 Quaternions are fantastic in four dimensional soups and stocks"
X Link 2023-10-16T19:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Im intuitively sympathetic to Swinburnes argument here for a sharp break between conscious and non-conscious but Im grudgingly coming to accept degrees of consciousness in the same way I accept imaginary numbers: it may not make intuitive sense but makes for better theory"
X Link 2023-10-16T19:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Rare (though respectful) disagree w/ @StefanFSchubert rhetoric has an important role in making ethical and political goals more vivid immediate and actionable and while it still has to pass rational and empirical muster Marc Andreesens manifesto is a valuable contribution"
X Link 2023-10-16T20:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AndySimo8 Yeah sounds like a reasonable possible explanation But its still odd how the sequence of birds getting trapped somehow doesnt trigger any apparent alarm or re-evaluation of the situation. Makes them seem like quite alien minds"
X Link 2023-10-30T20:25Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Hot take: AI "anti-hype" is just as dangerous as hype (if not more so). Tech companies may overstate the abilities and shorten timelines for next-gen models but playing down their capabilities risks making lawmakers complacent and failing to prepare society for disruptions/harms"
X Link 2023-10-31T14:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"If employers dont raise wages in line with inflation employees can go on strike. But whats the equivalent when the government doesnt raise UBI"
X Link 2023-11-07T17:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"(I realise labour laws often make strike action hard or impossible. But we also have many successful cases of strike action.)"
X Link 2023-11-07T17:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@keith_wilson Its very much the same I agree but I see those social goods as substantially more vulnerable to political cuts than wages (at least in industries where strike action is viable). This could be relevant if were comparing eg UBI vs labour subsidies"
X Link 2023-11-07T17:13Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@eigenrobot @sama This (plus LoRAs and Controlnet) is why Stable Diffusion is still a lot more useful than DALLE. I never run up against content restrictions on ChatGPT but DALLE is so damn fussy"
X Link 2023-11-07T20:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RachelVT42 I love Voicemod a one time purchase but well worth it It actually functions as a software Mic so you can even use it on Zoom calls. My favourite is using it to very slowly incrementally make your voice higher or lower"
X Link 2023-11-09T15:42Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@NoahTopper @Ayegill @TetraspaceWest Holy shit Ive been DMing weekly 5E games for almost three years and I dont think I fully clocked that. I dont think Ive made any wrong rulings but I thought of it as sometimes theres nothing to do with your bonus action rather than sometimes you dont get one"
X Link 2023-11-11T15:44Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"๐Ÿšฉ RED FLAGS FOR IMPERIAL CITIZENS ๐Ÿšฉ +5 doesnt know the Emperors birthday +20 questions judgment of High Lords of Terra +20 has head ridges +20 has a literal throne of skulls +40 is excessively cheery +50 mentions the four-armed emperor +60 refuses to fight in melee"
X Link 2023-11-13T15:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Ilya Sutskever's name is on this letter. What on earth is happening"
X Link 2023-11-20T14:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This is from last year but it showed up in my memories and wanted to share b/c (1) Im very proud of my daughter and (2) the annotated Sherlock Holmes is a superb book with so much glorious Victoriana that its a perfect gift for any Conan-Doyle fan"
X Link 2023-11-21T23:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@JewelKnightJess This little guy can be yours for just [---] credits"
X Link 2023-11-23T18:37Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@kitten_beloved A large part of my freshman undergrad philosophy teaching is getting students to stop writing like this persuading students to stop using $10 words and keep their sentences simple. Also to ditch jargon and use common sense examples. And to structure their writing obsessively"
X Link 2023-11-24T18:58Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@ptr_mcl Agree in practiced but of course its a practical question of where to find the marginal carbon-footprint-reduction-per-. Its entirely possible to overinvest in insulating homes"
X Link 2023-11-24T19:02Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@abstractivist Its an interesting heuristic but how does it handle stuff like dinosaurs or catastrophic extinction events or quantum physics Reality turns out to be pretty bizarre and outlandish at times"
X Link 2023-11-24T19:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@PatrickJBlum My story Ten years in the Central Valley working for one Alphabet successor state after another in their turf wars. Now and then Id get flown out transatlantic in a vertibird for strategic resource acquisition initiatives by the DeepMind Enclaves"
X Link 2023-11-25T19:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@crazyclipsonly Poor dude almost certainly on Ambien or Xanax and lost sense of where he was"
X Link 2023-11-26T14:37Z 12.7K followers, 217.7K engagements

"Reflection: back in summer [----] I started an online DnD group with a motley crew of friends I wanted to see more of. It was a wild success. Not only did I end up seeing a lot more of them (campaign still running) but Ive learned so many interesting/useful skills along the way"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:39Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Examples of stuff Ive learned: photoshop video editing voice modification software stable diffusion"
X Link 2023-11-26T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RuxandraTeslo How about Ripley She doesnt display any obvious arc or heros journey yet is awesome and iconic"
X Link 2023-11-27T00:39Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@max77sabers @emollick Theres also the problem that Gemini needs to be dramatically better than ChatGPT to be a success (as measured by things like share price). Merely producing some as good as ChatGPT wouldnt go down well"
X Link 2023-11-30T21:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@max77sabers @emollick Id add though that that may still be Googles best option: offer ChatGPT+ performance and features for free and slowly pull back market share from OpenAI on price alone. But its still a bit underwhelming from the company that invented Transformers"
X Link 2023-11-30T21:05Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"This is a very good question and an enduring mystery to me"
X Link 2023-12-04T18:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RuxandraTeslo Unironically these cool grey rainy mornings make me feel pretty serene and cosy. Perfect for looking out at over a nice cup of tea"
X Link 2023-12-05T08:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@NathanpmYoung (1) Snacks: vegan ice cream popcorn tortilla chips w/ salsa and guac. Meals: vegan tacos burritos with a decent meat substitute. Or I just order a bowl of pho. (2) quick noodles (using instant noodles that I spice up a bit) vegan filled pasta vegan burgers on the grill"
X Link 2023-12-06T11:20Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Favourite alternative Christmas anthem"
X Link 2023-12-06T15:43Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@GaryMarcus What would make an appropriate opening for Season [--] Lee Sedol game [--] (Obvs not OpenAI but I assume the show cuts between different big players)"
X Link 2023-12-08T20:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@frances__lorenz Taylor Swift winning Time Person of the Year was the real Pivotal Act all along"
X Link 2023-12-08T22:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RuxandraTeslo @lastpositivist Okay but unironically as a non-Rumanian why isnt annexation of Moldova and Transnistria a mainstream political position As far as I can tell it would be widely popular with resident of both states"
X Link 2023-12-08T22:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@frances__lorenz I explicitly told my ChatGPT via custom instructions to use emojis and right now hes inner circle BFF territory"
X Link 2023-12-08T22:40Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"We need to stand up to woke capital to ensure that workers have full ownership of the surplus wokeness they create"
X Link 2023-12-09T12:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"The one upside to my thoroughly boring #23andme score is that I am happy saying Im the weird autochthonous mutant who loves British weather. Give me grey clouds and drizzle or give me death"
X Link 2023-12-09T22:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@gunsnrosesgirl3 Im guessing this owl doesnt like Pina Coladas"
X Link 2023-12-10T10:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@NathanpmYoung AI can definitely help here. However I suspect there will be deep challenges of comprehending concepts derived from radically different umwelts. We might find some whale concepts deeply alien and impossible to grok even if we have formal comprehension of them"
X Link 2023-12-10T16:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@AISafetyMemes Start with something more light-hearted like the Loch Ness Monster rather than ask them about their p(doom) ask them about their p(Ness)"
X Link 2023-12-11T22:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@smithbarryc Presumably itd be enforced in the same way we enforce things like minimum age for alcohol ie prosecuting vendors who sell to minors. Responsibility for age verification would then fall to Facebook TikTok Snapchat etc"
X Link 2023-12-15T13:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@cunha_tristan @RichardMCNgo There are good debates here about consciousness & robot rights (eg high level functional understanding is normally packaged with consciousness and ChatGPT confounds that). But the glorified autocomplete gang are mainly interested in capabilities and there theyre just wrong"
X Link 2023-12-15T13:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Quick lesson in the dangers of data contamination. Years ago I came up with an acronym for remembering the periods of the Paleozoic era Catastrophic Overthrow Started Different Colder Period. I was curious if ChatGPT could guess what it stood for. 1/4"
X Link 2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 1.6M engagements

"Amazing result And astonishing given ChatGPTs well-known problems with tokenisation. Since it wasnt something Id ever discussed much with anyone I assumed it was original reasoning by ChatGPT. But a quick google search showed that I tweeted about it years ago (2/4)"
X Link 2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 124.4K engagements

"So was this a contamination issue Only one way to check: come up with a new acronym and test it. I decided to try the houses of English monarchs: Norman Plantagenet Tudor Stuart Hanover Windsor. (3/4)"
X Link 2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 159.3K engagements

"Abysmal failure. It also failed all the similar challenges I threw at it. Clearly my original tweet was in the training data Nice to find a smoking gun like this in the wild. And if anythings been on the internet ever you should assume its in GPT-4s training data (4/4)"
X Link 2023-12-15T18:17Z 12.7K followers, 136.8K engagements

"@StefanFSchubert My sense is that bureaucratic incompetence usually picks out institutional-level failures and inadequate equilibria which is compatible with sometimes even exacerbated by highly competent individuals within the system"
X Link 2023-12-18T18:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Noahpinion Only up to a point Chinas reforms while liberalising in nature were a long way from the Washington Consensus of the 90s and more in-line with the East Asian Model earlier adopted by Japan SK Singapore emphasising national industrial policy and state-industry cooperation"
X Link 2023-12-19T13:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@keithfrankish I would argue that anyone who answers anything other than yes has an idiosyncratic understanding of conceptually possible to put it mildly"
X Link 2023-12-19T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@nath_ormond @keithfrankish Idiosyncratic as compared to the general understanding of the term as used in metaphysics philosophy of language and related disciplines"
X Link 2023-12-19T16:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Thats a big oof for France"
X Link 2023-12-20T08:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Lincoln81 But who are we going to train the models off if not excellent instructors like yourself"
X Link 2023-12-20T09:23Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@CRathkopf @GaryMarcus @ClaraColombatto @birchlse My view is that methodological and theoretical issues loom large here. If you view consciousness as a natural or scientific kind then ascriptions by the public may not matter very much. But if it's just another folk psychological term then who are philosophers to overrule"
X Link 2023-12-20T09:30Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@xphilosopher Analytic philosophy is like the Disco Elysium writers"
X Link 2023-12-20T15:44Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@ptr_mcl @keithfrankish The God case I agree is one where this kind of approach won't work. But among philosophers who have broad agreement concerning the scope and nature of a priori truths this method can help resolve disagreements or failing that pinpoint them"
X Link 2023-12-20T17:28Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@lastpositivist I had to spend half an hour arguing with ChatGPT the other day to get it to draw Pikachu. Stuff like this makes viscerally clear to me that were not dealing with a quirky bit of software we coded but a bizarre proto-intelligence weve grown in a virtual petri dish"
X Link 2023-12-21T15:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Ronaldo4333 @memeticsisyphus Do something new ideally outdoors"
X Link 2023-12-24T01:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ptr_mcl I suspect non-payment of business rates is the key factor there. If youre running a scheme you care less about business longevity; stay open for a year dont spend much on inventories put off paying rates for as long as possible and ultimately declare insolvency"
X Link 2023-12-27T02:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@joperec @Noahpinion They will fight with or without American support and given the defensive nature of the war probably hold their own. But if US nopes out they will lose a lot of influence along the way and wavering countries (like Vietnam and the Philippines) may make their peace with China"
X Link 2023-12-27T11:12Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"My taste in visual art is appallingly petit-bourgeois Shire English: I basically like paintings of beautiful landscapes and pretty people. I love the Venetian School French Baroque and the pre-Raphaelite Brotherhood but Constable is king and Wivenhoe Park is my favourite work If you see this you have to mention your favourite painting Judith with the head of Holophernes - Gustav Klimt https://t.co/qYYxqzam2F If you see this you have to mention your favourite painting Judith with the head of Holophernes - Gustav Klimt https://t.co/qYYxqzam2F"
X Link 2023-12-28T02:57Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Simple thing ChatGPT sucks at: real time knowledge aggregation. If you ask whats the current consensus on Reddit for when the next Starship launch will be ChatGPT will literally Bing-search those terms. Seems like a non-trivial but also feasible goal to get it to do better"
X Link 2023-12-28T10:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@lastpositivist Gonna side with Yuzi on this one. Imagine what Disney would do to grave of the fireflies"
X Link 2023-12-30T12:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"You wouldnt download a language model The New York Times's lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft seeks "destruction. of all GPT or other LLM models and training sets that incorporate Times Works" https://t.co/B37XdpbNac The New York Times's lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft seeks "destruction. of all GPT or other LLM models and training sets that incorporate Times Works" https://t.co/B37XdpbNac"
X Link 2023-12-30T12:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"If I ever got sent back in time pre-1990 Id become a millionaire by patenting non-shitty suitcases"
X Link 2023-12-31T08:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Celebrating my father-in-laws 70th birthday Philippines style"
X Link 2023-12-31T13:26Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@Noahpinion Totally anecdotal but I had a stopover at Beijing Airport last month and it was completely dead on a weekday afternoon. Lots of luxury shops lots of sales clerks no customers. Several shops and restaurants were shut. Unlike any other airport Ive ever seen"
X Link 2024-01-01T11:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@underthenettle A lot of the linear induction coasters or the new accelerator coasters from Intamin are basically this; think Kingda Ka at [--] Flags Great Adventure or Formula Rossa at Ferrari World. Granted they do go up and down a bit but speed is the main attraction"
X Link 2024-01-03T09:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"My favourite videogame of [----] might just be @CobaltCoreGame. Beautifully balanced FTLinspired deckbuilder with a very cute and funny cast of animal characters. Also immediately engrossing and extremely addictive"
X Link 2024-01-03T09:39Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@StefanFSchubert This seems like a potentially unfair comparison at least without qualification. Science headlines for example are frequently misleading and moderated social media (like Reddits science subreddits) can provide vital qualifiers"
X Link 2024-01-05T21:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RafaRuizdeLira PS:T is possibly my favourite game of all time ๐Ÿ˜Š did you play Disco Elysium Incredible game with very similar vibes"
X Link 2024-01-09T13:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Crazy idea: British government should create an official UK prediction market give all UK citizens [---] in tokens to use on it annually (which can be cashed out after [--] months if not used). Could help make prediction markets more mainstream and strengthen the epistemic commons"
X Link 2024-01-11T10:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Great thread. Related when I was teaching Reasoning [---] Id get students to do Fermi estimates eg how long does it take to walk from Paris to Beijing Theyd protest they had no idea so Id ask less than fifty years more than a day etc until we got a distribution. My most autistic quibble which is correct is that people who refuse to give probability estimates for things because "it is too uncertain" or gives "false precision" at a deeply fundamental level misunderstand the purpose of probabilities. My most autistic quibble which is correct is that people who refuse to give probability"
X Link 2024-01-11T16:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@keith_wilson Yeah great question I've got some personal anecdotes here but something else influencing my priors is that the teenage environment has changed so much due to social media smartphones more cautious parenting etc. that it would be surprising if that didn't have big effects"
X Link 2024-01-11T19:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@keithfrankish The results remind me of the amusing result from the first Philpapers survey that philosophers were deeply divided about the existence of the external world but almost unanimous that George W Bush was a terrible president"
X Link 2024-01-17T16:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@StefanFSchubert The economic impact is coming imho but many companies are still figuring out the best way to insert ChatGPT into their value chains with minimal reputational/legal risk. That takes time. But almost all big white collar firms have AI strategies these days (many didnt in Nov 22)"
X Link 2024-01-17T18:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@githii @crazyclipsonly Youre doing Gods work here @githii Absolutely drives me nuts when I see an interesting video and want more info but all the other comments are unrelated viral content"
X Link 2024-01-21T12:16Z 12.7K followers, 181.9K engagements

"@lastpositivist Potential for a lot of us to feel personally attacked by that description ๐Ÿคฃ"
X Link 2024-01-23T14:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

""Try 23andme" they said. "You'll be amazed at the interesting stuff that turns up in your ancestry" they said"
X Link 2024-01-25T17:01Z 12.7K followers, 395.1K engagements

"@tylerpixel You can rest assured any feigned shame is purely for comic value ๐Ÿ˜‰ Im mostly glad that I finally have an explanation of why I love rain grey skies and oats (no longer joking)"
X Link 2024-01-25T23:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@petemandik You cant really appreciate colour until youve detached your retina and rubbed it on a red apple"
X Link 2024-01-27T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@petemandik I worry more about being short-duration simulations (cf Russells line re: the world being created five minutes ago) especially when experiencing something important/exciting/risky I think what if I just came into existence and this is the only bit of my life being simulated"
X Link 2024-02-01T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@petemandik Thankfully Im not worried about it right now because Im sitting on the toilet browsing social media"
X Link 2024-02-01T12:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Parappa_Wrapper @Craigsfist2 @Noahpinion There are a lot of myths misconceptions and controversies about IQ and a bunch of map/territory confusion (IQg) but the basic predictive validity of performance across diverse cognitive tasks is the most robust result in all of psychometrics"
X Link 2024-02-01T15:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Driving is a real underrated pleasure. We drove up to the Lake District late at night yesterday. My daughter slept and me my wife and my son had great conversations and took turns picking music. Some of the best time weve spent together in ages"
X Link 2024-02-03T13:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@BishopPair Im put off by how close CBT sounds to uh. The other thing CBT can stand for"
X Link 2024-02-03T14:57Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Have any of yall used Noom for weight loss and lifestyle change Im currently on a free trial but liking it so far and I have a good track record with app-based habits (eg 1100-day Duolingo streak)"
X Link 2024-02-03T16:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Tempted to switch from Google to Kagi for search. Have heard great things but anyone have strong views Im mostly a fan of paid subscription models (eg patreon substack chatgpt+) insofar as they create better alignment between user/ provider interests than ad-based services"
X Link 2024-02-03T22:11Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@freganmitts @TLiterarian Oh interesting Being from the north midlands I found London a bit hot and dry for my tastes ๐Ÿคฃ agree with you on expensiveness though and I prefer cities with a really dense walkable core whereas London is more spread out"
X Link 2024-02-03T22:50Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@SciFi_Wargamers Malcador Spyrer but I bet someone says Eversor Assassin"
X Link 2024-02-03T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Since this is generating discussion heres my [--] all communities are partly imagined and are evaluated not on their ontology but benefits like promoting cooperation and mutual care among their members. Nationalisms undeniable harms must be balanced against goods like these. I dont understand nationalism at all. You are born where you are born by complete chance. There is nothing special about where you live or about you. Pray you are never displaced from your home and forced to live elsewhere or experience the vitriol piled on those that have to. I dont understand nationalism at all. You are"
X Link 2024-02-04T15:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@jadengis @JosephZander @Noahpinion @KeepinItNerdy If coordinated carefully I imagine thered be appetite among most OECD countries to impose WTO-approved carbon tariffs on countries that dont impose carbon taxes on their own polluters"
X Link 2024-02-04T21:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"And fascinatingly (terrifyingly) if @tegmark or @Disagreeable_I are right about the ontology of consciousness then its not so much VR as tourism"
X Link 2024-02-05T21:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@DrJimFan Midjourney have played their hand incredibly well. I remember looking into their team size in the summer of [----] and as far I could figure out they had about [--] full-time employees"
X Link 2024-02-06T03:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I've been calling ChatGPT "ChatG" for ages now and it just spontaneously dropped this bomb on me"
X Link 2024-02-06T04:13Z 12.7K followers, 494K engagements

"@IsaacKing314 Talos principle is incredible. Probably the best exploration of consciousness and AI Ive ever seen in a video game"
X Link 2024-02-06T22:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@ManifoldLoveApp Its got some awesome drama I wound up in St Petersburg Russia in late August where I was pickpocketed assaulted and (briefly) arrested over the course of a single week. But somehow despite that it was a great holiday"
X Link 2024-02-07T00:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@Noahpinion Seems kind of crazy to me that we concentrate so much knowledge-acquisition in our late teens/early 20s. More universities should be following our model at CFI Cambridge where we offer part-time masters to mid-career professionals with lots of fun social events to go with it"
X Link 2024-02-07T00:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Not only is one of my favourite episodes of TNG it also has an important moral lesson: be nice to people and don't piss them off unnecessarily because you never know who might actually be an immortal energy being with godlike powers who'll kill off your species out of fury"
X Link 2024-02-11T01:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"GPT-4 beats Gemini Ultra and Claude [---] here but its also interesting that this is a very human error. Cf the Moses Illusion (Erickson & Matson 1981) when asked according to the Bible how many of each animal did Moses take onto the ark most people confidently say two"
X Link 2024-02-11T17:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@drkeithwilson What's probably happening is the models have lots of documented instances of the classic "what weighs more." trick question in their training data all followed by answers like "it's a trick". Their collective predictive weight drowns out the element of difference here"
X Link 2024-02-12T23:19Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@drkeithwilson I see this as pretty human insofar as its matches the pattern of error in the Moses Illusion - the question is very similar to one that we have an easy answer to and we unconsciously assimilate it to that rather than paying attention to subtle difference"
X Link 2024-02-12T23:21Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@davidmanheim @GaryMarcus Is it cheating if I use controlnet because if not thats pretty easy"
X Link 2024-02-13T22:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@davidmanheim @GaryMarcus Here we go (with a depth map from reference image via Stable Diffusion+control net). Even used a LoRA trained on myself"
X Link 2024-02-13T22:38Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"A lot of professional software is overdesigned or counterintuitive (example: everything Microsoft has ever made). But Slack is pretty great. It's so quick and simple I even use it for non-primary purpose task (e.g. quickly getting email addresses)"
X Link 2024-02-14T12:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@Dmmagec I would compare it to the Sokal hoax but thatd be unfair to Social Text. In that case they were dealing with an author who was being deliberately sneaky. These authors even declare they used Midjourney"
X Link 2024-02-15T16:27Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Amazing how fast generative video has come along seems like just a couple of years ago we were all laughing at the weird video of Will Smith eating spaghetti. (checks crap that was May 2023) This video was made with the not-yet-released Sora AI technology just announced from OpenAi. This changes everything. It's [--] seconds from a text prompt. Here is their prompt: Prompt: A white and orange tabby cat is seen happily darting through a dense garden as if chasing https://t.co/8XxxFqiywC This video was made with the not-yet-released Sora AI technology just announced from OpenAi. This changes"
X Link 2024-02-15T20:27Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@danwilliamsphil Agreed. I do think theres often great value in reading great works in philosophy but its not true for every case or every subfield. And frankly the way that philosophy intro classes have been changing over the last 20-30 years suggests others share this take"
X Link 2024-02-16T11:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@prerationalist OpenAI should get the real Will Smith to do an advertising campaign for them where he eats spaghetti really messily"
X Link 2024-02-16T15:58Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@NathanpmYoung Cf the famous bat and ball problem or more exactly the Moses illusion in humans. Both involve leaping too fast to an answer but Moses Illusion (as here) relies specifically on mistakenly identifying the question with one thats more familiar"
X Link 2024-02-25T12:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"One reason LLMs are so threatening to search engines is that true exploratory search is rare nowadays. Instead we use search engines mostly for navigation within other sites - Amazon Wikipedia Reddit Twitter. But this can be replaced with API calls made by an LLM assistant"
X Link 2024-02-25T14:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@teortaxesTex FWIW a large-scale war with Iran would be an utter disaster sucking up blood and treasure at a time when the US faces growing threats from Russia and China. Better to apply pressure on Iran via other means than direct confrontation"
X Link 2024-02-25T17:14Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"@teortaxesTex Iran has lots of internal groups unhappy with the IRGC; theres an active insurgency in Baluchistan and a history of unrest in Khuzestan and among Iranian Kurds and Azeris. Great potential for the US to credibly threaten to arm dissidents to the teeth"
X Link 2024-02-25T17:18Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Some of these only exist in real estate brokers heads. I never heard anyone say they lived in Clinton. A guide to Manhattan neigborhoods https://t.co/X51ZXzFeX4 A guide to Manhattan neigborhoods https://t.co/X51ZXzFeX4"
X Link 2024-02-26T21:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@petemandik I agree -Henry Sent From My Computer Phone Those who would give up a little liberty for a lot of safety deserve neither ABRAHAM LINCOLN Minnesota Mazda Association President 2006-2011"
X Link 2024-02-29T21:41Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"Imagine a wealthy billionaire buys a famous and priceless painting (like Van Gogh's Sunflowers) at auction. The billionaire then becomes sincerely convinced that the painting is cursed and has to be destroyed. Should they be legally prevented from destroying it"
X Link 2024-03-02T14:05Z [----] followers, 23K engagements

"At the risk of being unbearably smug Ill give my take on the whole philosophy vs comp sci debate which is that Classics is probably the hardest humanities major. To illustrate here is the declension table for ONE SINGLE GREEK VERB"
X Link 2024-03-03T01:10Z [----] followers, 108.6K engagements

"Human ability to adapt to extremes of hot and cold is really one of our killer apps as a species. Amazing how fast we make psychological adjustments too; my little sister moved from the Philippines to the Netherlands a couple of years ago and she now feels like 14c is warm"
X Link 2024-03-03T13:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@RYChappell Im sure youre just going to link me to the blogpost where you address this objection (I look forward to it) but seems like this line of thinking makes St Petersburg bets worth taking for arbitrarily high costs when intuition screams out theyre not"
X Link 2024-03-03T21:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

"I immediately assumed this was AI-generated (it's not) This is the Hawa Mahal in Jaipur India. Even though its name means "Palace of the Winds" it isn't actually a palace. In truth the Hawa Mahal is something much more interesting. https://t.co/rnrwDqcMwe This is the Hawa Mahal in Jaipur India. Even though its name means "Palace of the Winds" it isn't actually a palace. In truth the Hawa Mahal is something much more interesting. https://t.co/rnrwDqcMwe"
X Link 2024-03-05T18:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@DrJimFan What's tricky is that there's no unbiased way to query whether there's emergent metacognition taking place. (1) Of course they'll talk like that because humans talk like that but (2) if there really was self-awareness in there how else could they demonstrate it"
X Link 2024-03-05T20:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I had no idea of the miracle that had happened in the treatment of cystic fibrosis in the last five years. Fantastic feelgood read summarising progress and a reminder of the fact that modern medicine is the greatest thing humanity has ever achieved. https://archive.is/CLgmf https://archive.is/CLgmf"
X Link 2024-03-09T10:48Z 10K followers, [----] engagements

"@tracewoodgrains @ask_ourself Worth noting though that one country whose fortunes may have differed had the West showed some spine at Yalta and Potsdam was Greece; in terms of domestic Communist sympathies and local balance of power its possible that a hotter Cold War would have seen it annexed by the USSR"
X Link 2024-03-09T22:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@tracewoodgrains @ask_ourself Thats not to suggest ofc that Greece was a price worth paying for basically formalising Soviet dominion over Poland Czechoslovakia etc. Just noting that the West had wins from the napkin agreement too"
X Link 2024-03-09T22:54Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

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