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# ![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:26/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) @convexititties Convexititties, CFA

Convexititties, CFA posts on X about $opad, $open, mog, $oscr the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

### Engagements: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/interactions)
![Engagements Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920/c:line/m:interactions.svg)

- X Week XXXXXX +167%
- X Month XXXXXX +22%
- X Months XXXXXXX +228%
- X Year XXXXXXX +3,906%

### Mentions: XX [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/posts_active)
![Mentions Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920/c:line/m:posts_active.svg)


### Followers: XXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/followers)
![Followers Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920/c:line/m:followers.svg)

- X Week XXXXX +2.50%
- X Month XXXXX +10%
- X Months XXXXX +258%
- X Year XXXXX +795%

### CreatorRank: XXXXXXX [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/influencer_rank)
![CreatorRank Line Chart](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:600/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920/c:line/m:influencer_rank.svg)

### Social Influence [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/influence)
---

**Social category influence**
[finance](/list/finance)  [cryptocurrencies](/list/cryptocurrencies)  [stocks](/list/stocks)  [automotive brands](/list/automotive-brands)  [technology brands](/list/technology-brands)  [nfts](/list/nfts)  [celebrities](/list/celebrities) 

**Social topic influence**
[$opad](/topic/$opad), [$open](/topic/$open), [mog](/topic/mog), [$oscr](/topic/$oscr) #68, [$uber](/topic/$uber), [mortgage rate](/topic/mortgage-rate), [$pepe](/topic/$pepe), [tesla](/topic/tesla), [goog](/topic/goog), [$3share](/topic/$3share)

**Top assets mentioned**
[Open Custody Protocol (OPEN)](/topic/$open) [Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR)](/topic/$oscr) [Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)](/topic/$uber) [Pepe (PEPE)](/topic/$pepe) [Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)](/topic/tesla) [Humana Inc (HUM)](/topic/$hum) [Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH)](/topic/$moh) [UnitedHealth Group (UNH)](/topic/$unh) [Elevance Health Inc (ELV)](/topic/$elv) [Centene Corp (CNC)](/topic/$cnc) [Bitcoin (BTC)](/topic/$btc) [Ethereum (ETH)](/topic/$eth) [Dogecoin (DOGE)](/topic/$doge) [Fart Coin (FART)](/topic/$fart) [Mog Coin (MOG)](/topic/$mog) [Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)](/topic/$pengu) [Bonk (BONK)](/topic/$bonk) [Shiba Inu (SHIB)](/topic/$shib) [SPX6900 (SPX)](/topic/spx6900) [CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA)](/topic/$cava) [Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)](/topic/$goog) [aelf (ELF)](/topic/$elf)
### Top Social Posts [#](/creator/twitter::1763355951480913920/posts)
---
Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Let me make this nice and simple for you smooth brains. $OPAD peak EV / NTM rev multiple was 0.70x in October 2021. By the time it went public via SPAC in September of 2021 the CPI was X% and the housing market would peak shortly thereafter as mortgage rates rose sharply. That said $opad has never traded at a cyclical full multiple in my view. To that point $open traded as high as 5x in February 2021 during the housing boom. I ran the numbers to gauge the potential share price upside for $open and $OPAD at a range of EV / NTM revenue multiples from 0.5x-1.0x. Ill let the results speak for"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945563207885533683) 2025-07-16 19:16:30 UTC 2053 followers, 1131 engagements


"@taobanker Preserving the relationship comes above all else because 1) the company is likely a client to your firm in some capacity (IB fixed income etc.) and 2) need to stay on managements good side to maintain corporate access which is the lifeblood"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1946222265500041668) 2025-07-18 14:55:21 UTC 2051 followers, XXX engagements


"If $open hits $82/share the market cap would be $60B versus its peak market cap of $16B in 2021. Maybe it can hit $XX after a couple years of execution but not anytime soon in my opinion. I think $open quickly runs to $4/share (1.0x EV / NTM revenue) or +166% from yesterdays close at $XXXX. However I think its smaller peer $opad quickly runs to $15/share (0.75x EV / NTM Revenue) or +545% from yesterdays close at $2.32/share"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945815209236725778) 2025-07-17 11:57:52 UTC 2052 followers, 2723 engagements


"Deal announcement 🚨: $NURS.V / $HYDTF announced today that it has entered into a strategic partnership with Texas-based Perfect Scripts LLC. Perfect Scripts LLC is the parent company to PerfectRx. The company currently owns a 503A retail dispensing mail order pharmacy (no 503B) but it is licensed to sell both 503A/B compounded medications D2C. Terms of the agreement ✍: 1) Hydreight will acquire X% of Perfect Scripts for 2.25M shares at at least $XXXX CAD/share. The $5.175M CAD stock investment values a Perfect Scripts at $103.5M. Between this transaction and the recent private placement"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1944737420353671179) 2025-07-14 12:35:07 UTC 2053 followers, 3258 engagements


"No added commentary $OSCR $UNH $ELV $MOH $CNC $HUM $IHF"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945133360210182352) 2025-07-15 14:48:26 UTC 2053 followers, 1642 engagements


"Meme coin returns since April 7th. $pengu has led the pack followed by $mog $spx6900 $bonk then $fart. Legacy meme coins $doge and $shib have underperformed $eth and $btc over this period. $pepe is a head scratcher as it has barely outperformed $eth over this period and it is the only meme stuck below its May high. I generally think of $Pepe as the second best meme besides $mog. That said I expect $pepe to outperform the pack over the next couple weeks running in a similar fashion as $bonk did in the first half of July"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945908427999617361) 2025-07-17 18:08:17 UTC 2053 followers, XXX engagements


"The coin is called Mog and it has 70x potential from here in my opinion. Check it out"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1944407355933778024) 2025-07-13 14:43:33 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"The Tesla bear case came to fruition with the Elon/Trump breakup and BBB passage. That said what else is there that could drag Tesla stock down even further Other than a black swan event like a Robotaxi death Dont say continued falling auto sales like a midwit either. Then consider what could drive the stock higher: expected Robotaxi roll out in additional cities xAI merger and Optimus updates. The point Im trying to make is that Tesla stock is at a clear sentiment inflection point in my view. The market is at ATHs but the liquidity firehouse is still blasting at full force and I believe"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1944719021225410666) 2025-07-14 11:22:00 UTC 2051 followers, XXX engagements


"Strong buy: TSLA KRE OSCR HYDTF AMPX HROW AMSC CAVA ETH MOG Underperform: UBER GOOG UNH V MA ADBE"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945091476012036482) 2025-07-15 12:02:00 UTC 2049 followers, 1774 engagements


"There is no good reason to ask hardball questions on a public call. Save it for the follow-up call. Softballs only on the public call"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1946217469548400889) 2025-07-18 14:36:18 UTC 2053 followers, 1226 engagements


"Most of the shorts have a double digit cost basis. They had a great thesis that came to fruition but they got lazy/greedy and didnt close out their short positions as average trading volume dried up. Maybe it was a calculated risk and they assumed delisting was imminent. However Now the short interest ratio is XX days (but dropping as volume has recently picked up) and we have a real estate mogul president drum beating for rate cuts and a global liquidity surge thats just getting started fueling speculative bubbles. I think $OPAD runs to $5/share over the next couple months with upside"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1942974473537269972) 2025-07-09 15:49:47 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"Housing doomers lets not forget that the Fed also controls the pace of its MBS runoff. If it meaningfully curtails its runoff the added liquidity alone could support a XXX bp decline in mortgage spreads in my view. That would get you to XXXX% mortgage rates with a XXXX% 10-yr yield (todays level). I know mortgage doomers are fully convinced that the long end will rise again if the Fed makes additional rate cuts but if the curve shifts in a parallel manner you could get to X% mortgages with just XXX bps of cuts or XXX% with XXX bps which would result in a FFR of 2.75-3.00% which is roughly"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945332987475771572) 2025-07-16 04:01:41 UTC 2047 followers, XXX engagements


"Who is left to sell $opad Nobody in their right mind is adding to their short at these levels and most longs have a cost basis that is way above the current share price. Seriously I only see buyers Tiny float too Am I retarded"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945840250690973876) 2025-07-17 13:37:22 UTC 2049 followers, 1483 engagements


"$open just tested its 200DMA. If $opad does the same it will hit $XXXX which is XX% above the current share price. Food for thought"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945481456655966250) 2025-07-16 13:51:39 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"@notrusshanneman A lot of runway is right"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945570309630783920) 2025-07-16 19:44:43 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"Similarly I think that $open could reasonably trade at 0.75x EV /NTM sales as it has historically traded at a modest premium to $opad given its scale and the stocks liquidity at 20x larger market cap. If NTM sales are $5.5B and net debt holds steady at $2.0B the implied market cap would be $2.2B or $3/share assuming close start share count. Needless to say the risk-reward is more appealing for $opad in my opinion but the small market cap and low liquidity make it challenging for larger investors to participate. This is an ideal pond to fish in if you are a $10K position"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945546417722069090) 2025-07-16 18:09:47 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"Yes. $Goog has to buy cars from Jaguar or Hyundai then retrofit with out-of-house lidar then outsource the ride/delivery app aspect to Uber extremely inefficient versus Teslas full vertical integration and use of much cheaper vision versus lidar. If vision gets efficacious enough to gain widespread regulatory approval which I believe it will $tsla dominates the market in my view"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945631793916350569) 2025-07-16 23:49:02 UTC 2050 followers, XX engagements


"Good place to start nibbling at $elf in my opinion. Ideally it bases around the 200DMA at $99-100 for a month or so to fill out the right shoulder of this inverse h&s creating an attractive technical setup. Stock has a bullish 50/200 DMA crossover about a week ago. Look at employment tax receipts that the bullish starfish posts the economy is strong. Very attractive long setup imo"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945485933455028723) 2025-07-16 14:09:26 UTC 2052 followers, XXX engagements


"lol someone said hold my beer and now its flat from +60%. Wild volatility massive volume. I think we still havent seen the highs. $opad"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945848258326098066) 2025-07-17 14:09:11 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"@shey2007shey I would assume $opad will just be a leveraged play on $open more or less given its a smaller cap way of playing the same theme. However so far that has clearly not been the case. I know nothing about the merits of each companys business models"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945483441652281477) 2025-07-16 13:59:32 UTC 2042 followers, XX engagements


"If transportation and delivery go autonomous how will $UBER make money I understand that the current narrative is that Uber is bullishly leaning into autonomy by forming partnerships with autonomous fleet operators like Waymo which sounds great at the surface. However why does Waymo or any other autonomous fleet operator need Uber The only argument Ive heard consistently is that because Uber already has millions of users. While this may have been extremely valuable in years past it has never been easier to rapidly scale users when you have a highly desirable product. We saw ChatGPT scale from"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1943226115335569831) 2025-07-10 08:29:43 UTC 2052 followers, 1513 engagements


"We go down in a straight line till he flips bearish $oscr"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1946217860948242850) 2025-07-18 14:37:51 UTC 2053 followers, 3907 engagements


"Another day another dollar. I really struggle to see how this doesnt quickly head to at least $3/share $opad"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1942594084226379904) 2025-07-08 14:38:15 UTC 2050 followers, XXX engagements


"The last time $tsla dipped below its moving averages immediately following a bullish 50/200 crossover the stock ran from $XXX to $XXX over the next X months. An identical run would put the share price at $XXX by mid-November. Everyone is bearish now that Elon broke up with Trump and the EV tax credit will be terminated what better time for a rally The liquidity spigot is still turned on and its only a matter of time before the narrative shifts back to the robotics projects and share price go up bigly. Food for thought"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1943007452749824080) 2025-07-09 18:00:50 UTC 2051 followers, 1488 engagements


"I think $pepe will be at least XX% higher by August 1"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945893428019016160) 2025-07-17 17:08:40 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"2-handle 🔥 after doing some research I think that $OPAD could reasonably trade at 0.5x EV/ NTM sales. If NTM sales are $900M and net debt holds steady at $200M the implied market cap would be $250M or $9/share assuming constant share count"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945542824537022649) 2025-07-16 17:55:30 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements


"If you rent you should want rate cuts as your largest monthly expense has significant interest rate exposure. How 1) the majority of multi-family investment real estate is financed with adjustable rate mortgages that reset every X years. Interest rate resets have put sharp upward pressure on interest expense which is passed through to tenants with rent hikes 2) higher interest rates reduces construction activity restraining rental supply growth and 3) Higher rates has priced many consumers out of the home buying market increasing demand for rentals. TLDR; higher interest rates have been"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1945328451638153688) 2025-07-16 03:43:39 UTC 2041 followers, XXX engagements


"Been the Greatest bull market ever and here Ive been with a third of my total capital in health care lmfao kms $oscr"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1946653448365072882) 2025-07-19 19:28:43 UTC 2053 followers, XXX engagements


"The 6/30 short interest data is now out. $OPAD short interest declined from 1.24M shares on 5/30 to 1.06M shares on 6/30 (-15%). The stock has gone up in a straight line since 6/30 so there has likely been additional short covering since then. Average daily volume since 6/30 has been 125000 shares. The true short interest ratio is likely X now so nothing too crazy"  
![@convexititties Avatar](https://lunarcrush.com/gi/w:16/cr:twitter::1763355951480913920.png) [@convexititties](/creator/x/convexititties) on [X](/post/tweet/1943650363132776955) 2025-07-11 12:35:32 UTC 2050 followers, XXX engagements

[GUEST ACCESS MODE: Data is scrambled or limited to provide examples. Make requests using your API key to unlock full data. Check https://lunarcrush.ai/auth for authentication information.]

@convexititties Avatar @convexititties Convexititties, CFA

Convexititties, CFA posts on X about $opad, $open, mog, $oscr the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

Engagements: XXXXX #

Engagements Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXXX +167%
  • X Month XXXXXX +22%
  • X Months XXXXXXX +228%
  • X Year XXXXXXX +3,906%

Mentions: XX #

Mentions Line Chart

Followers: XXXXX #

Followers Line Chart

  • X Week XXXXX +2.50%
  • X Month XXXXX +10%
  • X Months XXXXX +258%
  • X Year XXXXX +795%

CreatorRank: XXXXXXX #

CreatorRank Line Chart

Social Influence #


Social category influence finance cryptocurrencies stocks automotive brands technology brands nfts celebrities

Social topic influence $opad, $open, mog, $oscr #68, $uber, mortgage rate, $pepe, tesla, goog, $3share

Top assets mentioned Open Custody Protocol (OPEN) Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Pepe (PEPE) Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Humana Inc (HUM) Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) UnitedHealth Group (UNH) Elevance Health Inc (ELV) Centene Corp (CNC) Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) Dogecoin (DOGE) Fart Coin (FART) Mog Coin (MOG) Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) Bonk (BONK) Shiba Inu (SHIB) SPX6900 (SPX) CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) aelf (ELF)

Top Social Posts #


Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Let me make this nice and simple for you smooth brains. $OPAD peak EV / NTM rev multiple was 0.70x in October 2021. By the time it went public via SPAC in September of 2021 the CPI was X% and the housing market would peak shortly thereafter as mortgage rates rose sharply. That said $opad has never traded at a cyclical full multiple in my view. To that point $open traded as high as 5x in February 2021 during the housing boom. I ran the numbers to gauge the potential share price upside for $open and $OPAD at a range of EV / NTM revenue multiples from 0.5x-1.0x. Ill let the results speak for"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 19:16:30 UTC 2053 followers, 1131 engagements

"@taobanker Preserving the relationship comes above all else because 1) the company is likely a client to your firm in some capacity (IB fixed income etc.) and 2) need to stay on managements good side to maintain corporate access which is the lifeblood"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-18 14:55:21 UTC 2051 followers, XXX engagements

"If $open hits $82/share the market cap would be $60B versus its peak market cap of $16B in 2021. Maybe it can hit $XX after a couple years of execution but not anytime soon in my opinion. I think $open quickly runs to $4/share (1.0x EV / NTM revenue) or +166% from yesterdays close at $XXXX. However I think its smaller peer $opad quickly runs to $15/share (0.75x EV / NTM Revenue) or +545% from yesterdays close at $2.32/share"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-17 11:57:52 UTC 2052 followers, 2723 engagements

"Deal announcement 🚨: $NURS.V / $HYDTF announced today that it has entered into a strategic partnership with Texas-based Perfect Scripts LLC. Perfect Scripts LLC is the parent company to PerfectRx. The company currently owns a 503A retail dispensing mail order pharmacy (no 503B) but it is licensed to sell both 503A/B compounded medications D2C. Terms of the agreement ✍: 1) Hydreight will acquire X% of Perfect Scripts for 2.25M shares at at least $XXXX CAD/share. The $5.175M CAD stock investment values a Perfect Scripts at $103.5M. Between this transaction and the recent private placement"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-14 12:35:07 UTC 2053 followers, 3258 engagements

"No added commentary $OSCR $UNH $ELV $MOH $CNC $HUM $IHF"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-15 14:48:26 UTC 2053 followers, 1642 engagements

"Meme coin returns since April 7th. $pengu has led the pack followed by $mog $spx6900 $bonk then $fart. Legacy meme coins $doge and $shib have underperformed $eth and $btc over this period. $pepe is a head scratcher as it has barely outperformed $eth over this period and it is the only meme stuck below its May high. I generally think of $Pepe as the second best meme besides $mog. That said I expect $pepe to outperform the pack over the next couple weeks running in a similar fashion as $bonk did in the first half of July"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-17 18:08:17 UTC 2053 followers, XXX engagements

"The coin is called Mog and it has 70x potential from here in my opinion. Check it out"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-13 14:43:33 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"The Tesla bear case came to fruition with the Elon/Trump breakup and BBB passage. That said what else is there that could drag Tesla stock down even further Other than a black swan event like a Robotaxi death Dont say continued falling auto sales like a midwit either. Then consider what could drive the stock higher: expected Robotaxi roll out in additional cities xAI merger and Optimus updates. The point Im trying to make is that Tesla stock is at a clear sentiment inflection point in my view. The market is at ATHs but the liquidity firehouse is still blasting at full force and I believe"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-14 11:22:00 UTC 2051 followers, XXX engagements

"Strong buy: TSLA KRE OSCR HYDTF AMPX HROW AMSC CAVA ETH MOG Underperform: UBER GOOG UNH V MA ADBE"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-15 12:02:00 UTC 2049 followers, 1774 engagements

"There is no good reason to ask hardball questions on a public call. Save it for the follow-up call. Softballs only on the public call"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-18 14:36:18 UTC 2053 followers, 1226 engagements

"Most of the shorts have a double digit cost basis. They had a great thesis that came to fruition but they got lazy/greedy and didnt close out their short positions as average trading volume dried up. Maybe it was a calculated risk and they assumed delisting was imminent. However Now the short interest ratio is XX days (but dropping as volume has recently picked up) and we have a real estate mogul president drum beating for rate cuts and a global liquidity surge thats just getting started fueling speculative bubbles. I think $OPAD runs to $5/share over the next couple months with upside"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-09 15:49:47 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"Housing doomers lets not forget that the Fed also controls the pace of its MBS runoff. If it meaningfully curtails its runoff the added liquidity alone could support a XXX bp decline in mortgage spreads in my view. That would get you to XXXX% mortgage rates with a XXXX% 10-yr yield (todays level). I know mortgage doomers are fully convinced that the long end will rise again if the Fed makes additional rate cuts but if the curve shifts in a parallel manner you could get to X% mortgages with just XXX bps of cuts or XXX% with XXX bps which would result in a FFR of 2.75-3.00% which is roughly"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 04:01:41 UTC 2047 followers, XXX engagements

"Who is left to sell $opad Nobody in their right mind is adding to their short at these levels and most longs have a cost basis that is way above the current share price. Seriously I only see buyers Tiny float too Am I retarded"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-17 13:37:22 UTC 2049 followers, 1483 engagements

"$open just tested its 200DMA. If $opad does the same it will hit $XXXX which is XX% above the current share price. Food for thought"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 13:51:39 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"@notrusshanneman A lot of runway is right"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 19:44:43 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"Similarly I think that $open could reasonably trade at 0.75x EV /NTM sales as it has historically traded at a modest premium to $opad given its scale and the stocks liquidity at 20x larger market cap. If NTM sales are $5.5B and net debt holds steady at $2.0B the implied market cap would be $2.2B or $3/share assuming close start share count. Needless to say the risk-reward is more appealing for $opad in my opinion but the small market cap and low liquidity make it challenging for larger investors to participate. This is an ideal pond to fish in if you are a $10K position"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 18:09:47 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"Yes. $Goog has to buy cars from Jaguar or Hyundai then retrofit with out-of-house lidar then outsource the ride/delivery app aspect to Uber extremely inefficient versus Teslas full vertical integration and use of much cheaper vision versus lidar. If vision gets efficacious enough to gain widespread regulatory approval which I believe it will $tsla dominates the market in my view"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 23:49:02 UTC 2050 followers, XX engagements

"Good place to start nibbling at $elf in my opinion. Ideally it bases around the 200DMA at $99-100 for a month or so to fill out the right shoulder of this inverse h&s creating an attractive technical setup. Stock has a bullish 50/200 DMA crossover about a week ago. Look at employment tax receipts that the bullish starfish posts the economy is strong. Very attractive long setup imo"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 14:09:26 UTC 2052 followers, XXX engagements

"lol someone said hold my beer and now its flat from +60%. Wild volatility massive volume. I think we still havent seen the highs. $opad"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-17 14:09:11 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"@shey2007shey I would assume $opad will just be a leveraged play on $open more or less given its a smaller cap way of playing the same theme. However so far that has clearly not been the case. I know nothing about the merits of each companys business models"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 13:59:32 UTC 2042 followers, XX engagements

"If transportation and delivery go autonomous how will $UBER make money I understand that the current narrative is that Uber is bullishly leaning into autonomy by forming partnerships with autonomous fleet operators like Waymo which sounds great at the surface. However why does Waymo or any other autonomous fleet operator need Uber The only argument Ive heard consistently is that because Uber already has millions of users. While this may have been extremely valuable in years past it has never been easier to rapidly scale users when you have a highly desirable product. We saw ChatGPT scale from"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-10 08:29:43 UTC 2052 followers, 1513 engagements

"We go down in a straight line till he flips bearish $oscr"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-18 14:37:51 UTC 2053 followers, 3907 engagements

"Another day another dollar. I really struggle to see how this doesnt quickly head to at least $3/share $opad"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-08 14:38:15 UTC 2050 followers, XXX engagements

"The last time $tsla dipped below its moving averages immediately following a bullish 50/200 crossover the stock ran from $XXX to $XXX over the next X months. An identical run would put the share price at $XXX by mid-November. Everyone is bearish now that Elon broke up with Trump and the EV tax credit will be terminated what better time for a rally The liquidity spigot is still turned on and its only a matter of time before the narrative shifts back to the robotics projects and share price go up bigly. Food for thought"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-09 18:00:50 UTC 2051 followers, 1488 engagements

"I think $pepe will be at least XX% higher by August 1"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-17 17:08:40 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"2-handle 🔥 after doing some research I think that $OPAD could reasonably trade at 0.5x EV/ NTM sales. If NTM sales are $900M and net debt holds steady at $200M the implied market cap would be $250M or $9/share assuming constant share count"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 17:55:30 UTC 2049 followers, XXX engagements

"If you rent you should want rate cuts as your largest monthly expense has significant interest rate exposure. How 1) the majority of multi-family investment real estate is financed with adjustable rate mortgages that reset every X years. Interest rate resets have put sharp upward pressure on interest expense which is passed through to tenants with rent hikes 2) higher interest rates reduces construction activity restraining rental supply growth and 3) Higher rates has priced many consumers out of the home buying market increasing demand for rentals. TLDR; higher interest rates have been"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-16 03:43:39 UTC 2041 followers, XXX engagements

"Been the Greatest bull market ever and here Ive been with a third of my total capital in health care lmfao kms $oscr"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-19 19:28:43 UTC 2053 followers, XXX engagements

"The 6/30 short interest data is now out. $OPAD short interest declined from 1.24M shares on 5/30 to 1.06M shares on 6/30 (-15%). The stock has gone up in a straight line since 6/30 so there has likely been additional short covering since then. Average daily volume since 6/30 has been 125000 shares. The true short interest ratio is likely X now so nothing too crazy"
@convexititties Avatar @convexititties on X 2025-07-11 12:35:32 UTC 2050 followers, XXX engagements

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