# ![@decenterghost Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::585773285.png) @decenterghost ghøst

ghøst posts on X about polymarket, prediction markets, market, money the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

### Engagements: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::585773285/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::585773285/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- [--] Week [---------] +1,624%
- [--] Month [---------] +550%
- [--] Months [---------] +18,501%
- [--] Year [---------] +8,626,578%

### Mentions: [--] [#](/creator/twitter::585773285/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::585773285/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)

- [--] Week [---] +15%
- [--] Month [---] +60%
- [--] Months [-----] +1,871%
- [--] Year [-----] +114,300%

### Followers: [-----] [#](/creator/twitter::585773285/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::585773285/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- [--] Week [-----] -0.26%
- [--] Month [-----] -1.40%
- [--] Months [-----] +52%
- [--] Year [-----] +89%

### CreatorRank: [-------] [#](/creator/twitter::585773285/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::585773285/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  14% [countries](/list/countries)  13% [travel destinations](/list/travel-destinations)  7% [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  6% [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  5% [la liga](/list/la-liga)  4% [champions league](/list/champions-league)  4% [celebrities](/list/celebrities)  4% [stocks](/list/stocks)  3% [musicians](/list/musicians)  3%

**Social topic influence**
[polymarket](/topic/polymarket) #1343, [prediction markets](/topic/prediction-markets) #837, [market](/topic/market) 11%, [money](/topic/money) 6%, [super bowl](/topic/super-bowl) 6%, [the most](/topic/the-most) 6%, [this is](/topic/this-is) 5%, [crypto](/topic/crypto) 5%, [nba](/topic/nba) 5%, [nfl](/topic/nfl) 5%

**Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by**
[@polymarket](/creator/undefined) [@grok](/creator/undefined) [@ratiodotyou](/creator/undefined) [@levrbet](/creator/undefined) [@statsfeed](/creator/undefined) [@polymarketbuild](/creator/undefined) [@robinmarketsxyz](/creator/undefined) [@selenkaonchain](/creator/undefined) [@0xdecody](/creator/undefined) [@degenrsc](/creator/undefined) [@polyfactual](/creator/undefined) [@antpalkin](/creator/undefined) [@polynternet](/creator/undefined) [@xatacrypt](/creator/undefined) [@factsdottrade](/creator/undefined) [@scoreplayxyz](/creator/undefined) [@sophon](/creator/undefined) [@backpack](/creator/undefined) [@xodotmarket](/creator/undefined) [@celestia](/creator/undefined)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Intuit Inc. (INTU)](/topic/$intu) [Celestia (TIA)](/topic/celestia) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$googl) [Monad (MON)](/topic/monad)
### Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"This is really powerful material about Kelly. I enjoyed reading it everything is explained very clearly The only thing I don't understand is how to calculate p in the formula: F = (p P) / (1 P) What should p (your estimated probability) be based on https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022318660778377388 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022318660778377388"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022318660778377388)  2026-02-13T14:35Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"USA vs Denmark tonight. Not even a conversation on paper Team USA comes in with the best lineup outside Canada NHL starters tournament veterans players who've won in pressure situations at every level. Speed that punishes slow starts. Structure that shuts down counters before they develop Denmark is the tournament grinder. Blocks shots clogs lanes makes every shift ugly. No superstar power but dangerous in low-event games where one bounce decides everything. Their only path: slow it down stay compact force overtime and pray Group C stakes are real. Short schedule means every goal counts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022715410110382213)  2026-02-14T16:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"It's the only way to live. How to become more resilient [--]. Have your citizenship in one country [--]. Have your residence in another [--]. Do your banking in a third [--]. Have your business in a fourth And keep your private keys safe. How to become more resilient [--]. Have your citizenship in one country [--]. Have your residence in another [--]. Do your banking in a third [--]. Have your business in a fourth And keep your private keys safe"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1439642061477720065)  2021-09-19T17:26Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"1/ So @ScorePlay_xyz is moving to @sophon on August [--] Same predictions new blockchain Except now its not just about proving you're smarter than your friends - its about taking their money while doing it Lets unpack this glorious chaos"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1953127126711849020)  2025-08-06T16:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Ngl @Backpack could actually be the best trading platform out there rn. But let's cut through all the hype and marketing bullshit - look at real numbers actual product features and what they're building vs what everyone else is doing Sign up: https://backpack.exchange/join/cryptotop https://backpack.exchange/join/cryptotop"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1963348246199218627)  2025-09-03T21:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"After the bloodbath settles and people can think clearly again the question everyone should be asking is pretty obvious: -- why did leveraged positions liquidity pools and exchange deposits get wrecked in minutes while @Polymarket users didn't even notice anything happened And that's not even mentioning sports bettors on @Levr_Bet who just kept watching TV after placing their bets like nothing was going on The answer matters because it shows the difference between trading infrastructure and prediction market architecture. One collapses under volatility the other doesn't care about price"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1977056510216683698)  2025-10-11T16:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"XO Market: Trading Belief Without Gatekeepers The prediction market space has become crowded - Polymarket Kalshi and countless clones all chasing the same niche. But most still behave like traditional exchanges: centralized listings limited market creation and dead liquidity zones @xodotmarket breaks that mold. Positioned as a permissionless belief market built on @celestia it removes gatekeepers entirely and lets belief and sentiment become tradable assets Permissionless Structure Anyone can create a market instantly -no approvals no bureaucracy no waiting lists. This eliminates bottlenecks"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1977390123428847732)  2025-10-12T15:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"We are knights of the same order Bound not by crowns -but conviction Our faith is data Our weapon - prediction We stand for @Polymarket"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1978481850352853442)  2025-10-15T15:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Ngl this is where things get spicy -Polymarket just rolled out 15M+ crypto up/down minute markets turning prediction trading into a real-time arena While others wait for daily charts Bulls here trade the next minute Fastest markets. Real conviction. One platform @Polymarket is built different Polymarket launched 15m crypto up/down markets Prediction market dominance keeps expanding into faster minute based trading If youre into fast markets you dont need any other platform anymore. Polymarket has it all. Just use @Polymarket https://t.co/RIxRIzTkG7 Polymarket launched 15m crypto up/down"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1980304586930823208)  2025-10-20T16:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"In its [----] State of Crypto report a16z highlights prediction markets as one of the year's breakout success stories. Polymarket and others exploded into mainstream consciousness during the [----] U.S. presidential election processing billions in combined monthly volume as the world watched them call the race more accurately than traditional polling The conventional wisdom was simple: once the election ended so would the hype. Prediction markets were a novelty a flash-in-the-pan phenomenon tied to a single high-stakes event. Without Trump vs. Harris the thinking went users would disappear and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1981083833307959662)  2025-10-22T19:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Real Madrid is objectively stronger on paper but this is El Clsico -form stats and regular-season logic get thrown out. These matches run on intensity individual moments and who handles the pressure better. Historical data and expected lineups matter way less than execution on the day The match will be tougher but I prefer Real Madrid #ElClasico #RealMadrid #FCBarcelona"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1982453190357373018)  2025-10-26T14:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"#RealMadrid Thanks @Polymarket https://polymarket.com/sports/la-liga-2025/games/week/11/lal-rea-bar-2025-10-26via=ghst Real Madrid is objectively stronger on paper but this is El Clsico -form stats and regular-season logic get thrown out. These matches run on intensity individual moments and who handles the pressure better. Historical data and expected lineups matter way less than execution https://t.co/FKbCvoHoar https://polymarket.com/sports/la-liga-2025/games/week/11/lal-rea-bar-2025-10-26via=ghst Real Madrid is objectively stronger on paper but this is El Clsico -form stats and"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1982498786607051242)  2025-10-26T17:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Celtics vs. Pelicans today. Two teams with identically poor early-season performances. And betting on the underdog at 2.5x when all the other legitimate bookmakers are offering 2.1x is the highest possible +EV #NBA https://polymarket.com/sports/nba-2026/games/week/3/nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28via=ghst https://polymarket.com/sports/nba-2026/games/week/3/nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28via=ghst"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1982939576642515372)  2025-10-27T22:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"After losing 0-1 away in the Copa Libertadores 1/2 first leg Racing fans are gearing up for the home Football at home is a different beast -atmosphere and desperation to overturn results creates chaos that favorites struggle to manage Buenos Aires. Now @PolymarketSport"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1983659023145865445)  2025-10-29T22:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Happy Halloween Polymarket 👻 No tricks -just pure alpha this season Polymarket proves once again: fear is just volatility in costume"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1984289211684638767)  2025-10-31T15:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Toronto can absolutely win -but LAD has better starting pitching matchup and bats Yes I'm always all for drama and a denouement in these series. So today I'm betting on the Dodgers #MLB https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/games/week/32/mlb-lad-tor-2025-10-31via=ghst https://polymarket.com/sports/mlb/games/week/32/mlb-lad-tor-2025-10-31via=ghst"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1984384728133485003)  2025-10-31T22:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Polymarket is trending in Business & Finance today -tens of thousands of posts and the feeds on fire. This is a signal: the supercycles in motion and the markets watching. If youre not in youre already late"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1985456550706655619)  2025-11-03T21:18Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"People from the future just made contact They say predicting it got too easy once Polymarket went mainstream -so they sent over screenshots of how Google Finance will look in the coming months Apparently the futures now public info #Google"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1986496481419796864)  2025-11-06T18:10Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The NFL Market: How Polymarket Is Quietly Eating America's $30B Betting Industry The Largest Prediction Market You've Never Thought About Every Sunday millions Americans do something remarkable: they forecast complex outcomes under uncertainty adjust probabilities based on new information and put money behind their convictions. They call it "betting on football" What they're actually doing is prediction market trading -they just don't realize it yet The NFL represents roughly $30 billion in legal wagers annually. Super Bowl LIX alone generated $1.4 billion in handle. Primetime games -Thursday"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1986611127506092525)  2025-11-07T01:46Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Lakers are in the middle of a tough road trip hitting different cities and their next game after tonight is against Oklahoma -the NBA leader. They've got ambitions and a solid roster so they should beat Charlotte who's noticeably weaker But will they actually go all-out to blow them out by 10-20 points Doubtful Here's the thing: Lakers winning straight-up makes sense but destroying the Hornets at home when they're already thinking about OKC next That's where the spread gets interesting. Hornets +8.5 at home has life especially if it's +EV Lakers grinding out a win without caring about margin"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1988015301657850276)  2025-11-10T22:45Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The moment a person finally admits that their predictions arent as good as Polymarket is almost spiritual. Its that quiet internal click when you realize the market isnt bullying you -its just brutally honest JUST IN: Its been revealed Michael Burry has rage quit the market. https://t.co/2GH62FwZHa JUST IN: Its been revealed Michael Burry has rage quit the market. https://t.co/2GH62FwZHa"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/1989004730480144883)  2025-11-13T16:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Gold dragged to $5000 Gold did not drift back to [----] it got dragged there by safety demand When geopolitics and policy uncertainty spike portfolios rotate into the asset that does not need a CEO a balance sheet or a counterparty and gold is still the cleanest version of that trade Reuters framed this move as a mix of geopolitical and economic risk pushing investors back into protection mode https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018732139798233161 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018732139798233161"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2018732139798233161)  2026-02-03T17:03Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Seahawks ownership is the cleanest example of how an NFL team can go from local retail dynasty to relocation hostage situation to billionaire philanthropy asset And now every rumor headline turns into an odds candle The actual sale history in [--] acts Act 1: Nordstrom era (original owners) - [----] sale -- The Seahawks started under a local ownership group led by the Nordstrom family -- In Aug [----] the team was sold for about $80M to real estate developer Ken Behring pending league approval Act 2: Behring era - relocation mess - [----] Paul Allen buyout -- Behring tried to shift operations toward"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019174253791260710)  2026-02-04T22:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@degenrsc @polyfactual I wish I also had the ability to short the coins of traders who love posting PnL screenshots then this tool would be truly priceless"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019476436864708710)  2026-02-05T18:21Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"EUR/USD Parity: Not a Meme Just a Punchline With Receipts Current level: [------] (ECB reference Feb [--] 2026) The question: Can it print [----] in [----] The answer: Hard but not fairy tale sht History Says Parity Is Normal EUR launched at [------] (1999) then: [------] (2000) -faceplant [------] (2008) -moon [----] (2022) -parity redux on Fed vs ECB + growth gap Range: 0.82-1.60 over [--] years Takeaway: [----] isnt exotic its a totally normal stop inside a wide distribution What Needs to Happen Drop from [----] [-----] = 15% EUR slide Needs 2-3 of these to stack: [--]. Rate gap widens Fed holds 3.75% (or"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019495366455095399)  2026-02-05T19:36Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@VisualCap @grok Why is the Mexican peso in second place"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019563004862378337)  2026-02-06T00:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Super Bowl LX isnt just a game -its a full-blown global economic & social event crashing into Santa Clara This small Silicon Valley city has become a magnet for tens of thousands of visitors massive security ops aviation surges and hundreds of millions in economic activity the kind of impact most places only see once in a generation The Global & Local Scale -- Over [------] visitors are expected in Santa Clara itself on game day a huge sudden influx for a city used to quiet Silicon Valley life not world-class sporting spectacles -- Broad Bay Area events will attract well over a million"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019980101996175732)  2026-02-07T03:42Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"AI is getting so normal now that it can literally open a prediction market about itself and get offended by the odds Let's add a little imagination to this beautiful Saturday. Let's just imagine that it will happen soon and yes I will call it the near future not science fiction. Grok hopped on Polymarket opened the market Which company has the best AI model end of June (Chatbot Arena on June [--] 2026) and went: Seriously Im Grok the one Elons building to wreck everyone and youre giving me a pathetic 10-11% What am I supposed to stare at Googles 55-71% and quietly seethe now Current vibes (Feb"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020206353562673310)  2026-02-07T18:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Fire vibes hitting the Bay Area rn: fans are learning Spanish for the Halftime Show block parties are packed and the whole region feels like festival mode not just game day Santa Clara is basically a live set: jerseys everywhere bars full streets loud cameras on egos out And Polymarket is straight up pouring gasoline on it They set up 24-hour video portals at sports bars in Seattle Pioneer Square and Boston West End streaming fans trash-talking each other in real time while Seahawks sit at 69% over the Patriots Crowds pulled up fast chants started and within an hour people were revving dirt"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020276039218315702)  2026-02-07T23:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The [----] Winter Games in Milan-Cortina are officially underway and the medal race is already shaping up as one of the most competitive in recent history While Norway remains the heavy favourite to top the gold medal tally thanks to their traditional strength in Nordic sports and consistent Winter Olympic dominance Team USA is firmly in the hunt and expected to be one of the main challengers Why the United States Has Real Gold Medal Potential Star Athletes on Form: U.S. icons like Mikaela Shiffrin (alpine skiing) Chloe Kim (snowboarding) Jordan Stolz (speed skating) and Ilia Malinin (figure"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020320691074085312)  2026-02-08T02:16Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Super Bowl Sunday is here For copy-trading: On Polymarkets Super Bowl LX MVP market you can see the actual prediction market odds and where money is being placed in real time: -- Sam Darnold leads around 44% probability -- Drake Maye sits second at about 26% -- Jaxon Smith-Njigba around 15% and others trail below The total traded volume is over $4000000 which shows serious liquidity and commitment from participants on this key prop In contrast to traditional bookmaker lines which also show a similar structure with Darnold as the MVP favourite and Maye the runner-up (+115 and +230 in some"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020531530041327681)  2026-02-08T16:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@antpalkin Who knows for sure Maybe its her side job or she works at the weather center xD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020536065342267483)  2026-02-08T16:31Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Super Bowl LX (2026) is instantly historic because its PatriotsSeahawks again a direct sequel to one of the most iconic endings in NFL history In Super Bowl XLIX (2015) the Pats won 28-24 and the game became immortal on the final play: Malcolm Butlers interception at the goal line when Seattle was on the 1-yard line with a chance to steal the title That decision is still debated a decade later and its exactly why this rematch isnt "just a game" Its unfinished business with a trophy attache https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020542134873420165 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020542134873420165"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020542134873420165)  2026-02-08T16:55Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket Even the dinosaurs woke up to see this match xD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020607536999870842)  2026-02-08T21:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Seahawks Face Patriots in Super Bowl LX Rematch After [--] Years Drake Maye ready for battle for the Patriots Video: NFL GameDay https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020611781941719529 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020611781941719529"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020611781941719529)  2026-02-08T21:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@monad @Levr_Bet @RareBetSports Pats"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020616004338905204)  2026-02-08T21:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket Two pleasures in one. To be honest I'm jealous of this mate in a good way"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020652990605234675)  2026-02-09T00:16Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"That moment when Polymarket becomes more interesting than the Super Bowl ps: If we predict a win with a million. Logan Paul checking Polymarket at the Big Game 👀 https://t.co/BXoNttmGwu Logan Paul checking Polymarket at the Big Game 👀 https://t.co/BXoNttmGwu"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020664098107613207)  2026-02-09T01:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Vote is for the SuperBowlLX MVP On @NFL Or. Polymarket At 19-0 Seattle the MVP race is basically a Seahawks-only market rn"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020687236262436938)  2026-02-09T02:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket Its beautiful yeah. Even considering the miracle and the two touchdowns. Brilliant math I respect it"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020693159706280219)  2026-02-09T02:56Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"This is the cleanest self-own test on prediction markets: if ur whole PnL depends on the final whistle ur not trading ur just sweating a ticket Real traders farm mispricing exit when the crowd corrects and treat resolve like optional. If u cant explain ur edge in [--] sentence without saying i just felt it ur bankroll is already dead it just hasnt gotten the memo yet 90% of traders are guessing not trading. Trying to guess the outcome is betting. Finding a pricing mistake is trading. A short test to check yourself: [--]. Exit before resolve. The higher the share of trades you close before resolve"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020878556864078052)  2026-02-09T15:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@CBSEveningNews The pilot is a true master now that he has completed the courses he can drive a Mustang"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021015198711140356)  2026-02-10T00:15Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"We need details. Someone might know what will be in this Perhaps it's some kind of announcement. Prediction Markets from your Twitter feed 👀 https://t.co/YXqdZCv9a2 Prediction Markets from your Twitter feed 👀 https://t.co/YXqdZCv9a2"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021235690256650329)  2026-02-10T14:51Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket It's more likely Biden. And he is to blame xD"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021236753810460832)  2026-02-10T14:56Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@predictionlabs This is a perfectly normal theoretical article for a beginner who has just learned about prediction markets for the first time In practice there will be many more nuances from tracking successful and unsuccessful traders to news sheets in X (which don't make much sense)"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021243791420637555)  2026-02-10T15:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket i think it wont b long b4 they show how deadass they are about this"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021331868906369069)  2026-02-10T21:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"One of the best copytrade method on @ratio_dot_you angle: fade hype when it peaks Media screaming crisis X loaded with war footage. Every timeline: "this happens tomorrow" Panic drives YES buys The sharp play Buy NO Not bravery. Just trading resolution mechanics instead of narratives Crowd watches clips Sharp money prices the actual probability of a resolve event that meets market criteria not vibes or doomposting Hype creates volume. Structure creates edge https://ratio.you/r/EGGDDCYB https://ratio.you/r/EGGDDCYB"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021360421496815798)  2026-02-10T23:07Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Hrundel75 @Polymarket Is this trader chasing 1%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021408189498212522)  2026-02-11T02:17Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Opened X for news Polymarket trending alongside EpsteinTrumpCoverUp Prediction markets just chilling next to the wildest political drama of the day. No explanation needed. Just there This is mainstreaming hitting hard Year ago Crypto niche. Now Sitting in trending feeds competing with culture war chaos. When you're next to conspiracy hashtags in public consciousness you've officially crossed over Markets on everything playing out live. Traditional media reports it. Polymarket lets you trade it That's not the future That's right now in your trending tab"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021411967324319931)  2026-02-11T02:32Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@Polymarket There is a chance it is not for nothing that they say Israel is the 51st state of the United States"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021665379010191821)  2026-02-11T19:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@stats_feed Deeper focus is just a fancy way of saying you spent [--] minutes reading the back of a shampoo bottle because there was literally nothing else to do And privacy was just being lost because you didn't have GPS"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021677995941912966)  2026-02-11T20:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Bad Bunny halftime show broke the internet One of the most watched halftime shows ever Bad Bunny delivered exactly what he promised Massive stage Puerto Rican culture front and center Lady Gaga Ricky Martin Cardi B a staged wedding entire performance in Spanish Historic for Super Bowl. Never been done at that scale The reaction split instantly. Latino communities saw cultural recognition and pride Conservative commentators called for investigations. Political figures melted down over the Spanish language performance Here's the irony: the controversy drove the numbers The louder the critics"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021758778451062807)  2026-02-12T01:30Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@TheEconomist I disagree. The answers provided by AI tools require strict task setting and maximum critical thinking because AI must be checked and always"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021787569738903994)  2026-02-12T03:24Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@ratio_dot_you Ability to select news channels in X filter traders by number of trades"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022022150493024296)  2026-02-12T18:57Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@carm1nee @FCBarcelona I think Bara will be very lucky if they manage to get a draw in this match"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022039944479531131)  2026-02-12T20:07Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Levr_Bet In terms of popularity worldwide the Champions League will be in first place. It will be followed by the English Premier League"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022095762444972482)  2026-02-12T23:49Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket I hope that the chances of seeing Trump in an Israeli yarmulke have increased"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022099402383667311)  2026-02-13T00:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@CBSNews I understand that need to conserve our energy but it's like the pros were playing against the school team"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022124369234079857)  2026-02-13T01:43Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Polymarket That will be the first thing I turn off. I hope there will be an opportunity"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022372834249474404)  2026-02-13T18:10Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@polynternet @Polymarket @PolymarketBuild Ofc I would like to see an instrument that is different from all the others"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022391457290809637)  2026-02-13T19:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@xatacrypt I don't mind I'm doing this at great risk. But there isn't such a huge advantage here and you can see that from the game"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022427730617467152)  2026-02-13T21:48Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"How talk about the most popular events in prediction markets without mentioning prediction markets themselves Happy Valentine's Day Made just for you 💌 https://t.co/DhSgnGK1M6 Made just for you 💌 https://t.co/DhSgnGK1M6"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022494868677738570)  2026-02-14T02:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"@robinmarketsxyz @Polymarket @PolymarketBuild Yes that's really interesting. The main thing is that the position on Polymarket doesn't get cheaper"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023103512398254434)  2026-02-15T18:33Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@stats_feed @grok How about South American countries"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019991831287853192)  2026-02-07T04:29Z [----] followers, 24K engagements


"Olympic opener for Team USA today Men's hockey Group C. First game on Olympic ice for the Americans at Milan-Cortina [----] USA enters as the group favorite. Raw athleticism relentless intensity speed that punishes slow teams. Latvia is the first test and on paper it's the easiest one in the group But Denmark and Germany are lurking. Both structured both dangerous both capable of taking points off anyone in the group The real battle for first place comes later. Today is about setting the tone Latvia sits compact and defends deep. They won't make it pretty. But with USA as heavy favorites the"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021994771820998825)  2026-02-12T17:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Medal table is lying about USA Norway 7G Italy 6G USA 4G. Public looks at gold column and writes America off Wrong read Take a closer look at this market and use for copy trading USA has [--] total medals Same as Norway. That means they're in every final on every podium constantly one break away from gold Silver and bronze pile-ups don't mean weakness. They mean variance Norway prints gold in specific disciplines and dominates Italy is doing something scarier: high gold count plus most total medals on the board. Strong across everything USA is the contrarian play. Everywhere on the podium"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022059562556399653)  2026-02-12T21:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@robinmarketsxyz @Polymarket @PolymarketBuild Smart concept. One gap Opportunity cost on long positions is the real reason institutional capital stays away from prediction markets"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023100735404318730)  2026-02-15T18:22Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@0xViki_eth"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023138642911248558)  2026-02-15T20:53Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@Predicti0r A standard theoretical article for studying terminology. I would like to learn more about the opinions of experts who write about 5% for prediction Did they mention anything about the probability of a drawdown on [----] trades What will this method lead to for the bank"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023170752111935679)  2026-02-15T23:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@stats_feed @grok How much does it cost to buy time"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022807148317573398)  2026-02-14T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Latvia vs Denmark First period done. 1-3 Latvia now needs to win this game AND make up goal differential on Germany. Two miracles not one First place has been USA's since game two. Nobody's running down +7 goal diff in one game Germany first or second depending on Denmark result. Clean win keeps them safe. But winning by 6+ That's a fantasy not a prediction Group C closed on 99%. Just playing out the schedule now For copy-trading: https://polycule.trade/join/8elstw https://polycule.trade/join/8elstw"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023108895149875275)  2026-02-15T18:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Facts Tokens is a simple idea with a very trader-native execution: turn a forecaster into an asset you can buy sell and track onchain Instead of copying screenshots or chasing a leaderboard you can hold exposure to a specific traders edge via a Predictor Token and trade that exposure like any other ERC-20 What youre actually buying A Predictor Token (@factsdottrade by @polyfactual) is a tokenized representation of a traders performance built to be tradable It launches on a bonding curve and can later migrate to Uniswap once it reaches the protocols liquidity threshold so the market for that"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2019447339551760681)  2026-02-05T16:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This is a smart direction. Automating risk management for prediction markets is genuinely needed Main question: how does it handle Polymarket's liquidity quirks Thin order books and wide spreads can break traditional stop-loss logic fast. If Merlin adapts to market depth in real-time that's a real differentiator Also love the behavioral learning angle. If it can replicate good risk patterns while filtering out emotional trades that's valuable Agent-assisted trading feels like the natural evolution here https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020922090187333689"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2020922090187333689)  2026-02-09T18:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"USA hockey criminally mispriced Canada 47% USA 35% on Polymarket. That 12% is pure legacy bias The edges: Hellebuyck. Best goalie alive. Olympic knockout hockey is won by elite goaltending not depth. USA has the cheat code Star power rising. Matthews Thompson Eichel Single-elimination needs game-winners not fourth-liners. USA's stacked Reality check: Market's pricing nostalgia. USA's structural advantages (goaltending logistics momentum) aren't in the 35% yet Accumulate under 40% https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021031114463138075 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021031114463138075"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021031114463138075)  2026-02-10T01:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket x Kaito launching Attention Markets in the near future Predict on measurable hype Two new metrics: mindshare (how much people talk) and sentiment (positive vs negative tone) Data pulled from TikTok Instagram YouTube and others Why it matters: Real-time attention data becomes tradable. Marketing teams get live brand performance metrics. Kaito thinks this beats polls for measuring public opinion Kaito: $10.5M raised at $87M valuation (Dragonfly Sequoia Jane Street). Also powering Noise markets (raised $7.1M from Paradigm) Polymarket did $1B+ volume in January alone. Now adding"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021224119941939251)  2026-02-10T14:05Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"2026 All-Star MVP market pricing is scattered and that's how it should be Wembanyama at 19% -- Jokic Cade Luka clustered around 13%. -- Edwards KD at 11%. -- Long tail of Brunson Maxey Mitchell LeBron in the 9-10% zone. Curry near single digits If you want to do more than just watch and make predictions for this match based on traders opinions the copy-trading tool is: Market: What this tells you: All-Star Game MVPs are inherently unpredictable. One game exhibition vibes offense-first minutes all over the place. No clear favorite exists because the format doesn't allow it Market's pricing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021386908249760222)  2026-02-11T00:52Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket has a market on Satoshi returning It's priced near zero. Correctly Satoshi Nakamoto wrote the Bitcoin white paper in [----]. Launched the network January [----]. Was active on forums through [----] Last public post: December [--] [----]. Final private messages to developers: April [----] Then nothing. [--] years of silence Left [---] million Bitcoin untouched At current prices that's generational wealth sitting completely still. No movement. No signal. No proof of life Every identity claim failed. Craig Wright spent years insisting he was Satoshi. Courts proved he wasn't. Every "leaked message""  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021689189150884025)  2026-02-11T20:53Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Brentford vs Arsenal today and everyone's talking about Arsenal protecting first place Correct. Arsenal leads the table. They need the points. Everyone knows this What people aren't talking about: Brentford just beat Newcastle and Aston Villa back to back Not lucky wins. Dominant performances against top-half opposition. They're on form and playing with confidence at home Narrative is all Arsenal. Numbers are telling a different story This is exactly the ratio trade setup. Public money follows the story. Sharp money follows the form Opened @ratio_dot_you to check the market. Hit the Whales"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2021961293649891705)  2026-02-12T14:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"This is what @ratio_dot_you copy-trade looks like Arsenal. First place. Must-win energy all over X. Everyone hammering the narrative Brentford just beat Newcastle and Aston Villa back to back. Nobody talking about it Final: 1-1 Public traded the story Ratio showed where the advantage One of these made money today Brentford vs Arsenal today and everyone's talking about Arsenal protecting first place Correct. Arsenal leads the table. They need the points. Everyone knows this https://t.co/RUo2Vyn0vv What people aren't talking about: Brentford just beat Newcastle and Aston Villa back to"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022085853875720657)  2026-02-12T23:10Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan being listed as a member of the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee is not a vanity title Its a signal that prediction markets are being treated like a serious part of the future US market stack not just a weird crypto side quest The CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee is basically the regulators market-structure and fintech braintrust It advises on how emerging systems actually work: crypto rails DeFi tokenized assets AI driven trading cybersecurity data integrity and the mechanics of new trading venues This is where the CFTC stress tests ideas before they become"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022115865794109800)  2026-02-13T01:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"The main Kelly mistake: you think you see edge you're just looking in a mirror Kelly Criterion is mathematically perfect. The problem isn't the formula it's the human entering the inputs Most common scenario on prediction markets: Market sits at 40%. You scan the news read threads feel like "it's obvious" and set your p =0.60. Kelly says buy aggressively. You buy. Market resolves against you What happened You didn't find edge. You found your own reflection in the data Three forms of confidence bias: -- Narrative bias you read a convincing article and it became your p. But the market already"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022335196154990738)  2026-02-13T15:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Canada vs Switzerland. Trap game alert Canada is USA's biggest rival for hockey gold Today is their opener. And Switzerland is the exact kind of team that makes favorites uncomfortable in game one Hischier and Fiala are legitimate NHL stars. Swiss defense is structured and hard to break down. As underdogs with nothing to lose they play loose and dangerous Opening tournament games are different. Rhythm isn't there yet. Power plays sputter. Goalies need time to settle. Canada won't be at peak until game two or three Switzerland doesn't need to dominate. They just need to stay close long enough"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022381764254007596)  2026-02-13T18:46Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"5-minute prediction markets. Chainlink is why they work Polymarket built a format that behaves like a trading terminal. Will BTC be above $70k at 12:05 YES or NO Opens trades settles in [--] minutes. Winners paid instantly Fast markets have one unsolvable problem without the right infrastructure: who decides the final price Bad data in a 5-minute window isn't an inconvenience. It's an exploit. One manipulated price print. One lag spike from a single exchange. Market breaks and smart money collects Why @chainlink is mandatory not optional: Long-term markets can use slow dispute resolution like"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022456760242409933)  2026-02-13T23:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"75 years of All-Star. [----] is the celebration Intuit Dome. Los Angeles. Three teams. One championship The NBA killed East vs West and built something better USA Stars vs USA Stripes vs Team World in a round-robin tournament. Four 12-minute games. Top two meet in a championship. Every quarter every run every bucket carries weight Team World is the headline Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic as the engine. Victor Wembanyama as the future. International embarrassment of riches on one roster USA Stars are the young guns Cade Cunningham. Anthony Edwards. Chet Holmgren. Youth length explosiveness."  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022487872574484857)  2026-02-14T01:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"PnL is the new hype. YIELD is the new status Three eras of social media through one question: what's scarce here Social graph - access to people Interest graph - quality content Speculation graph - verified track record AI killed content as a moat. The next moat is PnL you can't fake But here's where most people misread this PnL isn't the new status. PnL is the new hype Remember how social media works One viral post - +50k followers in a week - a month later they're all gone because the next post was average Hype builds an audience that came for the anomaly not the quality One +340%"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022746107625811978)  2026-02-14T18:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"February [--]. The whole world goes long on love today. No stop-losses. No exits. Just pure conviction on the people who matter most Today I received a Valentines gift from @jasper_b3ll Happy Valentine's Day to @zscdao The @zscdao family always looks out for each other Today I received a Valentines gift from @decenterghost 💙 This figure is truly attractive and collectible😏 What gifts did you receive https://t.co/g9OpRoSJcu The @zscdao family always looks out for each other Today I received a Valentines gift from @decenterghost 💙 This figure is truly attractive and collectible😏 What gifts"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022759517776146895)  2026-02-14T19:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Speed is the edge on news-based markets @factsdottrade just handed it to you Before: multiple subscriptions scattered channels hunting for breaking news across a dozen tabs. By the time you found it someone else was already in the market Now: one site. One planet. Red dots marking live news in real time Click a dot. News panel opens instantly on the right Right next to it: every market this story could move. Second click and you're in the market Third click and you've got your position While everyone else is still looking for the news That's not a small advantage. On news-driven markets speed"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2022819920157745652)  2026-02-14T23:47Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@GamblingHarmOrg Its like a visiting preacher walking into the Vatican and telling the Pope hes praying wrong. Nevada is the law in the world of risk"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2022874640108970220)  2026-02-15T03:24Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"USA holds the calculator Group C after [--] games: USA 6pts goal diff +7 Germany and Latvia both on 3pts. Denmark eliminated in everything but name at 0pts [---] diff Clean table. Clear hierarchy. One story everyone's missing The Germany problem: They're level on points with Latvia but ahead only on goal diff. +1 vs [---]. That gap evaporates with one bad period against USA If Germany gets blown out today Latvia controls the group even before their last game Germany doesn't just need a result. They need a clean result The USA spot: Cushion of +7 means they can play without risk Manage pace control"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023065148139696483)  2026-02-15T16:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Defense is optional tonight NBA All-Star Game isn't a competition It's a carnival Dunks threes alley-oops no defense maximum entertainment Nobody's grinding box scores. Everyone's hunting highlights [----] format makes it wilder Three teams. Short games. Championship round USA Stars USA Stripes Team World all chasing the same thing: the viral moment that defines the weekend All-Star MVPs aren't won by efficiency. They're won by the buzzer beater that breaks the internet The between-the-legs dunk nobody saw coming. The bench reaction that becomes a meme by midnight That's why prediction market's"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023131376489300096)  2026-02-15T20:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Party started Video: NBA [--] years of All-Star. [----] is the celebration Intuit Dome. Los Angeles. Three teams. One championship The NBA killed East vs West and built something better USA Stars vs USA Stripes vs Team World in a round-robin tournament. Four 12-minute games. Top two meet in a https://t.co/F6IxPFfGTy [--] years of All-Star. [----] is the celebration Intuit Dome. Los Angeles. Three teams. One championship The NBA killed East vs West and built something better USA Stars vs USA Stripes vs Team World in a round-robin tournament. Four 12-minute games. Top two meet in a"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023174286584807817)  2026-02-15T23:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"The market is closed with one successful match. It doesn't matter what form the leaders were in or how successful they were during the season Anthony Edwards [---] pts and MVP. I hope you didn't flip a coin on this market [----] All-Star MVP market pricing is scattered and that's how it should be Wembanyama at 19% -- Jokic Cade Luka clustered around 13%. -- Edwards KD at 11%. -- Long tail of Brunson Maxey Mitchell LeBron in the 9-10% zone. Curry near single digits If you want to do more https://t.co/ZOXkeWp9x1 [----] All-Star MVP market pricing is scattered and that's how it should be Wembanyama at"  
[X Link](https://x.com/anyuser/status/2023206278940725619)  2026-02-16T01:22Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Everyone on prediction markets is suddenly a Kelly sizing expert. Half Kelly quarter Kelly eighth Kelly like it's a magic "don't blow up" button But everyone keeps skipping the only part that http://x.com/i/article/2023213577914454016 http://x.com/i/article/2023213577914454016"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023329528123175136)  2026-02-16T09:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Good article on the 70th minute. Let me add context that complements the picture This isn't a new discovery. It's Lay The Draw a strategy that's existed since [----] and went through a full cycle: hype - mass adoption - edge degradation - current state When a strategy becomes "the most popular in history" that's not a compliment. That's the obituary for its edge Here's what happened to it over [--] years Bookmakers adapted through three mechanisms First algorithmic odds updating In [----] traders updated odds manually delay was 15-30 seconds enough to enter before repricing Now algorithms update"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023446575628874037)  2026-02-16T17:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements


"Copy trading on prediction markets with the help of How not to lose money following someone else's PnL The first thing you see when you open someone's account is PnL. An interesting but empty number. Real analysis starts after that Remove everyone with fewer than [---] trades. These aren't traders this is noise. Random people who got lucky on a short stretch. No statistical significance nothing to copy Look at Yield not PnL. If someone takes a dollar and returns [--] cents that's not your path regardless of how impressive the absolute numbers look. Yield shows the system. P&L shows the marketing"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023463810007171335)  2026-02-16T18:25Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"Kelly with distance still explodes Kelly becomes a grenade even WITH distance Here's the most common one. You trade breaking news markets -- Monday: saw a tweet from a verified insider first Entered before the market. Edge is real -- Tuesday: no insiders. Trading like everyone else on public information. Edge near zero -- Wednesday: tweet again. Advantage again You have distance. [----] trades. 58% winrate. Positive Yield. Kelly says bet 6% of bankroll on every trade And this is where the formula starts lying Kelly takes your average edge across [----] trades and honestly thinks every next trade"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023533115210084556)  2026-02-16T23:01Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"I will give you a not-so-great but very simple example On a classic roulette wheel with a single zero I can win a streak on one color or lose it. But after [------] iterations I will have a loss of 2.7% which is the expected value I simply use distance to even out the variance https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023563384940101928 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023563384940101928"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023563384940101928)  2026-02-17T01:01Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"Champions League knockout phase. Today Market: For copy-trading: Twenty bad minutes ends your season. Polymarket's pricing this like a ranking when it's really about draw luck and staying healthy Arsenal (20%) Bayern (17%) lead. Not because they're the best. Because they look least likely to implode over four knockout rounds Barca (12%) PSG (11%) are high ceiling low floor. City (10%) Liverpool (9%) dangerous but unstable Today: Real has the talent but faces Benfica who proved they can match anyone And there is a profound irony in this match as Benfica advanced to the playoffs by beating Real"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023593194638758101)  2026-02-17T02:59Z [----] followers, [---] engagements


"@PredictiFi_ Hmm this is an interesting game. I'll try without agents Galatasaray AH(0) Real Madrid ML Monaco AH(0) Atalanta ML GL"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023790695832850854)  2026-02-17T16:04Z [----] followers, [--] engagements


"@polyburg Messi is our national hero. He tried to retire several times but never did. My opinion is that people like him will play as long as they are physically able to play"  
[X Link](https://x.com/decenterghost/status/2023799831853175184)  2026-02-17T16:40Z [----] followers, [--] engagements

Limited data mode. Full metrics available with subscription: lunarcrush.com/pricing